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On The Market
On The Market
Author: BiggerPockets
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The modern real estate investor doesn’t have time to research every headline and trend. That’s why BiggerPockets' Dave Meyer and his expert panel do it for you. Learn how to invest smarter in today’s economic environment.
397 Episodes
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The 18-year real estate cycle calls for a crash in 2026. It correctly predicted the 2008 crash, it was right for decades in a row in the 1800s, and many say it’s the one true oracle for home prices.
Funnily enough, it’s been 18 years since 2008, and home prices are starting to peak.
But is there enough data to trust in this housing market cycle? Should you be selling your properties just shy of every 18 years to load up on low prices during the next predicted housing crash? Or, is this just a conveniently (somewhat) accurate theory that crash bros use to get maximum clicks?
Today, Dave is reviewing the evidence and sharing the cases from economists on whether the 18-year cycle exists. The theory calls for a crash worse than 2008 this year, but is there any evidence to support this claim? You might be surprised, but Dave does agree with parts of this theory.
In This Episode We Cover
2026 housing crash? Why the 18-year real estate cycle says we’re at the end of an era
The “phases” of the real estate cycle explained (from bust to boom)
Did the cycle end? Why home prices may have already peaked years ago
2008 vs. 2026: What could cause a housing crash to happen this year
The (surprisingly) accurate 18-year predictions for decades in a row
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
The Four Stages Of The Real Estate Cycle
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing"
Grab the Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-395
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This could open up homebuying for millions of Americans. The question is: Is it worth it?
A new housing proposal from the Trump administration adds yet another lever that first-time buyers can pull to pay for their first house. But it’s got financial advisors sweating.
We’re back with another headline episode, talking about recent moves shaking up the housing market. First, some good news from Redfin that shows the housing market is actually getting more… affordable? That’s right. A substantial decline in housing costs may be just the start as homebuyer purchasing power grows year over year. We’re on the right track…but will it continue?
Next, why mortgage rates went back up after Trump’s proposed $200B bond-buying exercise—when many expected rates to keep falling. Using a 401(k) to buy a home? One new proposal could make it penalty-free, opening up access to hundreds of thousands of dollars for average Americans. Finally, the big investor ban begins, but here’s what the actual executive order says.
In This Episode We Cover
Penalty-free 401(k) down payments? The On the Market panel is sharply divided
Affordability sees a massive win, but will it keep improving?
Why mortgage rates didn’t keep declining after Trump’s $200B bond purchase proposal
President Trump signs the long-awaited big investor ban—but will it actually change anything for homebuyers?
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
On the Market 392 - Trump's Housing Proposals Could Work, There's Just One Problem
Redfin: Monthly Housing Costs Start the Year Down 5%, the Biggest Decline in Over a Year
Reuters: Trump's mortgage-backed bond purchases not moving needle on housing costs
HousingWire: Tapping a 401(k) for homeownership is risky business, experts say
TIME: Trump Is Moving to Bar Wall Street Firms From Buying Single-Family Homes.
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-394
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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We’re always talking about residential real estate. But what about that “other” market, the one worth $24 trillion? It’s no secret that commercial real estate has had one of its toughest stretches in many years, with many calling it an outright “crash.” If we’ve already reached the bottom, could large multifamily and other assets be poised for a huge turnaround in 2026?
Over the last couple of years, we’ve seen multifamily, office, retail, and even self storage prices tumble due to several factors: rising mortgage rates, rate adjustments on commercial debt, higher cap rates, tighter lending criteria, and more supply coming online. This “perfect storm” has put significant downward pressure on commercial property values, causing forced selling and scaring many investors away.
But these same challenges could create opportunity, especially if prices stabilize over the next 12 months. We break down the variables at play, the most compelling bull and bear cases for these assets, and how investors can protect themselves with “scared” real estate analysis.
Dave is ready to take advantage, but which asset is he betting on?
