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Transnet said it's in talks to run additional trains between a port in Gqeberha in the Eastern Cape province and the country's commercial hub of Gauteng to better link the two automotive manufacturing hubs. The state freight rail and ports company has faced withering criticism from carmakers to coal and iron ore miners as its deteriorating rail service has forced an increasing amount of commodities and cars to be transported by trucks. The head of Volkswagen's South African unit has said car companies are in talks with Transnet to improve the line and run privately-operated trains on it. Transnet in response to queries said it's in talks with the government and funders "to expand the Southern Corridor rail network" to add three 50-wagon trains for use by automotive companies daily between Port Elizabeth in Gqeberha and Gauteng. Later, the state-owned company said, it would expect private companies to invest in rail infrastructure and trains to boost the service. Companies such as VW and Isuzu Motors currently rely almost entirely on trucks to get their vehicles from their plants near Gqeberha to Gauteng, South Africa's biggest car market. Companies with plants in Gauteng, such as Ford Motor Co. and BMW AG, could use the line to move cars to the port in the coastal city as an alternative to the congested terminal in the city of Durban. Transnet said it's also in talks with VW "to resurrect the existing rail haulage service" between the carmaker's plant in Kariega, near Gqeberha, and Gauteng. A test train run was delayed by floods in the Eastern Cape, it said. The state company said it also wants private train operators and investors to help expand shipments of manganese to Port Elizabeth and the nearby port of Ngqura.

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. Eskom CEO Dan Marokane has confirmed that the National Transmission Company South Africa (NTCSA) is on track to begin trading on July 1 and that the new entity is being set up to operate as a fully independent subsidiary even though it will continue to be owned by Eskom Holdings and be located on the Megawatt Park campus. At a briefing hosted to enable Marokane to reflect on his first 100 days and to outline his strategic priorities, the CEO underlined that the NTCSA's independent board was determined to provide "equal access" to the network as envisaged when the unbundling was initiated. He also reported that efforts were under way to reconfigure the office arrangements at Megawatt park so that NTCSA had a distinct identity, including its own entrance. "Megawatt Park has got multiple wings, with separate entrance doors, and at some point . . . [the South African Revenue Service] was located here and SARS was independent from us, even when we stayed in the same building," he said. "I think what becomes important is the drive that the independent NTCSA board will have, working with the management team, to ensure that it provides equal access to all participants in the sector." Marokane also stressed the priority being given to investing in new grid capacity in line with a Transmission Development Plan that envisaged the addition of 14 000 km of new power lines by 2032, as well as the installation of 122 600 MVA of new transformation capacity. He acknowledged the slow pace of deployment in 2023/24, but attributed this to bottlenecks in the supply chain, which had shrunk as a result of years of underinvestment and, thus, required time and effort to re-establish its delivery capacity. A target had been set for Eskom to work with the domestic industry to scale up to deliver more than 800 km a year of new transmission and distribution lines in the coming 24 to 36 months, he revealed. In addition, group executive for transmission Segomoco Scheepers confirmed a report was being finalised regarding the NTCSA's approach to independent transmission projects, which would be built, operated and owned by the private sector for a determined period before being transferred to the ownership of the NTCSA. Scheepers said that work on the potential for independent transmission projects was well advanced. "This report will then be shared, once that work is adequately advanced, with Eskom as the shareholder of NTCSA and then also with the Minister of Electricity, and then we'll be in a position to discuss the details in public." Marokane also reported that additional advisory capacity was being sought to support the unbundling of the National Distribution Company South Africa in the coming 12 to 24 months, which would be followed by the establishment of a separate generation entity. Describing these transactions as "complex", he said it had become necessary to bolster both internal capacity and to recruit external advisers to give itself the best chance of meeting the timelines that had been set. A new executive structure would also be implemented to consolidate Eskom's operational recovery, while leveraging synergies across the unbundled entities, including consolidating corporate services, as well as pursuing future prospects, including in renewable energy.

Amid all the political upheaval, work is continuing with plans to pilot a model for introducing independent transmission projects. Engineering News editor Terence Creamer discusses the prospects.

