Palisades Gold Radio

Stijn Schmitz welcomes David Hunter to the show. David Hunter is Chief Macro Strategist with Contrarian Macro Advisors. Hunter presents a deeply contrarian outlook, arguing that the extreme bearishness in the bond market signals a major bottom in bonds and a top in interest rates, particularly the 10-year Treasury. He believes the current narrative of an inescapable fiscal trap and higher rates is already priced in, and he expects oil prices to roll over into the $60 range, contributing to a downside surprise in inflation as the economy slows. Despite this, Hunter maintains a near-term bullish stance on equities, forecasting a final, euphoric melt-up that could push the S&P 500 to 10,000 within months. He notes the unusual phenomenon of all-time highs in major indices coinciding with subdued or bearish investor sentiment, which he views as supportive of further gains. However, this rally represents the terminal phase of a 44-year secular bull market. Hunter predicts this will culminate in a historic global bust, a deflationary crash potentially worse than 2008-2009, driven by extreme global leverage and derivatives. He anticipates an 80% decline in equities, with policymakers initially reluctant to deploy massive stimulus, causing a severe air pocket. Following this bust, Hunter outlines a subsequent cycle where massive money printing triggers hyperinflation. This environment will fuel an explosive, multi-year bull market in commodities, with gold potentially reaching $20,000 and silver $1,000 by the early 2030s. He sees the precious metals mining sector as exceptionally undervalued, poised for a tremendous run as institutional investment flows in, supported by disciplined management and strong earnings. Hunter’s long-term thesis concludes with a final systemic collapse in the mid-2030s when hyperinflation renders further money printing impossible. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:59 – Treasury Market and Yields 00:02:20 – Contrarian Bond Market View 00:04:40 – Oil Prices Roll Over 00:10:29 – Inflation Peaking and Softening 00:12:10 – Equity Markets Bullish Outlook 00:17:52 – Impending Global Economic Bust 00:35:39 – Gold and Silver Performance 00:47:29 – Mining Stocks Opportunities 00:52:24 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https://x.com/DaveHcontrarian David is Chief Macro Strategist with Contrarian Macro Advisors. He is an investment professional with 25 years of investment management experience and 21 years as a sell-side strategist with robust macroeconomic analysis and portfolio management expertise. His strong macro capabilities, combined with a contrarian philosophy, have allowed him to forecast economic cycles and spot market trends well ahead of the consensus. Intellectually honest, independent thinker comfortable with charting a course apart from the crowd.

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Tavi Costa to the show. Tavi Costa is Founder & CEO of Azuria Capital LLC. Costa argues that the U.S. is approaching a fiscal breaking point, emphasizing that current bond yields are unsustainable when measured against record debt levels. He notes that with over a quarter of U.S. debt rolling over in the next twelve months at higher rates, the situation is becoming increasingly asymmetric. He predicts eventual intervention through yield curve control or other mechanisms to suppress yields and weaken the dollar, which would benefit hard assets, mining, and emerging markets. Costa sees a global sovereign debt dilemma eroding confidence in instruments backed only by military strength rather than tangible assets. He believes this paradigm shift echoes the 1940s but with even higher equity valuations today. Gold’s resilience alongside rising yields signals, in his view, that the market is pricing in an inevitable monetary reset or remonetization of gold. He highlights that gold backing for U.S. Treasuries has fallen from fifty percent to just three percent, implying a massive revaluation would be needed to restore discipline. Geopolitical conflicts are seen as symptoms of overwhelming debt, further fueling the thesis for hard assets. Costa’s investment strategy focuses on a few concentrated macro themes: mining, Latin America, and energy. He structures his mining portfolio using a three-tier framework combining cash-flowing producers, strategic developers, and bold exploration companies. He finds silver miners particularly attractive due to strong balance sheets and high free cash flow yields. Costa cautions against chasing critical metals purely on narrative, advocating a first-principles focus on business quality. He is launching Azuria Capital with a mining fund embodying this approach, aiming to capitalize on what he views as a generational opportunity in the resource space. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:38 – US Treasury Markets Signal 00:05:05 – Global Debt Issues Explored 00:08:25 – Sponsor Message Bellasets 00:09:14 – Emerging Markets Comparison 00:18:20 – Sponsor Message Palisades 00:19:09 – Gold Reset Thesis 00:27:20 – Geopolitics and Wars 00:32:40 – Latin America Investment Shift 00:35:40 – Portfolio Construction Framework 00:43:20 – Mining Investment Pitfalls 00:49:50 – Azeria Capital Launch 00:57:36 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https://x.com/tavicosta LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/otavio-tavi-costa-76368628 Substack: https://tavicosta.substack.com Otavio (“Tavi”) Costa is the Founder and CEO of Azuria Capital LLC. He invented a macro model that identifies the current stage of the U.S. economic cycle through a combination of 16 factors. His research is regularly featured in financial publications such as Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, CCN, Financial Post, The Globe and Mail, Real Vision, and Reuters. Tavi is a native of São Paulo, Brazil, and fluent in Portuguese, Spanish, and English. Before joining Crescat, he worked with the underwriting of financial products and international business at Braservice, a large logistics company in Brazil. Tavi graduated cum laude from Lindenwood University in St. Louis with a B.A. degree in Business Administration with an emphasis in Finance and a minor in Spanish. Tavi played NCAA Division 1 tennis for Liberty University.

