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TrendsTalk

Author: ITR Economics

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Our mission: We provide the best economic intelligence to reduce risk and drive practical and profitable business decisions.
401 Episodes
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This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain shares an update on the US Single-Unit Housing market. While affordability remains a challenge, ITR Economics forecasts the housing market is approaching its low point in 2025, followed by growth in 2026 and 2027. Taylor breaks down where affordability is improving, which states are most affected, and why the data points to better years ahead for developers and suppliers. Are you ready for the next housing cycle?
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain provides an update on the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index. After record highs earlier this year, uncertainty has been cut in half, setting the stage for accelerating growth in both CAPEX and Industrial Production. Taylor explains why this shift supports ITR Economics’ positive outlook through 2026 and what it means for business leaders preparing for expansion. Are you ready to keep pace with growth?
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain revisits ITR Economics’ long-standing forecast of a 2030s depression and outlines how businesses can prepare today. Taylor reveals which U.S. states are best positioned for success and which face greater risk based on ten key economic and demographic factors. Learn where your organization may find opportunity as the next decade approaches.
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics breaks down the current labor market conditions and what they mean for your business strategy. With just over one unemployed person per job opening, there’s slight slack in the market, but not for long. Find out why the next 6 to 9 months may be your best window for hiring before tightening conditions and wage pressures hit hard. Taylor also covers workforce demographics, rising labor costs, and how AI and automation can help offset the people problem.
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain examines how soaring data center construction is fueling record-high electricity prices and what that means for your business. With U.S. electric power costs hitting new highs, companies face growing challenges tied to infrastructure strain and future energy policy changes.
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain breaks down where US exports and imports are growing, which countries are losing ground, and why the EU has emerged as the clear trade “winner” in 2025. Despite these changes, the US remains the top destination for foreign direct investment, a key driver for onshoring, reshoring, and long-term industrial growth. What will this mean for manufacturers and business leaders heading into 2026?
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics unpacks the latest leading indicators for the US Industrial Economy. While growth is still on the horizon for 2026, several key indicators are moving sideways, signaling a milder rise than previous recovery cycles. What does this mean for capacity planning and business strategy? Tune in to learn why understanding not just the direction but also the amplitude of growth is critical for accurate forecasting and planning.
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain reviews the latest data showing manufacturing’s growth rate accelerating after a tough 2024. While some sectors like heavy-duty trucks, medical equipment, and light vehicle production remain under pressure, the outlook points to recovery in 2025 and broad-based growth by 2026. Will your business be ready to keep up with the pace of expansion?
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics explains the concept of “profitless prosperity”, a future where businesses see revenue growth but shrinking profit margins due to rising costs. While economic growth is expected through 2028, inflation and cost pressures may limit profitability. How can your business avoid this trap? Taylor outlines strategies for balancing pricing power with productivity and efficiency, and why developing a three-year plan is critical for protecting margins in an inflationary environment.
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain break down how different income brackets are handling rising costs in food, housing, and healthcare. While higher earners continue to see spending remain below historical averages, lower and middle-income households are facing mounting affordability challenges. What does this divide mean for consumer spending and long-term economic growth?
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain shares the latest housing market update. Single-family housing starts are in a slowdown now, but forecasts point to growth in 2026 and 2027. We review current mortgage rates, home prices, and how incomes are expected to outpace inflation. What do the latest trends mean for homebuyers, builders, and the real estate market outlook? Tune in to learn more!
Purchase the recording of our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we discuss where we are seeing some exciting growth happening in the US economy, with high-tech sectors such as data centers and semiconductors surging ahead while legacy industries remain flat. Which of these high-tech markets holds the biggest opportunities for your business? Tune in to find out!
Purchase the recording of our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we discuss the promising signs of near-term US economic growth, which include renewed momentum in industrial, manufacturing, and business investment. But with economic uncertainty still lingering, how can businesses best position themselves now to thrive when the economy soars? Tune in to find out.
Purchase the recording of our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we unpack the latest July jobs report and highlight what the data really says about the current state of the labor market. Tune in for strategic insights into cutting through the negative headlines and optimizing your hiring strategy in a weaker labor market!
Purchase our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Lauren Saidel-Baker joins the show to discuss the recent Federal Reserve decision to keep rates steady. With a growing internal division within the Fed, are we anticipating rate cuts in September? Watch this week’s episode to find out!
Register for our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we discuss how Private Nonresidential Construction has entered Phase D, Recession, as we highlight which sectors are contracting and which still show growth. How significant will this downturn be and when will we start to see signs of recovery for the segment? Tune in to find out!
Register for our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we break down why inflation remains a major hurdle for businesses, with interest rate relief unlikely and costs expected to climb through 2029. Want to grow your business without sacrificing margins in this high-cost environment? Tune in to learn how!
Register for our July Webinar “Contending With Uncertainty and Change” → https://hubs.la/Q03wX5Jk0 Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, we explore how the recently signed One Big Beautiful Bill relates to our 2030s Great Depression forecast. How will the record-setting government spending of today shape your business strategy for the next decade? Tune in to find out!
Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain discusses the current lull in capital expenditures due to heightened trade policy uncertainty. However, with promising signs of recovery in the second half of the year, what can businesses do now to best position themselves for the expected growth through 2026? Tune in to find out!
Contact us today to learn more about how you can benefit from Financial Resilience! → https://hubs.la/Q035Qlcs0 This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain highlights US Industrial Production, noting it is gaining momentum and is forecasted to improve steadily through 2026. What are the main sectors driving this growth? Are you positioning your business to make the most of the growth ahead? Watch the full episode to learn more!
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