Chip Stock Investor Podcast

We break down Oracle’s Q3 FY2026 earnings, highlighting 44% year-over-year cloud revenue growth to $8.9B, driven by IaaS at $4.9B up 84%, while legacy software growth remains slower. <br>We hash over Oracle’s remaining performance obligations (RPO) of $553B, up 325% year over year, and discusses how heavy data center capital expenditures are pressuring free cash flow (over $11B negative) and contributing to slower constant-currency EPS growth (16%) versus revenue.<br>Finally review guidance, including a $90B revenue outlook for FY2027 implying 34% growth, and share expectations for 30%+ growth with a longer-term view that Oracle could approach $200B in annual revenue by 2028. <br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters:Chapters:00:00 Oracle Earnings 01:58 Q3 Highlights RPO Surge03:08 Cloud Segments Explained03:39 EPS Versus Revenue04:50 Guidance And Outlook06:44 200B Revenue Thesis08:28 CapEx And Cash Flow10:44 Debt Raise And Balance SheetIf you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br> #oracle #ORCLstock #chipstockinvestor #datacenters #AI infrastructure<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of Oracle

In this analysis of Marvell Technology’s (MRVL) Q4 fiscal year 2026 earnings, Chip Stock Investor explores the company’s dramatic shift toward becoming an all-in AI data center infrastructure play as data center revenue approaches nearly 80% of total sales. <br>The video breaks down Marvell’s core technological buckets—Logic, Networking, and Storage—highlighting their custom XPU work for major customers like Amazon and the strategic impact of acquiring Celestial AI and XConn. <br>Beyond company specifics, the discussion addresses critical macro disruptions, including rising oil prices and memory shortages that are impacting the global semiconductor supply chain in 2026. By comparing Marvell’s trajectory to industry giant Broadcom and performing a reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis at the current $90 stock price, this deep dive evaluates whether the market's 30% growth expectation for Marvell is a justified bet for long-term www.chipstockinvestor.com/membershipinvestors<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br> #Marvell #Semiconductors #AI #Investing #ChipStocks #DataCenter #MRVL #StockMarket Analysis<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of Broadcom

The cybersecurity landscape has shifted dramatically since our 2024 manual, especially following the SaaS Apocalypse. While pure-play leaders like CrowdStrike, Fortinet, Cloudflare, and our newest addition, Rubrik, remain central to the Chip Stock Investor core basket, the industry is moving away from siloed products toward unified AI-driven platforms.<br>Despite recent market volatility, cybersecurity remains a powerful secular trend with global spending expected to hit $250 billion this year as organizations rush to secure new AI infrastructure and manage the risks of automated decision-making agents. Investing in this space now requires looking beyond just the software to the entire supply chain, where "cloud rent" and integration fees are eating into traditional margins. <br>With hyperscalers like Microsoft reporting massive cyber revenues and AI labs like OpenAI entering the fray, the traditional software moat is under siege. We break down why the most resilient software plays might actually be the infrastructure giants that control the distribution and compute layers of the modern security stack.<br>Watch our previous cybersecurity video: https://youtu.be/3rcz8RKgURU<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters:00:00 – Beyond the 2024 Manual: What’s New in 2026? 01:00 – Our Core 5: The Cybersecurity Stock Basket 02:00 – Survival Analysis: Post-February "SaaS Apocalypse"03:15 – The $250 Billion Secular Trend 04:30 – AI Risk: Why Every Organization is Scared Right Now 06:00 – The Software Supply Chain: Product vs. Infrastructure 07:45 – The Microsoft Dominance: $37B in Cyber Revenue? 09:30 – Resellers & Consultants: Who Else is Taking a Cut? 11:00 – OpenAI & Anthropic: The New Cyber Players 12:15 – The Bottom Line: Are There Any Moats Left?<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>****************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#Cybersecurity #Investing2026 #StockMarket #AI #CrowdStrike #PaloAltoNetworks #TechInvesting #ChipStockInvestor<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of PANW, FTNT, CRWD, RBRK

Broadcom’s momentum does not appear to be slowing down anytime soon. With a Q2 revenue guide of $22 billion and AI chip sales projected to climb 140% year-over-year, the company is scaling custom silicon for the likes of Google, Meta, and the top AI labs.<br>Announcements included its new custom accelerators called, get ready,...3.5D eXtreme Dimension System in package (XDSiP) platform. It's a mouthful, but new tech like this will continue to enable hyperscalers to design custom equipment for their own unique data center workloads. <br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br> #Broadcom #AVGO #Semiconductors #AI #Investing #ChipStockInvestor #TechStocks<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of Broadcom

