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Tom Nelson
Tom Nelson
Author: Thomas Nelson
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Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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Julian Morris presents slides on climate change: global temperatures have risen since 1850 and human greenhouse gas emissions plausibly contribute via radiative forcing, but he argues harms are not worsening. Using the EM-DAT disaster database, he notes reported extreme-weather disasters rose while geophysical disasters rose similarly, suggesting reporting and population effects; meanwhile climate-disaster mortality has fallen over 90% since the 1920s due to adaptation, technology, trade, infrastructure, warnings, and better buildings. He highlights long-term declines in energy and CO2 per GDP and potential decoupling, attributing progress to innovation and institutions like free markets and property rights. He critiques democratically unaccountable NGO–foundation–intergovernmental coalitions, discusses perverse incentives in conservation (rhino horn trade bans), ethanol mandates, and possible blockchain tracking for wildlife products.00:00 Meet Julian Morris01:02 Is the World Warming01:33 Are Humans Causing It02:24 Disaster Counts Rising04:51 Why Disasters Get Counted06:21 Deaths From Disasters Fall07:46 How Humans Adapt11:03 Should We Worry Next11:34 Efficiency Cuts Emissions13:57 Energy Decouples From CO216:20 Fuel Shifts Over Time21:13 Tech Efficiency Breakthroughs23:18 Projecting To Net Zero24:37 Environmental Kuznets Curve27:24 Institutions Drive Decoupling29:48 Policy Takeaways And Tradeoffs31:54 Global Carbon Intensity Trends32:22 Hurricanes And Alarmism32:47 Lighting Progress Metrics33:44 Segmented Sleep Debate35:07 Democratic Deficit Ecosystem37:32 Climate Coalition Incentives39:39 Declining Climate Credibility42:13 Availability Cascades Explained43:35 Perverse NGO Incentives46:10 Rhino Horn Trade Ban Fallout50:42 Saving Species With Trade51:59 Ethanol Baptist Bootleggers54:54 Blockchain For Provenance57:26 Wrap Up And Resourceshttps://reason.org/author/julian-morris/https://x.com/Julian_MorrisDefending Democracy from the DoDOs: How Power Escapes Democratic Control: https://laweconcenter.org/resources/defending-democracy-from-the-dodos-part-i-how-power-escapes-democratic-control/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Professor Demetris Koutsoyiannis presents a 2020 talk arguing the “climate change agenda” is political, tracing it to Henry Kissinger’s 1974 UN speech and subsequent WMO, CIA, U.S. agency actions, leading to the CO2 program, world climate conferences, and the IPCC’s 1988 creation. He reviews Time magazine’s shifting narratives from global cooling to warming and CO2, then describes elite networks and philanthropy—especially Rockefeller-linked funding—aimed at moving climate from science to policy, promoting carbon pricing, and expanding global governance. He draws a historical analogy to Rockefeller-supported eugenics and warns of emergency politics limiting rights. In discussion, he contrasts Greek and U.S. belief levels and says COVID fears waned in Greece while climate remains influential.00:00 Intro and Talk Setup01:43 Roadmap and Sources03:15 1973-74 Power Players05:45 Kissinger Career Background06:44 Five Labors Overview10:16 Climate Alert at UN12:38 Cooling Scare and Agencies14:38 CO2 Program to IPCC Birth16:42 Climategate and IPCC Politics19:00 Time Magazine Narrative Shift19:30 From Ice Age to CO2 Villain22:57 Rio to Kyoto Green Industry24:47 Panic Marketing and Activism26:38 Greta and Climate Migration28:15 COVID vs Climate Messaging31:09 Part Three World Saviors31:30 Rockefeller Web of Influence33:34 Money Geography and Oil Roots35:32 Big Oil Meets Big Green37:11 Grantmaking and Consensus37:56 Rockefeller Climate Strategy39:29 Divestment and Multi Agenda Grants41:14 Foundation Funding Machine42:53 Podesta Emails Elite Coordination44:26 Big Green Mega Projects45:27 Climate Emergency State48:35 Climate as Global Governance Vehicle51:58 Supranational Solutions Go Mainstream55:12 Paris COP Influence Network56:53 Eugenics Historical Parallel59:25 From Consensus to State Policy01:02:31 Epilogue Doom Predictions01:04:09 COVID Pivot and World Order01:08:56 Closing Truth and Freedom01:11:22 Q and A Wrap UpHome page: https://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/dk/Substack: https://climath.substack.com/The political origin of the climate change agenda: https://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/docinfo/2035/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Jules de Waart, an 84-year-old