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Eurodollar University

Author: Jeff Snider

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Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.
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You know who can’t stop talking about the private credit bust? The big bankers. Jamie Dimon is constantly in the media almost too happy to share his negative thoughts. Recently Goldman Sach’s David Solomon reminded everyone the credit cycle has not been repealed. But you know who hasn’t said a word? Life insurance execs. The companies that write retirement annuities. 2008 was about big banks. 2026 is about big insurance.  Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis-----------------------------------------------------------What is a Eurodollar University membership? It’s where understanding the monetary world isn’t a mystery—it's a method. If you’re serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you’re in the right place.  Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we’ll fill in everything that you’ve been missing. https://eurodollar.university/memberships -----------------------------------------------------------Life Insurers’ Role in the Intermediation Chain of Public and Private Credit to Risky Firmshttps://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/life-insurers-role-in-the-intermediation-chain-of-public-and-private-credit-to-risky-firms-20250321.htmlUS insurance regulators pulling back the curtain on private credithttps://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/articles/2026/3/us-insurance-regulators-pulling-back-the-curtain-on-private-credit-100049804Insurers’ $1 Trillion Buildup in Private Credit Is Leaving Regulators in the Dusthttps://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/insurers-1-trillion-buildup-in-private-credit-is-leaving-regulators-in-the-dust-5f84cad8The Rise Of Private Credit In Insurers' Investment Portfolioshttps://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/the-rise-of-private-credit-in-insurers-investment-portfolios-s101643158The Rise of Insurance-Linked Capital in Private Credithttps://www.abfjournal.com/the-rise-of-insurance-linked-capital-in-private-credit/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Chinese banks are now trapped which is why China has finally entered an era of full-blown extend and pretend. It’s been on the edge of it for some time, but recent data and information out of the country show the banking sector has crossed that threshold into the low-rate trap which has squeezed profitability and left banks to bleed cash. So, more grim lending and credit data from China’s central bank just confirms everything including the trap having been sprung.    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Underwater Mortgages Force China’s Banks to Get More Creativehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-04-06/china-s-housing-crisis-forces-banks-to-confront-underwater-mortgagesChina's largest banks' profits virtually flat as property slump continueshttps://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/chinas-icbc-worlds-biggest-bank-posts-1-profit-rise-2025-2026-03-27/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
With talks between the US and Iran falling apart, there will be renewed focus this week on the Strait of Hormuz, getting it open and restoring traffic. Nearly all the focus so far as been on the energy part of the trade equation, the amount crude oil being able to transit the bottleneck. But there is another key set of commodities that are likewise being held back, and most people don’t realize just how big this is. Energy shock, yes, there is also a growing food shock.  Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreWhat is a Eurodollar University membership? It’s where understanding the monetary world isn’t a mystery—it's a method. If you’re serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you’re in the right place.  Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we’ll fill in everything that you’ve been missing. https://eurodollar.university/memberships Nations Race to Secure Enough Fertilizer and Prevent Food Crisishttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A-Dq0GSd_ckIt’s not just oil and gas. The Strait of Hormuz blockage is rattling another vital commodityhttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/25/fertilizer-price-iran-war-food-security-inflation-urea-potash-nitrogen-farmers.htmlFAO Chief Economist warns of severe global food security risks from disruption to Strait of Hormuz trade corridorhttps://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/fao-chief-economist-warns-of-severe-global-food-security-risks-from-disruption-to-strait-of-hormuz-trade-corridor/enhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Repo fails spiked to more than $415 billion. Treasury bill prices are jumping. Prices. US bank dealers are using their record government bond holdings at the same time foreigners are deploying huge amounts of their reserves of the same instruments. Treasuries bonds are all over the shadows and it has nothing do with interest rates or the Fed, except the Fed is providing a lot of the data. What does it all mean? The answer -a critical part of it - can be found in Nigeria. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Target is throwing in the towel on its previous losing strategy. Like many businesses, it tried to raise prices only to find its customers going elsewhere, largely to Walmart. Now Target is slashing its prices including on the towel it just threw in. The retail giant simply has no other choice given the sudden change in consumer behavior we’re seeing across the economic landscape.   Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTarget cuts prices on 3,000 items as stubborn inflation keeps US consumers on edgehttps://www.reuters.com/business/target-slashes-prices-more-than-3000-products-2026-03-11/Fewer Americans Plan to Travel After Surging Fuel Costs Hit Budgetshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-02/fuel-price-rise-on-iran-war-has-americans-putting-vacations-on-holdNumerator Consumers React to Rising Gas Priceshttps://www.numerator.com/resources/blog/consumers-react-rising-gas-prices/FRBNY SURVEY OF CONSUMER EXPECTATIONShttps://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce#/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Several countries across Asia are confirming they experienced major dollar funding losses last month amidst a cash crunch on surging demand for money to buy oil. Officials in Taiwan, Indonesia, India and in other places have had to scramble to contain the monetary pressure, causing several of them to expend significant reserves just to keep their currency values from plunging. Or, plunging more than they did. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Taiwan’s Foreign Reserves Drop Most Since 2011 on Interventionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-08/taiwan-s-foreign-reserves-drop-most-since-2011-on-interventionBank Indonesia Prioritizes Stability as Rupiah Hits Record Lowshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-07/bank-indonesia-prioritizes-stability-as-rupiah-hits-record-lowsIndonesia’s FX Reserves Hit Two-Year Low on Rupiah Defensehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-08/indonesia-fx-reserves-hit-nearly-two-year-low-on-rupiah-defenceIndia’s Central Bank Holds Rate, Vows to Curb Volatile Rupeehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-08/india-keeps-key-rate-steady-as-weak-rupee-takes-center-stagehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Airports are canceling flights right now due fuel shortages and fears they will worsen. Airlines are including those in the US are already raising bag fees and other costs trying to pass along the doubling in jet fuel prices to passengers. Meanwhile, the international energy agency’s chief says the current oil crisis is worse than 1973, 1979, and 2022 combined. The thing is, that sounds crazy but sadly it’s not and we’re just now seeing the preliminary effects of Hormuz at the forefront in air travel. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIf you’re serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you’re in the right place. Mainstream education has left so many massive gaps on the most foundational concepts, making sense of everything is practically impossible otherwise. With our memberships, we’ll fill in everything that you’ve been missing. And coming soon EDU 2.0, an update on Eurodollar University with new designed course material more structured content, including both a browser and smartphone app. Check it out here:https://eurodollar.university/membershipsWorld losing more barrels of oil each day than in two 1970s crises combined, IEA chief says – videohttps://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2026/mar/23/world-losing-more-barrels-of-oil-each-day-than-in-two-1970s-crises-combined-iea-chief-says-videoIEA chief: current oil and gas crisis worse than 1973, 1979, 2022 togetherhttps://www.reuters.com/business/energy/iea-chief-current-oil-gas-crisis-worse-than-1973-1979-2002-together-2026-04-07/Korean travelers left stranded as Mideast turmoil pushes airlines to slash routeshttps://www.koreaherald.com/article/10711811Jet fuel supply concerns grow as war with Iran drags on, airlines cut flightshttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/07/iran-war-jet-fuel-airlines.htmlItaly Sets Jet Fuel Limits at Some Airports on Supply Gaphttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-05/italy-sets-jet-fuel-limits-at-some-airports-on-supply-shortageDelta Increases Checked Bag Charges by Up to $50 After Fuel Costs Risehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-07/delta-air-will-boost-fees-on-baggage-amid-surging-oil-pricesUnited Airlines hikes checked bag fee by $10 as fuel prices continue to climbhttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/02/united-airlines-raises-checked-bag-fees-fuel-prices-climb.htmlJet Fuel Spot Prices Over 60 Days https://www.airlines.org/dataset/argus-us-jet-fuel-index/Iran War Fallout: Airlines Slash Thousands Of Flights Amid Global Fuel Shortageshttps://simpleflying.com/iran-war-airline-flight-cancellations-fuel-shortage/FRBNY SCEhttps://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce#/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Jamie Dimon, the head of the country’s largest bank, wrote his annual shareholder letter accompanying the firm’s annual report. Filled with numerous charts touting the company’s successes and thousands of words reinforcing them, it is a single one that sticks out like a sore thumb and therefore defines the entire effort. And, yes, it is about the private credit situation. Of that, he said “probably.” Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. To watch a replay of our webinar, click below. https://youtube.com/live/dkgSJvjWs5M?feature=shareTo take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.jpmorganchase.com/ir/annual-report/2025/ar-ceo-lettersRecession odds climb on Wall Street as economy shows cracks beneath the surfacehttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/25/recession-odds-climb-on-wall-street-as-economy-shows-cracks-beneath-the-surface.