美轮美换 The American Roulette

一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客

064 | 美国政府停摆:民主党与共和党的各自算盘

【聊了什么】 美国联邦政府时隔七年再度关门,这不仅是预算之争,更是两党围绕奥巴马医改补贴和行政权力的政治赌博。民主党看似手握医保这一民生王牌,民调也明显占有,为何攻势疲软?特朗普政府在《2025计划》的操盘手Russell Vought的推动下试图借机进一步削弱联邦政府,是否能成功?这场闹剧会像以往一样无疾而终? 本期节目录制于2025年10月4日。 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/2025-government-shutdown-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:00 时隔7年,美国联邦政府再次停摆 02:18 什么是政府关门?“必要”和“非必要”服务如何划分? 05:26 从克林顿、奥巴马到特朗普时期的政府关门 09:13 提出政治要求的一方通常会失败 12:16 本次关门核心争议 13:28 两党各自的政治算盘:为何双方都觉得关门对自己有利? 17:21 - 关门对联邦雇员和公共服务的影响 19:00 预算管理局(OMB)主任Russell Vought想借机削减联邦政府 21:52 奥巴马医改“补贴悬崖”与拜登时期加强版补贴到期问题 30:23 民主党的议题选择:从弱势的移民问题转向强势的医保问题 39:39 民主党攻势为何“雷声大雨点小”?党内分歧与领导层顾虑 42:03 共和党的反击策略:将医保问题与非法移民捆绑 53:20 关门对弗吉尼亚和新泽西州长选举的潜在影响 58:04 为何共和党不愿为预算案废除“冗长辩论”? 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华:媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 The U.S. federal government has shut down again after seven years—this is not merely a budget dispute, but a political gamble between the two parties over Affordable Care Act subsidies and executive power. The Democrats seemingly hold the trump card of healthcare, a vital public concern, and polls are clearly in their favor, so why is their offensive so weak? The Trump administration, driven by Russell Vought, the mastermind behind Project 2025, is attempting to use this opportunity to further weaken the federal government—will they succeed? Will this spectacle fizzle out like previous shutdowns? This episode was recorded on October 4, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/2025-government-shutdown-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:00 After 7 years, the U.S. federal government shuts down again 02:18 What is a government shutdown? How are "essential" and "non-essential" services defined? 05:26 Government shutdowns from the Clinton, Obama, and Trump eras 09:13 The side making political demands typically loses 12:16 Core disputes in this shutdown 13:28 Each party's political calculus: Why do both sides think the shutdown benefits them? 17:21 Impact of the shutdown on federal employees and public services 19:00 OMB Director Russell Vought seeks to use this opportunity to downsize the federal government 21:52 The Affordable Care Act "subsidy cliff" and the expiration of enhanced Biden-era subsidies 30:23 Democrats' issue selection: Shifting from the weak immigration issue to the strong healthcare issue 39:39 Why is the Democrats' offensive "all bark and no bite"? Internal divisions and leadership concerns 42:03 Republican counterattack strategy: Tying healthcare to illegal immigration 53:20 Potential impact of the shutdown on Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections 58:04 Why Republicans are unwilling to eliminate the filibuster for the budget bill 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich:Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer

10-05
01:02:57

番外|「Eddington」里被困住的美国

【聊了什么】 本期节目,我们与播客疲惫娇娃的主播们,聊了Ari Aster的最新电影《爱丁顿》(Eddington)——一部让人看完想骂街,但又忍不住要深度分析的作品。这位以《仲夏夜惊魂》和《遗传厄运》闻名的导演,这次把镜头对准了2020年5月疫情初期的美国小镇,用西部片的外壳包装了一个关于社交媒体如何撕裂社群的恐怖故事。Joaquin Phoenix饰演的老派警长Joe Cross和Pedro Pascal饰演的自由派市长在这个巴掌大的新墨西哥小镇展开政治对决,而真正的赢家却是那个从头到尾都面目模糊的科技巨头——他们要在这里建数据中心。我们从这部极具争议性的电影聊开去,探讨了BLM运动的社交媒体化、取消文化的游戏规则、以及阴谋论如何在小镇邻里间传播。最终发现,当所有人都在网上吵成一团的时候,真正的危机——AI和大科技公司——已经悄悄占领了现实世界。 本期节目录制于2025年9月7日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:12 - Vibe Shift:从Covid到现在的时代精神转向 03:44 - Ari Aster这一次拍了个什么片? 07:57 - 小镇警长和自由派精英的对决导演拉偏架了吗? 16:57 - BLM运动的社交媒体化和"good trouble"的商品化 23:34 - 社交媒体游戏规则如何让所有人"吃相难看" 35:36 - 创伤如何成为舆论场的货币 40:07 - 小蓝的"假新闻田野调查" 46:31 - 电影结局的虚无主义倾向 49:31 - "SolidGoldMagikarp"彩蛋 53:30 - AI数据中心对美国小镇的真实影响 59:24 - 艺术家有权创作"残忍"艺术吗? 1:11:12 - 爱丁顿里的真实社会议题 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 小杨:疲惫娇娃主播 一芳:疲惫娇娃主播 小蓝:新新人类主播 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 This episode we dove into Ari Aster's latest film "Eddington"—a movie that'll make you want to throw things at the screen, but also can't stop you from obsessively analyzing every frame. The director behind "Midsommar" and "Hereditary" sets his sights on a fictional small American town during the early pandemic chaos of May 2020, wrapping a horror story about social media tearing communities apart in Western film genre. Joaquin Phoenix's old-school sheriff Joe Cross goes head-to-head with Pedro Pascal's liberal mayor in this tiny New Mexico town, while the real winner turns out to be the faceless tech giant that's been planning to build a data center there all along. We used this deeply polarizing film to unpack everything from how BLM got weaponized on social media, to the toxic rules of cancel culture, to how conspiracy theories spread like wildfire through small-town neighbor networks. The ending is both alarming and defeatist: while everyone was busy fighting online, the real crisis—AI and Big Tech—had already quietly taken over. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:12 - Vibe Shift: Zeitgeist transformation from pandemic to now 03:44 - Film plot overview: Political showdown in a New Mexico town 07:57 - Did Ari Aster put his thumb on the scale in the fight between the sheriff and the mayor 16:57 - The social media-ization of BLM and commodification of "good trouble" 23:34 - How social media rules make everyone look bad 35:36 - How trauma becomes currency in the discourse 40:07 - Xiao Lan's "fake news field research" 46:31 - The film's nihilistic ending 49:31 - "SolidGoldMagikarp" Easter egg 52:18 - Real impact of AI data centers on American small towns 59:24 - Do artists have the right to create "cruel" art? 1:11:12 - Real social issues plaiguing today's America in "Eddington" 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 小杨 (Xiao Yang): Host of 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink 一芳 (Yi Fang): Host of 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink 小蓝 (Xiao Lan): Host of 新新人类 PixelPerfect The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.

09-30
01:21:58

063 | 特朗普H-1B新规:合法移民的政治困境 Trump's War on H-1B Visas

【聊了什么】 9月19日,特朗普政府突然宣布的H-1B签证的新政策在科技行业、留学生、工作签证社群中掀起滔天巨浪。高达十万美元的申请费、语焉不详的条文、朝令夕改的澄清,让无数人的职业规划与人生轨迹迅速陷入了巨大的不确定性。 当特朗普政府反移民的大刀砍向合法移民,特朗普一贯的“混乱治理”背后又有怎样的政治算计?天价“过路费”将如何重塑美国的人才竞争格局?与此同时推出的“黄金卡”又预示着怎样的未来?本期节目我们紧急解析这场H1B风暴的来龙去脉与影响。 本期节目录制于2025年9月21日。 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/h1b-chaos-trump-immigration-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:30 特朗普政府H-1B新政引发的混乱和时间线 07:27 分析特朗普政府的TACO风格及其与第一任期的相似之处 08:03 探讨科技公司和马斯克在H-1B新政风波中的反应与角色 11:55 H-1B签证的起源、90年代的黄金期及后续的演变与困境 15:03 MAGA民粹派与硅谷保守派在H-1B议题上的根本冲突 16:23 为何拿H-1B开刀?分析合法移民群体在政治上的“边缘”地位 19:43 H-1B体系的滥用问题与改革的必要性 22:22 特朗普新政的“一刀切”象征意义大于实际改革 25:28 “禁穆令”判例和总统在移民事务上的巨大权力 29:02 特朗普的交易式思维 30:39 小布什、奥巴马时期综合性移民改革的历次尝试与失败 40:45 H-1B新政对留学生传统留美路径的冲击 42:13 对科技行业的冲击,初创公司与科技巨头的不同境遇 48:11 对印度、中国等移民来源国经济与人才流动的长远影响 51:39 特朗普政府的“黄金卡”项目:明码标价的移民新模式 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华:媒体人 游天龙:《选·美》栏目创始人之一,美国政治的资深门外汉。 【 What We Talked About】 On September 19th, the Trump administration's sudden announcement of new H-1B visa policies sent shockwaves through the tech industry, international student communities, and work visa holders. With application fees soaring to $100,000, vague and ambiguous provisions, and constantly shifting clarifications, countless people's career plans and life trajectories have been plunged into massive uncertainty. As the Trump administration's anti-immigration sword strikes at legal immigration, what political calculations lie behind Trump's signature "governance through chaos"? How will these exorbitant "toll fees" reshape America's talent competition landscape? What future does the simultaneously introduced "Golden Card" program portend? In this episode, we urgently analyze the origins and impacts of this H-1B storm. This episode was recorded on September 21, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/h1b-chaos-trump-immigration-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:30 The chaos and timeline triggered by the Trump administration's new H-1B policies 07:27 Analysis of the Trump administration's TACO style and similarities with his first term 08:03 Exploring tech companies' and Elon Musk's reactions and roles in the H-1B policy storm 11:55 The origins of H-1B visas, the golden age of the 90s, and subsequent evolution and challenges 15:03 The fundamental conflict between MAGA populists and Silicon Valley conservatives on H-1B issues 16:23 Why target H-1B? Analyzing legal immigrants' politically "marginalized" status 19:43 Abuse issues in the H-1B system and the necessity for reform 22:22 Trump's new policy: "one-size-fits-all" approach more symbolic than substantive reform 25:28 The "Muslim Ban" precedent and presidential powers over immigration matters 29:02 Trump's transactional thinking 30:39 Repeated attempts and failures at comprehensive immigration reform during the Bush and Obama eras 40:45 Impact of new H-1B policies on international students' traditional pathways to staying in the US 42:13 Impact on the tech industry: different fates for startups versus tech giants 48:11 Long-term effects on economies and talent flows of immigrant source countries like India and China 51:39 The Trump administration's "Golden Card" program: A new immigration model with explicit price tags 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 游天龙 (Tinalong You): Co-founder of iAmElection, seasoned outside observer of American politics 【拓展链接 The Links】 https://podcast.theamericanroulette.com/episodes/border-crisis-immigration-reform https://shop.vistopia.com.cn/article?article_id=833225&share_uid=DjMtk https://shop.vistopia.com.cn/article?article_id=838725&share_uid=rYoKq https://theamericanroulette.com/mei-guo-h-1bxin-zheng-jiang-shen-ke-ying-xiang-zhong-mei-ke-ji-xing-ye-fa-zhan/ https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-h1b-ban/