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. The National Treasury has confirmed that South Africa is moving to pilot a model that will enable the private sector to participate directly in the development and operation of transmission grid infrastructure, drawing lessons from the country's experience in procuring generation capacity from independent power producers (IPPs). Deputy director-general Mmakgoshi Lekhethe reports that the model, which has been mooted by Electricity Minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa for some time, is receiving priority attention in light of the scale of the investment required to unlock grid capacity for new renewables investment. Speaking at the launch of a new report on mobilising clean energy, Lekhethe said that Eskom had been given permission to raise funding for grid investment despite still being bound by the terms of a debt-relief package that constrains its ability to raise new debt more generally. However, government had also concluded that private finance and capacity would be required if South Africa was to add the grid infrastructure needed to unlock more renewables, including 1 400 km a year of new power lines by 2032. "Given this, we are working very hard across the government to pilot a model that can bring in the private sector to help us scale up that much needed investment. "This means that we may have to use the same model that we use for generation for transmission, while obviously making sure that it speaks to the unique set of circumstances faced by transmission," she said. Speaking on the same platform ahead of the new governance arrangements that would follow South Africa's 2024 elections, during which no party emerged with an outright majority, special adviser to the Electricity Minister, Silas Zimu, expressed confidence that the Energy Action Plan (EAP) would continue, including reforms to enable private participation in the grid. "We're not going to change it [the EAP]," Zimu insisted. NOT A 'CUT & PASTE' EXERCISE Meanwhile, IPP Office head Bernard Magoro argued that the IPP programme had proved it was possible to procure electricity infrastructure from the private sector. However, he said it would not be possible to simply "cut and paste" the model for the deployment of independent transmission projects (ITPs). Magoro stressed that servitude acquisitions posed a distinct challenge to ITPs and South Africa would have to clarify upfront whether or not the National Transmission Company South Africa (NTCSA), which is in the process of being vertically separated from within Eskom, would be expected to lead land acquisitions and/or expropriations for such projects. In addition, the fact that the ITPs would be transferred back to the NTCSA after a period of private operation would add another layer of complexity and risk that would have to be addressed. Magoro argued, though, that some of the generic lessons from the IPP experience relating to risk allocation and the need for ongoing stakeholder buy-in and convergence, including with the National Energy Regulator of South Africa, could be transferred to ITP programme. That said, he also cautioned that it could take some time to establish a procurement rhythm, noting that an entirely new "ecosystem" of participants would have to be created, as very few IPPs saw themselves as grid operators. Meanwhile, Lekhethe reported that the National Treasury was also prioritising other initiatives to improve the environment for higher levels of clean-energy investment and to ensure that limited government resources were used to stimulate such investments. While describing the R300-billion in contingent liabilities arising from government guarantees extended to support IPP procurement as "unsustainable", she revealed that work was under way with the African Development Bank and the World Bank to assess prospects for a "credit guarante...

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. A new benchmarking assessment of South Africa's electricity grid access queueing mechanisms indicates that Eskom's systems are slower and less transparent than those being implemented in developed and developing countries analysed as part of the study. Published by the RES4Africa Foundation, the report includes case studies of the grid management frameworks being implemented in Brazil, Chile, Italy and by PJM Interconnection in the US. These systems have been assessed against five key performance indicators, namely: grid connection timeframes, the cost of connection, regulatory requirements, queue management, and transparency. South Africa's framework is in flux and is being governed currently by Interim Grid Capacity Allocation Rules (IGCAR). These were introduced following the failure of the sixth public renewables round when none of the wind projects vying for a 3 200 MW allocation were selected because the capacity on which the projects were based had been absorbed by independent power producers being pursued on the back of private power purchase agreements. Eskom argued that the new rules would prevent so-called grid hogging as they were based on prioritising shovel-ready projects rather than processing applications on a 'first come, first served' basis. Separately, Eskom has also applied to the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (Nersa) for permission to preserve/reserve grid capacity for the public Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPPP) rounds so as to prevent any repeat of the failure of bid window six (BW6). As a consequence, the bid submission deadline for BW7 was recently postponed to August 15 from May 30, a deadline that had itself been extended from the initial submission date of April 30. RES4Africa Foundation Southern Africa project officer Mohau Nei reports that the IGCAR and Eskom's proposed Gated Generator Connection Process, which still requires Nersa approval, were also tested against the five performance indicators. When benchmarked, the selected countries and South Africa all had strengths and weaknesses, but South Africa lagged on grid connection time, regulatory requirements, queue management, as well as communication and transparency. The study recommends that South Africa ratifies its rules as soon as possible to provide investors with predictability. It also recommends that best practices be integrated, including through creating online systems for grid applications and to provide real-time visibility of queuing progress. Nei adds that the study's outcomes also point to the desirability of migrating to a clustered assessment methodology rather than case-by-case approvals so as to enable an analysis of the whole cluster's impact on the grid. This, she says, will facilitate equal access between REIPPPP projects and private projects as well as enable Eskom to revoke capacity allocated to projects that are failing to advance to construction.

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. The World Bank expects the global economy to stabilise for the first time in three years, but at a level that is still weak by historical standards. In its latest 'Global Economic Prospects' report, the World Bank says global growth will reach 2.6% this year and 2.7% in 2025 and 2026, compared with the 3.1% average in the decade before Covid-19. The forecast implies countries that collectively account for more than 80% of the world's population and global GDP will be growing slower than it did in the ten years before 2020. Developing economies are expected to grow by 4% over 2024 and 2025, which is slightly lower than in 2023. The World Bank says growth in low-income economies is expected to accelerate to 5% this year, compared with 3.8% in 2023. However, the forecasts for this year's growth reflect downgrades in three out of every four low-income economies since January. In advanced economies, growth is set to remain steady at 1.5% this year before. rising to 1.7% in 2025. "Four years after the upheavals caused by the pandemic, conflicts, inflation and monetary tightening, it appears that global economic growth is steadying," says World Bank chief economist and senior VP Indermit Gill. "However, growth is at lower levels than before 2020. Prospects for the world's poorest economies are even more worrisome. They face punishing levels of debt service, constricting trade possibilities, and costly climate events. "Developing economies will have to find ways to encourage private investment, reduce public debt and improve education, health and basic infrastructure," Gill explains. The poorest among them - especially the 75 countries eligible for concessional assistance from the International Development Association - will not be able to do this without international support. This year, one in four developing economies is expected to remain poorer than it was on the eve of the pandemic in 2019. This proportion is twice as high for countries in fragile- and conflict-affected situations. Moreover, the income gap between developing economies and advanced economies is set to widen in nearly half of developing economies over 2020 to 2024 - the highest share since the 1990s. World Bank reports that per capita income in these economies, which is an important indicator of living standards, is expected to grow by 3% on average through to 2026 - well below the average of 3.8% in the decade before Covid-19. Global inflation is expected to moderate to 3.5% this year and 2.9% in 2025, but the pace of decline is slower than was projected just six months ago. Many central banks, as a result, are expected to remain cautious in lowering interest rates. The World Bank further reports that global interest rates are likely to remain high by the standards of recent decades, averaging about 4% over 2025 and 2026, which is nearly double the 2000 to 2019 average. "Although food and energy prices have moderated across the world, core inflation remains relatively high, and could stay that way; that could prompt central banks in advanced economies to delay interest rate cuts," says World Bank deputy chief economist and prospects director Ayhan Kose. Kose adds that an environment of 'higher-for-longer' rates would mean tighter global financial conditions and much weaker growth in developing economies. PUBLIC INVESTMENT The 'Global Economic Prospects' report also features two analytical chapters of topical importance. The first outlines how public investment can be used to accelerate private investment and promote economic growth. It finds that public investment growth in developing economies has halved since the global financial crisis, dropping to a yearly average of 5% in the past decade. Yet, public investment can be a powerful policy lever, World Bank states. For developing economies with ample fis...