In This Episode We Cover
Dave’s 2026 predictions for the commercial real estate market
Whether large multifamily values could bounce back in 2026
The “perfect storm” that caused the steep decline in large multifamily prices
The bull and bear cases for a commercial real estate turnaround
The asset class that is least likely to recover from the commercial “crash”
Four tips for investors looking to buy multifamily properties in the next 12 months
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1073 - The Opportunity is Coming in Commercial Real Estate (How to Take Advantage)
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Yardi
CoStar
FRED
Buy the Book, "The Multifamily Millionaire, Vol. I"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-393
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The housing market is unaffordable. But the Trump administration is trying to change that. The question is: Will any of their proposals actually work?
Trump’s housing policy is clear: make buying a house more affordable for the average American. The President has floated 50-year mortgages, portable mortgages, purchasing mortgage bonds, and banning institutional investors. All of these, to some extent, could make the housing market more affordable. But, there’s one big problem that these policies overlook—one that could make a future crash or bubble much more likely.
Today, we’re breaking down the Trump administration’s top housing policies and giving an honest look at which could work, which might be just hype, and whether any will actually fix the unaffordable housing market. Plus, Dave offers his own proposal for what could change the housing market (for good) and why investor “upside” could grow if any of Trump’s proposals actually pass.
Is this a boon for affordability, or could Trump’s best efforts backfire?
In This Episode We Cover
Trump’s current proposals to make the housing market more affordable (and which will work)
The crucial problem with the housing market 99% of politicians won’t touch on
A real estate bubble? A housing market crash? Why “affordable” changes could backfire
2026’s most likely scenario and why Dave is planning to buy even more real estate
Growing “upside” for rentals as Trump policies help homeowners get in the game
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On the Market 373 - Trump Floats 50-Year Mortgages: Cash Flow Boost or Affordability Illusion?
On the Market 375 - Keep Your 3% Rate Forever? “Portable” Mortgages Could Be Coming
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-392
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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Big investors could be banned from buying single-family homes, mortgage rates drop to the lowest level in years, and one forgotten sector of real estate is predicted to “break out” in 2026. We’re only two weeks into the new year, but the housing market is shifting by the minute.
Mortgage rates fell into the 5% range last week as President Trump announced a plan to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds. But this time, there’s no money printing involved. The question is…how long will these low rates last? Is this a temporary Band-Aid or a crucial move to get us closer to 5% mortgage rates?
But it’s getting even better for first-time homebuyers and small investors. Institutional investors could be banned from buying single-family homes, not only providing inventory relief but also preventing unfair competition in the market. This could be huge in a select few cities across the US, especially as HousingWire predicts one specific single-family investing strategy could see profits surge in 2026.
In This Episode We Cover
The new big investor “ban” and Trump’s urge to kick institutional money out of the housing market
One investing strategy HousingWire says has huge profit potential in 2026
Mortgage rates fall within 5% range through bond-buying—is this any different than quantitative easing?
Sellers continue to dwarf buyers, and these pockets are where you’ll find your best opportunities
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
President Trump Proposes to Ban Institutional Investors From Buying Single-Family Homes
Articles from Today’s Show:
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James' BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
CNN: Trump orders ‘my representatives’ to buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds
CNN: Trump threatens to ban institutional investors
HousingWire: Why the fix-and-flip sector is poised for a breakout in 2026
Redfin: The U.S. Housing Market Has 37% More Sellers Than Buyers
Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-391
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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A new economic bubble could be forming, and this time, it isn’t real estate. A $20 trillion ticking time bomb could explode if one thing doesn’t go completely right…the AI industry. And the effects could be felt far beyond the stock market, with real estate taking a hit as well.
The question is: Is the AI bubble close to popping, or are we on the precipice of a new era of economic growth?
Dave researched so you don’t have to, compiling the bullish and bearish arguments for AI. Top tech companies are spending over $500 billion in 2026 alone to make the AI dream come true, but strong counterarguments just might prove that those AI investments won’t pay off.
