Dynasty Nerds Podcast | Dynasty Fantasy Football

Jagger May is joined by Andrew Mott as they connect free agency fallout to draft needs, and it keeps coming back to one idea: do not force luxury picks when the roster still has clear holes. The conversation hits teams that missed on Max Crosby and pivoted, including the “consolation” angle around Rashan Gary, plus how bringing back Javonte Williams impacts what a team can justify early. There is also a clear skepticism about overvaluing stopgap receivers as long-term answers, especially when a team still needs a real running mate for Malik Nabers. The Jeremiyah Love debate shows up again, with pushback on trying to force a top-ten running back landing spot when several teams already have capable backs. Instead, the focus shifts to guards, corners, and roster construction. Washington’s needs are framed as “get offense,” while the tight end discussion ties Chigoziem Okonkwo to the Zach Ertz style role, and the Eagles angle leans toward finding answers at safety and interior line. The episode also touches teams like the Rams preparing for life after Matthew Stafford, the Vikings’ upside if they ever landed Love, and the 49ers’ urgency to protect Brock Purdy if Trent Williams becomes a real question. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00:00 Start 00:00:22 Dallas Cowboys 00:03:15 New York Giants 00:09:00 Philadelphia Eagles 00:13:05 Washington Commanders 00:18:59 Chicago Bears 00:22:56 Detroit Lions 00:25:49 Green Bay Packers 00:33:12 Minnesota Vikings 00:37:27 Atlanta Falcons 00:42:09 Carolina Panthers 00:45:41 New Orleans Saints 00:48:16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 00:50:27 Arizona Cardinals 00:52:58 LA Rams 00:56:27 San Francisco 49ers 00:59:29 Seattle Seahawks Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, Jagger May is joined by Andrew Mott to rip through AFC free agency moves and what they change heading into the draft. The big theme is simple. Teams that helped the quarterback and the trenches now have the freedom to draft the best players instead of forcing a reach. Buffalo grabbing D.J. Moore is the type of move that changes everything. Josh Allen finally gets real help, and now the Bills can focus on needs like left guard and slot corner instead of forcing a wideout early. Miami feels more like a reset year than a true push, with cap cleanup and physicality taking priority while the quarterback plan stays flexible. New England lands Romeo Doubs and still looks trench-first, using the signing to avoid desperation at receiver and keep options open for value later. The Jets keep leaning defense after major secondary moves, while the Ravens debate is all about priorities. Do they chase an outside receiver, or fix corner and the offensive line first? The episode closes with quick hits on the rest of the AFC, including Houston’s non-negotiable need to protect C.J. Stroud and the Chargers continuing to build through guard and edge so Justin Herbert is not running for survival. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00 Start 00:30 Buffalo Bills 02:22 Miami Dolphins 06:07 New England Patriots 08:52 New York Jets 12:13 Baltimore Ravens 15:08 Cincinnati Bengals 17:32 Cleveland Browns 21:21 Pittsburgh Steelers 24:18 Houston Texans 28:10 Indianapolis Colts 29:58 Jacksonville Jaguars 32:33 Tennessee Titans 36:43 Denver Broncos 39:03 Kansas City Chiefs 41:19 Las Vegas Raiders 46:35 LA Chargers Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Welcome to the Dynasty Nerds Fantasy Football Podcast, where we discuss dynasty strategy, rankings, and all things NFL. In this episode, Rich Dotson is joined by Garret Price and Matt O'Hara as they continue their rookie running back series and dig into a group of backs who could shape the middle rounds of rookie drafts. Jonah Coleman gets the spotlight early as the “safe” profile. They like the compact power, reliable vision, and real three down utility thanks to pass protection and receiving ability. The big question is the top end speed, and they note how much testing could impact draft capital and landing spot. Emmett Johnson brings production and real receiving volume, but the discussion centers on whether the athletic ceiling is high enough for more than a role player outcome. Jaydn Ott is a tougher eval, since the most relevant production is further back and the recent usage makes the projection messy. They get noticeably more excited when they hit Mike Washington Jr., who flashes size, speed, and legitimate pass catching upside. The concerns are pass protection and ball security, plus the idea that the “value window” may be gone now that more people are caught up to him. To close, Seth McGowan is framed as a unique late dart with NFL traits but plenty of red flags, while Kaelon Black is viewed as an older, average profile without a clear fantasy path. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00:00 Start 00:01:20 Jonah Coleman 00:12:48 Emmett Johnson 00:23:58 Jaydn Ott 00:32:23 FFPC 00:35:48 Mike Washington Jr. 00:51:32 Seth McGowan 01:00:29 Kaelon Black Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Rich Dotson, Garret Price, and Matt O'Hara kick off Part 1 of their 2026 rookie running back breakdown with a blunt message. This class is thin, free agency already filled several backfields, and dynasty managers need to be careful chasing names just because the position looks desperate. Jeremiyah Love sits alone at the top of this group, and the discussion centers on why the fantasy ceiling is built through the passing game. They highlight the movement skills, open-field timing, and route ability that could translate into real PPR volume, while still acknowledging the minor flaws that keep the profile from being “perfect.” Once Love is off the board, the episode shifts into dart throw territory. Kaytron Allen gets credit for vision and reliability, but the lack of juice and limited receiving upside caps the dynasty ceiling. Demond Claiborne brings speed and twitch, but the show debates whether drops and ball security could keep him from earning consistent NFL touches. Adam Randall is the ultimate “traits and projection” swing, with a path that might be more creative usage than true every-down work. They also run through J'Mari Taylor and Robert Henry Jr. as deeper bets where the flashes are there, but the margin for error is tiny in a class that already feels like a tough bet. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00:00 Start 00:04:36 Jeremiyah Love 00:18:21 Kaytron Allen 00:26:56 Demond Claiborne 00:41:53 FFPC 00:45:02 Adam Randall 00:55:45 J'Mari Taylor 01:03:00 Robert Henry Jr. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Garret and Andrew go live by accident and roll straight into a rapid-fire dynasty reaction show as NFL free agency reshapes the 2026 landscape. From quarterback contracts to running back bags to sneaky value swings at tight end, the biggest takeaway is simple: the market is moving fast, and the dynasty “buy window” on some players is already closing. They start with Malik Willis landing a three-year deal in Miami and explain why the rushing upside could create a short-term QB1 window, but also why this is now a “hold or sell” market, not a buy. At running back, Kenneth Walker in Kansas City gets framed as a splashy move with real upside, but enough role and durability questions to keep expectations in check. Travis Etienne gets the biggest bullish push as a volume bet in a friendly system, while JK Dobbins returning to Denver is treated as a loud signal that caps RJ Harvey optimism. They hit the messy middle fast: Kenny Gainwell to Tampa Bay changes the conversation around Bucky Irving, while Rico Dowdle in Pittsburgh draws real excitement because of the coaching fit and role clarity. At wide receiver, Alec Pierce gets labeled as a price-inflated asset worth exploring as a sell, and the Wan’Dale Robinson versus Rashid Shaheed debate comes down to weekly PPR value versus spike-week appeal. They close with tight ends, including a small bump for Cade Otton, and a meaningful tier jump for Isaiah Likely if the Giants keep the target tree thin. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00 Intro 01:22 Quarterbacks 06:51 Running Backs 32:31 Wide Receivers 44:04 Tight Ends 48:07 Wrap-up Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jagger May and Andrew Mott break down best NFL fits for the 2026 rookie quarterback class, starting with the easiest call on the board and then working through a tier of prospects where development path matters more than immediate upside. They land on a clear QB1 destination, debate the most polarizing “where should he go?” fit, and round out the show with Day 3-style swings that need patience, structure, and the right staff to have any chance of becoming more than backups. They kick off with Fernando Mendoza and make it simple. The Raiders are the best fit, and it is not close. They like the structure around him, the offensive environment, and how clean the transition feels from a roster-building standpoint. If there is one quarterback spot that feels locked in before draft night, this is the one. From there, the conversation shifts into “who can actually develop” territory. Garrett Nussmeier gets framed as a top-three quarterback in the class, with a preferred fit that allows him to sit and grow rather than getting forced onto the field too early. The show also spends time on the biggest fit debate of the episode with Ty Simpson, with Andrew pushing the Rams as the ideal landing spot for a year or two of development behind a veteran, while Jagger defends a more aggressive “teams will trade and take their guy” view of how the first round can unfold. They also place Carson Beck in the bridge-quarterback lane, and talk through why the right coaching environment could matter more than raw traits for Drew Allar, Cole Payton, Taylen Green, Cade Klubnik, and Diego Pavia, where the realistic goal is often “earn a roster spot and get time to develop” before anything else. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00 Start 00:17 Fernando Mendoza 02:11 Garrett Nussmeier 09:03 Join the #NERDHERD 10:07 Ty Simpson 17:10 Carson Beck 21:28 Drew Allar 26:24 Cole Payton 30:15 Taylen Green 34:31 Cade Klubnik 37:04 Diego Pavia Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Garret Price, Jagger May, and Andrew Mott run a full one-round, 32-pick NFL mock draft built for chaos. This is not a fantasy mock. It is a true “every position counts” exercise where Combine buzz, roster needs, and team-building philosophy collide fast. It starts the way most people expect, with the Raiders taking Fernando Mendoza at 1.01. From there, the draft leans heavily into premium value: edge, secondary, and trench help. The early run features the Jets grabbing Arvell Reese, the Cardinals building up front with Spencer Fano, and the Titans selecting David Bailey as a foundational defensive add. By the time the Giants land Sonny Styles, the board is already setting up a key theme for the rest of the mock: teams that are not truly ready to win still have to decide whether to chase a “finishing piece” or keep stacking long-term pillars. A major pivot point comes with the Commanders selecting Jeremiyah Love, which sparks the conversation about how early a team should take a running back. Later, the Chiefs land Carnell Tate, and the back half of the round becomes about fit and roster construction more than pure hype, including Mansoor Delane to the Dolphins, Caleb Downs to the Cowboys, and Jordyn Tyson to the Rams. The late first round continues to load up on immediate contributors, with Makai Lemon, Zion Young, and Ty Simpson all coming off the board, before the mock closes with defenders and trench picks that could quietly matter a lot if the landing spots hit. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00 Start 01:17 1. Raiders (Fernando Mendoza) 01:57 2. Jets (Arvell Reese) 04:07 3. Cardinals (Spencer Fano) 06:18 4. Titans (David Bailey) 08:11 5. Giants (Sonny Styles) 09:25 7. Commanders (Jeremiyah Love) 13:36 9. Chiefs (Carnell Tate) 15:05 10. Monroe Freeling 16:06 11. Dolphins (Mansoor Delane) 18:50 12. Cowboys (Caleb Downs) 20:05 13. Rams (Jordyn Tyson) 22:47 Picks 14 and 15 24:00 16. Jets (Makai Lemon) 25:43 17. Lions (Zion Young) 28:15 18. Vikings (Ty Simpson) 34:29 19. Panthers (Akheem Mesidor) 35:19 20. Cowboys (Cashius Howell) 36:07 22. Chargers (Olaivagega Ioane) 37:33 22. Eagles ( Caleb Lomu) 38:29 24. Browns (Blake Miller) 39:14 25. Bears (Caleb Banks) 40:21 26. Buffalo Bills (T.J. Parker) 41:34 27. 49ers (Omar Cooper Jr.) 42:27 28. Texans (Emmanuel Pregnon) 43:10 29. Chiefs (Avieon Terrell) 44:06 30. Broncos (CJ Allen) 45:50 31. Patriots (Kadyn Proctor) 48:00 32. Seahawks (Jacob Rodriguez) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Rich, Matt, and Garret return for Part Two of their 2026 rookie quarterback reviews, and the theme is pretty blunt: this group has far more projection risk than certainty. They still break down the paths to relevance, but most of the discussion comes back to what NFL draft capital will say about these evaluations. They open with Ty Simpson, and the argument is all about risk tolerance. He does a lot of things “fine,” with a quick release and solid short-to-intermediate accuracy, but the limited starts and shaky deep ball outcomes keep him from feeling like a safe Round 1 bet. The overall takeaway is that he is much easier to like if he lands as a Round 2 investment instead of being treated like a franchise cornerstone. Haynes King is the cleanest example of “testing and rushing production are not enough.” The athleticism and rushing numbers create obvious fantasy temptation, but the passing profile is too inconsistent for them to buy him as a real NFL quarterback. The more realistic path they keep circling is a role player or chess-piece type usage rather than a full-time starter you build around. With Carson Beck, the discussion centers on what happens when a quarterback does not have rushing outs. He can operate an offense when things are clean and structured, but heavy feet, pressure issues, and inconsistent ball placement limit the fantasy ceiling. They frame him more as a bridge outcome than a long-term fantasy starter. They are very low on Sawyer Robertson. The size and arm are there, but the tape reaction is overwhelmingly negative, especially on accuracy and throws outside the numbers. This is the clearest “do not draft” profile of the episode. Cade Klubnik lands in the uncomfortable middle. He has enough athletic ability and quick-game traits to survive, but they question whether the pressure response and inconsistency can ever be cleaned up enough to matter in the NFL. The most likely outcome they describe is a borderline starter or backup track, with only a narrow path to something more. They close with Cole Payton, who is difficult to pin down because the mechanics look messy but the production and athleticism still pop. The conversation frames him as a developmental bet you only take if an NFL team commits real coaching time to him. Compared to some other pure tools bets, they see more potential for him to be molded, but it still depends heavily on draft capital and situation. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00:00 Start 00:00:49 Ty Simpson 00:18:20 Haynes King 00:25:24 Carson Beck 00:36:48 FFPC 00:38:07 Roster Rescue 00:39:20 Sawyer Robertson 00:44:22 Cade Klubnik 00:56:36 Cole Payton Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Rich, Matt, and Garret kick off their 2026 rookie prospect reviews with the position that breaks the most hearts every year: quarterbacks. The group emphasizes how much draft capital and landing spot shape outcomes, but also why weak classes can create value pockets in Superflex, especially if a QB can buy fantasy points with rushing. They start at the top with Fernando Mendoza, presenting him as the cleanest profile in the class and the safest Superflex bet. The discussion centers on accuracy, ball placement, decision-making, and leadership, with a debate on ceiling. One view sees him living as a reliable QB1 or high-end QB2 type. The other argues he can climb higher if the team build around him hits and the offense keeps evolving. Next up is Garrett Nussmeier, framed as a tricky evaluation because the 2025 tape looks heavily impacted by injury, while the 2024 tape shows a much more live arm and a more confident, pro-style passer. The group keeps coming back to one key point: draft capital will tell the story. If he lands in the right range, he becomes a real swing worth taking in Superflex rookie drafts. They move into Drew Allar as the “looks the part” quarterback that coaches will want to develop. The upside is obvious in the frame and arm talent, but the concerns show up when the pocket collapses and the processing speeds up. The consensus is that he needs time, structure, and the right coaching situation to see if the tools translate. They then cover Diego Pavia, giving credit for competitiveness and production, but making it clear the size limitation creates a massive barrier to draft capital and long-term opportunity. For fantasy purposes, they frame it as the kind of player where any real playing-time window would likely be the sell window. They also hit Taylen Green as the ultimate “tools vs quarterbacking” prospect. The athletic profile is wild and the rushing upside creates fantasy intrigue, but the concerns are about processing, mechanics, and whether he can consistently function as an NFL passer. The takeaway is that he is a pure swing pick, not a stable bet. They close with Luke Altmyer, who gets credit for playing on time, protecting the ball, and being coach-friendly, but is framed as a capped-ceiling profile for fantasy. Even if he sticks in the NFL as a backup type, the upside is limited compared to the quarterbacks who can generate fantasy points with rushing. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00:00 Start 00:06:51 Fernando Mendoza 00:26:00 Garrett Nussmeier 00:39:26 Drew Allar 00:49:27 FFPC 00:51:16 Roster Rescue is BACK! 00:52:19 Diego Pavia 01:02:07 Taylen Green 01:14:27 Luke Altmyer Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Garret Price and Andrew Mott shift from Combine takeaways into the real domino period: NFL free agency. The focus is how quickly dynasty value can swing based on tags, cap space, and surprise landing spots. The quarterback section starts with Daniel Jones as the cleanest call to return. From there, they frame Kirk Cousins as more of a bridge or depth option than a true long-term starter, with potential fits depending on how a team wants to handle the next rookie class. The most discussed “swing” outcome is Malik Willis. They see logical scenarios where he lands in a spot that gives him a chance to start sooner rather than later, but they also push back on the idea that he becomes a franchise saver. The upside is real for fantasy. The long-term NFL outlook is still more uncertain. At running back, they spend time on the tension around Breece Hall, with the tag scenario creating downside risk for both fantasy managers and the player’s perceived freedom. Kenneth Walker is treated as more likely to stay put, but with enough uncertainty that it is worth tracking closely through the deadline. From there, the conversation turns to possible landing spots and role fits. Travis Etienne is one of the biggest pieces on the board if he changes teams. Rachaad White gets framed as a committee and depth type of option rather than a clear starter. Rico Dowdle, Tyler Allgeier, and JK Dobbins round out the “next tier” of backs who could become important depending on how a backfield is built and how much money a team is willing to spend. On the wide receiver side, they start with Alec Pierce as a clean field-stretcher fit for multiple teams. Mike Evans is the headliner name if the longtime situation finally changes, with a clear expectation