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bonedog84 is hot right now. He won the ToC ticket for Game 1 of the Finals in the Game 2 tiebreak. He's up 60% every year for five on satellites. And now he's bringing his strategy to you, with the DFS_PhD show. Listen to him analytically break down the day's slate, offer player prop game takes, and, of course, tilt / celebrate.
The show focuses on bringing positivity and numerical analysis at the same time, starting with the MLB summer season, where we will have plenty of data. Everyone gets unlucky and lucky, but we can be ready to make the most of long term expected value plays we make every night, thousands of times per year.
Remember, you're good enough, you're strong enough, and gosh darnit, somebody's gotta win that money. Might as well be us.
Join us on discord!
360 Episodes
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MNF PhD 12/09 MME on #DraftKings
core: Chase Brown, Dallas WR4-5
leverage: play for injuries, they happen kind of a lot, and there are low owned obvious beneficiaries
leaving $2k, up to $7500, to get unique and capitalize on my wild takes
rules below:
Max 1 Cin RB
Max 1 Dal WR2-6
NBA/NFL PhD 12/02 MME on #DraftKings and #FanDuel with DFS_PhD
NFL slate: Is Thrash Trash or not? Play Cle WR3-4 darts, underowned, plus game script.
NBA, DK core: Schroder, Jalen Johnson, Conley, Herro
FD core: Keon, Conley, Jaquez
leverage: leave $$ on FanDuel, weird value on DK (guys who could dnp)
$1000 at most on table for swaps, $300 ok for the build, $100 left min ($200 min FD)
rules below
every free square from news, leave an extra $100 minimum to avoid dupes
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites. Probably 3% across both sports (no allocation to FD SD anymore).
rules:
max 2/5 Den pass catchers
max 1 Cle RB
Hunter / Risacher fork
Boston blowout Pritchard lynchpin
max 2 bulls stars
Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
NBA PhD 11/26 MME on #DraftKings and #FanDuel with DFS_PhD
DK core: KD, Kuz, Vuc
DK more: Coby, Collin, Keyonte
FD core: Lavine, KD, Castle
FD more: Ayo, Donte, Reaves
leverage: rules rules rules!
rules below
$200 at most prelock! $2000 on swaps. News > Pricing Efficiency.
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites, meh contests (focusing on the $0.5 on DK)
Rules:
max 2 stars: Hou, Chi, Phx
Max 2/3 bigs Minnesota
Conley Divincenzo fork
Vuc / Jalen Smith fork
Sponsored by predictionstrike.com, use promo code PHD to get their best deposit match bonus!
NBA/NFL PhD 11/25 MME on #DraftKings and #FanDuel with DFS_PhD
NFL slate: Likely TE1. Will there be Justice?
NBA, FD core: Zaire, PJ Washington, Black if Suggs out, Sims if KAT out
DK core: Moussa, Hardy, Dinwiddie, Jokic
leverage: leave $$ today, keep pool tight
$1000 at most on table for swaps, $400 ok for the build, $200 left min
rules below
every free square, leave an extra $100 minimum to avoid dupes
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good). Probably 3% across both sports (no allocation to FD SD anymore).
rules:
max 2 LAC pass catchers
max 2/3 okc stars
max 2/3 sac stars
boston blowout fork jordan miller lynchpin
Lively Gafford Fork
Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
NBA PhD 11/22 MME on #DraftKings and #FanDuel with DFS_PhD
DK core: Yabusele, Shaedon, Giannis
DK more: Dillon Brooks, FVV, Lavine
FD core: Claxton error- lock, Craig, Giannis
FD more: Lavine, Trae, Coby
leverage: keep player pool VERY TIGHT on FD
rules below
$200 at most prelock! $2000 on swaps. News > Pricing Efficiency.
Recommending 4% bankroll across both sites (3:1 DK for me on overall contests) !
Rules:
Clingan Rob Will fork
Horford Queta Kornet fork
max 2/4 Chi stars smash
max 2/4 Hou stars smash
Sponsored by predictionstrike.com, use promo code PHD to get their best deposit match bonus!
NBA/NFL PhD 11/21 MME on #DraftKings and #FanDuel with DFS_PhD
NFL slate: betting on the under. Not just the weather, these teams bad.
Also, is Jerome Ford or Chubb the RB1? Bc I know who is the passing RB...
NBA, FD core: John Collins, Chris Paul, Franz Wagner, Stephon Castle
DK core: Franz, Bassey, Castle, Chris Paul
leverage: Charlotte / Detroit minutes for starters all low
$500 at most on table for swaps, $200 ok for the build
rules below
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good). Probably 3% across both sports (no allocation to FD SD anymore).
rules:
2/3 Minn bigs smash max
Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
NBA PhD 11/20 MME on #DraftKings and #FanDuel with DFS_PhD
DK core: Giannis, CPJ, Jamal Cain
DK more: Ty Jerome, KAT, Sengun
FD core: CPJ, Giannis, Ty Jerome
FD more: Franz, Vuc, Brandon Boston
leverage: get Cleveland rotation right! Unowned guys in tight rotations!
rules below
$200 at most on table! $1000 on swaps. News > Pricing Efficiency.
