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🇬🇧 Stay ahead of the markets with Swissquote

Author: Swissquote, Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Feyyaz Alingan

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Dive into the heart of the markets with MarketTalk and Crypto Market Talk, hosted by Ipek Ozkardeskaya and Feyyaz Alingan. And explore Unlocked, Swissquote’s podcast that looks beyond the markets to unlock fresh ideas, inspiring perspectives and insights to power your next move.

Every day, MarketTalk breaks down the latest moves in equities, FX, macro data and global market sentiment, while the Wednesday Crypto Market Talk focuses on Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins and major developments in the digital asset ecosystem.
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872 Episodes
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The year is almost over, yet the markets keep delivering surprises. US Q3 GDP came in at 4.3%, the fastest growth in two years, fueled by AI investments, strong corporate profits, and resilient consumer spending. Price pressures rose too, with PCE at 2.8%, but happily less than expected, keeping the Fed hawks in check. Equities rallied on the back of earnings and spending, though the move was narrow and mostly benefited Big Tech. The US dollar eased, sending gold, silver, and copper to fresh all-time highs — another strong year for the metals, thanks to scarce supply, rising demand, and the ongoing “debasement trade.” It feels like Santa is still on his way, bringing the year’s final gifts to investors. Merry Xmas and Happy New Year! Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Markets are entering the final stretch of the year with investors closely watching the US for guidance. European equities remain subdued, with trade tensions and slowing growth weighing on sentiment, while rotation into cyclical sectors continues cautiously. All eyes are now on key US data: Q3 GDP revisions and PCE inflation — the Fed’s preferred gauge. Stronger-than-expected growth or rising price pressures could shake up market expectations and trigger a dollar rebound, while weaker numbers would keep the Fed on a dovish path. Positioning in stocks, FX, and bonds is increasingly delicate, making even small surprises impactful. As year-end approaches, investors are balancing hopes for a Santa rally against the risk of early January volatility. This episode breaks down the key numbers, market positioning, and what could tip the scales for global markets heading into 2026. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Friday’s tech rally brought much-needed relief to markets, sparked by one headline: Oracle will host TikTok’s US user data, opening a potential new cloud revenue stream and giving it a roughly 15% stake in the newly structured U.S. TikTok business. Oracle shares surged over 6%, while Nvidia and the Nasdaq also climbed as investors bet on the value of data centers and massive computing power. Meanwhile, in China, Moore Threads announced new AI chips claiming to rival Nvidia’s H200 and narrow the gap with the next-gen Blackwell series. Tech stocks are up, but with year-end liquidity thinning, investors are watching closely as the global semiconductor race accelerates. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
JPMorgan went from crypto enemy to tokenization fan, this time even with Solana! 00:00 Intro 00:24 Disclaimer 00:28 Preview 00:34 Bitcoin 02:14 Solana 03:28 Aave 05:03 Charts 07:09 Subscribe & Good bye #crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote _____ 👉 Discover our brand and philosophy: https://www.swissquote.com/en/group _____ 👉 Deepen your trading and investing knowledge with Swissquote Inspire: explore our articles, analyses, webinars and exclusive content: https://www.swissquote.com/private/inspire _____ 👉 Discover Swissquote’s culture and join a company that values innovation, diversity and team spirit: https://www.swissquote.com/en/careers
The latest US CPI report looked like an early Christmas gift: headline inflation cooled sharply, core inflation surprised to the downside, and markets briefly celebrated the return of disinflation. But was it really that simple? A closer look reveals a far messier picture. Large parts of the October pricing data were missing, including key components such as shelter — a heavyweight in the CPI basket. Those gaps were effectively treated as showing no price growth, flattering the inflation numbers and earning the report its “Swiss cheese” nickname. Markets initially cheered, yields dipped and equities rallied, before reality set in and enthusiasm faded. With energy prices creeping higher, shelter disinflation moving slowly, and jobs data sending mixed signals, the inflation outlook remains anything but clear. So what does this imperfect CPI print really tell us? And does it change what the Fed should do next — or just add more noise to an already confusing picture? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Markets are wobbling, Amazon’s $10bn OpenAI deal is raising eyebrows, Oracle’s mystery Michigan backer keeps investors guessing and credit fears are spiking — Oracle’s down 5%, Nvidia 3.8%, and even Amazon barely budged. Could the AI party finally be deflating? Micron happily beat expectations, proving the memory boom is alive and kicking thanks to AI demand. But it might not be enough to save the year-end rally. Today, all eyes are on today’s US CPI, the BoE might surprise with a dovish move, and the ECB stays calm. Toss in rising Fed repo operations and a BoJ hike tomorrow, and global markets are on a real rollercoaster. So the big question: is this just a market wobble or the start of a proper AI selloff? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Not bad enough!

Not bad enough!

2025-12-1710:16

Markets usually cheer bad data — but this time, they hesitated. US jobs figures were weak, yet not weak enough to force a rethink on Fed policy. All eyes now turn to Thursday’s US CPI print — the final piece of the Fed puzzle this week. Across the Atlantic, the UK economy paints a gloomier picture. Rising unemployment and softer inflation gave the BoE room for a rate cut, but also highlighted an economy cooling faster than policymakers can fix — heading toward a direction where even lower rates may struggle to help. So, what does yesterday’s data mean for rates, equities, and global markets, why the US and UK are reacting so differently, and how investors are positioning ahead of key inflation prints. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
All eyes on US data!

All eyes on US data!

2025-12-1609:29

Markets started the week on a cautious footing. European and UK equities benefited from rotation flows, while US tech continued to struggle, with the Nasdaq 100 leading declines. Futures are pointing lower again this morning as investors brace for key US jobs and retail sales data — a familiar “good news is bad news” setup as markets try to anticipate the Fed’s next move. Investors remain cautious, albeit cautiously optimistic that weaker jobs data could reinforce dovish Fed expectations and support risk assets. That said, deteriorating sentiment in the technology sector may complicate the picture. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Global markets are showing clear signs of tech disappetite, as investors rotate away from AI-linked names and into value-oriented pockets of the market. Strong tech earnings no longer impress, the Fed cut hardly makes tech investors smile and against this backdrop, risk-sensitive assets such as Bitcoin have come under pressure, underscoring the broader shift in sentiment. While the Federal Reserve’s renewed Treasury bill purchases offer liquidity support, markets remain focused on whether AI investment can translate into sustainable end-product revenues. Until that happens, tech disappetite is likely to persist, keeping rotation — rather than outright risk-on — as the dominant market theme. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Disney joins OpenAI!

Disney joins OpenAI!

2025-12-1210:01

The S&P 500 edged higher yesterday as investors digested the Fed’s 25bp rate cut. Value stocks benefited from rotation out of tech, which faces challenges beyond borrowing costs — circularity, high debt, and uncertain revenues. Broadcom’s strong results weren’t enough to lift sentiment, as margins and AI profitability concerns weighed on the market. But OpenAI- Disney deal should give a hint on how OpenAI is turning its intelligence into actual dollars! On the macro front, next week’s US CPI release will be critical to watch, as it could reinforce post-Fed trends or shake market optimism heading into year-end, though it won’t answer The Million Dollar Question: Is This A Bubble! Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
The FED has decided, can we return to the Bullrun now? 00:00 Intro 00:24 Disclaimer 00:29 Preview 00:38 Bitcoin 04:02 Ethereum 05:22 Solana 06:41 Subscribe & Good bye #crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote _____ 👉 Discover our brand and philosophy: https://www.swissquote.com/en/group _____ 👉 Deepen your trading and investing knowledge with Swissquote Inspire: explore our articles, analyses, webinars and exclusive content: https://www.swissquote.com/private/inspire _____ 👉 Discover Swissquote’s culture and join a company that values innovation, diversity and team spirit: https://www.swissquote.com/en/careers
The Fed cut rates by 25 bp, but rising dissent and political dynamics are creating uncertainty at the heart of the FOMC. Markets initially cheered, but Oracle’s earnings highlighted heavy AI spending and debt concerns, sending stocks lower. All eyes now turn to Broadcom’s Q4 FY2025 results, expected to show strong growth in EPS and revenue, driven by AI chips and networking demand, including Google’s TPUs. Can Broadcom keep the tech rally alive, or is caution about to take center stage? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver a widely anticipated 25bp rate cut today — but the real story is what comes next. Markets may know the headline move, but they have no clarity on how many cuts the Fed sees in 2025, how the dot plot will shift, or whether policymakers are willing to lean dovish in a world where inflation risks refuse to fade. Global central banks are turning hawkish, yields are pushing higher, and investors are bracing for a message that could make or break sentiment into year-end. Will the Fed validate hopes of easier policy, or deliver a classic “hawkish cut” that reminds everyone inflation isn’t beaten yet? And most importantly — will Santa bring gifts to the markets, or stay snowed out? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Hollywood Backstages

Hollywood Backstages

2025-12-0911:01

The fight for Warner Bros. is heating up. Netflix has bid for the studio’s content and streaming assets, while Paramount has countered with an offer for the full company. The outcome could reshape the streaming landscape, determining who controls some of Hollywood’s most valuable franchises. Meanwhile, IBM is making strategic moves in the AI space, acquiring data-streaming company Confluent to strengthen its software and real-time analytics capabilities, enhancing AI offerings across industries. Nvidia also made headlines, receiving approval to sell its H200 chips in China, a step that could boost its AI hardware sales, though challenges remain with domestic competitors and regulatory restrictions. On the macro front, markets are watching the FOMC’s two-day meeting, where a 25-basis-point rate cut is expected. Between media battles, AI expansion, and central bank policy, investors have plenty to digest this week. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
We are entering a key week for markets, with central bank decisions and major earnings reports set to shape investor sentiment. Oracle and Broadcom will release earnings on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, providing insights into the ongoing impact of AI adoption and cloud expansion. The Fed is widely expected to deliver a 25bp rate cut on Wednesday, while the RBA, BoC, and SNB are likely to maintain their policy rates. However, there is no guarantee that the Fed’s move will sustain year-end optimism. Any hawkish commentary or signals of caution could quickly temper investor enthusiasm and limit market gains. With both corporate results and central bank guidance in focus, this week promises to test how markets navigate the delicate balance between growth prospects, inflation trends, and policy expectations. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Upbeat, ignoring risks

Upbeat, ignoring risks

2025-12-0509:56

This week’s market dynamics highlight a striking disconnect: the S&P 500 flirts with all-time highs while underlying economic indicators signal slowing growth, job losses, and rising debt nearing $40 trillion. The US dollar tests critical technical support, Japanese yields climb toward 1.95%, and the Fed’s upcoming policy moves remain under close scrutiny. Tech and AI investments continue to mask deeper macroeconomic vulnerabilities, with AI now contributing significantly to US GDP growth. In Asia, Moore Threads Technology stole the spotlight with a near 500% surge on its Shanghai debut, reflecting both investor enthusiasm and China’s push for a homegrown AI-GPU ecosystem. Meanwhile, crude oil remains flat despite OPEC’s supply pause, and natural gas prices rise amid global demand and energy transition considerations. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Bitcoin is attempting to go for 100k USD...as the bullish news increase 00:00 Intro 00:23 Disclaimer 00:27 Preview 00:36 Bitcoin 03:24 Ethereum 05:15 Solana 07:05 Subscribe & Good bye #crypto #cryptonews #cryptotrading #swissquote _____ 👉 Discover our brand and philosophy: https://www.swissquote.com/en/group _____ 👉 Deepen your trading and investing knowledge with Swissquote Inspire: explore our articles, analyses, webinars and exclusive content: https://www.swissquote.com/private/inspire _____ 👉 Discover Swissquote’s culture and join a company that values innovation, diversity and team spirit: https://www.swissquote.com/en/careers
Cheerful bad news

Cheerful bad news

2025-12-0410:40

The US economy lost 32’000 jobs in November — the fourth decline in six months. Small businesses bore the brunt, shedding 120,000 positions, outweighing gains in bigger firms. The 2-year Treasury yield fell below 3.50%, the probability of a December 25bp Fed cut jumped to 90% and the S&P 500 hovered near all-time highs. Because, of course, job losses are just another reason to cheer the dovish Fed expectations. Japan, on the other hand, decided to show off. A 30-year government bond sale drew the strongest demand since 2019, with yields near 3.40%, sending the Nikkei up 2% — a polite reminder that bond flows still make markets dance. US futures are steady this morning, though, as investors now face the big question: is it finally time to move – again - beyond tech and US-centric bets? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Bitcoin, USDJPY, JGBs — these three are setting the tone for risk appetite this week. Japanese yields are climbing, the yen is stirring, and the era of easy liquidity from Japan may be ending. How far can global markets really go when the ceiling is set in Tokyo? Nvidia tried to push higher yesterday, but Amazon’s entry into AI hardware with its Trainium 3 chip reminded everyone that the AI game isn’t free. Even tech giants built on “capital-light” models are seeing margins tested as chips and data centers eat into cash flow. Markets are watching the BoJ, the Fed, and yields like hawks. What happens there will ripple across stocks, crypto, and tech. Is the risk rally over, or just paused? Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
Markets rebounded cautiously today after a volatile start to the month. Japanese government bond yields surged to multi-decade highs following hints from BoJ Governor Ueda of a potential rate hike, triggering declines in equities and Bitcoin, while gold and silver advanced. The 10-year JGB auction performed well, stabilizing the bond market, while US 10-year yields remain near 4% and the USDJPY is recovering. Bitcoin is testing key support near $83K, and US economic data indicate ongoing weakness, with factory activity and orders contracting and employment softening. Holiday retail sales rose largely due to inflation. In technology, Nvidia’s $2bn investment in Synopsys, alongside OpenAI’s Thrive Holdings initiative, suggests a developing AI ecosystem. Investors are left to consider whether this cautious rebound can be sustained, or if further volatility lies ahead. Listen to find out more! Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020, and launched her own website ipekScope.com in 2025.
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