Discover
The Informed Investor
The Informed Investor
Author: Dimensional Fund Advisors
Subscribed: 4Played: 30Subscribe
Share
© 2025
Description
Dimensional thought leaders break down the financial headlines to help you separate the news from the noise. Dimensional is an asset management firm with deep connections to leading academics and Nobel laureates in economics that has been applying financial science to real-world investing since 1981.
-
None of the content on this site is directed at any particular jurisdiction or investor located outside of the United States. All videos and other content on the site are protected by US and worldwide copyright and trademark laws and treaty provisions. © 2025 Dimensional Fund Advisors LP
-
None of the content on this site is directed at any particular jurisdiction or investor located outside of the United States. All videos and other content on the site are protected by US and worldwide copyright and trademark laws and treaty provisions. © 2025 Dimensional Fund Advisors LP
35 Episodes
Reverse
Episode 35: What are the best reasons to invest in bonds? Maybe you're looking to dampen the volatility of your portfolio or address future spending needs in a concrete way. Maybe you want to reduce the impact of inflation or taxes. Bonds, also known as fixed income, can be used to meet a variety of needs. But different bond categories may be better or worse for accomplishing your goals. A crucial point that some investors might not understand: Putting bonds to work in your portfolio can get complex in part because not all of them behave the same way. If you have short-term spending needs, extremely short-term bonds like Treasury bills may be helpful. (Cash is obviously an alternative.) But longer-term bonds may be more useful as you plan for longer-term saving and spending needs. The credit quality of bonds makes a difference, too. Those issued by the US government and successful businesses are generally considered safer, and typically have lower interest rates. The opposite is true for bonds with lower credit quality. Your goals may steer you one way or the other. Some types of bonds, known as Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), can help manage the risks of inflation. That's important because an average annual inflation rate of just 2.5% over 30 years reduces your purchasing power by half. Yet TIPS aren't risk-free, another characteristic that may confuse some investors. In Episode 35 of The Informed Investor, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, identify five reasons to consider investing in bonds and analyze what types of fixed income should (and shouldn't) be used to meet your goals. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor: Feedback Survey https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/informed-investor-survey Dimensional Perspectives: "Chutes and Bond Ladders" https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/insights/chutes-and-bond-ladders Dimensional Perspectives: "Sizing Up the Bond Market" https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/insights/sizing-up-the-bond-market "The Informed Investor" on YouTube www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-d-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 34: If you believe your portfolio is too concentrated in big-name companies, why not buy the same amount of every stock in a broad-market index? That's the basic philosophy behind equal-weighted strategies. Instead of letting market capitalization determine weights in your portfolio, just keep the proportions of your holdings the same by buying and selling as often as needed. This approach means you'll prevent a handful of large cap companies from dominating your portfolio. But here's the thing. The name—equal-weighted—belies what's under the hood. Consider the constituents of the S&P 500, a widely followed index of large cap and mid cap companies across the growth/value spectrum. Since the index is weighted by market cap, stocks with large market caps impact performance much more than mid caps. In this structure, the Magnificent 7 (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Tesla) regularly move the needle on in the index's return, but mid caps don't because of their much smaller market cap. Recent data show that the top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 account for roughly 38% of its market cap, while the remaining 490 stocks account for 62%. Now imagine that every company regardless of its past performance or expected return accounts for just 2% of the index's market cap. This means a massive overweight for mid caps compared to their typical weights. Is that your goal? After underperforming the S&P 500 in recent years, the so-called S&P 500 Equal Weight Index more than doubled the return of its counterpart in January 2026. (S&P data © 2026 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved.) Now, some investors are no doubt wondering whether this turn of events will continue—and whether they should adjust accordingly. In Episode 34 of The Informed Investor, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, interrogate the trendy rationales behind equal-weighted strategies and discuss alternative ways to tilt portfolios to target higher returns. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor: Feedback Survey https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/informed-investor-survey Above the Fray, Dimensional's Weekly Newsletter Subscribe: https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/subscribe-atf "The Informed Investor" on YouTube www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-d-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 33: What if the biggest threat to your investment returns isn't picking the wrong stocks—but how you trade them? Many investors are drawn in by "free trading" and low expense ratios. But while your ETF or stock might be cheap—your trade might not be. Every time you go to market, you face explicit costs (like commissions and exchange fees) and implicit costs (like bid-ask spreads, market impact, and timing risk). Those costs don't disappear—they come directly out of the return you take home. A major theme is clarity around your top priorities: Price, Quantity, and Time (PQT). In trading, you can prioritize two—but rarely all three. If you demand immediate execution and a specific security, you'll likely sacrifice price. If you want the best price, you may need flexibility on timing or position size. Understanding what matters most in each trade—and in your overall strategy—can dramatically improve outcomes. Then there is the relationship between turnover and performance. Data consistently shows that higher portfolio turnover often leads to lower outperformance. More buying and selling means more friction. Even index funds can't avoid turnover entirely, but minimizing unnecessary trading reduces the hurdle your returns must overcome. In Episode 33 of The Informed Investor, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, and Rob Harvey, Co-Head of Product Specialists, go beyond the mantra of "buy low, sell high" to show how trading costs can shape your long-term returns. They address common concerns about high-frequency trading, flash crashes, and market volatility. While markets have evolved to be more liquid and efficient—they note the importance of flexibility and discipline. Sometimes the best trade is the one you don't make. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor: Feedback Survey https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/informed-investor-survey "The Informed Investor" on YouTube [update with live link] Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-d-4105b98/ Rob Harvey on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/robkharvey/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 32: Can you define BRICS or BATMMAAN? If not, maybe you've got FOMO? OK, we're talking investing acronyms. For the record: BRICS is a term coined in 2001 to represent investment opportunities in Brazil, Russia, India, and China. (South Africa was added in 2011.) BATMMAAN stands for the following tech companies: Broadcom, Apple, Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and NVIDIA. FOMO (fear of missing out) is what you get when you're worried (unnecessarily?) that other people know, have, or do something you don't. In the investment world, people throw around acronyms regularly. From ETFs (exchange-traded funds) and NFTs (non-fungible tokens) to ESG (environmental, social, governance) and SPACs (special purpose acquisition companies), there seems to be a trendy acronym for everything. You might feel smart if you know the lingo or feel the opposite if you don't. Either way, what really matters if whether acronyms can help you invest, and on that score, the evidence isn't all that convincing. Looking at the BRICS from 2001 to 2025, only India outperformed a broad emerging markets index, and Russia literally became uninvestable. (MSCI data © MSCI 2026, all rights reserved.) Tech stock jargon—think FAANG and BATMMAAN—has proven more rewarding due to the tendency for strong market performance to be concentrated in a subset of companies. But that's also a cautionary tale. Big firms with winning stocks don't necessarily keep winning. https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/insights/large-and-in-charge-why-to-think-twice-before-chasing-only-big-stocks. Investors with concentrated portfolios may actually miss out on the very stocks that deliver the best of what the market has to offer. FWIW, YOLO (you only live once) is a fun acronym used as a justification for doing something less than cautious (because of expense, danger, risk of seeming foolish, etc.), but it's not a sound investment philosophy. In Episode 32 of "The Informed Investor," Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, explain investing acronyms that investors may want to know—and several they might consider ignoring. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor: Feedback Survey https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/informed-investor-survey The Informed Investor on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-d-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 31: You need to invest in emerging markets if you want a globally diversified portfolio, right? That may seem like an obvious choice considering emerging markets account for roughly 12% of the world's equity market capitalization. But it's easy to understand why many investors might say no to emerging markets. Uneven returns tell the story. From 2015 through 2024, the broad US stock market gained an annualized +12.6% while international developed markets added +7.7%. Emerging markets? A measly +3.6%. Then came 2025. As concerns mounted about the seemingly high relative prices of US stocks and the decline of the US dollar against other currencies, emerging markets returned +31.4%, almost doubling the return of the US market. Any investor who had shunned emerging markets probably regretted their lack of wanderlust. This evidence suggests that a longer-term lens is critical when evaluating opportunities in emerging markets. A broad view is helpful, too. Emerging markets comprise more than 20 countries, including large economies like Brazil, China, and South Korea as well as tiny ones like Colombia and Indonesia. But predicting which ones will deliver outsize (or undersize) returns is impossible. In 2025, Colombia was the top gainer at +112% while Indonesia, at –2.8%, brought up the rear. In 2024, it was Taiwan (+34.4%) and Egypt (–31.2%). And the leaders and laggards were also different in 2023, 2022, and 2021. Based on the difference between the highest and lowest average returns in emerging markets from 2005 through 2025, it's fair to say they are more volatile than developed markets. Which may scare some investors. But ignoring emerging markets means avoiding opportunities to offset weak performance in one market with stronger returns elsewhere. In Episode 31 of The Informed Investor, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Rob Harvey, Co-Head of Product Specialists, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, survey the emerging markets landscape and lay out what investors should look for through their viewfinders. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Risks include loss of principal and fluctuating value. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. Sources: Frank Russell Company is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks, and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes; MSCI data © MSCI 2025, all rights reserved. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor: Feedback Survey https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/informed-investor-survey The Informed Investor on YouTube https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90&si=0mJiRGEkZqYosieU The Informed Investor, Episode 2, "Should You Invest Outside the US" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gmiL0GM01bg&list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90&index=30&pp=iAQB Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Rob Harvey on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/robkharvey/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-d-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 30: If a traditional investment portfolio with 60% stocks and 40% bonds has a down year, should you abandon this approach? Plenty of investors were probably asking that question in 2022, when the Russell 3000 Index plunged 19.2% and the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index tumbled 13.0%. (Frank Russell Company is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks, and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes; Bloomberg data from Bloomberg.) Relying on a balanced portfolio for reasonable returns and reduced risk didn't work. But 2022 was the quintessential outlier—a data point that lies outside the mainstream in a particular dataset. History shows that 2022 was the only year from 1979 through 2025 that both US stocks and US bonds posted negative returns. All told, US bonds suffered five down years and US stocks eight in that 47-year period. The rest of the time they delivered gains. The blend of stocks and bonds that's right for you—60/40, 80/20, 30/70, etc.—will depend on your goals and your time horizon, and it might change over time. However, we believe critics of the traditional 60/40 mix are arguably misguided if they think it's no longer relevant, particularly as a tool for mitigating risk. To wit: From 1986 through 2025, the amount of volatility reduction investors gained from adding 40% bonds to their portfolio was stable through time even though the correlation between stocks and bonds varied widely. In Episode 30 of The Informed Investor, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, consider the arguments for and against the 60/40 portfolio and explain why popular alternatives may not get investors where they want to go. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Risks include loss of principal and fluctuating value. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor Feedback Survey https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/informed-investor-survey The Informed Investor, Episode 26, "Will You Be OK If Stocks Stumble?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5E6POt0MQgM&list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90&index=4&pp=iAQB The Informed Investor, Episode 9, "How Do You Protect Against Market Drops?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7A3f2LE1DQg&list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90&index=22&pp=iAQB The Informed Investor on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-d-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 29: What really drives the outcome of your investment portfolio—market performance or your own behavior? Investors often view returns as a purely quantitative result of markets, risk, timing, or expertise. Yet psychology tells a different story. Emotions and behavioral biases quietly shape decisions, frequently pushing investors away from their long-term goals. Any number of common biases can show up again and again in real life. For example, hindsight bias makes unpredictable events feel obvious after the fact, while the illusion of control leads investors to overestimate their ability to influence outcomes. Pattern-seeking behavior can cause people to see meaning in random data, and beliefs about reversion to the mean may encourage premature or poorly timed decisions. Others include confirmation bias and attribution bias (crediting skill for success but blaming markets for failure). The discussion goes further, examining deeper categories of bias. Encapsulated biases are emotionally driven and resistant to logic, while attentional biases cause investors to overlook critical information. Then there is the GI Joe fallacy—the false belief that simply knowing about biases is enough to overcome them. In Episode 29 of The Informed Investor, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Scott Bosworth, Head of the Speakers Bureau, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, dive into behavioral finance—the study of how psychology impacts investor behavior—to explore how our emotions influence portfolio outcomes. Through academic research and real-world examples, they compare the narratives of disciplined investors and short-term speculators, offering a framework for bridging human behavior with market efficiency. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor: Feedback Survey https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/informed-investor-survey "The Informed Investor" on YouTube [update with live link] Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-d-4105b98/ Scott Bosworth on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/sbosworth/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 28: Many stock market pundits are forecasting rewarding returns in 2026. Should you act on their predictions? On the other hand, should you get out of the market based on doom-and-gloom warnings about the US economy? It's tempting to think someone out there has a crystal ball. But it may be more worthwhile to consider the point of predictions. Forecasts for the stock market and the economy get people talking. Headline writers in the media are looking to stir up interest. They often exaggerate the apparent likelihood of a greed- or fear-inducing outcome. Accordingly, you can find a prediction for almost any outcome, good or bad. Some headlines claim the US stock market will keep rallying after three straight years of double-digit gains. Others argue a bear market is just around the corner. Bitcoin will hit $250,000 this year, screams a recent headline. But then there's one insisting the most popular cryptocurrency will collapse to $10,000. Still another headline claims the job market will suffer from "uncomfortably slow growth" in the first half before rebounding later in the year. Talk about hedging bets. The point is that predictions for 2026 (and every year) are all over the map. That doesn't mean they'll be wrong, but there simply is no way to know which ones will be right. In Episode 28 of The Informed Investor, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, dig into the headlines predicting how the market and economy will perform this year and try to suss out what, if anything, investors can learn from the prognosticators. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor Feedback Survey https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/informed-investor-survey The Informed Investor, Episode 11, "Do Private Markets Deliver an Edge?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TUGb1LLeB1A&list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90&index=18&pp=iAQB The Informed Investor on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 27: Do small capitalization stocks typically outperform in January? If so, can investors capitalize on that pattern? This trend is known as the January Effect. It's a popular idea because historical data show a sizable small cap premium versus large caps in January. Still, that's not a reason to avoid small cap stocks in other months, assuming you want to own them. Why not? Two reasons: (1) Nobody really knows why this "January Effect" exists—or whether it will continue, and (2) small caps, in general, have higher expected returns. Welcome to the wild world of odd stock market indicators, few of which seem to offer sensible investing signals. Another popular one is the Super Bowl Indicator: The winner of the Super Bowl supposedly determines how the stock market will perform that year. Silly idea, obviously, because this widely followed signal suggests that the market will deliver a positive return only in years when the NFC champion wins. There isn't any academic or logical explanation for this indicator. But since the correlation between the Super Bowl winner/loser and market returns appeared to be perfectly accurate when the indicator was first identified in the late 1970s, people started believing it. They probably should stop believing. In the 21st century, the indicator's success rate is 38%. Technical analysts also look for signals in data like moving averages, often referencing something called a "Golden Cross" or a "Death Cross" in a stock index. The former is when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average; the latter is the opposite. (A moving average is a constantly updated average price or level.) The S&P 500 experienced both a golden cross and a death cross in 2025. Which signal, if any, was right? The same question applies to all of these strange indicators … and others like men's underwear purchases, hemline lengths, and even sunspots. In Episode 27 of The Informed Investor, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, scrutinize the data and try to determine whether investors can benefit from any of these so-called signals. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor: Feedback Survey https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/informed-investor-survey The Informed Investor, Episode 3 "Debts, Deficits, and Investing" https://youtu.be/AK66PrRFBTU?si=W5gJ-thCErETX7kV The Informed Investor on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 26: Can anyone accurately predict when the stock market will hit a rough patch? Not likely. Although the market's long-term annualized return sits just above 10% and good years are more common than bad years, unexpected outcomes are not unusual. Which means holding a portfolio suitable for all market environments probably makes sense for most investors—as does conducting an investing "fire drill" to determine whether your portfolio is prepared for the unexpected. The 2000–2009 period, often termed the "lost decade," offers a helpful reminder. The annualized return for the S&P 500 was –0.9%. But in 2000 did anyone expect they would lose money over the next 10 years, especially after the index gained an annualized +18.2% in the previous 10 years? Again, not likely. Non-US stocks see similarly unexpected outcomes. During that lost decade in the US, the MSCI All-Country World ex USA index, a widely followed international stock index, gained an annualized +2.7%. Then there's Japan, where the stock market peaked in 1989 and proceeded to go nowhere for the next 28+ years. More recent evidence confirms that investors should expect the unexpected. In 2021, 2023, and 2024, the S&P 500 Index gained more than +25% each year. Through late December of 2025, its year-to-date return was north of +18%. But in 2022 the index lost –18.1%. Note that none of those returns is close to the long-term average. The fact is that stocks often deliver surprising results. Bonds do too. Another example: From 2000 to 2020, the annualized return for the S&P 500 was +6.6%, far below its long-term average. Meanwhile, the Bloomberg U.S. Government Bond Index Long gained +7.8%, higher than its long-term average. In Episode 26 of The Informed Investor, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, examine the high volume of surprises that come with investing and explain why investors should set their expectations accordingly. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor: Feedback Survey https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/informed-investor-survey "The Informed Investor" on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/ Sources: S&P data © 2025 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved; MSCI data © MSCI 2025, all rights reserved; Bloomberg data from Bloomberg. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
Episode 25: At the end of every calendar year, stock market pundits publish predictions for the coming 12 months. Should you pay attention to these forecasts? A look back at predictions for 2025 may help you decide. Some market pros argued that international stocks would struggle due to tensions around global trade and tariff policies. But that's not what happened. From January through the end of November, non-US stocks were performing far better than US stocks based on index returns. Similarly, many countries pegged as potential victims in a trade war—like Canada and Mexico—were outgaining the US market through the end of November. What about specific predictions for the US market—did they prove prescient in 2025? Not exactly. Ditto for the four years leading up to 2025. Many predictions weren't close, as realized gains mostly ran far ahead of the forecasts. At least one category did see accurate predictions: gold. Soothsayers in late 2024 went all in on a gold rally—and the coveted metal soared past $4,000 through November after starting the year just above $2,600. But similar predictions for a bitcoin boom didn't work out; the widely followed cryptocurrency was hit with big losses late in the year. In Episode 25 of the "The Informed Investor" podcast, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, conduct an investment autopsy on 2025 predictions and offer some insights on why accurate forecasts were hard to come by. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: "The Informed Investor" on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 24: Why do the majority of ETF and mutual fund managers fail to outperform their benchmarks? The reasons are numerous but not always clear. As a result, many investors might believe they own winning funds that will continue to beat their benchmarks or the market at large. But they might be wrong, on both counts. Other investors might be painfully aware that their funds are underperforming but unsure what to do about it. Every year Dimensional analyzes returns (https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/insights/the-fund-landscape) from a large sample of US-domiciled exchange-traded funds and mutual funds. Our objective is to assess the performance of fund managers relative to benchmarks. Based on data through 2024, the evidence shows that a majority of fund managers in the sample failed to deliver benchmark-beating returns after costs. Published costs include fund expense ratios, and the data show that funds with lower expense ratios tend to perform better than those with higher expense ratios. The same is true for funds with lower vs. higher turnover, a measure of how often holdings are bought and sold. But this data doesn't mean investors should just own the funds with the lowest expense ratios and lowest turnover. This approach might steer you toward index funds, which attempt to track the performance of their underlying indices in a rigid way. But one consequence is that such funds aren't necessarily focused on stocks with higher expected returns. On the other end of the spectrum, some investors might think that paying up for a supersmart fund manager will ensure outsize returns. But the data don't support that approach either; fund managers who outperform over periods of five years tend to underperform in the next five years. In Episode 24 of the "The Informed Investor" podcast, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, analyze the complexities of the fund landscape to help investors assess their fund managers and determine whether their funds are getting the job done right. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Fund Landscape https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/insights/the-fund-landscape "The Informed Investor" on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 23: Are there any connections between betting on sports and investing in stocks? Obviously, investing is not the same as placing a bet on your favorite team. For most people, after all, investing is usually a long-term endeavor. But you might be surprised to learn how the betting lines that drive wagering in sports are not unlike prices set by buyers and sellers in securities markets. Point spreads set by sportsbooks are largely based on all available information about the teams competing in upcoming games and the athletes who are expected to play. Similarly, research shows that stock prices in public markets are largely based on all available information about publicly traded companies as well as economic metrics and geopolitical trends. The outcome of any upcoming game is always in doubt because the game hasn't been played. Likewise, the future price of a stock is never known in advance. However, betting lines and market prices typically offer reasonable estimates of fair value. What does that mean, exactly? It means lines and prices are set at levels that will attract bettors and investors, respectively, regardless of their beliefs about the future. Then, when new information becomes available, those lines and prices frequently change so that bettors and investors will keep coming back. In this sense, markets are always working, whether it's a betting market or a securities market. In Episode 23 of the "The Informed Investor" podcast, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, suit up and "show out" for a revealing discussion on sports betting and markets. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The "Grumpy Economist" on Growth, Tariffs, and the Fed WITH JOHN COCHRANE https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KrOnqG0t-z4 "The Informed Investor" on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 22: Regardless of which way the market is moving, do you feel thankful as an investor? That's easy when the market is rising, but it may be challenging if stock prices are falling. Worrying about your portfolio can be unnerving. At Dimensional, we hope everyone can have a rewarding investment experience. But our view is that great returns aren't the only thing worth celebrating. We're thankful for the power of markets, for example. In 2025, most investors can easily build a globally diversified, low-cost, transparent portfolio and then potentially benefit from what the capital markets deliver. They can also obtain reliable, fairly priced financial advice from investment professionals all around the country. And they can count on numerous investor protections built into the system at all levels. In Episode 22 of the "The Informed Investor" podcast, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, offer nine reasons why all investors can be thankful during the holiday season. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: "The Informed Investor" on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 21: What are the essential money moves for people over 50? By this point, many are beginning to prepare for retirement. Some may have built up significant wealth and gotten used to spending it after hitting their peak earning years. Others may be focused on preserving their wealth but feel unsure about whether they'll have enough for the decades ahead. "Lifestyle creep"—getting accustomed to spending on second homes, boats, vacations, entertainment, and more—may be a source of concern as you get closer to retirement. Planning for the future also means thinking about an estate plan, wills, trusts, and health care. Estimating how much money you'll spend in retirement, after you stop working and earning a paycheck, is an important task. If you've purchased a second home, maintenance costs can be significant. If aging parents are in the picture, now may be the time to address their financial circumstances and health-care needs. Once people hit retirement, how they spend their time becomes a puzzling question for many. Continuing to work but at a slower pace may be an option that ensures a comfortable transition. Carefully preparing for this stage of your career can be beneficial. Tax planning also rises in importance as you go from the accumulation to the decumulation phase with your savings. Thinking about your legacy—gifting to children or focusing on philanthropy—is another topic to consider carefully. In Episode 21 of the "The Informed Investor" podcast, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, welcomes Tim Slattery, PhD, Chief Investment Officer of Heritage Investment Group, and Mike Mers, Founder of Aspen Capital Management, to talk wealth, health, and financial planning for people 50 and up. Next week, tune in for a special episode of "The Informed Investor" podcast as Dimensional's Mark Gochnour and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, discuss the many reasons why investors can be thankful during the holiday season. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: "The Informed Investor" on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Tim Slattery https://heritageinvestment.com/our-professionals/timothy-g-slattery/ Mike Mers https://www.aspencapitalmgmt.com/mike-mers Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ UPCOMING WEBCAST Fast Takes on a Fast Market: Your 2025 Market Q&A The 2025 market has been anything but quiet. From shifting rate expectations and tariff talk to the latest moves in gold and digital assets, investors have had plenty to process and even more to ask about. Join Dimensional's Courtney Scott, Jake DeKinder, and Apollo Lupescu for a fast-paced webcast that cuts through the noise and examines what's currently driving investor questions and market sentiment. Tuesday, December 9, 2025, at 1 pm CT REGISTER NOW: https://event.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1742855&tp_key=0ddcbb9c03&sti=apple Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 20: How should you manage your money from ages 18 to 50? When to start saving—and how much—are questions many adults begin to consider when they start their first job. Employer retirement programs, such as 401(k) plans, typically offer easy ways to save that come with tax advantages. Many employers will match a significant portion of contributions by employees to help them build their nest eggs. Exactly how to invest your savings is another important issue. That means identifying an appropriate asset allocation for your age. People under 30 may also confront questions about establishing an emergency fund, building credit, and managing their spending habits. Later, from ages 30-50, common concerns include purchasing a home, starting a college savings plan for children, and determining needs for life insurance. In Episode 20 of the "The Informed Investor" podcast, Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, does a deep dive with Tim Slattery, PhD, Chief Investment Officer of Heritage Investment Group, and Mike Mers, Founder of Aspen Capital Management, on the must-dos and don'ts that can help anyone ages 18–50 lead a healthy financial life. Next week, Episode 21 of "The Informed Investor" podcast will explore financial must-dos and don'ts for people ages 50 and up. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: "The Informed Investor" on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Dimensional Fund Advisors Shorts on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@dimensionalfundadvisors/shorts Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Tim Slattery https://heritageinvestment.com/our-professionals/timothy-g-slattery/ Mike Mers https://www.aspencapitalmgmt.com/mike-mers Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 19: Is gold worth owning? Many investors are probably asking themselves that question after marveling at gold's recent returns. From January 1, 2024, through September 30, 2025, the metal's spot price soared more than 87%, doubling the performance of the S&P 500. Still, strong returns in the past don't tell us what's going to happen in the months and years ahead. So a decision to invest in gold generally comes with additional questions beyond asking about potential rewards. Is gold an inflation hedge? In other words, does it help track unexpected inflation? Alternatively, does it offer the opportunity for gains that exceed inflation? And what about investing in gold as a safe haven—is it a useful way to help protect your portfolio against geopolitical turmoil? Throughout history, gold has fascinated human beings. Its look and feel continue to wow just about anyone. As an investment, gold is frequently touted as a tool with multiple uses. But regardless of the wow factor, the data on gold, especially its volatility, do not necessarily support the metal's alleged ability to protect against inflation, market volatility, or economic downturns. That doesn't mean gold should be ignored as an investment option. It may be appropriate for some investors. But it's essential to understand the risks. In Episode 19 of the "The Informed Investor" podcast with Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, we go digging for the nuggets about gold that often escape curious investors and discuss what the metal can and can't do for your portfolio. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The "Grumpy Economist" on Growth, Tariffs, and the Fed WITH JOHN COCHRANE Tuesday, November 11, 1 pm CT REGISTER: https://event.webcasts.com/starthere.... The Informed Investor on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/ Dimensional does not trade in physical gold assets and therefore may have a conflict of interest in suggesting that it is wise or unwise to do so. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Episode 18: Are you spooked by stock market headlines? When investors look back at market history, they'll find a grotesquely gory list of horrible headlines. "The Death of Equities" (1982), "Apocalypse Soon" (1993), and "The End Is Near" (2018) are just three examples. Several other hair-raising headlines probably had many investors hunting for monsters under the bed. But here's the thing: More often than not, these headlines turned out to be horrendously off-base. For the record, a long bull market began in 1982. The 1990s delivered huge gains. And during the five years from 2018 to 2023, a period that included the pandemic, the S&P 500 climbed more than 50%. No investor can be faulted for reacting emotionally to scare stories about the market or the economy. But it's important to separate your fears from your approach to money management. In honor of Halloween, Episode 18 of the "The Informed Investor" podcast with Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, digs up some ghastly stock market stories from history's graveyard and offers some perspective on how to cope with nerve-racking news. Source: S&P data © 2025 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. Indices are not available for direct investment. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: "The Grumpy Economist" on Growth, Tariffs, and the Fed WITH JOHN COCHRANE Tuesday, November 11, 1 pm CT REGISTER: https://event.