09-22
58:15

062 | 查理·柯克之死与美国政治暴力新常态 Killing of Charlie Kirk

【聊了什么】 9月10日,美国保守派青年运动领袖、TPUSA创始人查理·柯克遇刺身亡,震动全美。一个没有任何公职的“网红”,为何能成为特朗普核心圈层的“造王者”,撬动上亿美元资金,并让共和党精英、金主和普通年轻人为之倾倒? 本期节目深入剖析查理·柯克的崛起,分析他如何将网红传播、校园组织和金主筹款融为一体,打造出独特的政治影响力机器。他的遇刺,又将如何影响特朗普主义和美国保守派运动的走向? 本期节目录制于2025年9月13日。 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/charlie-kirk-violence-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:34 查理·柯克遇刺事件回顾 03:39 柯克为何有如此大的影响力和2024年大选中的关键作用 06:30 柯克的三大核心能力:与年轻人沟通、构建组织网络、向金主筹款 09:09 TPUSA如何构建覆盖美国学校的组织网络 12:10 柯克政治对特朗普的影响和保守派内部的张力 20:07 TPUSA如何建立起校园政治网络 43:58 柯克的思想转变:从自由意志主义者到特朗普民粹主义者,再到基督教民族主义者 48:58 柯克 vs. 万斯 52:32 枪击案发生后的信息真空下的各种猜测与媒体的矛盾报道 54:20 枪手:一个被网络亚文化和游戏烂梗塑造的“extremely online”的青年 56:55 FBI局长Kash Patel的争议 1:00:52 当政治暴力成为一种“行为艺术”和“线下烂梗” 1:05:54 犹他州州长Spencer Cox的反应 1:09:04 这会是美国政治的“国会纵火案”吗? 1:14:09 TPUSA的未来:柯克死后,这个高度依赖其个人魅力的组织能否持续? 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华:媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 On September 10th, the assassination of Charlie Kirk, leader of the American conservative youth movement and founder of TPUSA, sent shockwaves across the nation. How did an 'influencer' with no public office become a 'kingmaker' in Trump's inner circle, leveraging hundreds of millions of dollars and captivating Republican elites, donors, and young people alike? This episode provides an in-depth analysis of Charlie Kirk's rise, examining how he integrated influencer-style communication, campus organizing, and major donor fundraising to build a unique political influence machine. How will his assassination impact the future of Trumpism and the American conservative movement? This episode was recorded on September 13, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/charlie-kirk-violence-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:34 A review of the Charlie Kirk assassination incident 03:39 Why Kirk had such immense influence and his key role in the 2024 election 06:30 Kirk's three core abilities: communicating with young people, building organizational networks, and fundraising from major donors 09:09 How TPUSA built an organizational network covering American schools 12:10 Kirk's political influence on Trump and the internal tensions within the conservative movement 20:07 How TPUSA established its campus political network 43:58 Kirk's ideological evolution: from a libertarian to a Trump populist, and then to a Christian nationalist 48:58 Kirk vs. Vance 52:32 The information vacuum after the shooting: various speculations and contradictory media reports 54:20 The shooter: An "extremely online" youth shaped by internet subcultures and toxic gaming memes 56:55 The controversy surrounding FBI Director Kash Patel 1:00:52 When political violence becomes a form of "performance art" and an "offline toxic meme" 1:05:54 The reaction of Utah Governor Spencer Cox 1:09:04 Could this be the "Reichstag fire" of American politics? 1:14:09 The future of TPUSA: After Kirk's death, can this organization, highly dependent on his personal charisma, survive? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich:Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer

09-14
01:25:53

061 | 选区重划的潘多拉魔盒和纽森的抽象 Fighting Fire with Fire: Redistricting and the New Political Playbook

【聊了什么】 夏天通常是美国政治新闻周期比较缓慢的季节,但今年夏天的新闻并不少。在夏天的尾巴,“特朗普病危”的谣言突然在社交媒体上传播,暴露了“老皇帝”和“新太子”的微妙关系。与此同时,一场争夺国会控制权的战争已在地图上打响。从德州共和党的坚决出手,到加州民主党的强硬反制,两党围绕选区划分展开了极限攻防。这场“以火攻火”的对决将如何收场?加州州长纽森模仿特朗普的“烂梗”战术,是奇招还是险棋? 本期节目录制于9月1日。 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/redistricting-texas-california-newsom-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 02:51 特朗普健康状况 10:52 进入本期核心——国会选区重划之争 12:04 什么是Gerrymandering?从历史起源到当代实践 15:50 “一人一票”原则的法律演进 21:49 “公平”的困境:独立委员会、党派利益与政治地理的冲突 36:11 《投票权法案》(VRA)的角色 46:31 德州战场:共和党如何通过重划选区谋求5个新增席位 53:05 加州反击:纽森领导的“以牙还牙”策略及其公投挑战 1:01:30 全国军备竞赛:两党在各州选区的未来布局与潜在战场 1:09:13 模仿还是超越?加州州长纽森的“网红”政治策略分析 1:21:25 民主党的未来路线之争:效仿特朗普还是坚持传统? 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Lokin:美国法学院毕业生,即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 小华:媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 Summer is usually a slower season for the American political news cycle, but there has been no shortage of news this summer. At the tail end of the summer, a rumor that "Trump is critically ill or dead" suddenly spread on social media, exposing the delicate relationship between the "old emperor" and the "new prince." Meanwhile, a battle for control of Congress has already begun on the electoral map. From the Texas Republican Party's move to the California Democratic Party's ountermeasures, the two parties have engaged in an extreme offense and defense over redistricting. How will this "fighting fire with fire" showdown end? Is California Governor Newsom's tactic of imitating Trump a brilliant move or a risky gamble? This episode was recorded on September 1st. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/redistricting-texas-california-newsom-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 02:51 Trump's Health Condition 10:52 The Core Topic of This Episode: The Battle Over Congressional Redistricting 12:04 What is Gerrymandering? From its Historical Origins to Modern Practices 15:50 The Legal Evolution of the "One Person, One Vote" Principle 21:49 The Dilemma of "Fairness": The Conflict Between Independent Commissions, Partisan Interests, and Political Geography 36:11 The Role of the Voting Rights Act (VRA) 46:31 The Texas Battlefield: How the Republican Party Aims to Gain 5 New Seats Through Redistricting 53:05 California's Counterattack: Newsom's "Eye for an Eye" Strategy and its Referendum Challenge 1:01:30 A Nationwide Arms Race: The Two Parties' Future Strategies and Potential Battlegrounds in State Districts 1:09:13 Imitation or Transcendence? An Analysis of California Governor Newsom's "Influencer" Political Strategy 1:21:25 The Democratic Party's Debate Over its Future Path: Imitate Trump or Stick to Tradition? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich:Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 【The Links】 If Redistricting Goes as Expected, Which Party Will Come Out Ahead? https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/31/upshot/redistricting-analysis-2026-midterms.html

09-07
01:31:26

番外 | 有效加速主义与重塑世界:一部电影聊聊硅谷精英的上帝情结 Mountainhead and Silicon Valley's God Complex

【聊了什么】 本期节目,我们与播客「疲惫娇娃」和「新新人类」的主播们,从HBO电影《Mountainhead》聊起,深入剖析硅谷权力图景的深刻变迁。当科技巨头们手握财富与数据,他们追逐的下一个目标是什么?从「有效加速主义」的兴起到意识形态的「宗教化」,我们探讨这套被精心包装的科技黑话背后,究竟是通向人类未来的乌托邦,还是满足个人权力与永生欲望的古老游戏。 欢迎关注友台疲惫娇娃和新新人类。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 03:39 我们最喜欢的编剧把我们的推特故事线拍成电影了 08:15 四位主角是如何“缝合”现实中的硅谷大佬们? 15:56 硅谷意识形态的转变:从商业逻辑到宗教信仰 32:29 科技大佬的权力渴望与“大教堂”、“创始人主权”、“Luxury Belief” 42:30 渴望权力,却又想逃避责任的Tech Bro文化 54:29 警惕权力的新外衣与我们应有的警惕 【拓展链接 The Links】 小华提到的漫画:“参议院的老板们”——1889 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 小杨:疲惫娇娃主播 花酱:疲惫娇娃主播 一闻:新新人类主播 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 In this episode, we join forces with the hosts of the podcasts 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink and 新新人类 PixelPerfect to dive into HBO’s Mountainhead and examine the shifting power dynamics in Silicon Valley. When tech giants already hold vast wealth and data, what are they after next? From the rise of “Effective Accelerationism” to the growing religiosity of tech ideologies, we explore whether this carefully packaged tech jargon points to a utopian future for humanity—or merely masks an age-old game of personal power and the desire for immortality. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 03:39 Our favorite screenwriter turns our Twitter storylines into a movie 08:15 How the four protagonists are “stitched together” from real-life Silicon Valley moguls 15:56 The ideological shift in Silicon Valley: from business logic to religious belief 32:29 Tech elites’ thirst for power: “The Cathedral,” “Founder Sovereignty,” and “Luxury Beliefs” 42:30 The Tech Bro dilemma—craving power while dodging responsibility 54:29 The new disguise of power and why we must remain vigilant 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 小杨 (Xiao Yang): Host of 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink 花酱 (Hana Chan): Host of 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink 一闻 (Yiwen): Host of 新新人类 PixelPerfect The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.

