ESBC NFLAnd Sports Betting Podcast Network

Weekly #Motivation the great@JimCoventryNFL explains 1st step ! 95% of people cannot change 95% of people who tell you they have "changed" " I am a changed man" are 1) Lying or 2) Delusional ...but this should not stop you from trying! This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Thank you to everyone who tuned into my live video! Join me for my next live video in the app. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Pats +6 buy the points Under 46.5Sea 2nd half lineCharlie Puth 123sec ou4th quarter attempt in 1st quarter Patriots team total under 20.5 (-130) OR under 17.5 (+125)Darnold over 5.5 yards Kenneth Walker over 2.5 receptions (-125)Drake Maye under 39 rush yards (-109)Most Receptions - Super Bowl LX. - Hunter Henry NE +750 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

@therealjames_hJames "The Profit"is 38 out of 40 winning weeks - exceeding information that makes 50% on your money and we also get insight into our surroundings This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

238-155=39360.50%$71,00013-11 going into Super Bowl = 52.5% is breakeven in the playoffs This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

James is 35 out 37 weeks Of Profit This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

It’s about control.It is about knowing what you are doing throwing into the right coveragesAt this stage of the playoffs, games are decided by:who stays structurally sound when things tighten,who avoids self-inflicted chaos,and which quarterback can function when the picture changes after the snap.That is the lens I use every postseason — the same one that has produced 60%+ returns and over $70,000 in profit treating sports betting like portfolio management, not gambling.📊 ESBC Betting Philosophy (How We Attack These Games)I don’t bet narratives.I don’t bet vibes.I don’t bet “who wants it more.”I bet:Quarterback leverageDown-and-distance controlPersonnel mismatchesSituational footballWhere chaos is most likely to come fromExplosiveness is overrated in January.Discipline wins championships.Patriots at BroncosSunday, January 25 — 3:00 PM ETPatriots -5.5 | Total: 42.5Patriots Offense vs. Broncos DefenseThis is not a favorable rushing matchup for New England.The Patriots do not have the kind of overpowering offensive line that consistently stresses Denver’s front, and the Broncos are built with speed and discipline to limit early-down rushing efficiency. Rhamondre Stevenson is playing excellent football, and he should find some interior success, but this is his toughest matchup of the postseason.Perimeter runs offer the best chance for chunk gains, though Denver’s speed makes sustained outside success unlikely. Bottom line: New England should not expect to control this game on the ground.Where the Patriots can find value is through Stevenson in the passing game. Denver has been below average defending receiving backs, and Stevenson has quietly become a reliable outlet in that role.In the passing game, the Broncos’ pass rush holds a clear edge — especially on obvious passing downs. That puts pressure on Drake Maye to win early downs and use play action to attack matchups before pressure arrives.Stefon Diggs can move the chains.Kayshon Boutte has a chance to connect on a deep shot.Hunter Henry remains a steady middle-of-the-field presence.Denver’s plan will be straightforward: sell out against the run, force long passing downs, and trust coverage while unleashing the rush.Broncos Offense vs. Patriots DefenseEverything about Denver’s offense hinges on Jarrett Stidham, and that is a major problem.Stidham lacks recent game reps, has struggled with ball security, and may be operating with a depleted receiving corps. That severely limits Denver’s margin for error.New England should feel comfortable challenging Denver’s wideouts, especially if Pat Bryant (concussion) and Troy Franklin (hamstring) are limited or unavailable. This allows the Patriots to crowd the line of scrimmage, disguise coverages, and force Stidham to make tight-window throws.The Broncos’ rushing attack also faces an uphill climb. New England is strong against interior runs and should largely shut down early-down efficiency. Denver can find modest success with misdirection and using RJ Harvey as a receiver — likely their most functional offensive path.Screen passes and quick throws can help Stidham survive, and Evan Engram profiles as the logical safety valve. Still, the Patriots are well positioned to force Denver into uncomfortable situations all game long.Final WordDenver’s path to an upset is extremely narrow. It requires a dominant defensive performance that creates short fields and easy points.Otherwise, the quarterback gap is overwhelming.Drake Maye has shown he can generate offense even in difficult matchups. Stidham is unlikely to sustain drives against this defense over four quarters.But in the end the lack of depth might the bite the Pats in the assPrediction: Patriots 23, Broncos 10….But there is theory Broncos win 24-23 and the over ….you make the choice !Patriots at Broncos — PropsJarrett Stidham Under 199.5 Passing YardsEvan Engram Over 2.5 ReceptionsCourtland Sutton Under 50.5 Receiving YardsRams at SeahawksSunday, January 25 — 6:30 PM ETSeahawks -2.5 | Total: 47.5Rams Offense vs. Seahawks DefenseThe Rams’ offensive plan should be familiar by now: structure and deception, not chasing raw explosiveness.Seattle has struggled defending heavy tight end personnel, particularly when linebackers are forced into repeated run-pass conflict. Expect Los Angeles to lean early into three-tight-end sets, condensed formations, play action, and rollouts — opening the middle of the field for Puka Nacua on crossers and in-breakers.Matthew Stafford has been at his best in this matchup when the ball comes out on rhythm and misdirection slows Seattle’s rush. The goal is not constant deep shots, but efficient chunk gains that prevent Seattle from dialing up late pressure packages.Where the Rams can hurt themselves is forcing balance for balance’s sake. Seattle has held up better against downhill rushing when Los Angeles compresses formations too heavily. Kyren Williams has been more efficient in spread looks, not power football.Short-yardage situations have also been an issue. That points toward a more pass-leaning approach on third and fourth down, using delayed tight end releases and play action instead of running into traffic.Davante Adams is the wild card. If he’s efficient, he gives Los Angeles a true red-zone finisher and a coverage stressor that shortens drives and reduces the need for perfect execution between the twenties.Seahawks Offense vs. Rams DefenseWhy Simulated Pressure MattersSeattle’s offense revolves around Kenneth Walker and staying out of obvious passing situations.With Zach Charbonnet unavailable, Walker must provide both volume and explosiveness — especially on perimeter runs, screens, and designed touches. The Rams are comfortable conceding underneath completions, but problems arise when those plays turn into explosive gains.Seattle will gladly take modest early-down success if it keeps Sam Darnold on schedule. When forced into predictable passing situations, the Rams have consistently confused Darnold using simulated pressure.This is where bettors need to pay attention.Simulated pressure shows blitz before the snap, then drops defenders into coverage while rushing from unexpected angles. To the quarterback, it looks like pressure is coming — but post-snap, the coverage rotates and quick-throw lanes disappear.The result:The pocket looks cleanThe coverage isn’t what the QB expectedThe ball comes out rushed or lateAgainst Darnold, this has led to indecision and turnovers rather than sacks.Jaxon Smith-Njigba can move the chains underneath. AJ Barner has been an issue up the seams. Seattle does not need a receiver takeover — they need efficiency, ball security, and one or two explosive plays, potentially from Rashid Shaheed, while letting field position and time of possession work in their favor.⚠️ Hidden Risk: Rams Special TeamsThis is the silent swing factor.The Rams’ special teams have been a liability — inconsistent coverage, poor situational awareness, and decision-making that feels more like a substitute teacher running the unit than a cohesive operation.In a tight championship game, a single breakdown in the kicking game can flip field position and hand Seattle easy points.If this game swings unexpectedly, this is the most likely place it happens.Final WordThis game comes down to discipline.The Rams want rhythm and spacing.The Seahawks want manageable downs and field position.When structure breaks down late, the better quarterback usually wins.That edge belongs to Los Angeles — as long as they don’t create their own chaos.Prediction: Rams 31, Seahawks 27Rams at Seahawks — PropsRams Team Total Over 22.5Matthew Stafford Over 254.5 Passing YardsAJ Barner Over 29.5 Receiving Yards This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

The ESBC Podcast focuses on sports betting insights, particularly in the realm of UFC analysis. Give a prospectus ; transparency that benefits the audience This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Our Podcast had business associate of the #MolsonBeer Family John Solleder - Business Speaker, Author, and Podcast Host*Molson Coors Beverage Company: The family maintains significant influence and ownership in this global company, which has a market capitalization of approximately $9.67 billion as of January 2026.*Montreal Canadiens (NHL): The family-led ownership group purchased the team, the Bell Centre, and an entertainment business in 2009 for $575 million. *By 2026, the franchise's valuation has grown significantly, estimated at approximately $1.85 billion. @JesseSchule Molson Coors Beverage Company: The family maintains significant influence and ownership in this global company, which has a market capitalization of approximately $9.67 billion as of January 2026.Montreal Canadiens (NHL): The family-led ownership group purchased the team, the Bell Centre, and an entertainment business in 2009 for $575 million. By 2026, the franchise's valuation has grown significantly, estimated at approximately $1.85 billion.WNBA Expansion: In 2024, Geoff Molson joined the ownership group for the Toronto Tempo, the WNBA’s first Canadian expansion team, further diversifying the family's sports portfolio. Individual Wealth & RankingsGeoff Molson: His individual net worth is estimated at approximately $1.75 billion, primarily attributed to his stake in the Montreal Canadiens and Molson Coors.Quebec Ranking: The Molson family is currently ranked as the 17th richest in Quebec. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

Regular season 66% =$27,000 profit11-9 this bowl seasonToday (Sports Betting Film Breakdown) Miami+8O46 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

207-138=60%220-149=59.6%$70,000 Profit9=6 in the playoffs This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

UFC The Predictive Market Monetization 2026 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

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We finish the year238-155=393 total Results at $1000 per investment 60.50%(52.5% is BreakEven)$71,000ish (IRS rulings Pending)Rams-10o46Packers -1o45Bills +1u52.549ers +6044Chargers +4u47Steelers +4 buy the number o38 "mini shoot out" This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

#MotivationalMonday Discipline Trumps "Motivation" "New Years Resolution" advice from the great @JimCoventryNFL Discipline breeds consistency it gives birth to an 80% chance of winning but 100% certainty you maximize-optimize your super powers @JimCoventryNFL This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

220-149=59.6%$69,000 profit (52.5% is breakeven)Saints +4o43Colts +11o39CIN -7o44Titans +13.5o47Vikings9-9u37Giants +4o50Jets+8o37DEN -13u37Wash +5o39Mia+12U46Rams -13o47Steelers +4o40 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

75-37=66% 9$27,000 ish ITS pending) Regular season 7-3 post season after a late start New Years day 2026Texas Tech and that "Texas Oil money" U51Alabama +8o48Georgia-6u565 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe

207-138=60%$196,650-$126,000$70,000 Profit naiciaping the outcome of football This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit joshabner289002.substack.com/subscribe