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1736505&tp_key=1cdc223812 The Informed Investor on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 17: Are taxes hurting your investment returns? Investors holding mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in taxable accounts seek to capture high after-tax returns, not just rewarding pre-tax returns. But achieving that goal depends on how the funds are managed. Using efficient portfolio design and tax-smart implementation, some funds are able to limit capital gains and income distributed to shareholders. That approach limits the taxes they have to pay. One tool funds can employ is low turnover (the portion of securities bought and sold). Limiting how often and in what fashion securities are sold can lower capital gain distributions for investors. Capital gain distributions may be either short-term or long-term in nature. Long-term gains are typically taxed at lower rates. Short-term gains are generally taxed at higher rates. Another tool used by tax-efficient funds is what's known as in-kind redemptions. In the case of ETFs, shares of the fund are created and redeemed in the primary market through a process between the ETF provider and authorized participants (APs), which are large institutional investors. When securities are exchanged for ETF shares (creation units), this is known as an in-kind transaction. An AP may place an order directly with the ETF provider to purchase creation units of ETF shares in exchange for securities and/or cash that constitute a creation basket defined by the ETF provider. In the case of a redemption, this process works in reverse. When an ETF uses in-kind redemptions, appreciated securities transferred out are not recognized as capital gains for tax purposes and, therefore, do not impact end-of-year fund distributions for shareholders. While commonly associated with ETFs, in-kind redemptions may also be used by mutual funds. Dividend income distributions are another important component of overall tax costs. They are classified as either qualified, which are taxed at a lower rate, or nonqualified, which are taxed at higher taxes. Funds that distribute higher proportions of qualified dividend income (QDI) can reduce investors' overall tax costs. In Episode 17 of "The Informed Investor," Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Rob Harvey, Co-Head of Product Specialists and a former Dimensional portfolio manager, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, go in depth on how investments are taxed, why some funds hit investors with large taxable distributions, and which tools funds may use for maximizing after-tax returns. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Rob Harvey on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/robkharvey/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/
Episode 16: Can you imagine another "Black Monday" in the stock market? On October 19, 1987, the S&P 500 plunged 20.5%, the biggest single-day drop in history. Panic selling occurred in markets around the world. A new product from US investment firms, known as "portfolio insurance," had become popular and it accelerated the crash's pace as initial losses led to further rounds of selling, according to the US Federal Reserve. https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/stock-market-crash-of-1987 Today, such a massive market decline may seem impossible to many investors. That's probably because the event itself led to significant reform in how the stock market operates. After Black Monday, regulators developed new rules, known as circuit breakers, allowing exchanges to halt trading temporarily in instances of exceptionally large price declines. The goal was to help restore a well-functioning in the midst of a crisis. Among the many lessons learned from Black Monday is the importance of investor resilience. From January through August of 1987, the S&P 500 climbed more than 40%. After Black Monday, it was suddenly under water. But by the end the year, the S&P 500 finished with a 5.2% gain—which hardly seemed possible on October 19. The lesson is that markets usually overcome what at the time seem like unprecedented challenges. Black Monday in 1987, the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997–1998, the dotcom bust of 2000, the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, COVID-19 in 2020—markets weathered them all. Each crisis can feel like the end of the world when it happens, yet the stock market has recovered after each crisis. Remember what happened in 2020: The S&P 500 finished the year with a gain of 18.4% even after plummeting at the start of the pandemic. Research shows it's virtually impossible to predict where the market will go today, tomorrow, or anytime in the future. So nobody really knows when or whether there will be another Black Monday. The takeaway for long-term investors is to stick with your plan if the market drops, knowing stocks can rebound sooner than you might think. In Episode 16 of "The Informed Investor," Dimensional's Mark Gochnour, Head of Global Client Services, Wes Crill, PhD, Senior Client Solutions Director, and Jake DeKinder, Head of Client Communications, crank up their time machine to look back at Black Monday and look ahead to how investors should handle a massive drop if one happens again. LINKS FROM TODAY'S EPISODE: The Informed Investor on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCyJr6FFig-h1mA7rVP7Mbk0irFw2wA90 Mark Gochnour on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-gochnour-9a23598a/ Wes Crill on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/wes-crill-77a49417/ Jake DeKinder on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-dekinder-cfa-4105b98/ Learn more at https://www.dimensional.com/























