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Discover the latest local and global investment and industry insights from the only global asset manager rooted in South Africa. At Ninety One, our global reach becomes your investment edge. Tune in, subscribe, and unlock expert perspectives with every new episode.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
74 Episodes
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In a market where gold no longer behaves like a safe haven and oil is rewriting the rules, investors are being forced to rethink old assumptions. George Chevely unpacks the dynamics across precious and industrial metals, and explains why energy, not gold, may now be the dominant force shaping returns. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Just as central banks looked set on a path to easier policy, geopolitics has thrown a wrench into the plan. With conflict in the Middle East driving energy prices higher and clouding the inflation outlook, Jason Borbora-Sheen explains why rate cuts are being repriced, why different central banks will respond differently, and why, despite all the noise, markets have remained surprisingly resilient. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Oil markets have been jolted by a sharp escalation in the Middle East, pushing prices higher and disrupting flows through the vital Straits of Hormuz. Paul Gooden explains how the effective closure of this key route is squeezing global supply, driving volatility across energy markets. With outcomes ranging from a temporary spike to a more sustained period of higher prices, inventories, demand destruction and geopolitics will ultimately determine where oil settles. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
After more than 25 years running the Ninety One Value Fund, John Biccard has learned that successful investing often means enduring periods of discomfort. Value investing requires buying what others dislike and waiting patiently for the cycle to turn. In this conversation, Biccard explains why geopolitical shocks and market noise rarely change the long-term investment case and why some of today’s most out-of-favour sectors could become tomorrow’s winners. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The military build-up signalled it was coming, and now markets must grapple with the fallout. As conflict in the Middle East escalates, energy prices jumped, bond yields backed up and investors are reassessing risk. John Stopford explores why spiking oil matters for inflation and monetary policy, how markets typically absorb geopolitical shocks, and why a defensive starting position may create opportunities as volatility unfolds. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
After a year in which tariffs failed to ignite inflation and both bonds and equities surprised on the upside, investors are reassessing the outlook. With global growth resilient, inflation cooling and the dollar gradually weakening, David Knee explains why the “Goldilocks” backdrop still supports risk assets. The real challenge for 2026 may not be that conditions are perfect but recognising that – for now – they’re good enough. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The National Treasury delivered expenditure discipline, no new bailouts, and a third consecutive primary surplus. Jaco van Tonder discusses the expanded tax-free savings, retirement deductibility, CGT exclusions, and offshore allowances that create planning opportunities advisers should not ignore. Malcolm Charles explores how reduced weekly bond issuance, a rally in long-dated yields, and improving debt dynamics are reshaping the fixed-income opportunity set. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
This year’s State of the Nation Address struck a notably confident tone: less promise, more progress. But is this truly a turning point? Alastair Herbertson explores why infrastructure is at the heart of South Africa’s growth ambitions, where private capital fits in, and why long-term investors may find this moment compelling. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Phase 1 of Operation Vulindlela proved reforms can unlock private capital — around R500bn worth. Now Phase 2 shifts from policy design to delivery, with infrastructure firmly in the spotlight. Investment specialist Phuleng Pitso unpacks where the next wave of opportunity may emerge and what “success” could look like for investors and communities alike. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The dollar’s weakness is no longer a contrarian call; it’s becoming the base case. But what’s driving its persistence, and what would finally confirm a full-blown dollar bear cycle? Sahil Mahtani revisits the forces behind the “sell America” trade, the limits of Fed leadership changes, and the signals investors are watching for the next leg lower. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
After a breathtaking surge that carried gold well beyond $5 000 an ounce, followed by a brutal pullback, investors are questioning whether the rally has finally run its course. George Cheveley unpacks what drove the frenzy, why volatility is here to stay, and why gold equities may still offer compelling value despite the metal’s wild ride. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
One of Jerome Powell’s last acts as Fed chair was to do nothing. Or so it may seem. In the face of sluggish employment but lively growth, US rates were left unchanged. But will benign inflation continue and ultimately sway future decisions to ease? Philip Saunders analyses the situation. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
A stronger rand. Lower inflation. Rate cuts on the horizon. Malcolm Charles explains why South African bonds remain one of the most attractive income trades on the board, despite a blockbuster 2025. However, with the easy gains behind us, discipline and risk management will be essential. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
In 2025, quality investing was overshadowed by AI exuberance, precious metals and momentum-driven market leadership. As volatility re-enters the picture, those same forces are being tested. Sumesh Chetty reflects on why the balance between growth, valuation and resilience is becoming harder to ignore. From gold’s rise to a reassessment of South African assets, he explores what may matter more as 2026 unfolds. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The oil price is once again being shaped by forces far beyond the fundamentals of supply and demand. Geopolitics has re-entered the equation in a meaningful way, from instability in Venezuela to rising tensions in Iran. Layered onto this is Donald Trump’s political calculus. His domestic priorities are tightly interwoven with his international stance on energy and geopolitics. Paul Gooden unpacks the complex forces influencing black gold and sets out where volatility may create opportunity. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The JSE has delivered a standout year, led by resource names, but the real story, according to John Biccard, is only just starting. He explains why SA Inc is primed for a powerful re-rating, what the bond–equity divergence really tells us, and which sectors and stocks will dominate his portfolio as it enters 2026 with conviction. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The AI boom has turned the most cyclical parts of the market into perceived safe havens, while true defensives languish. Clyde Rossouw unpacks the tension between AI euphoria, a weakening consumer, and where genuine opportunities may actually lie. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
From the surprise early announcement of a lower inflation target to reduced bond issuance and cautious revenue projections, Sisamkele Kobus and Adam Furlan discuss why the market’s reaction was upbeat, and how improved fiscal and monetary alignment could support greater market stability ahead. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Ninety One marks a milestone moment with the launch of its first two actively managed exchange-traded funds (AMETFs) on the JSE, bringing almost 35 years of active investment expertise into a listed, accessible format. Siobhan Simpson explains how Ninety One is evolving to meet changing investor needs and broaden access to its active investment skill while offering a glimpse of what’s to come. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
From platinum deficits to gold’s resurgence and copper’s electrifying prospects, Muhammad Docrat unpacks the powerful forces reshaping commodities. He explains why tight supply, renewed central bank demand and the global energy transition are keeping precious and base metals in focus. even as oil tells a more complex story. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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