Recommending 3% bankroll across both sites (10:1 DK following the realizable ROI), love that $5!
Rules:
max 2/4 Chi stars smash
max 2/4 Hou stars smash
Sponsored by predictionstrike.com, use promo code PHD to get their best deposit match bonus!
NBA PhD 11/19 MME on #FanDuel and #DraftKings with DFS_PhD
FD core: Bassey, Collier
FD more: JJJ, Lamelo, Markannen
DK core: Markannen, Clarkson, Dario
DK more: Lebron, Cam Thomas, John Collins
leverage: weird starters late!
rules below
$200 at most on table! $1000 on swaps. News > Pricing Efficiency.
Recommending 3% bankroll across both sites (10:1 FD following the realizable ROI), love that $5!
Rules:
max 2/3 Guards for Utah (Collier entering rotation)
max 2/3 Brooklyn stars smash
Sponsored by predictionstrike.com, use promo code PHD to get their best deposit match bonus!
NBA/NFL PhD 11/18 MME on #DraftKings and #FanDuel with DFS_PhD
NFL slate: betting on the over. Think Dallas throws more successfully than Vegas does.
NBA, FD core: Lyles, McConnell, Fox
DK core: McConnell, Siakam, Franz
leverage: Drummond playing regular mins vs Adebayo?
$500 at most on table for swaps, $200 ok for the build
rules below
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good). Probably 3% across both sports (no allocation to FD SD anymore).
rules:
Max 2/4 Houston guys smash
2 max bulls smash
Goga Mo fork
Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
NBA PhD 11/12 MME on #DraftKings with DFS_PhD
Late News Tues!
Pay attention: who starts for Kessler, have room
core: Filipowski, Giannis, Beal
more: Book, Isaac (19 min...), Adebayo
leverage: Ryan Dunn, Naz, Gobert
rules below
$200 at most on table! $500 on swaps.
Recommending 4% bankroll across both sites (2:1 DK following the realizable ROI), some of my favorite competition types today.
Rules:
Boston blowout, Pritchard lynchpin, Jalen Johnson opposing star
Max 2/3 Minn bigs smash
Max 1/2 Eubanks or Filipowski (may relax after lock)
Ayton / Clingan fork (blowout not really foul trouble)
Sponsored by predictionstrike.com, use promo code PHD to get their best deposit match bonus!
NBA/NFL PhD 11/11 MME on #DraftKings and #FanDuel with DFS_PhD
NFL slate: Davis Allen TE1 for all the money, leave $$ get weird. If Tyreek out... insanity.
NBA core: Reed Sheppard, Ingram, Harden
more: Jalen Green, Sabonis, Eason
leverage: zig where the field zags. Jalen Smith and Bub news huge.
$500 at most on table for swaps, $200 ok for the build
rules below
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good). Probably 3% across both sports (no allocation to FD SD anymore).
rules:
2/3 Bkn "stars" smash
2 max bulls smash
2 max okc stars smash
Vuc foul trouble (Jalen out variant?)
Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
NBA PhD 11/06 MME on #DraftKings with DFS_PhD
Free Square Wednesday!!
Free Squares: Queta, Russ Buss, Peyton Watson
also good: Tatum, Doncic, Duren
leverage (both sites): don't get cute! Tight pool! SWAP
$200 at most on table! $500 on swaps.
Recommending 4% bankroll across both sites, some of my favorite competition types today.
Sponsored by predictionstrike.com, use promo code PHD to get their best deposit match bonus!
NBA/NFL PhD 11/04 MME on #DraftKings and #FanDuel with DFS_PhD
NFL slate: bucky/white fork, max 2/4 TB WR's, leave a ton of salary and get weird ($42.5-$49k for me)
NBA, DK core: Chi/Utah late news, Kornet, Cub
more: Vuc, Kyshawn, Tatum
leverage: slam Q players going into lock and swap, swap, swap!
$500 at most on table for swaps, $200 ok for the build
rules below
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good). Probably 3% across both sports (no allocation to FD SD anymore).
rules:
Max 2/4 Houston guys smash
2/3 Bkn "stars" smash
2 max bulls smash
2 max okc stars smash
Boston blowout, Pritchard linchpin again (Hauser not getting enough blowout run, still limited?)
Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
NBA/NFL PhD 10/31 MME on #FanDuel and #DraftKings with DFS_PhD
NBA, FD core: CP3, Sochan, Norm
more: Harden, Beal, Jalen Green
DK core: Sochan, Paul, Jalen Green,
more: Harden, Powell, Lively
leverage: backup centers AGAIN! ok! (mostly on DK, too cute on FD mostly)
slam Q players going into lock and swap, swap, swap!
$500 at most on table for swaps, $200 ok for the build
rules below
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good). Probably 4% across both sports. Considering unit sizing on these multisport slates, evergreen video incoming.
rules:
Max 2/3 Phx Big 3
Max 2/4 Houston guys smash
Lively / Gafford fork
Zubac / Kai fork
Konchar / Pippen extended
NFL slate: just going w SS today, super efficient pricing unless we get news, leave $100-1500
Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
NBA PhD 10/30 MME on #FanDuel and #DraftKings with DFS_PhD
Guess the Nets and Wizards right, win first prize
FD core: Podz, Drummond, Barrett
more: Schroder, Clowney, other Nets
DK core: Richards, Drummond, Schroder
more: Poeltl, Mann, Barrett
leverage (both sites): RULES RULES RULES
$200 at most on table! $500 on swaps.
rules below
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good)
rules:
Ayton, Clingan fork
Max 2 Claxton Replacement
Bos / Ind blowout groups (Pritchard linchpin)
Capela Okongwu fork
Poeltl Mogbo fork
Max 2 Kuz replacement
Zion / Theis / Missi fork
max 2/4 GS guards
max 1/2 moody or payton extended
max 2/3 NO stars
Also, our unofficial sponsor today is Jordan Spieth's Fairway Frenzy. Try out the Fanduel Games, they're fun too.
NBA PhD 10/29 MME on #FanDuel and #DraftKings with DFS_PhD (Presented by PredictionStrike)
Be zen with your late swaps today
"Is this a spot start or 28 min+?"
FD core: Podz, Sabonis, Fox
more: Schroder, Zion, Antman
DK core: Schroder, Moody, the Cams
more: Sabonis, Zion, Fox
leverage (both sites): smash same stars and scatter the GS value
$200 at most on table! $500 on swaps.
rules below
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good)
rules:
looney / tjd fork (vs Zion)
gafford / lively fork
NAW / Conley / Divincenzo smash fork
Zion / Theis / Missi fork
max 2/4 GS guards
max 1/2 moody or payton extended
max 2/3 Minn Bigs
max 2/3 Sac Stars
max 2/3 NO stars
Also, our unofficial sponsor today is Jordan Spieth's Fairway Frenzy. Try out the Fanduel Games, they're fun too.
NBA/NFL PhD 10/28 MME on #FanDuel and #DraftKings with DFS_PhD (Presented by PredictionStrike)
NBA, DK core: Capela, Cub, Brunson
more: Risarcher, Jokic, Dyson Daniels
FD core: Capela, Brunson, Risacher
FD more: Sarr, Bridges, Suggs
leverage: backup centers where main guy is playing good opposition
$200 at most on table for swaps, $100 ok!
rules below
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good)
rules (boost each to smash case median):
Poeltl or Mogbo
Boston Blowout Rules (Pritchard linchpin)
KAT or Sims
AD / Hayes
Capela / Nance
NFL slate: boost Warren and Najee and fork them, same with Calvin Austin and ARob for WR2, leave $500-2500
Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
NBA/MLB PhD 10/25 MME on DraftKings with DFS_PhD (Presented by PredictionStrike)
NBA, DK core: Dyson Daniels, Tre Mann, Cody Martin
more: Okongwu, Richards, Aldama
FD core: Drummond, Scottie Barnes, Jalen Johnson
leverage: one game sample failures
$200 at most on table!
rules below
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good)
rules (boost each to smash case median):
Yabu / Drummond fork
max 2/3 NO big 3
max 2/4 Chi stars smash
Ayton or Clingan
Alvarado or Hawkins
Knecht or Reaves
Edey or Clarke (STILL)
AD / Hayes
Capela / Okongwu
MLB slate: leave $500+ (up to $2500 for me), captain non-pitchers to get most unique
Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
NBA/NFL PhD 10/24 MME on DraftKings with DFS_PhD (Presented by PredictionStrike) NBA core: Cub, Strawther, Shai more: Donte, Jokic, Sabonis leverage: apparently looking at the rotations from last slate can leave more on table (up to $500, definitely on swaps) rules below Recommending 1% bankroll across both sites for both sports. Kind of decent contests, but little edge. Maybe more on NBA bc of sketchier field? rules: Boston blowout (max 1 Pritchard, Brown, Tatum) Dallas blowout (max 1 Luka, Kyrie, Hardy) Kornet or Horford fork Pritchard / Kuz (blowout groups) Pritchard / Poole (blowout groups) 2/3 Minn bigs NFL pretty efficiently priced no matter Hockenson news... Leave just a little on the table and get their with a weird captain on DK On FanDuel... don't worry as much about dupes (everybody will dupe until they fix it) Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
NBA PhD 10/23 MME on DraftKings with DFS_PhD (Presented by PredictionStrike)
LATE NEWS SLATE: PAY ATTENTION AND PREPARE FOR IT!
SWAP EVERY WINDOW
core: Nick Richards, Brandon Clarke, Ingram
more: McCollum, Jones, Dejounte (maybe a rule for Pels?)
leverage: guys w new roles (Cam Thomas, Jalen Johnson, James Harden)
$200 at most on table! Different slate from last one!
rules below
Recommending 2% bankroll across both sites (mostly bc FD main so good)
rules:
Yabu / Drummond fork
Presented by Prediction Strike, https://www.predictionstrike.com/ , use promo code PHD for their best deposit match deal!
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