NBA Retrospective
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© Joshua Lowe
Description
Statistics tutor Josh Lowe breaks down the greatest NBA seasons from the Last Dance Bulls to LeBron and the block, all with an eye toward accessible analytics.
63 Episodes
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We discuss Four Factors performances by the Celtics, Lakers, Suns, and Heat and discuss the question of when to fire first year head coaches given success of Heat's Eric Spoelstra.
We discuss the 2007-08 playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We also provide deeper statistical analysis for the Celtics, Lakers, Suns, and Heat. Finally, we note some interesting parallels between the 2007-08 season and the 2023-24 season.
We simulate the 2007-08 season using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams. We also discuss a blockbuster trade and striking conference disparity.
We discuss the 2015-16 NBA Playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We discuss a statistical overachiever, accurate achiever, and a very surprising underachiever based on Elo.
We simulate the 2017-18 NBA season using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams. We also address statistical anomalies by division and conference.
We discuss Four Factors performances by the Lakers, Celtics, Knicks, Rockets, and Cavs and note that Lakers completely dominated the league in one key metric.
We discuss how the Four Factors model predicts wins in 1984-85. Take care of the basketball!
We discuss the 1984-85 playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We also provide deeper statistical analysis for the Lakers, Celtics, Knicks, Rockets, and Cavs.
We simulate the 1984-85 NBA season using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams.
We discuss the metrics the 1999 Knicks excelled in to reach the Finals as an 8 seed. We also compare the traded players and compare the 1999 Knicks with the 2023 Heat.
We chronicle key off-season trades and the drama surrounding them leading into the Knicks 1999 season.
We discuss how well the Spurs, Nuggets, Kings, and Bulls achieved in the Four Factors and reiterate why defense wins championships.
We discuss how the Four Factors model projects wins in 1998-99 and explain why defense wins championships.
We discuss the 1998-99 NBA Playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We also provide deeper statistical analysis for the Spurs, Nuggets, Kings, and Bulls.
We simulate the 1998-99 NBA season using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams.
We discuss how well the Pistons, Suns, Jazz, and Trailblazers achieved in the Four Factors and offer concluding remarks on the 1988-89 season.
We discuss how the Four Factors model projects wins in 1988-88 and dive deeper into turnovers. We also compare the Four Factors projections to the Elo projections.
We discuss the 1988-89 NBA Playoffs and assess how teams fared compared with their Elo simulation. We also provide deeper statistical analysis for the Pistons, Suns, Jazz, and Trailblazers.
We simulate the 1988-89 NBA season using Elo and report on the strength of the simulation and anomalous teams.
We discuss how well the Cavs, Warriors, and 76ers achieved in the Four Factors and offer concluding remarks on the 2015-16 season.
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