If the AI bubble bursts within the next few years, what will it do to the stock market? How will it affect home prices? And what is Dave doing right now with his money to protect against the downsides and position himself for the upsides if the AI bubble does finally burst? This is what could happen next.
In This Episode We Cover
A $527 billion bet that top tech companies are making on AI (is it worth it?)
What happens to home prices if over-hyped AI causes a stock market correction or crash
Four strong reasons why the AI bubble will (or won’t) burst
A $20 trillion ticking time bomb for the US economy if the AI industry doesn’t hit its targets
Why 99% of real estate investors are wrong about buying near data centers (be very careful)
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1188 - AI Could Take Your Job, But It Can't Take Your Real Estate
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Gita Gopinath’s Big Warning: $35 Trillion Wealth Could be Wiped Out?
Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-390
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This could be the best time to buy a rental property in years. Don’t take our word for it, a new investor sentiment survey shows a sharp surge in optimism as investors flipped from cautious to bullish going into 2026. And this hope for the housing market isn’t unfounded. In fact, almost all the data shows better buying conditions, more options, and even improved affordability. If you’re still believing the “housing crash” hype, 2026 could be a big wakeup call.
Wanting the investor side of the story, we put together a brand new investor sentiment survey, tracking how real estate investors feel going into 2026, what they’re most excited and nervous about, and whether they’re looking to purchase or pause over the next year. Today, we’re sharing the results.
We’ll also get into affordability, new inventory forecasts from the most accurate data providers in the market, and the strategy that real estate investors have the most confidence in for the 2026 housing market. If you thought investors were mass selling like the news and crash bros were telling you, this new data might be a big surprise.
In This Episode We Cover
Newest investor sentiment survey and why investors are becoming more bullish
A huge win for housing affordability (and whether it will get better in 2026)
Housing inventory forecasts from last year’s most accurate economists
The biggest challenge for real estate investors in 2026 (not so obvious)
One strategy that investors are betting on more than ever
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1222 - The 2026 State of Real Estate Investing: An “Easier” Road Ahead
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
BiggerPockets Pulse Investor Sentiment Survey
Bright MLS 2026 Forecast
Compass 2026 Forecast
Realtor 2026 Forecast
Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-389
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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2026 is finally here! And if you can still read this sentence without seeing double, you’ve made it!
But this year, things are going to be a little… different. We usually talk about the best places or strategies for buying rentals, but we’re going on a bit of a detour to start the year by discussing our real estate resolutions, all of which will actively help us retire early. Want to retire with rentals, too? This is the episode for you, and we’re sharing the strategies we’re using in 2026 to get there.
Kathy shares a new way she’s optimizing her real estate portfolio, with the goal to increase cash flow by 10% on her current portfolio (not buying more rentals!). Henry takes an opposite approach to most investors, opting not to scale his portfolio and instead doing something much safer. Dave details his “End Game”—the ultimate real estate portfolio for early retirement.
You can copy these experts’ strategies in 2026 to retire with rentals, too!
In This Episode We Cover
How to use AI to optimize your portfolio and find the cash flow blind spots where you’re losing potential profits
Stop scaling? Why Henry is making moves to pay off some rentals instead (and whether you should, too)
Building your “End Game” portfolio to retire with rentals you actually enjoy owning
The three “buckets” of investing and a sign you’ve already outgrown yours (it could cost you)
Henry and Dave’s real goal that has nothing to do with real estate (can you help them out?)
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Should You Pay Off Your Mortgage Early or Invest?
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Kathy’s Book, "Scaling Smart"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-388
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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Home prices are about to “bend”...but will they break? The 2026 housing market could be another year of a correction, but how low could we go?
Last week, we gave our mortgage rate predictions for 2026; this week, we’re focusing on home price forecasts. The housing market is stuck, and something needs to give. Americans can’t afford homes at these high prices, but with so many “locked-in” homeowners, where will the new supply come from? There are a few scenarios that could unfold, with different results that could greatly impact your buying, selling, and wealth-building.
