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Risk Parity Radio is a podcast about investing located at www.riskparityradio.com. RPR explores risk-parity style portfolios comprised of uncorrelated or negatively correlated asset classes -- stocks, selected bonds, gold, managed futures, and other easily accessible fund options for the DIY investor. The goal is to construct portfolios that are robust and can be drawn down on in perpetuity, and to maximize projected Safe Withdrawal Rates regardless of projected overall returns.
496 Episodes
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In this episode we answer emails from Nicholas, Nathan and Lisa. We discuss how much gold is enough and how much is too much, why calculators disagree and the best ways to use them, and what “better” means when the future is uncertain. We also walk through a FIRE portfolio headed toward retirement and talk briefly about finding an advisor familiar with risk parity principles. And before that, in our Queen Mary segment, we hear a Fairfax CASA story about how consistent advocacy su...
In this episode we answer emails from Lee, Leo, Tony, and Samuel. We revel in Lee's generosity and discuss why we hold gold and treasuries, why recent performance should not drive allocation changes and common amateur investor fallacies, how to think about diversification when you invest outside the US, and how to think about correlations in a four quadrant model. And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfoli...
In this episode we answer emails from TJ, John and Optimus Bill. We discuss TJ's modified Golden Ratio portfolio and backtests, maximizing withdrawals with flexibility, ZROZ vs. TLT simulated leverage, gambling problems, intermediate accumulation to pay down a mortgage, and assorted allocations questions about mid-caps and other funds. We also talk about our Fairfax CASA fundraiser in our Queen Mary segment and a recent Catching Up to FI presentation at the end. Links: Links: Fairfax...
In this episode we answer emails from Optimus Bill, Mark and Ryan. We discuss donor advised fund sponsor Daffy and a strips fund portfolio substitution, the challenges of figuring out accumulation without getting caught up in chasing shiny objects and magic investing buttons, and discuss commercial risk parity funds and why they probably won't work for your goals. Errata: I said "Mark" when I meant "Michael" Mauboussin. And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthl...
In this episode we answer emails from Connor, Zachary and Brian. We discuss fund selection, doing the Big Law dance, portfolio construction basics and analyzing alternatives, and a partial retirement drawdown scenario involving early withdrawals, avoiding temptations to market time based on recent performances and funding a vacation property with a dedicated portfolio. But first we thank donors supporting Fairfax CASA and share Jillian Johnsrud’s moving story about adoption, foster car...
In this episode we answer emails from Jeffrey, Bryan, and Erik. We discuss the trade-offs of direct indexing in small cap value, why modest leverage on a diversified mix can outperform stock-heavy portfolios with fewer drawdowns, and modelling an early extra spending plan for retirement. And talk about forecasting with Base Rates. And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio. Lin...
In this episode we respond to emails from Nick, Ginna, Ashley, Chris and Sara. In our Queen Mary segment where we are raising money for Fairfax CASA, we express our gratitude for the outpouring of listener support and tell Noah and Taylor’s story of reunification. We then dive into two big portfolio questions: do managed futures replace gold, and how to fund an eight-year break without derailing long-term plans. We build a conservative drawdown portfolio, weigh taxes in taxable ac...
In this episode we answer emails from Tim, Anderson, and Pete. We discuss using a Golden Butterfly portfolio for intermediate accumulation, converting 529s to Roths and excessively levered portfolios for small children. (I can't make this stuff up.) But first we share Mary’s mission with Fairfax CASA and explain how steady advocacy changes a child’s path, and roll out our Fairfax CASA fundraising campaign in connection with National Child Abuse Prevention Month. Links: Fairfax CASA D...
In this episode we answer email Serge, Nielsen, Paul and Loren. We dig into the core question that drives every portfolio -- when will this money be spent and by whom -- which dictates how it should be invested, and talk about the website, ETPs and their variations, and thinking about sabbaticals and Coast FI. We also mention our Risk Parity Radio gathering at EconoMe on Friday at the Celare Hotel. And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfo...
