The Decisive Podcast: Insights and analysis to empower confident decision-making.

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam dives into the intricacies of U.S. consumer spending as the holiday season approaches. Joined by Michael Zdinak, Ph.D., a director in S&P Global's U.S. economics team, Kristen explores the current economic landscape following a recent government shutdown and its impact on vital economic data. Kristen and Michael discuss the resilience of consumer spending—despite low consumer sentiment—highlighting the factors driving spending behaviors among different income groups. They analyze retail sales trends, the significance of Black Friday, and the growing share of online shopping in holiday sales. Listeners will gain insights into inflation's effects on purchasing power and the expected growth in holiday sales, alongside a nuanced understanding of how consumers are navigating their financial realities this season. Tune in for a comprehensive overview of the U.S. economy as we head into the holidays. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 Global Economic Outlook: November 2025 Widening China import-export imbalance soaking up container capacity For S&P Global subscribers (login required): 2026: The age of agility Inflation indications Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Michael Zdinak Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun

In this episode of the Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam engages with economists from S&P Global Market Intelligence to unpack the U.S. economic outlook for 2026. The discussion explores key themes influencing growth, including the economic impact of artificial intelligence, evolving labor market dynamics, and the ongoing effects of tariffs on inflation and investment. Listeners will gain insights into the team's optimistic projections for 2026, driven by reduced policy uncertainty and consumer spending bolstered by recent tax cuts. The economists also address potential headwinds to growth, such as high borrowing costs and the implications of a government shutdown on economic performance. As the Federal Reserve navigates these challenges, the discussion explores monetary policy decisions, including expectations for rate cuts and the anticipated adjustments in response to inflationary pressures. With expert analysis and forward-looking perspectives, this episode equips listeners with the knowledge to make informed decisions in a complex economic landscape. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 Global Economic Outlook: November 2025 Stablecoins Explained: A Comprehensive FAQ Guide to Digital Currency Stability For S&P Global subscribers (login required): 2026: The age of agility Inflation indications US tariff plans Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Ben Herzon, Patrick Newport, Michael Zdinak, Lawrence Nelson Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

If 2025 was a year of seismic shifts, 2026 will be a year of recalibration to both the aftershocks and the new disruptions we expect to trade patterns, the economy and the geopolitical landscape. In this episode of the Decisive podcast, we set out our key strategic themes for 2026—adapting to trade realities, shaky economic foundations and shifting asymmetric power in geopolitics. Experts from our multidisciplinary research team unpack the ongoing economic uncertainties, evolving trade policies, and geopolitical dynamics we expect to characterize the year ahead.  Listeners will gain an understanding of the potential impacts of the US midterm elections, the renegotiation of trade agreements, and the strategic competition between major powers, particularly the US and mainland China. The panel highlights the significance of critical minerals and AI technology as national security assets, alongside the challenges posed by financial market volatility and supply chain resilience. As the world faces a recalibration of trade relationships and economic strategies, this episode provides valuable insights for navigating the complexities of a rapidly changing world. Tune in to stay informed and empowered in your decision-making process. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 Global Economic Outlook: November 2025 Transshipment: Outlook and implications for ASEAN For S&P Global subscribers (login required): 2026: The age of agility Inflation indications Red Sea maritime risks Credits: Host: Natznet Tesfay Guests: Ken Wattret, Aries Poon, Carla Selman Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

Host Paul Smith is joined by senior economists Pollyanna de Lima and Andrew Harker to explore the latest trends in Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMI) and their implications for the global economy. They discuss the resilience of global economic growth in 2025 in the face of challenges such as low business confidence, tariffs, and trade uncertainties. The team analyzes the mixed performance across Latin America, with notable expansions in Colombia contrasted by contractions in Brazil and Mexico. As they shift focus to the future, they explore the findings of the recent Global Business Outlook surveys, highlighting subdued plans for employment and investment amidst geopolitical uncertainties. The conversation also touches on the rising investment in artificial intelligence (AI) across various sectors, examining how firms are leveraging AI for efficiency, recruitment, and customer acquisition while facing challenges like implementation difficulties and accuracy concerns. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Business investment spending outlook gloomiest since pandemic Broad-based deterioration in trade in October Global Economic Outlook: October 2025 For S&P Global subscribers (login required): US tariff plans Trends in the World Economy and Trade October 2025 Credits: Host: Paul Smith Guests: Andrew Harker, Pollyanna De Lima Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode, our experts answer your most frequently asked questions about the global economy, analyzing key trends as we approach 2026.  Host Ken Wattret, vice president of global economics at S&P Global Market Intelligence, leads a panel representing the US, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America to provide a glimpse into our expectations for the rest of 2025 and beyond. From the optimistic outlook for U.S. GDP growth, driven by recent tax cuts and government spending, to the challenges posed by high inflation and tariffs, we unpack the factors shaping the economic landscape. The global economy FAQ discussion also explores the impact of artificial intelligence on productivity and GDP, as well as the economic resilience of the Asia-Pacific region amidst slowing exports. We take a closer look at the fiscal situations in France and the UK, highlighting the difficulties of achieving sustainable public finances, and examine the mixed growth prospects in India following new U.S. tariffs. The episode wraps up with insights on the evolving dynamics of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement and the implications of Brazil's upcoming elections on fiscal targets. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis that empowers confident decision-making in an era of uncertainty. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: October 2025 Economic Risks of a Prolonged US Government Shutdown Transshipment: Outlook and implications for ASEAN For S&P Global subscribers (login required): US tariff plans Trends in the World Economy and Trade October 2025 Credits: Host: Ken Wattret Guests: Ben Herzon, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, Diego Iscaro, Rafael Amiel Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

The shipping industry has faced a seismic shift following the U.S. Trade Representative's finalization of port fees targeting Chinese-built, operated and owned vessels. Such changes in trade and tariff policy are reshaping order books for bulk carriers and specialized cargo vessels and the competitive landscape of Asian shipbuilding. Ongoing physical disruptions are affecting global shipping routes, and shipowners are balancing the urgent need for fleet renewal with the long-term imperative of adhering to tightening environmental regulations. To unpack these developments, host Kristen Hallam is joined by Ashima Tyagi and Keyla Goodno from S&P Global Market Intelligence. Listen now for an insightful analysis of the future of shipbuilding and the broader implications for global supply chains. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Commodity Price Watch: October 2025 Picture This: IMO Postpones Net-Zero Commitments as Maritime Emissions Rise LNG increasingly alternative fuel of choice for container lines For S&P Global subscribers (login required): US tariff plans Commodity Price Watch Report: Asia Trends in the World Economy and Trade October 2025 Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Ashima Tyagi, Keyla Goodno Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Feranmi Adeoshun Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

As we approach the end of 2025, companies are starting to move beyond calculating tariff rates and to think develop long-term strategies for their supply chains. Reshoring — moving some or all of your sourcing from one region or territory to another — has reemerged as a strategic option.  S&P Global Market Intelligence Head of Supply Chain Research Chris Rogers joins host Kristen Hallam to discuss reshoring, focusing on two key Southeast Asian markets: Indonesia and Malaysia. They explore the current global supply chain positions of both countries, highlighting Indonesia's resource-driven economy and Malaysia's established dominance in electronics manufacturing. Chris outlines the potential for Indonesia to emerge as a reshoring center, emphasizing its political stability, low labor costs, and growing domestic market. He also addresses the challenges Indonesia faces, such as workforce education and wage inflation pressures. Conversely, Malaysia's historical success in electronics is examined, along with the need for the country to defend its position against rising competition from lower-cost neighbors. Listeners will gain valuable insights into the strategic considerations for businesses looking to reshore operations, the impact of global trade policies, and the future trends that may shape the supply chains of both Indonesia and Malaysia over the next five years. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis that goes beyond tariffs and U.S. policy to uncover the broader opportunities in global trade. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: US Supply Chain Outlook Q4 2025: Backing Out of Front-Loading Picture This: Company Sentiment on Tariffs Turns More Negative in Earnings Calls Lower US imports tightening truck capacity at key inland hubs More content on Global Trade & Supply Chains For S&P Global subscribers (login required): US tariff plans  Recession risks Japan's political and trade outlook Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Chris Rogers Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of the Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam leads a compelling discussion on the rising political volatility across various regions, including Asia Pacific, Europe, and Latin America. Joined by experts Carla Selman, Bibianna Norek, and Jeffery McElroy, the panel explores the factors driving instability in countries like Japan, Peru, Argentina, France, and the UK. Listeners will gain insights into the implications of recent leadership changes, the impact of civil unrest, and the role of immigration policies in shaping political landscapes. The experts also discuss the upcoming elections in Latin America and their potential to influence political dynamics, as well as the delicate balance countries must maintain between their relationships with the US and mainland China. With a focus on key indicators of political stability, the episode provides a comprehensive analysis of how domestic and global pressures are reshaping governance and policy-making.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Country Risk Month Ahead: October 2025 Global Economic Outlook: October 2025 Economic Risks of a Prolonged US Government Shutdown Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam Guests: Carla Selman, Bibianna Norek, Jeffery McElroy Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam engages in an insightful discussion with Ben Herzon, co-head of US Economics at S&P Global Market Intelligence. They explore the complexities of economic forecasting in turbulent times, focusing on how to differentiate between signal and noise in economic data. Ben shares his expertise on the significance of the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) as a leading indicator for economic trends, particularly its role in predicting industrial production and GDP. The conversation also explores the impact of tariffs on inflation and economic growth, highlighting the resilience of the US economy amid recent challenges. Ben discusses the factors contributing to the growth outlook, including recent budget legislation, federal spending, and inventory management by businesses. Additionally, they address the risks to economic growth, such as potential increases in tariffs, inflation surprises, and the implications of a government shutdown. The episode concludes with a look at how scenario analysis is used to navigate uncertainties in economic forecasting, providing listeners with a comprehensive understanding of the current economic landscape. Tune in for a deep dive into the dynamics shaping the US economy and the tools used to forecast its future. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: September 2025 Picture This: Company Sentiment on Tariffs Turns More Negative in Earnings Calls The US Home Improvement Market: Trends and Challenges Ahead Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Ben Herzon Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this insightful episode of The Decisive, host Kristen Hallam leads a comprehensive discussion on the current landscape of emerging markets, exploring the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead as we approach 2026. Joined by a panel of experts from S&P Global Market Intelligence, the conversation probes the economic resilience of developed versus emerging markets, the impact of trade dynamics and tariffs, and the role of technological advancements in shaping growth trajectories. Listeners will gain valuable insights from this episode, which is taken from our Sept. 10 client webinar. Learn about the performance of key emerging economies, including India, as well as the implications of geopolitical shifts on global supply chains. The panel, featuring Thea Fourie, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, and Shuchita Shukla, also highlights investment opportunities in sectors such as digital infrastructure, green energy, and critical minerals, while addressing the effects of U.S. tariffs and regional reshoring strategies. As the episode unfolds, the experts discuss the importance of innovation and technology adoption, particularly in the Asia Pacific region, and examine how emerging markets can leverage these trends for sustainable growth. Tune in for a thought-provoking exploration of the evolving economic landscape and what it means for businesses and investors in the coming years.   More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: September 2025 Picture This: Mainland China Launches Review of US Semiconductor Exports Country Risk Month Ahead: October 2025 Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam Guests: Thea Fourie, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, Shuchita Shukla Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of the Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam engages with S&P Global Market Intelligence experts Jack A. Kennedy and Sascha Ostanina to explore the evolving military strategies in the Middle East North Africa (MENA) region and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. They discuss the shift from conventional warfare to more interventionist and attritional strategies, the role of technology in modern conflict, and the implications for regional and global security. The conversation highlights the interconnectedness of geopolitical developments, the impact on alliances, and the importance of data-driven analysis in navigating current uncertainties. Tune in for insights that empower confident decision-making in an increasingly complex world. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Country Risk Month Ahead: September 2025 Red Sea 'revival' taking place as regional carriers lead the way Picture This: Houthis Renew Vessel Attacks, Making Shipping Route Changes Unlikely Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam Guests: Jack A. Kennedy, Sascha Ostanina Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive podcast, host Kristen Hallam introduces senior economist Maxwell Clarke, who explores the world of machinery and equipment pricing amidst the evolving landscape of tariffs and demand fluctuations. Max takes us into the world of machinery and equipment pricing amid the evolving landscape of tariffs and demand fluctuations. He explores how the recent tariff policies, particularly in the U.S., are creating upward price pressures on machinery and equipment, while also examining the broader implications for global markets. Max unpacks the weak demand outlook that is limiting further price escalation and the significant challenges posed by supply disruptions that have historically driven prices higher. Additionally, we'll take a closer look at specific categories, such as electrical machinery and construction equipment, and discuss the risks associated with parts categories that have seen substantial price increases. As we navigate through these complex dynamics, Max discusses the uncertainty surrounding future tariff policies and their impact on business certainty. Join us as we analyze these key factors shaping the machinery market and provide insights into what lies ahead for businesses and consumers alike. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Steel Market: Trends and Projections for 2025 and Beyond Spice Trade Heats Up Globally Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Maxwell Clarke Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast from S&P Global Market Intelligence, host Andrew Harker, alongside economists David Owen and Usamah Bhatti, parses the latest findings from the Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMIs) across various regions. The discussion highlights a positive trend in global business activity for August 2025, with strong growth in both the services and manufacturing sectors. The panelists also address challenges such as export weaknesses and subdued business confidence, particularly influenced by US tariffs. Focusing on the Middle East and North Africa, David provides insights into the slowdown in demand momentum in the UAE, attributed to regional tensions and competitive pressures. Usamah shares updates on the newly launched Pakistan Manufacturing PMI, noting a gradual slowdown in operating conditions and the impact of recent flooding on the manufacturing sector. Listeners will gain valuable perspectives on economic trends, sector-specific performances, and the implications of tariff policies on global trade. Tune in for an informative session that offers a comprehensive overview of the current economic landscape as we approach the end of 2025. Don't forget to subscribe for more insights and analysis from The Decisive Podcast! More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: August 2025 Mixed export performance seen across goods producers in Asia Global PMI at 14-month high in August, but future growth expectations fall further Credits: Host: Andrew Harker Guests: Usamah Bhatti, David Owen Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam is joined by Ken Wattret, Vice President of Global Economics at S&P Global Market Intelligence, to explore the pressing issue of inflation in today's economic landscape. As economies worldwide grapple with the aftermath of various shocks—including the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical conflicts—rising prices remain a critical concern for consumers, businesses, and policymakers alike. Speaking in a June interview, Ken provides an insightful overview of current global inflation trends, highlighting key factors driving these changes, such as supply chain disruptions, commodity prices, and trade policies. The discussion delves into the distinctions between core and headline inflation, emphasizing the importance of monitoring both to understand underlying inflation dynamics. Listeners will gain valuable insights into how recent trade policies, particularly tariffs, are influencing inflation rates and consumer behavior in the U.S. and beyond. Ken also discusses the implications of fluctuating commodity prices and how they affect inflation forecasts, household real income, and consumer spending. As the conversation unfolds, Kristen and Ken examine the potential responses of central banks to evolving inflation trends and the broader economic implications for businesses and consumers. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis that empowers you to navigate the complexities of inflation in today's uncertain economic environment. Don't forget to subscribe for more insights and analysis from The Decisive Podcast! More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: August 2025 Picture This: US Market for Single-Family Homes Is Struggling Banking Risk Monthly Outlook: August 2025 Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam Guests: Ken Wattret Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive podcast, host Kristen Hallam engages with Jeremy Domballe, Product Director of Maritime Intelligence and Risk, to explore the complex world of deceptive shipping practices as highlighted in the latest Maritime State of Play report. The discussion explores the rise of "zombie ships"—vessels that assume the identities of decommissioned ships—and the technological vulnerabilities that facilitate such deceptions. Listeners will learn how geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding sanctions on oil from countries like Russia, Iran and Venezuela, drive these deceptive tactics and complicate compliance efforts for regulatory bodies. Jeremy shares compelling case studies, illustrating the intricate maneuvers of vessels operating in regions such as the Caribbean and Malaysian waters. With a focus on the challenges faced by regulatory authorities in validating maritime data, this episode underscores the importance of vigilance and robust intelligence in combating increasingly sophisticated deceptive practices. Tune in for a thought-provoking conversation that sheds light on the evolving landscape of maritime compliance and risk. Links to the full report and additional resources on fraudulent flags are provided in the episode description for those interested in further exploration. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Maritime State of Play report Fraudulent flags: Growing challenge for maritime safety Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam Guest: Jeremy Domballe Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam covers the upcoming Inland Distribution Conference, also known as Inland25, scheduled to take place in Chicago starting September 29th. Joined by Eric Johnson, Senior Editor at the Journal of Commerce from S&P Global, they explore the significance of this event for shippers, logistics companies, and other stakeholders in the industry. The conversation highlights the conference's theme, "Searching for Value Amid Uncertainty," reflecting the current economic climate and its impact on the logistics sector. Eric shares insights on navigating complexities in cross-border logistics between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, especially in light of recent trade policy changes and the impending renegotiation of the USMCA agreement. Listeners will also gain valuable perspectives on how technology is transforming the logistics landscape, including discussions on appointment scheduling, automation, and the role of data in decision-making. As they look ahead to the challenges and opportunities in the freight market, Eric emphasizes the importance of building resilient teams in an increasingly complex environment. Whether you're a seasoned industry professional or new to logistics, this episode offers essential insights and a preview of what to expect at Inland25. Don't miss the opportunity to learn about the latest trends and strategies that can drive business value in today's uncertain landscape. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Register for the Inland Distribution conference Toll of US tariffs begins to emerge on unsettled trans-Pacific Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Eric Johnson Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, guest host Tommy McCartin, Principal Economist on the Pricing and Purchasing team, dives deep into the implications of the modified country-specific tariffs imposed by the U.S. on ASEAN economies. Joined by expert guests Ashima Tyagi, Economics Associate Director in Singapore, and Yan Hoong, Lead Electronics Economist in Kuala Lumpur, the discussion explores how these tariffs are reshaping trade dynamics within the ASEAN region and the global electronics supply chain. Listeners will gain insights into how ASEAN countries are responding to the U.S. tariffs, the current state of the electronics sector, and the strategies firms can adopt to build resilience in their supply chains. The episode also addresses the complexities of the global semiconductor market, highlighting demand shifts and pricing pressures that are influencing the future of electronics manufacturing. As the region grapples with new trade realities, the podcast offers a comprehensive analysis of the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead for ASEAN economies and their pivotal roles in global trade networks. Tune in for valuable insights that empower confident decision-making in a rapidly changing landscape. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Picture This: Raw materials and some fabricated products prices surge under 50% Section 232 tariff scenario Weekly Pricing Pulse: MPI Increases for Third Consecutive Week Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Hosts: Tommy McCartin Guests: Ashima Tyagi, Yan Hoong Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam introduces a team of S&P Global economists to discuss the latest analysis and predictions for the global economy as we move into the latter half of 2025. Taken from a recent webinar, the discussion delves into key macroeconomic themes, including the ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade policies, divergent inflation dynamics, and the impact of fiscal sustainability on major economies. Listeners will gain valuable insights into the expected moderation of U.S. growth, the struggles of Europe's largest economies, and the resilience of mainland China's economy. The episode highlights the significant role tariffs play in shaping inflation and economic slowdown, as well as the varying monetary policies between the U.S. and Europe. Join us as we explore the intricate connections between geopolitical developments, trade dynamics, and economic performance in various regions, all while addressing the looming risks and opportunities that lie ahead. Whether you're a seasoned economist or just curious about the state of the global economy, this episode provides essential analysis to empower confident decision-making. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global economic outlook: July 2025 US tariffs: Impact on the US construction industry Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam, Ken Wattret Guests: Ben Herzon, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, Diego Iscaro Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, S&P Global Market Intelligence's team of Purchasing Managers' Index economists decodes inflation, highlighting the stark differences between the US and Eurozone.  Join host Paul Smith and fellow economists Andrew Harker and Phil Smith as they explore the underlying factors driving these trends, including tariffs and exchange rate movements. The team analyzes the latest PMI numbers from Germany and discuss how inflation expectations shape price pressures and client behavior, using Ghana as a compelling case study. The economists also look for clues into what firms worldwide are planning for the upcoming year in our Business Outlook data. The discussion features special questions regarding the impact of tariffs, focusing on Germany, the US, and Ireland, where these effects are expected to be significant. As they wrap up, they consider investment and employment strategies amid an uncertain economic landscape. Tune in for a comprehensive look at the forces shaping our global economy and what they mean for businesses moving forward. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Strong currency appreciation opens door to interest rate cuts in Ghana Global economic outlook: June 2025 Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Paul Smith Guests: Andrew Harker, Phil Smith Produced By: Sophie Carr Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam is joined by S&P Global Market Intelligence experts Chris Rogers and John Raines to unpack the latest developments in U.S. tariffs and trade policy as of July 9. With the U.S. administration's approach to leveraging tariffs as a negotiation tool, the experts assess recent agreements with countries like Vietnam, the U.K., and China, and the complexities surrounding ongoing negotiations. The team also examines the implications of transshipment practices, particularly in Southeast Asia, and the legal challenges currently facing tariff implementations. As the administration aims to revitalize U.S. manufacturing while navigating intricate international relationships, this episode provides critical insights into the future of trade relations and the potential economic impacts on both domestic and global markets. Listen now to an engaging discussion of the evolving landscape of tariffs and trade.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Tariff Uncertainty Is Likely to Continue Through Late 2025 Implications of the India-UK Free-Trade Agreement Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Chris Rogers, John Raines Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Kristen Hallam Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun