Claim OwnershipMarkets with Megan: A Quick Financial Markets Update
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© 2025 Markets with Megan: A Quick Financial Markets Update
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Empower yourself with knowledge, one fact at a time. Markets with Megan is a bite-sized financial markets podcast hosted by Megan Horneman, the CIO of Verdence Capital Advisors. Megan provides experienced analysis and in-depth insights that go beyond the daily headlines to unravel the economy's intricacies and indicators.
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The government is finally back on schedule with releasing economic data — and the first report of the month delivered a surprise. The ISM Manufacturing Index came in at 48.2, signaling another month of contraction for the sector. Megan Horneman breaks down what’s driving the weakness and what it means for GDP, employment, inflation, and the Federal Reserve. Megan explains why new orders, order backlogs, and delivery times are signaling slower activity, why the employment component fell to it...
Another month, another impressive market turnaround, but is the momentum here to stay? In today’s episode of Markets with Megan, Megan Horneman breaks down the latest economic data to explain what’s driving the rally, how conditions have shifted since the spring, and whether investors should trust this strength going into year-end. Megan covers the key indicators showing improvement, the areas still flashing caution, and what the Federal Reserve and inflation trends may mean for the next leg...
Happy Thanksgiving from Markets with Megan! 🦃 Today, Megan Horneman shares fun, surprising, and meaningful economic insights you can bring to your holiday table, from falling turkey prices to the global equity rally that continues to break record after record. You’ll learn: 🍗 Why the cost of Thanksgiving dinner is actually down 5% this year 📉 How supermarkets helped push turkey prices lower 📈 What we’re thankful for in the markets — including diversification, international outperformance, a...
The latest housing market data is in and the signals are anything but clear. In today’s episode, Megan Horneman breaks down the mixed messages coming from home sales, inventory levels, and mortgage rates. Are consumers finally pulling back? Are higher interest rates starting to bite? And what does this mean for markets as we head into the end of the year? Megan explains what the data really means for buyers, sellers, and investors, and why the housing sector may be more vulnerable than it a...
Consumer confidence weakens even as lagging retail sales look resilient, pointing to a softer holiday season and rising expectations for a December rate cut. We connect the drop in expectations, a softer jobs signal, and why equities still rallied on policy hopes. • November consumer confidence weakens versus expectations • Expectations component hits lowest level since 2013 ex-April drop • Inflation expectations stable but elevated at 4.8 percent • Jobs plentiful minus hard to get index dec...
The consumer mood just blinked. We dig into fresh September retail sales and find the signal beneath the noise: core retail sales slipped, the steepest monthly drop since April, and the softness is concentrated in discretionary goods. Autos, electronics, clothing, sporting goods, and even non-store retail retreated, while health and personal care inched higher and restaurants kept humming. That split paints a clear picture of priorities shifting from goods to experiences, with essentials hold...
The September jobs report finally arrived after weeks of private data during the U.S. government shutdown, and it delivered a meaningful surprise. The U.S. economy added 119,000 jobs, far above expectations, even as the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, the highest level since 2021. In this episode of Markets with Megan, we break down what the mixed labor picture means for the Federal Reserve, inflation, and market momentum heading into the December FOMC meeting. Find out... • Where job gains ...
Fear has a way of compressing lofty stories into hard numbers, and that’s exactly what’s playing out across U.S. markets. We open with a clean read on why volatility jumped to levels last seen around April’s tariff shock, then connect the dots between stretched forward P/Es, softening consumer trends, and a Federal Reserve that can’t quite agree on timing for rate cuts. It’s a live stress test of equity risk premia, and the results aren’t evenly distributed. We break down the five forces pus...
Washington is back open, and the market’s attention snaps from headlines to hard numbers. We walk through what the end of the longest U.S. government shutdown historically means for the dollar, the S&P 500, and growth, then test those patterns against today’s mixed signals. You’ll hear why equities often hold up during political dysfunction, how reopenings can spark a modest relief bid, and where this cycle may differ after a 2% S&P climb during the closure. From there, we focus on t...
The October ISM Services index is back in expansion territory—coming in above 50—with six out of ten categories rising and new orders leading the charge (likely boosted by data-center demand in the commentary). Business activity jumped, employment is still in contraction but improved, and we’re not seeing shrinking headcount alongside a backlog—hinting at some labor-market equilibrium. The catch: prices paid just moved to their highest level since October 2022. That’s the inflation channel th...
We unpack October’s ADP payroll report during the record government shutdown and parse where hiring is actually happening. Large firms added jobs while small and mid-sized businesses shed workers, with most gains tied to services and AI-driven spending. • October ADP report shows 42,000 private payroll gain • Caution that one month does not set a trend • Hiring concentrated in large employers, 500 plus • Small businesses shed jobs in five of the last six months • Service-producing sectors le...
Factories are feeling the squeeze, but one surprising shift may be a quiet win for anyone watching inflation. We dig into October’s ISM manufacturing report at a time when the government shutdown has muted official data, and we pull out the signals that matter: a weaker headline driven by softness in production and inventories, a prices paid index that fell to its lowest level of the year, and export orders that show a pulse even as supply frictions re-emerge. We talk through what a drop in ...
The Federal Reserve finally cut rates but their tone shocked Wall Street. Megan Horneman breaks down what the Fed really said, why markets might be too confident about more cuts, and what this means for inflation and investors heading into year-end 2025. With the government still shut down and data in short supply, this surprise twist from the Fed could change everything. #MarketsWithMegan #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #StockMarket #Investing #Economy2025 #MarketUpdate #FedRateC...
Markets don’t pause just because official data does. With the government shutdown stretching on, we turn to the signals still flashing: ISM surveys, regional Fed reports, and futures pricing that point to a tricky mix of sticky services inflation and a softening job market. We share what we’re seeing behind the headlines, why services matter more than ever for your wallet, and how prices paid in both services and manufacturing complicate the path back to the Fed’s 2 percent target. We walk t...
When official data goes dark, the market turns to the signals still shining. We dig into the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment reading and find a story of two Americas: current conditions ticking up after September’s rate cut, and expectations sliding to a five‑month low. That split matters. Sentiment sits at 55, future finances are viewed as the weakest since 2011, and 12‑month inflation expectations hold at 4.6%. These levels keep pressure on the Fed to proceed w...
Markets are hitting record highs — but is it the Fed’s doing? Megan Horneman breaks down what’s really driving the rally, how the ongoing government shutdown could impact data and investor sentiment, and what the latest Fed minutes hint about the path into year-end 2025. 👉 Don’t miss Megan’s take on what could make or break the next market move. For a history go to http://MarketsWithMegan.FM #MarketsWithMegan #FederalReserve #StockMarketNews #GovernmentShutdown #EconomicUpdate #FedMinutes ...
It was a strong quarter for investors — but what does the third quarter of 2025 really tell us about where markets and the economy are headed next? In this episode of Markets with Megan, Verdence Chief Investment Officer Megan Horneman breaks down the biggest stories from Q3: the impact of the government shutdown, economic data delays, and how stocks, bonds, and commodities performed. Find out what sectors led the rally, where risks may be hiding heading into Q4, and what investors s...
⚠️ Day One of the Government Shutdown is here. From furloughed workers to shaken markets, uncertainty is spreading fast. In this Markets with Megan special Impact Report, Megan Horneman breaks down what the shutdown means for families, the economy, and Wall Street. 📊 Get estimates on how long this could last, the risks to consumer confidence, and where markets may be headed if Washington gridlock continues. 👉 Stay informed with clear, transparent market insights every week. 🔗 Get all episo...
We just got a first look at the August JOLTS Jobs Report and it’s telling us a lot about where the U.S. labor market stands. Megan Horneman, CIO of Verdence Capital Advisors reviews: ✅ Why job postings and unemployment data point to a new labor market equilibrium ✅ How the decline in the quits rate shows we’re back to pre-pandemic averages ✅ What this means for wage pressures and the Federal Reserve’s outlook ✅ Why this Friday’s September jobs report will be so important (shutdown permitting...
📉📈 Consumer confidence is swinging like a pendulum. One week optimism, the next week uncertainty. In this episode of Markets with Megan, unpack the latest consumer sentiment data—what it signals for the economy, the Fed’s next move, and, most importantly, your wallet. Megan Horneman discusses what’s really driving these shifts and why Wall Street is paying close attention. Is consumer confidence telling us the economy is stronger than expected, or warning of turbulence ahead? 👉 Don’t...
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