Claim OwnershipDon Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some Humor
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Description
A podcast which offers Western New York regional weather forecasts, extended outlooks, and which examines the broader context of warming climate impacts. There will also be jousts with junk science and disinformation so endemic to social media, and some sprinklings of humor from the ex-gag writer part of my CV. Author is now into his 47th year of operational meteorology, with extensive continuing education all along the way...although I still can't program my VCR.
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After a very warm Monday and steamy Tuesday, Beryl's remnant low as a decaying system now is favored in new guidance to take a track favoring increasing showers & tstorms in WNY by Wed into parts of Thursday.
Low risk of Isolated strong to Severe Tstorms Friday evening, lots of rainfree time this summery weekend, and latest on Beryl's future U.S. impacts. PLEASE SHARE, FOLLOW.
Scattered showers & tstorms move in by Wednesday evening, but exit for the 4th, returning on the 5th. It will be muggier Wednesday night into Saturday, but not the kind of heat we had 2 weeks ago. Extended outlook + info on Beryl.
Saturday will be the most active of the next 4 days, with spotty convection increasing in the afternoon, few heavy storms, low risk of severe...but not a steady rain. 7 day outlook included.
Some ups and downs the remainder of the week...limited chance of Severe Tstorms Saturday, early signs of a seasonably warm 4th in what will likely be a very warm July when all is said and done.
Monday was sticky but not oppressive, yet. A few spotty showers & tstorms may return during afternoon heating, but partial sunshine, the heat dome high centered to our east, and a muggy SW flow will enhance the heat impacts. I'll let you know when relief is finally coming.
After we enjoy a lovely, comfortable weekend, Real Deal Heat & Humidity Arrives Monday through next week, which will probably be the hottest, steamiest week we've experienced in years in WNY, to which we're not acclimated.
After a lovely weekend, with only gentle warming on Sunday, the Real Deal Heat arrives Monday and lasts through next week. That will be combination with oppressive humidity making for a stressful stretch to which WNYers are not acclimated.
After a few day of unseasonable chill, we face a Moderating Midweek, with Warm temps by Thur, and readings moving toward Very Warm to HOT by Monday and next week. PLEASE SHARE.
After a very unsettled Friday afternoon, Saturday will turn out to be dry until evening. The wettest part of the weekend will be later Saturday evening, with more dry time by late AM Sunday. Notable warmup later next week.
Some midsummer warmth and some noticeable (but not oppressive) humidity building by Wednesday, ahead of a cooler but unsettled pattern lasting into the weekend. PLEASE SHARE.
After a chilly finish to a Mild May, warmth will be rebuilding this weekend into most of the first week of June, ahead of some cooling by next weekend. PLUS the latest on Canadian wildfire smoke.
Saturday becomes increasingly unsettled by midday/afternoon w/SCT & Occ'l Showers & Tstorms. Sunday is the nicest day of the weekend, with periods of convection crossing the region from late Sunday night through Memorial Day. PLUS the ominous NOAA Hurricane Outlook explained.
If temps reach the 80s, is a 60 degree dew point REALLY "humid?" A subjective discussion on our WNY perceptions of muggification PLUS the forecast into next Monday follows.
A rare SPC High Risk for strong, long-track tornadoes later Monday & Monday evening in OK and KS, while tranquil, mild conditions prevail through Tuesday in WNY, with a wetter and cooler pattern to follow. PLEASE SHARE.
Lots of rainfree time Saturday and Sunday afternoons, but unsettled conditions return by Tuesday evening after a nice start to the week. Wed/Thur will bring periods of showers, with a cooler pattern beginning to set up late in the week into the following week. PLEASE SHARE.
Temperatures will be running above average starting Wednesday through all of next week, possibly including some low 80s on Friday...cold fronts with no cold air behind them will be the rule for some time to come. PLEASE SHARE.
Gardeners, frost and freeze conditions will be with us Wednesday and Thursday nights, but a notable warmup will begin by Friday into next week...though not without complications. PLEASE SHARE.
A mixed bag of weather into the weekend and next week, none of it especially warm...but there will be some decent days mixed in. PLEASE SHARE, FOLLOW.
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