09-01
01:02:42

060 | 2025高院判决盘点:「礼崩乐坏」或许才是常态 2025 Supreme Court Rulings

【聊了什么】 在特朗普2.0时代,高院6比3的保守派多数已成定局。面对特朗普政府在行政权上的不断扩张和对司法独立底线的不断试探,高院是如何回应的?最高法院是美国民主的最后一道防线,还是行政权力的橡皮图章? 本期节目中,我们与两位嘉宾复盘最高法院近期的关键判决,剖析其对美国政治与社会的深远影响。 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/scotus-rulings-2025-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 03:05 高院年度盘点背景介绍:特朗普第二任期与6比3的保守派多数 05:26 批判“3-3-3”法院的说法 11:10 首席大法官罗伯茨的个人议程与困境 15:05 宪法、政策与司法审查:法院角色的理论探讨 21:27 Trump v. CASA 与出生公民权 41:01 “影子卷宗”(Shadow Docket)的兴起及其影响 46:41 影子卷宗案例:移民与行政权力案件 53:01 从高院判决看总统制与议会制的差异 64:43 LGBTQ权益与父母权利的冲突 72:48 阿里托的愤怒与杰克逊的“末日预言” 83:24 高院的未来:合法性危机与下任期展望 95:34 重新审视法院角色 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Lokin:美国法学院毕业生,即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Nancy:普林斯顿大学政治学博士生,耶鲁法学院法律博士 品达:美国政治观察人士 【 What We Talked About】 In the era of Trump 2.0, a 6-3 conservative majority on the Supreme Court is a settled reality. How has the Court responded to the Trump administration's continuous expansion of executive power and its constant testing of the boundaries of judicial independence? Is the Supreme Court the last line of defense for American democracy, or a mere rubber stamp for executive authority? In this episode, we are joined by two guests to review the Supreme Court's recent key decisions and analyze their profound impact on American politics and society. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/scotus-rulings-2025-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 03:05 Background for the Supreme Court's Year in Review: Trump's Second Term and the 6-3 Conservative Majority 05:26 Critiquing the "3-3-3" Court Theory 11:10 Chief Justice Roberts's Personal Agenda and Dilemmas 15:05 Constitution, Policy, and Judicial Review: A Theoretical Exploration of the Court's Role 21:27 Trump v. CASA and Birthright Citizenship 41:01 The Rise of the "Shadow Docket" and Its Impact 46:41 Shadow Docket Cases: Immigration and Executive Power 53:01 Presidential vs. Parliamentary Systems as Seen Through Supreme Court Rulings 64:43 The Conflict Between LGBTQ Rights and Parental Rights 72:48 Justice Alito's Anger and Justice Jackson's "Doomsday Prophecy" 83:24 The Future of the Supreme Court: Legitimacy Crisis and a Look Ahead to the Next Term 95:34 Reexamining the Role of the Court 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Nancy:Princeton Politics PhD student, Yale Law School graduate Pinda:American political enthusiast 【The Links】 Trump v. CASA, Inc. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a884_8n59.pdf Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a1153_2co3.pdf Mahmoud v. Taylor https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24-297_4f14.pdf A. A. R. P. v. Trump https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a1007_g2bh.pdf Skrmetti v. United States https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/23-477_2cp3.pdf Trump v. Wilcox https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a966_1b8e.pdf KBJ's footnote 12 in Stanley v. City of Sanford, Florida https://abovethelaw.com/2025/06/neil-gorsuch-starts-some-supreme-court-drama-ketanji-brown-jackson-ends-it/ How the Transgender Rights Movement Bet on the Supreme Court and Lost https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/19/magazine/scotus-transgender-care-tennessee-skrmetti.html Sarah McBride on Why the Left Lost on Trans Rights https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-sarah-mcbride.html Lawless https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Lawless/Leah-Litman/9781668054628

08-25
01:45:35

059 | 美国媒体的分水岭时刻 This is America's Watershed Moment

【聊了什么】 2025年是美国媒体行业的分水岭之年。特朗普重返白宫,不仅没有再次给媒体续命,反而加速了传统媒体的衰落,他通过诉讼、监管等多种手段深刻影响了派拉蒙等传媒巨头的商业决策,共和党也掀起了对公共广播的资金围剿。与此同时,WBD、Comcast等集团纷纷拆分传统有线电视业务,科技新贵入主好莱坞,一个旧时代正被加速终结。这期节目中,我们又请来了杨一,一起深入剖析美国媒体的未来将走向何方。 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/america-media-watershed-moment-trump-transcript 【加入杨一的花园 · 会员计划】 8月31日前加入「杨一的花园 · 会员计划」,成为「联结者」,可以使用优惠码MLMH10,立享首年9折优惠。 美轮美换付费会员加入「杨一的花园」,享首年8折优惠,请登陆美轮美换网站了解兑换方式。 https://yangyigarden.com 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:38 「杨一的花园 · 会员计划」 02:23 AAJA记者年会观察:AI、创作者经济与行业变革 12:00 派拉蒙合并案中的特朗普因素与政治博弈 21:57 Colbert深夜秀的落幕与喜剧形态的演变 33:19 WBD、Comcast为何纷纷拆分有线电视业务? 39:56 国会停止拨款,美国公共广播(NPR/PBS)何去何从? 48:33 默多克与特朗普因《华尔街日报》报道再现裂痕 55:36 为何说2025年是美国媒体真正的分水岭? 61:17 未来挑战:AI、“Google Zero”与创作者经济的冲击 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 杨一:旅英媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 2025 is a watershed year for the American media industry. The return of Trump to the White House, rather than reviving the media, has accelerated the decline of traditional outlets. Through litigation, regulation, and other measures, he has profoundly influenced the business decisions of media giants like Paramount, while the Republican party has intensified its campaign to defund public broadcasting. Concurrently, conglomerates such as WBD and Comcast are spinning off their traditional cable TV businesses, and new tech money is moving into Hollywood, rapidly bringing an end to an old era. In this episode, we are once again joined by Yang Yi to conduct an in-depth analysis of where the future of American media is headed. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/america-media-watershed-moment-trump-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:38 Yang Yi's Garden · Membership Program 02:23 Observations from the AAJA Convention: AI, the Creator Economy, and Industry Transformation 12:00 The Trump Factor and Political Maneuvering in the Paramount Merger Case 21:57 The End of Colbert's Late Show and the Evolution of Comedy Formats 33:19 Why Are WBD and Comcast Spinning Off Their Cable TV Businesses? 39:56 With Congress Cutting Off Funding, What's Next for America's Public Broadcasting (NPR/PBS)? 48:33 Murdoch and Trump Rift Resurfaces Over a Wall Street Journal Report 55:36 Why 2025 is the True Watershed Year for American Media 61:17 Future Challenges: The Impact of AI, "Google Zero," and the Creator Economy 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Yang Yi: Journalist based in London

08-11
01:07:07

058 | 自己人变成深层政府?从爱泼斯坦风暴到“大而美法案”的政治算计 Did Trump Become the Deep State?

