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We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.
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Raphaël Gallardo is Chief Economist within the Cross-Asset team at Carmignac. Carmignac is a leading European investment management boutique established in 1989, with over EUR 40 bn in assets under management. Raphaël joined them in 2018. He started his career in 1997 at BNP Paribas, where he spent ten years as a Quantitative Analyst within the Risk Department, a Country-risk Economist, a Financial Engineer specialising in interest rate risk, and ultimately a cross-asset strategist. In 2007, he joined Axa IM as Head of Macroeconomic Research and moved to Rothschild & Cie Gestion in 2012 to occupy the same position. From 2013 to 2018, he was Cross-Asset Strategist at Ostrum Asset Management. Raphaël holds an Engineering Degree from École Nationale Supérieure des Mines de Paris. In this podcast, we discuss: Austrian Economics Framework Three "Wobbling" Bubbles The "Sad" AI Bubble Trump Risk Parity Portfolio Spain's "Virtuous Circle" France's Fiscal Existential Risk Japan's Vicious Circle China's Dual Economy Death of the Risk-Free Asset 2026–2027 Outlook
Alex Gurevich is the founder of HonTe Investments. After earning a PhD in mathematics from the University of Chicago, he leveraged his passion for strategic gaming into a lucrative Wall Street career. He has been hailed by The Wall Street Journal as the star trader of J.P. Morgan, where he served as Managing Director in charge of global macro trading and, in 2020, was leading HonTe's macro strategy when he ranked second by net return according to BarclayHedge. Alex is the bestselling author of The Next Perfect Trade and The Trades of March 2020. In this podcast, we discuss: The 10-Year "Test of Time" Retrospective The "Swim with the Tide" Framework Rethinking "Tight Stops" in Risk Management Strategies to Overcome Portfolio Paralysis Betting on the "Necessary" vs. "Sufficient" Japan's Search for the "Perfect Trade" The Case for the Fed Returning to 0% AI-Driven Technological Displacement Energy as the "Bottleneck" for AI Growth Evolving Views on Option Usage
Marc Elovitz is Global Head of Investment Management Regulatory at McDermott Will & Schulte – a leading global law firm. Marc advises private fund managers on running their businesses consistent with all relevant laws, regulations and legal requirements. Marc's cutting-edge work also covers the latest trends of interest to private funds, including blockchain technology and digital assets. He advises on the legal and regulatory considerations involving virtual and digital currency business initiatives and the blockchain technology behind them. In this podcast, we discuss: From Litigation to Regulation The Private Market Boom "Project Crypto" and Regulatory Harmonisation Beyond Digital Gold The Yield Obstacle in Stablecoins Future-Proofing Digital Assets The Trust Factor in Private Equity Solving the AI Explainability Crisis The Delaware Governance Battle Perspective through Fiction
Sean McGould – the founder/CEO of the Lighthouse Group – an approximately $17 billion investment management firm. Prior to Lighthouse, Sean was the Director of the Outside Trader Investment Program for Trout Trading Management Company. Before joining Trout, he worked for Price Waterhouse in auditing and corporate finance. In this podcast we discuss: The Multi-Strategy Investment Approach The Selective "War for Talent" Adapting to Trump 2.0 Volatility Targeting Real Returns vs Gold AI: A Digital Tool, Not a Total Bubble Redefining Value in the Digital Age Japan's Shareholder Value Pivot Centralised Planning Risks in China Patience in Tight Credit Markets The 2026 Macro Outlook You can get more information on Sean's firm here The commentary contained in the above article/podcast does not constitute an offer or a solicitation, or a recommendation to implement or liquidate an investment or to carry out any other transaction. It should not be used as a basis for any investment decision or other decision. Any investment decision should be based on appropriate professional advice specific to your needs.