former geologist, Dutch parliamentarian, civil servant, and physical geographer, discusses returning to climate topics after retirement and writing his skeptical book, "Crisis or Hoax," after an article was refused. He describes translating it to English using translation software and later joining the CO2 Coalition. Using geological and satellite-temperature slides, he argues Earth’s climate has long cycled through icehouse/greenhouse periods, the Holocene had earlier warm periods, and recent temperature spikes align with natural factors rather than CO2. He disputes claims of a strong scientific consensus, cites studies showing few papers explicitly quantify IPCC dominance, critiques alarmist messaging, and urges defending the scientific method and caution on geoengineering.00:00 Meet Jules de Waart02:49 Why He Wrote The Book03:08 Research And Translation Process06:13 Two Big Climate Questions10:26 Deep Time Climate History14:32 Holocene Warm Periods18:25 IPCC 1990 And Hockey Stick21:02 Satellites Spikes And Natural Drivers25:43 Debunking The 97 Percent Consensus30:59 Scary Messaging And White Lies34:19 Is The Narrative Cracking42:49 Power Politics And Global Reset Claims49:00 Closing Advice And Scientific MethodAmazon link for “Crisis or Hoax?: Climate change in science, media and politics”: https://a.co/d/0hF1DizdTilak Doshi: “This Book by a Dissenting Climate Scientist is the Perfect Red Pill for the Curious”: https://tilakdoshi.substack.com/p/this-book-by-a-dissenting-climate?publication_id=2241724=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Reporter Audrey Streb discusses joining the White House press pool for The Lion, aiming to ask energy-focused questions. Drawing on her work at the Daily Caller News Foundation, she argues corporate media fuels “climate doomsday” coverage by spotlighting supportive studies and ignoring contrary ones, and she outlines tactics like calling out bad data, highlighting underplayed leads, and framing stories for readers. She cites reporting on retracted climate research, sea-level findings, China’s coal use and its comments on EPA rule rollbacks, and national-security risks from Chinese solar inverters. Her questioning of EPA Administrator Zeldin helped spur Sen. Cynthia Lummis’ bill to block foreign adversaries from commenting on U.S. rulemaking. She also mentions Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund scrutiny, climate litigation “lawfare,” and trade-offs in wind/solar.00:00 Meet Audrey Streb00:38 Energy Reporter Origins01:46 Climate Myth Machine03:56 Calling Out Bad Data05:53 China and Energy Security09:04 Asking the Questions14:19 Swampy Climate Funds15:38 Tradeoffs of Wind Solar21:01 White House Press Pool23:35 Allies and Conferences24:43 Scientists and Media Attacks27:20 Who to Read Next29:26 New Investigations Ahead31:33 Climate Lawfare Explained36:15 Grid Risks from China Tech39:01 Will the Hysteria Return41:17 Gas Prices and Politics43:33 Closing Thoughts and Impacthttps://x.com/AudreyLStreb=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Matt Ridley discusses an NIH invitation from Jay Bhattacharya to speak on scientific freedom and argues the COVID-19 pandemic was more likely caused by a lab leak than a natural spillover, citing Wuhan research on engineered sarbecoviruses, lack of an infected animal host, and alleged cover-ups. He says scientific institutions resisted debate, harming trust in science, and notes historical lab leaks and ongoing biosecurity and bioterrorism risks. Ridley also critiques overclaims about COVID measures and vaccines and connects pandemic-driven skepticism to climate debates. He then explains themes from his books on progress and on bird sexual selection, lekking, bowerbirds, and how female choice drives beauty, plus brief Darwin and family-history anecdotes.00:00 NIH Invite and Lab Leak01:08 Evidence and Coincidences02:50 Establishment Pushback04:49 Science Trust Fallout07:00 History of Lab Leaks08:34 Biosecurity and Terror Risk10:32 Defining Gain of Function11:57 Pandemic Cynicism and Policy14:14 Climate Debate Parallels18:44 Rational Optimist Progress21:12 Neanderthals and Exchange25:36 Gene Culture Coevolution31:33 Bird Sex and Beauty Intro33:56 Sexy Son Hypothesis36:14 Sexual Selection vs Natural37:10 Why Birds Look Beautiful40:27 Wood Thrush Song Evolution41:28 Bowerbirds Invent Art43:26 Peacock Tail Debates45:33 City Life Drives Evolution47:47 Traffic and Telegraph Selection51:42 Birds Are Poetry53:18 Irish Elk Mega Antlers56:25 Black Grouse Lek Video58:13 Darwin Marries Cousin01:00:45 Family Estate Through Centuries01:03:59 Wrap Up and Invitationhttps://x.com/mattwridleyhttps://www.mattridley.co.uk/blog/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