【聊了什么】 一场始料未及的风暴正席卷特朗普的第二任期。曾被MAGA选民寄予厚望、用以清算“深层政府”的“爱泼斯坦客户名单”,却被特朗普自己的司法部宣告“不存在”,瞬间引爆其基本盘的信任危机。这究竟是一次拙劣的政治操作,还是一场旨在掩盖更惊人真相的阴谋?司法部长邦迪会成为第一个被献祭的内阁成员吗? 与此同时,共和党在国会强力通过了标志性的“大而美法案”,将企业减税永久化,却把对医疗补助等福利的削减推迟到了中期选举之后。这一系列操作背后,是传统共和党建制派的胜利,还是特朗普主义的策略性妥协? 作为回应,曾与特朗普短暂结盟的马斯克,因不满法案中的新能源政策和财政赤字问题,高调宣布成立“美国党”。这究竟是撼动美国两党政治的开始,还是又一个亿万富翁的政治幻想? 本期节目录制于2025年7月13日美国东部时间晚间10点左右。 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/jeffrey-epstein-big-beautiful-bill-elon-musk-america-party-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:01:53 特朗普第二任期的首个大危机:“爱泼斯坦文件”风波始末 01:05 司法部长邦迪为何“犯错”?MAGA支持者为何愤怒? 14:25 从爱泼斯坦到外星人:特朗普选民的独特关注点 16:41 进入正题:国会通过“大而美法案” 18:00 立法博弈:为何众议院直接“吞下”了更激进的参议院版本? 26:38 “过两年我们就赢回来了”:美国政治“摆烂心态”的新常态 35:00 法案里的“惊喜”:为何要对职业赌徒的税收下重手? 38:29 “大而美法案”之外的战场:共和党计划在德州重划选区 59:21 法案的真实影响:医疗补助削减与中期选举的“甩锅”大赛 65:00 共和党的“老内核”:为何企业减税被永久化? 73:22 马斯克成立“美国党”:撼动两党制还是政治幻想? 74:41 财政保守,社会中间:为何马斯克的政党找不到选民? 80:00 第三党的“宿命”:为何在美国成立新政党如此困难? 90:45 政治抱负与商业利益:马斯克无法摆脱的政府依赖 92:05 “亿万富翁救世主”心态:马斯克的政治实验能走多远? 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华:媒体人 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 An unforeseen storm is sweeping through Trump's second term. The "Epstein client list," once seen by MAGA voters as the key to a reckoning with the "deep state," has been declared "nonexistent" by Trump's own Department of Justice, instantly sparking a crisis of trust with his base. Is this a clumsy political maneuver, or a conspiracy to hide a more shocking truth? Will Attorney General Bondi be the first cabinet member to be sacrificed? Meanwhile, Republicans in Congress have powered through the landmark "One Big Beautiful Bill," making corporate tax cuts permanent while delaying cuts to social benefits like Medicaid until after the midterm elections. Is this move a victory for the traditional GOP establishment, or a strategic compromise of Trumpism? In response, Elon Musk, once briefly allied with Trump, has loudly announced the formation of the "American Party," citing his dissatisfaction with the bill's new energy policies and the ballooning fiscal deficit. Is this the beginning of a shake-up of America's two-party system, or just another billionaire's political fantasy? This episode was recorded around 10 PM ET on July 13, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/jeffrey-epstein-big-beautiful-bill-elon-musk-america-party-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:01:53 Trump's Second-Term Crisis: The "Epstein Files" Fiasco 01:05 Why Did AG Bondi "Blunder"? Why MAGA Supporters Are Furious 14:25 From Epstein to Aliens: The Unique Interests of Trump's Voters 16:41 The Main Story: Congress Passes the "One Big Beautiful Bill" 18:00 Legislative Games: Why the House "Swallowed" the Senate's More Radical Bill 26:38 "We'll Win It Back in Two Years": The New Normal of Political Apathy 35:00 A Surprise in the Bill: Why a Crackdown on Professional Gamblers? 38:29 Beyond the Bill: The GOP's Plan to Redistrict Texas 59:21 The Bill's Real Impact: Medicaid Cuts and the Midterm Blame Game 65:00 The GOP's "Old Guard" DNA: Why Corporate Tax Cuts Were Made Permanent 73:22 Musk Founds the "American Party": A Political Shake-up or Fantasy? 74:41 Fiscally Conservative, Socially Centrist: Why Musk's Party Can't Find Voters 80:00 The Fate of Third Parties: Why It's So Hard to Launch a New Party in the U.S. 90:45 Political Ambitions vs. Business Interests: Musk's Inescapable Reliance on the Government 92:05 The "Billionaire Savior" Complex: How Far Can Musk's Political Experiment Go? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich:Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. 【The Links】 https://www.wsj.com/politics/trump-jeffrey-epstein-birthday-letter-we-have-certain-things-in-common-f918d796?mod=hp_lead_pos7

07-18
01:35:37

番外 | 纽约地铁为什么这么破 Why is NYC subway system so bad

【聊了什么】 在上一期的节目中,我们讨论了刚刚赢得民主党纽约市长初选的新生力量马姆达尼。我们在播客中也提到,如果马姆达尼能够在11月击败其他候选者,成为纽约市长的话,将不可避免地要和州长、市议会、州议会、NYPD等等多方势力和利益团体打交道,来实现自己的承诺,也不可避免的要进行妥协。马姆达尼在竞选中喊出了要实现纽约公交免费的目标,如果要实现这一目标,就需要和掌管纽约地铁、公交和通勤铁路的纽约大都会运输署,也就是MTA打交道。 纽约作为的全球最知名的大都会、全美最大城市,却承载着一套“老旧且脆弱”的公共交通基础设施。技术和资金壁垒固然是常见的制约因素,但这座城市独特的制度基因才是影响基建发展的关键。 在这期番外节目中,嘉宾罗雨翔就从纽约地铁为什么这么烂讲起,分析了纽约城市发展背后的政治与经济。这期番外播客剪辑于第214期纽约文化沙龙的录音,由罗雨翔于2025年4月13日主讲。罗雨翔此前也做过另一期和纽约相关的节目《纽约的房价到底为什么这么高?》,两期播客都发布在我们的友台《选修课》上,也欢迎大家前去收听,并关注这档播客。 如果你对这期节目内容感兴趣,请关注主讲人罗雨翔的新书《创造大都会——纽约空间与制度观察》!国内各大平台均有销售(淘宝、当当、京东),海外用户请使用这个链接购买。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:02:00 纽约的地铁为何如此糟糕?基础设施背后的政治经济学 00:09:09 从电影《小丑》看纽约地铁问题的历史渊源 00:11:54 政府预算里的“两本账”如何影响了城市基建? 00:12:48 地铁运营权转移给州政府背后的政治经济学博弈 00:20:45 拉瓜迪亚机场为何没有地铁快线?社区利益与公共项目的冲突 00:25:14 环境保护法如何导致公共建设效率降低? 00:35:38 纽约街道规划如何成就了城市的宜居性? 00:39:56 “曼哈顿网格规划”的历史意义与经济逻辑 00:49:11 “商业改进区”如何推动纽约街区建设? 00:58:04 “公共与私人合作”模式的优势与隐患 【我们是谁】 选修课 Universus 是一档分享和探讨泛文化话题的中文播客,脱胎于2013年创办的纽约文化沙龙。 我们力求引发对学科方法和视角的认知和思考,而不仅仅是知识的传递。我们在组织活动的过程中积累了一些经验和人脉,尝试打造成年人的博雅教育,并在播客中拓展这样的探索。我们希望审视和反抗无意识的价值规训与随波逐流。我们希望冷酷地剖析自己的偏见,热忱地拥抱多元视角。我们希望去工具化,真诚地感知、理解、创造自己的生活和复杂的世界。我们追随原初的好奇而非代餐式的猎奇。话题可以轻松,方法力求严肃。在《选修课》里,我们互相映照,唤醒失落的维度。 主播: 老赵:理论物理学博士,软件工程师,纽约文化沙龙组织者。 主讲: 罗雨翔:美国注册城市规划师,哈佛大学与伦敦政治经济学院建筑与经济双硕士。现居纽约,参与以及主持北美20余地区的地产开发、区域经济政策与公共领域投资项目。 【 What We Talked About】 This episode dives into an intriguing paradox: New York City, a globally renowned metropolis with robust finances, yet burdened by an aging and fragile subway system. American certified urban planner Yuxiang Luo guides us through the intricate political and economic logic underlying the city's infrastructure issues. From budgetary mechanisms and political negotiations between state and city governments to the pros and cons of public participation systems, we realize infrastructure problems are far more than mere technical or financial issues—they're complex entanglements of institutions, history, and power dynamics. Several thought-provoking questions arise during the discussion: Why is New York, despite its significant financial resources, unable to efficiently invest in its infrastructure? Why does subway management lie in the hands of the state rather than the city government? How can small interest groups exert outsized influence over significant public projects? Is this model protecting public welfare, or is it the fundamental cause behind the inefficiency and high costs of public construction? Is the New York model of public-private cooperation genuinely innovative, or does it carry deep institutional flaws? If you find this episode interesting, please check out our speaker Luo Yuxiang‘s new book 《创造大都会》! 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:02:00 Why is New York’s subway system so bad? The political economy behind infrastructure 00:09:09 Tracing the historical roots of NYC’s subway problems through the movie "Joker" 00:11:54 How do the government’s “two budgets” impact urban infrastructure? 00:12:48 The political-economic game behind transferring subway management to state government 00:20:45 Why doesn’t LaGuardia Airport have a direct rail link? Conflicts between community interests and public projects 00:25:14 How does environmental law reduce efficiency in public construction? 00:35:38 How did New York’s street planning contribute to the city’s livability? 00:39:56 Historical significance and economic logic of the Manhattan grid plan 00:49:11 How do Business Improvement Districts promote neighborhood development in NYC? 00:58:04 Advantages and pitfalls of the public-private partnership model 【Who We Are】 选修课 Universus is a Chinese-language podcast created by the same people who founded the New York Chinese Cultural Salon (纽约文化沙龙)in 2013. The past decade of organizing events and talks put us in a position of creating a sort of liberal arts education experience for those who have left school. We strive to go beyond merely transmitting knowledge to reflecting on complex topics using cross-disciplinary perspectives. We strive to resist conformity, to dissect our own biases, and to embrace diverse schools of thought. Our goal is to help professionals resist becoming just a tool of production, and to understand the world around us in earnest. We let our genuine curiosity be our guide. With a light-hearted tone, we approach each topic seriously. We hope that “选修课 Universus” creates a space to explore lost dimensions. Hosted by: Lao Zhao: PhD in Theoretical Physics, software engineer, and organizer of the New York Cultural Salon. Guest: Luo Yuxiang: U.S. Registered Urban Planner, holding dual master's degrees in Architecture and Economics from Harvard University and the London School of Economics. Currently residing in New York, he has participated in and led over 20 real estate development, regional economic policy, and public domain investment projects across North America.

