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Portfolio Intelligence

Author: John Hancock Investment Management

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Portfolio Intelligence with John Bryson, head of investment consulting at John Hancock Investment Management, features interviews with asset allocation experts, portfolio construction specialists, and investment veterans from across John Hancock’s multimanager network. The dynamic discussion explores ideas advisors can use today to build their business while helping their clients pursue better investment outcomes.
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An initial round of interest-rate cuts no longer appears to be imminent, given recently uneven inflation data and robust jobs growth that have prompted the U.S. Federal Reserve to put a dovish policy shift on hold. What does this delayed timeline mean for equities and fixed income heading into earnings season? Emily R. Roland, CIMA, and Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, co-chief investment strategists at John Hancock Investment Management, join the podcast and host John Bryson to discuss the need for a patient approach to investing and a focus on fundamentals, given a recent market rally that’s pushed equity valuations higher. Emily and Matt explore monetary policy, the outlook for stocks and bonds, and pockets of opportunity that they’re seeing in mid-cap equities and industrial stocks tied to economic growth in Midwestern states. With an election coming up in November, the strategists also discuss the importance of keeping politics out of portfolios.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-19/record-bloat-set-stage-for-record-pain-in-cross-asset-portfolios
The U.S. equity market continued to rally in early 2024, even as the latest inflation data and the economy’s resilience prompted the U.S. Federal Reserve to dampen expectations for a full-fledged pivot to an aggressive rate-cutting stance through year end. What’s an investor to do in this highly uncertain environment? Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, co-chief investment strategist at John Hancock Investment Management, joins the podcast to assess where the most attractive equity opportunities lie while also gauging current risks. Matt explains why he continues to see strong potential in semiconductor companies and other technology stocks despite their lofty valuations. He also warns about the risks for equity investors should the flow of economic data cause the Fed to once again embrace a hawkish stance on rates. Finally, Matt assesses the latest quarterly earnings season, cost-cutting initiatives that may enhance profit margins but could hurt long-term growth, and the challenges that advisors and investors face in putting cash to work in today’s markets.
Amid a shifting interest-rate outlook and inflation picture, the U.S. fixed-income market saw a swift reversal in 2023 as bond yields spiked through most of the year before sinking beginning in late October. With that recent volatility fresh in mind, we explore the outlook for the rest of 2024 with Jeffrey N. Given, CFA, senior portfolio manager and co-head of U.S. core and core-plus fixed income at Manulife Investment Management. Jeff joins podcast host John Bryson to assess current opportunities for shifting cash allocations into fixed income. Jeff sees plenty of factors that he believes are likely to be supportive of bond prices going forward, particularly in market segments such as U.S. agency mortgage-backed securities and corporate investment-grade credit.
As market expectations of interest-rate cuts solidifies, the investment case for fixed-income asset is likely already well telegraphed. The story for equities, however, could be slightly more complex. Might U.S. stocks extend their 2023 winning streak into the new year as the lagged effects of monetary tightening make their way into the real economy? Will current valuations—and, crucially, earnings expectations—hold up as economic growth slows? Podcast host John P. Bryson, head of investment consulting and education savings at John Hancock Investment Management, caught up with Emily Roland and Matt Miskin, co-chief investment strategists at John Hancock Investment Management to get a clearer sense of where stock prices and corporate earnings could be headed. He also asked them to share their views on where investors might find opportunities.
The month of November no doubt brought a fair amount of relief to investors who had been, up to that point, operating under a huge cloud of uncertainty. News that inflation had eased more than expected in October strengthened the case for a pause in interest-rate hikes and sparked a rally in the stock market. While the shift in investor sentiment is encouraging, is it likely to last? Podcast host John P. Bryson, head of investment consulting and education savings at John Hancock Investment Management, posed that question to Emily Roland and Matt Miskin, co-chief investment strategists at John Hancock Investment Management. He also asked them if the recent pullback in inflationary pressures had laid the foundation for rate cuts next year and how advisors should be approaching portfolio positioning in the current environment.
Danielle Roberts, founding partner of the insurance agency Boomer Benefits, joins podcast host John P. Bryson to discuss the ins and outs of Medicare, an important part of many retirees' financial planning. Danielle outlines the different parts of Medicare coverage, addresses common misconceptions, and offers advice to help investment professionals assist clients ahead of potential Medicare changes in 2024 and beyond. She also explores surcharges that Medicare participants may need to pay in addition to their premiums—costs that can have a big financial impact on high-income earners in particular. Finally, Danielle discusses best practices for enrolling in Medicare, explains the options for clients who don’t retire at age 65, and identifies three Medicare missteps that people often make.
Adam A. Weigold, CFA, senior portfolio manager and head of municipal bonds at Manulife Investment Management, joins podcast host John P. Bryson to discuss the state of the municipal bond market and emerging trends in the segment. Adam explains how munis’ primarily retail investor base shapes dynamics in the muni market, and he explores the impact that changes in the economic outlook can have on the market’s high-yield side. The muni specialist discusses how his approach as an active manager seeks to identify the most attractive current opportunities in munis and make adjustments as fixed-income market conditions change. Adam explores the muni market’s current fundamentals and the role that munis may play in potentially enhancing portfolio resilience in the event of an economic downturn. Finally, he assesses current default risks in the muni market and identifies where he’s seeing attractive opportunities in late 2023.
Our Co-Chief Investment Strategists Emily R. Roland, CIMA, and Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, return to the podcast to discuss the late September rise in market volatility and their outlook for the fourth quarter of 2023 and beyond. They discuss how the current environment is affecting different asset classes and unpack their monetary policy expectations for the next 12 to 18 months. Finally, the strategists discuss bright spots in the global economy and their latest thinking on portfolio positioning.
College is an expensive undertaking. In this episode, Peg Keough of College Aid Pro discusses ways to reduce college costs by leveraging financial aid and other resources. She explores why most families don’t apply for financial aid, discusses what families can do to increase potential aid, and unpacks how students can seek to maximize their aid packages. Peg also offers tips on applying for private scholarships and lists best practices for reducing out-of-pocket college costs.
With earnings season coming to a close, our Co-Chief Investment Strategists Emily R. Roland, CIMA, and Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, join podcast host John P. Bryson to share their market outlook. They discuss the latest data pointing to an economic slowdown in China and the contagion risks that it poses for other markets. The strategists also explore the continued easing of U.S. inflationary pressures, top investment opportunities that they’re seeing now, and risks that investors may wish to watch heading into the fall.
Our Co-Chief Investment Strategists Emily R. Roland, CIMA, and Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, return to the podcast to discuss their market outlook at midyear 2023. Among the topics covered: How will the U.S. Federal Reserve keep inflation in check without risking a recession and what are the implications for fixed-income investors? Where does the U.S. economy stand relative to those of other developed nations? What’s ahead for the U.S. equity market and international markets in the wake of recent gains? Which economic indicators are the key ones to watch now? How does this all affect portfolio positioning for the third quarter and beyond?
What’s so different about artificial intelligence (AI) today than in the past? Stephen Freedman, Ph.D., CFA, FRM, joins podcast host John P. Bryson to explore the current AI boom. Steve, the head of research and sustainability for equities investing at Pictet Asset Management, discusses the evolution of AI while focusing on the new ways that it’s being used today. He also considers AI’s positive disruptive potential, risks that people need to be aware of, and which types of companies and industries may benefit from or be hurt by AI the most. He also analyzes the role of Mainland China and other countries that may seek to harness the power of AI, the prospect of global regulation of AI, and how the technology might help financial professionals.
Lee Small, senior vice president and divisional sales manager at John Hancock Investment Management, joins podcast host John P. Bryson to discuss key challenges that business owners face in planning for ownership transitions. Lee explores the role that financial professionals can play in assisting with exit planning and describes a new John Hancock program, “Empowering Business Owners’ Conversations,” which leverages research conducted by the Exit Planning Institute. Finally, Lee highlights key definitions related to exit planning and describes resources available to help financial advisors better serve business owners.
In this episode, college admissions coach Nancy Steenson joins podcast host John P. Bryson, head of investment consulting at John Hancock Investment Management, to discuss the changing landscape of college admissions and scholarships. Nancy explains the best source of scholarships for college students today, unpacks the difference between a needs-based financial aid scholarship and a merit scholarship, and discusses why knowing the difference is helpful while shopping for colleges. She also explores current college pricing trends and the impact on pricing from enrollment management software, early decision, early action, and merit awards. Finally, she highlights the U.S. Department of Justice’s college admissions oversight role and discusses key changes to important financial aid documents that affect what students pay for college.
Howard C. Greene, CFA, and Jeffrey N. Given, CFA, senior portfolio managers and co-heads of the U.S. core and core plus fixed-income team at Manulife Investment Management, join podcast host John P. Bryson to discuss current fixed-income opportunities, the factors driving recent volatility, and takeaways for bond investors. They also analyze how investments have performed historically during periods when monetary policy has shifted from tightening to easing. Finally, the portfolio managers offer their views on the prospects of a recession, consider how fixed-income investments may perform if the U.S. economy experiences a slowdown, and discuss what investors need to be thinking about going forward.
Bank failures and federal interventions injected more uncertainty into financial markets as the first quarter of 2023 wound down. Co-Chief Investment Strategists Emily R. Roland, CIMA, and Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, join podcast host John P. Bryson to discuss prospects for any further escalation of bank risks, the government’s capacity to deal with such scenarios, and the potential impact on equities and fixed income. Emily and Matt also assess the latest economic numbers, which appear to show a divergence between services and manufacturing. Finally, they explore whether the U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest interest-rate increase might lead to a pause or a reversal of the rate-hiking cycle, with potentially big implications for fixed-income investors.
When it comes to investing, women and men often differ in their approaches and their goals. Gain perspective from two veteran business consultants at John Hancock Investment Management, Julie Cronin and Sarah Walter, CIMA, ABFP, PMA, CSRIC, AWMA. Julie and Sarah join podcast host John P. Bryson to discuss the importance of women taking charge of their finances. Among the topics they cover: the biggest differences between female and male investors, why it’s important for financial professionals to focus on their female clientele, and why it can be important to serve female and male clients differently. Julie and Sarah offer tips on how to best serve each gender and present findings from case studies that are covered in our Women, Wealth, and Wisdom presentation. Finally, they share positive changes they’ve witnessed with respect to women in finance over the last 20 years that they’ve been working with women and investment professionals, and some of the areas they think we still need to improve.
With the first quarter of 2023 nearly half over, Co-Chief Investment Strategists Emily R. Roland, CIMA, and Matthew D. Miskin, CFA, join podcast host John P. Bryson to analyze the latest economic and market trends and consider portfolio positioning ideas for the rest of the year. They explore quarterly earnings season trends, the latest policy shift from the U.S. Federal Reserve, and the challenges stemming from U.S.-China relations and its impact on globalization.
Gail Parsons, founder and president of Lifecycle Focus, joins podcast host John P. Bryson to discuss strategies to help financial professionals manage stress, focus on resiliency, and deliver better outcomes in their personal and professional lives. She explores common workplace misconceptions about managing workloads and shares insight on practicing self-awareness and managing energy levels throughout the day. Gail also discusses how financial professionals can use active listening to build trust with clients and strengthen engagement. Finally, she shares tips to block out the noise from daily distractions and focus instead on what we can control.
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