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McKeany-Flavell Hot Commodity Podcast
379 Episodes
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Winter Wheat Seedings report
Current look at winter wheat conditions and weather
U.S. exports capped at 900 million bushels?
Recommendations for strategy and coverage
Join us next Wednesday, January 21 for our first webinar of the year!
Key Ingredients in 2026 Webinar: Anticipate Volatility & Plan Effectively
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up now at mckeany-flavell.com
Host: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
Expert: Eric Thornton, Vice President
Corn & soy complex
Bearish surprise for U.S. corn via production
Soybean ending stocks higher as a result of paltry export demand
What gives with U.S. soybean oil stocks?
Sugar
Louisiana cane production forecast breaks record!
Sugar deliveries forecast to drop, but by how much?
Wheat
Catch up with wheat S&D on this Friday’s pod!
Join us Wednesday, January 21 for our first webinar of the year!
Key Ingredients in 2026 Webinar: Anticipate Volatility & Plan Effectively
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up now at mckeany-flavell.com
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Global Sweeteners Specialist
Economy
Lackluster headline jobs growth with revisions lower
Unemployment rate reverses recent uptick
Fed still eyes 50-basis-point rate cuts this year
Weather
NOAA’s latest forecast reveals a potential El Niño in H2 2026?
What crops could be affected?
Current conditions in the U.S. have been drier due to the weak La Niña weather pattern
Join us on Wednesday, January 21 for our first webinar of the year!
Key Ingredients in 2026 Webinar: Anticipate Volatility & Plan Effectively
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up now at mckeany-flavell.com
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Shawn Bingham, Director of Commodity Risk Management
Expert: Eric Thornton, Vice President
Corn wet milling
Investments made will impact availability of liquid sweeteners
Sugar
World sugar stays under 17 cents per lb
Brazil: Another monster crop
STU goes up: 18% by summer
More forfeitures during the summer months
Wheat
U.S. acreage at an all-time low
Global production output to be more like last year’s than this year’s output (800 MMT vs. 837 MMT)
Soy complex & edible oils
Resurgence in biofuel production
Conventional canola oil is the least expensive option for a good chunk of 2026
Impact of weight management drugs continues
Anti-seed oil trend to pick up traction
Economy & energy
Three rate cuts during 2026: 2.75% to 3.00%
CPI: 2.6% for 2026
Inflation likely to tick up by year's end
Crude oil: $55 to $56 a barrel
Happy New Year!
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Global Sweeteners Specialist
Expert: Eric Thornton, Vice President
Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Expert: Shawn Bingham, Director of Commodity Risk Management
...and Nicole's got the mic, rhyming her way through a poem that is sure to be liked.
Happy holidays from McKeany-Flavell!
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Soybean oil futures
Why do we keep coming back to the same spot?
Soybean oil in biofuels
A combo of the known and unknown
Food consumption
Consumer trends of all forms to drive demand
GLP-1s: A fad or here to stay?
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
USDA punts any U.S. production changes to January
Expect more volatility and market attention next month
Corn
The only change? Increase to exports
Soy complex
No changes to the U.S. soybean balance sheet
Wheat
Ditto for U.S. wheat balance sheet: No changes
Global wheat production rose further
Now a 5% increase vs. 2024/25
Sugar
Beet sugar production lowered, while cane increased
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Eric Thornton, VP
Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Global Sweeteners Specialist
Ethanol from corn and high sugar share increasing Brazil production in 2024/25
Global surplus pressuring world # 11 sugar prices
When will low prices impact production?
Missed Wednesday’s webinar on Systematic Timing Models?
Watch now on our IQ platform!
Not an IQ subscriber? Reach out to us to learn more!
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Global Sweeteners Specialist
FOMC decision on Dec. 10
Crude oil production vs. demand
Supreme Court ruling on Trump tariffs
Dec. 9 WASDE
Next Wednesday is our last webinar of 2025!
Procurement Timing Models: Taking the Emotion Out of Procurement
Wed., December 3, 11am PT / 2pm ET
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up now at mckeany-flavell.com
Happy Thanksgiving!
Host/Expert: Eric Thornton, VP
Expert: Shawn Bingham, Director of Commodity Risk Management
Will the closure of refining cause some regional tightness?
Burdensome inventories for both beet and cane
Will it keep pressure on prices?
The International Sweetener Colloquium is now on the radar!
Come prepared to talk 2027
Mark your calendars for our next webinar!
Procurement Timing Models: Taking the Emotion Out of Procurement
Wed., December 3, 11am PT / 2pm ET
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up for both now at mckeany-flavell.com
Host/Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Global Sweeteners Specialist
Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
Corn
Downward revision to usage for feed and residual
Soy complex
Soybean carry-in lowered a bit
Most puzzling was soybean oil!
Wheat
U.S. balance sheet as expected
Higher production boosts U.S. stocks
Global wheat production increases galore!
Sugar
Massive adjustments to sugar deliveries
Both beet and cane production lowered
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Global Sweeteners Specialist
Expert: Eric Thornton, VP
Q4 2025 snapshot of market conditions
Is market softness present?
Preparing for 2026 with budget considerations
Not a client on McKeany-Flavell’s IQ Intelligence Platform? Visit mckeany-flavell.com to learn more!
