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Bet with The Best Podcast

Author: Christopher Larmey

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This show is all about Betting on horse races. It's not a show that gives out picks or talks about handicapping. Instead, we have a guest each week and we go in depth about how they approach the betting side of the game. If you are a new horseplayer or someone who thinks they are good at handicapping but not so good at betting, then this is the podcast for you.
27 Episodes
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 26,  Part-2 of a Deep Dive into how to bet the Kentucky Derby with Mike Maloney Sponsored by AmWager:3 – Win bets9- Place and Show bets16- Exacta Bets34- Double key Exactas and tris39 - $1 min Derby Superfecta Bets1:00 – Horizontal Bets1:16 – Pressing a “live” P5 with a P4 or a P31:23 – Having a plan and sticking to it
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 25 Part-1 a Deep Dive into how to handicap the Kentucky Derby with Mike Maloney Sponsored by AmWager:3 – General approach to Derby8- Finding a key horse or horses20 – Impact of the Derby Points System23- Finding the “push button” horse26 – Getting the Derby Distance38- Finding signal in all the Derby noise47- Running styles, post-position, and trips1:01 – Great Derby rides by Jerry Bailey1:08 – The dreaded rail post position1:16 – The Trainer factor1:32 – Workouts
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 24 sponsored by AmWager with guest Paul Shurman. 3- Horseplayer Origin Story13- Handicapping approach15:30 – Playing in contests19:00 – Playing in the NHC26 - Choosing which horses to play in NHC31 – Playing shorter-priced horses in the NHC38- The right time to panic at the NHC40 – Beginning at the end42 – Playing the final few contest races46 – Playing mandatory races at the NHC56 – Playing 2 entries at the NHC1:10 – Playing to win1:21 – Pick and Pray contest format1:26 – Picking the right contest to enter1:29 – Live betting contests1:55 – More advice on contests1:59 – It pays to be organized
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 23 sponsored by AmWager with guest Barry Meadow. A professional horseplayer and author of many publications including the books “Money Secrets at the Racetrack,” and the “The Skeptical Handicapper.”3 - Horseplayer Origin Story10 - From Harness to thoroughbreds14 - Watching replays17 - Rating horses20 - Making a fair odds line23 - Bet sizing27 - Keeping records30 - Exchange betting37 - Vulnerable favorites39 - Finding value42 - Positive attitude45 - Pick 658 - CAW1:02 - Why are you playing?1:04 - Getting started1:10 - Factors that matter1:14 - More on bet sizing1:29 - What is a winning player?1:33 - “Turning down” a profit1:35 - Testing your odds line1:37- Blackjack1:45 - ADW Promotions1:49 - Improving the game
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 22 with Mark Cramer Sponsored by AmWager:3- Horseplayer Origin Story9- The story of Carson 13- Scared money16- “Please Hold All Tickets”19- Horseplayer’s confession21- Touts and self confidence23- Keeping Thoreau Records26- Tilting at windmills30- An active body leads to a sharp mind37- Advice for beginners40- Conditions matter43- Kinky handicapping and grass smokers53- Short stint as a pro player55- Cleaning up on the new multi-multi58 – Single-factor wagering1:00- French Racing1:21- Playing longshots – exacta as a place bet1:45- Biggest mistake most players make1:46- Making a fair-value odds line1:58- Arcangues
 Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 21 "Using a Fair Odds Line" with Kevin Kilroy Sponsored by AmWager:3 min - Systematic approach to Handicapping5 - Golden Rule7 - Kevin's systematic approach14 - Fair Odds line26 - Example 1,  Sat 1/6/24, FG 9th43 - FG 9th Fair Odds Line50 - Using Will Pays to estimate off odds59 - Race Selection1:02 - Example 2, Sat 1/6/2024, FG 10th1:18 - FG 10th Fair Odds Line1:32 - Pick-51:45 SummaryKevin's Fair odds lines:FG 9th:#HorseML OddsFair Odds1Goin' Good58.82Brandon'smylawyer613.83Carimba33.94Stella Noir1558.05Oeuvre3.52.06Sweet Temperament1558.07Redifined528.58Poppy Flower4.53.99Breeze Easy (GB)2058.0 FG 10th:#HorseML OddsFair Odds1Tsuris1521.52Arctic Rose46.53Wise Guy4.56.54Bayou Sarge2021.55Gallant Star56.56Steal It Back1514.07Imindycatbirdseat1514.08Zong Tough1289.09War Count3.53.510Juju Nineteen2089.011J B Gray2014.012Guitartuition Plzz814.0
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 20 with Leo Vukmanovich Sponsored by AmWager:3 - Horseplayer Origin Story24 – Basic Handicapping Approach29 – Basic Betting Approach36 – Becoming a better bettor50 – Handicapping Jockeys53 – Pick-5 Ticket Structure59 – Favorite angles to play1:23 – Paying attention to takeout1:27 – CAW Teams and Technology in Racing1:41 – What horse racing can learn from Formula-11:47 – No longer swimming in the win pool1:53 – “Zooming” in during Covid with Dink, ITP and others2:06 – Racetracks and their customers
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 19 with Emily Gullikson Sponsored by AmWager4 min: General handicapping approach9: Friday Dmr Race 738: Sat CD Race 752: Sat CD Race 81:00: Sat CD Race 101:04: Sat CD Race 91:11: Hawthorne TG Contests 
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 18 with Steven Crist Sponsored by AmWager3 Horseplayer Origin Story11 Pick-5 and Pick-6 Ticket Structure19 Clocker reports and maiden races21 CAW Teams27 Weak favorites32 Value37 Late Odds Changes41 Favorable changes for Players43 Dirt racing vs turf racing49 Carryovers55 Focusing on one circuit1:01 Cutback to 7F angle1:05 Tracking your play1:06 Maiden Claiming Races1:12 Improving Racing1:16 Other “Chestnuts”1:22 Getting rid of W2-G forms
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 17 with Sean Boarman Sponsored by AmWager3 Horseplayer Origin Story11 Speed and Pace Figures14 Phony fast horses29 Finding a Mentor35 Best Lesson that I ever learned36 Constructing tickets from the bottom up40 Ticket Construction48 Learning from your mistakes55 Rebates – the good and the bad1:04 Playing Hong Kong Racing1:27 Betting Big Days1:33 False narratives1:40 Competing with the CAW teams1:50 Keeping tickets tight and going for the kill2:09 Playing horizontals2:22 Biggest mistake most players make 2:24 How to improve racing
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 16 with Dick Jerardi Sponsored by AmWager7:25 Horseplayer Origin story14:45 Using Beyer speed figures16:00 Winning enough money to pay to park 18:30 Leveraging a big edge24:00 Beyer speed figure team25:00 Spend a Buck 30:30 Playing horseplayer chess35:30 Penn Derby Contest42:00 Contest Play51:00 Sports Betting58:00 Big jump up horses (Spun to Run)1:08 Using P3, P4 will pays1:15 Race Selection / finding an edge1:22 Preparation1:24 DQ’s
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 15 with Tommy "Hammer" Massis Sponsored by AmWager5:30 - General ticket structure 15:30 - Dealing with spread races23:00 – Race 4 (start of P4)26:00 – Race 5 (2nd leg of P4)31:00 – Race 6 (3rd leg of P4)41:00 – Race 7 (final leg of P4)55:30 – Detailed P4 ticket Structure1:07 – Taking on the CAW Teams 1:11 – Dealing with dry spells1:15 – ROI vs “making a living”1:20 – Unfair treatment of Canadian players1:22 – Race 81:28 – Race 9 WO Mile1:44 – Race 12
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 14 with Dan Cronin Sponsored by AmWager7 – Horseplayer Origin story21- Handicapping approach35 – 1-Start horses44- Focus on Kentucky Tracks / Turfway 51- Win bets and doubles1:00 – Why losers lose1:07 – CAW Teams and Rebates1:19 – Bet Sizing1:25 – Keeping it simple 1:30 – Tracking your results1:40 – Turf racing1:45 – Trip Notes1:50 – Good days / Bad days1:56 – Biggest Mistake that many players make1:59 – Biggest Lesson Learned2:04 – How to improve the game2:07 – Memorable Score
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 13 with Paul Matties Sponsored by AmWager4- Origin Story14- Handicapping vs gambling28 – Assessing favorites35 – Can’t lose favorites42 – The most important rule in betting47 – The rebate pitfall49 – 1/3/11 the prime betting ratio59 – (The Field Size/2)-1 vertical bet rule1:02 – Vulnerable favorites1:08 – Sometimes a no bet is a bad bet1:11 – Horizontal bets 1:17 – Keying a horse1:22 – Competing with the CAWs1:40 – Vertical Bets1:48 – Pick-61:53 – Pick-52:05 – The Thorpe CAW approach2:12 – HISA (and Lasix) impact 2:24 – Hong Kong Racing2:33 – Fixed Odds2:35 – Carryovers2:39 – Big Days2:42 – Path to success for today’s player
Highlights/timestamp for BEST OF  Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 12 - Value, Sponsored by AmWager3:19 – Christopher Larmey – Intro: What is value? 8:30 – Maury Wolff – Understanding your edge28 – Michael Kipness – Making a value Line33:20 – Mike Maloney – Building on low a variance bet44 – ITP – A weak favorite is your best friend57 – Jonathan Stettin – Betting your opinion1:04 – Marshall Gramm – Inside out approach1:09:50 – Dennis Montoro – Turning a horse race into a math problem
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 11 with Frank Mustari Sponsored by AmWager3 - Origin story17 - Making performance figures 19 - A little help from your friends27 - When bias is a good thing32 - GP Tapeta34 - Changing circuits 38 - Putting the time in41 - Handicapping approach44 - Vertical bet structure52 - Betting Example57 - Key horse / vulnerable favorite combo1:02 - Tossing vulnerable favorite1:06 - Keeping it tight1:08 - Pool selection/allocation1:11 - Race Selection1:14 - Factoring in other opinions1:21 - Contest play1:38 - CAW1:47 - Owning horses2:00 - Memorable score with Mom 
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 10 with Andrew Beyer Sponsored by AmWager3 – Origin story 7:30 – Birth of Beyer Figures11:30 – How to crush the races for almost 20 years19:30 – Punching a hole in the wall of the GP press box22:20 – Knowing when you have an edge and when you don’t26:36 – Playing the “traditional” P632:00 – Jackpot P6 – the worst bet in racing38:30 – Cashing in on track biases and trainer patterns41:30 – Focus on the big score43:30 – Form your opinion then target pools and not vice versa46:00 – Attacking a vulnerable favorite47:40 – Leveraging a value horse49:20 – Is Andy going to write another book?52:10 – How to improve racing
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 9 with Dennis Montoro.1 – Origin story 11:30 – Power of the tote24 – If It’s in the PPs, then it’s in the price33 – No model is perfect43:30 – One size doesn’t fit all48 – Win/Ex/DD focus53:50 – Sports betting56 – It all boils down to math1:00 – CAW teams1:07 – Race Selection1:11:30 – Journal, records, and learning1:26 – No edge lasts forever, even in models1:33 – Fixed odds1:39 – Cash Contests1:49 – Advice for aspiring modelers2:01 – Making racing better2:10 – Memorable score 
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 8 with Maury Wolff1 – Origin story (Harnessing his way toward Thoroughbreds)10 – Out with the old edges28 – In with the new edges 41 – Japanese rising45 – Finding a niche51 – The 9 best pools to bet58 – Carpe diem1:00 – Fixed odds1:08 – Competing with CAW teams1:37 – Big race days1:47 – The Triple Crown can be your friend1:55 – Beyond picking winners2:05 – Casino games2:12 – Finding value in efficient markets2:19 – Lessons learned2:28 – How to improve the game
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 7 with Michael Kipness @WizardPicks1 – Origin story46 – Life Changing Big Score1:15 – Pool Selection and Bet Construction 1:20 –Betting vs the CAW Teams1:25 – Vertical Bets (Using all button in 3rd or 4th)1:30 – P51:37 – Handling the Mental Challenges1:42 – Identifying Value in today’s game1:48 – Carryovers1:51 – Rebates1:52 – Sports Betting1:55 – Lessons Learned2:00 – State of the Game
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