Srividya Jandhyala is a professor of Management at ESSEC Business School in Singapore. Her research focuses on global strategy, geopolitics, and international business. She is the author of the best-selling book 'The Great Disruption: How Geopolitics is Changing Companies, Managers, and Work'. Before ESSEC, she was a Fung Global Fellow at Princeton University. She also served on the faculty of George Washington University in Washington, D.C., and she received her PhD in Management from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. In this podcast, we discuss: Geopolitics as a Structural Headwind The End of the "Flat World" Why Corporate Nationality Trumps Product Lessons from Mining and Energy Sectors The Jenga Tower of Global Friction Sovereign AI and Geopolitical Tech China's "Singapore" Playbook The Erosion of the Rules-Based Order Localization and the "Societal License" to Operate The Shift from "Event-Based" Thinking
Rory Johnston is a Toronto-based oil market researcher, the founder of Commodity Context, a lecturer at the University of Toronto's Munk School of Global Affairs and Public Policy, as well as a Fellow with both the Canadian Global Affairs Institute and the Payne Institute for Public Policy at the Colorado School of Mines. Prior to founding Commodity Context, Rory led commodity economics research at Scotiabank. In this podcast, we discuss: Trump's Bullish Paradox Importance of China's SPR Why OPEC+ Hiked Production The "Oil on Water" Overhang Venezuela and Iran 2026 Outlook US Shale's H2 Roll-over Long term demand outlook
Phil is the founder of Suttle Economics – a leading research consultancy. Before that, he held senior roles at Tudor, the Institute of International Finance (IIF), JP Morgan, Barclays, the New York Fed and World Bank. He was educated at Oxford University and lives in the US. In the podcast, we talk about: US Labour Market Dissonance Trump's "Elizabeth Warren" Populism The Productivity Mystery Fed Under Pressure Sticky Inflation Through 2027 Global Business Disruptions Extreme Oil Volatility Japan's Policy Pivot China's Sluggish Consumer European and UK Growth Historical Parallels to Populism
Robert is Founder, Chief Investment Officer and the Managing Partner of the $5bn EM fund, Gramercy. He founded Gramercy in 1998. Robert has 36 years of investment experience dedicated to emerging markets with a specialization in distressed opportunistic credit strategies. He is a member of Gramercy's Management Team and is Co-Chair of the Risk Management Committee. In this podcast we discuss: EM in 2025: From Caution to FOMO EM vs DM: A Role Reversal Since COVID The Problem with EM Labels & Indices China: From 'Uninvestable' to Selective Opportunity Russia–Ukraine: Asymmetry, Reconstruction, and Market Blind Spots The Boom in EM Private Credit Where the Opportunities Are in EM Private Credit Mexico, NAFTA 2.0, and Geopolitics Venezuela and the 'Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine' Fed Policy: The Only Conviction Is Lack of Conviction Portfolio Philosophy: Fighting FOMO and Overtrading
Jay Pelosky is the founder of TPW Advisory. He has over 35 years of buy-side and sell-side financial market experience. Before going independent, Jay was at Morgan Stanley, where he was ranked #1 by Institutional Investor in Global Equity Strategy and Global Asset Allocation Strategy. In this podcast, we discuss: Tripolar World (TPW) - regional integration in Asia, Europe, and Americas. Global growth long cycle driven by spending on AI, defense, and climate across regions. China-US AI competition The shift from chip quality to power costs as the key AI competitive advantage. Brazil and Spain's clean energy plays Why 2025 is not like the 2000 dotcom bubble Private credit opportunities Attractive China tech valuations China's five-year plan Europe's potential Countries pressuring institutions to invest domestically rather than in US markets.
Ken Tropin is a legend in the macro space. He is the Chairman and the founder of Graham Capital Management (GCM) - $20bn fund. Ken founded GCM in 1994 and has grown the firm into an industry leading alternative investment manager focusing on global macro discretionary and quantitative hedge fund strategies. Prior to founding GCM, Ken had significant experience in the alternative investment industry, including five years (1989 to 1993) as President and Chief Executive Officer of John W. Henry & Company, Inc. and seven years (1982 to 1989) as Senior Vice President and Director of Managed Futures at Dean Witter Reynolds. In this podcast we discuss: Investment philosophy Differentiation from multi-strat funds Talent recruitment strategy; NY office Fed outlook Term premium as underpriced US deficit concerns and duration risk in long-end rates AI and technology Global central bank divergence Inflation pressures Private credit Dollar view Geopolitical risks Robin Hood Foundation
Sangeet Paul Choudary is the best-selling co-author of Platform Revolution and author of the new book Reshuffle. He has advised leadership teams at over 40 Fortune 500 companies—including Nestlé, ExxonMobil, Daimler, ING, and Booking.com—as well as pre-IPO tech firms. Sangeet currently serves as a Senior Fellow at the University of California, Berkeley, and has spoken at global forums such as the G20 Summit, World50 Summit, and the World Economic Forum.
David Dredge is the Chief Investment Officer of Convex Strategies, which is an agnostic value investor in volatility. David has over 30 years' experience managing risk across global markets. Prior to launching Convex Strategies, David served as a Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Artradis Fund Management in Singapore, where he was responsible for the fixed income aspects of their volatility strategy. Earlier in his career, David built and ran Asian and Global EM trading businesses for RBS (ABN AMRO Group), Bankers Trust, and Bank of America. He currently sits on the Monetary Authority of Singapore Markets Committee (SFEMC).
Marc Rubinstein is author of Net Interest – a leading weekly newsletter on the world of finance. Before this, Marc spent ten years at leading hedge fund Lansdowne Partners, where he was a partner and portfolio manager. This was after he spent time on the sell-side working for Barclays Investment Bank (BZW), Schroders and then Credit Suisse, where he was head of the European banks research team. In this podcast we discuss:. AI bubble historical analogies 1907 crisis and non-bank growth Private credit risks Fraud cycles and market corrections Jane Street's technological edge Exchanges commoditise trading Banks adopt blockchain technology Fintech challenges incumbents AI disrupts entry-level finance jobs Books mentioned: 1929 (Andrew Ross Sorkin), Land Trap (Mike Bird)
Mark Farrington is a Global Macro and Geopolitical Strategist and author of the 'Watchtower Reports,' which cover topics ranging from geopolitical risk to Bank of Japan monetary policy to US dollar dynamics. He previously served as Managing Director and Portfolio Manager of the Macro Currency Group at Principal Global Investors, where he worked for fifteen years. Before that, he spent 17 years in the Asia-Pacific region, primarily with Bankers Trust. In this podcast, we discuss: US Embrace of Industrial Policy and Self-Sufficiency China's Supply Chain Strategy and Retaliation: Barriers to RMB Internationalisation China's Strategic Interest in Gold Enduring US Dollar Dominance Geopolitical Alpha and Experiential Learning Convergence of Allies on US Worldview Fragility and Vulnerability of Europe Financial Crisis Catalysts: Inflation and Volatility The Threat of Systemic Volatility Books mentioned: Theory of International Politics (Kenneth N. Waltz), The Black Swan (Nassim Nicholas Taleb), The Tipping Point (Malcolm Gladwell), Weaving the Net: Conditional Engagement with China (James Shinn), The Meiji Restoration (W.G. Beasley), The Anarchy: The Relentless Rise of the East India Company (William Dalrymple). You can follow Mark's work here.
David Samra is a managing director of Artisan Partners – the $180bn global multi-asset investment platform. He is founding partner of the International Value Group, and portfolio manager of the Artisan International Value Fund, which he has managed since the portfolio's inception in September 2002. David has been nominated for the Morningstar International Stock Fund Manager of the Year Award six times. In this podcast, we discuss: Economic Value Added (EVA) and what makes a good business versus a bad business Principles of value investing Finding undervalued securities through screening and cumulative knowledge Good versus bad management teams The erosion of competitive moats over time, particularly in consumer brands and technology Deep dive into Arch Capital as a case study of a successful investment with unique competitive advantages Shareholder activism as a tool for protecting investments and influencing management Challenges of managing large amounts of capital and finding opportunities in current markets AI investment, capital intensity in tech, and concerns about future returns on capital Views on private markets Books mentioned: Quest for Value (Stewart), The Intelligent Investor (Graham), The Money Masters (Train), and Frederick and Frederica (Helprin). You can follow David's work here.
Miguel Gutiérrez is a Partner and Head of Private Markets, at The Rohatyn Group (TRG) - a global asset manager that specialises in emerging markets and real assets. Prior to joining TRG in October 2004, Miguel served as the Chairman and CEO of the Telefónica Group in Argentina and Chairman of Grupo Concesionario del Oeste S.A. He also served as the non-executive Chairman of YPF S.A. from April 2016 to December 2019. Earlier in his career, Miguel held numerous senior positions at J.P. Morgan, including Head of Global Emerging Markets Sales, Trading, and Research. In this podcast, we discuss: Importance of upcoming Mexico's USMCA negotiations with US US's new approach to Latin America How private markets work in Latin America Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive
Gordon Hanson is the Peter Wertheim Professor in Urban Policy at Harvard Kennedy School and Academic Dean for Strategy and Engagement at Harvard Kennedy School. He is best known for his research on the labour market consequences of globalisation, including pioneering work on the China trade shock. Hanson's current research addresses the causes and consequences of regional job loss, the effectiveness of place-based policies in alleviating regional economic distress, and how the energy transition will affect local labour markets. This work is part of the Reimagining the Economy project at the Kennedy School, which Hanson co-directs with Dani Rodrik. In this podcast we discuss America's historical obsession with manufacturing from the Industrial Revolution to today, manufacturing job losses and their impact on non-college workers, how traditional economics fails to measure human flourishing beyond consumption, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive
Paul Cavey is a China-focused Asia economist with twenty-five years of experience covering the region. He runs East Asia Econ. Previously, he was a macro strategist in the global bond team at Wellington Management, head of China economics at Macquarie Securities and chief China economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit. In this podcast we discuss US-Chine trade war escalation, state of China's economy and Japanification, PBoC's next move, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive
Shiloh Bates is a Partner and Chief Investment Officer. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director at Benefit Street Partners. During his 20-year career, Mr. Bates has worked for several CLO managers and has been one of the largest investors in CLO securities. He wrote the book, CLO Investing with a focus on CLO Equity and BB Notes. He is also the host of the CLO Investor Podcast. In this podcast we discuss private credit boom, growth in covenant-lite loans, industry concentration in CLOs, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive
Diane Coyle is the Bennett Professor of Public Policy at the University of Cambridge. She is the Research Director at the Bennett School of Public Policy. Diane's latest book is 'The Measure of Progress: Counting What Really Matters'. Her own research focuses on productivity, the digital economy and AI policy, and economic measurement. She has been writing about the effects of digital technologies since her first book, 'The Weightless World', in 1997. Diane is currently a member of the UK Government's Industrial Strategy Council, the New Towns Taskforce, and advises the Competition and Markets Authority. She has served previously in a number of public service roles including as Vice Chair of the BBC Trust, member of the Competition Commission, and of the Natural Capital Committee. Diane was awarded a DBE in 2023 for her contribution to economics and public policy. In this podcast we discuss the inadequacy of GDP measurement, missing the digital economy; dealing with free digital services, how to measure productivity in services, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive
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