In this episode we answer questions from Ben, Todd, and Tom. We discuss how managed futures differ from momentum, differentiating Monte Carlo simulations and why you need to be careful with parameterized simulations, and flexible withdrawal strategies generally and applied to the sample portfolios. LInks: QMOM and DBMF comparison and correlations: testfol.io/analysis?s=5lCK1KCsAsx Morningstar 2025 State of Retirement Income Report: Morningstar State_of_Retirement_Income_2025.pdf...
In this episode we answer emails from Sebastian, Mark, and James. We discuss the purpose of treasury bond allocations, annuity cash flows, and where rentals fit, goofy accounting for taxes, a bridge to social security and answer questions about Testfolio and data sources. And celebrate Catherine O'hara. And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio. Additional Links: Father McKen...
In this episode we answer emails from Gregory, Rick and Graham. We discuss some more amateur ideas on gold and cash buffers, and modeling managed futures, and we explain why costs and liquidity often matter more than the story you’re told. We share tools, back-tests, and resources that help DIY investors build smarter, calmer portfolios. Graham's "Fall Back" instructions for inputs for Testfolio: "For example, since you typically use DBMF but would want to back test further...
In this episode we answer emails from Isaiah and Mike. We unpack how metrics hijack meaning and show how a diversified, risk-parity approach lets you thrive without chasing perfect scores, review our business model and help Mike tweak his portfolio selections. And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio. Links: Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center "The Score...
In this episode we read a lengthy email missive from our good friend Dr. Bill on reaching financial independence a few years early, designing a risk parity portfolio with an advisor, and facing the emotional fog that follows. We share how to replace optimization with intention and use time, not money, as the measure of value, and touch on these points: • hitting FI earlier than planned after high savings, growth and a modest windfall • shifting from global cap weight to risk parity for stead...
In this episode we answer emails from Gregory and Isaiah. We discuss whether tail-hedged ETFs belong in a retirement portfolio, then map out a cleaner path with Treasuries as recession insurance, a value tilt for equity resilience. We also discuss the problems with relying on voices from popular personal finance unless they are well supported by professional and academic teachings, and the importance of the four quadrant model in understanding correlations and diversification. We ...
In this episode we answer emails from Bee, Brian, and Derek. We discuss shifting from pure equities toward a Golden Ratio allocation at 60% of the way to financial independence, using 401(k) BrokerageLink to add small cap value, and replacing monthly performance screenshots with better backtesting tools. Along the way, we talk donor-advised funds, advisor incentives, and why most financial advisory practices run on fear because its the most profitable business model. Links: Portfolio ...
In this episode we answer emails from Jeff, Chad and Matt. We discuss choices in 100% equity accumulation portfolios, distribution methodology for the sample portfolios, more on radio-personalities-cum-financial-advisors who try to punch down, the landscape of financial advisors and distinguishing the good, the bad, and the ugly, and our overall approach here, which is simply to match financial behaviors with financial goals. Because Personal Finance is FINANCE. And THEN we our g...
In this episode we answer emails from Midwest Nice, Ron and Stefan. We discuss helping a cautious parent with a high-fee advisor, what services are actually worth paying for in their case, how to invest home-sale proceeds for a 5–10 year horizon, where to learn beyond basic indexing without losing the plot, the McKenna Man portfolio, and best approaches to try to beat the market (beyond don't try). Links: Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center...
In this episode we conduct our annual portfolio reviews of our eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio, and compare them with commercial alternatives. We discuss why factors beat geography, and explain how gold, bonds, and managed futures improved results and withdrawal durability. We also confront the real roadblock to a good retirement: underspending driven by identity and fear, which we heard about in 2025 from Bill Bengen, Michael Kitces and Carl Rich...
In this episode we answer emails from Jenna, Kevin, and Jack Rabbit. We challenge the myth of “never pay taxes” and show how to transition scattered holdings into a Golden Butterfly framework while keeping taxes manageable. We also examine Bitcoin’s role, review sample portfolio performance, and share new listener-created bonus material on the site. And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio. Ad...
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