Moving Markets

US stocks rebounded yesterday led by technology shares after AI developments announced by Meta and Anthropic. Strong US economic data lifted the broader market and boosted small caps. In Europe, autos rose on lower‑than‑expected US tariffs, while banks fell. Taiwan and South Korea climbed on AI optimism, and Japan advanced after the Prime Minister nominated two reflation‑focused academics to the Bank of Japan’s policy board, fuelling expectations of slow rate increases and keeping the yen weak. Precious metals strengthened with gold and silver rising on geopolitical tensions, China’s market return, and continued safe-haven demand. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Strategy Research, explains why artificial intelligence could initially support bonds.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (06:02) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research (10:38) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global markets were on edge yesterday as President Trump’s newly announced 15% global tariff triggered a sharp European response and fresh trade uncertainty. Equity markets across both Europe and the US struggled, with tech stocks hit particularly hard amid renewed concerns about AI disruption in the software sector. Defensive names, meanwhile, benefited from the flight to safety, alongside a strong move in gold. Asian markets painted a mixed picture. On today’s show, we are joined by Next Generation research analyst Damien Ng who shares an update on the implications of the emerging Alzheimer’s blood test and what it means for the genomics space.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:17) - Alzheimer's blood test impact on Genomics: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research (11:25) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The US Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s global tariffs last week, dealing a blow to his administration’s centrepiece trade policy. The administration quickly signalled that it would pursue 10%, then 15% global tariffs. While equity markets rallied on Friday, risk sentiment has been dampened this morning as uncertainty about trade policy returns. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, takes a step back from the limited geopolitical visibility and looks at what the charts on Treasury yields, the US dollar, and precious metals say. A fast, lively breakdown of what’s moving markets — tune in!(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:57) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:28) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (08:37) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

How sustainable is the narrow leadership of US equity markets? With aggressive AI-related capex plans raising concerns about long-term returns, investors have been reassessing concentrated positions in US mega cap technology and turning their attention elsewhere. What should be in focus as they look to broaden their portfolios?In this edition of Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Nenad Dinic, one of Julius Baer’s equity strategists, to discuss the drivers behind the current equity market rotation. They explore the broadening of market leadership beyond the AI-linked hyperscalers, the implications of massive capital expenditure plans, and the importance of selectivity within software and IT. The conversation also covers renewed investor interest in non-US equities, with a focus on Europe, Switzerland, Japan, and emerging markets, as well as sector preferences for healthcare, financials, and miners. Nenad shares why diversification is more critical than ever as investors position for the next phase of the cycle.(00:00) - Introduction (01:07) - Factors behind the improvement in market breadth (03:35) - How AI is reshaping equity leadership   (05:45) - Is the software selloff overdone?   (08:12) - Diversification beyond US equities: Flows and drivers   (09:20) - Regions benefiting from the broadening (12:04) - Healthcare, financials, and miners   (13:58) - Key takeaways (14:27) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US and European equity markets fell yesterday following President Trump’s announcement that Iran has 10-15 days to reach a deal over its nuclear programme. This pushed oil prices up over USD 72/ barrel this morning. On the bright side, Indian and South Korean equity markets climbed today. US Futures are also higher ahead of key US data due out today, and the possibility of the announcement of the highly anticipated Supreme Court decision on the legality of Trump’s tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Fixed Income Research analyst Afonso Borges discusses expectations around the data and the court ruling as well as unpacking this week’s Fed minutes.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:58) - Bond market update: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research (10:53) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

European stocks climbed to new highs as investors responded positively to solid corporate earnings. Meanwhile, the latest Federal Reserve minutes revealed a divided stance among US monetary policymakers. In Asia, South Korea’s Kospi index - often seen as a bellwether for AI-related trades - surged to a fresh record amid easing concerns over AI‑driven disruption. In today’s episode, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses the emerging winners and losers as agentic AI reshapes the software sector.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (05:55) - AI and software: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:50) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

As US markets returned from the holiday, volatility re-emerged across AI-linked equities. Europe showed resilience but commodities fell on easing geopolitics. In precious metals, volatility remains elevated due to thin trading during Asian hours amid the Lunar New Year holiday. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, talks about what that means for gold and silver going forward and why dips in AUD and NZD are looking like an opportunity. A fast, lively breakdown of what’s moving markets – tune in!(00:00) - Introduction: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:00) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:21) - Closing remarks: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

