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RiskReversal Pod

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Welcome to the RiskReversal Pod, where Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by the most brilliant minds in markets and tech. 


We break down the most important market moving headlines to help listeners make better informed investing decisions.


Our goal is to deconstruct Wall Street speak and offer contrarian insights and strategies that help investors navigate increasingly volatile markets.


Tune into the RiskReversal Pod Monday through Friday for succinct 30 minute pod drops of market analysis that you won't find anywhere else.


For new episodes of On The Tape with Danny Moses, search "On The Tape" in your favorite podcast platform.

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896 Episodes
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This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC In this episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, hosts Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome Michael Kantrowitz, Chief Investment Strategist and Head of Portfolio Strategy at Piper Sandler. The discussion delves into Kantrowitz's HOPE framework, which stands for Housing, Orders, Profits, and Employment, and its relevance in the current economic climate. They discuss the nuanced macroeconomic indicators and the impact of inflation, interest rates, and employment on the economy and market forecasts. Kantrowitz emphasizes the importance of analyzing specific economic data points and the K-shaped economy. The conversation also touches on home equity, credit spreads, consumer confidence, manufacturing, and the potential implications of AI on the labor market. Kantrowitz presents a cautiously optimistic view of the economic landscape for 2026, predicting improved conditions in cyclical sectors despite ongoing uncertainties. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, host Dan Nathan speaks with Alex Sherman, co-founder and CEO of Bluefish, about the transformative impact of AI on e-commerce and marketing. They discuss how Bluefish aids large brands in gaining visibility and influence over how major AI platforms portray their products. The conversation covers the rapid evolution of AI technology, challenges for e-commerce giants like Amazon and Walmart, and the shift from traditional SEO to AI-driven marketing. Alex shares insights on how AI is changing consumer behavior, the adaptation required by brands, and the influence of large language models on market performance. They also touch on future challenges and opportunities for brands navigating this new landscape. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Guy Adami hosts Liz Thomas of SoFi, discussing various topics including the current performance of the Green Bay Packers, Japan's economic situation, and its potential global impact. They delve into Japan's rising bond yields, appreciating yen, and how these factors could influence global markets, particularly the US bond and equity markets. Elizabeth explains the potential implications for US investors and highlights interconnected financial systems. They also examine cryptocurrency behavior, consumer sentiment, small-cap stocks performance, and the importance of upcoming economic data. The episode concludes with a discussion on Elizabeth's upcoming mid-December outlook report with Mario. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome Danny Moses to discuss various market trends and investment strategies. The discussion spans topics such as AI's impact on the market, the performance of key sectors like healthcare, energy, and technology, and the challenges posed by economic indicators and geopolitical factors. They delve into the volatility and potential reshuffling within 'The Magnificent Seven' tech stocks and the implications for the broader market. The episode also highlights the private credit market's sketchy valuations, the Federal Reserve's position on potential rate cuts, and the dynamics within the cryptocurrencies market, including Bitcoin and its associated treasury companies. Finally, they touch on their favorite NFL picks for the week's slate. Show Notes On The Tape Feed (Apple | YouTube) WAWD (Substack) Comparing The Top AI Chips: Nvidia GPUs, Google TPUs, AWS Trainium (YouTube) Google Further Encroaches on Nvidia’s Turf With New AI Chip Push (The Information) OpenAI needs to raise at least $207bn by 2030 so it can continue to lose money, HSBC estimates (FT) Private Credit’s Sketchy Marks Get Warning Shot From Wall Street’s Top Cop (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas from SoFi discuss various financial market trends leading into Thanksgiving week. They also touch on the Packers football game which will be played at 1 pm ET on Thursday. They talk about the recent rally in the S&P 500, attributing it to possible Fed rate cuts and positive job numbers. Liz highlights the Fed's stance on unemployment and its implications for future rate decisions. The conversation also covers the CPI, GDP data, consumer spending, and signs of economic stress like rising delinquency rates. They discuss sector-specific trends, focusing on healthcare and energy markets, and explore the potential impact of geopolitical events on big cap pharma stocks. Additionally, they touch upon the dynamics of the yen carry trade, the significance of Bitcoin movements, and oil prices' role in economic forecasts. The episode concludes with Thanksgiving well-wishes and reflections on their collaboration and friendship. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
On this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, hosts Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss recent market trends and significant movements, focusing on AI stocks like Nvidia and their earnings impacts. They delve into the consumer landscape through the lens of major retailers like Walmart and the overall health of the consumer amidst rising delinquency rates. The conversation extends to macroeconomic indicators, including the CME Fed Watch tool and rate cut expectations, as well as insights from industry leaders like Harvey Schwartz of the Carlyle Group. The hosts also explore the implications for companies like Oracle, Intel, and Dell in the current economic climate. Show Notes Checkout Wilf's Podcast —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital. They discuss a range of topics including market volatility, AI investment trends, consumer spending patterns, and economic forecasts. Calvasina highlights the increasing nervousness among investors regarding high valuations and the potential impact of delayed Fed rate cuts. She notes the importance of monitoring CapEx and regulatory changes, especially as they pertain to AI and tech sectors. The conversation touches on geopolitical dynamics with China and the upcoming US midterm elections, emphasizing their potential market implications. The session is rich with insights into the current market climate, investor sentiment, and future economic expectations. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Help Support CME Group's Charitable Efforts By Donating To St. Jude Children's Research Hospital Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by Terry Duffy, CEO and Chairman of CME Group, at the CME Group Tour Championship in Naples, Florida. They discuss a range of topics including Bitcoin, gold, equities, and market correlations, offering insights into the current financial landscape. The conversation highlights the role of CME’s initiatives in retail trading, emphasizing the company's efforts in prediction markets and partnerships with platforms like Robinhood and FanDuel. Other key points include the evolution of market structure, the significance of the ten-year bond, and the increasing relevance of gold and crypto assets. Additionally, Duffy reflects on his leadership style, institutional trust, and future challenges and opportunities in finance. Terry's Story on SBF —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Guy Adami and Liz Thomas of SoFi discuss a range of topics including recent Japanese economic trends, the impact of a potential Japanese stimulus on global equities, and the weakening yen. They examine the relationships between various market indicators and their departures from expected norms. They touch on the volatility index and interpret recent movements in the stock market. Other key points include the influence of mortgage rates and housing affordability on the economy, the potential effects of upcoming non-farm payroll reports, and PMI services/manufacturing indices. The podcast also digs into consumer sentiment and Bitcoin's decoupling from gold and its strong correlation with Nasdaq. Additionally, Elizabeth shares insights about her conversation with Jenny Harrington on her own podcast, focusing on dividend investing and personal finance stories. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
In this RiskReversal podcast episode, Guy Adami and Peter Boockvar discuss recent market trends, including the shifts in AI dominance and financial stresses at Oracle. They analyze the stock market's reaction to Meta's spending and the implications for data center build-outs. The conversation covers the competitive landscape with AI and the potential overrates in hardware infrastructure. They also discuss the unusual dynamics in the US economy and the job market's deceleration, touching on Bitcoin's correlation with other assets. Finally, they explore the bullish outlook on energy stocks and the rebound in big-cap pharma amid regulatory clarity. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC In this episode of the Risk Reversal Podcast, hosts Guy Adami and Dan Nathan sit down with Jenny Just and Matt Hulsizer of PEAK6 at the Ascend Innovation Summit in Austin, Texas. The discussion explores their backgrounds in options trading at O'Connor and Associates, the evolution of retail trading, and the significance of democratizing finance. The conversation also touches on the role of technology in trading, the importance of culture in maintaining business integrity, and how PEAK6 leverages these elements in various ventures, including Apex Fintech Solutions. Additionally, the episode features a segment with Bill Capuzzi, CEO of Apex, who discusses the impact of fintech innovations and the convergence of traditional and decentralized finance. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Dan Nathan and Gene Munster discuss upcoming earnings for Nvidia and the recent trends in the technology and AI domain for major companies including SoftBank's sell-off of Nvidia shares. They also wrap up Q3 earnings for the 'Mag Seven' tech giants such as Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Google, and Apple. They address key points about Microsoft's Azure growth, Meta's controversial spending on AI, Amazon's financials amidst AWS growth, Google's AI-driven search improvements, and Apple's forthcoming AI developments. The market's recent shift favoring AI-related stocks and the debate over Amazon's strategic investments without their own AI models are also covered. They conclude by emphasizing the significant role of Nvidia's next report and its effect on AI market sentiment. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Dan Nathan and Deirdre Bosa, CNBC's Tech Check host, delve into key topics around AI technology and investments. They discuss the growing influence of Chinese open-source AI models and compare US and Chinese AI CapEx spending, drawing on insights from a Bloomberg tweet thread. The conversation highlights China's commoditization strategy in AI and its implications for US-China tech competition. They also scrutinize tech companies like Core Weave, Meta, and AMD, examining their financial strategies, AI ambitions, and market performance. The challenges of power constraints, valuation concerns, and investor sentiment shifts in the AI and tech sectors are thoroughly explored. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami is joined by Liz Thomas from SoFi to discuss the potential end of the government shutdown and its market implications. They explore how the market is reacting positively despite the shutdown's minimal sell-off impact. The discussion also covers the possibility of missing economic data due to the shutdown and its consequences on the market and Federal Reserve decisions. The duo debates the Federal Reserve's December rate cut outlook, inflation concerns, and the labor market's current state. They also touch on seasonality effects, gold and Bitcoin market movements, and anticipated year-end market behaviors. Liz hints at her upcoming 2026 outlook, focusing on growing tail risks in the market. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Dan Nathan and Deirdre Bosa discuss recent developments in the tech and AI sectors on the Risk Reversal podcast. Deirdre returns after a three-month maternity leave to a significantly changed market landscape, with the NASDAQ up 14% and the S&P 500 up 10%. The conversation focuses on the rapid growth and potential bubbles in the AI market, including emerging threats from Chinese AI models and the competition between leading tech companies like Nvidia, Google, AMD, and OpenAI. They also explore specific deals, such as Apple's new arrangement with Google to power Siri and Snap's collaboration with Perplexity. The episode touches on the economic impact of AI, the ongoing US-China AI race, and investor sentiments. The upcoming challenges and opportunities in the AI sector, both in the US and China, are considered in-depth, alongside broader market implications. After the break, Dan and Guy are joined by Shannon Murphy, Head of Research at iConnections. Shannon shares her journey from academia to Wall Street, and eventually to iConnections, discussing her unique background in theology and its impact on her approach to behavioral finance. The conversation delves into the iConnections platform, which facilitates connections between asset allocators and capital seekers through innovative technologies, including AI. Shannon provides insights into the significant capital flows observed within the platform, driven by evolving market conditions and strategies. The episode also highlights the platform’s global reach and growing interest in diverse investment opportunities across various regions. Show Notes Deutsche Bank explores hedges for data centre exposure as AI lending booms (FT) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at Partners Group, on the RiskReversal Podcast. Anastasia discusses her new role at Partners Group, a firm specializing in private markets including private equity, credit, real estate, infrastructure, and royalties. The conversation covers the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts, the labor market's weakening state, and inflation concerns. Anastasia highlights the increasing adoption and impact of AI on job markets and corporate productivity. The podcast also explores the anticipated capital market activity, the potential for accelerated earnings growth sparked by rate cuts, and the nuanced state of sectors like financials, healthcare, and gold. Anastasia concludes by emphasizing the need to monitor AI-related investments closely and the significance of strategic focus in both private and public markets to navigate 2026's economic landscape. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
In the latest episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, host Dan Nathan interviews Brian Belski, CEO and CIO of Humilis Investment Strategies. Belski discusses his decision to leave BMO after 35 years to start his own firm focusing on equities and portfolio advisory services. The conversation covers Belski's investment insights, including his emphasis on dividend growth and value investing, and his bullish outlook on sectors such as financials, small-mid caps, and industrials. They also delve into the current state of the market, the potential impact of Fed policies, and the concentration of market performance driven by big tech and AI. Belski shares his broader outlook for 2026, predicting a normalization of returns and highlighting the importance of diversification and earning growth. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas delve into various market trends and economic indicators. They discuss the OpenAI and Amazon cloud compute agreement, CapEx spending, and the ISM manufacturing index's recent performance. Moreover, they analyze the bond market's reaction to economic data and the Federal Reserve's policies. The conversation also covers the underperformance of Bitcoin, the housing market's challenges, and the gold market's fluctuations. The episode concludes with insights into Warren Buffett's cash holdings at Berkshire Hathaway and a sports commentary on the recent Green Bay Packers game. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, hosts Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by Dan Greenhaus, the chief economist and strategist at Solus Alternative Asset Management. Returning since his last appearance in July, Dan shares his consistently accurate market predictions, offering insights into the recent earnings season and the broader economic landscape. The discussion covers the impact of company-specific data versus macroeconomic data, consumer behavior, and the role of the Federal Reserve. They also analyze the AI-driven CapEx boom, its implications for various sectors, and how companies are financing this growth. The conversation culminates in reflections on inflation, politics, and the significant economic challenges and opportunities moving into the next year. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: ⁠https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=430504639&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999⁠ Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are joined by Mike Wilson, CIO and Chief US Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley. They discuss the complexities of the current market landscape, including key topics such as the impact of the Fed's recent rate cuts, the significance of US-China relations, and the importance of Nvidia in the market. The conversation also delves into the broader economic strategies being employed, including deregulation, the rebalancing of the economy, and the implications of small business growth. Mike shares his thoughts on potential inflation, wage growth, and the future of energy and healthcare sectors. The discussion highlights indicators of potential market corrections, the risks associated with AI investment, and the evolving nature of financial markets. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
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Comments (3)

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Dec 16th
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Feb 3rd
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