07-13
01:36:02

057 | 纽约将迎来“社会主义”市长?佐赫兰·马姆达尼的崛起

【聊了什么】 在纽约市长民主党初选中,名不见经传的33岁州议员佐赫兰·马姆达尼(Zohran Mamdani)以惊人的胜利击败了前州长库默(Andrew Cuomo),震惊了美国政坛。马姆达尼是一位自我认同的“民主社会主义者”,他的崛起不仅可能让他成为这个全球金融中心的第一位社会主义者市长,也标志着美国进步派运动取得了历史性的胜利。 从讨论“餐车通胀”(Halalflation),到娴熟地运用各种新媒体策略,Mamdani如何在短短数月内从民调个位数迅速攀升,赢得了这场看似不可能的选战?他提出的冻结租金、全民学前班等政策,在纽约这个贫富差距巨大的城市中获得了怎样的回响?当进步派的理想主义遇上纽约错综复杂的政治现实,他又将面临怎样的挑战? 本期节目中,我们与身在布鲁克林的嘉宾小钟一起,深入剖析的马姆达尼的崛起之路,探讨这场选举背后纽约市的阶级、种族和代际政治变迁。 更正: 播客中提到AOC赢得初选为8年前,实际上是7年前 播客中引用了《纽约时报》的分析,提到18-24岁是初选中比例最大的群体,但此数据在录制之后进行了更正,显示25-34岁的选民所占比例更高。 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-cuomo-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 06:17 精英家庭出身的“草根”候选人马姆达尼 11:00 马姆达尼与AOC的相似之处 15:20 “社会主义者”标签的背后 17:33 Mamdani如何靠社交媒体赢得选战? 25:31 谁在支持Mamdani? 28:43 对变革的渴望:为何选民抛弃建制派? 33:38 前州长库默为何输掉选举? 45:07 马姆达尼的政策蓝图与可行性分析 51:17 理想主义 vs. 政治现实:马姆达尼执政将面临的挑战 57:37 进步派市长的执政困境 01:08:18 马姆达尼如何应对反犹指控 01:17:49 民主党与进步主义的未来与挑战 01:25:22 11月市长选举展望 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华:媒体人 小钟:布鲁克林居民 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 In the New York City Democratic mayoral primary, a little-known 33-year-old State Assemblyman, Zohran Mamdani, defeated former Governor Andrew Cuomo in a stunning upset victory, sending shockwaves through the American political establishment. Mamdani, a self-described 'democratic socialist,' whose rise not only positions him to potentially become the first socialist mayor of the global financial capital but also marks a historic victory for the American progressive movement. From discussing "Halalflation" to adeptly using a range of new media strategies, how did Mamdani, in just a few short months, surge from single digits in the polls to win a race that once seemed impossible? How did his proposals, such as a rent freeze and universal pre-K, resonate in a city marked by a vast wealth gap? And when progressive idealism meets the complex political realities of New York, what challenges lie ahead for him? In this episode, we're joined by our guest Zhong, who is based in Brooklyn, to do a deep dive into Mamdani's rise and discuss the shifting dynamics of class, race, and generational politics in New York City that this election has brought to the forefront. Corrections: In the episode, we mention that AOC's primary win was eight years ago. This was a slip of the tongue; it was actually seven years ago. The episode references a New York Times analysis indicating that the 18-24 age group was the largest demographic in the primary. This data was subsequently updated after our recording, showing that the 25-34 age group actually had a higher turnout. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-cuomo-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 06:17 Zohran Mamdani: A "Grassroots" Candidate with Elite Roots 11:00 The Parallels Between Mamdani and AOC 15:20 Unpacking the "Socialist" Label 17:33 How Mamdani Leveraged Social Media to Victory 25:31 Who is Backing Mamdani? 28:43 A Hunger for Change: Why Voters Abandoned the Establishment 33:38 Why Former Governor Cuomo Lost 45:07 Mamdani's Policy Blueprint and Its Feasibility 51:17 Idealism vs. Reality: The Governing Challenges for Mamdani 57:37 The Governing Dilemma for Progressive Mayors 01:08:18 How Mamdani Navigates Accusations of Antisemitism 01:17:49 The Future of the Progressive Movement within the Democratic Party 01:25:22 Looking Ahead to the November Mayoral Election 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 小钟(Xiao Zhong):Brooklyn resident The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.

07-06
01:35:26

056 | 伊朗、移民、「大而美法案」:特朗普如何重塑美国外交与内政 Trump's Gamble on Iran, Immigration, and the 'One Big Beautiful Bill'

【聊了什么】 在加州洛杉矶,一场大规模移民执法行动引爆了特朗普政府与州政府的激烈对抗,街头抗议随之而来,国民警卫队被联邦强行接管。与此同时,在中东,特朗普下令空袭伊朗核设施,将地区局势推向战争边缘,却又在短短几天内迅速达成停火。而在华盛顿,共和党人寄予厚望的“大而美法案”在参议院遭遇程序性障碍,内部矛盾重重。 这些行动将如何影响美国的内政、外交和即将到来的中期选举? 我们在本期节目中复盘特朗普政府这充满动荡的一个月,探讨了美伊冲突的来龙去脉与特朗普的政治算盘,分析了移民执法行动所引发的社会危机与宪政冲突,并解读了“大而美法案”在参议院推进的最新进展和幕后博弈。 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-iran-immigration-big-beautiful-bill-transcript/ 本期节目录制于6月23日。6月28日,参议院共和党经过超过三小时的激烈辩论后,以51-49的微弱优势通过了“大而美法案”的程序性投票,距离法案正式通过参议院又进一步。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:35 美伊冲突:从升级到迅速降温 03:25 特朗普的“闪电战”:美伊冲突中的政治得失 06:35 美伊冲突下的共和党内部分歧 10:17 总统的战争权力与宪法争议 13:40 民调的悖论:特朗普决策的考量 21:56 洛杉矶移民执法风暴 24:19 罕见之举:特朗普下令联邦化加州国民警卫队 35:02 移民政策的经济后果与政策反复 38:33 州长纽森的强硬应对与民主党的移民难题 47:28 “大而美法案”在参议院遇阻:揭秘“博德洗礼”程序 01:01:35 为何“大而美法案”不受欢迎却必须通过? 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华:媒体人 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 In Los Angeles, California, a large-scale immigration enforcement operation by the Trump administration has ignited a fierce confrontation with the state government. Street protests erupted, and the National Guard was forcibly federalized. Meanwhile, in the Middle East, President Trump ordered airstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, pushing the region to the brink of war, only to broker a swift ceasefire within days. And in Washington, the Republican's much-anticipated "One Big Beautiful Bill" has hit procedural roadblocks in the Senate, revealing deep internal divisions. How will these actions impact America's domestic policy, foreign affairs, and the upcoming midterm elections? In this episode, we recap a turbulent month for the Trump administration. We explore the timeline and political calculus behind the U.S.-Iran conflict, analyze the social and constitutional crises sparked by the immigration enforcement actions, and break down the latest developments and behind-the-scenes maneuvering of the "One Big Beautiful Bill" in the Senate. Podcast Transcript (Paid Members Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-iran-immigration-big-beautiful-bill-transcript/ This episode was recorded on June 23. On June 28, after more than three hours of intense debate, Senate Republicans passed a procedural vote on the "One Big Beautiful Bill" with a narrow 51-49 majority, moving it one step closer to full Senate passage. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:35 The U.S.-Iran Conflict: From Escalation to a Swift Ceasefire 03:25 Trump's "Blitz": Political Gains and Losses in the Iran Conflict 06:35 Republican Divisions in the Wake of the Iran Conflict 10:17 Presidential War Powers and Constitutional Debates 13:40 The Polls Paradox: The Real Considerations Behind Trump's Decisions 21:56 The Immigration Enforcement Storm in Los Angeles 24:19 A Rare Move: Trump Orders the Federalization of the California National Guard 35:02 Economic Fallout and Policy Reversals of Immigration Policies 38:33 Governor Newsom's Tough Stance and the Democrats' Immigration Dilemma 47:28 "One Big Beautiful Bill" Hits a Snag in the Senate: Unpacking the "Byrd Bath" 01:01:35 Why the "Big Beautiful Bill" Must Pass Despite Its Unpopularity 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.

06-29
01:11:00

055 | 特朗普 vs. 哈佛大学 Trump's war on Harvard

【聊了什么】 特朗普政府与美国顶尖高校的对决全面升级。从大幅削减联邦拨款,到以“反犹”为名发起调查,再到撤销哈佛大学招收国际学生的SEVP资格,一系列“富有创意”的行政手段,让数万名国际学生和学者的命运悬于一线,也和可能彻底改变美国高校与联邦政府的关系。 这场风暴的背后,是共和党与精英教育长达十年的积怨,还是特朗普政府目标明确的政治策略?面对相似的压力,为何哥伦比亚大学选择“屈服”,而哈佛大学最终奋起反击? 本期节目,我们与持续报道该事件的记者Ava一起,复盘这场震动美国高等教育界的冲突。 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-war-on-harvard-ivy-league-schools-transcript/ 本期节目录制于6月12日。据《纽约时报》6月21日报道,哈佛大学与特朗普政府本周重启谈判,试图解决双方激烈争议。在本周的白宫会议上,哈佛代表展示了学校在反犹主义、观点多样性和招生方面采取的措施,白宫随后发出信函列出了解决冲突的条件。尽管特朗普在社交媒体上声称「很可能在下周左右宣布协议」,但知情人士表示短期内达成协议的可能性不大。可能的协议框架包括政府恢复部分研究资金并停止法律行动,作为交换,哈佛需在反犹主义和观点多样性问题上采取更积极措施。哈佛官员表示,面对政府持续的资金削减和调查威胁,学校几乎别无选择只能寻求和解,尽管这可能招致支持者对其「妥协」的批评。白宫希望与哈佛的协议能成为其他精英大学与政府达成类似协议的框架。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:00:55 特朗普政府与美国精英高校的冲突全面升级 00:02:33 从“刘丽君”到撤销SEVP:特朗普政府如何对哈佛等高校步步紧逼? 00:05:14 “哥大跪了,哈佛没跪”?——哈佛法律反击背后的策略与无奈 00:12:07 SEVP是什么?特朗普政府如何将移民法条文“武器化”? 00:20:21 “教育极化”:共和党为何将精英高校视为“敌人”? 00:28:48 从希望到麻木:留学生在政治风暴中的真实心态 00:30:55 “合法”与“非法”的距离:当有证移民一夜之间身份不保 00:46:57 薛定谔的身份:美国移民政策的高度技术性与“创意性”打击 01:00:06 美国最好的“出口产品”?——高等教育的价值与危机 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Lokin:美国法学院毕业生,即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 小华:媒体人 曹起曈:青椒,政治行为研究者 Ava:记者,留子,卫报撰稿人 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 The confrontation between the Trump administration and America's top universities has escalated. From drastic cuts to federal funding and launching investigations in the name of combating antisemitism, to revoking Harvard University's SEVP certification for enrolling international students, a series of "creative" administrative measures has left the fate of tens of thousands of international students and scholars hanging in the balance, and could fundamentally alter the relationship between American universities and the federal government. Behind this storm, is it a decade-long resentment from the Republican party towards elite education, or a calculated political strategy by the Trump administration? Faced with similar pressures, why did Columbia University choose to "surrender," while Harvard ultimately fought back? In this episode, we are joined by journalist Ava, who has been covering this story, to break down the conflict that has shaken the world of American higher education. Transcript (Paid Members Exclusive): https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-war-on-harvard-ivy-league-schools-transcript/ This episode was recorded on June 12. According to a June 21 report from The New York Times, Harvard University and the Trump administration have resumed negotiations this week to resolve their intense dispute. In a White House meeting this week, Harvard representatives presented the steps the school has taken on antisemitism, viewpoint diversity, and admissions, and the White House subsequently sent a letter outlining the conditions for resolving the conflict. Although Trump claimed on social media that an agreement is "likely to be announced sometime next week," sources familiar with the matter say a short-term deal is unlikely. A potential agreement framework could include the government restoring some research funding and halting legal actions, in exchange for Harvard taking more aggressive measures on antisemitism and viewpoint diversity. Harvard officials have stated that facing continuous funding cuts and the threat of investigations from the government, the university has little choice but to seek a settlement, even though this may draw criticism from its supporters for "compromising." The White House hopes that an agreement with Harvard can serve as a framework for similar deals with other elite universities. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:00:55 The Trump Administration's Escalating Conflict with Elite U.S. Universities 00:02:33 From "Liu Lijun" to Revoking SEVP: How the Trump Admin Cornered Harvard and Other Universities 00:05:14 "Columbia Caved, Harvard Didn't"? The Strategy and Helplessness Behind Harvard's Legal Fightback 00:12:07 What is SEVP? How the Trump Administration Weaponized Immigration Law 00:20:21 "Educational Polarization": Why the GOP Views Elite Universities as "The Enemy" 00:28:48 From Hope to Numbness: The Real Mindset of International Students in the Political Storm 00:30:55 The Thin Line Between "Legal" and "Illegal": When Documented Immigrants Lose Their Status Overnight 00:46:57 Schrödinger's Status: The Highly Technical and "Creative" Attacks of U.S. Immigration Policy 01:00:06 America's Best "Export"? The Value and Crisis of Higher Education 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School Ava: Journalist and international student, contributor to The Guardian The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. 【The Links】 https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-lede/the-uncertain-future-of-a-chinese-student-at-harvard https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/20/us/politics/harvard-federal-funding-trump.html https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/17pdf/17-965_h315.pdf