Commodity dashboards
Dynamic data & interactive charts
Analytics & calculators
Price forecasts
Downloadable data, charts, and tables
Host: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Guest Expert: Michael Workman, Growth Director at ResinSmart by RTi Global
Guest Expert: Kevin Mekaru, Senior Business Unit Lead, Commodity Plastic Resin, RTi Global
www.resinsmart.ai
Soybeans
Soybean prices “rise from the dead” to 15-month highs!
China/U.S. trade announcements require careful analysis
How impactful in the short and long term?
Chocolate
Halloween chocolate prices are up, up, up!
Retail chains may be running some promos to try and get a lot of volume sold
Will they be successful?
Want to go more in depth on cocoa? Join us for next week’s webinar!
Cocoa Market Update Webinar
Wed., November 5, 11am PT / 2pm ET
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up now at mckeany-flavell.com
Happy Halloween!
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Eric Thornton, VP
Expert: Marilyn Adutwum, Data Analyst
Not much movement on price direction for 2026
Corn wet millers offering multiple solutions to manage coproducts
Product demand is still a concern going into negotiations
Two webinars back-to-back! Make sure to register for both!
Seasonal Market Outlook Webinar
Wed., October 29, 11am PT / 2pm ET
Cocoa Market Update Webinar
Wed., November 5, 11am PT / 2pm ET
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up for both now at mckeany-flavell.com
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
Corn
Corn yield likely falling on disappointing harvest results thus far
Record crop still expected north of 16 billion bushels
Corn exports appear to remain strong; other categories remain to be seen
Wheat
U.S. wheat production increases should boost ending stocks
Could U.S. export demand surpass 900 million bushels?
Winter wheat plantings about 65% complete
Conditions improving in soft red winter wheat area
Soy complex
Chinese soybean import demand could be hit or miss for the U.S., with or without a deal
Domestic soybean oil consumption soft with potential for some export demand offset
Our next webinar is fast approaching!
Seasonal Market Outlook Webinar
Wed., October 29, 11am PT / 2pm ET
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up now at mckeany-flavell.com
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Expert: Eric Thornton, Senior Commodity Advisor
Big question: Will the government shutdown end in time for November WASDE?
Corn
Corn carry-in up
Yields down, but still a record
Harvest acres lower?
Future S&D risks: Feed and exports
Sugar
Sugar production likely lower than September WASDE
Will sugar deliveries decline for a second consecutive year?
Save the date for our next webinar!
Seasonal Market Outlook Webinar
Wed., October 29, 11am PT / 2pm ET
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up now at mckeany-flavell.com
Host/Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Global Sweeteners Specialist
Expert: Shawn Bingham, Director of Commodity Risk Management
Soybean production could be lower than expected due to late-season weather dynamics
Soybean meal needs more homes
Soybean oil market ambiguity continues
Save the date for our next webinar!
Seasonal Market Outlook Webinar
Wed., October 29, 11am PT / 2pm ET
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up now at mckeany-flavell.com
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Corn futures may have already hit harvest lows
Feed demand picks up in December
Could that support coproduct values through Q1 2026?
Key to wet milling contract negotiations:
Understanding corn grind allocation
Not a client on McKeany-Flavell’s IQ Intelligence Platform? Visit mckeany-flavell.com to learn more!
Commodity dashboards
Dynamic data & interactive charts
Analytics & calculators
Price forecasts
Downloadable data, charts, and tables
Save the date for our next webinar!
Seasonal Market Outlook Webinar
Wed., October 29, 11am PT / 2pm ET
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up now at mckeany-flavell.com
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Craig Ruffolo, Vice President – Commodity Specialist
A weak La Niña is now in the forecast
What does that mean for the long-range weather outlook and commodities?
Drought in the U.S. has expanded in recent months
Will La Niña offer any relief?
Watch out for the potential of planting and harvest delays in Brazil this winter
Not a customer on McKeany-Flavell’s IQ Intelligence Platform? Visit mckeany-flavell.com to learn more about IQ, where we offer subscribers 24/7 access to
Real-time market updates and technical analysis
Discussion of supply and demand fundamentals
Price forecasts
As well as charts, tables, and downloadable PowerPoint market overviews
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Eric Thornton, Senior Commodity Advisor
Corn
Domestic corn acreage increased
Corn yield lowered: Still too much, too soon?
Slow down in ethanol
Soy Complex
Uptick in soybean ending stocks and slightly higher acreage
Upward to revision to crush
Where’s China?
What's driving prices?
Not much in the way of change short of production adjustments for corn, soy complex, but it’s what we DON’T see in the numbers that may drive prices for corn, soybeans, and soybean oil
Sugar
Beet production lowered, while cane production increased
Mexican imports cut in half under Suspension Agreement rules
Stocks-to-use still well above the target
Next week is our Energy Market Update Webinar!
Wed., September 17, 11am PT / 2pm ET
Clients, be on the lookout for your invite, or anyone can sign up now at mckeany-flavell.com
Host: Michael Caughlan, President & CEO
Expert: Nicole Thomas, Vice President – Information Services
Expert: Kevin Combs, Vice President – Global Sweeteners Specialist



