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All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
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All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

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Industry veterans, degenerate gamblers & besties Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks & David Friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social & poker.
184 Episodes
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(0:00) Bestie Intros! (1:02) Friedberg's newest family members (7:13) Tech's vibe shift: More candidness, less PR-speak from top CEOs (22:47) OpenAI CTO slips up on training data: did OpenAI train Sora on YouTube videos? (28:58) Vertical AI startups flourishing: Cognition launches Devin, what will this do to startups? (40:38) TikTok debate: Is the new bill to ban or force a sale of TikTok fair or potentially overreaching due to its vagueness? (1:22:10) Florida on the verge of banning lab-grown meat Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/RachaelRad/status/1767612555063955891 https://twitter.com/iamtomnash/status/1768135725403226256 https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1752749485070156025 https://futurism.com/video-openai-cto-sora-training-data https://twitter.com/tsarnick/status/1768021821595726254 https://www.harvey.ai https://www.abridge.com https://www.taxgpt.com https://sierra.ai https://twitter.com/cognition_labs/status/1767548763134964000 https://twitter.com/heyBarsee/status/1767934812315062646 https://sourcegraph.com/cody https://techcrunch.com/2023/06/27/vertical-ai-the-next-logical-iteration-of-vertical-saas https://vator.tv/news/2018-02-05-when-paypal-was-young-the-early-years https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/03/13/tiktok-ban-passes-house-vote https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/tiktok-bill-ban-house-vote-af4d0800 https://rollcall.com/2024/03/14/schumer-signals-slower-pace-on-tiktok-measure-in-the-senate https://twitter.com/rabois/status/1768107160662421772 https://www.linkedin.com/posts/vivekgramaswamy_were-literally-addicted-to-china-they-push-activity-7060229302633521152-k0g3 https://time.com/6900348/tiktok-ban-donald-trump-congress https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-13/who-is-jeff-yass-15-billion-tiktok-fortune-at-stake-as-ban-passes-house-vote https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/7521/text https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_foreign_adversaries https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1753878721163882676 https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1985-09-04-mn-23112-story.html https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/technology/byte-dance-tik-tok-internal-investigation.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/14/tiktok-ban-china-would-block-sale-of-short-video-app.html https://www.fastcompany.com/91056837/ron-desantis-and-the-florida-legislature-turn-their-anti-woke-agenda-on-lab-grown-meat https://standingstonefarms.com/pages/microbial-rennet-what-is-it-and-how-important-is-it https://twitter.com/Teslaconomics/status/1768395010507182252 https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1768267464062943676 https://twitter.com/Andercot/status/1768328460622299424
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:55) Elon sues OpenAI: complex structure, tax issues, damages, past comparables (37:06) OpenAI's focus on AGI, different interpretations of AGI in tech (44:46) Groq update with Sunny Madra! (49:53) Have we hit peak Apple?: Losing regulatory battles, iPhone stagnation, Buffett starts trimming (1:06:25) TikTok ban: New proposed House bill would force ByteDance to divest TikTok, or ban the app outright (1:21:08) Bitcoin hits new all-time high: impact of ETFs and an upcoming halving event (1:25:06) Science Corner: More data on the negative impacts of microplastics in the bloodstream Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.scribd.com/document/710894515/Elon-Musk-v-Samuel-Altman-et-al-via-CNBC-com https://openai.com/our-structure https://openai.com/blog/openai-elon-musk https://twitter.com/vkhosla/status/1765424996548333997 https://twitter.com/pmarca/status/1764039155154399490 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1765415187161464972 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1765387202953937224 https://companiesmarketcap.com https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2023ltr.pdf https://twitter.com/KevinAFischer/status/1764892031233765421 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/03/technology/ai-openai-musk-page-altman.html https://www.epicgames.com/site/en-US/news/apple-terminated-epic-s-developer-account https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-hit-with-over-18-bln-euro-eu-antitrust-fine-spotify-case-2024-03-04 https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html https://www.statista.com/chart/22702/andoid-ios-market-share-selected-countries https://www.reuters.com/technology/lawmakers-seek-force-bytedance-divest-tiktok-or-face-us-ban-2024-03-05 https://punchbowl.news/wp-content/uploads/Protecting-Americans-from-Foreign-Adversary-Controlled-Applications-Act.pdf https://www.reuters.com/technology/bytedance-says-china-unit-holds-local-licences-response-media-report-2021-08-16 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/17/us/politics/tik-tok-spying-justice-dept.html https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-china-bytedance-user-data-d257d98125f69ac80f983e6067a84911 https://finance.yahoo.com/video/ex-google-engineer-charged-stealing-162030265.html https://twitter.com/jawwwn_/status/1732888357980536924 https://youtu.be/kONhhKQi0pU?si=hmt0LbjgLprOHNEp https://time.com/6846934/bitcoin-all-time-high-price-holdings https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/bitcoin-etf-investing-blackrock-715f1bd9 https://www.coinbase.com/learn/crypto-basics/what-is-a-bitcoin-halving https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2309822 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016041202200099X
(0:00) Bestie intros! Jato Caelin (1:36) Groq update!: The key metric developer platforms should care about (5:55) Google's make or break moment: Should Sundar be fired, AI safety team's power, RIF potential, stock pressure, and more (29:17) How bloated HR departments slow down companies (40:15) Google's licensing deals: Is this TAC 2.0? How can Reddit capitalize on its data? (53:50) Klarna's huge AI innovation: AI disruption, open-source benefits, a new class of billion-dollar startups (1:13:06) Reddit S-1 breakdown (1:22:52) The Apple Car is dead: Apple cancels Project Titan Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/PirateWires/status/1762842476744708171 https://twitter.com/lulumeservey/status/1762864255437516932 https://x.com/pmarca/status/1762532979317043515 https://twitter.com/shellenberger/status/1762900581134557636 https://twitter.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1760885099984261564 https://www.reuters.com/technology/reddit-ai-content-licensing-deal-with-google-sources-say-2024-02-22 https://techcrunch.com/2024/02/29/google-brings-stack-overflows-knowledge-base-to-gemini https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1713445/000162828024006294/reddits-1q423.htm https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/82a013b9ba852548/9d4b1790-full.pdf https://www.klarna.com/international/press/klarna-ai-assistant-handles-two-thirds-of-customer-service-chats-in-its-first-month https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TLPFY:OTCMKTS https://tech.facebook.com/artificial-intelligence/2022/10/ai-translation-unwritten-language https://www.engadget.com/metas-new-multimodal-translator-uses-a-single-model-to-speak-100-languages-133040214.html https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1763067849218850939 https://old.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/3cs78i/whats_the_best_long_con_you_ever_pulled/cszjqg2 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-27/apple-cancels-work-on-electric-car-shifts-team-to-generative-ai
(0:00) Bestie intros: Banana boat! (2:34) Nvidia smashes expectations again: understanding its terminal value and bull/bear cases in the context of the history of the internet (27:26) Groq's big week, training vs. inference, LPUs vs. GPUs, how to succeed in deep tech (49:37) Google's AI disaster: Is Google too woke to function as search gets disrupted by AI? (1:17:17) War Corner with Sacks Follow the besties:  https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1760680756689748478 https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2024/NVIDIA-Announces-Financial-Results-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-2024 https://www.statista.com/statistics/1120484/nvidia-quarterly-revenue-by-specialized-market https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA?comparison=NASDAQ%3AQQQ&window=5D https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-street-keeps-likening-nvidia-to-dot-com-era-cisco-is-the-comparison-justified-eed307c1 https://twitter.com/JayScambler/status/1759372542530261154 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1760343973632291212 https://x.ai https://twitter.com/TheTranscript_/status/1760436281438314545 https://artificialanalysis.ai https://www.contraline.com/product https://www.cafexapp.com/commercial https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-ai https://blog.google/products/gemini/bard-gemini-advanced-app https://workspace.google.com/blog/product-announcements/gemini-for-google-workspace https://twitter.com/benthompson/status/1760452419627233610 https://twitter.com/Patworx/status/1760189582870536408 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1760163801893339565 https://ai.google/responsibility/principles https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reinforcement_learning_from_human_feedback https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1760780139476992062 https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1760416051181793361 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1760729719094563019 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1760780139476992062
(0:00) Sacks Tequila Tasting! (1:19) Nvidia's market cap surpasses Google, ARM's stock rips, Masa's big comeback (15:36) Mind-blowing Sora demos: breaking down OpenAI's new text-to-video model (51:24) The risks of companies issuing stock option loans (1:04:57) Biden's cognitive decline, should the Democrats find a replacement? Plus, third party viability (1:31:46) Takeaways from Tucker's Putin interview Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://companiesmarketcap.com/page/1 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://www.reuters.com/technology/nvidia-chases-30-billion-custom-chip-market-with-new-unit-sources-2024-02-09 https://www.ft.com/content/81ac0e78-5b9b-43c2-b135-d11c47480119 https://blog.google/products/gemini/bard-gemini-advanced-app https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/sam-altman-seeks-trillions-of-dollars-to-reshape-business-of-chips-and-ai-89ab3db0 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ARM:NASDAQ https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/softbank-buys-vision-funds-stake-arm-valuation-64-bln-sources-2023-08-18 https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/arms-weirdly-high-valuation-has-legs-2024-02-13 https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/1758192957386342435 https://twitter.com/CultureCrave/status/1758212761748980089 https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-next-generation-model-february-2024 https://twitter.com/nathanbenaich/status/1758036247115608317 https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1758143612561568047 https://twitter.com/OfficialLoganK/status/1758198997590618550 https://huggingface.co/spaces/tsujuifu/ml-mgie https://huggingface.co/stablediffusionapi/juggernaut-xl https://twitter.com/jrichlive/status/1757258553688256895 https://twitter.com/jrichlive/status/1493392725814566914 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1757537426019598418 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1757537968083075137 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/majority-americans-think-both-biden-and-trump-are-too-old-serve-second-terms https://thehill.com/homenews/media/4446630-biden-wont-sit-for-interview-with-cbs-before-super-bowl https://www.foxnews.com/politics/special-counsel-hur-testify-publicly-damning-report-revealed-bidens-memory-age-issues-report https://babylonbee.com/news/man-ruled-too-senile-to-stand-trial-still-fine-to-run-country https://fortune.com/2024/02/09/joe-biden-memory-confuses-egypt-mexico-press-conference https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/24414255-report-from-special-counsel-robert-k-hur-february-2024 https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/02/13/kamala-harris-says-shes-ready-to-serve-as-president/72581992007 https://www.nytimes.com/1997/02/05/opinion/a-fateful-error.html https://twitter.com/wikileaks/status/1497207251785818114 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/09/us/politics/biden-putin-tucker-carlson-peace.html
(0:00) Bestie intros! (2:08) Apple Vision Pro breakdown (20:46) Meta vs Snap: god-king CEO, dependent on ad revenue, drastically different performance (32:53) Positive signals indicating a big SaaS bounceback (41:06) VCs are split into three camps on how to approach AI investing (1:12:16) Rolling real estate crisis continues Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1755273518416302522 https://www.macrumors.com/2024/01/29/apple-vision-pro-headset-sales https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1755386651080106166 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://investor.fb.com/investor-news/press-release-details/2024/Meta-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2023-Results-Initiates-Quarterly-Dividend/default.aspx https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/META/meta-platforms/net-income https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2017/05/26/snap-and-the-rise-of-no-vote-common-shares https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/07/disney-q1-earnings-nelson-peltz-isnt-abandoning-proxy-fight.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/05/snap-to-lay-off-10percent-of-global-workforce-around-500-employees.html https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001326801/c7318154-f6ae-4866-89fa-f0c589f2ee3d.pdf https://s25.q4cdn.com/442043304/files/doc_financials/2023/q4/SNAP-2023-Annual-Report.pdf https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1754641005851328553 https://help.openai.com/en/articles/8554397-creating-a-gpt https://twitter.com/ArtificialAnlys/status/1747264832439734353 https://blog.research.google/2009/06/speed-matters.html https://techcrunch.com/2010/05/18/facebook-launches-0-facebook-com-a-mobile-site-that-incurs-zero-data-fees https://artificialanalysis.ai https://chamath.substack.com/p/deep-dive-artificial-intelligence https://twitter.com/danshipper/status/1751005727215301053 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7waMPlHugYI https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/new-york-community-bancorp-slumps-on-surprise-loss-dividend-cut https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Datawatch/Housing-glut-leaves-China-with-excess-homes-for-150m-people