With US markets closed for Presidents’ Day and much of Asia shut for Lunar New Year, trading was thin yesterday and overnight, yet European equities still managed to edge higher. Swiss GDP data showed a slight rebound in Q4, although overall growth for 2025 remained below the historical average. Geopolitical developments also shaped sentiment, as investors digested the outcomes of the Munich Security Conference. Meanwhile, talks between Ukraine and Russia, as well as between Iran and the US, are taking place in Geneva today — highlighting how global politics continues to steer markets and keeping oil and gold firmly in the spotlight. On today’s show, we were also joined by Manuel Villegas from Next Generation for an update on the crypto world, which has had a tough start to the new year.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:29) - Digital Assets: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (10:44) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content £Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Global equity markets are starting the week on a subdued note, with US markets closed today for President’s Day. Liquidity is also thinner than usual due to the Chinese Lunar New Year holidays and carnival celebrations in parts of South America. Japanese equities are seeing some profit-taking following weaker‑than‑expected GDP data, while gold and silver are also trading lower. In today’s episode, we’re joined by Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, who shares why he remains wary on US equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (01:14) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:18) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (09:51) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Recent weeks have seen extreme cross‑asset volatility, with sharp unwinds hitting US and China tech stocks, precious metals and cryptocurrencies. In China, renewed concerns about regulatory scrutiny are weighing on sentiment, even as the case for a stronger renminbi continues to build.In this episode of Moving Markets: The View Beyond, Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong at Julius Baer, speaks with Hong Hao, Managing Partner and CIO of Lotus Asset Management Ltd., to discuss what the market dislocations mean for investors, and how these cross-asset dynamics may shape positioning in the weeks ahead.(00:30) - The big precious metals selloff (04:04) - Cryptocurrencies – near and long-term outlook (08:13) - Industrial metals remain supported by rising strategic demand (10:36) - China tech – is it time to buy the dip? (13:55) - Defining “value” in China’s rotation (15:32) - Regulatory scrutiny – how worried should investors be? (20:20) - A-shares vs H-shares in the short term? (23:03) - Renminbi strength and outlook

Markets were mixed yesterday, with European shares dragged down by weak results from Adyen, Magnum and Mercedes-Benz, despite solid updates from Siemens and Hermès. Schroders jumped on a takeover approach from Nuveen. In the US, deepening concerns over AI‑driven disruption hit tech stocks hard, pushing the ‘Magnificent Seven’ lower and marking Apple’s worst day since Liberation Day. Gold and silver slipped on stronger US labour data, oil fell on rising supply signals, and US housing data highlighted growing structural weakness. We’re joined by Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, for the latest on metals and currencies ahead of key US inflation data.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (06:45) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva (10:59) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

A surprisingly strong US jobs report sent yields higher – most notably at the short end of the curve – and weighed on equity index performance. Market expectations have now shifted, with traders anticipating that the Federal Reserve will hold off on further rate cuts until July. Meanwhile, European equities climbed to fresh highs on the back of robust earnings. In today’s episode, Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research joins us to share his detailed perspective on how investors should navigate the current landscape in cloud computing and artificial intelligence.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (06:01) - Cloud Computing & AI: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (13:03) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Rising concerns about who will be disrupted next by rapid advances in artificial intelligence continue to weigh on parts of the markets. Investors are caught between solid corporate earnings and concerns about the strength of the US economy as consumer spending has finally caught up with consumer sentiment, and not in a good way. Investors’ focus will remain on US data this week. Afonso Borges from Fixed Income Research talks about which data releases he will be watching closely. A fast, lively breakdown of what’s moving markets — tune in!(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (06:09) - Bond market update: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research (11:00) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

US stocks rose, with the S&P 500 near a record, led by technology and AI on renewed OpenAI momentum. Alphabet’s USD bond sale drew over USD 100 billion in demand, allowing it to raise USD 20 billion and tighten pricing on its 40‑year bond. The USD weakened on reports that China’s banks are advised to cut their US Treasury holdings. Europe closed higher on strong gains from UniCredit and Novo Nordisk, while Asia followed Wall Street, with regional technology at new highs and Japan hitting another record. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses the precious metals market after its record surge and subsequent pullback.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (05:48) - Latest news on precious metals: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:22) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Japan’s Prime Minister Takaichi captured a historic supermajority for her Liberal Democratic Party in yesterday’s election, meaning the LDP holds two-thirds or more seats in the Lower House, and giving her the scope to pursue her fiscal agenda. The Nikkei 225 rallied 5.5% today, crossing the 57,000 threshold for the first time. Other Asian markets rallied this morning following the recovery in the US indices on Friday. Nevertheless, last week marked a rotation out of Big Tech and into smaller companies and dividend growth stocks. Gold is back up above USD 5,000 after whipsawing last week. Louis Chua, Equity Research Asia, joins the podcast today to talk about the likely impact of the Takaichi victory on Japan’s financial markets, and Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, provides his analysis of the moves in the IT sector and what the charts suggest might lie ahead.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (01:14) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (06:47) - Japan elections: Louis Chua, Equity Research Asia (11:56) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis (14:20) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the likely next chair of the Federal Reserve has prompted immediate market reactions and renewed debate around the future direction of US monetary policy. What should investors expect as the Fed faces new leadership?In this episode of Julius Baer’s Moving Markets – The View Beyond, Ayako Lehmann is joined by David Kohl, Chief Economist, to discuss the implications of Kevin Warsh’s nomination to lead the Federal Reserve. They examine market reactions, the prospects for rate cuts, the outlook for the US dollar, and the potential impact on asset classes including treasuries, fixed income, and equities. The conversation also covers the Fed’s balance sheet strategy, the risk of increased volatility, and what a shift away from ample liquidity could mean for investors. Finally, they address the recent volatility in precious metals and whether the nomination will bring stability to gold and silver markets.(00:00) - Introduction (01:01) - Was Warsh's nomination a surprise? (01:39) - Hawkish or dovish: What does Warsh’s stance mean for the Fed? (03:20) - Expected rate trajectory and implications for monetary policy (05:19) - Data dependence and the Fed’s decision-making process (06:22) - Do we expect the US dollar to weaken further as a result? (09:59) - Will Warsh's nomination affect the Fed’s balance sheet? (12:07) - No further quantitative easing underr Kevin Warsh? (13:33) - What is the potential impact on financial markets? (15:11) - The new outlook for fixed income investors (16:04) - US equities and the case for diversification (17:38) - Precious metals volatility: Will the rollercoaster end? (19:27) - Closing remarks Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The Bank of England and the European Central Bank both kept rates unchanged yesterday, signalling a cautious but data‑dependent stance even as inflation trends diverge on either side of the Channel. European equities finished broadly lower on the back of a busy earnings day, while in the US a third straight sell‑off pushed the S&P 500 into negative territory for the year. Crypto joined the risk‑off trend, while silver remained the standout story in commodities after back‑to‑back plunges and an overnight rebound that left volatility high. In corporate news, Rio Tinto and Glencore scrapped their merger discussions. Today we are joined by Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong, for an update on Asian tech stocks, and by Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, for the latest on metals and currencies.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (08:30) - Asia equity update: Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kon (15:49) - FX & metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva g (20:27) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Earnings and Big Tech remain in focus, with Alphabet beating Wall Street’s expectations but causing some investors to take flight in the wake of projected capex spending. The rotation out of tech stocks continued on Wednesday - the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.5%. China’s Hong Kong-listed technology stocks slid overnight with the Hang Seng Tech Index now 20% below its October peak. The threat of VAT increases being imposed on internet platforms exacerbated the move. The ECB and the Bank of England are both expected to keep rates on hold today. With investors hypnotised by swings in gold and silver prices this year, it’s easy to lose sight of oil and natural gas markets.  In light of the current geopolitical tensions impacting these markets, Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics and Next Generation Research joins the podcast to put things in perspective.(00:00) - Introduction: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (05:58) - Oil and Gas: Norbert Rücker, Head of Macro & Next Generation Research (12:01) - Closing remarks: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

The rotation out of technology stocks continued, with software shares selling off on AI‑disruption concerns, while cyclical stocks outperformed. WalMart reached a USD 1 trillion market‑cap milestone. German long‑dated yields hit their highest level since 2011 as heavy issuance lifted supply. Precious metals remain volatile but rebounded sharply, while Brent oil rises on Middle East tensions. In earnings, Novo Nordisk expects sales to fall this year due to pricing pressure. Afonso Borges from Fixed Income Research outlines developments in the US fixed income market and our Overweight stance on duration. Nenad Dinic from Equity Strategy provides an update on the earnings season and the outperformance of emerging‑market equities this year.(00:00) - Introduction: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content (00:51) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:08) - Update on US Federal Reserve: Afonso Borges, Fixed Income Research (11:48) - Earnings season and EM update: Nenad Dinic, Equity Strategy Research (18:34) - Closing remarks: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

After a deep slump at the open, market sentiment turned and equity markets swung sharply into positive territory, while precious metals — which had been under intense pressure — began to claw back recent losses in the hours that followed. In the US, tech favourite Palantir impressed after the close with stronger than expected results. And looking ahead, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation, shares his perspective on what the recent volatility means for precious metals and the path forward.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content (05:13) - Making sense of the precious metals sell-off: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research (09:48) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.