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We analyze CSX's recent Q3 earnings, noting that while adjusted operating income fell 8% due partly to a non-cash write-down and export coal decline, the operational story shows significant strength. The railroad is running better than ever, reporting a 1% growth in overall volume fueled by a robust 5% surge in intermodal traffic, alongside key operational improvements like an 8% decrease in terminal dwell time. Global markets continue to see chaos, as trans-Pacific container freight rates plummet due to overcapacity and worsening US-China trade friction, causing Asia-US West Coast rates to fall to pre-pandemic levels. Furthermore, the UN's International Maritime Organization postponed action on a global carbon tax following US opposition, a delay analysts warn risks stalling green investments and potentially leading to higher future freight rates down the line. Domestic capacity tightness is intensifying at the US-Mexico border, driven by policy changes like the pause on new foreign commercial driver visas and new English proficiency interviews, leading to a massive 18% jump in Laredo’s Outbound Tender Reject Index. Compounding the labor issue, the industry is seeing a strong push to reimplement rigorous CDL training centered on the crucial Smith System’s five key principles, arguing that proactive human override is essential for safety over the current priority of speed of qualification. On the equipment innovation front, Wabash National is expanding its Trailers as a Service platform with the new offering, TaaS Pools, designed to provide short-term, on-demand capacity for maximum flexibility, particularly for 3PLs. Unlike traditional leasing, TaaS Pools includes embedded management and maintenance, backed by TrailerHawk technology, which is critical for guaranteeing trailer uptime when capacity is tight. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The proposed transcontinental railroad merger between Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern heads toward a shareholder vote on November 14th, as both companies' boards urge investors to approve the historic transaction. Simultaneously, the shipping industry is navigating major disruptions as Ocean freight rates plummet amid China chaos, causing container rates on key transpacific routes to hit two-year lows due to tariffs and declining demand. We also detail the new legislation introduced in the Senate, which seeks to vacate sentences for mechanics convicted of tampering with heavy-duty truck diesel equipment and remove the EPA's authority over vehicle pollution rules. Proponents of the legislation argue that current regulations unfairly criminalize mechanics for keeping essential vehicles running in harsh climates. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This daily market update dives into the relentless push for efficiency and adaptation across the supply chain, beginning with J.B. Hunt’s third-quarter earnings beat. The multimodal giant saw an 18% jump in earnings per share (EPS), driven not by demand, but by surgical cost control that included stripping out $20 million in costs in Q3 as part of an efficiency program aiming for annual savings greater than $100 million. We connect this corporate efficiency focus to the road, examining the surprising resilience of owner-operators. Triumph Capital data shows the average factored invoice size for independent owner-operators actually rose by $16 compared to a year ago, contrasting sharply with a $92 decline for large fleets, which is largely attributed to the O/Os' lower fixed costs and flexibility to pivot to niche segments like Amazon power-only moves. This capacity picture may tighten due to legislation like "Connor’s Law", a companion bill requiring Commercial Driver’s License holders to prove English proficiency sufficient to understand signs, converse with the public, and respond to official inquiries, a measure supported by industry groups like the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association. Finally, we explore a fundamental logistical rethink in cross-border e-commerce driven by the abolition of the U.S. de minimis tariff exemption for small-dollar imports, which caused massive shipment backlogs for commercial carriers like UPS due to missing or incomplete documentation. As a response, retailers are seriously considering international postal networks as a compliant and cost-effective alternative, creating an emerging hybrid model utilizing both U.S. warehouses for high-value items and modernized postal channels for low-value goods. We conclude with a provocative signal from California, where Governor Gavin Newsom vetoed SB-34, a bill that would have restricted public funds for port automation projects. Despite fierce union opposition, who called the veto a "betrayal," Newsom argued the bill would hinder port modernization and global competitiveness, confirming that the drive toward technological efficiency continues relentlessly on the West Coast. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Department of Transportation has announced it is withholding over $40 million in Motor Carrier Safety Assistance Program grants from California. This funding cut is a consequence of the state failing to place truck drivers who do not meet the Trump administration’s English Language Proficiency requirements out of service. J.B. Hunt Transport Services saw an 18% year-over-year increase in earnings per share to $1.76 for the third quarter, a result that strongly exceeded analyst expectations. The company is scrutinizing expense lines and has already removed $20 million in costs during the period as part of a program aiming for annual savings potentially greater than $100 million. Following the revocation of the U.S. de minimis tariff exemption, e-commerce shippers are encountering difficulties with new customs requirements, resulting in backlogs of non-compliant shipments at commercial carriers like UPS. Due to this complexity, retailers and logistics partners are taking a second look at international postal networks as a potentially compliant and less expensive route for certain low-value goods. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This episode dives into the "extreme contradiction" defining the logistics market, analyzing the profound divergence between financial disaster hitting small trucking firms and surprising pricing resilience in key segments. The U.S. trucking sector is flashing bright red distress signals, marked by an elevated rate of Chapter 11 filings in transportation in October's first 2 weeks, which is accelerating the necessary capacity contraction cycle. We unpack the major paradox between the Truckload and Less-Than-Truckload segments, noting that the TL market saw a "September bounce" driven by shippers consolidating loads to leverage low rates, but the overall recovery remains highly uncertain. In stark contrast, the LTL sector continues to flex massive pricing power, setting a new record for its rate-per-pound component in Q3 because carriers are ruthlessly prioritizing yield over volume, as detailed in the report LTL pricing index hits new high in Q3. Globally, trade flows are running hot, with August volumes hitting a new record high, defying expectations, although global container rates continue to soften due to new tonnage and Red Sea diversions, as discussed in Despite U.S. decline, global container traffic sets new record. Adding sharp uncertainty is the escalating trade war, where New China sanctions on South Korean company aiding U.S. shipbuilding shows geopolitical tensions are now directly targeting critical infrastructure like shipyards. We also look north to Canada, where the long-running dispute between Canada Post and the CUPW continues, resulting in operational delays and a fundamental shift in shipper behavior toward private delivery companies, detailed in Canada Post restarts operations, manages delays from rolling strikes. Tune in to understand how this divergence—from catastrophic small fleet failures to unprecedented LTL yield power—will shape carrier strategy as the third-quarter earnings season gets underway. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Less-Than-Truckload pricing power continues to dominate the market, drawing on insights from the latest quarterly report by AFS Logistics and TD Cowen. LTL rates are expected to remain elevated through year-end, following a third-quarter rate-per-pound index that set a record, standing 65.1% above its 2018 baseline. The episode also reviews the higher-than-average rate of transport bankruptcy filings seen in the first half of October. Filings included five companies, ranging from small carriers like G1 Transport (five power units) and Styx Logistics (an Amazon DSP) to larger entities like GEC Transport Solutions (70 power units). Hear about FleetWorks' efforts to modernize freight matchmaking using artificial intelligence, fueled by a recent $17 million funding round led by First Round Capital. CEO Paul Singer noted that AI is the solution to the long-standing inefficiency caused by lack of transparency between brokers and carriers, and the company plans to use the funds to scale engineering teams in San Francisco and Chicago. Don't miss today's lineup on FreightWaves TV, including a new episode of WHAT THE TRUCK?!? with Malcolm Harris, live at noon. Plus, learn how you can join the leaders shaping freight’s future at the F3: Future of Freight Festival in Chattanooga, Tennessee, happening next week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We begin with the domestic "Compliance Crunch," a sudden and significant contraction in US trucking capacity driven by intensified immigration enforcement actions causing non-citizen drivers to exit the market, independent of demand. This rapid capacity disappearance resulted in a noticeable -6.7% decrease in unique US DOT numbers between September and October 2025, leading to intense regional volatility where spot rates in places like Gary, Indiana, skyrocketed up to 42%. The squeeze gets tighter in drayage, as ocean carriers and ports strictly enforce accessorial charges to maintain revenue, shifting higher