David Brett, founder of The New Westminster Times, discusses a talk he gave on “eco fascism,” which he says originated with Greenpeace founders. Citing Patrick Moore’s book and his work at Green Spirit Strategies, he argues environmental activism is “90% communications,” using media “mind bombs” (dramatic imagery, celebrities, and litigation) to shape public opinion against mining, oil, forestry, and pipelines. He says Moore, a Greenpeace co-founder, has been “airbrushed” and smeared as disinformation. Brett critiques films like Anthropocene, “Sue Big Oil,” climate-emergency messaging, Greta Thunberg rallies, and NGO “youth washing,” and says activists link climate to Indigenous grievance. He urges industry to invest in human-interest counter-messaging and local civic pushback.00:00 Meet David Brett00:26 Eco Fascism Origins01:08 Mining Versus Activists01:34 Patrick Moore Influence04:06 Greenpeace Mind Bombs07:14 From Whales to Politics08:31 PR War Imbalance11:59 Smearing Patrick Moore16:04 Anthropocene Media Tactics21:14 Critical Minerals Pivot25:52 Pipeline Battles Canada30:58 Greta Rally and Sacred Water34:31 Climate Anxiety Messaging36:04 Why No Pushback36:52 Greenpeace Lawsuit Setup37:35 Sue Big Oil Campaign39:44 Fires and Weather Hype44:37 Youthwashing at City Hall47:00 How to Fight Back Locally50:30 Human Stories Media Strategy57:40 Eco Fascism Endgame59:38 Climate Meets Indigenous Grievance01:04:34 Media Gatekeepers and Alternatives01:08:24 Wrap Up and LinksThe Eco-Fascist War on Private Property: https://x.com/NewWestTimes/status/2012650288553906493https://x.com/NewWestTimeshttps://x.com/davidhbrettYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCfsOXbN6XqqdL5v3ArKt-NA/videos=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Robert Cutler argues that climate patterns repeat about every 3,560 years (and 7,120), based on shifting proxy reconstructions—especially high‑resolution Greenland ice cores—and confirming with correlation analysis across Greenland cores, an Antarctic core, and lake sediment records from China and Alaska. He notes phase inversions possibly tied to ~2,400‑year Bray and Bond cycles and highlights alignments among events like the Younger Dryas, the 8.2 ka and 4.7 ka events, and the Dark Ages cold period. Cutler connects 3,560 to harmonics/subharmonics of Jovian-planet conjunction timing, the Jose cycle, and other periodicities (e.g., ~1,850 and ~890 years), suggesting strong non-subtle forcing possibly involving solar activity.00:00 Meet Robert Cutler27:27 Correlation Confirms 356031:05 Predictions and Next Steps32:33 Where 3560 Comes From34:04 Can Planets Modulate Sun36:40 Solar Core Resonance Idea40:39 Harmonics in Planet Orbits41:56 Impulsive Conjunction Forces43:44 JPL Data and Long Cycles47:50 Grand Alignment Phase Markers49:57 Jose Cycle and Barycenter53:02 Hidden 890 Year Beat57:14 Rapid Climate Event Timing59:55 Harmonic Subharmonic Map01:02:18 Summary and Open Questions01:06:30 Reproducible Code and Tools01:08:43 Next Steps and Wrap Uphttps://x.com/RCutler34A 3560-Year Jovian Solar and Climate Cycle: https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.27244.01925Simple python script to download and plot climate and sunspot data with 3560- and 7120-year offsets: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/401300980_Simple_python_script_to_download_and_plot_climate_and_sunspot_data_with_3560-_and_7120-year_offsets=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Randall Bock, a primary care physician and writer, discusses science as both knowledge and method, warning that post-COVID dissent can harden into new dogma. He argues the autism “epidemic” is confounded by shifting definitions, DSM changes, diagnostic substitution (notably from intellectual disability), incentives, and social context, making single-cause claims unreliable. Bock describes internal conflict with Brownstone and criticizes Toby Rogers’ vaccine-centered, revolutionary framing, including calls for massive reparations and abolishing vaccines, as unscientific moral certainty. He supports case-by-case risk–benefit thinking on vaccines and urges precise classification and evidence-led inquiry, comparing autism debates to oversimplified climate debates.00:00 What Science Really Is03:30 From Dissent To Dogma05:48 Blind Men And Autism09:04 Defining Autism First10:49 Why Autism Looks Bigger15:50 Genes Epigenetics And Timing18:36 Twin Studies And Disputes21:32 Diagnostic Drift And Labels26:24 Mental Health Incentives29:47 More Analogies Chrysalis30:11 Butterfly Spectrum Metaphor31:12 Gala Night Confrontation35:01 Amateur Versus Expert37:06 