The DeFi Report

Bitcoin is pushing toward $100K, but is the move real or just a positioning unwind? Mike and Ryan break down the CPI surprise, real rates and breakevens, why global liquidity still looks like it’s rolling over, and what the onchain data says about true demand, from ETF flows to long term holder selling, open interest, and funding. Mike explains what would convince him this rally can reclaim $100K as support, and why he’s still staying patient and largely in cash.----📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://thedefireport.io/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:14 Next Stop: $100K Bitcoin?1:10 Positive Price Action4:54 Powell's Prosecution & Market Impact6:08 Bitcoin's Moment?9:14 Understanding Real Rates & CPI12:19 Global Liquidity & Bitcoin17:57 Onchain Data Insights21:47 Market Demand Signals26:14 Anticipating Market Reactions32:15 Upcoming Assets on the Watchlist35:44 Closing----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://thedefireport.io/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----Today on The DeFi Report, we’re mapping the 2026 setup: shifting fiscal flows, tighter liquidity, and why rate cuts are not automatically bullish for crypto. Mike stays risk off (80 percent cash) while he watches for the signals that would force a pivot, falling real yields, a dovish Fed, and Bitcoin reclaiming key levels. We also break down where we are in the market cycle, why a counter rally could be a trap, and what Mike’s $65K fair value target implies for positioning this year.----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro1:10 Setup for 20265:54 Macro & Liquidity Setup8:46 2022 Comparison 11:40 U.S. Liquidity Cycle Insights13:20 Bitcoin & Interest Rates16:34 Labor Market Insights18:49 Real Estate Trends21:04 Midterm Year Implications23:30 Asset Allocation Cycle26:18 Crypto Cycle Analysis29:38 Transition Phase in Crypto34:23 Geopolitical X Factor37:12 Closing & Disclaimers----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

The Fed cut rates and announced $40B/month in T bill purchases. Is that the signal to buy back into crypto? Mike says no. In this episode, we explain why “QE light” is not real easing, the key indicators Mike needs before flipping risk on, and what Bitcoin’s onchain market structure suggests about where this cycle could go next.----📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://thedefireport.io/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt----TIMESTAMPS0:00 Introduction to the DeFi Report2:28 Current Market Positioning9:25 Federal Reserve's Actions Explained13:13 Economic Conditions & Predictions18:35 Big Picture of Economic Strategy23:17 Analyzing Bitcoin's Market Structure29:57 Closing & Future Outlook----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.