Markets Outlook

Chronicle Founder Nik Kunkel joins CoinDesk's Kate Irwin on Markets Outlook to unpack their new report that found over $12 billion in tokenized assets falling short on transparency. Kunkel breaks down the five pillars every tokenized asset needs to meet, why roughly 70% of the assets reviewed don't clear the bar, and what real-time, verifiable proof-of-asset data means for institutions like BlackRock, BNY Mellon and Galaxy racing to bring trillions onchain. - This episode is brought to you by Grayscale, the world's largest digital asset-focused investment platform. Grayscale's mission is to make digital asset investing simple and open to every investor. Learn more at grayscale.com. - Digital markets move fast. Move forward with clarity from S&P Global Ratings’ risk analysis spanning stablecoins, tokenized funds, digital bonds, DeFi protocols, and more. Explore digital asset solutions with S&P Global Ratings at https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/products/solutions/digital-assets?utm_campaign=Global-DA-Vaults&utm_source=digital-ads&utm_medium=link&utm_content=CoinDesk1. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Niklas Kunkel Joins Markets Outlook 02:21 - Chronicle's New Report: Tokenization's Hidden Problem 03:50 - $12.3B Exposed: 70% of Tokenized Assets Fail the Test 06:12 - The Five Pillars Every Tokenized Asset Needs 08:18 - How to Achieve Proof of Asset 10:47 - Why Risk Isn't Priced In 12:57 - BlackRock, BNY Mellon and the Road to Real-Time Regulation

Transform Ventures CEO and author of "Bitcoin Supercycle” Michael Terpin joins CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie on Markets Outlook to explain why he believes the bear market is over and "Bitcoin winter," the long climb back to the top, has officially begun. Terpin lays out his path to $120K by late next year, why 2028-29 could bring a rare collision of presidential and stock market cycles, when he sees million-dollar bitcoin, and why he believes an altcoin supercycle is coming too. Plus, GSR’s Managing Director of Asset Management Andy Baehr on why fixed income, not equities, will be the real catalyst that takes tokenization mainstream. - This episode is brought to you by Grayscale, the world's largest digital asset-focused investment platform. Grayscale's mission is to make digital asset investing simple and open to every investor. Learn more at grayscale.com. - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Michael Terpin Joins Markets Outlook 01:02 - Bitcoin Winter Is Here: Why the Bull Market Has Begun 02:40 - The Four Seasons of Bitcoin, Explained 04:45 - The Path to $120K Bitcoin 06:02 - Does the AI Trade Make This Cycle Different? 07:34 - When Bitcoin Breaks From Risk Assets 08:52 - The 2028-29 Cycle Collision 10:39 - Why Million-Dollar Bitcoin Needs a Supercycle 12:58 - Brand New Rails: Why Fixed Income Beats Equities for Tokenization 16:12 - Million-Dollar Bitcoin by 2037? 17:45 - 95% Mined: The Coming Supply Shock 18:38 - 28M Millionaires, 21M Bitcoin: What the Market Is Missing 19:44 - What Happens When the Last Bitcoin Is Mined? 20:52 - The Coming Altcoin Supercycle 22:53 - Memecoins Meet Tokenized Stocks

Nikhil Chandhok, Chief Technology and Product Officer at Circle, joins CoinDesk Contributor Kate Irwin on Markets Outlook the day Arc mainnet goes live. Chandhok explains why gas on Arc is USDC and not a native token, how opt-in privacy works, why BlackRock and Visa signed on as validators, and what changes for institutions when GENIUS rules take effect in January. Plus, Beezie Founder and CEO Andrea Miele on why tokenized luxury goods are the next frontier for provenance and liquidity. - This episode is brought to you by Grayscale, the world's largest digital asset-focused investment platform. Grayscale's mission is to make digital asset investing simple and open to every investor. Learn more at grayscale.com. - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Nikhil Chandhok Joins Markets Outlook 00:59 - CLARITY Failed. Why GENIUS Is Circle's Guiding Light 02:37 - Circle Announces Arc Mainnet 03:00 - How Opt-In Privacy Works on Arc 04:35 - Why Gas Is USDC and Not a Native Token 06:52 - Will AI Agents Take Over Onchain Activity? 10:10 - Brand New Rails: Tokenized Luxury with Beezie 13:11 - Why BlackRock and Visa Signed On as Validators 15:20 - DeFi on Arc: Aave, Morpho and Uniswap 16:43 - The Biggest Challenge Facing Institutions 18:45 - Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Why Circle Isn't Bearish

Ran Neuner, Founder of Crypto Banter, joins Coindesk’s Jennifer Sanasie on Markets Outlook with charts in hand to explain why Bitcoin's pullback from $82K is textbook post-golden-cross behavior, and why he thinks the real story is what comes next. Neuner breaks down Scott Bessent's Treasury buybacks as the engine of the rally, why ETH just broke a nine-year downtrend against Bitcoin, and why he's rotating out of layer ones and into apps with real users and revenue. Plus, Energy Substantiation Co-Founder Wil Harris joins Brand New Rails to explain why hard-to-custody assets, like oil, are tokenization's real frontier. - This episode is brought to you by Grayscale, the world's largest digital asset-focused investment platform. Grayscale's mission is to make digital asset investing simple and open to every investor. Learn more at grayscale.com. - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Ran Neuner Joins Markets Outlook 00:45 - The Golden Cross and Bitcoin's Pullback 02:31 - Bessent's Buybacks and Why $6B Disappointed the Market 03:56 - Oil, the War, and Trump's $1.4T Stimulus Promise 06:47 - Brand New Rails: Tokenized WTI Crude Oil 09:37 - "Crypto's Biggest Bull Market Ever" 11:33 - ETH Breaks a Nine-Year Downtrend Against Bitcoin 14:03 - Altcoins to 7X Bitcoin? Crypto's Product Market Fit 18:02 - Why AI Agents Are Crypto's Real Use Case 19:54 - What Makes an Altcoin Win: Users, Revenue, Buybacks

Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise Asset Management, joins Jennifer Sanasie for a special edition of Markets Outlook from the New York Stock Exchange to unpack the market's overnight flip from despair to euphoria. Hougan explains why a traditional 60/40 portfolio is "100% fiat currency," why holding 0% Bitcoin has become a misallocation, and where he's allocating now. Plus, why he gives Bitcoin a good chance of reclaiming $100K this year and sees $1.3 million by 2035.  Stellar Development Foundation CEO Denelle Dixon also joins to unpack Stellar crossing $4 billion in tokenized real-world assets, a 400% jump since January. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Matt Hougan Joins Markets Outlook 00:45 - Despair to Euphoria: What Flipped the Market 03:20 - AI Stocks vs. Bitcoin 05:49 - Brand New Rails: Stellar Crosses $4B in Tokenized RWAs 08:05 - Bitcoin, Zcash, and the Tokenization Trade 14:15 - Matt's Bitcoin Price Prediction This Year and By 2035 - This episode is brought to you by Grayscale, the world's largest digital asset-focused investment platform. Grayscale's mission is to make digital asset investing simple and open to every investor. Learn more at grayscale.com. - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.