This year feels…different. And while Dave shares his “most likely” scenario for home prices, two other scenarios (“upside” and “downside”) aren’t worth ruling out just yet. One “X factor” could shoot home prices high, with Americans rushing back to buy. But a downside risk could drive our correction even deeper. Dave describes the rental properties he’s looking to buy during this year of opportunity, along with the rules you must follow so you don’t get burned.
In This Episode We Cover
2026 home price predictions and whether the correction will continue into next year
The one crucial factor driving home prices (and what happens when it changes)
The “range” that home prices could be in this year, and what inflation-adjusted prices will look like
The “X factor” that has a chance to reset the hot housing market and drive down mortgage rates
What Dave is buying now and his exact buy box for “The Great Stall” market we’re entering
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Get Tickets to the Cash Flow Road Show!
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1207 - 2026 Mortgage Rate Predictions
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1197 - The “Great Stall” Has Begun
Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-387
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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Has real estate finally bottomed? Ben Miller, CEO of Fundrise (managing over $7B in real estate), says it’s so. And he’s not just talking about commercial real estate. If true, one particular type of real estate investment could do exceptionally well over the next year, but most people (even Dave!) are going in a different direction. Where could the next big real estate boom happen? We’re getting into it!
To continue this prediction season, Ben joins us to walk through a few crucial economic outlooks that could greatly affect the housing market. From AI stunting hiring to inflation actually going down (below 2%!), American wage trends changing dramatically, and the assets that will perform best, we’re getting his take as someone who manages billions of dollars in real estate.
Want mortgage rates to go down? We need lower inflation, and Ben says there’s good news on the horizon for stable prices. New technology adoption could lead to much lower inflation (even deflation in some cases). Could this be what reignites the housing market as mortgage rates react to a more stable economy? Ben gives his full take, with some surprises even Dave wasn’t prepared for.
In This Episode We Cover
The bottom for real estate prices? Why Ben thinks it’s here (or very close)
The end of runaway inflation: How AI could kill the concern over rising costs
More Americans making less, and what happens when AI takes tens of millions of jobs
The one type of residential real estate that is poised to perform best in 2026
A new AI tool that could be pivotal for rental property investing research
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Get Tickets to the Cash Flow Roadshow!
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1059 - 2025’s Massive Opportunity for Real Estate Investing (Before It’s Too Late) w/Ben Miller
RealAI
Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-386
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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This could be the most encouraging sign for the housing market in years. It’s the final month of 2025, and the housing market has flipped from this time last year. Real prices are down, mortgage rates are near a percent lower, inventory is stabilizing, and affordability…it’s actually improving. But hints at a wave of underwater mortgages are making people nervous. With the number rising, is this the “distress” signal many have been waiting for?
We’re getting into it all: home price, mortgage rate, and inventory updates, plus a new seller trend that is causing serious confusion, and could be the final nail in the “housing market crash” coffin. With sellers doing what nobody expects, next year could get interesting.
More homeowners are falling “underwater” on their mortgages. Is this a 2008 repeat or just a blip on the real estate radar? Some economists are worried about rising delinquencies, but a high-level view of the data could point to an entirely different conclusion.
In This Episode We Cover
Sellers do what nobody expects, and it’s killing the “crash” narrative
Underwater mortgages are surging, but are homeowners really in danger?
The best news we’ve had in three years? A massive win for housing affordability
Mortgage rate momentum and whether now is the right time to refinance
The key affordability improvements we’ve seen since the start of 2025
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Property Manager Finder
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1207 - 2026 Mortgage Rate Predictions: This “X Factor” Could Change Everything
Redfin Housing Market Data
Mortgage Monitor
MarketWatch: Nearly 900,000 homeowners are underwater on their mortgage
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-385
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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Is this the year the real recession finally hits? Could a new “land rush” spark a buying spree throughout the U.S. for coveted dirt that makes investors millions? And why is one type of rental property owner about to sell off their homes, ready to give you a sizable discount?
We’re still in the swing of prediction season, so this time, we’re giving you our boldest 2026 housing market predictions yet. We’re not talking mortgage rate predictions or home price predictions (we’ve already done that). This time, we’re sharing which real estate could take off or break down—and which could make savvy investors rich, if they’re able to buy the right deals. Some opportunities (like one we’re sharing today) only happen once in a decade, and we’re already getting the jump on them.
Henry shares his insider secrets, noting that one specific type of rental is starting to hit the market as once-optimistic owners give up, opting to sell their properties without making a profit. This could be a huge opportunity to pick up homes in great shape and in solid markets at a discount. Dave talks about why this may be the year we finally get a recession and offers some cautious words of wisdom to everyone out there, as “chaos” might be in store.
In This Episode We Cover
A new land rush? The “opportunity” that is making investors buy the best-located dirt they can
Airbnb owners give up: why your next rental property might be a failed short-term rental
The “common person’s recession” that will have a massive impact on the economy
New “Big Beautiful Bill” changes that could make some investors very rich
The best year for new investors? Why 2026 could be the easiest time in years to invest in rental properties
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-384
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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The biggest announcement of last week’s Fed meeting had nothing to do with rate cuts. Instead, a quiet, mostly overlooked statement from the Federal Reserve could mean huge things for the economy, mortgage rates, and most importantly, the housing market. The mainstream seems to have missed it, focusing on the obvious news, but we’re breaking down the Fed’s new emergency tactic to stabilize the economy.
What many thought would be a standard 0.25% rate-cut meeting was anything but. A fractured Fed, now split on rate cuts more than in prior years, has adopted a new tactic. Could this strategy be a return to a dangerous past—the days of “quantitative easing” (AKA money printing)? Or, does the Fed know what it’s doing, taking a more cautious approach than last time?
We’ll break down the entire Fed story and share some crucial updates on housing inventory and affordability. Some markets are entering 2026 strong, with significantly lower inventory than pre-pandemic levels. Others could correct (or even crash) harder. Dave gives his opinion on which are which, sharing the markets that will thrive and the ones where home prices could dive.
In This Episode We Cover
The Fed’s new emergency measure designed to stabilize the economy and interest rates
Money printing 2.0: Are we on a path back to dangerous quantitative easing?
New rate cut forecast for 2026 and 2027 directly from the Fed
The riskiest (and seemingly safest) real estate markets going into 2026
The most affordable city in the U.S., and why it could thrive next year
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
A New Fed Chairman is Coming Soon—Here’s What Their Potential Low-Rate Policy Will Mean For Investors
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-383
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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This might be the easiest time to find real estate deals in years—and early signs suggest 2026 could be even better.
The year is almost over, so today, we’re reviewing our favorite trends, tactics, and real estate investing strategies of 2025. Plus, many of them will last well into 2026. These are the things that we’re focusing on next year, and there’s a lot of good news for investors. This is shaping up to be one of the easiest times in years to find profitable real estate deals. But we’re not just talking rentals—we share a “mailbox money” investment that’s still holding strong in 2025 (and could in 2026).
Plus, Dave details a “slow” strategy that builds wealth with way less stress—one that both he and James are going all-in on. Tired of sharing your profits with the tax man? A massive tax benefit that returned this year will last into 2026, and Kathy is ready to take full advantage of it.
In This Episode We Cover
Why 2026 could be one of the easiest times to find real estate deals in years
Dave’s “slow” investing strategy is making (patient) investors rich into 2026
Don’t buy rentals! Be the bank instead with this strategy (sizable passive income)
Best tax break ever? It’s back, and it’s here to stay through 2026
Good news for first-time homebuyers, investors, and the entire country!
