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Providing first-hand emerging and developed market insights with a global context of how the world views these markets.
228 Episodes
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Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the macro themes for the week ahead after a volatile week for central banks and markets amid uncertainty around the Iran situation. In the UK, the Bank of England held rates, struck a more hawkish tone with a 9–0 vote, and stressed inflation risks from elevated energy prices, though growth vulnerability and rising unemployment risks keep a high bar for hikes and support an ultimately needed, delayed rate-cut path; upcoming UK CPI and retail sales are key. G...
Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss a complex global macro backdrop dominated by the Iran conflict’s impact on oil, inflation expectations, yields, equities, and growth, with market focus shifting to a heavy week of central bank meetings. In the UK, weak sales, house prices, and a softer January GDP print reinforce growth concerns; despite markets repricing toward possible Bank of England hikes, Staines sees a high bar given weakening growth and reduced fiscal space, though statement language...
Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the macro themes for the week ahead against major uncertainty from the Middle East conflict, noting it is likely to dominate sentiment and positioning while they limit forecasts to the macroeconomy. In the UK, the Spring Statement brought no policy change but updated OBR projections: 2026 growth cut to 1.1% (from 1.4%), peak unemployment lifted to 5.3% (from 4.9%), and inflation lowered to 2.3%. The fiscal outlook also improved via higher projected revenues...
Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss a global macro backdrop where markets appear calm at the headline level but show significant divergence underneath, including record-high equity dispersion, private credit uncertainty despite tight spreads, and varied European inflation and growth dynamics alongside flat ECB rate expectations. They preview a busier week of data: Australia’s inflation gauge, GDP and trade (watched for expectations of one more RBA hike); Europe’s February CPI, unemployment, r...
Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss macro themes for the week ahead for professional investors. In the UK, recent data show unemployment at a new cycle high of 5.2% (above COVID highs), conflicting private vs public pay trends, and CPI signals of underlying weakness as administered prices drop out of annual comparisons; inflation is expected to return to target by mid-year, and UK 10-year yields are ~25 bps lower over two weeks. Next week’s UK watchpoints include consumer confidence and...
In this episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead (Eurizon SLJ Capital), Matt Jones is joined by Neil Staines to break down the macro themes set to matter most for professional investors. The UK remains front and centre, with the employment report, January CPI and retail sales providing key inputs for Bank of England expectations. The conversation then shifts globally, focusing on Australia’s policy outlook via RBA minutes and labour market data, and New Zealand’s rate decision and guid...
Matt Jones (Eurizon SLJ Capital) is joined by Senior Portfolio Manager Neil Staines to map the week ahead across rates, data, and event risk. They unpack the Bank of England’s latest signals, the key UK releases to watch, ECB messaging and the role of FX, and a global run of inflation prints including China. In the US, attention turns to the rescheduled non-farm payrolls and CPI, with potential implications for the Fed’s reaction function. They finish with a quick weekend sports preview. In t...
In this episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead, Matt Jones and Neil Staines run through the key macro themes for the days ahead, from Bank of England projections and UK policy signals to global central bank watchpoints, China PMI data, and a US calendar that culminates in non-farm payrolls. What we cover UK policy week: the Bank of England meeting, updated projections, and the inflation pathMarket pricing versus expectations for the UK rate-cut trajectoryGlobal central banks in focus...
In this episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead, Matt Jones is joined by Neil Staines to map the key macro catalysts investors are watching. They start in Japan, where the February 8 general election announcement, renewed fiscal debate, and long-end JGB moves have put policy credibility and FX dynamics back in focus, alongside rising speculation around Ministry of Finance intervention risk in USD/JPY. The conversation then turns global, with a packed calendar of central bank decisions...
In this episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead, Matt Jones is joined by Neil Staines to discuss the key macro signals markets are likely to focus on next week, with Davos, major data releases, and earnings season shaping the agenda. The conversation covers the UK’s crucial run of releases, China’s growth and activity data, Australia and Europe’s policy-sensitive prints, and why the US narrative may be driven as much by geopolitics and messaging as by the data calendar. Key topics dis...
In this episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead, Matt Jones is joined by Neil Staines to discuss the latest inflation data, central bank signals, and what they mean for the global rate outlook in 2026. The conversation covers the UK macro backdrop, key global inflation prints, and why upcoming data will be critical for the Fed, the Bank of England, and other major central banks as markets reassess rate expectations. Key topics discussed include: How weak demand and political dynamics ...
In this episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead podcast by Eurizon SLJ Capital, host Matt Jones speaks with Senior Portfolio Manager Neil Staines about the global macroeconomic outlook for 2026 and the key market drivers shaping the year ahead. The discussion explores expectations for continued disinflation following 2025, the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and interest rate expectations, and the implications for global markets. Neil outlines why this environment may remain broadly...
In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss key macroeconomic themes influencing financial markets. They highlight the inauguration of the Trump administration as a major event, alongside discussions on US inflation trends, retail sales, and GDP data. The episode also covers weak economic data from the UK, an encouraging economic outlook for China, and predictions for the Bank of Japan's upcoming policy decisions. Additionally, the show provi...
In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' produced by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the current macroeconomic themes dominated by expectations of policy evolution under Trump 2.0. The episode explores the complex UK macro backdrop, including Gilt market volatility, CPI, GDP, and retail sales forecasts. It also delves into European and Chinese economic dynamics, the impact of higher energy prices, and the trajectory of fiscal stimulus measures. The d...
In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' from Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the week's macroeconomic themes, focusing on recent central bank actions and their implications for developed and emerging markets. Key discussions include rate changes and outlooks from the ECB, RBA, Bank of Canada, and Swiss National Bank, alongside market expectations for the Fed and Bank of Japan. The episode also touches on UK's economic data and its impact on the Bank ...
In this week's episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss essential macroeconomic themes for professional investors. The discussion includes anticipation around Japan's Bank of Japan meeting, insights into China's economic stimulus impact, analysis of the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate expectations, and political and economic events in Europe. The episode also highlights the upcoming focus on the U.S. CPI data and Federal Re...
In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead', Matt Jones from Eurizon SLJ Capital discusses major macroeconomic themes and market events to watch with Neil Staines. The discussion covers the impact of geopolitical uncertainties, upcoming PMI data from various regions, labour cash earnings in Japan, and critical U.S. economic data that could influence Fed decisions. Additionally, the episode touches on central bank actions in New Zealand and Australia, projecting their future mone...
In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the sell-side narrative surrounding Trump's impact on the markets, central bank activities in various countries, and key macroeconomic data to watch in the upcoming week. The discussion also touches on the potential implications of US fiscal and monetary policy interactions on the dollar and broader market trends. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:25 Welcome and...
In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, hosts Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss anticipated macroeconomic trends and key events for the coming week targeted at professional investors. They delve into significant data points such as Eurozone GDP, US ISM services for October and employment reports from New Zealand and Canada. Key central bank meetings, including the RBA, Norges, Riksbank, Bank of England, and FOMC, are also highlighted with expected p...
In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the significant macroeconomic events expected next week. They delve into the UK's budget and its potential impact on the macroeconomic environment, predictions for the Japanese election, China PMI data, and European central bank rate cuts. The episode also covers key indicators for the US, including top-tier earnings reports, employment data, and GDP. 00:00 Introduction ...
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