Claim OwnershipMarket Misbehavior with David Keller, CMT
Subscribed: 28Played: 583
Subscribe
© 2026 Sierra Alpha Research LLC
Description
On the Market Misbehavior Podcast, host Dave Keller, CMT, keeps things real as he breaks down what’s moving the markets and why it matters to investors. With a genuine, down-to-earth approach, Dave chats with top investment experts about what they’re seeing in the markets and digs into the psychology that shapes our investing choices. It’s not just market talk—it’s about helping you understand the bigger picture and avoid common pitfalls. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just market-curious, tune in for straightforward discussions and actionable tips for upgrading your investing game.
91 Episodes
Reverse
In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Lindsey Bell, Chief Investment Strategist at 248 Ventures. We dig into one of the most important themes for investors in 2026: why earnings still matter more than headlines. Lindsey explains how market narratives around AI, inflation, and geopolitics can distract from the evidence that really drives long-term returns—revenue growth, margins, productivity, and consumer behavior. We also explore the rotation from AI producers...
In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by legendary investor George Noble. George began his career as an intern for Peter Lynch at Fidelity and later managed the Fidelity Overseas Fund, which at one point was the number one mutual fund in the world. We dig into what George sees as a major regime shift in 2026: rotation over recession, real assets over liquidity trades, and valuation over narrative. We discuss the unwind of the AI euphoria, why price is not the same...
In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Clint Sorenson, CMT, Co-Founder of Ascentis Asset Management. We dig into how Clint uses technical analysis as a complete decision-making and communication system—from his “price, price, price” philosophy to his GRIP framework (Growth, Risk appetite, Inflation, Policy). Clint explains why market indices don’t always “confirm” economic data, why factor rotation often tells the story better, and how intermarket relationships ...
In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Tom Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at Globalt Investments. Recorded 2/18/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—why the S&P has gone “flat at the highs,” what elevated valuations mean in a screen-based, highly connected economy, and how AI CapEx is shifting the conversation from hype to ROI. Tom also shares how an active manager navigates a highly concentrated benchmark, what he looks for in earnings to ...
In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Gina Martin Adams, Chief Market Strategist at HB Wealth. Recorded 2/17/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—why leadership has shifted away from large-cap growth, how earnings season changed the outlook (even as Q4 results beat expectations), and why price-to-sales ratios may be the most “bubble-like” signal in the market today. Gina also explains why consumer staples strength can be a warning sign, what sma...
In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Rob Haworth of U.S. Bank Asset Management. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—economic momentum vs headline risk, the real story behind consumer strength, how tariffs have filtered through inflation and earnings, the role of the Fed amid data uncertainty, and why elevated valuations make the 10-year Treasury yield the most important risk signal to watch. Rob also shares why midterm election years are often mis...
In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I’m joined by John Kolovos, CFA CMT, Chief Technical Strategist at Macro Risk Advisors and current President of the CMT Association. Recorded 1/29/26. We dig into what’s driving markets in early 2026—earnings season “gap lessons,” breadth and rotation, small caps vs large caps, precious metals, international equities, and why the U.S. dollar may be the most important “non-equity” chart to watch right now. John also shares a key teachin...
A wide-ranging macro conversation with Simeon Hyman, Global Investment Strategist at ProShares. We explore what the first Fed meeting of 2026 may (and may not) change, why the “easy” rate cuts could be behind us, how to think about the dollar’s pullback, and what the strength in gold, commodities, and international equities may be signaling. Recorded 1/27/26. Simeon introduces a simple but powerful “2-3-4” framework connecting inflation, Fed funds, and the 10-year yield, then explains why to...
Surviving the short term is often the price of admission for long-term success. In this episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave is joined by Ted Hicks—portfolio manager, wealth manager, founder of Hicks & Associates Wealth Management, and author of Evidence-Based Investing—to unpack what “evidence-based” decision-making looks like in practice, especially in a choppy market environment. We discuss why many popular investing myths persist, how historical context can improve your ma...
In this episode, Dave is joined by Joe Rabil of Rabil Stock Research—one of my favorite chart-focused voices and a fellow StockCharts contributor. Joe describes his process as “trend following on steroids,” and he explains why this environment demands discipline: the major indexes can look fine on the surface, but momentum has been fading and leadership has been shifting beneath the hood. We dig into Joe’s use of ADX to judge trend strength, why a market can drift higher without real momentu...
Markets don’t just move on fundamentals—they move on themes, positioning, and policy. In this episode, I’m joined by Matt Tuttle, founder of Tuttle Capital Management, to break down his “HEAT” framework: Hedge, Edge, Asymmetry, and Themes—and how those four ideas shape his daily approach to risk and opportunity. We discuss why Matt believes you should always be hedged, what real “edges” look like (and why many disappear once Wall Street markets them), how to structure trades for asymmetric p...
Jason Shapiro—featured in Unknown Market Wizards as “the contrarian”—joins me to unpack what actually creates longevity in trading: surviving drawdowns, learning from mistakes, and building a repeatable process built on risk-reward rather than prediction. We talk about how early wipeouts shaped his discipline, why “being right” is a trap, and why the best traders can lose more often than they win and still come out ahead. Topics covered include: Jason’s three “blow-up” lessons and how they f...
Sector rotation doesn’t always show up clearly on the index chart—it often reveals itself underneath the surface. In the 83rd episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, I’m joined by Julius de Kempenaer, founder of RRG Research and creator of the Relative Rotation Graph, to discuss the late-2025 change in market character and what relative strength analysis is signaling as markets hover near all-time highs. Recorded 12/15/25. Topics covered include: 📈 how Julius uses Relative Rot...
Seasonality isn’t a crystal ball—it’s a framework. In the 82nd episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast , Dave chats with Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, to review what surprised us in 2025 and how seasonal tendencies, election-cycle history, and market signals can help investors set expectations for 2026. Topics covered include: what the Almanac says about midterm election years, why 2025 didn’t follow the classic seasonal script, what the Santa Claus Rally actually meas...
In the 81st episode of The Market Misbehavior Podcast, Dave Keller sits down with Steve Sosnick, Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers. With a career that spans from the 1982 market low through the crash of ’87, the dot-com boom, and today’s AI-driven markets, Steve brings a rare combination of historical perspective and real-world trading wisdom. They dig into the AI trade, bubble analogies, trend following vs. valuations, dip-buying psychology, and practical ways investors can hedge in an...
In the 80th episode of the Market Misbehavior Podcast, Dave speaks with Joanne Bianco, Senior Investment Strategist at BondBloxx and longtime fixed income portfolio manager. Joanne shares how she thinks about the macro backdrop, why corporate credit fundamentals remain strong, and how investors can use bond ETFs—across Treasuries, investment grade, high yield, and private credit—to build smarter fixed income allocations. Recorded 12/2/25. 🎓 Take Dave’s FREE course on behavioral investing: h...
In the 79th episode of The Market Misbehavior Podcast, host Dave Keller sits down with Alan Ellman, founder of The Blue Collar Investor and a longtime educator on options strategies. Alan walks through a live example of a cash-secured put, explaining how he screens for elite stocks, sets strikes for downside protection, and manages risk through disciplined trade management. He also contrasts covered calls vs. cash-secured puts—and why macro conditions guide how he structures every trade. ...
For the 78th episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave Keller sits down with technical analyst Andrew Thrasher, a two-time Charles H. Dow Award winner and portfolio manager at Financial Enhancement Group. Andrew shares how he built a routine-driven process, why market breadth is his primary tell in a concentrated market, and what his research reveals about volatility compression and the “5% canary” that can precede major drawdowns. They also dig into commodities, crypto, and how to comm...
In the 77th episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast, Dave Keller sits down with Jerry Robinson (FollowTheMoney.com) to explore his journey from day trading to swing trading to position trading—and the mindset shifts required along the way. Jerry shares how he “follows the money” with weekly trend models, the 40-week/200-day moving average, RSI, stochastics, and candlesticks, plus why he trades around long-term core positions he knows well. The conversation dives into diversification (stocks...
In the 76th episode of The Market Misbehavior Podcast, host Dave Keller sits down with Steven Bavaria—author of The Income Factory and publisher of “Inside the Income Factory” on Seeking Alpha—to explore a radically different way of thinking about portfolio growth. Rather than chasing price appreciation, Steven explains how to build long-term wealth through credit-driven income streams, steady reinvestment, and the disciplined use of closed-end funds and private credit structures. Recor...
Comments
Download from Google Play
Download from App Store
United States