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Business Matters with Don Ma

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Former President Donald Trump says that, if he becomes President, he should have a say in the fed's interest rate decisions - a policy that impacts the world economy. Stellantis is laying off almost 2,500 factory workers from an assembly plant outside of Detroit. The automaker is ending production of the Ram 1500 Classic truck. The layoffs will be effective as early as Oct. 8, the company said.
JP Morgan now raising the odds of a recession by the end of this year to 35-percent. That’s up from 25-percent. The news comes after a weaker than expected July jobs report and the sharp sell-off in global equities over the unwinding of the yen-funded carry trades.American budgets are being stretched. A new report shows the average credit card balance is more than $6,300 and more are falling behind on payments.
$17-point-eight trillion dollars. That's the latest number for U-S household debt on, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. And the largest on record. Auto loan and mortgage debt rose and credit card debt reached an all-time high. Important news for investors coming out of Japan today. The country's central bank signalling it will hold off raising interest rates while markets are quote 'volatile'. Normally Japanese interest rates are not something we're all that worried about. But after the Bank of Japan raised rates for only the second time in 17 years last week it sent global markets into a tizzy.
We've been covering how the unwinding of a popular trade has rippled through global markets. JP Morgan and UBS saying today that the unwind is only 50% done. For years, investors around the world have been taking advantage of Japan's 0% interest rate policy. The low rates in essence allowed investors to borrow money for next to nothing, and use it to buy stocks, bonds, or anything else in the global financial market. This has been a safe and profitable trade over the years. But that all changed last week after the Japanese central raised interest rates above 0% for the first time in 17 years. Google may be the one who lost an antitrust lawsuit but Apple is likely going to take a hit too.A federal judge ruled that Google paying companies to make its search engine the default browser violates U-S antitrust law. For two decades, Google has paid Apple a chunk of its search revenue made on Apple devices. Court documents estimated that number to be around 20-billion-dollars in 2022. Google may have to scrap that deal with Apple.
All three major US indexes in the deep red today. And it wasn't just the United States. Japan's Nikkei closing over 12% lower today. It's worst day since 1987. That's when Black Monday hit Wall Street. We look at what the unwinding of the yen carry trade may have to do with it.A federal judge has ruled that Google’s payments to make its search engine the default browser violates U-S antitrust law. The $26 billion dollars in payments effectively blocked any other competitors from succeeding in the market, according to the judge.
The US economy added just 114,000 jobs compared to 175,000 expected. The unemployment rate rising to its highest level since October 2021. This is all according to new government data released today. Hourly wages rose just 3.6% from July 2023, the smallest year-over-year gain since May 2021.The big loser on Wall Street today is Intel. The company's stock falling a massive 27%. It's now down 50% in the past 12 months. Earnings missing estimates on the top and bottom line. Announcing its laying off 15% of its staff. That's over 17,000 people by some estimates.
The stock market flashing red today as warning signs flash in other areas of the economy too. Weekly jobless claims now at an 11-month high. Today's labor market report also showing also the total number of people on jobless rolls is at the highest since 2021. Manufacturing data suggesting a slow down in the broader US economy. ISM data showing the manufacturing sector contracted in July for the fourth consecutive month. It's now at its lowest level in eight months.
Chairman Jerome Powell today acknowledging weakness in the jobs market and the economy. He says the broad sense among the Fed committee is that things may be deteriorating to a point where the economy will soon need stimulus. That could come as soon as September in the form of a rate cut.500 million dollars. That’s how much Delta says the CrowdStrike-Microsoft outage will cost the airline. Delta shares down today. The massive I-T outage earlier this month forced Delta to cancel more than five-thousand flights, leaving hordes of flyers stranded.
Microsoft Shares down over 6% in after-hours trading. Revenue from Microsoft's flagship cloud product Azure disappointing. We talk to RP Capital Solutions CIO, Vijay Marolia. Facebook parent company Meta's shares down over half a percent today. It will pay a $1.4 billion settlement to Texas over claims the company used biometric data of users without permission. The Texas lawsuit alleged that Meta was in violation of a state law.
2023 saw the worst underwriting loss in a century for home insurers. That’s according to rating agency A-M Best. It found insurance providers were hit with a 15-billion dollar net underwriting loss. That’s when an insurance company has to pay out more in claims than expected.The Justice Department is asking a federal appeals court to uphold law that would ban TikTok. It gives Chinese owner ByteDance until January to sell TikTok’s U-S assets or else be banned. The British government is warning Brits to get ready for some economic pain. The UK announcing a raft of cuts to dig itself out of a $28-billion-dollar spending hole. In a statement to the House of Commons, its Finance Minister pledged to make the “necessary”, “urgent” and “incredibly tough” choices to restore the country’s economic stability.
The maker of Artificial Intelligence Chat-Bot ChatGPT announcing its most direct challenge yet to google's search engine. OpenAI is testing SearchGPT. it will combine its AI technology with information from the web to allow people to search for things in the same way they talk to ChatGPT.57% of Google's revenue in 2023 came from search.The stock market rallies, despite latest government inflation data showing prices are still rising albeit a little more slowly. Today's PCE report showing prices are up 2.5% year over year. Investors, home-buyers, and regular Americans trying to make ends meet all waiting to see the Federal Reserve's next move on interest rates.
Interest Payments Now 76% of Total Personal Taxes; Southwest Dropping Open Seating PolicyThe US National debt is about to hit 35 trillion dollars. US national debt is about to hit 35 trillion dollars. The gross interest on that debt is now massive. As a comparison, it’s 76% of all personal income taxes collected every year. These are the latest numbers from the fed.Southwest Airlines shares rising over 5% today after it promised some major changes to the company. Its profits nose-dived 46 percent In the 2nd quarter. CEO, Bob Jordan, explains what happened.
Tesla stock plummeting a day after posting 2nd quarter earnings. Car sales, its main business, down 9 percent year-over-year, at 18.5 billion dollars. Higher costs did not help: net income down 45 percent, at 1.5 billion. CEO Elon Musk immediately addressing this in the earnings call.Crowdstrike says a “bug” caused the global tech outage last week. Delta says delays and cancellations will be resolved on Thursday. FTA determined to investigate.
With wage gains failing to keep up with inflation Americans are struggling. A new poll finding 39% of Americans can’t pay bills. The FTA will investigate Detla over flight delays caused by a global tech outage. Delta says it will cooperate with the investigation. A small Maine leather maker has been chosen by Ralph Lauren to make the belts worn by team USA at the Olympics. NTD spoke with the owner.
Vice President Kamala Harris emerges as the favorite to win the democratic nomination for President. Nancy Pelosi and other top democrats are endorsing her. What would her economic policies look like if she became president?Criminals are stealing delivery drivers’ e-bikes in New York City. Now, the drivers are banding together to fight back. Tesla is delaying the rollout of its humanoid robots for at least several months. The company says the robots will help the company counter a labor shortage.
A worldwide tech outage ripples through critical infrastructure. One cybersecurity expert tells us over a billion computers have been hit. Price cuts are becoming much more common in the Florida housing market. Is it a sign of things to come for the rest of the country?Commercial real estate is become a headache for regional banks. They’re putting more money aside to cover potential loan losses.
We unpacking the economic policies of former president Trump's running mate: Ohio Senator J-D Vance. Vance is a successful businessman and venture capitalist. But he's also pro-American worker and pro-union.Trump implemented a somewhat unconventional republican economic plan when he was in office -- raising tariffs on foreign goods and creating incentives for American businesses to bring operations home. Critics called it protectionist and anti-globalist. Trump called it Amercia First. J-D Vance has said of a second Trump term: “You're going to see a much more aggressive approach to protecting domestic manufacturers.” Gold continues to shine. An anticipated rate cut by the Federal Reserve is perhaps keeping prices near record levels. U-S gold futures climbed today and the spot gold price edged higher to about 24-hundred-dollars. This comes after hitting an all-time high just yesterday. Analysts are anticipating long-term gains for the precious metal. Geopolitical instability and central bank demand are adding to the positive outlook.
SpaceX will be taking off from California and not returning. Founder Elon Musk will be moving his headquarters for the aerospace company and his social media company X to Texas. Musk said his announcement was spurred by a new California law, which he called the “last straw.” Even the possibility of tension in Taiwan can impact the market. In a recent interview, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump said Taiwan should pay the U.S. for defense. The comment sent shares for the world's largest contract chipmaker in Taiwan down. Day one of Amazon Prime Day pulled in $7.2 billion dollars in U.S. sales, according to Adobe Analytics. And shoppers are projected to spend roughly 14 billion dollars total over the two-day deal event -- a record-high.
One of the largest trade unions in America says it’s not beholden to any political party.The teamsters have supported democrats for decades. But, its president gave a speech at the Republican National Convention last night, the first time in over a hundred years.High interest rates continue to plague the American consumer and financial institutions. Bank of America has reported a drop in its second quarter profits.President biden is working to tackle the housing affordability issue. He will call on congress to pass his plan to set a federal cap on rent increases.
Almost all of AT&T's customers, have had their text and call records stolen! Although, the content of the texts and calls have not been.European regulators have charged Elon Musk’s X with breaching its Digital Services Act. they are accusing the platform of misleading its users among other violations. Musk denies the claims saying he looks forward to a public trial where the European people can learn the truth.Falling energy prices were a big bright spot in this weeks CPI and PPI inflation reports, but with the recent hurricane in Texas could prices be heading back up, at least in the near term. Business Matters speaks to the head of petroleum analysis at gas buddy.
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