Autism Tsunami Claims39:32 Marxist Vaccine Narrative41:45 Denialism and Data43:49 Monocausal Vaccine Thesis45:59 Anger and Overcorrection48:08 Amish and Diagnosis Context51:44 Climate Analogy and Precision55:48 RFK Memory and Institutions57:25 Case by Case Conclusionhttps://x.com/@DrRandallBockAutism, Vaccines, and the Diagnostic Empire: https://randoctor.substack.com/p/autism-vaccines-and-the-diagnosticThe Truth About Autism and Vaccines Doesn’t Suit Either Side: https://dailysceptic.org/2026/02/14/the-truth-about-autism-and-vaccines-doesnt-suit-either-side/The Hidden Cost of Mental Health Parity”: https://brownstone.org/articles/the-hidden-cost-of-mental-health-parity/Unraveling Autism’s Surge: Genetics, Environment, and the Expanding Diagnostic Net https://randoctor.substack.com/p/unraveling-autisms-surge=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Author Peter Bailey, president of the Prouty Project in Minneapolis, discusses formative travel and life experiences that shaped his leadership work and book, "The Epic of You." He recounts teenage journeys to India and a six-month overland trip across Africa featuring malaria, scarce roads in the Sahara, forged passports, wildlife in Tanzania and Kenya, and a flash flood. He describes early struggles with low self-esteem, addiction and sobriety at 22, risky subway riding, and later adventures like a Wyoming rodeo fall and learning polo at 55. Bailey explains using Joseph Campbell’s heroic journey to reframe adversity, details his 13-minute TEDx talk including his wife’s cancer “power and purpose” mindset, shares practices on names, mindfulness, and resting, and emphasizes community and discernment amid AI.00:00 Meet Peter Bailey00:33 Early Travel Roots02:04 Six Months Across Africa03:21 Hard Lessons and Journals05:09 Crossing the Sahara08:03 Safari Parks and Floods10:10 Iran Riots at Sixteen13:14 Book Origins and Identity15:25 Subway Demons and Risk16:07 Rodeo Wipeout Story19:34 Learning Polo Later22:01 Outward Bound and Dogsleds24:10 Staying Warm and Prepared25:02 Lonesome Dove Quotes26:32 Prairie Stories and Brotherhood28:02 From Hardship to Heroic Journey28:46 Mapping the Heroic Journey30:45 Leadership Work and Gifts31:11 Crafting the TEDx Talk32:08 Power and Purpose in Cancer33:29 Owning Your Epic Life34:44 Learning from Adversity and Nature36:48 Remembering Names with Intention40:38 Mindfulness over Multitasking42:37 Rest All the Time45:29 Anchoring Mindset in Sports46:55 Everyday Epicness and Service49:26 Next Chapter Aging and AI52:11 Closing Thanks and Farewellhttps://www.peter-bailey.com/“The Epic of You” on Amazon: https://a.co/d/00P4YyVK=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Tom interviews British doctor Clare Craig about her new book (including a newly released audiobook) and her involvement in a European Court of Human Rights case. Craig describes being smeared and censored during COVID, alleging UK information operations involving the 77th Brigade and a Counter Disinformation Unit, and cites claims of UN/UNICEF-funded influencer campaigns and problematic WHO priorities. She argues COVID policies (lockdowns, masking, distancing) and vaccines failed to stop infection, severe disease, or death, critiques scientific publishing and peer review, and recounts a dispute with The Lancet over a myocarditis paper she says misused data. Craig discusses ethical drift toward utilitarian public health, revisits historical narratives on smallpox vaccination and the 1918 “Spanish flu” (including a possible aspirin-toxicity role), and outlines the Finnish “Mika” case over vaccine restrictions.00:00 Meet Clare Craig09:26 Losing Trust In Institutions18:42 Ethics Nuremberg To Helsinki24:51 Smallpox Vaccine Origins29:10 Crude Early Vaccines29:58 Pushback and Belief30:49 Smallpox Vaccine Reality31:59 Monkeypox Emergency Politics33:57 Spanish Flu Numbers36:02 Two Pathologies Explained38:12 Aspirin Toxicity Theory42:24 Covid Wave Math45:00 Aerosols Everywhere48:05 Household Data and Vaccines52:18 Where Did Flu Go54:03 Dashboards and Modeled Data56:20 Human Rights Case Closinghttps://x.com/ClareCraigPathSpiked: A shot in the dark: https://a.co/d/4W8P2JD========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
