The Joseph Carlson Show

0:00 I Bought 3 Turnaround Stocks1:31 Netflix — Buying More After the Selloff6:37 Netflix’s Growth Is Being Misunderstood10:35 The Netflix “Low-Quality Content” Criticism17:53 Uber — Buying the 30%+ Drop21:18 S&P Global — My Third Purchase24:13 Nike — Why I’m Still Avoiding It26:03 FICO — Great Business, Major Risk27:42 Tom Lee Says Investors Are Too Pessimistic29:12 Fail of the Week: Apple vs. AI Agents

0:00 Why Google & Meta Could Win AI2:08 The AI Race: OpenAI vs. Anthropic3:33 Meta Goes All-In on AI5:08 Google's Comeback With Gemini7:04 Gemini 4 Benchmarks9:33 Google & Meta's Financial Advantage12:16 Free AI, Pricing & Monetization17:26 Trust, Distribution & OpenAI's Super-App Problem23:05 Netflix Selloff & Ted Sarandos25:52 FICO's Stock Collapse

I break down my $1.5 million stock portfolio, including what I’m doing with Google after it fell behind in the AI model race, Meta’s recent surge and new enterprise push, and updates on Amazon, Mastercard, ASML, S&P Global, Netflix, Uber, DoorDash, and more. I also look at the growing debate over AI and jobs, contrasting Jensen Huang’s optimistic view with Andrew Yang’s concerns about automation, before finishing with Bob Chapek’s comments about what happened behind the scenes at Disney and Bob Iger’s return.0:00 Intro 1:31 $1.5 Million Portfolio Update 3:04 Google Falling Behind in AI 7:29 Meta’s Huge Comeback 10:35 Amazon & the Portfolio 16:29 Netflix Gets Crushed 23:08 Jensen Huang vs. Andrew Yang on AI 32:20 Bob Iger — Fail of the Week

Meta stock is surging, Muse is taking off, and now Amazon is fighting back. In this episode, I break down Meta’s massive move higher, why sentiment around the company has shifted so quickly, and why Amazon’s decision to block Muse may be less about “security and privacy” and more about protecting its advertising business and its direct relationship with customers. We’ll look at what happens if AI agents become the new way people shop online, how Meta could respond to Amazon’s blockade, and why I think this fight is only the beginning.We also have a new Fail of the Week. Andrew Yang went on CNBC with an extraordinary claim that rogue AI bots have “polluted” the internet to the point that major AI companies can no longer use it for training. I dig into what he actually said, whether there’s evidence behind it, and why the technical explanation raises some major questions. Plus, we revisit Gene Munster’s bearish Meta call after the stock’s huge rebound and take a closer look at just how quickly the AI landscape is changing.0:00 Meta, Muse & Amazon: The War Begins2:00 Why Meta Stock Is Surging3:39 Muse Changes the Meta Story10:22 Amazon Blocks Muse13:21 The Real Reason Amazon Is Worried16:41 How Meta Can Respond21:55 Gene Munster’s Meta Call Revisited23:10 Andrew Yang’s “Polluted Internet” Claim

AI agents are moving from simply answering questions to actually doing things for us — shopping, booking hotels, making reservations, comparing prices, managing transactions, and eventually negotiating with other machines on our behalf.That shift could have enormous consequences for some of the world’s biggest companies.In this episode, I look at the rise of agentic commerce and a simple framework for determining which businesses are most exposed: How much of their value comes from removing friction, and how much scarce infrastructure or capability remains once that friction disappears?We break down what this could mean for Booking Holdings, DoorDash, Intuit, Google, Amazon, Uber, Duolingo, Microsoft, Meta, Visa, Mastercard, ASML, S&P Global, Costco, Netflix, Texas Roadhouse, and more.Some businesses may lose their direct relationship with the customer. Others could become even more valuable as AI agents increase transactions, computing demand, and the need for trusted infrastructure.The question may no longer be, “Can AI automate this business?”It may be: “What happens when an AI agent becomes the customer’s gatekeeper?”0:00 The Agentic Commerce Thesis2:03 Meta Muse: The First Real Consumer Agent5:43 How AI Agents Could Reshape Business7:26 The Friction Framework: Who Is Most Exposed?11:57 The Four Stages of the Agent Economy18:28 Booking Holdings, DoorDash & Intuit27:12 Google, Amazon, Uber & Duolingo32:15 Microsoft, Meta, Visa & Mastercard36:50 ASML, S&P Global, Costco, Netflix & Texas Roadhouse41:14 Which Companies Are Most Exposed to AI Agents?