Fantasy For Real

Today's show concludes the Start-Up Tiers & then moves onto planning out my 2026 NFL Mock Draft (32 Picks) looking over some early Vegas lines trying to find what might be predictive. TIMELINE || Mock Recap -- 2:15 || Tier 7 -- 3:15 || Tier 8 -- 10:45 || QB -- 23:15 || RB -- 25:30 || WR -- 28:15 || TE -- 33:00 || Vegas Lines -- 37:00 || Shough -- 56:00 Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Roughly ~30 Days to the NFL Draft, but while we are in 2026 Rookie Season, not a whole lot has changed since the NFL Combine. At this point, there is really one thing left for me to do pre-Draft for 2026: Final Positional Rankings & Big Board. But with a few weeks to spare still, this week will take a step back from the 2026 NFL Draft — at the very least for the first post — and focus on my pre-Draft Superflex Start-Up Rankings. This Start-Up Draft Exercise began last show and covered my first 3 Tiers & 2 Rounds. While all of this information is subject to change, it is important to know that more is likely to change the further we get into the draft, including the fact that today’s tiers will see Fernando Mendoza & the top 3 WRs drafted. Start-Up Tiers 4-6 (Rounds 3-5.5)Here are some of the Key Takeaways and pivot points for the first 3 Tiers. The Tiers themselves as well as the Mock Draft can be found linked here:https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JUkpIfRKHIBqTae-BgjdFz0unFfgzQ4g_dAjQlEGFB8/edit?usp=sharing* As mentioned last week, TIERS are not a perfect science. There is a mixing of quality within each Tier, but the only way to avoid that is to have 20-30 Tiers. The primary idea here is where some of the fall-off points are the biggest or most clear. * Through 5.5 Rounds, this is demonstrated by the fact that my Tiers have been broken exactly ONCE: in the late 2nd Round by a team with Bijan Robinson taking Bo Nix over Omarion Hampton, a second RB and the only player left in Tier 3. * While there are four WRs in Tier 4 in particular, the QBs & Nico Collins seem like the top players within this Tier. De’Von Achane has a strong argument as well that is weighed down by his situation. * Team 7 was in a decent position to get a QB in Round 1, but based on how the Draft broke down, they were in a particularly poor place in Rounds 2 & 3 to get a QB. Round 4 does present opportunity, but none of these players are my favorite, and with the 5 Teams after Team 7 having 7 of their 10 QBs already, Team 7 will wait on their QB1 and target a potential game changing short-term asset in Christian McCaffrey.* There are a number of points in this draft where I pair up a QB+WR stack or a void a QB+RB situation. The Josh Allen & Patrick Mahomes teams took Jonathan Taylor & Breece Hall over James Cook & Kenneth Walker III, who I would probably prefer in a vacuum. Caleb Williams paired with Colston Loveland, Burrow with Higgins, & Jackson with Flowers. * There are also a few points where the right QB falls to the right team. Team 7 taking Jared Goff is a bit rich for ADP, but by my rankings, that is the first time where a QBs price point was convenient for Team 7 within my tiers. Fernando Mendoza is unlikely to last to the mid-5th, but he went to the perfect team to build for the long-term. * In many ways, the first tiers from last show were the “Elite” or “near-Elite.” These tiers today are much more the “Very Good” or the players you still clearly very much want as Dynasty Assets. As we move into the next tier later in the week, the focus will go to the last Dynasty Assets who seem to have some level of clear value prior to the NFL Draft. Slightly behind on the release again for this show, though I do plan on wrapping up this Mock Draft soon and on the next episode. More context as always can be found by listening to the Fantasy For Real podcast. I also very briefly discuss Bryce Lance at the end of this episode. Questions & Comments welcomeThanks,C.J. Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's show covers my top 3 Start-Up tiers, an update on recent 2026 Rookie Consensus, and covers the Jaylen Waddle/Broncos trade.TIMELINE || 2026 Mock Draft Consensus -- 2:00 || Startup Mock -- 17:00 || Tier 2 -- 20:30 || Tier 3 -- 34:15 || Waddle & What's Next -- 39:45 Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's podcast focuses primarily on my reactions (for Dynasty Fantasy) to this week's Free Agency News. Additionally, a look at the RB Rooms, Contracts, & Investments for all 32 Teams. TIMELINE || FA Reactions -- 2:45 || Trades & Un-Trades -- 3:15 || QB Talk -- 6:45 || Alec Pierce & Michael Pittman -- 15:00 || Big Winner: Kenneth Walker III -- 17:45 || Likely -- 23:30 || RBs: Gainwell, (Linderbaum), Allgeier, & Etienne -- 25:30 || Wan'Dale & Evans -- 32:00 || Dobbins, Kolar, Dowdle + Daniel Jones Breaking -- 36:45 ||RB Rooms -- 44:30Endnotes + What's Next -- 01:02:15 Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's episode of the podcast returns to the Deeper Dive series to cover two combine risers in Jeff Caldwell & Seth McGowan. Additionally, I take the next step in preparing for Start-Up Drafts.TIMELINE || Jeff Caldwell -- 4:00 || Seth McGowan -- 22:45 || Start-Up Mock Exercise -- 36:15 || Rounds 1-3 -- 39:00 || Rounds 4-6 -- 49:00 || Rounds 7-9 -- 01:06:00 ||Caldwell -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pYGguUd8FJQMcGowan -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uzCYZsZTWFUSpreadsheet (Start-Up) -- https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lXxL02UpRCnPooRdb_ZyT0iDt3ubt6GLyygvXVtVeHA/edit?usp=sharing Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's FFR episode focuses on the NFL Combine with my biggest Risers, Fallers, and my updated Top 48 Big Board. plus, I take the next step in the Start-Up Rankings process discussing consensus.TIMELINE || NFL Combine -- 2:00 || Riser of the Combine -- 2:30 || Biggest RB/WR Riser -- 8:45 || Biggest Faller -- 12:15 || Additional Risers -- 15:00 || New Big Board (Part 1 - Top 24) -- 23:30 || New Big Board (Part 2 - 25-48) -- 47:00 || Start-Up Rankings Preview Tiers -- 57:15 || KTC Comparison -- 01:19:00 || Endnotes/What's Next -- 01:38:15 Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's episode features my Top 15 WRs (+8 Honorables) prior to the Combine, finishes the divisional review series with the AFCW & NFCE, and previews the combine by looking at prospects in DJ's top 50TIMELINE || WR Rankings (Top 5) -- 1:45 || WR Rankings (6-15) -- 8:15 || WR Rankings (Mentions & Recap) -- 27:30 || DIVISIONAL REVIEWS || Broncos -- 32:45 || Chiefs -- 39:00 || Raiders -- 45:30 || Chargers -- 52:00 || Cowboys -- 01:02:00 || Giants -- 01:08:45 || Eagles -- 01:14:45 || Commanders -- 01:21:15 || ENDNOTES || Combine Preview + DJ Top 50 2.0 -- 01:27:45 Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's episode of the show returns to the final pre-Combine positional Rankings & Divisional Review series covering 2026 QBs, AFC South, & the NFC South + Jeremiah 2nd Mock Changes.TIMELINE || 2026 QB Rankings -- 2:15 || Divisional Review -- 17:30 || Texans -- 18:15 || Colts -- 31:00 || Jaguars -- 46:00 || Titans -- 58:00 || Falcons -- 01:07:15 || Panthers -- 01:09:45 || Saints -- 01:27:45 || Bucs -- 01:39:45 || Endnotes -- 01:51:00 Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Jam-packed show today primarily featuring my detailed discussion of the best prospects remaining in CFB + starting the show making a Fantasy Big Board using Dane Brugler's Top 100 as Draft CapitalTIMELINE || Brugler Big Board Part 1 (1-11) -- 2:45 || BBB Part 2 (12-28) -- 13:15 || 2027 Breakdown -- 23:45 || Top 8 QBs -- 24:30 || QB Part 2 + Trinidad Chambliss -- 52:30 || Top RBs -- 59:30 || RB Part 2 -- 01:21:15 || Top 14 WRs -- 01:25:15 || WR Part 2 -- 1:56:30 || TEs -- 02:09:00 || Endnotes -- 02:12:45 Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

A lot to cover on this extended edition of the podcast, I begin re-ranking my top 8 Rookie RBs, break down the two Divisions that competed this Sunday, & discuss College TE Production + Brugler's 100.TIMELINE || RB Rankings -- 3:00 || NFL Review -- 18:45 || Bills -- 19:15 || Dolphins -- 32:00 || Patriots -- 41:00 || Jets -- 01:03:45 || Cardinals -- 01:12:15 || Rams -- 01:26:15 || 49ers -- 01:32:45 || Seahawks -- 01:44:15 || TE Production -- 01:56:00 || Takeaways & 2026 TEs -- 02:14:30 || Endnotes (Chambliss & Brugler Big Board) -- 02:21:15 || NO TE Production Spreadsheets or Data this Week. Will be released on next week's shows. Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

On today's FFR, I kick things off by breaking down GAST WR Ted Hurst & ND WR Malachi Fields before getting into the Divisional Review Series + the Mock Draft Series Returns! TIMELINE || Ted Hurst -- 2:20 || Malachi Fields -- 15:15 || Division Review Series -- 30:15 || Ravens -- 32:00 || Bengals -- 42:00 || Browns -- 48:00 || Steelers -- 58:45 || Bears -- 01:03:15 || Lions -- 01:17:30 || Packers -- 01:27:00 || Vikings -- 1:43:15 ||Off-Season Mock Draft -- 1:54:30 || Endnotes + Chambliss -- 2:07:45 || Hurst -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9ll3qWS_k1UFields -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ppx1jCLinfk Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's episode of the podcast primarily features breakdowns of Carson Beck, Omar Cooper Jr., & Adam Randall. The endnotes today discuss the Senior Bowl & Daniel Jeremiah's 1st Big Board.TIMELINE || Carson Beck -- 2:20 || Omar Cooper Jr. -- 23:00 || Adam Randall -- 40:50 || Endnotes Part 1 (Jeremiah Top 50) -- 54:30 || Endnotes Part 2 (Senior Bowl) -- 1:03:30Beck -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WZeSs6VdciMCooper Jr. -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tSW7miDFhDARandall -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cvUDkg1uPPg Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's episode primarily features Deeper Dives on Indiana Hoosiers Fernando Mendoza & Elijah Sarratt + Discuss DJ's 1st Mock & Early Senior Bowl Measurements. TIMELINE || Fernando Mendoza -- 2:05 || Elijah Sarratt -- 29:00 || Mike Washington Jr. -- 43:45 || Endnotes Part 1 (Jeremiah Mock 1.0) -- 55:15 || Endnotes Part 2 (Senior Bowl) -- 64:30 || Mendoza -- https://www.youtube.co m/watch?v=Lp6c7GdYfCMSarratt -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyjRfKQKqGgWashington Jr. -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_LWg0eGRHAw Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's episode of the podcast mainly focuses on FOUR Deeper Dives at the TE position headlined by Kenyon Sadiq. + Discussion on the National Title, Trinidad Chambliss, Darian Mensah, & the show.TIMELINE: Kenyon Sadiq -- 2:30 || Justin Joly -- 27:00 || Michael Trigg -- 35:30 || Tanner Koziol -- 48:30 || National Title -- 01:00:45 || Long Endnotes Part 1 (Rashee Rice) -- 01:14:00 || Part 2 (Chambliss, Mensah, Portal) -- 01:18:00 || Part 3 (Mock Drafts in January) -- 1:27:00 || Part 4 (Paid Discussion) -- 01:30:15Sadiq -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vM_ospQj5HoJoly -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cal3ktk6Fpg Trigg --  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dUSlipSakhcKoziol -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K0aMXYksxsI Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Back to the Deeper Dive series for the Podcast, with the first episode this week covering Ohio State players Carnell Tate & Max Klare as well as TCU WR Eric McAlister.TIMELINE || Carnell Tate -- 1:45 || Max Klare -- 22:30 || Eric McAlister Jr. -- 34:00 || Redraft Rankings Review (WR) -- 47:15 || Redraft Rankings Review (TE) -- 01:11:15 || Endnotes / What's Next -- 01:16:45Tate -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F3P3EFji9KUKlare -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qnX1PlP-H7sMcAlister -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PIpqpJiu1FQ Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

With Sadiq declaring & Moore returning, the 2026 class is nearly set for the long haul, so it is time to rank the class 1-to-50+. Additionally, I will obviously discuss that Dante Moore decision. TIMELINE || Intro -- 0:00 || BIG BOARD BEGINS -- 2:00 || Tier 1 Part 1 (#1) -- 2:15 || Tier 1 Part 2 (#2-#5) -- 5:30 || Tier 1 Part 3 (#6-#7) -- 12:30 || Tier 2 Part 1 (#8-11) -- 16:15 || Tier 2 Part 2 (#12-17) -- 26:00 || Tier 2 Part 3 (#18-#23) -- 34:30 || Tier 3 Part 1 (#24-#34) -- 43:30 || Tier 3 Part 2 (#35-53) -- 49:00 || Dante Moore Decision -- 56:30 || Endnotes & 2025 Big Board Review -- 01:07:00 || National Championship Preview -- 01:11:45 Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Jampacked episode today with Deeper Dives for Z Branch, T Simpson, & S Bell. Additionally, a brief review of the QB/RB positions in Redraft & an update on Moore & Sadiq. TIMELINE || Intro + Declaration Notes -- 0:00 || Zachariah Branch -- 5:55 || Skyler Bell -- 25:45 || Ty Simpson -- 41:45 || QB -- 01:09:15 || RB -- 01:18:15 || Endnotes + the Dante Moore Decision -- 1:31:00 Branch -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=akYKuxUIm4UBell -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1i9JfSAmHMSimpson -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P_20-ksfxTo Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's episode of the podcast features Deeper Dives into Germie Bernard, Chris Brazzell II, and Eli Stowers. Plus, which '27/'28 prospects have finished their seasons after the College Playoff?TIMELINE || Intro+Declarations -- 0:00 || Germie Bernard -- 4:30 || Chris Brazzell II -- 19:00 || Eli Stowers -- 36:30 || Underclassmen from Playoff Teams -- 51:30 || Final Declare Notes + What's Next -- 69:45Bernard -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mHmQdDTRTmwBrazzell -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eFXFQyNj-ScStowers -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jlDp7IBOluw Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's Deeper Dive episode features Deeper Dives on Nicholas Singleton, Kaytron Allen, & Garrett Nussmeier. Additionally, Fernando Mendoza & Dante Moore square off soon and that match-up is previewed.TIMELINE || Nicholas Singleton -- 2:00 || Kaytron Allen -- 19:15 || Garrett Nussmeier -- 34:45 || CFP Semifinals -- 50:30 || End -- 62:45 || Singleton & Allen -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iixgsUz19YA Nussmeier -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18TAqJgDiIE Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe

Today's episode features three new Deeper Dives on K.C. Concepcion, Antonio Williams, & Cade Klubnik alongside previews for the four Quarterfinal match-ups in the College Football Playoffs.Timeline || K.C. Concepcion -- 1:30 || Antonio Williams -- 20:00 || Cade Klubnik -- 35:00 || Endnotes -- 50:45 || Miami/OSU -- 51:30 || Oregon/TTU -- 55:15 || Alabama/Indiana -- 60:00 || Ole Miss/Georgia -- 64:30 || Concepcion -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JjdblLQJVMWilliams -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjVacEVM-9Q Klubnik -- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YgEO9-d02fE Get full access to C.J.’s Substack at cjfreel.substack.com/subscribe