David Dilley, a former NOAA and Air Force meteorologist, says climate is driven by natural “climate pulse” cycles from Earth–Moon–Sun gravitational/electromagnetic interactions, not human CO2. He argues warming and cooling have repeated for centuries and claims Arctic ice loss since 1990 is mainly from periodic surges of warm Atlantic subsurface water about every nine years. He critiques NOAA temperature averaging and ice-core CO2 estimates, citing fossil leaf stomata to claim CO2 often exceeded 300 ppm and that most post-1850 CO2 rise is natural. He forecasts a global cooling cycle starting around 2030 lasting 60–75 years, with shorter growing seasons, possible food shortages, and greater energy needs. He advocates shifting climate research funding and expanding thorium/molten-salt nuclear power.00:00 Shorter Growing Seasons & Food Shortage Warnings (2030s)00:31 Meet Meteorologist David Dilley + Climate Pulse Tech Overview03:49 CO₂ Since 1850: Challenging the “All Fossil Fuels” Claim05:05 Historic Warming & Cooling Cycles: Medieval Warm Period to Today07:44 Why Arctic Ice Melted (1990–2025): Warm Atlantic Surges10:52 How NOAA Calculates Global Temps: Oceans Skew the Average13:39 Earth–Moon–Sun Cycles: The “Climate Pulse” & Long-Term Rhythms17:49 Gravitational Peaks & the Coming Global Cooling Cycle21:55 CO₂ Proxies Explained: Ice Cores vs Fossil Leaf Stomata27:36 Correcting the CO₂ Record: Natural vs Human Contributions33:10 CO₂ in the Atmosphere: What the Numbers Actually Are35:30 Ocean Cycles 101: The Atlantic’s 65–70 Year Warm/Cold Pattern38:42 ENSO Shift Ahead: La Niña to El Niño and ‘Erratic Weather’ (2027–2030)40:27 2030 Arctic Freeze-Up Forecast: Cold Water ‘Plunges’ and Europe’s ‘Beast from the East’41:40 All Oceans + Solar/Geomagnetic Cycles: Why the 2030s Could Flip to Cooling43:16 Energy Crunch in a Cooling World: AI Power Demand, Heat Pumps, and Grid Risk44:39 Next-Gen Nuclear Pitch: Molten Salt & Thorium Reactors vs Wind51:39 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Explained: Jet Stream ‘Rubber Band’ Break55:54 Food & Society Impacts: Shorter Growing Seasons, Europe Cold, and ‘Year Without a Summer’01:02:54 Wrap-Up: Call to Refocus Research Away from ‘Political Science’David Dilley’s March 2025 appearance on this podcast (episode #284): https://youtu.be/DKNP_LXp0o8https://www.globalweathercycles.com/http://www.globalweatheroscillations.com/https://x.com/WeatherCycleshttps://www.youtube.com/@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Paul Burgess presents updates to his Burgess Oceanic Solar CO2 index, claiming it precisely matches satellite temperatures from 1982–2025 without changing its fixed formula, including UAH v6.1 and final 2024–2025 data despite a record-low PDO. He says the index is not a forecasting model and implies ECS is 1°C, with ~25% warming from CO2 and ~22–23% from human CO2 after outgassing. A second paper argues oceans drive low-cloud changes (1–3 year lag), with ~2% cloud decline explaining warming, challenging IPCC positive feedbacks. He previews an extension back to 1900 with ~0.96 correlation using a UHI adjustment (Connolly 2021) and invites critique by email.00:00 Paul Burgess Returns: Introducing the Oceanic Solar CO₂ Index Update00:24 How the Index Matches Satellite Temps (and Why That’s Unusual)01:02 No Curve-Fitting: Validation, Critiques, and Why It’s Public02:19 Completing 2024–2025 + Switching UAH v6.0 to v6.103:42 Index vs Model: Fixed Formula, Inputs, and What It Can (and Can’t) Forecast05:01 CO₂ Contribution & ECS = 1°C: What the Index Implies07:01 Paper #1 Results: Record-Low PDO Stress Test and Fit Metrics11:43 From Statistics to Physics: Paper #2 on Oceans, Clouds, and Sunlight13:03 Clouds as Earth’s Thermostat: The ~2% Low-Cloud Change Claim15:58 Cloud Layers & Evidence: Low Clouds Drive the Signal17:58 IPCC Feedback Story Explained (and Critiqued)21:31 Chicken-and-Egg Problem: Ocean–Cloud Coupling and the 1–3 Year Lag22:00 Paper #3 Teaser: Testing Water Vapor, Albedo, and Cloud Feedbacks27:21 Key Takeaways: Albedo/Ice Changes Follow Warming + Better Cloud Observations28:19 Cloud Cover vs. Shortwave Radiation: What the Satellite Data Shows28:59 Takeaway #3: Low Clouds as an Ocean-Driven “Sunshade” (Not a Warming Amplifier)29:37 Four Key Lessons: Ocean Leads Clouds, and the Radiative Effect Matches30:57 Implications for Climate Sensitivity: Why Models May Overstate CO₂ Feedbacks32:07 How to Critique the Framework: Falsification Tests and Evidence Chain34:57 Extending the BOI Back to 1900: Data Limits, UHI Adjustments, and Out-of-Sample Logic36:12 Sneak Peek Results: BOI 1900–2025 and the 0.96 Correlation Claim40:23 Q&A: How the BOI Coefficients Were Built (Covariance Fitting, Weights, Inputs)43:51 Testing and Next Steps: Volcano Signals, Ocean Mechanisms, and Future Projections47:02 Forecast vs. IPCC + Wrap-Up: Cooling Possibility, Politics, and Contact InfoEmail: svsuliere@gmail.comExplaining Every Temperature Change from 1983 to 2025 - My Most Important Work Ever: https://substack.com/home/post/p-182701114Linking Ocean Heat, Low Clouds, and Sunlight In Burgess Oceanic