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The Jay Martin Show
Author: Jay Martin
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Nobody has your back when it comes to your health, wealth, or happiness. But this is great news — because it puts you in the driver’s seat. Join Jay Martin, investor and CEO of Cambridge House, as he dissects the minds of thought-leaders from around the world with expertise in money management, geopolitics, macro finance, commodities, technology, and any emerging trends you should be paying attention to. Jay's mission is to cut through the noise and get to the signal, so he can find the most lucrative investment opportunities. Tune in for conversations that will challenge the way you think, the way you invest, and that might just change your life.
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On September 16, the day the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since 2023, the speaker of Iran's parliament posted a math equation. It was the formula American central bankers use to set interest rates, with two new terms added, each named after a waterway that Iran and its allies can close. It looked like a joke. One week later, diesel hit $6.53 a gallon, the highest price ever recorded in the United States. The equation was a claim: whoever controls the price of oil controls the price of money in America, from a family's mortgage to the interest on $40 trillion of government debt. Washington has an answer, and it is not cheaper oil. Both sides want crude expensive, for opposite reasons. Only one of them needs it to last. The Fed's next decision is October 28.
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Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-iran-bond-market-sources
0:00 The Equation Iran Posted
1:23 The Formula He Was Mocking
3:26 Whoever Controls Oil Controls the Fed
4:53 Step 1: Oil Becomes Diesel
7:35 Step 2: Diesel Becomes a Rate Hike
8:19 Step 3: The Hike Lands on Families
9:27 Step 4: The Hike Hits the Government
10:37 Ferguson's Law
11:21 The Spiral
12:40 America's Answer
13:41 Who Fills the Gap
17:16 Who Fired the Shots
18:40 Where the Two Wars Collide
21:16 Two Clocks
21:40 Watch October 28
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On August 22, Canada walked out of trade talks with the United States, and tariffs of 50 percent took effect on billions of dollars of Canadian goods. The official story is that Washington asked for too much and offered too little. The final demand tells the real story: the Americans asked for a say over which countries Canada could sign trade deals with. Ottawa has faced this exact choice before. In 1972 it signed an agreement with Europe and waited for the trade to follow. The trade never came, because nothing had been built to carry it. Now Europe is offering Canada a seat as its first associate member, the world's largest investors have flown to Toronto, and the tax code has been rewritten to pay for what 1972 never built. Whether it works this time comes down to one thing. It is not the agreement.
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Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-america-vs-europe-sources
00:00 Canada walks away
01:24 Agreements are not infrastructure
01:51 Nixon, August 1971
02:20 The three options
02:48 The Third Option fails
03:43 Mulroney picks option two
04:40 Economic force
06:26 What Canada is, and what it is not
07:45 The Third Option, again
08:34 Europe's first associate member
10:25 A trade deal cannot load a ship
10:52 The Toronto summit
13:10 The Productivity Mega Deduction
14:29 At the table or on the menu
15:16 Build it, or stay tied to one buyer
17:29 The Vancouver Resource Investment Conference
Copyright © 2026 Cambridge House International Inc. All rights reserved.
This year, two of America's oldest allies quietly took their gold out of the United States. France went first and emptied its New York holdings entirely. The Netherlands went second, moving 86 tonnes. Both governments gave the same answer: it's not you, it's me. Paris said the bars were old. Amsterdam said it wanted to be ready for a crisis. Both made a point of adding that the move was not political. Governments do not describe a technical upgrade as "not political" unless somebody has asked the question. Roughly 215 tonnes left American custody this year, and only 27 of them ever went anywhere. The rest changed hands without a single vault door opening. That detail is the whole story, and it explains why no finance minister on earth will say the real reason out loud.
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Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-gold-leaving-america-sources
0:00 Two Allies Take Their Gold Home
2:04 What a Country's Reserves Actually Are
3:40 A Treasury Is an IOU
5:28 The Promise Nixon Broke
7:44 Gold Overtakes Treasuries
9:57 Owning It and Having It
10:35 Why the Gold Is in New York
12:29 The Day Russia's Money Was Switched Off
14:23 What France and the Netherlands Really Did
16:08 Germany Ran the Test
17:27 2013 Versus Today
20:04 Why Nobody Says It Out Loud
21:43 Read the Movements, Not the Statements
22:28 The Snapshot Mistake
24:13 The Honest Limit: London
25:01 It Changes on the Margin
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U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent just predicted that the most important oil chokepoint on Earth will stop mattering within two years: the Strait of Hormuz, he said, is about to become just another body of water. Washington's top diplomat is saying the same thing. The plan sounds simple enough: build pipelines around Iran, and the strait that carries a fifth of the world's oil loses its grip on the global economy. The pipelines that exist today move a fraction of what passes through Hormuz in a single day, and the routes meant to close the gap all share one feature nobody in Washington is talking about. They have to come out somewhere. What waits at the other end is the problem.
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Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-hormuz-irrelevant-sources
0:00 Just Another Body of Water
0:56 Washington Says It Twice
2:15 Twenty Million Barrels a Day
2:57 The Artery of the Industrial World
4:33 The Assumption
5:19 What Five Months Cost
6:00 The Pipelines That Already Exist
9:40 Iraq's Dead Lines
12:26 The Other Chokepoint
13:05 The 2030 Promise
13:42 What History Says
14:44 The Problem
21:09 Three Things to Watch
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On the last day of July, the United States did something it had not done in 28 years: it walked into the currency market and spent billions rescuing another country's money. The White House called it friendship. Governments do not spend tens of billions on friendship, and Treasury secretaries do not say "whatever it takes" about things that don't let them sleep at night. The real story runs through Tokyo. Japan is America's banker, holding over a trillion dollars of U.S. Treasuries, and its collapsing currency forced Washington into a corner: rescue the yen, or watch American borrowing costs spiral just as the 30-year yield hits its highest level since 2007. The machine Washington built for the job reveals exactly what the people running the system fear most. It is not the yen.
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Citations: https://rentry.co/jms-america-bailed-out-japan-sources
0:00 The rescue nobody noticed
2:10 Japan is America's banker
4:40 The oil loop crushing the yen
6:45 The tool Japan can't use
9:05 Why America can't let Japan sell
11:17 The machine Washington built
12:48 Where the new dollars come from
15:20 The yen carry trade
16:40 The 2024 preview
17:27 The bet with only one way out
19:53 Japan wrote the playbook
21:36 What the rescue reveals
22:19 How the playbook ends
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