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1172 - How to Do a “Slow BRRRR” in 2025 (Better Than BRRRR)
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Henry’s Book, "Real Estate Deal Maker"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-382
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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We’re only a week away from winter, but the housing market is heating back up. Demand is rising as savvy buyers know that lower prices peak during the holiday season. But one crucial cohort is nowhere to be found…and it could have damaging consequences for the housing market as a whole.
We’re back with another headline episode, taking the biggest stories from the housing market and giving our takes so you can make the best investing decision possible. This winter is feeling warmer for housing as demand does what no one expects—increases during the seasonally slow period of the year. What’s causing it—lower rates, FOMO, or something else entirely?
Remember when people in their 20s used to buy houses? Well…not anymore. The new first-time homebuyer age reached a worrying new high, one that many of us couldn’t even believe. DSCR loan defaults are starting to tick up, doubling from this time last year. Is this a bigger deal than many think, and could it bring discounted investment properties to the table?
Finally, Dave shares a sneak peek at BiggerPockets’ newest investor survey, where investors share what they think is coming in 2026…and there’s a lot to be excited about.
In This Episode We Cover
The new median age of America’s first-time homebuyers (borderline alarming)
Why housing demand is going up during the (traditionally) slowest time of the year
Delinquencies rising for DSCR loans? Why investors are defaulting twice as much as last year
A year of optimism: surprising finds from BiggerPockets’ newest investor sentiment survey
The #1 best strategy investors are betting on for 2026
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1210 - 2026 Home Price Predictions: The Correction Continues?
Articles from Today’s Episode:
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab the Book "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-381
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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Redfin just called it. The housing market will “reset” in 2026…or at least it’ll be the start of it.
Chen Zhao, head of economics research and a returning guest on the show, has 11 predictions she and her team have formulated for the 2026 housing market. A long, slow period of progress could be upon us, as buyers get what they’ve been asking for: better affordability, a more normal market, and the chance to own where there’s work.
But what does this really mean? Will mortgage rates fall? Will home prices drop? We’re going through each of the 11 predictions with Chen, discussing prices, rates, rents, refinances, transaction volume, and even how AI could become the “matchmaker” for Americans looking for their first or next property.
Make no mistake, this is good news for many, and could be just the start of a cycle that finally puts average Americans in the position to purchase a home. But, for real estate investors and landlords, there could be another big benefit coming in 2026, one that has a direct impact on your cash flow.
In This Episode We Cover
Redfin’s 2026 housing market predictions (prices, mortgage rates, and more!)
The great “reset” that is coming for the housing market (it’s already begun)
Rent growth returns? Struggling landlords could get some relief next year
The best and worst real estate markets that Redfin is forecasting for 2026
The AI effect on real estate and why more buyers are using bots to find homes
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Redfin’s 2026 Predictions: Welcome to The Great Housing Reset
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-380
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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Stock prices are up, home prices are high, gold, silver, and bitcoin have all had major bull runs. But the average American is broke. This is the “K-shaped” economy.
If you feel like it’s harder to get by and the barrier to entry to invest is rising, you’re not going crazy. We’re in a new economy—a “K-shaped” economy—where those who own assets see their net worth soar as the middle class and average Americans watch their bank accounts shrink. This is not the place Americans want to be in right now, and the delicate balance that holds up our entire economy could fall apart sooner than we think.
Dave explains what a K-shaped economy is, how it could bleed into the housing market, and whether this feast-or-famine system can survive much longer. Plus, he’ll share a shocking statistic that shows just how hard things are for ordinary Americans, and how a tiny minority is holding up the entire economy.
In This Episode We Cover
A “K-shaped” economy explained, and why Americans feel broke as asset prices soar
A shocking statistic that shows just how unstable the American economy is
Housing market side effects and the surprising age of America’s first-time homebuyer
The widening wealth gap making investing harder for everyday people
The three things that are keeping the middle class struggling (and why it’s gotten worse)
Tough times ahead? Why America’s economy may be riding on billionaires and bubbles
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On The Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Redfin Reports U.S. Luxury Home Prices Jump 5.5% in October, Triple the Pace of Non-Luxury Homes
Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-379
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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Years of housing market gains could be at risk, and it’s not because of mortgage rates, the Fed, or the US government…it’s because of sellers.
Since 2022, we’ve seen housing inventory rise, home prices stabilize (and fall in many major markets), and affordability slightly improve for buyers (thanks to higher supply and lower demand). But now, a new wave of “delistings” could put the future of the housing market in jeopardy. Sellers are refusing to settle, and they’re walking away at the fastest pace in eight years.
So, what’s next? A housing crash? A continued correction? If the delistings continue, one scenario could come to fruition, and it’s not what buyers want to hear. Dave walks through the new delistings data in this episode and shares some startling statistics on just how bad things are for young Americans. If the next generation can’t buy or rent a home…what happens to the economy?
In This Episode We Cover
The “delisting” wave hitting an eight-year high and putting years of affordability gains at risk
Correction or crash? Why sellers are far less desperate than most people think
Markets with the most delistings and where inventory could start to reverse first
Cracks in the US economy and the trouble that young Americans are in
Lower rent growth for longer? What happens when college graduates CAN’T get a job (or rent an apartment/house)?
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers”
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-378
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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The housing market is not going to crash tomorrow. It’s also not going to boom soon. We’re not in 2008, and we’re also not in 2020. We’re in a strange gray area, a zone that most Americans have never experienced before.
We’re entering the “Great Stall.” And this could last for years.
All data points to a new kind of housing market forming. But why, and why now? Is there any chance of a housing crash or home price explosion like before? Yes, but Dave is going to break down the odds of each scenario, plus what to do in the most likely scenario, while home prices stagnate and mortgage rates stay relatively high.
If you want to take advantage of the “Great Stall,” so that when home prices do go back up you’ll profit, there are four things you need to do. We’ll break down each step so you can prepare and pounce on the investment property that makes your future self wealthy.
The “Great Stall” is here, and when it’s over, millions of Americans will wish they had bought.
In This Episode We Cover
Crash, boom, or plateau? The most likely scenario for home prices over the next few years
How to prepare for the “Great Stall” and take advantage of frozen home prices
The “upsides” you must look for that could explode your wealth when appreciation returns
Why you need to start going “risk-off” in your investing to protect your wealth
What will finally cause home prices to rebound and Americans to get back into the market
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
On The Market 365 - This Housing Correction Could Last Years
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Build Your Investing Strategy BEFORE You Buy with "Start with Strategy"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-377
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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This could break the mortgage system as we know it. But, is it worth it?
New “portable mortgages” have been floated by the Trump Administration and FHFA (Federal Housing Finance Agency), allowing homeowners to take their rock-bottom mortgage rates with them when they purchase a new home. The question is: will it work?
We’re breaking down the likelihood of portable mortgages, how they currently work in countries like Canada, and the pros and cons for the average American. Most people are thinking about the upsides of a portable mortgage, but the downsides are equally severe. Would this really make sense in America?
Dave is doing a deep dive into how the U.S. mortgage system works and whether new portable mortgages could break it, leading to the downfall of arguably the greatest home loan on the planet—the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. Plus, how much more could it cost you to take out one of these portable loans?
In This Episode We Cover
Portable mortgages explained and how they actually work in countries like Canada
How portable mortgages could “break” the fragile home loan system in the U.S.
Pros and cons of portable mortgages that could help or hurt many Americans
Increased fees, mortgage rates, and prepayment penalties? Why nobody is talking about the side effects of portable mortgages
Does Dave think this is a good idea? (strong opinion warning)
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find Investor-Friendly Lenders
On the Market 373 - Trump Floats 50-Year Mortgages: Cash Flow Boost or Affordability Illusion?
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-376
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com.
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love the show and content but just can deal with how condescending Mrs Fetke continually is. She is so smart and we're all just dummies, pitty but adios.
what a bunch of amateurs (2nd half).