that any move would be tied to chasing a title. They also run through veteran and role-based fits, including Wan’Dale Robinson, Romeo Doubs, Jauan Jennings, and Christian Kirk, with the key point being that teams with cap space and obvious needs can reshape the entire room quickly. They close the receiver discussion with Deebo Samuel and Rashid Shaheed, focusing on how either player could change an offense’s geometry depending on usage and price. At tight end, they highlight David Njoku as the kind of addition that can immediately upgrade an offense that needs a true middle-of-the-field presence. Isaiah Likely is treated as a talented option whose market may not be as hot as fantasy managers expect. Cade Otton is discussed as a solid, reliable tight end piece who can fit multiple teams without needing to be the entire passing game. Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00 Start 01:23 Daniel Jones 02:10 Kirk Cousins 05:56 Malik Willis 10:14 Breece Hall 12:50 Kenneth Walker 17:34 Travis Etienne 19:09 Rachaad White 20:25 Rico Dowdle 24:35 Tyler Allgeier 28:06 JK Dobbins 29:22 Alec Pierce 32:59 Mike Evans 35:55 Wan'Dale Robinson 38:04 Romeo Doubs 39:12 Jauan Jennings 41:32 Christian Kirk 43:26 Deebo Samuel & Rashid Shaheed 47:26 David Njoku 48:40 Isaiah Likely 50:08 Cade Otton Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jagger May and Andrew Mott are back with a post-Combine check-in on who helped themselves and who created new concerns. Their main point is consistent throughout the episode: testing is not the whole evaluation, but bad numbers and bad interview moments can matter a lot more than a great 40. At running back, the conversation keeps coming back to how thin the class feels behind Jeremiyah Love. Mike Washington Jr. is the testing standout they spend the most time on, while Emmett Johnson is the most disappointing result, turning “interesting traits” into a much tougher projection based on how the numbers landed. At quarterback, they treat Ty Simpson and Garrett Nussmeier as winners mostly because they did what they needed to do on the field and in interviews. On the other side, Diego Pavia is the clear cautionary tale of how quickly interviews can tank confidence. At wide receiver, the biggest storyline is Makai Lemon, where the discussion is less about tape and more about the Combine week optics. They also note that some players did not test, which naturally creates skepticism until pro days. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00:00 Start 00:07:19 WR Winners and Losers 00:18:04 QB Winners and Losers 00:28:16 RB Winners and Losers 00:34:35 EDGE Winners and Losers 00:41:06 Offensive Linemen Winners and Losers 00:45:47 TE Winners and Losers 00:51:37 Conspiracy Theory Time 00:53:48 IDL Winners and Losers 00:55:05 LB Winners and Losers 00:56:51 DB Winners and Losers Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Garret Price and Andrew Mott go full “Frankenstein mode” for Combine week, building the ultimate 2026 wide receiver by assigning one prospect to each key trait. The only rule is you can only use each player once, which forces some gamesmanship as they decide where each name has the most value. They start with Malachi Fields as the easy winner for size, the receiver who “looks like WR1 getting off the bus.” For pure long speed, both land on Brenen Thompson, the track-speed bet who could be among the fastest in the class. For yards after catch, they give the nod to Omar Cooper, emphasizing open-field playmaking and how that trait translates across offensive systems. When it comes to hands, they agree Makai Lemon brings the best mix of reliability and highlight-level catches. Route running is the one category they treat as a clear lock, selecting Jordan Tyson as the best separator and tempo-based technician in the class. Contested catch goes to Denzel Boston, largely because of strength through contact and the ability to win at the catch point with “vice grip” hands. For the tougher “vibes” category, IQ, they settle on Skyler Bell, a player they credit for constantly being in the right place, understanding scramble drill rules, and winning with savvy rather than pure athletic dominance. Pedigree goes to Carnell Tate, based on recruiting profile and the full “pipeline” context. For burst and early acceleration, they choose KC Concepcion, with a quick note that measurements and speed will be huge for how the NFL views the role. They close physicality with Chris Bell, describing a tank-built receiver who plays with real edge and contact tolerance. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00 Start 01:40 WR Size 03:48 Speed 05:41 YAC 07:48 Hands 10:33 Route Running 12:21 Contested Catch 14:18 Football IQ 19:27 Pedigree 21:41 Burst 23:29 Physicality Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Rich Dotson and Garret Price are back for one of their most popular yearly shows: the real value of rookie draft picks. With the Combine running and rookie drafts right around the corner, they break down where picks actually hit, where they turn into roster cloggers, and why “not worth a first” is meaningless unless you say which first. Garret lays out the scoring tiers they track to define outcomes. A “hit” requires at least one Tier 1 season, or multiple Tier 2 seasons, with thresholds adjusted by position. Quarterbacks need top six seasons to count as Tier 1, running backs and wide receivers need top 12, and tight ends need top three. The point is simple: if a player never reaches at least Tier 2, that pick never truly helped your starting lineup. After adding the 2024 class to the spreadsheet, they call out early hits already logged, including Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Malik Nabers, Drake Maye, Brock Bowers, Ladd McConkey, Brian Thomas Jr., and Bo Nix, while noting plenty of names still need time to prove it. The biggest takeaway is the stability at the very top. Since 2018, the 1.01 has a 100% hit rate in their sample, and top four picks hit about three quarters of the time, with even more value when you include “mid” outcomes. After that, the first round becomes far less differentiated, and they point out an odd recent trend where 1.09 to 1.12 has slightly better results than 1.05 to 1.08. They dig into a possible reason: quarterbacks often get pushed into that 1.05 to 1.08 range in Superflex, and non-elite rookie quarterbacks are harder to “hit” by their definition. The broader lesson stays the same. Outside the top tier, it often makes sense to trade down, tier up into a proven veteran, or move picks into stronger future classes. They hammer the second round value drop. Once you get into the 2.01 to 2.12 range, the hit rate collapses, and third round picks become true dart throws. Their advice for contenders is aggressive: if you can turn a first into multiple years of a proven producer, that is usually the winning bet because many late firsts never become lineup players. Garret also tests a theory about late rookie drafts. If you trade late seconds and thirds for multiple fourths and fifths, the position most likely to return value is running back. Late-round running backs can become “ships to shore” quickly when injuries hit, and that short window can still flip into future seconds. They add that tight ends are often pushed down by the community chasing wide receivers, which can create value pockets in the late second and early third. The data behind “hits” and why the top mattersWhat the hit rates say about trading picksWhy second round picks are the “Ponzi scheme”Late draft strategy: load up on running backs and tight ends. 00:00 Start 00:30 Why Rookie Picks Are Often Overvalued 03:23 Hit/Mid/Miss Definitions 10:42 Top Picks Hit Rates 16:21 Mid/Late Firsts & Second/Third Round Drop-Off 27:43 Trade Firsts for Proven Assets & Late-Round Targets 37:27 FFPC 38:46 2026 Rookie Class Outlook Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Rich Dotson and Garret Price are back with one of the cleanest ways to win trades in dynasty: the tier down. The goal is to move from Player A to a cheaper Player B when the weekly scoring gap is smaller than the market thinks, then take the “plus” in picks or players on top. This episode is built around one core idea: if you can get similar production and add extra capital, you are gaining value without sacrificing points. That can mean targeting bad ADP, fading hype, and taking advantage of managers who overpay for the “bigger name.” The show starts at quarterback with a bold move from Joe Burrow to Baker Mayfield, arguing the production gap can be much smaller than the startup cost gap if you price in injury volatility and the market’s perception. Rich adds that quarterback is often the easiest position to tier down and brings up Brock Purdy and Trevor Lawrence as other viable “score close and get younger” targets. At wide receiver, Rich looks at tiering down from Tee Higgins to Jameson Williams, focusing on age, pricing, and how close the points can be if the situation stays favorable. The bigger rebuild-style swing is moving off A.J. Brown to Christian Watson if the plus is strong enough, accepting volatility in exchange for youth, ceiling, and a future first. The running back discussion includes tiering down from Bucky Irving to Javonte Williams, leaning on role security after the contract. The spiciest move is a possible tier down from Jonathan Taylor to Travis Etienne, based on how close their realistic scoring ranges can be and the idea that Etienne’s market could climb fast with the right free agency outcome. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00 Start 02:26 Joe Burrow - Baker Mayfield 13:51 Tee Higgins - Jameson Williams 21:22 AJ Brown - Christian Watson 27:04 FFPC 29:06 Bucky Irving - Javonte Williams 35:12 Jonathan Taylor - Travis Etienne Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Combine week mock draft season is here, and Garret Price is joined by Andrew Mott to lock in a pre-Combine baseline: a two-round Superflex, tight end premium rookie mock that captures how they feel before testing, draft capital, and landing spots reshape the board. At 1.01, Jeremiyah Love is treated as the clear, no-drama selection in this format, with both hosts basically agreeing it would take something extreme to move off that spot. From there, Superflex value pushes Fernando Mendoza to 1.02, setting the tone for how aggressively quarterback can climb in this build. The top receiver conversation follows quickly. Carnell Tate gets the “safe profile” stamp near the top, while Jordyn Tyson comes off the board as a tape-driven WR1 type pick, even with Combine participation questions lingering. Makai Lemon stays firmly in the mix, and KC Concepcion is framed as one of the biggest “measurements and speed” swing players of the week. The mid-first pivots into playmaking and positional leverage, with Omar Cooper Jr. rising on the strength of space play and after-catch upside, and Kenyon Sadiq entering the conversation as the tight end premium value play. The back half of Round 1 rounds out with archetype receiver builds and more scarcity pressure: Denzel Boston and Germie Bernard come off the board, the RB2 conversation starts with Jadarian Price, and the quarterback swing at the end lands on Ty Simpson. Round 2 opens with running back scarcity forcing action as Jonah Coleman comes off the board early. The next pick leans into a traits-and-pathway bet with Emmett Johnson, with the discussion focusing on how receiving usage can create fantasy relevance if the opportunity appears. Receiver profiles then split into two lanes: outside archetypes and high-upside “hit one big play” bets. Ja'Kobi Lane headlines the outside profile conversation, while Mike Washington Jr. becomes a focal RB pick because size plus usable hands can create immediate NFL interest if the testing holds. Tight end premium comes back into play with Eli Stowers and Max Klare both getting love as prospects who could earn roles faster than the market expects. The late second becomes pure swing territory, featuring Ted Hurst and injured upside with Chris Bell, before the mock closes with another outside receiver bet in Elijah Sarratt and a final running back selection in Kaytron Allen. 📊 Rookie Big Boards 📝 Rookie Mock Drafts 📈 Dynasty Rankings 📱 Dynasty Nerds App 🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Combine week is here, and Ceiling and Floor is back before the real testing starts. ⁠Jagger May⁠ and ⁠Andrew Mott⁠ run through a slate of running backs with ceiling and floor comps, while repeating an important reminder: these are stylistic outcomes, not destiny. The episode starts with Jeremiah Love as the clear top name in the class, with big, usage-driven upside and rare receiving potential. From there, they dig into the next tier of backs and what could swing outcomes at the next level: lateral agility for Jadarian Price, pass pro and role certainty for Emmett Johnson, and how speed testing could make or break the outlook for Jonah Coleman. Later, the discussion turns to the broader “don’t over-draft this class” warning, especially for dynasty players who might fall in love with RB2 in this group without comparing the talent to other NFL backs. That context shows up again when they get into Kaytron Allen, Mike Washington Jr., Nicholas Singleton, and Demond Claiborne, where landing spot, role, and Combine numbers could cause major movement. Behind Love, this class has more unanswered questions than usual. The crew argues that the Combine will be critical for sorting out who can erase athletic concerns, who needs specific coaching to unlock receiving or pass protection, and who might be pushed down boards when the testing confirms the doubts. Start Using the Film Room Today! FastDraft: Download and deposit $10 using code NERDS on the FastDraft app and join your first draft to be eligible for a free one-year full bundle membership at Dynasty Nerds (new members only). FastDraft will match your deposit up to $50. Draft best ball teams in under 5 minutes! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00 Start 00:43 Jeremiyah Love 03:51 Jadarian Price 09:20 Emmett Johnson 15:33 Jonah Coleman 24:02 Kaytron Allen 27:23 Mike Washington Jr. 32:30 Nicholas Singleton 35:09 Demond Claiborne Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

It is tight end season on the Dynasty Nerds pod as Rich Dotson, Matt O'Hara, and Garret Price dig into 2026 TE dynasty buys and sells at one of fantasy’s most volatile positions. If you need affordable production, the crew makes the case for Mark Andrews as a low risk bet with Lamar Jackson still leaning on the position and a contract extension adding security. They also highlight AJ Barner as a cheap stash with youth, steady growth, and a scheme fit that could keep the arrow pointing up. For upside on a discount, David Njoku comes up as a player the dynasty community has cooled on, but who could rebound in a better offense if free agency breaks right. The big sell call is Jake Ferguson, a tight end who may be priced at last year’s touchdowns and volume rather than repeatable traits. Sam LaPorta also gets the sell label due to back surgery risk and a Detroit offense that may not feed tight ends like it once did. Finally, Brenton Strange is flagged as a surprising TE13 price in an offense that has not consistently funneled targets to the position. Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards 📝 Rookie Mock Drafts 📈 Dynasty Rankings 📱 Dynasty Nerds App 🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. Start Using the Film Room Today! FastDraft: Download and deposit $10 using code NERDS on the FastDraft app and join your first draft to be eligible for a free one-year full bundle membership at Dynasty Nerds (new members only). FastDraft will match your deposit up to $50. Draft best ball teams in under 5 minutes! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00 Start 05:48 Buy Mark Andrews 10:55 Buy AJ Barner 15:00 Buy David Njoku 21:49 FastDraft 23:18 FFPC 24:12 Sell Jake Ferguson 31:54 Sell Sam LaPorta 38:04 Sell Brenton Strange Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

February brings offseason roster management decisions, and Rich Dotson, Matt O'Hara, and Garret Price break down the wide receivers to target and which studs to flip before values decline. From identifying alpha receivers to recognizing injury red flags, these moves could define your 2026 championship window. Ricky Pearsall sits at WR26 despite becoming the last receiver standing in San Francisco with Jauan Jennings likely leaving and George Kittle recovering from an Achilles injury. Alec Pierce finished WR28 despite Indianapolis dysfunction, and free agency could elevate him to a mid range WR2 if Michael Pittman gets cut. Zay Flowers finished WR7 or WR12 depending on format, and Declan Doyle's arrival from Ben Johnson's coaching tree should increase Baltimore's pass volume dramatically. Start Using the Film Room Today! FastDraft: Download and deposit $10 using code NERDS on the FastDraft app and join your first draft to be eligible for a free one-year full bundle membership at Dynasty Nerds (new members only). FastDraft will match your deposit up to $50. Draft best ball teams in under 5 minutes! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00:00 Start 00:08:46 Buy Ricky Pearsall 00:10:17 Buy Kyle Williams 00:18:45 Buy Alec Pierce 00:26:53 Buy Zay Flowers 00:37:51 FFPC 00:40:48 FastDraft 00:43:00 Sell Nico Collins 00:50:58 Sell Chris Olave 01:01:19 Sell Malik Nabers Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Dynasty Nerds podcast dives deep into dynasty fantasy football with a focus on bounce-back candidates for 2026. Hosts Garret Price and Andrew Mott break down big-name players who underperformed in 2025 but still carry early-round startup value as former first-round rookie picks. They assign a confidence meter (1-10) to each player's odds of returning to elite form, covering key positions like quarterback and wide receiver. The episode covers Lamar Jackson's dip in rushing production after injury, Brian Thomas Jr's messy offseason with competition from Travis Hunter and Jacoby Myers plus trade rumors, Cam Skattebo's gruesome ankle injury despite strong early play, Xavier Worthy's letdown in Kansas City amid questions about his role, Baker Mayfield's midseason fade from MVP chatter due to injuries and coordinator changes, and Saquon Barkley's step back in Philly with workload and age concerns. Listen to This Episode: ▶️ YouTube Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards 📝 Rookie Mock Drafts 📈 Dynasty Rankings 📱 Dynasty Nerds App 🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. Start Using the Film Room Today! FastDraft: Download and deposit $10 using code NERDS on the FastDraft app and join your first draft to be eligible for a free one-year full bundle membership at Dynasty Nerds (new members only). FastDraft will match your deposit up to $50. Draft best ball teams in under 5 minutes! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

With the NFL Combine right around the corner, we're locking in on the top 10 wide receivers and their dream landing spots in this 2026 draft class. From explosive YAC threats to big-bodied X receivers who fit perfectly with young QBs like Jayden Daniels and Drake Maye, we break down how these prospects could immediately boost offenses and deliver massive fantasy production for your dynasty teams. ▶️ YouTube 📊 Rookie Big Boards 📝 Rookie Mock Drafts 📈 Dynasty Rankings 📱 Dynasty Nerds App 🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. Start Using the Film Room Today! FastDraft: Download and deposit $10 using code NERDS on the FastDraft app and join your first draft to be eligible for a free one-year full bundle membership at Dynasty Nerds (new members only). FastDraft will match your deposit up to $50. Draft best ball teams in under 5 minutes! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices