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Cannon Stats - The Analytics Podcast

Cannon Stats - The Analytics Podcast
Author: Scott Willis and Adam Rae Voge
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Stats and analysis for all things Arsenal from Adam Rae Voge and Scott Willis.
Going deep into match analysis, player scouting, transfer business, rumors, squad-building, and general transfer coverage.
59 Episodes
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In this episode of the Cannon Stats Podcast, Scott and Adam chat about the news of a new but familiar manager at Arsenal’s next opponent, the rotation that will be needed as the schedule flips into the twice a week cadence, and then looks ahead to the Champions League.
The first segment of the podcast looks ahead to Arsenal’s match against Nottingham Forest. The preparation has been thrown into disarray as they have sacked Nuno Espírito Santo this week and replaced him with Ange Postecoglou. We look at how much we expect them to change in the short period between the change and how Arsenal might react to this.
In the second segment, we look ahead to the return of the Champions League, looking at the high-level goals and then into more details about Arsenal’s first opponent, Athletic Club. Last there is a discussion about how Arsenal and Arteta will approach this part of the schedule now that the team has stocked up on depth.
Things end with a few quick-fire questions.
If you enjoy the podcast, be sure to leave a like and review, be sure to add us on Spotify or to your favorite podcasting app.
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In this special bonus episode of the Cannon Stats Podcast, Scott has the pleasure of being joined by Clive Palmer, a familiar voice from the Arsenal Vision Podcast, to dissect Arsenal’s 2023/24 Premier League season and the issue that the team had dropping points with 14 total draws.
The episode hits on an overview of the draws, the key themes and patterns that emerged, whether this is a systemic issue or a one-off, and what Arsenal have done this summer that can make sure it doesn’t repeat.
This podcast is a continuation of a nice back-and-forth that Clive and I have had, where he really helped push me and gave me feedback to look into this issue. That turned into this post, which was published in August:
https://www.cannonstats.com/p/learning-from-all-of-arsenals-draws
The timing for this second look was perfect because we can now see some of what has come from the lessons learned by the club and what potential solutions the strengthened squad presents.
The discussion begins by analyzing the opponents in Arsenal’s 14 draws, which included five against ‘Big Six’ teams and five against low-block sides. Looking at if the tactical setup is a factor in these specific matchups and if there are changes required. The timing of the draws is the next area of focus; six draws in the first half of the season (two with red cards) and eight in the second half of the season leads to the question on if squad depth or injuries played a significant role in the total number.
A major focus is Arsenal’s struggle to hold leads, with nine of the 14 draws coming after taking the lead. The team dropped 21 points from winning positions, the seventh-most in the Premier League in the 24/25 season and tied for their worst under Mikel Arteta and in Arsenal’s record in the Premier League. Arsenal converted only 67% of leads into wins last season, compared to 79% across Arteta’s tenure, prompting questions about whether this was a one-off or a symptom of deeper issues.
The episode also examines Arsenal’s late-game struggles, particularly in the final 15 minutes of matches where they drew. In the first 75 minutes, Arsenal boasted the third-best attack, with the best defense; their attack dropped to 10th in the closing stages, despite maintaining the league’s best defense. This raises questions about whether injuries and limited squad depth were the primary culprits or if tactical and mental factors contributed.
In the final segment, the conversation shifts to whether Arsenal’s summer signings have addressed these issues. Clive shares his thoughts on what he has seen so far this season, as Arsenal have tried tactical tweaks, and whether early signs in the 2025/26 season’s first three matches show progress.
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On this episode of the Cannon Stats podcast, Scott and Adam get together to chat about the end of the Transfer window, talking about the winners and the losers, recapping the big six business, oh and we talk about the actual match that happened as well.
The first part of the podcast focuses on the trip to Anfield. How we reacted to the lineup, are we second-guessing anything that the team did. Then we talk about how our view of the two main title challengers has changed after this data point.
If you missed it, here is the stuff we wrote after the match.
https://www.cannonstats.com/p/first-thoughts-liverpool-a
https://www.cannonstats.com/p/liverpool-vs-arsenal-the-debrief
I came into this match wanting to measure Arsenal up against Liverpool and how the teams looked as they are set for what hopefully will be a season-long battle for the Premier League title.
Arsenal’s performance at Anfield seemed to further divide the multiple camps among club supporters, if that was possible. The club left with a 1-0 loss and sit third in the Premier League headed into the first international break of the season (hooray!)
Next, we look at the overall business done by Arsenal in the transfer window. Rating the incomings and talking about the strategy and if the team filled all the holes. Then it is time for the outgoings before doing a big picture view.
Adam’s post on the transfer window is a must-read and gives more detail on teams that we don’t hit in the podcast as well.
https://www.cannonstats.com/p/who-won-the-premier-leagues-historic
Last, we break down the big winners and losers from the non-big six clubs, going through which clubs impressed and which clubs left us wanting more.
The final item is going through and ranking the big six clubs for the overall business done.
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On this episode of the Cannon Stats podcast, Scott and Adam get together to chat about the newest link Piero Hincapié, the big match against Liverpool, and some quick hits.
With Hincapié, it is happening again as Arsenal let Spurs think that they have a player before they ara patted on the head and reminded of their spot in the food chain. Adam did a film review of the player and helps get us up to speed on the player, going through the strengths and weaknesses, plus how his game can translate at Arsenal.
Film Study: Piero Hincapié - by Adam Rae Voge
In the second half, the two talk about the trip to Anfield. Arsenal are injured but the timing might favor the gunners as Liverpool still look like a major work in progress so far. They chatted about the lineup, the tactics and expectations for the match.
Things finish up with some quick hits.
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On this episode of the Cannon Stats Podcast, Scott is joined by Andrew Beasley from andrewbeasleyfootball.com to discuss the defending Champions ahead of the clash between Liverpool and Arsenal this weekend.
The podcast covers a bit on last season, going over just how good Liverpool were in their title-winning season and what needs that left them to address this summer. That leads into the busy summer that they have had with 4-5 new starters coming into the team, and how the team is changing as it shifts from a Klopp team to a Slot team.
The second half looks at how the current start of the season is looking and how the team is working through growing pains with the new additions. The last part is a look more specifically on how the Arsenal team can give them problems and what we should expect from this match.
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On this episode of the Cannon Stats podcast, there are no shortage of topics, and the main ones will be the big breaking news from today and that is the signing of Eberechi Eze and the joke somehow always being on Tottenham.
Adam and Scott start off touching on the Kai Havertz injury and then the breaking news that Arsenal made an 11th hour swoop to steal Eberechi Eze from Tottenham Hotspur.
We break down what this means for Arsenal, where he plays, who he plays instead of, and the big picture of how this move came to be.
We also talk about the not so good news of potentially losing Havertz for an extended period of time and what impact that will have on Arsenal and the extra pressure it puts on Gyokeres.
In the second part of the show, the topic moves to the game that was actually played. We talk about the changed Arsenal, the worries we have from the performances, and then chat about the debuts in the match.
Last, we turn our attention to the rest of the big six and how they fared this weekend.
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Get ready for the Premier League season with the Adam and Scott.
The duo use the over/under betting odds to go through all 20 teams. Then they bring out their hotest take for the Premier League and give their favorites for the sack race.
After that they switch gears and look at Arsenal with which of the key position battles will have the player make the most starts.
Gyokeres/Havertz
Martinelli/Noni/Trossard/Other
White/Timber
MLS/Calafiori
Lastly there is a discussion on the importance of the captain and how things looks in light of the comments from Tony Adams on Odegaard and Arteta.
Here are the numbers that were used for the over/under if you want to follow along. (we started from the bottom)
Liverpool 79.5
Arsenal 78.5
Manchester City 78.5
Chelsea 70.5
Newcastle Utd 59.5
Manchester Utd 59.5
Aston Villa 57.5
Tottenham 57.5
Brighton 54.5
Bournemouth 47.5
Everton 47.5
Nottingham Forest 47.5
Fulham 46.5
Crystal Palace 46.5
West Ham 45.5
Brentford 41.5
Wolves 41.5
Leeds United 37.5
Sunderland 29.5
Burnley 27.5
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A special bonus podcast with Mike Goodman of the Double Pivot and CBSSports.com to get everyone ready for the start of the Premier League Season.
Scott and Mike make this a power rankings-based preview (everyone's favorite), going through the "Rich Seven" setting the stage for the 2025/26 season.
In this episode, we let Mike set the rankings (although they don't massively deviate from Scott's view) and talk through the summer business, how the squads look, and what questions we are looking to try and get answered about each team this coming season.
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Adam and Scott are back from their summer break to talk about all of the Arsenal news in this stuffed episode of the Cannon Stats podcast.
This episode covers an update to preseason, the worry that is still present in the attack, key performances and the underlying frustration around the team that hasn't seen radical change this summer.
Part 2 looks at Arsenal's ability to sell and if that is a problem for the team. This is becoming a bit of a worry and it is worth examining deeper on if this is the question would should be asking: how Arsenal are doing compared to our peers and if this is something that matters in the grand scheme of things?
Things wrap up with an examination of the incoming buisness and how we would rate things if the window closed today on the additions. There is also a good chat about the debate if the group of Marinelli/Trossard/Madueke is a good enough group for left wing.
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Arsenal didn’t hold up their end of the bargain dropping a new player bomb on us the day that we were recoding this time but there is still a lot to talk about as Arsenal get ready to head off to Asia.
In this episode Adam and Scott chat what Arsenal are getting in Gyokeres, the Ethan Nwaneri new deal and do some quick hits on transfer news around the top teams.
Episode breakdown:
Getting to know Gyokeres
* State of the deal
* Strengths
* Weaknesses
* Expectations
Ethan Nwaneri signing
* Reacting to the good news
* Where does he even play and does a loan make sense?
Overall Business Done in the Premier League
* Alexander Isak to Liverpool or maybe just kidding
* Hugo Ekitike to Newcastle, oh wait actually Liverpool
* Manchester United to get Bryan Mbuemo for a lot of money
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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Arsenal deliver again! There is no stopping the news and Adam and Scott are here to talk about the singing of Noni Madueke from Chelsea. The transfer is in the final stages and it is reported as a 52 million deal and it’s not confirmed but could be something along the lines of 40m-45m + add ons.
This isn’t quite the bargain that we hoped for but looking at the comps this isn’t a bad deal either with Madueke measuring up strongly compared to other players that have moved at a similar age this season withing or too the Priemer League
* Elanga 55m
* Kudus 55m
* Gittens 55m
* Pedro 60
The podcast tries to break down the big stuff on the player
- Strengths
* Shooting
* Carries and dribbles
* Touches close to goal
* Speed and transition threat
Weaknesses
* Final action
* Passes from good locations in the box/crossing
* Injury history
One of the open questions on the deal is the actual fit For Arsenal
* Is this just right wing rotation or is this both wings move?
* At the end of the season for Chelsea he played more left wing but he has primarily been an inside forward cutting inside.
* Is this a Raphinha comps and or something similar to Sane as a same sided high shot volume winger
Ramifications of the deal
* Do you think this limits other moves?
* Ethan impact
Finally the fan reaction to the move, should we care?
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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The Cannon Stats podcast comes to you on this busy July 4th Holiday to breakdown all of the latest for Arsenal. We are once again thankful for the club keeping us busy with things to talk about this summer. This episode hits on Eberechi Eze, Takehiro Tomiyasu’s Departure, Cristhian Mosquera and more!
Eberechi Eze to Arsenal?
This is the main section of today’s podcast and it is a meaty subject to hit on.
* The guys views on Eze
* Fit at Arsenal, where does he play and how much?
* Expectations?
* Transfer Pricing: Is Eze’s £68m release clause (£60m + £8m add-ons) fair?
Takehiro Tomiyasu’s Departure
This was sad news to see announced, Arsenal and Tomiyasu have mutually agreed to terminate his contract.
* Legacy
* Impact
Cristhian Mosquera: The Replacement?
Valencia’s 21-year-old center-back (1.8 clearances, 88% pass completion) could replace Tomiyasu for £20m. We analyze his fit as a ball-playing defender and long-term potential alongside Saliba.
Transfer Quick Hits
* Ethan Nwaneri: Contract talks for the 18-year-old
* Noni Madueke: Arsenal eye Chelsea’s £50m winger?
* Gyokeres vs. Sesko: The saga continues with maybe news of Gyokeres becoming more favored
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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Join us on the Cannon Stats Podcast as we dive into Arsenal’s imminent signing of Brentford captain Christian Nørgaard for something in the range of £10m-£15m. In this episode, hosts Scott and Adam unpack the transfer’s implications, Thomas Partey’s looming exit, and whether the Gunners’ squad is stronger for it.
This is obviously the big news of the day and it is complimented nicely by the written content that Adam and Scott have done already on this.
Rough timeline for the episode:
[2:00–8:00] Initial Reactions to the news
[8:00–15:00] Partey’s imminent departure
[15:00–25:00] Squad Impact: Does Nørgaard improve Arsenal? Have Arsenal stood still, gotten better, or basically stayed the same?
[25:00–40:00] Adam’s Film Session: Adam breaks down Nørgaard’s tape and helps us understand what exactly we are getting in the player
[40:00–50:00] Stats & Expectations: What does a good season look like for Nørgaard when we look back in June of 2026 on the coming season?
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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The Cannon Stats podcast is back talking about the fixtures for Arsenal.
The view of the overall schedule, what is the take on how things look?
It’s a tough start, is that good? bad? just a thing?
Then there is talk about the state of the transfers and a bit about what is going on among the other teams in the league.
The second half feature your questions and they are some good ones.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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Adam and Scott get together to give out grades.
Before jumping to the grades, they go through the latest transfer stories talking about the moves that have been made and the latest rumors for Arsenal.
In the second half of the show it is about the grades from the start of the season and an outlook for next year.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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Arsenal can’t get any deals over the line so we have stepped in and drafted Adam to run Arsenal’s business and he wasted no time getting Arsenal all set for the 2025-26 season.
Before jumping straight into the moves, Adam and Scott chat about some of the latest rumors for Rodrygo and Kepa.
At around the 10 minute mark Adam starts with his sales and he is a bit surprising with these and the total volume of moves.
Next Adam goes through and makes the contract extensions that needs to be done.
Finally, about 25 minutes we get to what everyone wants with the incoming deals.
Overall, Adam spent 175 million net and put together a very strong team. Let us know what you think of the team after it is all done.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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On this addition of the Cannon Stats Podcast Adam and Scott get together to chat about Arsenal’s squad and the plan for the summer. They play a fun game where they have to keep the player, be open to listen for offers, or kick them out of the club selling for any price. It is a nice way to go over the player’s season contributions and do a bit of squad planning ahead of the Summer window opening up.
The second half of the podcast is about the latest transfer news with a discussion on Martin Zubimendi and Benjamin Sesko. It is great to chat about both players and how the fit within the Arsenal team.
Rough Running order
0 - 2: Into
2 - 11: A bit of Meta discussion on transfers
12 - 50: Keep, Listen, or Sell
51 - 61: Zubimendi Discussion
62 - End: Sesko Discussion
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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Adam and Scott get together to have a bit of a therapy session, reliving Arsenal’s match against Paris St. Germain.
We go through the opening 15 minutes, where Arsenal’s tweaks and pressure nearly got them an early that could have changed the game. We got through the big moments and our reactions to the action.
Then we get a bit meta talking about how this is a game, more than most, where the results are driving the view and where we think that anlayis leaves you missing important context around the way the teams played here.
Finally, there is some discussion about was Arsenal the best team in this competition like Arteta said and could it have been different with a new striker in Janurary.
Hopefully this will help you move forward with whatever your feeling are after this match.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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Join us on Cannon Stats Podcast as we dissect Arsenal’s 0-1 loss to PSG in the Champions League semi-final first leg, discuss tactical tweaks for the return leg, analyze their semi-final scoring drought, and preview the Bournemouth clash with a Premier League top five update.
Timeline Breakdown:
* 0:00–5:00 | Intro: Welcome, episode overview, and Arsenal’s PSG defeat context.
* 5:00–25:00 | Arsenal vs. PSG Analysis: PSG dominated the first 20 minutes (75% possession, Dembele’s 4th-minute goal). Arsenal rallied in the middle 40 (xG 1.5 vs. PSG’s 0.1, Merino’s disallowed header), but faded late, with PSG missing chances (Barcola, Ramos).
* 25:00–35:00 | Tactical Tweaks for Paris: Partey’s return to free Rice/Merino/MLS, exploiting PSG’s home losses (e.g., Nice, Villa), and managing Dembele’s potential injury.
* 35:00–45:00 | Semi-Final Scoring Drought: Arsenal’s fictional six-match goalless streak in semi-finals signals a mental block, critical for Paris.
* 45:00–105:00 | Bournemouth Preview & Top Five: Arsenal (2nd, 67 pts) face Bournemouth (10th, 50 pts) to secure second over Newcastle (62), Man City (61), Chelsea (60). Plus some discussion on the Europa and Conference Leagues.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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Adam and Scott get back together to chat about Arsenal’s 2-2 draw against Crystal Palace.
It was a disappointing and pretty low-quality display but does it matter? The big topics from the match:
* Kiwior shining after a run of games
* Trossard looking sharp as the false nine
* Any worries about the defense or just a one off
The next topic is about Arsenal’s chances for staying in the top 5 and in the top 2. We give our thoughts on the outlook, while looking at the rivals end of season fixtures and what points total Arsenal needs to feel safe.
To finish in the top 5, the magic number is probably 68 points and almost certainly 70 points for Arsenal. To finish 2nd, they probably need 73-75 but could scrape it at a lower number.
Adam wrote up a post today on what this could mean.
The last topic is a look ahead to PSG. The different position battles, thoughts on how the game will go, and a prayer that this doesn’t go to penalties because neither of our hearts could take it.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.cannonstats.com/subscribe
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