06-22
01:06:21

054 | 马斯克和特朗普的关系升空又落地 Trump and Musk’s public blowup

【聊了什么】 2025年6月5日,美国总统特朗普与世界首富马斯克在社交媒体上展开激烈公开争吵,二人的政治联盟正式宣告(暂时)破裂。从马斯克公开抨击共和党的“大而美法案”,到特朗普暗示其患有“特朗普精神错乱综合症”,再到马斯克抛出所谓“爱泼斯坦档案”的重磅炸弹,双方的矛盾在短短一天内迅速激化,隔空骂战不断升级。 本期节目复盘这场引爆舆论的风暴。我们探讨了这场争吵究竟是源于原则之争,还是赤裸裸的利益冲突?马斯克在共和党和MAGA运动中的影响力究竟有多大,他是否高估了自己?这场风暴又将如何影响“大而美”法案的参议院前景。 本期节目录制于2025年6月5日美国东部时间晚间10点左右。 【美轮美换 × 疲惫娇娃线上读书会】 我们最近将与友台《疲惫娇娃》联合举办一场线上读书会活动,这次讨论的是今年的一本新书——《Abundance》。 读书会对美轮美换付费会员免费开放(请使用会员邮箱登录在下方页面获取折扣码),也欢迎大家打赏支持。 详情请见此链接:https://theamericanroulette.com/hui-yuan-huo-dong-mei-lun-mei-huan-x-pi-bei-jiao-wa-xian-shang-du-shu-hui-abundance/ 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:00:36 特朗普与马斯克公开决裂 00:07:11 决裂背后的三种理论:原则之争、利益冲突还是积怨已久? 00:14:04 决裂风波对“大而美法案”的影响:参议院政治博弈与法案前景 00:17:43 意见领袖还是负资产?马斯克的政治影响力与民主党应对策略 00:26:28 马斯克的底牌与共和党内派系斗争 00:39:34 马斯克与政治的“水土不服” 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华:媒体人 曹起曈:青椒,政治行为研究者 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 On June 5, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump and the world's richest man, Elon Musk, erupted into a fierce public dispute on social media, marking the formal (and temporary) rupture of their political alliance. From Musk's public criticism of the Republican "Big Beautiful Bill" to Trump suggesting Musk suffers from "Trump Derangement Syndrome," and then to Musk dropping the bombshell of the so-called "Epstein files," the conflict between the two escalated rapidly within a single day, with their war of words intensifying online. This episode unpacks this firestorm that has captivated public attention. We explore whether this feud stems from a clash of principles or a naked conflict of interest. We assess the true extent of Musk's influence within the Republican Party and the MAGA movement, and whether he overestimated his own standing. Finally, we analyze how this fallout will impact the prospects of the "Big Beautiful Bill" bill in the Senate. This episode was recorded on June 5, 2025, at approximately 10 p.m. U.S. Eastern Time. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:00:36 Trump and Musk's Public Fallout 00:07:11 Three Theories Behind the Fallout: A Clash of Principles, a Conflict of Interest, or a Long-Building Feud? 00:14:04 The Fallout's Impact on the 'Big and Beautiful Bill': Senate Politics and the Bill's Future 00:17:43 An Opinion Leader or a Liability? Musk's Political Influence and the Democrats' Strategy 00:26:28 Musk's Leverage and Republican Infighting 00:39:34 Musk's Awkward Fit in Politics 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich:Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. 【The Links】 https://theamericanroulette.com/elon-musk-donald-trump/

06-06
41:40

053 | 只大不美的“大而美法案” One Big Ugly Bill

【聊了什么】 特朗普2.0执政百天过后,共和党正在国会推动一项被称为“大而美法案”(One Big Beautiful Bill)的一千多页的一揽子法案。这项法案试图将移民、税改、福利等多个领域的政策打包通过,让特朗普的议程永久化。这背后有何深层动机?为何选择在此时以这种方式推进?这项法案的具体内容是什么,又将对美国政治、经济及普通民众产生哪些深远影响? 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/big-beautiful-bill-ugly-transcript/ 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 00:01:00 “大而美法案”(One Big Beautiful Bill)的背景与共和党动机 00:06:48 预算协调程序 (Budget Reconciliation) 详解 00:14:29 为何不单独延续税改,而选择“一揽子”方案? 00:21:12 法案核心:减税措施详解 00:49:31 社会保障与福利改革:Medicaid与SNAP 01:08:16 法案中的开支增加项目 01:10:36 众议院投票的政治动态与特朗普的角色 01:15:54 法案在参议院的前景与挑战 01:22:22 法案对中期选举的潜在影响 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华:媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 Following President Trump 2.0's first 100 days in office, Republicans in Congress are pushing a more than 1,000-page megabill dubbed the "One Big Beautiful Bill." This legislation attempts to bundle policies across multiple domains, including tax reform, welfare, and immigration, aiming to make Trump's agenda permanent. What are the underlying motivations behind this move? Why choose this particular moment and method for advancement? What are the specific contents of this bill, and what profound impacts will it have on American politics, the economy, and ordinary people? Podcast Transcript (Paid Members Exclusive): https://theamericanroulette.com/big-beautiful-bill-ugly-transcript/ 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 00:01:00 The "One Big Beautiful Bill": Background & Republican Motivations 00:06:48 Budget Reconciliation Explained 00:14:29 Why a "Package Deal" Instead of Just Extending Tax Cuts? 00:21:12 Core of the Bill: Tax Cut Measures Explained 00:49:31 Social Security and Welfare Reform: Medicaid & SNAP 01:08:16 Spending Increases in the Bill 01:10:36 Political Dynamics of the House Vote and Trump's Role 01:15:54 The Bill's Prospects and Challenges in the Senate 01:22:22 Potential Impact of the Bill on Midterm Elections 【The Links】 https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1/text https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2025-05/61422-Reconciliation-Distributional-Analysis.pdf https://theamericanroulette.com/tax-on-tips/ https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tax-cuts-2025-budget-reconciliation/ https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/12/opinion/josh-hawley-dont-cut-medicaid.html