index: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/linking-ocean-heat-low-clouds-andTesting Water Vapour, Albedo and Cloud Feedback with the Burgess Oceanic Index: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/testing-water-vapour-albedo-and-cloudClimate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Joseph Fournier presents “part two” on how Pacific Walker circulation controls Earth’s largest greenhouse effect: cloud longwave radiative forcing. He explains cloud radiative forcing terminology, cites literature claiming cloud greenhouse warming dwarfs CO2 forcing, and shows satellite-era links between trade winds, cloud shifts during ENSO, outgoing longwave radiation, and global/tropical temperature anomalies. He contrasts absorbed solar radiation, OLR, and Earth energy imbalance, arguing global averages can be dominated by regional Pacific dynamics. He reviews multidecadal “dimming/brightening” sunshine trends in Europe, Japan and the U.S., discusses aerosols vs natural drivers, and briefly addresses future uncertainty, AMO/IPO impacts, and solar/cosmic-ray hypotheses. 00:00 Welcome Back: Joseph Fournier & Why This Is “Part Two”02:15 Cloud Basics 101: Shortwave vs Longwave, Net Cloud Radiative Forcing05:51 Albedo Matters: How Small Cloud Changes Rival CO₂ Forcing08:40 Evidence in the Literature: Trendberth and Early Satellite Cloud Forcing Maps14:28 Clouds vs CO₂ Since 2000: Step-Change in Cloudiness and OLR16:56 Geography Over Global Averages: The Western Pacific Warm Pool Hotspot20:12 Warm Pool Size, SST, and Real-World Impacts (Winters, ENSO Timescales)22:48 Walker Circulation Explained: Where Deep Convection Sits in La Niña vs El Niño25:34 Warm Pool “Thermal Capacitor”: Thermocline Slosh, Water Volume, and Cloud Shift30:32 Sea Level Pile-Up and the Gravity-Driven Discharge During El Niño32:36 Radiation Signatures of ENSO: DLW/OLR Links to Niño Indices36:13 Cloud Forcing Ratios & Decadal Patterns: What El Niño Does to Warm Pool Clouds40:34 Global Signals: OLR vs Global Air Temperature and the ENSO Lead–Lag45:14 Trade Winds as the Control Knob: Linking Pacific Easterlies to Global OLR47:44 Tropical temps, OLR & trade winds: Walker circulation link48:42 Clouds as the “other knob”: absorbed shortwave (ASR) vs temperature50:29 2023 El Niño cloud changes: low-cloud cover & shifting albedo53:49 ASR vs OLR since 2000: the hiatus ends and the energy budget shifts55:44 Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) vs GAT: why the correlation breaks57:58 Seasonal cycle first: EEI swings, hemispheres, clouds & land–ocean contrast01:00:10 Wrap-up: two greenhouse effects & a call for academics to test it01:02:54 Sunshine hours & AMO: UK/Europe brightening over the 20th century01:07:26 Aerosols vs clouds: modern satellite trends and the “brightening” debate01:11:53 Global dimming/brightening goes global: Japan/China records & Pacific teleconnections01:12:56 Natural vs human drivers: when aerosols don’t explain surface radiation01:18:13 Forecasting the next decade: sun, AMO/IPO, cooling claims & big uncertainties01:26:17 Closing remarks: slides, Substack, and the climate–energy–geopolitics linkMore information about Joseph Fournier: https://co2coalition.org/teammember/joseph-fournier/His 2024 presentation: https://youtu.be/P2hVW0R67CYJoseph’s Substack: https://josephfournier.substack.com/X: https://x.com/JosephF55175005=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Jamie Andrews discusses his journey from geology to virology, questioning the mechanisms and validity of virus transmission and pathogenic theories, especially in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Drawing on historical and contemporary controlled human infection studies, Andrews suggests that viruses do not spread as traditionally believed and criticizes the reliance on PCR tests for diagnosing viral infections. He also questions the role of global institutions in shaping scientific narratives, proposing that environmental factors and industrial toxins may play a more significant role in disease than viruses.00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome00:20 Journey into Virology and 2020 Events01:21 Geology Background and Climate Data04:48 Skepticism and Investigations10:28 Controlled Human Infection Models11:25 Spanish Flu and Historical Experiments15:42 Modern Virology and Contagion Studies31:36 Court Cases and Legal Battles39:01 Realizing the Potential of Independent Research40:21 Crowdsourcing and Engaging CROs41:16 Following Standard Laboratory Protocols41:56 Unexpected Findings in Cell Cultures45:22 Microscopy and Viral Morphologies49:36 Challenges with Mainstream Virology54:58 Genetic Sequencing and Future Research01:02:05 Debating Historical Disease Outbreaks01:10:20 Concluding Thoughts and Future Directionshttps://x.com/JamieAA_Againhttps://substack.com/@controlstudies=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Joseph Hickey from CORRELATION Research in the Public Interest discusses findings on Canada’s temperature records, revealing a unique stepwise increase in 1998 that accounts for all the country’s warming since 1948. This anomaly challenges the prevailing CO2-driven warming paradigm, suggesting potential influences from natural climate variability, such as ocean oscillations. Hickey also highlights issues of data adjustments and inconsistencies in Environment Canada’s records.00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction00:23 Overview of Correlation Research02:13 Joseph Hickey's Background03:53 Initial Observations on Temperature Data08:18 Stepwise Increase in Temperature Data11:12 Geographical Spread of Temperature Steps18:31 Analysis of Temperature Trends Post-199827:24 Potential Causes of Temperature Steps34:09 Conclusion and Future Research35:19 Q&A Sessionhttps://x.com/josephmhickeyhttps://www.researchgate.net/profile/Joseph-Hickey-5=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Jonathan Cohler and Willie Soon present a rebuttal to assertions made by Ned Nikolov about the physical meaning of global mean surface temperature (GMST). They argue that GMST is a physically meaningless statistical construct that cannot represent the Earth's thermal state or energy content due to its basis in non-equilibrium thermodynamics. They emphasize that temperature is an intensive property and its aggregation across different systems is fundamentally flawed from both mathematical and thermodynamic perspectives.00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction00:38 Global Temperature: Physically Meaningless01:28 Thermodynamics and Its Importance02:26 Disagreement in Science02:58 Essex Etal 2007 Paper Discussion04:25 Defining Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST)08:04 Temperature and Energy Relationship15:43 Critique of Nikolov's Claims34:26 Averaging Methods and Their Flaws49:28 Debunking Global Temperature Myths49:48 The Flaws in Global Temperature Estimation51:23 Classical Realism and Thermodynamics53:06 Critique of GMST and Climate Models54:23 The Paris Agreement and GMST55:47 Misconceptions in Climate Science01:14:21 The Role of AI in Climate Research01:20:03 Concluding Thoughts and Future Workhttps://jonathancohler.com/https://x.com/cohlerDDP July 2025 presentation: “The Father of Lies: Hijacking Climate Science - Jonathan Cohler”: https://youtu.be/o_YJgD5cy1IDDP July 2025 presentation: How well can we measure the Earth’s energy budget? Willie Soon, Ph.D.: https://youtu.be/tI0qmV2Bbc8=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Ned Nikolov discusses the physical meaning of the global mean surface temperature, addressing critiques by papers from Essex et al. (2007) and Jonathan Cohler (2025) that question its validity. Nikolov argues that these critiques misunderstand thermodynamic principles, and presents his own analysis, supported by satellite data, which shows a meaningful correlation between global mean surface temperature and energy fluxes. He emphasizes the importance of using accurate scientific principles when critiquing climate science to maintain credibility.00:00 Introduction and Topic Overview00:38 Questioning the Global Mean Surface Temperature01:24 Review of Key Papers02:23 Arguments Against Global Mean Surface Temperature04:29 Analyzing the Validity of Temperature Averages09:47 Kohler's Perspective on Temperature Measurement19:03 Empirical Data and Model Comparisons33:45 Understanding Temperature in Thermodynamics37:49 Introduction to Temperature and Energy Concepts38:09 Kohler's Statement and Its Flaws38:34 Understanding Internal Energy and PV Energy40:39 The Gas Law and Its Implications43:08 Boltzmann Constant and Molecular Energy44:11 Degrees of Freedom in Gas Molecules45:06 Combining Equations for Total Energy48:33 Temperature and Energy Relationship49:11 Redefining Kelvin Using Boltzmann Constant54:57 Global Mean Surface Temperature57:55 Calculating Moon's Average Temperature01:02:05 Latitude and Global Temperature Relationship01:06:36 Critique of IPCC and Climate Skeptics01:09:35 Q&A and Final Thoughts Essex et al. (2007): https://www.fys.ku.dk/~andresen/BAhome/ownpapers/globalTexist.pdf Cohler (2025): https://www.jpands.org/vol30no4/cohler.pdf Nikolv & Zeller (2024): https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7418/4/3/17Open Letter to IPCC: https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/open_letter_to_ipcc_authors.pdfMy