(0:00) Bestie intros! The guys try the Apple Vision Pro (8:24) Zuckerberg apologizes to parents in hearing, Section 230 under fire from child safety reforms (36:19) Delaware judge voids Elon's comp package, understanding Fortune 500 country club compensation (1:08:26) Reddit reportedly targeting $5B valuation in potential March IPO (1:16:17) Drone attack, risks of greater Middle East conflict, failures of the military industrial complex Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/tim-cook-apple-vision-pro https://twitter.com/MKBHD/status/1752706894874202256 https://twitter.com/Box/status/1753085804115861766 https://twitter.com/briantong/status/1752645464204493147 https://www.meta.com/smart-glasses/shop-all https://www.instagram.com/p/C0w4Agjvq5_/?img_index=1 https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1752749485070156025 https://www.nbcnews.com/video/zuckerberg-apologizes-to-parents-at-senate-child-safety-hearing-203338309674 https://ultimateclassicrock.com/judas-priest-suicide https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN1GX0C0 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/30/tesla-shares-slide-after-judge-voids-elon-musks-56-billion-compensation.html https://courts.delaware.gov/Opinions/Download.aspx?id=359340 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GM:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/business/autos/mary-barra-spent-a-decade-transforming-gm-it-hasnt-been-enough-d82f4c5a https://www.ineteconomics.org/perspectives/blog/what-the-uaw-and-everyone-else-needs-to-know-about-ceo-pay https://buffett.cnbc.com/video/2004/05/01/munger-i-would-rather-throw-a-viper-down-my-shirtfront-than-hire-a-compensation-consultant.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-28/reddit-advised-to-target-at-least-5-billion-valuation-in-ipo https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1639459879546150913 https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iraq-seeks-quick-exit-us-forces-no-deadline-set-pm-says-2024-01-10 https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480 https://weapons.substack.com/p/biden-dod-and-the-army-are-not-protecting https://twitter.com/Global_Mil_Info/status/1752786864900108547 https://inside.com/vc/posts/u-s-vc-funding-for-defense-tech-startups-continues-upward-trajectory-in-q1-2023-376404 https://www.forbes.com/sites/sarahemerson/2024/01/23/eric-schmidts-secret-white-stork-project-aims-to-build-ai-combat-drones https://www.saildrone.com
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:37) Markets rip on strong economic data (17:05) Media's broken business model, death spiral (35:47) Texas defies the Biden Admin on the Southern Border after SCOTUS votes in favor of the federal government (1:04:18) Ethics of publishing non-public financial data (1:13:07) Fintech's reckoning (1:26:27) ARkStorm 2.0 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/25/gdp-q4-2023-the-us-economy-grew-at-a-3point3percent-pace-in-the-fourth-quarter.html https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-012524 https://abcnews.go.com/Business/dow-closes-above-38000-record-high/story?id=106576234 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/11/cpi-inflation-report-december-2023-consumer-prices-rose-0point3percent-in-december-higher-than-expected-pushing-the-annual-rate-to-3point4percent.html https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/05/business/economy/jobs-report-december-2023.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gas-prices-national-average-hit-by-mid-winter-blahs-on-way-to-3gallon-165833984.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/24/tesla-tsla-earnings-q4-2023.html https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20240124a.htm https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-23/china-mulls-stock-market-rescue-package-backed-by-278-billion https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1750529905627128154 https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-debt https://twitter.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1750537238578930101 https://news.gallup.com/poll/266807/percentage-americans-owns-stock.aspx https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://www.forbes.com/sites/bradadgate/2023/12/19/media-companies-have-slashed-over-20000-jobs-in-2023 https://twitter.com/maxwelltani/status/1750507633247678531 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/23/business/media/los-angeles-times-layoffs-newsroom.html https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/01/business/media/conde-nast-business.html https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/23/business/conde-nast-staffers-walkout-layoffs/index.html https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2024-01-18/la-times-guild-calls-for-one-day-walkout-to-protest-looming-staff-cuts https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/19/business/media/sports-illustrated-mass-layoffs.html https://www.npr.org/2024/01/18/1225446347/pitchfork-faces-layoffs-and-restructuring-under-conde-nast https://fortune.com/2023/11/30/yet-another-media-company-is-laying-off-workers-as-the-industrys-retrenchment-hits-vox-media-for-the-second-time-this-year https://variety.com/2023/digital/news/jezebel-shutting-down-go-media-layoffs-1235785877 https://www.npr.org/2023/05/15/1173260377/vice-media-bankruptcy https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1750537848447533207 https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=wsj.com,Businessinsider.com,twitter.com,nyt.com&hl=en https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2021-08-20/recall-candidate-larry-elder-is-a-threat-to-black-californians https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters https://www.wsj.com/us-news/illegal-immigration-record-border-6db29cad https://www.cbsnews.com/news/migrant-crossings-u-s-southern-border-record-monthly-high-december https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/01/court-allows-border-patrol-to-cut-texas-razor-wire-along-rio-grande https://www.texastribune.org/2024/01/22/texas-border-supreme-court-immigration https://gov.texas.gov/uploads/files/press/Border_Statement_1.24.2024.pdf https://nypost.com/2023/08/19/biden-sells-border-wall-parts-to-thwart-gop-push-to-use-them https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/07/nyregion/adams-migrants-destroy-nyc.html https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-opinion-poll-americans-border-crisis https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/california-offer-illegal-immigrants-free-healthcare-deficit-soars-population-shrinks https://einvestingforbeginners.com/average-gross-profit-margin-by-industry https://twitter.com/TexasLindsay_/status/1750427983448256552 https://twitter.com/WhidbeyWXGuy/status/1750006365790282175 https://twitter.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1749669643634233384 https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/1750619800840110131
(0:00) Live from the WEF: "Oh Davos, Kumbaya" (4:25) Why Davos lost its luster, plus major moments: Milei's speech, Jamie Dimon on Trump (21:53) Boeing's regulatory capture leading to negative impact on consumer safety (35:16) Adam Neumann facing familiar challenges at his new startup, Flow (50:24) Evaluating "tech-enabled businesses" vs. traditional businesses that are utilizing technology (1:00:47) Streaming at a crossroads: is the business model broken? (1:20:51) Science Corner: New study on microplastics in water bottles (1:32:42) All-In Poker Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/dschlopesisback/status/1747025441825640681 https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1747724966941139276 https://twitter.com/andrewrsorkin/status/1746723727574794537 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1746951952578298264 https://twitter.com/aphysicist/status/1747868626948907325 https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2024/01/special-address-by-javier-milei-president-of-argentina https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lobbying/clients/summary?id=D000000100 https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lobbying/top-spenders https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXMO0bhPhCw https://www.dodig.mil/reports.html/article/2871623/audit-of-the-business-model-for-transdigm-group-inc-and-its-impact-on-departmen https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TDG:NYSE https://stacksonmain.com/gallery https://www.societylasolas.com/photogallery https://therealdeal.com/national/nashville/2024/01/12/adam-neumann-faces-shortfalls-on-flow-property-in-nashville https://nypost.com/2024/01/11/sports/inside-nbcs-100-million-peacock-nfl-playoff-game-gamble https://www.sportsvideo.org/2024/01/16/peacocks-nfl-playoff-exclusive-sets-live-streaming-records https://www.businessofapps.com/data/disney-plus-statistics https://www.businessofapps.com/data/netflix-statistics https://finance.yahoo.com/news/americans-are-canceling-more-streaming-plans-as-prices-balloon-153035743.html https://www.manscaped.com/products/crop-preserver-manscaping https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2300582121 https://www.xometry.com/resources/materials/polyethylene https://www.bpf.co.uk/plastipedia/how-is-plastic-made.aspx https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/france-bans-plastic-packaging-fruit-vegetables-2021-10-11 https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/documentary/plastic-wars
(0:00) Bestie intros! Friedberg's jumper (1:21) US and its allies strike Houthi targets in Yemen (16:24) Markets: Q1 rate cut looks unlikely, December CPI print slightly hot, soft landing in jeopardy? (29:46) Carta's mistake, why verticalized SaaS tools could be in trouble, Chamath's 8090 incubator (51:02) Why and how Sacks is taking on Slack, where Carta went wrong with founders (1:05:17) DEI debate: cultural significance, real solutions, Motte-and-bailey   Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg   Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast   Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg   Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect   Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/SpeakerJohnson/status/1745642200866738254 https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-arabia-calls-restraint-after-air-strikes-yemen-2024-01-12 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1745723423396118593 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1745604701654298826 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0120885 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1745514413782917262 https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/12/politics/joe-biden-lloyd-austin-yemen-houthis/index.html https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/why-the-white-house-didnt-know-about-defense-secretary-austins-hospitalization https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-11/fed-s-mester-says-march-is-probably-too-early-for-a-rate-cut https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/citi-swings-18-billion-loss-slew-charges-2024-01-12 https://layoffs.fyi https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcsstus1&f=m https://twitter.com/karrisaarinen/status/1743398553500971331 https://henrysward.medium.com/how-we-handle-captable-information-c98d85d79277 https://henrysward.medium.com/should-carta-facilitate-secondary-trading-c319e0c9f080 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1744414462986375440 https://twitter.com/coffeewithone/status/1744488896766042277 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1745542094696145103 https://once.com https://twitter.com/jasonlk/status/1745552662572208473 https://twitter.com/MattWalshBlog/status/1742583950944432607 https://www.oscars.org/awards/representation-and-inclusion-standards https://wdwnt.com/2023/04/disney-ceo-bob-iger-doubles-down-on-inclusivity-and-diversity-during-shareholders-meeting https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/30/disney-ceo-bob-iger-says-movies-have-been-too-focused-on-messaging.html https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4722408/Brian-Truitt-ridiculed-Dunkirk-diversity-review.html https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/23/business/pilots-diversity.html https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1735164131806986441 https://www.thecollegefix.com/umich-now-has-more-than-500-jobs-dedicated-to-dei-payroll-costs-exceed-30-million https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motte-and-bailey_fallacy
(0:00) Bestie intros! Pasty Preppers (4:17) 2024's Biggest Political Winner (13:37) 2024's Biggest Political Loser (19:41) 2024's Biggest Business Winner (32:08) 2024's Biggest Business Loser (37:31) 2024's Biggest Business Deal (41:15) 2024's Most Contrarian Belief (51:18) 2024's Best-Performing Asset (56:46) 2024's Worst-Performing Asset (1:06:14) 2024's Most Anticipated Trend (1:12:28) 2024's Most Anticipated Media (1:22:28) Emotional condition heading into 2024 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://lmc.icds.ee/lennart-meri-lecture-by-fiona-hill https://news.gallup.com/poll/512135/support-third-political-party.aspx https://apnews.com/article/robert-kennedy-president-election-utah-ballot-863513ec2bf75d1efc9b202cb8ddcc4a https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-instead-of-dollars-for-chinese-oil-sales-11647351541 https://geopoliticaleconomy.com/2023/08/10/us-saudi-arabia-sell-oil-dollars-chinese-yuan https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/putin-talk-oil-uae-saudi-meet-crown-prince-mohammed-bin-salman-2023-12-06 https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=853724306532726 https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/07/californias-budget-deficit-balloons-to-68b-00130624 https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/28/in-grips-of-war-ukraine-faces-gloomy-demographic-future https://razumkov.org.ua/en/articles/pension-system-can-ukrainian-pensions-be-saved https://www.jordannews.jo/Section-20/Middle-East/Israel-won-t-be-able-to-eliminate-Hamas-US-spokesperson-33415 https://www.forbes.com/sites/rrapier/2023/08/30/us-natural-gas-production-sets-new-record-high https://www.anduril.com/roadrunner https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480 https://twitter.com/CeciliaZin/status/1740109465918328844 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/06/business/china-car-exports.html https://img.caixin.com//2023-04-14/168147450347265.jpg https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/21/china/china-russia-relations-record-trade-intl-hnk/index.html https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm https://thehill.com/opinion/4383282-turkey-is-a-us-ally-but-should-not-be-a-trusted-one https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/12/06/turkey-nato-membership-alliance-russia-erdogan-sweden-syria https://apnews.com/article/nato-sweden-turkey-erdogan-stoltenberg-639d70add38ec481253729b0e451f4ea https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/12/27/biden-endgame-ukraine-00133211 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/URA:NYSEARCA https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/12/28/the-west-may-now-have-no-option-but-to-attack-iran https://www.imdb.com/title/tt9218128 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt13016388 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt11198330 https://www.amazon.com/Founders-Paypal-Entrepreneurs-Shaped-Silicon/dp/1501197266