Everpure, formerly known as Pure Storage (PSTG), is undergoing a significant business model transformation from solely a NAND flash hardware provider to a data management and software-centric company. This shift is highlighted by the acquisition of 1Touch (rebranded as Pure1) to enter the Data Security Posture Management (DSPM) market and a strategic partnership with Meta, where Everpure provides high-margin IP licensing and engineering services rather than just physical storage arrays. <br>Despite record R&D spending approaching $1 billion and recent price increases to offset memory shortages, the market remains cautious as it waits for 75–85% gross margins from the Meta deal to reflect in financial results. What is CSI doing with our PSTG position?<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters0:00 - The Rebrand: From Pure Storage to Everpure 1:15 - "Everpure" or "Ever Distilled"? Initial Thoughts on the Name 2:30 - Where Everpure Fits in the Semi Supply Chain 3:45 - The Software Shift: Portworks, 1Touch, and Pure1 5:00 - DSPM: Entering the Data Security Market 6:15 - R&D Comparison: Everpure vs. NetApp 7:45 - The Memory Shortage & 2026 Price Increases 9:00 - Decoding the Meta Deal: Engineering & IP Licensing 10:30 - Margin Expectations: The Path to 85% 11:45 - Guidance & Revenue Forecasts for FY2027 13:15 - Is Management Sandbagging? 14:30 - Final Verdict: Is PSTG a "Wait and See"?<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#Everpure #PSTG #PureStorage #TechInvesting #Semiconductors #DataManagement #Meta #StockMarket #ChipStockInvestor<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of PSTG

Axon Enterprises (formerly Taser) is undergoing a transformation from a product-based company to a critical public safety infrastructure giant. In this video, we dive into their February 2026 earnings update, exploring how "Physical AI" and recent acquisitions like Dedrone and Carbine are fueling their next leg of growth.<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters:00:00 Axon: From Tasers to Public Safety Infrastructure 01:10 Revenue Breakdown: The Rise of Services 02:15 The "Inadvertent" Competitor: Motorola Solutions 03:45 Software Expansion: Carbine and 911 Dispatch 04:35 New Tech: Automatic License Plate Detection 05:55 Drone Defense: The Dedrone Acquisition 07:55 The Subscription Model & Ecosystem 09:45 2026 Guidance & $6 Billion Revenue Goal 11:20 Stock Dilution & Founder Compensation 14:15 Stock Valuation: Free Cash Flow Analysis 15:50 Final Verdict: Moats, Monopolies, and Momentum<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br> #Axon #Investing #TechStocks #PhysicalAI #StockMarket #Taser #chipstockinvestor <br>Nick and Kasey own shares of Axon

Can Nvidia Hit $500 BILLION? 🚀 The AI "Five-Layer Cake" Explained<br>Nvidia is on a historic run, pacing to exceed $300 billion in sales for fiscal year 2027 (calendar 2026), with some estimates reaching as high as $400 billion. We are now looking at the once-impossible milestone: Half a Trillion dollars in revenue.<br>But how are these numbers even possible? Is this a bubble, or a fundamental shift in the global economy?<br>🔥 Why "Compute = Revenue"Jensen Huang has flipped the script. In the past, the IT sector was about productivity gains; today, AI compute IS the revenue. Nvidia is monetizing all five layers of the economic cake:<br>Foundational IP: Licensing and development arrangements within their ecosystem.<br>AI Factories: Selling entire data center systems.<br>Strategic Equity: Investing in AI labs to secure a cut of the top of the cake as global GDP expands.<br>📊 The Q1 OutlookThe momentum isn't slowing down. Nvidia’s Q1 outlook of $78 billion in sales implies a staggering 77% year-over-year growth. With GAAP earnings per share expected to more than double compared to last year, the path to $500B is becoming mathematically doable.<br>⚠️ The Risks: The Software Apocalypse & ShortagesIt’s not all clear skies. We are seeing a bullwhip effect ripple through the economy.<br>Memory Shortages: High demand for data centers is starving the consumer market, putting heavy pressure on PC gaming.<br>Market Volatility: While profit growth is explosive, the stock price may see a "healthier" slower growth rate to account for future cyclical downturns.<br>What do you think? Can Nvidia maintain this vertical climb, or will the Software Apocalypse of 2026 catch up to them? <br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters:0:00 The Half-Trillion Dollar Milestone 1:10 Why the Global Economy is Flipping Upside Down 2:21 "Compute = Revenue" (The Death of Traditional IT) 3:33 The 5-Layer Cake: Nvidia’s Master Plan 4:45 Hyperscaler Spend: The $700B AI War 5:52 OpenAI, Anthropic, and the Software Apocalypse 7:15 More Than Just Chips: Monetizing the Whole Cake 8:40 Is the Stock Growth Sustainable? (EPS vs. Price) 10:15 Warning Signs: Memory Shortages & The Bullwhip Effect 11:45 The Next Frontier: Auto & Industrial AI<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#Nvidia #NVDA #AI #TechNews #StockMarket #Semiconductors #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #chipstockinvestorNick and Kasey own shares of Nvidia

AI is breaking out of the data center and entering the physical world around us. In this video, Kasey and Nick explore Synaptics (SYNA), a fabless chip designer traditionally known for mobile touch sensors that is now betting big on "Physical AI" and Human Machine Interfaces (HMI).<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters0:00 – CES Buzz & Synaptics 0:45 – Synaptics’ Place in the Semiconductor Flow 1:30 – The Shift From Mobile to Enterprise & IoT 2:15 – What exactly is Human Machine Interface (HMI)? 3:40 – Chips for Physical AI 4:55 – The U-Shaped Recovery in Auto & Industrial 6:10 – Growth Challenges & Financial History 7:30 – Valuation: Reverse DCF & Forward FCF 9:15 – Final Verdict: Value Stock or Value Trap?<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br> #Synaptics #SYNA #Semiconductors #ChipStockInvestor #PhysicalAI #HMI #ValueInvesting #AstraChips #StockMarket2026<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of some of the companies mentioned in the video as noted.

Are we in an AI arms race or a massive overspend? Kasey and Nick sit down with Simon Erickson, founder of 7Investing, to break down the staggering $364 billion spent on CapEx by Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon last year alone. In this deep dive, we discuss:-- Why companies like Google and Amazon are vertically integrating their own hardware (TPUs) to avoid Nvidia’s high margins. --Apple’s "Patient" Approach: Why Apple's flat CapEx isn't a sign of weakness, but a calculated move to let others foot the bill for early-stage inefficiencies. --Real-World AI Monetization: From "eliminating inefficiencies" in energy and healthcare to the shift from subscription models to usage-based AI agents. --The Future of Investing: How AI is automating the "grunt work" of stock picking while increasing the importance of human empathy and trust. Make sure you give Simon a follow  @7investing  Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membershipSupercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-formChapters:0:00 – Introducing Simon Erickson & Seven Investing 2:15 – The $364 Billion CapEx Question 3:50 – Why Simon is Invested in Google & Amazon 5:10 – The Apple Anomaly: Flat CapEx Strategy 10:45 – Where is the AI Payoff? Monetization & Advertising 13:20 – AI in Healthcare: Predictive Diagnostics & Surgery 17:45 – Are We at Peak CapEx? 23:50 – Semiconductor Cycle: The ASML & Intel Bottleneck 28:45 – Will AI Replace Stock Pickers? 34:10 – The Retail Investor Edge in an AI WorldIf you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!*********************************************************Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. #AI #CapEx #Investing #SevenInvesting #ChipStockInvestor #Hyperscalers #Apple #Google #Amazon #StockMarket2026 #Semiconductors #HealthcareAINick and Kasey own shares of Amazon, Google and others mentioned in the video

As we gear up for Nvidia earnings, the conversation in the AI data center era has shifted toward one critical ingredient: Memory. In this video we are discussing the "memory trade" and why High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) is causing such a shift in the market.In this video, we break down Micron’s (MU) aggressive production ramp and debunk the rumors surrounding their place in Nvidia’s supply chain. Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membershipSupercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-formChapters:00:00 – The Memory Trade & Nvidia Anticipation 00:45 – HBM: The Essential AI Ingredient 01:45 – Addressing the Nvidia Supply Chain Rumors 02:30 – Is Memory a Commodity? The Cyclical Risk 03:15 – Calculating Free Cash Flow (FCF) 04:00 – Demand vs. Supply: Why Prices are Rising 05:00 – The Global Fab Expansion: Idaho, NY, & Beyond 06:15 – The $150 Billion CapEx Assumption 07:20 – Micron Valuation: 2026 & 2027 Forecasts 08:00 – Final Thoughts: Still Going Strong?If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!*********************************************************Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.#Micron #MU #AIInvesting #Semiconductors #HBM #ChipStockInvestor #StockValuation #TechStocks #Nvidia #MemoryTradeNick and Kasey own shares of Micron

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is facing a volatile market, leading many to ask: is the "SaaS Apocalypse" finally hitting cybersecurity? We break down why the market is hammering the stock despite a clear secular growth trend in the industry.<br>Since Nikesh Aurora took over in 2018, Palo Alto has spent $31 billion on multiple acquisitions to pivot from a simple firewall provider to a cloud and AI security powerhouse. We analyze the recent CyberArk deal, the shift in free cash flow margins, and why the company’s platformization strategy is creating a longer payoff cycle for investors.<br>If you are a PANW shareholder or looking for a value entry in cybersecurity, this video covers the essential valuation metrics.<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#PaloAltoNetworks #PANW #Cybersecurity #Investing #StockMarket #TechStocks #AI #SaaS #CloudSecurity<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of PANW

The CapEx holiday of the 2010s is officially over. After a decade of stagnant infrastructure investment, we’ve hit an inflection point with US manufacturing finally pulling out of a three-year slump. In January 2026, the PMI moved above 50%, signaling that customer orders are finally outpacing production—a leading indicator that the broader economy is heating up.<br>In this video, we move past the headlines to see which companies are actually bucking the trend of normal seasonality. From diversified IDMs like Microchip and TI seeing sequential increases to fabless leaders like Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) taking market share, the recovery is broadening out. Whether it's grid infrastructure through specialists like Littelfuse or the high-voltage data center architecture of the future, the auto and industrial end markets are finally signaling a return to growth.<br>Join us on with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>🎧: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/chipstockinvestor<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#ChipStocks #Investing #Manufacturing #IndustrialAI #Semiconductors #MonolithicPower #StockMarket2026 #mpwrpeople <br>Nick and Kasey own shares of MPWR, MCHP, ADI, ON, QCOM, LSCC, AMD, ALGM

The software apocalypse continues to rattle the market, but AppLovin (APP) is currently operating like a financial "cheat code." Despite the recent stock dip, the core digital ad business is showing explosive growth, with Q1 2026 guidance projecting a 52% jump in revenue. Between the insane 84% adjusted EBITDA margins and the expansion of their Axon 2.0 AI algorithms, this business is converting cash to the bottom line at an incredible rate.<br>We’re breaking down the reverse DCF to see if the current price is a steal or a trap. With free cash flow nearly doubling to $4 billion and a balance sheet that is back to parity, the black box of AI-driven advertising is proving its value. If you’re looking for a long-term compounding machine that thrives as AI makes content creation easier, watch until the end to see why we might nibble if the stock hits the low $400s.<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters:00:00 The Software Apocalypse Continues 02:15 Q1 2026 Guidance: 52% Revenue Growth 03:30 EBITDA Margins 04:45 CEO Adam Feroughi on the AI Advantage 05:50 The Axon 2.0 Black Box 07:00 Free Cash Flow Doubled08:30 Share Repurchases & Balance Sheet Health 09:45 Reverse DCF: Finding the Fair Value 11:00 Our Strategy: Buying the Dip?If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#AppLovin #APP #StockMarket #AI #Investing #GrowthStocks #DigitalAds #FiscalAI<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of AppLovin

Astera Labs (ALAB) recently crushed earnings estimates and provided strong guidance for Q1 2026, yet the stock remains down. Why is the market hesitating?<br>In this video, we break down the Q4 financials for Astera Labs and preview what to expect from Credo Technology (CRDO). We discuss the competitive landscape regarding re-timers and AECs, but more importantly, we expose a significant red flag regarding customer concentration, the Amazon warrant deal.www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Is Astera Labs buying revenue at the expense of shareholders? We also run a Reverse DCF valuation to see what growth is priced in at $144/share. <br>https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>Chapters:00:00 - Astera Labs: Great Earnings, Bad Stock Action 01:10 - Credo & Astera: The High Growth Dilemma 01:58 - Retimers & Competition (Broadcom, Marvell) 03:00 - M&A Strategy: Consolidating the Market 03:52 - Astera Labs Q4 Financial Review05:14 - Credo Technology Preview: Niche Focus vs. Breadth 06:33 - The Major Risk: Customer Concentration (Hyperscalers) 07:29 - Explained: The Amazon Warrant Deal (Buying Revenue?) 10:18 - Astera Labs Valuation: Reverse DCF at $144 11:27 - Conclusion: Why These Are "Babysitter" Stocks<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#AsteraLabs #ALAB #Credo #CRDO #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #ChipStockInvestor #AIfinance<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of Credo

In April 2025, we made a strategic move to trim our Pinterest position and buy into Reddit. Now, two years into its life as a public company, we’re looking at the data: Can Reddit survive the AI software apocalypse and clear the high growth hurdle the market is pricing in? We break down Reddit’s 2025 year-end performance, including a staggering 70% year-over-year revenue growth. However, beneath the surface, there are concerns—from the sunset of key user metrics to stock-based compensation that currently eats up 16% of revenue.We also take you inside our new research platform, Semi Insider, to run a Reverse DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) to find the "fair value" for RDDT stock today.Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membershipSupercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-formChapters:0:00 — Why We Swapped Pinterest for Reddit 1:02 — AI Licensing: The "Sidecar" Business Model 2:15 — Revenue Breakdown: Ads vs. Data Licensing 3:20 — Scaling the Network Effect & International Growth 4:01 — The Metric Shift5:10 — Q1 2026 Outlook: 53% Growth? 6:30 — Stock-Based Compensation & Dilution 8:40 — The $1 Billion Buyback Program 9:45 — Reverse DCF: Calculating Reddit's Fair Value If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!*********************************************************Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.#RedditStock #RDDT #Investing #TechStocks #StockAnalysis #SemiInsider #ChipStockInvestor #GrowthInvesting #AI #FinanceNick and Kasey own shares of Reddit

Is AI eating the software industry, or is it just making it more powerful?<br>In this episode, we sit down with Braden Dennis, CEO and co-founder of Fiscal.ai, to discuss the shift happening in enterprise SaaS. If you've watched our videos, you know we use Fiscal's charts every single day to analyze the markets, so it was great to get Braden’s perspective on where the industry is headed.<br>We dive deep into the software apocalypse narrative and whether it’s based in reality or just a market overreaction. Braden explains why maintaining software is getting easier, how his engineering team has achieved 10x productivity, and why internal AI solutions are coming for the "busy work" that off-the-shelf SaaS can't solve.<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters:0:00 – Is AI Eating Software? 1:12 – Meet Braden Dennis, CEO of Fiscal.ai 1:45 – Why Software Engineering Has Changed Completely 2:40 – 2026 Outlook: Opportunities vs. Traps 3:30 – What Software is Becoming Obsolete? 4:30 – Automating the "Unsolvable" Internal Busy Work 5:15 – "Intelligence in the Sky": A New Data Layer 6:10 – Pricing Power Debate: Will Clients Pay Less? 7:45 – Broadcom & VMware Case Study8:55 – Comparing the Software Correction to 2018 Semiconductors 11:45 – Lessons on Market Cyclicality 13:55 – The Problem with Late-Stage Venture Capital 16:00 – Why We Need More Tech IPOs 18:10 – The Incentive for Founders to Stay Private 20:00 – Evaluating Figma and Adobe in the AI Age21:30 – ServiceNow: Narrative vs. Financial Reality 22:45 – Final Verdict: Being Selective in a Sell-off<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br> #AI #SaaS #SoftwareStocks #Investing #ChipStockInvestor #FiscalAI #TechInvesting #ServiceNow #stockmarket2026 <br>Nick and Kasey own shares of Adobe, Figma, ServiceNow

Tesla is embarking on a shift in business operations, and the implications for the semiconductor industry could be significant. In this video, we examine Tesla’s 2026 capital expenditure (CapEx) outlook through the lens of operating leverage.<br>With a projected $20 billion in CapEx for 2026—not including the proposed TeraFab, Tesla is moving further away from being just an automaker and closer to becoming a vertically integrated robotics and AI powerhouse. What does this mean for current suppliers like Nvidia, Qualcomm, and Micron? We break down the risks of Tesla shoring up its own supply chain and how it could shift pricing power back away from the chipmakers.<br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!*********************************************************Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br> #Tesla #TSLA #Semiconductors #ChipStocks #Investing #Optimus #AI #SupplyChain #FinanceEducation

Is it too late to buy the "Nvidia of Networking"?Lumentum (LITE) and Fabrinet (FN) have been on an absolute tear, with Lumentum up nearly 600% in the last year. Today, we break down why the AI data center build-out is shifting toward optical and silicon photonics—and which of these two companies is the better long-term play for your portfolio.In this video, we cover:-- The Supply Chain: How Lumentum (the IDM) and Fabrinet (the contract manufacturer) work together.-- Financial Deep Dive: Why Lumentum’s operating margins are exploding (up 1,700 basis points!).-- Future Catalysts: The massive OCS (Optical Circuit Switch) orders coming in late 2026.-- Our Verdict: Why we are personally leaning toward one of these for our "starter positions".Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membershipSupercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-formChapters:00:00 — AI Networking: The Next 600% Run?01:38 — Why Lumentum is "The Nvidia of Networking"02:00 — Lumentum vs. Fabrinet: The Supply Chain Secret02:30 — The Hardware: Transceivers & Wafers explained03:10 — LITE Earnings: 1,700 Basis Point Margin Jump!04:00 — The Power of Operating Leverage05:10 — Huge 2026/2027 Catalysts (OCS & CPO)06:45 — Fabrinet Deep Dive: A Broader Play?08:45 — Telecom vs. Industrial Laser segments11:00 — Stock Performance Recap12:20 — Our Portfolio Strategy for 2026If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!*********************************************************Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. #Semiconductors #AI #Lumentum #Fabrinet #Investing #TechStocks #SiliconPhotonics #StockMarket2026 #chipstockinvestor Nick and Kasey own shares of Lumentum and Coherent

We analyze Sandisk's remarkable NVIDIA moment, marked by a 1,000% stock price increase over the past year. Following its 2025 spin-off from Western Digital and the extension of its Flash Ventures partnership with Kioxia through 2034, Sandisk has capitalized on the memory shortage driven by AI data center demand. <br>Sandisk reported a significant revenue beat of over $3 billion and issued a staggering guidance of $4.4 to $4.8 billion for the upcoming quarter—a 170% year-over-year increase. This growth is fueled by powerful operating leverage, with adjusted EPS projected at $13 as rising prices flow directly to the bottom line. <br>How does the valuation look? Watch the video to hear our take. <br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters:0:00 Is Sandisk Having an NVIDIA Moment? 0:45 Memory Shortages 2:10 Flash Ventures: The Kioxia Joint Venture Extension 3:30 Revenue Beat and 170% Growth Guidance 4:50 Direct Sales to AI Data Centers vs. NVIDIA Integration 5:50 Earnings Explosion: Why EPS is Hitting $13 6:30 The Two-Edged Sword of Operating Leverage 7:45 Reverse DCF Analysis9:00 The Cyclical Reality10:45 Final Verdict: Commodity vs. Supply Chain King<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#Sandisk #ChipStockInvestor #Semiconductors #Investing #NAND #TechStocks #StockMarket2026<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of Sandisk

Memory shortages. It's all anyone wants to talk about. Lam Research's plays a pivotal role in addressing the ongoing memory chip shortage and for the AI and data center sectors. We explore Lam Research's position in the semiconductor supply chain, discuss recent financial performance, market share growth, and future revenue projections. Additionally, we analyze the company's strategic advancements in wafer fab equipment, especially in high-bandwidth memory. We also examine the broader memory and semiconductor market dynamics and provide insights into the future growth cycles. <br>Join us on Discord with Semiconductor Insider, sign up on our website: www.chipstockinvestor.com/membership<br>Supercharge your analysis with AI! Get 15% of your membership with our special link here: https://fiscal.ai/csi/<br>Sign Up For Our Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/b1228c12f284/sign-up-landing-page-short-form<br>Chapters:00:00 Memory Shortage02:11 Lam Research's Market Position and Achievements04:20 Future Projections and Market Trends07:50 Revenue Growth and Financial Projections09:01 Reverse DCF Analysis and Investment Insights<br>If you found this video useful, please make sure to like and subscribe!<br>*********************************************************<br>Affiliate links that are sprinkled in throughout this video. If something catches your eye and you decide to buy it, we might earn a little coffee money. Thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction!<br>Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.<br>#LamResearch #LRCX #Semiconductors #ChipStocks #Investing #MemoryShortage #AI #TechStocks #StockMarketAnalysis<br>Nick and Kasey own shares of LRCX