Highlights/timestamp for Bet with the Best Podcast Episode 53, which is Part 2 of a discussion on works with Bruno De Julio. Bet with the Best is Sponsored by AmWager:2:00 Video Workouts7:40 Riders in workouts10:00 Working in company 15:00 Young horses and gate works19:00 Multiple gate drills22:00 Misleading bullets28:00 Gate works for older horses30:00 Works after layoffs33:00 Workout spacing35:00 Turf workouts38:00 Synthetic tracks44:00 Good movers47:00 Spotting issues51:00 Watching races
Highlights/timestamp for Bet with the Best Podcast Episode 52, which is Part 1 of a discussion on works with Bruno De Julio. Bet with the Best is Sponsored by AmWager:1:30 Horseplayer origin story22:30 Life of a clocker29:00 Works in context35:00 How to watch a work38:00 Fast works48:00 Staying objective54:00 Workout ratings59:00 First time starters1:08 Horse > trainer stats1:11 Read the comments
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 51, which is Part 2 of a discussion on CAWs with Marshall Gramm. Bet with the Best is Sponsored by AmWager:1: Measuring the Impact of CAWs12: Del Mar Change to Win Pool19: Recommended Changes by Industry34: Kentucky Downs Rant 38: The Case for Lowering Takeout44: Source Market Fees1:00 Raising Minimum Wagers1:10 Peak Racing – 19681:12 How Today’s Players Can Compete1:14 Simplify, Simplify, Simplify1:20 Improving Betting Skills and Tools1:23 Embracing Chaos1:28 Recency Bias1:30 Beyond Picking Winners1:35 Target Lower Takeout Pools1:40 Price Discovery Challenges1:44 Responding to Tote Signals2:00 Need to Adapt and Evolve2:02 Gaming Revenue a Double-Edged Sword2:06 Hong Kong Model
Highlights/timestamp for Bet with the Best Podcast Episode 50, which is Part 1 of a discussion on CAWs with Marshall Gramm. Bet with the Best is Sponsored by AmWager:2 Del Mar Win Pool6 CAW Basics12 Computer Modeling Basics26 Betting – The CAW Way35 Rebates and Takeout50 Price (in)stability57 Betting Exchanges59 Game is No Longer Local1:02 Price Discovery1:06 Wagering Trends1:15 More efficient pools
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 49, which was originally released as E32 in 2024, in which we talked in depth with David Aragona. Bet with the Best is Sponsored by AmWager:2 - Horses for Courses4 - Factors baked into price6 - Trip handicapping7 - Workouts21 - Making a morning line23 - Finding an edge28 - Vertical bets31 - Horizontal bets39 - Trifectas41 - Weak favorites46 - CAWs and NYRA win pool59 - Best advice for players
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 48, which was originally released as E31 in 2024, in which we talked in depth with David Aragona. Bet with the Best is Sponsored by AmWager:3 - horseplayer origin story12 - Why Saratoga is a special place19 - Saratoga Turf Sprints24 - The one-mile Wilson Chute30 - Kickback35 - Saratoga Turf Course37 - Off tracks40 - Off-the-turf races42 - 2yo races50 - Trusting your gut53 - Pointing to Saratoga57- Saratoga class droppers
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 47, part-2 of a discussion with long-time horseplayer and player advocate Dean Towers, Sponsored by AmWager:2- Losing your edge5- Comeback time7- How CAWs pulled him back into the game9- Deciphering the CAWs17- Turning a spread race into a single24- Even Alan Woods listens to the tote26- The rule of 335- P4 ticket structure example42- Playing with a smaller bankroll44- When 3 > 552- When dessert is healthier than the main course55- Addition by subtraction1:00- Sizing bets based on bankroll 1:01- Withdrawing big scores from your bankroll1:05- How to tell when you are the sucker at the table1:14- A lesson from Picasso1:20- Changing and evolving with the game
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 46, part-1 of a discussion with long-time horseplayer and player advocate Dean Towers, Sponsored by AmWager:2- Horseplayer Origin Story9- First Trip to the Track11- Hooked by BC telecast15- A “Greenwood” education17- Finding “weird” horses23- How Mason Malmuth ended his poker career24- How Mark Cramer taught me to make an odds line26- How Maury Wolff taught me about takeout and rebates29- Getting started with thoroughbreds at Mountaineer 32- Greening up on Betfair39- How ITP taught me that I wasn’t crazy40- “Angling” with success46- Harnessing angles49- Betting patterns54- Inverse “value” betting1:02 – Silver Charm and Devil’s Bag
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 45, part-2 of a Deep Dive into how to bet the Kentucky Derby with Mike Maloney Sponsored by AmWager:3 – Win bets9- Place and Show bets16- Exacta Bets34- Doubles, Exactas, and tris39 - $1 min Derby Super Bets1:00 – Horizontal Bets1:16 – Pressing a “live” P5 1:23 – Having a plan
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 44 Part-1 a Deep Dive into how to handicap the Kentucky Derby with Mike Maloney Sponsored by AmWager:3 – General approach to Derby8- Finding a key horse or horses20 – Impact of the Derby Points System23- Finding the “push button” horse26 – Getting the Derby Distance38- Finding signal in all the Derby noise47- Running styles, post-position, and trips1:01 – Great Derby rides by Jerry Bailey1:08 – The dreaded rail post position1:16 – The Trainer factor1:32 – Workouts
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 43, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part 2 of a two-part discussion with the professional player that goes by the Twitter/X handle of InsideThePylons (ITP).1 - Bad favorites are your best friend5 - Multiplying value of a bad favorite10 - A basket of wagers19 - Super High-522 - Betting smaller pools25 - Keying a value play27 - Exactas31- Saver exacta – yes or no?39 - Betting to place – just say no44 - Verticals vs horizontals47 - Takeout vs “mistakeout”57 - Race selection1:07 - Depth of field1:14 - The biggest mistake
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 42, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part 1 of a two-part discussion with the professional player that goes by the Twitter/X handle of InsideThePylons (ITP).2 – Anatomy of a bad ticket10 – Building Equity19 – Understanding Usage21- Separating from the crowd29- Leveraging a bad favorite 33- The right way to spread35- Quality Control49 – Exploiting biases in sequences59 – Understanding the crowd1:08 – Playing carryovers1:10 – Playing smaller pools1:17 – Don’t be afraid to pass
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 41, sponsored by AmWager, which is a special release about the National Horseplayers' Championship (NHC) with Paul Shurman.3- Horseplayer Origin Story13- Handicapping approach15 – Playing in contests19 – Playing in the NHC26 - Choosing which horses to play in NHC31 - Playing shorter-priced horses in the NHC38 - The right time to panic at the NHC40 – Beginning at the end42 – Playing the final few contest races46 – Playing mandatory races at the NHC56 – Playing 2 entries at the NHC1:10 – Playing to win1:21 – Pick and Pray contest format1:26 – Picking the right contest to enter1:29 – Live betting contests1:55 – More advice on contests1:59 – It pays to be organized
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 40, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part 2 of a 2-part discussion with professional computer horseplayer Dennis Montoro3 – Pool Selection8 – Market liquidity10 – Living off CAW crumbs14 – Market efficiency15 – Betting to win17 – Directional approach / Bayesian thinking20 – Fair odds30 – Is your edge too good to be true?47 – Betting exacta-ly53 – Fading favorites1:02 - Projecting off odds1:18 – Lessons from the CAW-free NYRA win pool1:25 – How sports betting differs from parimutuel betting1:33 – Contest betting1:42 – Record keeping and pitfalls of back testing1:48 – Why share insights with fellow players?1:53 – Advice to new players
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 39, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part 1 of a two-part discussion with professional player Dennis Montoro.3 - What is a computer model?10- Price discovery/estimation11- Data with an edge19 - Seesaw markets24- Betting horses is like buying a microwave oven30 - Man vs machine35- Pools full of data39 - Race selection – less is more53 - Benefits of taking a vacation57- Horizontal challenges
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 38, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part 2 of a 2-part Deep Dive in which we talk in depth about speed and pace figures with Craig Milkowski.2:30 – Making pace figures10:00 – Run ups13:00 – Combining speed and pace figures15:00 – Sierra Leone or Fierceness?20:00 – Ground loss25:00 – GPS measurement33:00 – Weight43:00 – Difficult races for making figures45:00 – Accuracy of speed figures48:00 – Fastest figure he has ever given49:00 – Flightline50:00 – Service and Navarro55:00- Using figures58:00 – Track biases1:05 – Betting1:09 – Doubles1:14 – Figure making is getting tougher1:19 – Hong Kong figures1:23 – Improving the game
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 37, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part 1 of a 2-part Deep Dive in which we talk in depth about speed and pace figures with Craig Milkowski.3 - Horseplayer origin story16 - Making speed figures26 - Using projection to make figures31 - Splitting the variant for a day35 - Projecting figs for 3yos39 - Shrinking figures41- Comparing historical figures44 - Making turf figures1:00 – Making synth figures
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 36, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part-2 of a 2-part Deep Dive with BCBC Champ and author of the book "A Bettor Way of Thinking," Matt Miller, about the Breeders' Cup and the BCBC.3- BCBC Strategy6- Minimum Bet Strategy15- “Value” in a contest22- 3 reliable winners33- Risk pyramid34- Playing Doubles 37- Playing Exactas45- The last race59- How Matt won the BCBC1:09 – Playing smaller contests
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 35 of the Bet With the Best Podcast (Sponsored by AmWager). Part 1 of a conversation with BCBC Champ and author of the book "A Bettor Way of Thinking," Matt Miller, discussing the Breeders' Cup and the BCBC.4- “Bettor” Way of Thinking10- Blackjack or Wheel of Fortune12- Knowing your opponent19- Addressing your weaknesses22- Picking your spots27- Set a target and play with monopoly money45- 2>11:00 - Looking for Sunday Silence vs Easy Goer
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 34, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part-2 of a Deep Dive with computer model player Keith Bush about handicapping and betting on races from Hong Kong:3 – Fed up with US Racing7- Pivot to Hong Kong11- HK Basics15 - HK class system30- Betting on HK40- Watching HK Racing41 – HK Computer Model58 – Finding edges1:08 – Trainer intent in HK1:15 – racing.hkjc.com1:18 – Jockey behavior1:20 – What US can learn from HK1:25 – Open Source Equus Model