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Justin Huhn to the show. Justin Huhn is Founder & Publisher of Uranium Insider Pro. Justin Huhn presents a firmly bullish outlook for uranium, describing the current phase as the middle of a long-term secular bull market. The most critical forward indicators, he argues, are the terms in the long-term contracting market, where suppliers are now securing agreements with high floors and often no ceilings, signaling a market where security of supply is beginning to outweigh price sensitivity. He notes that supply has failed to respond adequately to demand, with greenfield projects moving slowly, while a combination of reactor restarts, life extensions, and an unprecedented global build-out of around 80 reactors is underpinning a structural deficit that will persist for five to seven years. A major new demand driver is the entry of hyperscalers and big tech, who are not only signing power purchase agreements but also exploring SMRs, with hundreds of units in planning. Although SMR demand is conservatively modelled to materialize only after 2030, Huhn expects actual construction starts much sooner to trigger early fuel procurement, adding further competition for available pounds. On the supply side, he dismisses the notion that new mine supply will pressure prices, emphasizing that developers like NexGen are likely to sell responsibly into term markets on similarly bullish terms, meaning extra production will not dent the price trajectory. The spot market has been quiet, but Huhn views current equity weakness as a significant value opportunity, given the deep disconnect between physical market strength and stock prices. He advocates a dynamic trading approach that uses physical market signals, charting, and sentiment to trade around the core long-term bull thesis, which has allowed his portfolio to outperform in this environment. Ultimately, Huhn forecasts uranium prices well above $200 per pound, supported by inelastic demand and a multi-year supply gap, with the sector poised for a rerating as investors recognise that supply growth is necessary, not bearish, against massive nuclear energy expansion. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:50 – Uranium Market Cycle 00:03:30 – Strong Bull Case 00:06:10 – Term Contract Trends 00:09:15 – Forward Market Indicators 00:10:57 – Nuclear Fuel Costs 00:18:15 – Global Nuclear Buildout 00:24:24 – Geopolitical Energy Security 00:28:42 – Small Modular Reactors 00:35:53 – Uranium Supply Landscape 00:36:07 – Mining Equities Opportunity 00:47:35 – Investment Strategies 00:51:45 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://www.uraniuminsider.com Newsletter: https://www.uraniuminsider.com/newsletter X: https://x.com/UraniumInsider Justin is the Founder and Publisher of the Uranium Insider Pro Newsletter. Through the combination of rigorous fundamental analysis and Justin’s thorough understanding of technical analysis, determinations are made for select companies to be included on Uranium Insider Pro’s “Focus List,” as well as the most opportune times for entry or exit. Justin is frequently asked to offer his commentary on various media forums, including Crux Investor, Smith Weekly, Palisades Gold Radio, Mining Stock Education, and Mining Stock Daily. He also regularly participates in the post-earnings commentary that is broadcast immediately after industry majors release quarterly earnings. Justin is devoted to bringing value to those that are taking their first look at the uranium sector. Until July 2020, he distributed a complimentary newsletter as an educational tool to those investors seeking to familiarize themselves with the complexities and opportunities offered by the uranium sector and the uranium shares. Regrettably, the Uranium Insider Pro subscription letter’s subscriber growth and breadth no longer allow him to provide this tool. The success of Uranium Insider has been gratifying, and the emerging bull market in uranium continues to offer an unusually attractive risk:reward proposition for fellow contrarian investors.