storage and waiting costs to shippers, compounded by new rules restricting non-domiciled CDLs. Globally, we detail the major turbulence brewing over maritime carbon regulation, following the US administration's forceful rejection of the International Maritime Organization's proposed Net-Zero Framework. The US administration labeled the NZF a "European-led neocolonial export" and threatened severe retaliatory measures, including blocking vessels from US ports and imposing extra fees, warning that the global carbon tax could hike shipping costs by 10% or more. Amid this volatility, supply chain leaders must leverage technology that drives actionable resilience and prediction, moving beyond mere visibility dashboards that only show chaos after it happens. AI-powered procurement platforms like Arkestro are helping teams shift from costly, reactive compliance to proactive, predictive sourcing, which can cut sourcing time by 60% to 90% by predicting negotiation outcomes and streamlining bids. On the ground, collaboration platforms such as C3 Hive are becoming the essential connective environment, sitting between a company's transportation, warehouse, and yard management systems to synchronize information and actions across the supply chain. Customers typically report a 90% drop in just calls and emails within two weeks of deployment, proving this action-oriented tech is replacing the phone as the messy integration layer. Finally, we look inside the warehouse walls, where intelligence platforms are rapidly advancing, highlighted by Dexory securing $165 million in funding to accelerate its AI-powered warehouse intelligence platform. Dexory uses autonomous mobile robots that scan over 10,000 locations per hour, creating a real-time digital twin of the warehouse, which speeds up the shift to truly adaptive, self-learning warehouses. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

U.S. rail traffic increased for a second consecutive week for the period ending Oct. 4, 2025, with overall volume up 3.6%. North American rail volume also saw gains, rising 4.7% for the week, notably boosted by substantial weekly growth in Mexican rail traffic, which saw intermodal units jump 82.9%. Trade volatility means tariffs are serving as the "Tariffs are the wake-up call supply chains needed” for innovation, compelling savvy leaders to utilize AI to transform resource-intensive procurement tasks. Platforms like Arkestro, which uses behavioral science and AI, are now being adopted by Fortune 500 companies to move from reactive compliance to predictive strategies that can cut 60% to 90% of sourcing time while improving pricing accuracy. We also cover escalating global tensions as the U.S. administration vehemently rejects the IMO’s Net-Zero Framework. Calling the NZF a "European-led neocolonial export," the U.S. warned nations that voting for the mandatory GHG limits and emissions pricing system could lead to severe retaliatory measures, including blocking vessels from U.S. ports and imposing additional port fees. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Maritime trade disputes have escalated with the US and China implementing reciprocal tonnage fees effective October 14th, while the U.S. is aggressively targeting Chinese-made container cranes and intermodal chassis with staggering tariffs up to 270%. The instability is creeping into vital cross-border operations, specifically the US-Mexico e-commerce corridor, following Mexico's mid-August move to raise duties on Chinese imports to 33.5% and roll out stricter data reporting rules. This mix of higher duties and inconsistent enforcement is creating compliance challenges, causing US sellers to reassess using Mexico as a fulfillment hub and potentially shifting inventory back north into the states. Domestically, the truckload market is flashing warning signs of capacity fragility after the National Truckload Index for dry van spot rates rose 2% without the typical corresponding rise in contract tender rejections. Adding to the risk picture, new ATRI data highlights the hidden cost of cargo theft, estimating annual direct costs for motor carriers between $456.7 million and $937.4 million, noting that over 40% of carriers do not report lower-value incidents due to high deductibles and fear of escalating premiums. C.H. Robinson is tackling the need for stability by introducing the Asset Management System (AMS) within its Drop Trailer Plus program, a significant technological upgrade that applies to nearly 50% of the entire truckload market. AMS integrates GPS technology and real-time operational data into the Navisphere platform, transforming trailers into "intelligent assets" that offer SKU-level visibility, enhanced security, and a buffer against capacity shocks and rising crime costs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The U.S. Trade Representative has announced new tariffs on Chinese-made container cranes set to go into effect on November 9th, in response to China’s use of unfair trade practices in shipping and shipbuilding. These levies, which include 100% tariffs on ship-to-shore