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. Business Leadership South Africa (BLSA), whose members are drawn from the largest domestic and multinational businesses operating in the country, has backed the African National Congress' (ANC's) proposal for the formation of a government of national unity (GNU) to end the electoral stalemate that has arisen after no single party secured an outright majority in the May 29 poll. In a statement published following ANC president Cyril Ramaphosa's late night announcement that the party's national executive committee had agreed that a GNU was "the best option to move our country forward", BLSA urged parties to act with urgency to form a stable government. "We need to quickly form a stable GNU that will assure all South Africans as well as businesses and investors, both locally and internationally, that government will be committed to our constitutional democracy and the institutions that it rests on, including a well-managed National Treasury and the rule of law," BLSA said. While recognising that a coalition would require sacrifices, BLSA urged parties to put narrow interests aside and find a way to agree. It made no comment regarding the form that the GNU should take nor on its composition, which Ramaphosa said should be underpinned by written agreements committing participants to pursue a "common minimum programme that focuses on measurable targets for economic growth and inclusion, service delivery and development". BLSA did, however, emphasise the need for parties to commit themselves to respecting the Constitution and to prioritise the continuation of economic reforms being implemented to address loadshedding, the underperformance of the country's ports and railways, and to rebuild the criminal justice system. "The structural reforms under way to address these and other challenges are critical to turn the tide on unemployment and restart economic growth." It also called for the agreements reached to be capable of holding for the full five-year term of the administration. The ANC said it would be pursuing talks across the political spectrum and confirmed that discussions had already been held with the Democratic Alliance (DA), the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), the Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP), the National Freedom Party and the Patriotic Alliance. The DA indicated its willingness to entertain a GNU, and has underlined that it, too, wanted the economic reforms initiated by government to continue. However, it had also indicated on several occasions that it was unwilling to enter into governance arrangements with the EFF and the uMkhonto WeSizwe Party (MKP). The MKP, which continues to dispute the election results and has called for the scrapping of the Constitution, indicated that it would talk to the ANC but remained hostile to Ramaphosa as the party's leader. The EFF, meanwhile, gave the GNU concept a cool reception, indicating its unwillingness to work with the DA, while the IFP indicated that, while it was not averse to the GNU, the "devil is in the details".

Engineering News editor Terence Creamer reflects on Dan Marokane's first 100 days in office as Eskom CEO and the direction Eskom is taking under his leadership.

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. Eskom CEO Dan Marokane reports that a decision has been made to "decouple" the closure of its coal stations from the building, in partnership, of new renewable energy generation capacity linked to its goal of being a net-zero emitter by 2050 and the just energy transition strategy. In an address to members of the South African National Energy Association, Marokane also revealed that a board decision had been made for Eskom to participate directly in renewables projects on land adjacent to its existing power stations rather than releasing those grid-ready sites to private generators. He said the first such project was under way alongside the Lethabo power station, in the Free State, where Eskom was aiming to build a 75 MW solar PV facility. A tender, which closed on June 4, had been issued for a bidder to design, engineer, construct, commission and maintain the solar facility. "We have had to do some rethinking in terms of the strategy that we may have articulated before and that is to decouple the implementation of renewables programme from the shutting down of power stations," he said, indicating that Eskom would be aiming to implement projects ahead of any closure. The board had approved the Lethabo solar facility as the first project and there was an intention to pursue a similar strategy "alongside our existing fleet in Mpumalanga, in particular, on our land in close proximity to grid access". He said the projects would be pursued in partnership with the private sector in a way that leveraged their expertise in a specific technology, as well as their balance sheets and skills. Reflecting on his previous tenure at Eskom, Marokane said Eskom had developed a strategy to develop a sizeable renewables project pipeline in partnership with others, but the plan failed to secure the necessary approvals. "We believe it's still possible [and], for that reason, we have adjusted the approach that we had taken to the market two years ago of availing the land adjacent to a power stations to others to implement renewable projects," he reported, highlighting that the properties would not face the grid-access constraints being experienced elsewhere. The strategy is likely to raise questions about whether Eskom's renewables projects will crowd-out independent power producers from securing allocations outlined in the Integrated Resource Plan, or whether Eskom will be required to apply for an IRP exemption to proceed. Questions will also be raised about whether the new generation will need to replace the equivalent coal generation capacity to secure concessional Just Energy Transition Partnership funding. Regarding the just transition, Marokane argued that the new approach would help Eskom manage the transition away from coal such that the new generation was commissioned ahead of closures, so as to avoid the problems that arose at Komati where alternatives for workers and communities were not in place at the time of retirement. "So we going down that route and we have approved that path," he said, indicating the intention was to replicate the Lethabo project across other sites. He also reported that Eskom had secured an environmental impact assessment authorisation for the Tubatse pumped-hydro project and that "we have every intention to go ahead". On how Eskom Holdings' subsidiary, the National Transmission Company South Africa (NTCSA), would fund and implement its ambitious expansion of the transmission grid, Marokane said a model for introducing private sector finance and skills was close to being finalised. Announcements in this regard would be made once the NTCSA began operating as an independent entity in July.

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. Eskom CEO Dan Marokane has rebuffed persistent suggestions that the utility is keeping loadshedding at bay owing to an "excessive" reliance on the diesel-fuelled open cycle gas turbines, reporting that it spent R285-million on diesel during May compared with R2.8-billion in the same month last year and against a budget for the month of R1.7-billion. Addressing the South African National Energy Association AGM against a backdrop of deep suspicion about how Eskom has managed to avoid resorting to rotational power cuts for 71 days, including over a highly competitive election period, Marokane attributed the stabilisation to the Generation Recovery Plan, which had been under way since March 2023. "Over the last three weeks I have been hearing commentary about a sudden performance shift, [or] that there's a dramatic improvement. "Ladies and gentlemen, I'm an engineer myself, and nothing around these systems happens in a dramatic way," Marokane, who will mark 100 days in office this week, said. Instead, he argued that the improvement in the coal fleet's performance was the result of the diligent execution by Eskom employees and original-equipment manufacturers of the interventions outlined in the recovery plan, underpinned by the financial certainty that flowed from the R254-billion debt-relief package extended by the National Treasury. The performance had been bolstered further by the support Eskom had received from the private partners participating in workstream one of the National Energy Crisis Committee, as well as that from government leaders and officials. Unplanned breakdowns, Marokane said, had been below 12 000 MW for the past two weeks and had recently dipped below 10 000 MW; a level well beneath the 15 500 MW that Eskom indicated in its winter outlook would trigger Stage 2 loadshedding. He cautioned, however, that putting "this monster of loadshedding behind us" will require the building of new capacity by the private generators and Eskom, while indicating that Eskom itself had plans to participate more directly in adding renewable-energy and pumped-storage capacity. Eskom would pursue these projects in partnership with the private sector and had also "decoupled" the projects from the decommissioning of the coal stations, the schedule for which had been extended because of supply shortfalls and to allow for greater community consultation.

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. Renowned and outspoken business personality Reuel Khoza has urged South Africa's political leadership currently negotiating the governance arrangements that should be implemented following an election in which no single party secured a majority, to be guided primarily by "the common good". Speaking at the release of the Centre for Development and Enterprise's 'Agenda 2024', outlining possible priorities for the new government once formed, Khoza described South Africans as bewildered and anxious, while bemoaning those who had led South Africa to "this painful juncture". South Africa, he said, had veered from being a "harbinger of a bright future" to one that had joined "other behind-the-curve laggards". "The question is, what happened? "My submission is that the country was hijacked by bad leadership; leadership that is characterised by incompetence, that's unethical, intemperate, careless, corrupt, and at times, downright uncaring and evil. "Among such leaders, we have betrayers of our world-acclaimed Constitution and saboteurs of the institutional forms that underpin our democracy," he said. In 2012, Khoza raised the ire of the governing African National Congress (ANC) when, as Nedbank chairperson at the time, he slammed their political leadership, saying their "moral quotient is degenerating, and we are fast losing the checks and balances that are necessary to prevent a recurrence of the past". He also questioned the capacity of the government, then led by President Jacob Zuma - whose Umkhonto Wesizwe Party (MKP) secured more than 14% of the national vote and about 45% of the KwaZulu-Natal provincial vote in 2024, precipitating the ANC's slump to 40% from 57% in 2019 - as well as its faithfulness to the Constitution. The MKP's election manifesto commits the party to move the country "away from constitutional supremacy toward unfettered parliamentary supremacy" and to holding a referendum to scrap the 1996 Constitution. Both the ANC and government took strong exception to Khoza's statement, calling into question Khoza's transformation performance at the bank and whether he was seeking to collapse the very employment-equity ladder on which he had ascended himself. In his address on June 5, Khoza underlined the importance of visionary and ethical and effective leadership in navigating the immediate perils of coalition building and in driving an agenda in the interest of the common good. "We yearn for a leadership that is visionary, and as passionate as it is compassionate." He also stressed that South Africa was a political economy in a global context and, thus, urged the leadership to "do nothing that will frighten foreign direct investment (FDI) and cause capital flight". Separately, Business Unity South Africa has urged political leaders to accept the election results and to prioritise the crafting of stable governance arrangements underpinned by a commitment to the Constitution, while Business Leadership South Africa has called for a governance arrangement that is both stable and supportive of fiscal prudence and reform. Standard Bank CEO Sim Tshabalala, meanwhile, expressed confidence in the ability of South Africa's institutions to restore stability and even suggested that there could be a market rally once there was certainty, while refraining from commenting on the bank's preferred coalition arrangement, which he said was "irrelevant". Likewise, Nedbank CFO Mike Davis would not be drawn on the bank's preferred outcome, but said it was vital that the coalitions that emerged were effective and structured in such a way as to be supportive of improved service delivery. "The voting base has made it very clear to political parties that they want service delivery . . . and the politicians now need to get together and make this work," Davis said, warning that a poor coa...

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. The Centre for Development and Enterprise (CDE) has released a list of five priorities for South Africa's yet-to-be-formed new government and which the think tank also argues should help guide ongoing coalition negotiations. The priorities have been canvassed with various business, academic and civil-society stakeholders and have been packaged into what CDE has dubbed 'Agenda 2024', and include: Fixing the State, by reorganisation of the Cabinet and the Presidency such that the "right people" are appointed into senior positions within government, most notably at the level of directors-general; Driving growth and development by freeing up markets and competition, including by attracting investors, addressing backlogs in electricity and logistics, tackling criminality on construction sites and using public-private partnerships in a way that does not prop up failing State monopolies; Building a new approach to mass inclusion that drives transformation in a manner supportive of mass empowerment rather than elite enrichment by incentivising low-skilled employment and redirecting funds from government to the private sector to expand opportunities for black entrepreneurs; Dealing with the fiscal crisis by eschewing unaffordable programmes such as National Health Insurance and a Basic Income Grant and redirecting spending away from failed or ineffective programmes towards growth enhancing activities; and Strengthening the rule of law through the successful prosecution of high-profile corrupt actors and reforming the criminal justice system to strengthen the quality and independence of the judiciary, including by overhauling the Judicial Service Commission. During a virtual launch, executive director Ann Bernstein described Agenda 2024 as an urgent reform programme for dealing with the country's most pressing challenges in a way that could arrest South African's "terminal decline". She also argued that the current negotiations for a new governing arrangement should not be only about power, politics and positions. "These discussions need to go beyond what a new government will look like and include what this new government will do once in office," she argued. In a forthright opening address, leading business personality Reuel Khoza also underlined the importance of visionary and ethical leadership in navigating the immediate political perils of coalition building and in driving an agenda in the interest of the common good. Khoza bemoaned the hijacking of the South African vision of 1994 by corrupt, unethical and incompetent leaders, including "betrayers of our world-acclaimed Constitution and saboteurs of the institutional forms that underpin our democracy". "We yearn for a leadership that is visionary, and as passionate as it is compassionate. South Africa is a political economy in a global context [and] the leadership that we seek should do nothing that will frighten foreign direct investment and cause capital flight."

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. While refusing to be drawn on what coalition arrangement would be favourable for investment, Standard Bank CEO Sim Tshabalala has expressed confidence in the ability of South Africa's institutions to navigate the prevailing post-election uncertainty and ensure stability and even a market rally. Responding to questions following a speech delivered at a S&P Global Ratings conference in Johannesburg, Tshabalala indicated that the outcome of the election, which saw the African National Congress (ANC) slump to 40% of the vote from 57%, had been a scenario to which the bank had assigned a 20% probability ahead of the May 29 poll. He, thus, questioned the "shock and surprise" that had arisen subsequently. This, even though a 60% probability was attached to a scenario where the ANC would garner between 43% and 47% of the vote, which would have probably been sufficient to enable it to form a coalition government with a handful of small parties. Speaking against a backdrop of objections and even thinly veiled threats by Jacob Zuma's Umkhonto Wesizwe Party, which secured more than 14% of the national vote and about 45% of the KwaZulu-Natal provincial vote, Tshabalala said "I do think that will have stability". Institutions, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa, were all performing their functions, and while there were challenges to the results, these were being lodged through the correct channels and could be adjudicated in the courts, he argued. "[South Africa] has had ten elections since 1980. Of those ten elections, eight have been followed by a rally in equities, in the bond market and in currencies and the data supports the view that we may see the same happening this time," Tshabalala added. GEOPOLITICAL UPSIDE? He used his formal address, meanwhile, to outline the upside possibilities for South Africa in a geopolitical context where the the US and China "settle into a stable equilibrium of serious - but peaceful - competition". Such as scenario was not without risk, but was based on indications that both countries were aware of their mutual dependence and the dangers created by their rivalry. "Sensible middle powers see that a world with two superpowers in stable competition creates more options than a unipolar world," Tshabalala said, pointing to countries such as France, Germany, Singapore and even Australia as examples of countries also seeking to steer a middle commercial path. Neither superpower, he argued, was expecting mid-sized neutral countries such as South Africa to sign up as a formal ally. "In general, when South Africa hews consistently to its usual stance of non-alignment, multilateralism and commitment to human rights, then it is at very little risk of attracting adverse attention from either the United States or China." However, the patience and tolerance of superpowers was not infinite and, while recent US Congressional bills and letters on US-South Africa trade relations were unlikely to lead to legislation, they were definite warning signals. "[Nevertheless], if South Africa continues to make the right policy choices, the current geopolitical setup will favour our economic development, and that of Africa as a whole. "This is not hot air - our corporate and investment banking pipelines are full of infrastructure projects funded by the US and by China. "So, all in all, far from being fearful, I think our current geopolitical era creates very exciting prospects for our country and our continent," Tshabalala concluded.

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. IT and AI company Suppple in May witnessed its £200-million initial public offering (IPO) on the Luxembourg Stock Exchange (LuxSE) in Europe. Suppple will be required to comply with LuxSE rules and regulations in the coming months for the listing to be definitive. For cofounder Professor Eldrid Jordaan it has been a full circle from his days as a youngster on the Cape Flats as the son of a civic-minded trade unionist, to the board of Mxit, and on to the formation of GovChat, to this, his newest venture - the development of an application-programming-interface-driven chatbot platform for businesses, governments and large institutions. In simple terms, the platform enables businesses and governments to build and deploy chatbots and interactive conversational experiences. A data visualisation platform can also rapidly digitise processes and automate workflows. Mxit was a multimillion-user free instant messaging application - Whatsapp before Whatsapp existed. GovChat was a platform the South African government used to engage citizens during the Covid-19 pandemic. It facilitated real-time communication, supporting more than 10-million users with access to health updates, social relief applications and government services. Cocreated with the South African government, GovChat's focus was focused on quick and easy access, explains Jordaan. Users did not need to download a new app, but could access GovChat via existing chat apps, such as WhatsApp. Founders Goitse Konopi and Jordaan had to consider the type of phones South Africans used, the limited space and data on these phones, and the preloaded apps available on a typical South African's phone, thereby ensuring GovChat's success. "It was the largest single global civic engagement platform," says Jordaan. In recognition of his work, Jordaan was named a professor of practice in 2022 by the University of Johannesburg's business school. Konopi and Jordaan have since left GovChat to create a new entity - Suppple, the three Ps indicating a focus on private-public partnerships. Registered in the UK and based in London and Cape Town, the focus is on creating ever-widening social impact, says Jordaan. "The roots are in GovChat, but this is an entirely different and new technology." "We always knew we were going to list outside the JSE first," explains Jordaan. "We want access to the global financial markets because, when you observe the technology landscape, tech companies listed in South Africa are rarely recognized on a global scale. Additionally, Luxembourg's AAA rating makes it an attractive option." What remains the same as the GovChat days, however, is Jordaan's focus on using technology for the greater good. For example, GS1 is a global, non-profit issuer of barcodes, based in Belgium. Along with GS1 South Africa and the Consumer Goods Council of South Africa, Suppple's technology plays a pivotal role in the verification and tracking of products in South Africa. This not only enhances supply-chain transparency, but also combats fake and unsafe goods, as well as illicit traders working to bypass the tax man. On a global level, the partnership between GS1 and Suppple supports the scanning and verification of more than 500-billion products globally, with 10-billion products scanned daily across 115 countries. This system has helped uncover illegal trade activities valued between R100-billion and R1-trillion. "Think what this technology will be able to do at South African border posts for the South African Revenue Service in uncovering fake goods?" says Jordaan. "A simple smartphone can scan any product and verify its barcode and origin." Other applications of Suppple technology include the enhancement of business process outsourcing services in South Africa, Kenya and Columbia with customised call-centre solutions. Also, initiati...

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. While dismissing an appeal of a High Court judgment setting aside a right granted to Shell to explore for oil and gas off South Africa's Wild Coast, the Supreme Court of Appeal (SCA) has suspended the same court's decision to set aside a renewal of the right until a third and final renewal application is finalised. Delivered electronically on June 3, the SCA judgment sets aside an appeal lodged by the Minster of Mineral Resources and Energy, Shell, Impact Africa and BG International to a judgment handed down in the Makhanda High Court on September 1, 2022. That earlier judgment reviewed and set aside the decision to twice renew the exploration right for oil and gas in the Transkei and Algoa exploration areas, finding that the right was granted unlawfully because of the failure to notify and consult affected communities. The SCA ruling echoed the sentiments of the High Court, finding that the consultation process was inadequate, with the process having been advertised in English and Afrikaans language newspapers only, despite the fact that the affected communities speak isiXhosa or isiMpondo and receive news and information mostly by means of radio broadcasts. "In the circumstances, the choice of print media was plainly ill-advised. This was exacerbated by the choice of English and Afrikaans language newspapers. The process, which was more illusory than real, was thus manifestly inadequate," the SCA judgment reads. However, the SCA described the High Court's finding that "authorising new oil and gas exploration, with its goal of finding exploitable oil and/or gas reserves and consequently leading to production, is not consistent with South Africa complying with its international climate change commitments" as having a "sterilising effect" that "cannot be endorsed". Noting that Impact and BG had timeously submitted an application to Petroleum Agency South Africa on July 21, 2023 to enter into a third renewal period as permitted under Section 81(4) of the Mineral and Petroleum Resources Development Act, the SCA said the right remained in force until such time as the application was adjudicated. "Thus, despite the current expiration date of 26 August 2023, the exploration right remains in force until the third renewal application has been granted or refused." However, the SCA directed that "as part and parcel of a proper consideration of the third renewal application, a further public participation process be conducted to cure the identified defects in the process already undertaken". Respondents, who included Wild Coast communities and small-scale fishers, alongside various environmental justice groupings and lawyers, described the outcome as disappointing and indicated that they were considering an appeal to the Constitutional Court.

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. Organised business has urged political leaders to accept the 2024 election results and to prioritise the crafting of stable governance arrangements underpinned by a commitment to the Constitution, as well as the economic reforms needed to support growth and job creation. For the first time since 1994, no single party emerged from the May 29 poll with an outright majority, with the African National Congress slumping to only 40% of the vote from 57.5% in 2019. Various governance frameworks are, thus, now being considered and negotiated, including possible coalition configurations, or agreements on ways to navigate a minority government arrangement. However, some parties, most notably Jacob Zuma's Umkhonto Wesizwe Party, which secured more than 14% of the national vote and about 45% of the KwaZulu-Natal provincial vote, continue to raise objections to the results, which were officially announced by the Independent Electoral Commission (IEC) on Sunday night. Business Unity South Africa (Busa) CEO Cas Coovadia expressed concern about statements by some politicians rejecting the results, which he said had been accepted by the majority of political parties and endorsed as free and fair by domestic and international election observers. In a statement, Busa urged all political parties to act responsibly and refrain from inciting violence that could plunge the country into unrest. "The majority of South Africans have voted for parties that uphold the rule of law, respect the Constitution, promote inclusive growth, the independence of the South African Reserve Bank, fight corruption, and support investment and business-friendly policies. "On the other hand, parties that promote populist policies, which we believe would undermine many of the democratic gains and exacerbate the multiple crises gripping the country, were voted for by a minority," Coovadia said. In his weekly letter, President Cyril Ramaphosa also urged that, as political parties sought to find each other, politicians demonstrated in their actions and utterances "that we hold the Constitution and the rule of law to be paramount". AT A CROSSROADS Busa called for a coalition that would actively promote and respect the rule of law and ensure the independence of critical institutions. "Our country is once again at a crossroads. One path leads to investment, inclusive growth, job creation and the resolution of our socioeconomic crises. The other path will deepen our crises and hamper the much-needed recovery, with the most vulnerable bearing the burden. We urge the parties that the majority of our people voted for to choose the first road," Coovadia said. Writing in her weekly newsletter, Business Leadership South Africa CEO Busi Mavuso argued that the business community was aligned with the majority of South Africans who had voted for parties committed to the Consitution, as well as safeguarding the independence of the judiciary and the reserve bank. Meanwhile, South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry CEO Alan Mukoki said that, despite challenges, the IEC continued to execute its mandate with credibility. Mukoki, thus, called on all political parties to "prioritise the interests of the people of South Africa first" by putting together a coalition that would take the country forward. Mavuso also underlined the need for stability, arguing that "deals struck now must be capable of going the distance for a full five-year term". "We need a stable government that will continue the vital work that has already been done to put our economy on the right track to create jobs and tax revenue," she wrote. Any "workable plan" must also be capable of avoiding the "spectacle of votes of no confidence and repeat elections". BLSA also favoured deals that accepted the "policy continuity" of fiscal prudence and reform, as "we cannot a...

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. Cape Town's V&A Waterfront is pioneering the integration of small, low-noise vertical-axis wind turbines into its green electricity supply mix, following the installation of four 1-kW units within the mixed-use property's Silo District and another 3-kW turbine near to the complex's Breakwater parking. The LS Double Helix turbines have been sourced from LuvSide, of Germany, which has in parallel established LuvSide South Africa in partnership with Energy Systems Africa to pursue new market opportunities for its vertical- and horizontal-axis solutions. Through the pilot, which is also being supported by the German government's Renewable Energy Solutions Programme, the turbines will be operated for a year. Head of sustainability Petro Myburg says this will allow the V&A Waterfront to test the feasibility of scaling up the technology and incorporating the "aesthetically pleasing" turbines into its broader sustainability strategy. Energy Systems Africa CEO Rodney Love tells Engineering News that the V&A Waterfront installation is also the first South African deployment for LuvSide, which has a portfolio of four turbine models and 50 units installed globally. The pole-mounted vertical wind turbines operate using the Savonius design that, owing to the helix structure, the wind always hits no matter its direction. The LS Double Helix incorporates two main blades that are supplemented by slats to close gaps in the wind window and increase torque. The electricity produced at the V&A Waterfront complements the facility's existing solar PV installation and is fed into a 30-kW inverter that is also connected to a 45-kWh battery backup system. Love says the energy contribution is based on the wind speed of an area and the capacity factor of the turbines deployed at the V&A Waterfront will be determined only once data from the pilot is collected. He is convinced, however, that they will prove price competitive and that the South African market is poised to begin incorporating small wind turbines alongside solar as property managers and industrial enterprises, particularly those in the windy coastal regions, seek to further increase their green credentials and improve tariff certainty. "We are already working with the City of Cape Town, the Atlantis Special Economic Zone, and Boardwalk mall in Port Elizabeth on further opportunities," he reports. Besides targeting other retail complexes and households with the LS Double Helix turbine, LuvSide South Africa is also marketing the larger and more efficient LS HuraKan horizontal-axis turbine to factories, mines and farms. While not entirely noiseless, the 8-kW turbines incorporate a flexible-blade suspension that is able to change angle to improve yields and also reduce the diameter of the rotor to prevent any disengagement at high wind speeds. "We see the solution as being particularly relevant to 24/7 operations with solar PV but that want to continue using renewable electricity at night," Love says. He is also optimistic that many of the components in both the horizontal-axis and vertical-axis turbines can be produced locally, noting that some local components were already successfully used for the initial installation and helped reduce the overall cost of the project. "Currently the mast and base are being made locally for all turbines. "But this is only the starting point, as we have competent local steel fabricators and using them will help offset high European labour rates and expensive travel costs. "We're also currently investigating the blades for local production and locally sourcing electrical components," Love concludes.

Engineering News editor Terence Creamer discusses the coalition scenarios facing South Africa as the election results are being tallied and what this could mean for the reforms under way in electricity and freight logistics.

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. The Department of Mineral Resources and Energy (DMRE) has confirmed another extension to the bid submission deadlines for the current renewables procurement round, as well as the second battery storage bidding round. The deadline for Bid Window Seven (BW7) of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPPP) which had already been moved from April 30 to May 30, has been extended to August 15. The DMRE is seeking to procure 5 000 MW during the bid window, comprising 3 200 MW of wind and 1 800 MW of solar PV. Likewise, the deadline for the Battery Energy Storage Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (BESIPPPP) BW2, which was initially moved from April 30 to June 6, has been delayed to August 29. The DMRE is seeking to procure 615 MW/2 460 MWh across eight substations sites in the North West province, including Mercury, Carmel, Hermes, Ngwedi, Midas, Marang, Bighorn and Ararat. In a notice published on the website of the IPP Office, the department indicated that BESIPPPP BW2 had been delayed at the request of "a substantial number of registered bidders" to enable the issuance of environmental authorisations by the Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment. No reference was made to BESIPPPP BW3 in the Free State, the deadline for which was extended by three months to October 31 in early May. Reasons were not provided for the extension of REIPPPP BW7, but the move coincides with a decision by the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (Nersa) to extend, from May 25 to June 17, the deadline for comment on Eskom's application to preserve and reserve grid capacity for IPPs participating in public procurement. In its consultation paper, Nersa makes specific reference to BW7, as the request for grid reservation/preservation for projects being procured in line with Section 34 of the Electricity Regulation Act would have a direct bearing on the round. Eskom indicates that public procurement could fail should the utility be disallowed from discriminating in favour of Section 34 IPPs at the expense of IPPs being developed on the back of private power purchase agreements. "Without any form of protection, public procurement programmes remain incapable of competing with the much more agile and well-funded private sector energy procurement programmes. "Therefore, without grid preservation/reservation in favour of the public energy procurement programmes, these programmes are likely to continue failing as evidenced by the recent failure of BW6 of the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme," Eskom says in its submission. During BW6 in 2022, none of the 23 wind projects vying for 3 200 MW advanced to the preferred-bidder stage, owing to the grid capacity on which their bids were based being allocated to projects that secured grid connection budget quotes over the same capacity.

This audio is brought to you by Endress and Hauser, a leading supplier of products, solutions and services for industrial process measurement and automation. Stable demand remains a prerequisite if South Africa has any prospect of stimulating industrialisation in the renewable-energy and battery storage value chains, Trade & Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS) senior economist Gaylor Montmasson-Clair has reiterated. But absent complementary supply-side measures - including tax and financial incentives, as well as an active trade policy - the country will struggle to attract green manufacturing investment in what is now a highly competitive global environment. In fact, Montmasson-Clair, who is also facilitator of the yet-to-be-launched South African Renewable Energy Masterplan (SAREM), counsels that South Africa will have to prepare a compelling investment case if it is to emerge as a market participant. One that cannot rely solely on rising demand for solar panels, wind turbines and batteries, nor on the country's natural resource advantages and its current relative attractiveness as a manufacturing location when compared with its peers. Speaking during a TIPS event on the potential for greening South Africa's industrial policy, he noted the significant support already being advanced to green industries in other developed and emerging economies, saying: "Fair or not, this is the situation, and we have to deal with it". Describing the industrial potential of the energy transition as a "once-in-a-century opportunity" Montmasson-Clair lamented the country's failure, to date, to match rising demand with growing domestic supply, highlighting the recent surge in the import of solar panels, lithium-ion batteries and inverters. He also stressed that many of the immediate and medium-term localisation opportunities did not necessarily reside in seeking to produce those high-profile products domestically, but rather in supplying key materials and components into those value chains, including through the development of relationships with multinational original equipment manufacturers. South Africa already had "an existing ecosystem of manufacturers" that were well positioned to supply value-added mineral products, such as manganese metal or vanadium pentoxide, as well as key components, including mounting structures and trackers, step-up transformers, wind-tower internals, concrete and steel towers, medium-voltage cables, primary steel, assembled solar modules and inverters. Should those "big wins" be made, there was potential over the medium term, to add various other components and systems and even to consider pursuing niche opportunities in "high stakes, high reward" areas such as battery cell manufacture or turbine blades. Stable yearly demand of between 3 GW and 5 GW was "a fundamental prerequisite" for any industrial development, while avoiding the 'stop-start' patterns that had bedevilled South Africa's renewables roll-out between 2014 and 2020. "However, ambitious supply-side support is also paramount to enhance the competitiveness of locally manufactured products." He stressed that price and quality competitiveness had become even more important in light of the renewables market's shift from public to private procurement, while underlining the need for both markets to remain active to facilitate a "smoother demand profile". There was also a need for public procurement to integrate more ambitious, yet realistic, localisation objectives and for increased engagement with large private procurers of renewable energy to consider ways to increase their appetite for and commitment to local content. Here, Montmasson-Clair said industrial policy could play a key role in increasing the competitiveness of manufacturers by extending tax incentives to "greentech" companies; improving the value proposition of special economic zones, including through improved customs clearance or introducing zero-rated value added tax; and by using trade ins...