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Rates & Barrels
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© 2024 - The Athletic
Description
Eno Sarris and Derek VanRiper, along with Trevor May and Britt Ghiroli, discuss advanced stats, strategy, prospects and more. From the first move of the Hot Stove season to the final pitch of the World Series, join us for year-round baseball talk.
597 Episodes
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Eno and DVR discuss a round of suspensions from MLB for gambling -- including a lifetime ban for Tucupita Marcano, before looking at some of the biggest risers and fallers among hitters from April to May.
Rundown
1:00 Tucupita Marcano: Lifetime Ban for Betting on Baseball
16:47 Biggest Shifts in Hitter Performance: April v. May
22:01 Risers From April to May
30:54 Rookie Bats in Month 2
38:39 Colton Cowser to Fallers From April to May
43:04 May Barrel Rate Risers
49:04 May Hard-Hit Rate Risers
52:04 Full-Season Projections v. Performance to Date
1:07:45 Is a Randy Arozarena Rebound On Tap?
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno and DVR discuss tough in-season decisions for the Tigers (Spencer Torkelson's demotion) and Twins (Edouard Julien's demotion), and the promotion of Connor Norby, before considering the factors to account for when trying to move on from pitchers that have performed very well during the first two months of the season.
Rundown
1:48 Spencer Torkelson: Optioned to Triple-A
8:31 Justyn-Henry Malloy Gets the Call
12:38 Royce Lewis' Return Bumps Edouard Julien to Triple-A
23:19 Connor Norby: Promoted by Orioles
29:08 Adam Mazur: Gets the Call to San Diego
31:42 Question of Our Times: Timing Value Drops for First-Half Stars
42:31 Which Pitchers Are You Most Worried About?
53:38 Where the Money Went: Yimi Garcia, Matt Vierling, Mark Vientos & David Hamilton
1:02:00 Reid Detmers' Long-Term Outlook
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno, DVR, and Trevor analyze the surprising step back for the Atlanta lineup through the first two months of 2024, and discuss players at pivotal points in their careers with a limited window to secure their future role. Plus, they'll take live questions from viewers throughout the show!
Rundown
1:33 More Changes From the Mets; Christian Scott & Brett Baty Optioned to Triple-A
12:55 What's Happening in Atlanta's Lineup?
20:27 Teams Are Pitching the Braves Differently
25:17 Can Hitters Adjust Quickly to a Change Like This?
28:25 A Closer Look at Matt Olson
34:15 Practice Swings Revealing A Hitter's Plan?
37:40 Confidence Levels in Albies, Riley, Harris, Kelenic Getting to Power Again?
42:49 When Careers Reach Pivot Points
57:20 Who Is Your Favorite MLB One-Hit Wonder?
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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Eno and DVR discuss the news that MLB has integrated stats from the Negro Leagues into its official records, a bad day for the Mets, fallers from Eno's latest Starting Pitcher Rankings update, prospect news, and a few names to consider as waiver-wire targets this weekend.
Rundown
1:18 Negro League Stats Added to MLB's Official Records
7:06 An Eventful Day for the Mets
11:52 'There is No Way They Are the Worst Team in Baseball'
16:42 Fallers From Eno's Starting Pitcher Rankings Update
($) https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5513570
30:45 The Z-Contact% Laggardboard
36:40 Ben Brown's Excellent Outing, Window to Continue Starting
39:40 Junior Caminero, Jasson Dominguez, James Wood, Jett Williams & Drew Gilbert Updates
47:05 Can Chase DeLauter Take Over a Spot in Cleveland By Season's End?
50:00 Jacob Wilson: Another Low Barreler with a Great Hit Tool?
52:22 Spencer Schwellenback Arrives
56:17 Matt Waldron & Other Weekend Waiver-Wire Considerations
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno and DVR discuss a brutal diagnosis for Ronald Acuña Jr., who suffered another torn ACL over the weekend. Plus, they consider the ongoing struggles of Corbin Carroll, Ángel Hernández's abrupt retirement, and a few May risers from Eno's updated Starting Pitcher Rankings.
Rundown
2:06 Ronald Acuña Jr.'s 2024 Season Ends with Another Torn ACL
10:43 The Ongoing Struggles of Corbin Carroll
18:43 Victor Robles: DFA'd by Nationals
27:13 Is Passing on Low Barrel Rate Bats An Easy Call?
31:15: Ángel Hernández Retires
35:24 Injury Updates: Cristian Javier, Jorge Polanco & Kodai Senga
46:49 May Risers: Eno's Updated Starting Pitcher Rankings
($) https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5513570
59:38 Jake Meyers & Colt Keith As Popular Weekend Waiver-Wire Adds
1:09:35 David Fry is Unbelievable
1:12:09 Casey Mize's Rapidly Declining Stuff
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno, DVR and Trevor go live at 1p ET/10a PT to discuss pitch tipping, the 'fighters' we did not choose last week and their long-term outlook -- Tanner Bibee, Kyle Harrison, Hunter Greene, Taj Bradley, and Christian Scott -- the best strikeouts they have seen so far this season, and a case for massive expansion that would completely change baseball as we know it.
Rundown
1:18 Tipping Pitches
8:27 A Recent Example from Clarke Schmidt
10:45 Taj Bradley: Tipping Pitches or Too Predictable?
18:40 Tanner Bibee: A Fastball That Is Getting Hammered
26:41 Kyle Harrison: Will He Build Confidence in Secondaries?
31:58 The Case for Hunter Greene
38:33 Christian Scott: The Need For Improved Command
44:55 The Best Strikeouts We’ve Seen This Season
51:31 A Case for Massive Expansion in MLB
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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Join our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFe
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Eno and DVR discuss aging stars whose long-term value might be on the cusp of falling, as well as a few players to target despite an overall body of work that leaves something to be desired.
Rundown
10:07 Freddie Freeman Is the Power & Speed Drop a Sign of Things to Come?
18:02 Marcus Semien & Nearly Impossible Durability
23:12 Jose Altuve & Extreme Pull Tendencies Over Time
28:59 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: Should We Still Chase A 2021 Ceiling?
34:58 Adolis García: Fearing the Fast Peak From Late Bloomers with Aggressive Approaches
36:37 Oneil Cruz: Will He Improve Enough Against Lefties in the Long Run?
43:02 Zach Neto: Sacrificing Ceiling for a Safer Floor?
46:01 Jordan Walker: No Homers at Triple-A This Season?!
53:58 Alex Kirilloff: A Delayed Breakout Coming, or WYSIWYG?
1:02:14 Project Prospect: The Prospects to Target Via Trade As Top 100 Lists Have In-Season Updates
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno and DVR discuss Garrett Whitlock's injury and the prolonged opportunity for Cooper Criswell in the Red Sox's rotation, expectations for Edwin Díaz's break from the closer role, Luis Gil's impressive stretch to begin 2024, ways to consider leveraging pitching depth, where the money went this weekend, a few frequently dropped players from the weekend.
Rundown
1:50 Cooper Criswell's Extended Window in Boston
7:47 Edwin Díaz's Break From the Closer Role
16:00 Luis Gil: Analyzing his Early 2024 Breakout
29:52 Any Reason to Worry About Framber Valdez?
33:24 Did Ryan Weathers Figure Something Out?
39:00 Leveraging Starting Pitching Depth
43:24 Disconnect Between Stuff+ & D-backs Starting Pitching
47:56 Still Optimistic About Daulton Varsho?
51:24 Big Weekend Adds
1:02:11 Buying Any Drops? MJ Melendez, Brett Baty & James Outman
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno is joined by co-parent of Stuff+ and former member of the Houston Astros' analytics department Max Bay. The guys dive into the state of analytics in the sport...
Rundown:
4:09 - The past, present and future of Stuff+
29:45 - How should we be using the new bat tracking data
41:44 - How can people who want to get into baseball analytics for a team stand out
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
Follow Trevor on Twitter: @IamTrevorMay
Follow DVR on Twitter: @DerekVanRiper
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno, Trevor and DVR discuss Elly De La Cruz's bid for 100-steal season, how bat tracking info could be used to supplement scouting reports and game plans against hitters, and their choices from a group of a dozen starting pitchers in an effort to project the next few seasons.
Rundown
1:06 Keeping a Good Receipt (Don't Worry, We Keep The Bad Ones Too)
2:10 Elly De La Cruz's Bid for a 100-Steal Season
8:25 How Many Stolen Bases Would Rickey Henderson Rack Up with Today's Rules
10:49 Building Scouting Reports From Bat Tracking Info
17:31 How Interested Would Players Be In Utilizing This Angle?
30:45 Choose Your Fighters: Two Starting Pitchers From This Dozen, Next Three-Plus Seasons
50:28 Does Trevor Buy Eno's Plan to Make Ben Brown a Closer in 2024?
55:10 How Much Information Does a Typical Player Consume?
1:01:07 Trevor's Wiffle Ball Update
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno and DVR discuss Ronel Blanco's sticky-stuff suspension, Austin Riley's quiet start and recent injury, another opportunity for Luis Matos in San Francisco, and the bullpen woes of the Cubs before digging into the early struggles of many prospect pitchers, and a few waiver-wire targets to consider as the weekend approaches.
Rundown
1:29 Ronel Blanco's Sticky-Stuff Suspension
7:38 Austin Riley's Side Injury; Slow Start
11:39 Jung Hoo Lee: Structural Damage in Shoulder
19:26 Adbert Alzolay to the IL; Searching for Answers in the Cubs' Bullpen
27:39 Still Waiting on Junior Caminero
33:16 Heston Kjerstad Usage & Demotion to Triple-A
44:37 A Look at the Early Struggles of Many Pitching Prospects
54:57 Weekend Waiver-Wire Considerations
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno, DVR and Britt discuss baseball's aim to preserve starting pitchers. How much of a problem is the current use of starting pitchers compared to the past? With injury rates on the rise, what rule changes and tweaks make sense? Will small changes to move the game slightly in the direction of previous era's pitcher usage cause other problems? Plus, they discuss Britt's recent story about a partnership between Perfect Game and Fanatics, and former big leaguer Travis Snider's efforts to improve youth sports.
Rundown
1:13 The Starting Pitcher 'Problem'
6:55 Big Changes in the Last 10 Years
11:15 Incentivizing Pitching Deeper Into Starts
16:39 The Difficult of Getting Everyone on Board with New Rules
20:00 DVR Blames the Reliance on Short Relievers
26:40 Reducing the Fifth Inning Exits When a Starter is Dealing
31:37 Why Don't Starters Try to 'Save' Velocity for Later Innings?
42:46 Britt's Story About the Concerning Perfect Game-Fanatics Partnership
48:52 Travis Snider's Efforts to Improve Youth Sports
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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Follow Britt on Twitter: @Britt_Ghroli
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno and DVR discuss Paul Skenes' MLB debut against the Cubs before digging into ways they are utilizing the new bat tracking and bat speed leaderboards from Statcast, including a few players to consider targeting via trade.
Rundown
1:45 Takeaways From Paul Skenes' Debut & Unexpected Comp
13:39 New Bat Tracking & Bat Speed Leaderboards from Statcast!
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/bat-tracking
19:27 How Should We Apply Bat Speed Information?
25:47 'Squared Up' vs. 'Blasts'
27:59 Players to Target
40:14 A Tool to Use for 'Buy High' Players?
44:44 Learning From Good Players Without 'Ideal' Swing Speed & Length
52:11 Robert Gasser's Debut & Where the Money Went
1:04:13 Other Bids & Frequently Dropped Players
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Eno, Trevor and DVR discuss an all-time no-hitter jinx, Willson Contreras' injury and the sharp increase in catcher's interference around baseball, pitchers going through role changes in 2024 -- and who they would like to see make a switch in the future -- plus their game plan for hitters facing Pirates pitcher Jared Jones.
Rundown
1:30 An All-Time Great No-Hitter Jinx?
5:48 Willson Contreras' Injury & The Rise of Catcher's Interference
15:05 Maybe Just Stop Erasing the Batter's Box?
19:48 Is It Time to Regular the Sliding Mitt?
25:41 Switching Roles Between Starting & Relieving
31:41 Adrian Morejón & Needing to Fix Splits Before Becoming a Starter?
36:00 From Long Relief to the Rotation (Bryse Wilson)
40:53 Luke Weaver's Success in the Bullpen
52:06 Game Planning to Hit Jared Jones
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno and DVR discuss the highly-anticipated debut of Paul Skenes, set for Saturday against the Cubs, before digging into a deep list of news items including an injury for Christian Encarnacion-Strand, a quick return to Nashville for Tyler Black following Christian Yelich's activation from the IL, Taj Bradley's return to health, and the triumphant return of Prospect of the Week.
Rundown
0:57 Paul Skenes is Joining the Pirates! Rest of Season Expectations?
9:14 Christian Encarnacion-Strand: On IL with Fractured Wrist
20:06 Christian Yelich's Return Bumps Tyler Black Back to Triple-A
26:50 Finding Replacements for Willson Contreras (Fractured Forearm)
30:22 A Setback for Max Scherzer
33:31 The Rays' Rotation Shuffle: Taj Bradley is Back, Ryan Pepiot to the IL, Shane Baz at Triple-A on Rehab Assignment
46:13 Braxton Garrett: Tread Carefully Upon Activation?
49:42 Project Prospect: Bryan Ramos, Rhett Lowder, Mason Black & Parker Meadows
60:11 Other Waiver Targets to Consider: Jonny DeLuca, Again!
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno, DVR and Britt discuss Walker Buehler's return to the Dodgers' rotation before digging into the four contenders in the AL Central to assess each team's current strengths and weaknesses. Plus, they share a few players they underestimated in the past.
Rundown
0:51 Walker Buehler Returns to the Dodgers' Rotation
4:04 Forays Into Free Agency After Two Tommy John Surgeries
10:57 Buying the Guardians' Early Uptick in Offensive Output?
21:32 Weathering Early Injuries In Minnesota
26:15 If Nothing Else, The Royals Are Interesting Again
33:11 Can the Tigers Fix Their Struggling Hitters?
45:02 Players We Were Wrong About (Exceeded Expectations)
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno and DVR discuss the five-player trade that sent Luis Arraez to the Padres, the Marlins' return from the trade, a few hitters that made significant moves up in DVR's updated hitter rankings, and how aggressively Christian Scott was pursued in weekly leagues after an impressive weekend debut against the Rays.
Rundown
3:35 Luis Arraez Traded to the Padres
8:05 Dillon Head & Betting on Best Long-Term Outcome
19:56 Injuries News & Notes: Trea Turner, Joe Musgrove, Wyatt Langford, Christian Yelich, Grayson Rodriguez
31:46 Is Robert Gasser the Next Pitching Prospect to Get the Call?
36:23 A Few Big Risers in DVR's Updated Hitter Rankings
($): https://theathletic.com/5344859/
44:59 Christian Scott & Massive Weekend Bids
59:59 Frequently Dropped Players From The Weekend
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno, Trevor and DVR discuss Christian Scott ahead of his debut against the Rays, and four surprising starting pitchers that have put up great numbers over the first month-plus of the season. They also examine the unique challenges of hitting in Seattle -- and try to determine why the park consistently boosts strikeouts -- before building a game plan to pitch to Elly De La Cruz.
Rundown
1:10 Christian Scott Debuting Saturday
3:45 Jack Flaherty: Career-Best K%, BB% & SwStr%!
14:07 Spencer Turnbull: Can He Maintain the Elevated K%?
21:48 Tanner Houck’s Breakout
29:38 Is Zack Littell’s Approach Meshing Well in Tampa?
35:42 What Makes Hitting in Seattle So Difficult?
55:15 Building a Game Plan: Elly De La Cruz
Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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Eno and DVR discuss several news items including a trip to the IL for Grayson Rodriguez, the return of two other Baltimore starters, more knee trouble for Byron Buxton, and several rehabbing pitchers. Plus, they examine the missing power from Ronald Acuña Jr. this season, strength of schedule considerations, and several players to consider as waiver-wire targets as the weekend approaches.
Rundown
4:53 News & Notes: Grayson Rodriguez, John Means, Byron Buxton
12:48 Suspensions & Rehab Updates: Shane Baz, Taj Bradley & Walker Buehler
20:11 Ronald Acuña Jr.'s Currently Missing Power
25:13 Factors to Consider in Strength of Schedule
30:52 Fluctuations in Lineup Quality Due to Absences
35:08 Toughest Stuff+ Faced This Season
41:57 Project Prospect: Tyler Black, Jordan Beck, Jackson Jobe, Paul Skenes & Heston Kjerstad
57:24 Weekend Waiver Preview: Wenceel Pérez, Nick Senzel, Jacob Young & Pitching Darts/Matchup Plays
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Eno, DVR and Britt discuss Mike Trout's knee injury, José Abreu's demotion to West Palm Beach, the Twins' unusual home-run celebration, and the newest additions to the City Connect uniform lineup, before taking a look at the Nationals' current rebuilding efforts.
Rundown
1:12 Mike Trout Has a Torn Meniscus; Looked Like He Was 'Back'. Before Injury
9:46 José Abreu Optioned to rookie-level West Palm Beach
18:09 Bring Food to Home-Run Celebrations?
22:22 Thoughts on Mets, Rays City Connects
29:49 How Far Along Is the Nats' Rebuild?
45:21 Early-Season Series of Note: O's-Yankees, Rays-Brewers & Dodgers-D-backs
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e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
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are there baby velociraptors in the background around the 19 min mark?
time stamps so off it annoying
im looking for an eno-saurus anybody seen one?
i never take into account say i take a 3 15 steal guys at the bottom of a draft, the gotcha is, how often will you be willing to start these scrubs anyway? you'll likely get like 5 of those steals! that's why trae turner is extremely valuable, you get all of his steals and he doesn't hurt you in other categories.