05-27
01:30:38

052 | 特朗普的蜜月期结束了,然后呢?Trump's honeymoon is over

【聊了什么】 特朗普2.0执政已过百日,民调下滑与中美关税的戏剧性调整,是否已为他的“蜜月期”画上句号?更核心的问题是:面对持续的冲击,美国的政治与经济体制能否经受住特朗普2.0的考验?政府对民意和市场的反应机制,是依然敏锐,还是日渐迟钝?这位话题不断的总统,其未来的执政重心又将剑指何方? 播客文字稿(付费会员专享):https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-2-0-honeymoon-over-now-what-transcript/ 本期节目录制于5月13日。 【美轮美换 × 疲惫娇娃线上读书会】 我们最近将与友台《疲惫娇娃》联合举办一场线上读书会活动,这次讨论的是今年的一本新书——《Abundance》。 这次读书会分成两期,每期1.5个小时,分别阅读书里的不同章节,并在读书会上一起进行讨论。 读书会对美轮美换付费会员免费开放(请使用会员邮箱登录在下方页面获取折扣码),也欢迎大家打赏支持。 详情请见此链接:https://theamericanroulette.com/hui-yuan-huo-dong-mei-lun-mei-huan-x-pi-bei-jiao-wa-xian-shang-du-shu-hui-abundance/ 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 0:00:00 执政百日:特朗普“蜜月期”结束与“只破不立”的开局 00:03:22 美国政治经济系统在特朗普2.0冲击下的韧性与损伤 00:27:43 特朗普的执政风格、权力运用及潜在“爆点”预测 00:40:51 “大而美丽法案”推进的挑战与共和党内部分歧 00:21:38 民主党应对策略的迷思与自由主义治理有效性质疑 01:05:21 马斯克和DOGE的“休克疗法”及其争议性遗产 01:10:51 特朗普2.0白宫的“宫廷政治”与核心幕僚浮沉 01:23:24 美国中东战略调整与中美关税谈判的戏剧性转折 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Lokin:美国法学院毕业生,即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 【 What We Talked About】 With Trump 2.0 now past the 100-day mark of his presidency, multiple polls indicating a significant decline in his approval ratings, and the recent emergence of dramatic adjustments to US-China tariffs, can we definitively say his honeymoon period is over? Can America's economic and political systems withstand the test of Trump 2.0? Is the government's mechanism for responding to public opinion and the market still effective? And where will the focus of his governance shift next? This episode was recorded on May 13th. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 0:00:00 First 100 Days: Trump's "Honeymoon Period" Ends & An Opening of "All Destruction, No Construction" 00:03:22 America's Political-Economic Systems: Resilience & Damage Under Trump 2.0's Impact 00:27:43 Trump's Governing Style, Use of Power & Predictions of Potential "Flashpoints" 00:40:51 The "One Big Beautiful Bill": Challenges to Passage & Internal GOP Divisions 00:21:38 Democratic Strategy: Dilemmas & Questioning Liberal Governance Effectiveness 01:05:21 Musk's DOGE "Shock Therapy" & Controversial Legacy 01:10:51 Trump 2.0 White House: "Palace Politics" & The Rise and Fall of Core Aides 01:23:24 US Middle East Strategy Shifts & The Dramatic Turn in US-China Tariff Negotiations 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich:Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer

05-18
01:37:02

051 | 加拿大大选:特朗普如何帮助自由党逆风翻盘 How Trump Tipped the Scales for Canada's Liberals Party

【聊了什么】 美国的北方邻国加拿大刚刚经历了一场联邦大选。民调一度大幅落后的自由党,在新党魁、前央行行长马克·卡尼(Mark Carney)的带领下赢得连任,但仅获少数政府;一度被高度看好的保守党及其「小特朗普」式党魁博励志(Pierre Poilievre)痛失好局,本人甚至丢掉了自己的国会议席。 这场「逆风翻盘」背后,特朗普扮演了极不寻常的角色。从挥舞关税大棒,到宣称「加拿大应成为美国第51州」,特朗普的一系列言行如何深刻影响了加拿大选民的情绪和选择?博励志试图模仿的「枫叶MAGA」路线,为何在加拿大行不通? 面对国内的住房危机、通胀压力,以及来自美国的贸易战和威胁和主权挑战,技术官僚卡尼将在「后特鲁多时代」带领加拿大走向何方? 我们请到两位加拿大的朋友昌西和Sagar,一起复盘这场邻国大选。 播客文字稿 https://theamericanroulette.com/canada-election-trump-carney-transcript/ 更正: 卡尼拥有哈佛大学的经济学学士学位(1988年毕业)以及牛津大学的经济学硕士(1993年)和经济学博士学位(1995年),并非哈佛大学的经济学博士。 卡尼于2013年7月1日出任英格兰银行行长,当时他并非英国公民。他是自1694年英格兰银行成立以来第一位担任此职的非英国人。 本期节目录制于5月1日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:34 大选结果:自由党逆风翻盘与特朗普的关键影响 05:05 特鲁多十年回顾:从高光时刻到少数政府困境 29:10 保守党与博励志:「枫叶MAGA」为何在加拿大行不通? 35:36 大选背景:通胀、移民与民粹主义暗流 37:50 代际鸿沟:年轻人右倾与选民议题差异 42:23 博励志个人政治前途未卜 49:24 新民主党惨败:策略投票与政党困境 55:53 保守党未来:内部分裂风险与派系矛盾 59:29 华人等少数族裔选票与选区分析 01:04:50 新总理卡尼:技术官僚的登场与挑战 01:13:52 特朗普时代的美加关系 01:23:41 美加关系的「新常态」与加拿大多边主义外交的未来 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 昌西:曾担任自由党国会党团幕僚 Sagar:全球市场交易员 【 What We Talked About】 Up North, Canada just experienced a dramatic federal election. The Liberal Party, led by new leader and former central bank governor Mark Carney, achieved a stunning comeback despite trailing badly in the polls, securing a minority government. Conversely, the Conservatives, once poised for victory under their Trump-like leader Pierre Poilievre, suffered a major setback, with Poilievre himself losing his seat in Parliament. What role did US President Trump play in this surprising turnaround? His tariff threats and extraordinary claim that Canada to become the 51st U.S. state reverberated across the border. How did this influence Canadian voters? And why did Poilievre's attempt at a "Maple MAGA" strategy fall flat? In the post-Trudeau era, how will the technocratic Mark Carney navigate Canada through its housing crisis, inflation, and the unprecedented pressure – covering trade, threats, and sovereignty – from its southern neighbour? We're joined by two friends with insights from Canada, Chauncey and Sagar, to dissect this pivotal election next door. This episode was recorded on May 1st, 2025. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:34 Election Results: Liberal Comeback & Trump's Key Influence 05:05 Trudeau's Decade: From Highlights to Minority Government Struggles 29:10 Conservatives & Poilievre: Why "Maple MAGA" Failed in Canada? 35:36 Election Context: Inflation, Immigration & Populist Undercurrents 37:50 Generational Divide: Youth Rightward Shift & Voter Issue Priorities 42:23 Poilievre's Uncertain Political Future 49:24 NDP's Crushing Defeat: Strategic Voting & Party Struggles 55:53 Conservative Future: Risk of Internal Splits & Factionalism 59:29 Analysis: Chinese & Other Minority Votes in Key Ridings 01:04:50 New PM Carney: The Technocrat's Arrival & Challenges 01:13:52 US-Canada Relations in the Trump Era 01:23:41 The "New Normal" for US-Canada Ties & Canada's Multilateral Future 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Chauncey: Former staffer for the Liberal Party's parliamentary caucus Sagar: Global Markets Trader 【The Links】 https://theinitium.com/zh-hans/opinion/20250113-canada-trudeau-resign

05-04
01:31:49

050 | 特朗普关税风暴:草台班子的大棋?Trump's Tariff Storm: A Ragtag Crew's Grand Strategy?

【聊了什么】 特朗普在4月2日「解放日」突然宣布对全球主要贸易伙伴加征高额「对等关税」,引发金融市场剧烈动荡。在短短一周内经历了180度大转弯——对除中国外的多数国家暂停征收额外关税,但对华关税则进一步升级。 这背后究竟发生了什么?是特朗普政府深思熟虑的「一盘大棋」,旨在重塑全球贸易格局、打击特定国家?还是白宫内部不同派系——财政部、贸易鹰派(如纳瓦罗)、经济顾问(如Stephen Miran)——目标各异、甚至相互矛盾的结果?特朗普本人对关税根深蒂固的执念,与他第二任期不受约束的执政风格,又在其中扮演了什么角色? 本期节目,我们邀请了全球市场的交易员Sagar一起深入解读这场关税风暴。 本期节目录制于4月12日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 02:04 事件回顾:特朗普4月2日宣布「对等关税」及后续反转 04:01 关税公式背后的荒谬逻辑 07:18 特朗普对关税的长期执念 vs 第二任期的放飞自我 12:43 三盘「大棋」:财政部 vs 纳瓦罗 vs 米兰 17:09 市场反应与经济影响 24:47 特朗普的核心动机:财政压力还是个人意志? 30:00 美债市场的动荡及其影响 42:18 政治影响:国会反应、特朗普党内控制力 01:03:25 未来展望:谈判前景、多边贸易体系的挑战 01:07:01 TikTok问题与中美贸易谈判 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Sagar:全球市场交易员 【 What We Talked About】 On "Liberation Day," April 2nd, Donald Trump abruptly announced hefty "reciprocal tariffs" on major global trading partners, sending shockwaves through financial markets. Within just one week, the policy underwent a dramatic U-turn – additional tariffs were suspended for most countries except China, whose tariffs were instead escalated. What truly happened behind the scenes? Was it a calculated "grand strategy" by the Trump administration aimed at reshaping global trade and targeting specific nations? Or was it the result of conflicting, even contradictory, goals among different factions within the White House – the Treasury Department, trade hawks like Navarro, and economic advisors like Stephen Miran? What role did Trump's own deep-seated obsession with tariffs and his less constrained governing style in his second term play? In this episode, we invite Sagar, a global markets trader, for an in-depth analysis of this tariff turmoil. This episode was recorded on April 12th. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 02:04 Recap: Trump's April 2nd "Reciprocal Tariffs" & Subsequent Reversals 04:01 The Absurd Logic Behind the Tariff Formula 07:18 Trump's Longstanding Tariff Obsession vs. Second Term Unbound 12:43 Three "Grand Strategies": Treasury vs. Navarro vs. Miran 17:09 Market Reaction & Economic Impact 24:47 Trump's Core Motivations: Fiscal Pressure or Personal Will? 30:00 US Treasury Market Turmoil & Its Impacts 42:18 Political Fallout: Congressional Reaction, Trump's GOP Control 01:03:25 Future Outlook: Negotiation Prospects, Challenges to Multilateral Trade 01:07:01 The TikTok Issue & US-China Trade Talks 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Sagar: Global Markets Trader 【The Links】 https://ustr.gov/issue-areas/reciprocal-tariff-calculations https://www.hudsonbaycapital.com/documents/FG/hudsonbay/research/638199_A_Users_Guide_to_Restructuring_the_Global_Trading_System.pdf https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/04/cea-chairman-steve-miran-hudson-institute-event-remarks/