(0:00) Welcome to the fourth annual Bestie Awards! (4:14) Biggest Political Winner (10:26) Biggest Political Loser (15:14) Biggest Political Surprise (23:02) Biggest Business Winner (26:50) Biggest Business Loser (30:32) Biggest Business Surprise (35:57) Best Science Breakthrough (40:30) Biggest Flash in the Pan (42:34) Best CEO (44:53) Best Investor (47:07) Best Turnaround (50:04) Worst Company (54:21) Best Meme (56:53) Best New Tech (59:57) Best Trend (1:02:12) Worst Trend (1:07:42) Favorite Media (1:12:40) The Rudy Giuliani Award for Self-Immolation (1:17:02) Final Thoughts Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://time.com/person-of-the-year-2022-volodymyr-zelensky https://time.com/6329188/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-interview https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-29/global-esg-market-shrinks-after-sizable-drop-in-us https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4319127-rfk-jr-leads-2024-candidates-in-favorability-poll https://news.gallup.com/poll/512135/support-third-political-party.aspx https://twitter.com/joosteninvestor/status/1737207130111819896 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/MSFT:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/UBER:NYSE https://www.statista.com/statistics/277501/venture-capital-amount-invested-in-the-united-states-since-1995 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://www.cnn.com/economy/live-news/federal-reserve-meeting-121323/index.html https://www.ft.com/content/59fff67e-b136-4435-89e1-2400b90f4b83 https://twitter.com/NASA/status/173682682876386142 https://www.wsj.com/tech/biotech/fda-approves-worlds-first-crispr-gene-editing-drug-for-sickle-cell-disease-8c65fbb3 https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2023/5/4/23708162/neurotechnology-mind-reading-brain-neuralink-brain-computer-interface https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/george-santos-campaign-funds-how-spent-what-to-know-rcna125531 https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/taylor-swift-eras-tour-highest-grossing-all-time-1-billion-1234921647 https://www.tmz.com/2023/10/13/taylor-swift-eras-tour-money-4-billion-profit https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/23/bill-ackman-covers-bet-against-treasurys-says-too-much-risk-in-the-world-to-bet-against-bonds.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVO:NYSE https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/solana https://www.wsj.com/health/pharma/pfizer-drug-company-cost-cutting-2da7524d https://twitter.com/RebelNewsOnline/status/1615770518606561282 https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN28H0C7 https://www.courthousenews.com/fox-news-signals-its-unlikely-to-settle-smartmatics-2-7-billion-suit https://twitter.com/thedailyfriday_/status/1686406249317830656 https://twitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/1730250975578038522/video/1 https://twitter.com/huavancuong1507/status/1737474510868058489 https://www.scotusblog.com/2023/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-affirmative-action-programs-in-college-admissions https://twitter.com/exjon/status/1348090383079641091 https://twitter.com/benswann_/status/1737547395766858206 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1737238320235831546 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt21152040 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt26230388 https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran https://www.youtube.com/@judgingfreedom https://www.youtube.com/@DanielDavisDeepDive https://www.amazon.com/Idea-Factory-Great-American-Innovation/dp/0143122797 https://www.youtube.com/@Thebobbialthoff https://www.youtube.com/@ziwe https://goop.com/the-goop-podcast https://www.patreon.com/RedScare https://cafe.com/cafe-insider-feed https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/university-of-pennsylvania-president-resigns.html https://twitter.com/MailOnline/status/1732791280839610390 https://www.npr.org/2023/12/21/1220557358/rudy-giuliani-election-workers-lawsuit
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason comes in hot, All-In's new Chairman Dictator, Holiday party recap, and more (7:54) Understanding the trade disruption in the Red Sea: Houthis, global impact on trade, the dicey geopolitical situation, and how this compares to COVID freight prices with Flexport's Ryan Petersen (35:55) Major M&A deals called off, downstream impacts of a hawkish regulatory environment (54:15) The new era of startup building: less capital raised, less overhead costs, more profitable, smaller exits with higher founder/employee ownership percentages (1:17:01) Bombshell class action lawsuits against the NAR and other real estate brokerages, how this could change residential real estate in the US (1:31:58) Colorado bans Trump from primary ballots Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow Ryan: https://twitter.com/typesfast Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.flexport.com https://www.wionews.com/world/wont-stop-fighting-netanyahu-rules-out-ceasefire-until-hamas-elimination-671867 https://www.figma.com/blog/figma-adobe-abandon-proposed-merger https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/illumina-divest-cancer-test-maker-grail-2023-12-17 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADBE:NASDAQ https://www.saasgrid.com https://www.housingwire.com/articles/missouri-jury-finds-nar-brokerages-guilty-of-conspiring-to-inflate-commissions https://www.wsj.com/personal-finance/real-estate-buying-home-charts-6dc40caa https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/real-estate-commissions-could-be-the-next-fee-on-the-chopping-block/ar-AA1irqIV https://www.redfin.com/guides/how-to-sell-your-home-without-an-agent-fsbo https://apnews.com/article/trump-insurrection-14th-amendment-2024-colorado-d16dd8f354eeaf450558378c65fd79a2 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/02/us/politics/merrick-garland-biden-trump.html https://cafe.com/cafe-insider-feed https://www.lawfaremedia.org/podcasts-multimedia/podcast/the-lawfare-podcast
(0:00) Bestie intros: Mullets! (2:56) Recapping Friedberg's holiday party (9:29) Jury rules in favor of Epic Games over Google: How to handle the app store duopoly? (23:21) OpenAI inks deal with Axel Springer (35:02) FCC cancels Starlink subsidy, dissenting FCC Commissioner says federal agencies are targeting Elon Musk on Biden's orders (58:25) Alex Jones reinstated on X (1:22:59) Sacks receives an unlikely apology (1:27:32) Besties take two questions from the audience Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.theverge.com/23994174/epic-google-trial-jury-verdict-monopoly-google-play https://www.theverge.com/23959932/epic-v-google-trial-antitrust-play-store-fortnite-recap https://www.wsj.com/tech/google-loses-antitrust-case-brought-by-epic-games-651f5987 https://support.google.com/googleplay/android-developer/answer/112622 https://twitter.com/openai/status/1734940445824937993 https://www.ap.org/ap-in-the-news/2023/chatgpt-maker-openai-signs-deal-with-ap-to-license-news-stories https://www.axios.com/2023/12/13/openai-chatgpt-axel-springer-news-deal https://fairuse.stanford.edu/overview/fair-use/four-factors https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1730035957850833023 https://www.theverge.com/2023/12/12/23999070/spacex-starlink-fcc-rural-digital-opportunity-fund-fcc-rejected https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/DOC-399068A1.pdf https://twitter.com/HansMahncke/status/1735003655697244308 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/13/us/politics/hunter-biden-impeachment-testimony.html https://twitter.com/BrendanCarrFCC/status/1734780816599703983 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1733529033575465381 https://twitter.com/DrJBhattacharya/status/1602052936921939968 https://medium.com/craft-ventures/section-230-mend-it-dont-end-it-e33799a43a5f https://twitter.com/TheChiefNerd/status/1733496554701365582 https://twitter.com/Mark60480727/status/1735335623207038994 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1735164131806986441 https://twitter.com/MomCooksFS/status/1735341157800915278
(0:00) Bestie intro! (3:12) Ivy League antisemitism hearings (21:55) State of the economy for consumers (34:55) Signs of life in SaaS, VC shutdowns, and more (44:59) Why Friedberg chose to take the role of CEO at Ohalo, and the dearth of great leadership talent in tech (1:01:07) Google announces Gemini: Why this is a notable moment for Google, industry impact, and more (1:11:50) Adobe's $20B Figma acquisition has stalled out due to the UK's CMA Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow Tucker: https://twitter.com/TuckerCarlson Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://rankings.thefire.org/rank https://www.ft.com/content/9c7931aa-4973-475e-9841-d7ebd54b0f47 https://academic.oup.com/poq/article-abstract/82/1/135/4868126 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CCLACBW027SBOG https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/07/economy/americans-401k-plans-bill-payments/index.html https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-consumer-spending-personal-income-october-2023-6a1ecb1d https://www.axios.com/2023/11/28/cyber-monday-spending-record-shopping https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/14/economy/consumer-price-index-october/index.html https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/21/home-sales-fell-to-a-13-year-low-in-october-as-prices-rose.html https://kalshi.com/markets/fed/fed-funds-rate#fed-23dec https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1730607188341624851 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1718016818118553622 https://www.saastr.com/carta-startup-shutdowns-are-up-237 https://www.theinformation.com/articles/vc-firm-openview-abruptly-winds-down-as-industry-pressure-rises https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-12123-net-new-arr https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1732217863975641389 https://ohalogenetics.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4pX1VAxaAI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v5tRc_5-8G4 https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-ai https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1732482646419403077 https://www.figma.com/templates https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/656f3c941104cf000dfa7563/Provisional_findings_report_3.pdf
(0:00) Bestie intros! Tucker Carlson joins the show (0:59) Tucker's departure from Fox News (10:49) The state of American society and the importance of rediscovering national alignment (30:53) Why prosperity begets self-destruction, climate change, immigration (59:48) Thoughts on the current political landscape and presidential candidates (1:09:13) Media control, the importance of free speech platforms, Tucker's future, reacting to Elon's viral moment at the NYT's DealBook Summit (1:33:56) Post-interview debrief (1:41:49) Understanding the chaos at OpenAI Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow Tucker: https://twitter.com/TuckerCarlson Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: Tucker Carlson segment links: https://twitter.com/talkrealopinion/status/1728139279019188257 https://twitter.com/greg_price11/status/1729991837958414573 https://twitter.com/hansmahncke/status/1730019598064390597 OpenAI segment links: https://openai.com/blog/sam-altman-returns-as-ceo-openai-has-a-new-initial-board https://twitter.com/btaylor/status/1730030765482938521 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1726351777581449627 https://www.reuters.com/technology/sam-altmans-ouster-openai-was-precipitated-by-letter-board-about-ai-breakthrough-2023-11-22 https://www.businessinsider.com/openai-ceo-sam-altman-hawaii-estate-napa-san-francisco-2023-11 http://paulgraham.com/fundraising.html https://openai.com/our-structure
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:25) Democratic Presidential Candidate Dean Phillips shares his business background (13:11) Dean's time in Congress: witnessing legal corruption, thoughts on Biden's mental state, advantages of not being a career politician (29:10) Foreign Policy: Russia/Ukraine, Israel/Hamas, China/US de-escalation, how he'd handle TikTok, immigration, border security (56:08) US fiscal situation, healthcare, defense spending, restoring cross-party common ground (1:19:30) Post-interview debrief (1:29:12) Xi and Biden meet in San Francisco, Newsom up next? (1:45:00) Science Corner!: DeepMind's new weather forecasting model Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/TalentiGelato/status/487275228952014848 https://www.pinterest.com/pin/491244271857449720 https://designreplace.com/dean-phillips-us-congress https://braveneweurope.com/michael-von-der-schulenburg-hajo-funke-harald-kujat-peace-for-ukraine https://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/biden-floats-newsom-for-president-apec-in-sf-18496249.php https://www.axios.com/2023/11/07/china-economy-negative-foreign-investments https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1718016818118553622 https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1724093441519341573 https://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/biden-floats-newsom-for-president-apec-in-sf18496249.php https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/graphcast-ai-model-for-faster-and-more-accurate-global-weather-forecasting
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Sacks keeps receipts! (1:14) Jared Kushner joins the show: background, Trump's campaign validation (13:12) State of Israel vs Hamas, escalation risks (23:04) Historical context around Israel's relationship with the Arab world, understanding the modern Middle East (38:55) Failed solutions, Israel's response, paths to stability (1:04:54) GOP debate, establishment blind spots, pragmatic politics, tribal infighting (1:15:36) Improving macro picture, potential impact on 2024 election cycle (1:28:03) Russia-Ukraine (1:32:53) Big week in AI: OpenAI DevDay, xAI launches Grok, Kai-Fu Lee's announcement Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow Jared: https://twitter.com/jaredkushner Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1722342698110304752 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1722288226235498511 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=In1MYEc0-10 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WM2NS https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CORESTICKM159SFRBATL https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MMMFFAQ027S https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADYEY:OTCMKTS https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DASH:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DDOG:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/sundeep/status/1722635065983897910 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1721029443160772875 https://twitter.com/kaifulee/status/1721321096727994590 https://openai.com/blog/introducing-gpts https://openai.com/blog/new-models-and-developer-products-announced-at-devday https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1721234497482670438
(0:00) Bestie intros, All-In CEO talk, and Chamath's research product (10:49) Ukraine has its “Cronkite Moment” (16:56) Market outlook: are we in for a Q4 rally? (22:05) CRE chaos: SF's firesales, understanding the second-order effects from CRE debtholders (41:38) WeWork will reportedly file for bankruptcy as soon as next week, Sacks makes the case for a turnaround (46:42) Biden's Executive Order on AI: end game, regulatory capture, confusion over clarity as a strategy (1:08:07) Silicon Valley's shift right Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1718722437217685810 https://twitter.com/ShaanVP/status/1719461817699733831 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1719887650688282786 https://sacks.substack.com https://responsiblestatecraft.org/zelensky-war-time-magazine https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1719815317000733153 https://time.com/6329188/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-interview https://time.com/person-of-the-year-2022-volodymyr-zelensky https://twitter.com/RothCRE/status/1719833548780195882 https://twitter.com/real_bill_gross/status/1720094066183139359 https://twitter.com/real_bill_gross/status/1719010907806904452 https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/10/27/fact-sheet-biden-harris-administration-takes-action-to-create-more-affordable-housing-by-convertingcommercial-properties-to-residential-use https://www.kqed.org/news/11957640/budget-deep-dive-san-francisco https://www.wsj.com/articles/wework-plans-to-file-for-bankruptcy-as-early-as-next-week-1fdcb6a5 https://s23.q4cdn.com/100276410/files/doc_financials/2023/q2/WeWork-2023-Q2-Press-Release-FINAL.pdf https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2023/10/30/executive-order-on-the-safe-secure-and-trustworthy-development-and-use-of-artificial-intelligence https://hardcoresoftware.learningbyshipping.com/p/211-regulating-ai-by-executive-order https://variety.com/2023/film/news/joe-biden-worried-ai-mission-impossible-dead-reckoning-1235775115 https://ai.meta.com/llama https://chamath.substack.com/p/the-case-for-big-action-to-regulate https://twitter.com/ImMeme0/status/1713413678765126062 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1259638112688304129 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1720112859198419191
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:16) WW3 risk, is WSJ trying to escalate US vs Iran? (22:02) Nuclear risks (33:28) Best case scenarios for de-escalation (40:34) Murky macro picture: Main Street disconnects from Wall Street, startup shutdowns, challenged returns (1:09:14) Cruise robotaxi accident update (1:12:59) Hurricane Otis's rapid progression and the second-order effects on US coastal communities (1:24:47) Jason reflects on his time in the Middle East (1:31:09) New House Speaker and Trump case update Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/09/28/world/europe/russia-ukraine-war-map-front-line.html https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/25/us/politics/us-israel-gaza-ground-invasion.html https://unherd.com/2023/10/republican-hawks-now-want-a-war-with-iran/ https://www.latimes.com/nation/la-oe-heilbrunn-iran-framework-republican-neocon-response-20150403-story.html https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-israel-hamas-strike-planning-bbe07b25 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/09/no-evidence-yet-of-iran-link-to-hamas-attack-says-israeli-military https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/blinken-says-no-direct-evidence-iran-was-involved-hamas-attack-israel-rcna120110 https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/hamas-fighters-trained-in-iran-before-oct-7-attacks-e2a8dbb9 https://www.reuters.com/article/israel-palestinians-usa-senator-idAFS8N3BG0A6 https://www.wsj.com/articles/bidens-red-line-moment-with-iran-9e1bbf5a https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-israel-hamas-strike-planning-bbe07b25 https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iranian-backed-militias-mount-new-wave-of-attacks-as-u-s-supports-israel-d51364d4 https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/ukrainian-counteroffensive-pierces-main-russian-defensive-line-in-southeast-9441e204 https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/07/politics/joe-biden-cluster-munitions-ukraine/index.html https://nypost.com/2023/10/15/biden-insists-us-can-tend-to-both-ukraine-and-israel-at-the-same-time https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/Nuclearweaponswhohaswhat https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1717049864180379761 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/25/world/middleeast/erdogan-turkey-hamas-israel.html https://jordantimes.com/opinion/daoud-kuttab/king-abdullah-calls-peace-immediate-stoppage-war-gaza https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2023-10/gdp3q23_adv.pdf https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1716608344264470868 https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fddce62ff-33dd-4a38-a659-25e192825c29_1250x630.png https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CART:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/KVYO:NYSE https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/bank-americas-unrealized-losses-securities-rose-1316-bln-2023-10-17 https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/24/dmv-immediately-suspends-cruises-robotaxi-permit-in-california https://getcruise.com/news/blog/2023/a-detailed-review-of-the-recent-sf-hit-and-run-incident https://www.politico.com/newsletters/politico-nightly/2023/10/25/mike-johnson-is-a-social-conservatives-social-conservative-00123619 https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/25/democrats-opposition-mike-johnson-house-speaker-00123624 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/25/us/politics/mike-johnson-house-speaker.html https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9017431/Farting-sound-heard-twice-Rudy-Giulianis-voter-fraud-hearing-Michigan.html https://thosenerdygirls.org/can-farts-spread-covid
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Comments (63)

Mermadone

yaaaaay! start the podcast with a bunch of beeps...

Mar 1st
Reply

Hadi Komeylian

is it just me or did they cut off the end re Russia?!

Feb 24th
Reply

Joe Biden is a miserable failure.

Joe Briben' is actually threatening Texas. Someone needs to remind that corrupt old senile criminal that the United States is just that - a republic of sovereign states. Not a kingdom or a fascist dictatorship like so many of these leftist bum demoncraps are trying to make it into.

Jan 26th
Reply

Annakaye Bennett

✅WATCH>>ᗪOᗯᑎᒪOᗩᗪ>>👉https://co.fastmovies.org

Jan 16th
Reply

Paja Storec

💚WATCH>>ᗪOᗯᑎᒪOᗩᗪ>>👉https://co.fastmovies.org

Jan 15th
Reply

Poops

Idk how these guys put up with Jason.

Oct 28th
Reply

Chris Booth

Jason is literally deranged

Sep 11th
Reply

Poops

Can Jay Cal be any more unlikable?

Aug 26th
Reply

Maciej Czech

Absurd that you still let compromise whole podcast with Sacks lies and ignorance on Russua/Ukraine

Aug 12th
Reply

Mermadone

Actual numbers of immigration are 11000 illegals entering per day!!! And those are the ones that are caught. The numbers Sachs points to are completely wrong! The government doesn't know or keep accurate numbers. I'm a retired Border Patrol Agent. I have many coworkers who know the real numbers.

Aug 5th
Reply

Storm

what a discussion! it was cool

Jul 25th
Reply

Mermadone

As a retired Border Patrol Agent, I can guarantee you the problem is much bigger than these guys know. The Cartel does run the Border on Mexico's side. We are currently arresting 11,000 per day. 10 years ago it was 1,200. USCIS and laws need to be reformed. USBP needs to hire 40k more agents for the southern border alone. Currently there are only 16k Border Patrol Agents for both borders. These numbers do not include Customs Officers who only work at Ports.

Jul 10th
Reply

Poops

Wow. Didn't know what the Wagner group was? Slippin'

Jul 2nd
Reply

Tom MacDonald

I have to admit that I think a little less of Bobby Kennedy Jr after this interview. it doesn't seem like he is really thought deeply about some of the more thorny issues that should be addressed in a more clear-stated fashion. what do you think?

Jun 26th
Reply

Mermadone

sorry, if you're not "born in and subject to" (jus soli) to the laws of the United States, you can't be President. No, it's not insane, Chamath. When I ask people where do they come from, many times it's another country, eventhough they are living and have US citizenship. Their loyalties are to another country, not the US, so they should never be President.

Jun 11th
Reply

Ahmed Ibrahim

The USA presidential election needs to simply be more meritocratic.

Jun 7th
Reply

Jason Rotter

refreshing to listen to a Democrat and an American make a lot of sense.

May 8th
Reply

Poops

Replacing the dollar as a WRC is so foreign to Americans. They can't see the forest for the trees. To busy arguing about gender to see their economy is under attack from within. Will the dollar be replaced? Unlikely imo but not impossible.

Apr 8th
Reply

Poops

Jason is insufferable.

Dec 11th
Reply

Juned Shaikh

very informative discussion. learned that US government budget is $5.5T and what constitute debt payment is indeed manageable. hope the numbers are not brittle!

Nov 24th
Reply
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