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Almost four hundred thousand American workers dropped out of the labor force in March, setting yet a new low in labor participation. Why? There are no jobs, a fact confirmed by both the employment estimate plus an utterly dismal hiring rate from JOLTS, one that rivaled January and February 2009. There’s more, too. S&P Global said the services sector contracted for the first time in three years last month and a decline in its employment index, showing how the oil price shock is already starting to sting. Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van Metre-------------------------------------------------------------In a world where markets swing on every headline, focus matters. That’s why Eurodollar University offers One Big Weekly Theme — a disciplined, thematic analysis you can count on.If you don’t have the time to go all the way to the depth of Eurodollar University’s comprehensive Deep Dive Analysis and want the next best thing, One Big Weekly Theme is for you. Visit our Substack page to sign up: https://eurodollaruniversity.substack.com-------------------------------------------------------------S&P Global US Services PMI March 2026https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/cc86952bb550465d9093b048d7bfdeb8https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Oil prices are absolutely soaring...AND CRASHING. Yes, at the same time. The main US petroleum benchmark surged by a whopping $11.42 a barrel on Thursday alone, the last trading day before the Good Friday holiday. And one key benchmark clocked in above $140. Yet, the rest of oil futures aren’t soaring at all. In fact, contracts for oil early next year are under $70 per barrel right now - more importantly they’ve been falling for a couple weeks already.   Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. To watch a replay of our webinar, click below. https://youtube.com/live/dkgSJvjWs5M?feature=shareTo take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
First, we have our "subprime is contained" moment from the Fed. Second, the run on Blue Owl is "unprecedented." Third, and more important than either of those, it's ***who*** is doing the running. In its disclosure, the sad owl let slip the truth underneath more ridiculous spin. When investors demand 20% to 40% out of your top funds, it's finally time to stop pretending this is all nothing. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. To watch a replay of our webinar, click below. https://youtube.com/live/dkgSJvjWs5M?feature=shareTo take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Blue Owl Limits Redemptions on Private Credit Funds After Massive Exit Requestshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-02/blue-owl-bdcs-impose-caps-after-facing-41-22-requests-to-exitBlue Owl struck by $5.4bn of redemption requestshttps://www.ft.com/content/f4320148-3d81-4bd0-9ab6-053a5bade188?syn-25a6b1a6=1Powell: We do not see systemic risks from private credithttps://www.centralbanking.com/central-banks/financial-stability/7975526/powell-we-do-not-see-systemic-risks-from-private-creditCNBC Exclusive: Transcript: Berkshire Hathaway Chairman Warren Buffett Speaks with CNBC’s Becky Quick on “Squawk Box” Todayhttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/31/cnbc-exclusive-transcript-berkshire-hathaway-chairman-warren-buffett-speaks-with-cnbcs-becky-quick-on-squawk-box-today.htmlPrivate Credit’s CLO Machine Ramps Up in Push to Raise More Cashhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-02/private-credit-s-clo-machine-ramps-up-in-push-to-raise-more-cash
Thanks to Monarch for partnering with me! Start your free trial and get 50% off your first year of total money clarity using my link https://monarchmoney.yt.link/WW7Xqyc or code euro50.Oracle announced it will be laying off tens of thousands of its employees in an attempt to save cash. Not that long ago the company could borrow any insane amount it wanted. In other words, the proposed job cuts at Oracle offer more confirmation of credit market stress. So do the layoffs Block had announced in late February. The cycle has completely flipped, including Fitch admitting one form of selective default is at a 14-year high while UBS locks up one European fund for three years!Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisOracle cutting thousands in latest layoff round as company continues to ramp AI spendinghttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/31/oracle-layoffs-ai-spending.htmlOracle announces Equity and Debt Financing Plan for Calendar Year 2026https://investor.oracle.com/investor-news/news-details/2026/Oracle-announces-Equity-and-Debt-Financing-Plan-for-Calendar-Year-2026/default.aspxUBS gates €400mn property fund for up to 3 yearshttps://www.ft.com/content/67d6e6ab-724c-4e23-b806-51fed911b766?syn-25a6b1a6=1U.S. Private Credit Defaults Ease to 5.4% in February 2026https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/us-private-credit-defaults-ease-to-5-4-in-february-2026-18-03-2026Private Credit’s Investor Exodus Spreads to Consumer Loanshttps://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/private-credits-investor-exodus-spreads-to-consumer-loans-de2507d7Non-Cash-Generating Private-Credit Loans Rise to a 14-Year Peak, Fitch Sayshttps://www.wsj.com/articles/non-cash-generating-private-credit-loans-rise-to-a-14-year-peak-fitch-says-02ed4b94https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The question everyone should be asking themselves right now, this second, is why isn’t oil $130 per barrel? Today. Right now. When you look around the world, there are a lot of indications which strongly suggest crude is being drastically underpriced. A lot of it has to do with uncertainty, and I mean that in a very real sense – you don’t know if tomorrow the war’s over and tanker traffic spools up which means the crude price collapses. But that doesn’t fully account for the sheer scale of what’s already happened. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. To watch a replay of our webinar, click below. https://youtube.com/live/dkgSJvjWs5M?feature=shareTo take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Hormuz Tracker: Saudi Crude Heads to Pakistan in Rare Transithttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-29/hormuz-tracker-saudi-crude-heads-to-pakistan-in-rare-transitThe Strait of Hormuz Oil Shock Is Now Heading Westhttps://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2026-iran-war-hormuz-closure-oil-shock/Asia’s Air Travel Crisis Risks Spreading on Iran War’s Jet Fuel Squeezehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-27/air-travel-crisis-risks-spreading-on-iran-war-s-jet-fuel-squeezePressure Mounts on Europe Diesel Supply as Tankers Turn Awayhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-30/tankers-carrying-diesel-toward-europe-change-course-in-atlantichttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Bond rates have completely reversed course and are falling again despite oil prices that haven’t budged. This is a clear warning that central bankers are already out of time for their rate hikes and inflation scenarios. In fact, inflation expectations in the marketplace which never got high to be begin with have collapsed in an ominous sign. Together with a surge in repo fails and other dollar tightening signals, including a sharp rise in the dollar exchange rate, the bond market is clearly worried the oil shock has blown past the point of no return. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. To watch a replay of our webinar, click below. https://youtube.com/live/dkgSJvjWs5M?feature=shareTo take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
It’s only been a little less than a month, but the economic and financial fallout from the Iran conflict is already taking shape as we search for that point of no return. Sentiment has dropped, economic activity is threatened, even stocks are now in correction territory across the board. While central bankers especially over in Europe are in full-blown inflation panic, it’s a much different story emerging from the real economy. This thing is quickly taking on all the characteristics of a full-blown oil shock. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------------------------With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. To watch a replay of our webinar, click below. https://youtube.com/live/dkgSJvjWs5M?feature=shareTo take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Many top European bankers did not do themselves any favors when pressed on the private credit bust, preferring to hide behind semantics or deflect at every chance. One who stood out was Deutsch Bank’s vice chair of global macro who bluntly stated if it wasn’t for Iran the private credit crisis would be all anyone would be talking about right now. For whatever the political spin among the rest of them, European bank balance sheets don’t lie. Wait until you see what they’ve been up to. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. To watch a replay of our webinar, click below. https://youtube.com/live/dkgSJvjWs5M?feature=shareTo take advantage of our limited-time Eurodollar University subscription offer to get access to all EDU materials, reports, and data, visit the link below:https://www.eurodollar.university/webinar-offer----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Think private credit fears are overblown? Think again, says Deutschehttps://www.afr.com/markets/equity-markets/think-private-credit-fears-are-overblown-think-again-says-deutsche-20260327-p5zj5nPrivate Credit Jitters Put European Banking Chiefs on Defensehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-19/private-credit-jitters-put-european-banking-chiefs-on-defenseECB to Start Fresh Checks on Banks’ Private Credit Exposureshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-24/ecb-to-start-fresh-checks-on-banks-exposure-to-private-creditGerman Business Outlook Sinks as Iran Puts Recovery ‘on Ice’https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-25/german-business-outlook-sinks-as-iran-war-puts-recovery-on-icehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The oil shock has moved way beyond merely being a price problem. The blockage at Hormuz has already created a very real physical shortage of fuel across much of Asia, and it’s now threatening to hit Europe according to the CEO of Shell Energy. It’s only been about four weeks but we’re seeing major disruptions already, from Australia to South Korea, India, Egypt. Among the hardest hit is the Philippines. There are reports today some airlines are being told to plan for rationing fuel in a few places. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. Sign up below:https://eurodollar-university.com/home-page-web----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Australia Fuel Crunch Expands to Hundreds of Gas Stationshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-24/australia-fuel-shortages-expand-to-hundreds-of-service-stationsSecuring Australia’s fuel supplyhttps://www.energy.gov.au/news/securing-australias-fuel-supplyEgypt mandates new closing time for malls and cafes to curb energy usehttps://www.egyptindependent.com/egypt-mandates-new-closing-time-for-malls-and-cafes-to-curb-energy-use/India Turns to Dirty Fuels to Fight Crippling Supply Squeezehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-12/india-turns-to-dirty-fuels-to-fight-off-worst-supply-disruption-mmnfhzzsMarcos promises 'flow of oil' as Philippines declares energy emergencyhttps://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3ex8ez3717oAirline boss flags possible fuel rationing in Philippines as supplies dwindlehttps://www.scmp.com/news/asia/southeast-asia/article/3347804/airline-boss-flags-possible-fuel-rationing-philippines-supplies-dwindleSigns of Jet Fuel Hoarding Emerge in Asia on Iran Oil Shockhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-25/signs-of-jet-fuel-hoarding-emerge-in-asia-after-iran-oil-shockShell Boss Warns Europe Is Next After Asia Suffers Fuel Squeezehttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-24/shell-boss-warns-europe-is-next-after-asia-suffers-fuel-squeezeOil giants raise the alarm over energy shortages as Iran war drags onhttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/25/iran-war-oil-shell-totalenergies-energy-strait-of-hormuz.htmlS&P Global March 2026 US PMIshttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/adc91b5cf42442cbb220d5b66b64ec7dIndian police manage long lines as panic grows over fuel shortageshttps://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/25/indian-police-manage-long-lines-as-panic-grows-over-fuel-shortageshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Another major development in private credit crisis - yes, it is a crisis now. Moody's downgraded a $13 billion KKR co-managed private credit fund, citing "asset quality challenges." This is a huge escalation for three key reasons we'll go over here.----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. Sign up below:https://eurodollar-university.com/home-page-web----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Retail investors pull billions from private capital’s credit gold minehttps://www.ft.com/content/3103e960-5e54-4cff-a439-b61a77ab21bd?syn-25a6b1a6=1Blackstone’s Gray: Market ‘noise’ fueled record redemptions from world’s largest private credit fundhttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/03/blackstone-private-credit-fund.htmlMoody's https://ratings.moodys.com/ratings-news/461835
Blackstone’s $83 billion BCred fund just reported its first monthly loss due to actual credit problems. However, it’s never credit losses that kill you; it’s always the forced selling, the liquidations. Financial crises begin with small credit losses and then snowball into something far greater because the issues here aren’t numbers on a spreadsheet and seemingly reasonable expected loss calculations. This all comes down to trust and information. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. Sign up below:https://eurodollar-university.com/home-page-web----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Jon Gray Blackstone Presidenthttps://x.com/blackstone/status/2035088934753935648?Blackstone Private Credit Fund Has First Monthly Loss Since 2022https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-20/blackstone-private-credit-fund-has-first-monthly-loss-since-2022Private Credit Firm Ares Holds Town Hall to Reassure Staff on Market Volatility https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-11/ares-holds-townhall-to-reassure-staff-on-market-uncertaintiesAres CEO Says UBS Call on 15% Private Debt Default ‘Absolutely Wrong’https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-03/arougheti-says-15-private-debt-default-call-absolutely-wrongNew York Fed Sells Remainder of Maiden Lane LLC Securities; Approximately $2.5 Billion Net Gain Generated for U.S. Public from the Portfoliohttps://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/news/markets/2018/an180918Maiden Lane Transactionshttps://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/maidenlane.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Global financial markets are all over the place. We’ve talked about commodities being crushed, getting liquidated due to serious and underappreciated funding stress. The other side of that, rising dollar and flight to safety. And on the flipside, growing risk aversion which has markets especially overseas rolling over. Meanwhile, bonds are struggling because central banks are beginning to really panic especially over in Europe.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust. Sign up below:https://eurodollar-university.com/home-page-web----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
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Comments (5)

Solo Kane

k.

May 10th
Reply

Nick Frade

Oh my gosh, Emiles summary at the end had me rolling, so funny. 🙈😄😄😄

Nov 8th
Reply

Mahshid Kojoori

is that possible to have the text as well?

Jun 3rd
Reply

Stu Porter

Let's listen to the music of any time in history to understand its emotion. Dean Martin walked onto the stage with a fanfare of excitement. Loud wirh brass. The 70's decade was on a roll. What have we replaced it with... music is only the messenger. Thank you gentleman, a fine conversation.

Sep 27th
Reply

Ronin Djinnh

love the episode intro / description!

Sep 3rd
Reply
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