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back CEO of the Feneck Consulting Group, John Feneck to the show. The conversation begins with gold’s recent consolidation, noting it has turned negative year-to-date and is down around 5%. Feneck asserts the bull case remains intact, citing support at 3,900–4,000 and dismissing comparisons to the 2016 rate cycle because the Federal Reserve lacks room for aggressive hikes. He highlights Fed Chair Worsh’s hawkish rhetoric as a temporary headwind but points to improving inflation data and a divided policy landscape. The bond market saw a notable intervention by Scott Besson in August, which briefly buoyed sentiment before the Fed’s Jackson Hole messaging reversed gains. Geopolitical tensions—wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, plus U.S. election uncertainty—create a favorable backdrop for gold, though markets have become somewhat desensitized. Shifting to mining equities, Feneck describes a hub-and-spoke portfolio strategy, using GDX and GDXJ as core holdings and adding select junior explorers and developers. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:55 – Gold Market Fundamentals 00:01:40 – Fed Policy and Gold 00:04:22 – Treasury and Bond Markets 00:05:42 – Geopolitical Tensions Impact 00:09:46 – Gold Mining Sector Overview 00:12:48 – Junior Mining Stock Picks 00:19:45 – Development Projects Acquisitions 00:22:02 – Gold Price Targets Analysis 00:23:53 – Critical Minerals Investments 00:29:52 – Jurisdiction and Sovereignty Risks 00:32:11 – Investment Timeframes Outlook 00:35:36 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https://x.com/feneckconsult YouTube: https://youtube.com/feneckcommoditiesreport LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/feneckcommoditiesreport E-Mail: mailto:[email protected] Website/Newsletter: https://www.feneckconsulting.com/ Conference: https://topshelf-partners.com John Feneck’s upcoming conferences:Events are invitation only. If interested, please email John at [email protected] In September 2019 he founded Feneck Consulting Group, helping small- and mid-cap metals and mining companies raise brand awareness and advising high-net-worth advisors on market opportunities and risks. He holds Series 7, Series 63, CMFC and CIMA Level 1 certifications (though he is not a licensed advisor) and focuses on consulting. Based in Scottsdale, AZ, he’s a single dad to an 11-year-old daughter and spends weekends as a professional musician, athlete and traveler.

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Florian Grummes to the show. Florian is the Founder and Managing Director of Midas Touch Consulting. The discussion opens with concerns about equity markets at all-time highs, rising Treasury yields, and Middle East energy disruptions. Grummes argues the financial system is walking on a tightrope, but central banks will continue printing money to sustain the “paper Ponzi scheme,” delaying any systemic break. He sees the US midterm elections as a near-term uncertainty, expecting markets to struggle until then, followed by a possible year-end rally. On energy, he believes oil prices are being managed and warns that a proposed US diesel export ban could severely stress Europe, potentially leading to supply chain issues and food shortages, advising listeners to prepare by stocking essentials. Grummes remains bullish on oil producers, citing a strong uptrend, and foresees an inflationary spiral driven by rising bond yields and money supply expansion. He emphasizes that gold’s fundamental drivers are intact: central bank buying, Asian demand, a shift from bonds to precious metals, and ongoing liquidity injections. Technically, gold is in a correction since January, with support around $4,000; a break below could target $3,500, but he views dips as buying opportunities. He highlights the long-term secular bull market in gold and expects miners to benefit from healthy margins and strong balance sheets, though near-term tax-loss selling may create pressure. For mining investments, he stresses the importance of management track record, jurisdictional safety, concentrated portfolios, and having an exit strategy. He favors stocks with declining volume on pullbacks, indicating weak hands are being squeezed out. Grummes concludes by inviting listeners to his website and Substack for daily and weekly analysis. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:40 – Current Market Overview 00:01:49 – Paper Ponzi Scheme Concerns 00:02:43 – Middle East Energy Disruptions 00:03:38 – Midterm Elections Impact 00:06:28 – US Geopolitical Weakness 00:09:12 – Diesel Export Ban Feasibility 00:10:10 – Oil Producers Outlook 00:11:24 – Preparing for Supply Shortages 00:12:50 – Economic Slowdown Implications 00:16:22 – Fiat Currency Debasement 00:20:48 – Gold Market Fundamentals 00:28:10 – China Gold Trade Strategy 00:33:16 – Gold Miners Opportunities 00:37:47 – Investment Pitfalls Advice 00:42:38 – Stock Setup Opportunities 00:43:45 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://www.midastouch-consulting.com X: https://twitter.com/FlorianGrummes Substack: https://substack.com/@midastouchconsulting Telegram: https://t.me/MidasTouchConsulting Free Newsletter: http://eepurl.com/d5Euf LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/floriangrummes/ Seeking Alpha: https://seekingalpha.com/author/florian-grummes Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Midastouchconsulting Florian Grummes is an independent financial analyst, advisor, consultant, mentor, trader & investor as well as an international speaker with more than 30 years of experience in financial markets.  Florian is the founder and managing director of his company Midas Touch Consulting, which is specialized in trading & investments as well as consulting, analysis & research with a focus on precious metals, commodities and digital assets. Via Midas Touch Consulting he is publishing daily and weekly gold, silver, bitcoin & cryptocurrency analysis for his numerous international readers. Florian is well known for combining technical, fundamental/macro and sentiment analysis into one often accurate conclusion about the markets.