04-13
01:09:35

049 | 这瓜有毒×美轮美换:特朗普2.0时代的科研寒冬

【聊了什么】 本期节目由《这瓜有毒》制作,录制于3月中旬。 本期节目聚焦美国科研界在特朗普第二次执政后所面临的空前挑战。几位嘉宾分享了他们的第一手观察——从政府大规模裁员、联邦经费冻结,到频频传出的各种“关键字”审查,一连串政策变化让科研机构和高校都陷入了前所未有的混乱。 很多研究项目和人才因此停摆或外流,更令人担忧的是,部分公共卫生与基础科研项目可能因此断档,影响范围远远超出美国本土。 除了官方与学术机构的角力,本期节目还提及多位科研工作者的亲身体会。他们与主持人讨论了在经费不确定、审查规则模糊的情况下,如何调整研究方向,或者转向其他领域谋出路。这些应对方法虽然艰难,但也反映出当科研环境被政策因素扰动时,人们必须不断摸索新生存方式。 从长远来看,科研生态一旦受损,影响的绝不仅是论文发表或学术奖项,还有可能带来公共卫生、国际合作等多方面的风险。节目的核心信息是:学术界需要更多互相支持与协力,也需积极与公众保持沟通,争取让科学研究在复杂环境里依然能生根发芽。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【嘉宾介绍】 孔孔:这瓜有毒主播 Y博:药企科学家,专注于新药研发及科普创作。其微信公众号 @一个生物狗的科普小园 广受好评。 Talich:美轮美换主播,现居亚利桑那的美国政治和文化历史爱好者。 【时间轴】 02:15 初步讨论科研经费冻结 嘉宾提到 NIH、NSF 等科研机构出现的经费暂停,并分享第一手观察,说明不少研究项目无故被搁置。 07:10 裁员风波与内部混乱 大量政府部门和高校开始裁员或冻结职位,导致项目审批停摆。嘉宾们举例说明这一政策对研究人员个人与团队的冲击。 10:25 “关键字审查”的荒诞例 从 “woman”“transgender” 等词遭到过滤,到与疫苗研究及中美合作相关的项目被取消,探讨这背后可能的政治逻辑。 15:40 公共卫生的隐忧 麻疹、禽流感等疾病的防控工作也难以幸免;政府层面的信息发布与应对协调存在明显滞后风险。 21:05 高校的应对与困境 多所知名大学开始缩减博士生名额、暂停招生或项目;对年轻研究者而言,职业前景骤然受挫。 24:10 个人感受与现实选择 科研人员谈到应对策略,部分人考虑转向私营企业或跨国合作,另一些则只能等待政策走向明朗。 28:35 马斯克的角色与政府关系 马斯克在裁员和管理层面所扮演的作用,如何与特朗普政府形成强势“组合拳”,对科技产业也产生辐射影响。 33:20 长期影响:科研生态断裂与人才流失 减少科研投入可能带来的潜在代价,不仅限于美国,更会波及国际学术合作与基础研究发展。 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 【 What We Talked About】 This episode was produced by 这瓜有毒 and recorded in mid-March. This episode focuses on the unprecedented challenges facing the American research community following Donald Trump’s return to power. Our guests share first-hand accounts of what they’ve witnessed—massive government layoffs, a freeze on federal funding, and increasing reports of politically driven “keyword” censorship. These policy shifts have thrown research institutions and universities into an era of chaos not seen before. Many research projects have been halted or abandoned, and researchers are leaving the field or the country altogether. Even more concerning is the potential collapse of key public health initiatives and basic science programs, with ripple effects far beyond the United States. Beyond the clash between official institutions and academia, this episode also highlights the personal experiences of scientists on the ground. In conversation with the host, they discuss how they’ve had to shift their research focus—or leave their fields entirely—amid budget uncertainty and vague, shifting censorship rules. These tough decisions reveal how deeply political interference is reshaping the scientific environment, and how researchers must continually adapt to survive. In the long run, a damaged research ecosystem affects far more than academic publications or professional accolades—it carries risks for public health, global scientific collaboration, and technological progress. The core message of this episode: the academic community must foster greater solidarity, maintain open lines of communication with the public, and continue planting the seeds of science—even in hostile soil. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 02:15 – Initial Discussion on Research Funding Freeze Guests discuss the suspension of funding from agencies like the NIH and NSF, sharing first-hand observations of research projects being stalled or canceled without explanation. 07:10 – Layoff Waves and Institutional Chaos Widespread layoffs and hiring freezes across government agencies and universities have paralyzed project approvals. Guests provide examples of how these policies have directly impacted individual researchers and teams. 10:25 – The Absurdity of “Keyword Censorship” Terms like “woman” and “transgender” have reportedly been filtered out, and projects related to vaccines or U.S.-China collaborations canceled. The guests explore the possible political motivations behind these actions. 15:40 – Public Health in Jeopardy Disease control efforts for illnesses like measles and avian flu are not spared. There are serious concerns about delays and dysfunction in how the government communicates and coordinates public health responses. 21:05 – Universities' Response and Dilemmas Prestigious universities are cutting PhD slots, pausing admissions, or shutting down programs entirely. For early-career researchers, this has suddenly upended their career prospects. 24:10 – Personal Stories and Hard Choices Researchers describe their strategies to adapt: some are shifting to private sector roles or international collaborations, while others are stuck in limbo, waiting for the political climate to stabilize. 28:35 – Elon Musk’s Role and Ties to Government Musk’s involvement in layoffs and organizational shakeups is examined, along with how his alignment with the Trump administration forms a powerful force reshaping the tech and science landscape. 33:20 – Long-Term Impact: A Broken Research Ecosystem and Talent Exodus Cuts in research investment may have long-term costs, not just for the U.S. but for global scientific cooperation and the future of foundational research.

04-06
01:20:01

048 | 币圈遇上特朗普 Crypto's Trump Card

【聊了什么】 对于加密货币了解或不了解的朋友们,相信大家都知道,特朗普在就职前夕发行了一个以自己名字命名的meme币”特朗普币”,曾一度成为全球市值最高的meme币之一,总市值一度超过100亿美元,但截至3月7日,其价格已从最高点下跌超过80%。 特朗普在竞选期间积极与支持加密货币的选民互动,并承诺就任后推出有利于加密行业的政策。从竞选期间到现在,我们见证了比特币突破10万美元大关,特朗普任命风险投资家David Sachs为加密和人工智能”沙皇”,以及最近签署行政命令建立战略性比特币储备,兑现了他竞选时的承诺。然而,随着近期股市和加密货币价格的波动,我们不禁要问:对于加密行业而言,特朗普政府究竟可靠吗?加密货币价格在3月7日延续近期颓势。这也引发了投资人对特朗普政府政策实际效果的思考。 最后向大家实话实说,参加这集播客的几个人其实都买了特朗普的meme币(羞耻脸),经历了其价格的大起大落。通过特朗普币的涨跌,我们想聊聊自己的故事,并探讨特朗普政府对加密行业的影响。 本期节目前半段录制于2月10日,补充录制于3月9日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:45 真心话时刻:我们的买币故事 20:44 币圈内部对Trump meme coin有什么反应? 29:55 Trump对于crypto的前后态度转变,从2019 Trump反对比特币到现在支持,中间发生了什么?Defi和稳定币的诞生,更多meme coin的出现 47:05 之前SEC的主席Gary Gansler对于加密货币的严厉政策 54:10 白宫的新任加密和人工智能”沙皇”David Sachs是谁?他的All-in podcast是什么? 01:13:15 补录内容:节目录完将近一个月后,Trump政府和加密圈子又有了翻天覆地的变化,更新一下最近的动向,包括分析最近白宫的建立战略性比特币储备的行政令等 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 Afra: 科技和crypto从业者,自由撰稿人,住在湾区和伦敦,个人网站: afra.work 胖花花:《研究研究》主播 【 What We Talked About】 Whether you're familiar with cryptocurrencies or not, you've likely heard that President Trump launched a meme coin bearing his own name shortly before his inauguration. "Trump Coin" rapidly became one of the world's most valuable meme coins, achieving a market cap of over $10 billion at its peak. However, by March 7th, its value had plummeted by more than 80% from the all-time high. During his campaign, Trump actively courted pro-crypto voters, promising favorable policies for the cryptocurrency industry. Since Trump's win in 2024 election, notable developments include Bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 mark, Trump's appointment of venture capitalist David Sachs as his "Crypto and AI Czar," and the recent executive order establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve—actions that align closely with his campaign promises. Yet, amidst recent volatility in both stock and crypto markets, we must ask: Is the Trump administration genuinely reliable for the crypto sector? The continued downward trend in cryptocurrency prices observed on March 7th has prompted investors to reassess the true effectiveness of the administration's crypto policies. Full disclosure: Every participant in this podcast invested in Trump's meme coin, personally experiencing its dramatic price fluctuations. Through sharing our firsthand experiences with the rise and fall of Trump Coin, we aim to examine and discuss the broader impact of the Trump administration on the cryptocurrency landscape. Note: The first half of this episode was recorded on February 10th, with additional recording completed on March 9th. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:45 Moment of Truth: Our Meme Coin Apeing Stories 20:44 Crypto Community's Reaction to Trump's Meme Coin 29:55 Evaluating Trump's Impact on the Crypto Landscape 47:05 Former SEC Chair Gary Gensler's Influence and Legacy 54:10 Who is David Sachs, the "Crypto and AI Czar"? 01:06:50 Former Crypto Critics React to Trump's Executive Order 01:13:15 Additional Content: Recent dramatic changes in the crypto landscape nearly one month after initial recording, including an analysis of Trump's executive order on a strategic Bitcoin reserve. 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Afra: a tech and crypto professional based in the Bay Area and London, as well as a freelance writer. Website: afra.work Pang Huahua: host of the “Research Research” podcast. 【The Links】 World Liberity Financial: https://www.worldlibertyfinancial.com/ All-in Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@allin

03-17
01:29:35

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