tweet about NASA and global average temperature being 62.45F, or between 56F and 58F, or something: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1033711214109646848https://x.com/NikolovScience=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Steve Davies discusses the major themes of his new book ‘The Great Realignment: Why the New Right Wing Politics is Here to Stay,’ which analyzes the political upheaval since the mid-2000s. He explains how traditional left vs. right economic issues have been replaced by a new alignment based on nationalism vs. cosmopolitanism, driven by deep structural changes in the global economy and political landscape. Davies also touches on topics like digital IDs, the future of climate change policies, open borders, and the impact of emerging geopolitical shifts.00:00 Introduction to Steve Davies and His New Book01:32 The Great Realignment: Political Upheaval Explained03:17 The Collapse of Traditional Major Parties04:54 The Permanent Nature of New Right Politics05:35 Understanding Political Realignment09:40 The Shift from Economics to Globalization vs. Cosmopolitanism15:48 Material Causes Behind Political Changes16:44 Impact of Global Investment and Migration19:46 The Role of Meritocracy and Cultural Splits21:39 Climate Change in the New Political Divide27:09 Alternative Solutions to Global Problems29:41 The Future of the United Nations31:08 Global Power Shifts and the Decline of the UN33:49 The Looming Debt Crisis34:59 The Impact of Aging Populations on National Budgets37:12 Potential Solutions to the Debt Problem38:07 The Future of the US Dollar and Global Finance40:21 Public Spending and Corruption42:39 The Threat of Digital Dystopia47:14 Open Borders and Immigration Policies58:48 Final Thoughts on Future Political Landscapeshttps://x.com/SteveDavies365========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Author Ralph Pezzullo discusses his book 'Stolen Elections' based on a five-year investigation by government whistleblowers into the manipulation of elections via compromised software developed in Venezuela. The book details how this software, allegedly used to rig elections in 72 countries, was partly responsible for suspected fraud in U.S. elections since 2008. With insights from whistleblowers, computer experts, and endorsements from figures like Elon Musk, Pezzullo emphasizes the need to revert to paper ballots and ID-based voting to restore electoral integrity.00:00 Introduction to Ralph Pezzullo and His Book00:12 Whistleblowers and Their Backgrounds01:25 Publicity and High-Profile Awareness02:05 The Criminal Cartel and Election Software05:36 Global Impact and Historical Context08:53 Infiltration and Manipulation in the U.S.12:47 Efforts to Expose and Combat the Fraud23:43 Challenges and Resistance27:01 The 2016 and 2024 Elections38:42 Support and Skepticism49:18 Conclusion and Final Thoughtshttps://x.com/RalphPezzullohttps://linktr.ee/hbh_podStolen Elections book trailer: https://youtu.be/iEwa-SLnODYStolen Elections on Amazon: https://a.co/d/cLBwphahttps://stolenelectionsfacts.com/=========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
Alvin Wong, a researcher from the University of Hong Kong, discusses the significant yet often underestimated impact of volcanic eruptions on global weather patterns and climate change. Highlighting studies from various volcanic events, including the 1982 El Chichon and the 2021-2022 Tonga eruptions, Wong explains how volcanic materials and geothermal heat released during eruptions can alter atmospheric and oceanic systems, leading to extreme weather phenomena like heavy rainfall and altered ocean circulation. Wong calls for a greater consideration of volcanic activity in climate models to improve weather prediction and understanding of climate variability.00:00 Introduction to Alvin Wong and Volcanic Eruptions04:13 Hong Kong Rainfall Records and Volcanic Eruptions29:22 Geothermal Heat from Volcanic Eruptions32:48 The 2021-2022 Hunga Tonga Eruption46:50 Global Impact of the Hunga Tonga Eruption01:02:04 Short-term and Long-term Effects of Volcanic Eruptions01:10:14 Volcanic Eruptions and Extreme Weather Events01:17:03 Future Research and Predictions01:24:17 Conclusion and Final Thoughtshttps://volcanostudygrouphk.wordpress.com/author/taipofo/========Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summariesMy Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1





Re: Show 77 Gerald Kutney is a delusional insulting moron who believes his own bullshit. It's actually alarming that people like him are out there and is advising people. He is far more dangerous than any climate change.