container cranes, could stack with existing duties, bringing the total assessed tariffs on some Chinese exports to between 125% and 270%. Canadian mail carriers, represented by the Canadian Union of Postal Workers, have switched from a nationwide strike to local rotating strikes. Union officials characterized the move as a compromise allowing the restart of mail and parcel service after a two-week national shutdown, although Canada Post has suspended all service guarantees due to the uncertainty caused by the new rotating actions. Amazon is continuing to significantly build out its footprint by opening its largest fulfillment center ever in the Pacific Northwest and simultaneously constructing a large, automated distribution center in Indiana. The facility in Woodburn, Oregon, covers 3.8 million square feet—four times the size of Portland’s International Airport terminals—and Amazon plans to initially hire 3,000 people to run the operation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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The trucking industry faces a major disruption as PE-backed flatbed operator Montgomery Transport LLC abruptly filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy and ceased operations immediately. This sudden shutdown put approximately 1,000 employees out of work, including 600 truck drivers, highlighting the fragility of transportation companies in today’s economy. Global trade flows are shifting as U.S. maritime gateways saw container imports drop 8.4% in September, with imports from China specifically falling 22.9% year-over-year. These declines, which included dramatic drops in goods like aluminum (43.8%) and footwear (33.9%), come amid the restructuring of U.S. trade using tariffs and other economic pressures. Uzbekistan is positioning itself as the next global IT logistics hub, driven by its growing digital economy and expanding U.S. trade relationships. Government initiatives like IT Park Uzbekistan offer compelling incentives, including 0% tax rates for technology companies, and leverage a young, highly literate workforce ready to serve global markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Enforcement activities by ICE, targeting non-domiciled CDL holders in southern states, have triggered a capacity shock, rerouting trucks to the Midwest and East Coast and causing regional spot rates to spike despite overall soft national freight volume. Globally, the macro picture confirms a rapid cooling, with new data projecting that US import container volumes will fall below the 2 million TEU mark for the remainder of 2025 due to weakening consumer spending and early peak season frontloading. This softening demand occurs as major Chinese carriers, including Cosco and OOCL, make the surprise move of announcing they will not levy surcharges to offset escalating US port fees set to begin October 14th. Looking ahead, significant capital is flowing squarely into automation and freight tech, signaling a long-term industry focus on efficiency and driverless operations. Autonomous trucking company Kodiak AI made its public debut on NASDAQ with a $2.5 billion valuation, while IKEA acquired the logistics tech platform Locus to improve its delivery fulfillment capabilities amidst surging e-commerce sales. Furthermore, back-office automation is accelerating, exemplified by Mentium, which raised a $3.2 million seed round to deploy AI-powered digital workers specifically focused on automating accounts payable processing for freight brokerages. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Ocean container rates on the eastbound Trans-Pacific are falling by double digits in a surprise move from China carriers ahead of new US port fees. The ship tax, which begins next week, charges China-owned or operated ships $80 per net tonnage for each voyage to the U.S. and could cost major players like Cosco and OOCL as much as $2.1 billion in 2026. Autonomous trucking company Kodiak AI just debuted on the NASDAQ after successfully combining with Ares Acquisition Corporation II, resulting in a $2.5 billion valuation for the newly public company. Kodiak secured more than $275 million in funding through this de-SPAC transaction, which CEO Don Burnette noted marks an inflection point for the industry as self-driving technology matures toward commercial deployment. Additionally, the Senate confirmed David Fink, a former Pan Am Railways president and fifth-generation railroader, to lead the Federal Railroad Administration. President Trump nominated Fink, stating he would "deliver the FRA into a new era of safety and technological innovation". Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dry van rates are surging nationwide, despite weak trucking volumes and low tender rejections, an inversion that points to hard supply contraction driven by behavioral reactions to immigration enforcement efforts. We also analyze the broader, longer-term metrics from the Logistics Managers’ Index, which recorded a September reading of 57.4, marking the seventh consecutive month the index has remained below its all-time average. This confirms slow, steady growth rather than a roaring expansion, and for the third straight month, a "negative freight inversion" occurred where transportation capacity grew faster than transportation pricing. In Washington, Derek Barrs was officially confirmed as the eighth administrator of the FMCSA, a move that industry groups like the American Trucking Associations and the Owner-Operator Independent Drivers Association had been anxious to see confirmed. Furthermore, new research links truck drivers who violate English language proficiency rules to significantly higher safety risks—with inspections involving an ELP violation having two and a half times the number of total non-ELP violations—though the study cautions this is a correlation and not direct causation. We provide a quick carrier pulse check confirming ongoing market pressures, highlighted by San Diego-based Epic Lightning Fast Service LLC permanently closing operations and laying off 116 employees by the end of October due to persistent challenging market conditions. However, there is positive news in the LTL space, as Daylight Transport was named the top overall LTL carrier for the second consecutive year and Old Dominion Freight Line was recognized as the top national carrier for the 16th straight year. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Suez Canal anticipates a recovery following potential Middle East resolutions, with the waterway’s chief indicating that plans to end the conflict in Gaza should pave the way for a substantial return of global shipping traffic in 2025. Attention turns to domestic freight as the Association of American Railroads (AAR) releases its latest analysis. September rail volumes reflect the uneven pace of the US economy, prompting a guarded assessment for consistent tailwinds in rail movement.. Finally, we look at legal implications for government-backed logistics entities as the US Supreme Court is set to hear a potentially far-reaching case. The high court will consider whether the US Postal Service can be sued for allegedly deliberately withholding mail from a resident. Catch the day's lineup on FreightWaves TV, featuring new episodes of Sense Per Mile, WHAT THE TRUCK?!?, and Truck Tech. Additionally, make sure you head over to live.freightwaves.com, as we are less than two weeks away from F3: Future of Freight Festival. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Several critical developments are pointing toward a rising cost of uncertainty across the logistics landscape. Analysts are trimming expectations for the back half of the year, with Morgan Stanley significantly cutting earnings per share estimates for most truckload and less-than-truckload carriers due to high shipper uncertainty and continuing industrial contraction.. A major regulatory shift occurred when the U.S. Court of Appeals overturned a key Federal Maritime Commission rule regarding detention and demurrage fees, a ruling analyzed in Demurrage dilemma: court overturns FMC's trucking rule. Specifically, the court found the FMC rule that categorically blocked demurrage charges against motor carriers to be "arbitrary and capricious," potentially opening the door for drayage carriers, who often lack leverage, to be billed for these terminal fees once again. Equipment costs are set to rise after President Trump announced a new 25% tariff on imported medium- and heavy-duty trucks starting November 1st, as reported in Trump to impose 25% tariff on trucks starting Nov. 1. Since the U.S. imports the majority of these trucks from Mexico, the tariff could significantly raise the total cost of ownership for U.S. fleets, potentially slowing down equipment replacement cycles, even if vehicles nominally fall under the USMCA agreement. North of the border, Canada Post is facing a severe labor crisis linked to its deep financial struggles, having incurred losses of $2.7 billion since 2018, leading to a crucial update in Canada Post reduces contract offer to striking workers, warns of job cuts. The postal operator rescinded a $500 to $1,000 signing bonus and is proposing to eliminate lifetime job security for urban employees while aiming to downsize the workforce through attrition, buyouts, and early retirement to facilitate needed modernization. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

President Donald Trump’s expansion of tariffs, which includes a new 25% duty on imported medium and heavy-duty trucks is set to begin November 1st. This decision follows a federal probe under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act and is aimed at protecting U.S. manufacturers like Peterbilt and Kenworth. The broadcast also covers the escalating labor situation at Canada Post, which has presented a scaled-back offer to 50,000 striking mail carriers that increases the likelihood of job cuts. The company's proposed collective bargaining agreement no longer includes a signing bonus due to its deteriorating financial position and plans to eliminate lifetime job security provisions for urban unit employees. Furthermore, the U.S. Department of Transportation has issued an emergency federal order leading to California and Oregon suspending the issuance of non-domiciled CDLs. This crackdown follows an FMCSA audit that found widespread non-compliance, including that more than 25% of California's non-domiciled CDLs were improperly issued. Don't miss the upcoming FreightWaves TV programming, including Loaded and Rolling and Check Call. You can also join the leaders shaping the future of freight at the F3: Future of Freight Festival in Chattanooga, Tennessee, which is just two weeks away. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The U.S. Department of Transportation issued an emergency order on September 26th mandating that states immediately stop issuing or renewing non-domiciled commercial learner’s permits and CDLs, targeting licenses often held long after their legal authorization to be in the U.S. had expired. This crackdown follows a nationwide Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration audit that linked at least five fatal crashes this year to improperly issued licenses. Industry analysis predicts a significant surge in bankruptcies especially among small and mid-size carriers who built their business models on skirting the law by using non-compliant labor willing to run severe hours-of-service violations. Capacity issues are also global, as ongoing geopolitical uncertainty keeps ocean carriers away from the critical Suez Canal choke point. Maersk’s CEO, Vincent Clerc, stated that shipping firms are unlikely to return until security is “reliably restored” due to unacceptably high risks to crews and vessels. This continued rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope has caused container revenue for the Suez Canal Authority to plummet by as much as 60%, locking in elevated costs and longer transit times across the entire global supply chain. Connecting these domestic compliance costs and global operational headwinds, Werner CEO Derek Leathers recently characterized freight rates as "stably horrible" for years in the address, noting that potential tariffs on Class 8 trucks made in Mexico could further inflate equipment costs and cap future capacity. Ultimately, this market reset is being structurally guaranteed not by a sudden demand boom, but by the simultaneous removal of illegal low-cost capacity domestically and persistent geopolitical risk that maintains a high operational cost ceiling globally. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The core issue involves whether the safety exception of the Federal Aviation Administration Authorization Act (F4A) shields brokers, like C.H. Robinson, from negligent hiring claims, a question that has caused conflicting decisions across federal circuits. Brokers view this as fundamental to their business model and urgently need the Supreme Court to provide clarity on where the lines are drawn for their legal protection. Turning to infrastructure, the Port of Los Angeles, the busiest U.S. import gateway, has announced plans for a massive new container terminal called the Pier 500 project. This undertaking includes two berths and 3,000 feet of wharf across 200 acres, intended to accommodate ultra-large container ships such as the MSC Irina, which can carry over 24,000 TEUs. This expansion, which is expected to take about 10 years to complete, highlights the significant time required for major port infrastructure to keep pace with the increasing size of global shipping vessels. In the financial sector, we examine Moody’s affirmation of Echo Global Logistics’ corporate family debt rating at B3, which is considered deep into non-investment grade territory. Despite the persistently challenging freight trucking environment, Moody’s held the company's outlook at stable, anticipating that cost saving actions will help offset margin pressure tied to soft freight rates. While leverage remains high, expected to be slightly below 7X debt/EBITDA this year, Echo maintains steady earnings and adequate liquidity. A surprising tech hurdle impacting EV adoption is revealed in a new report showing that nearly one-third of charging attempts fail, leaving the actual First-Time Charge Success Rate (FTCSR) stuck at 71%, despite high charger uptime statistics. This issue stems primarily from fragmentation in the multiple software systems—including the vehicle, charger, and payment network—that must perform a perfect digital handshake to initiate a charge. Furthermore, success rates drop significantly after about three years because older charging stations often cannot be updated to support newer charging protocols.  Finally, the podcast addresses accelerating investment in e-commerce fulfillment, driven by consumers still ordering large items online. Walmart recently announced plans to build a $300 million fulfillment center in Kings Mountain, North Carolina, specifically designed to handle bulky online orders like furniture. This massive 1.2 million square-foot facility is expected to open in 2027, underscoring the ongoing need for specialized infrastructure in the supply chain. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices