Fantasy Football for Winners

<p>Accurate, contrarian fantasy football predictions matter. They could mean the difference between missing the playoffs and winning your league. Since 2013, BJ Rudell has written 3,000+ fantasy columns and advised 10,000+ managers using home-grown data analytics and other empirical evidence. He's won several national fantasy tournaments, including one vs. 60,000+ people and another vs. 330,000+. E-mail him at fantasyfootballforwinners@gmail.com.</p>

Overperforming and Underperforming Fantasy WRs

I spent a lot of time this summer podcasting about screaming WR bargains and screaming WR busts. Let’s see how it panned out.

01-01
19:07

Overperforming and Underperforming Fantasy RBs

Tried to keep this episode to 12 minutes. But there was too much to discuss, including the fascinating consistency of “dead zone“ RB busts.

12-31
21:44

Overperforming and Underperforming Fantasy QBs

Only a handful of 2025 QBs have exceeded preseason expectations based on ADP. How should this shape our draft strategy heading into 2026?

12-30
21:42

Cam Ward, Tyler Shough, and Jaxson Dart

Why should we expect the fantasy market to undervalue Cam Ward, Tyler Shough, and Jaxson Dart next summer?

12-29
11:38

Recommended Week 17 DraftKings DFS Lineup Includes James Cook, Ashton Jeanty, and Tre Tucker

Designed for Week 17's two late-afternoon (Eastern time) Sunday games, this DraftKings DFS lineup stacks several uber-upside players with a bunch of Raiders. Because the Giants' defense is just that beatable.

12-28
07:03

Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry is on pace to finish his career top 10 in carries and top 4 in rushing TDs. In the past 15 years or more, he’s one of only a handful of high-carry RBs who continues to excel into his 30’s.

12-27
08:53

Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson’s 2026 preseason ADP will be one of fantasy’s most fascinating valuations.

12-26
07:40

Revisiting Preseason Rankings for Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, and George Pickens

My preseason rankings had Dak Prescott as a huge bargain. But I never expected George Pickens to go toe-to-toe with CeeDee Lamb as the Cowboys’ WR1.

12-25
11:02

2026 Fantasy Implications of 2025 High-Touch RBs

I’ve discussed my research on this topic before. It’s pretty actionable, and it will have significant impacts on several fantasy RBs in 2026.

12-24
08:04

Christian McCaffrey: 2025 Hero, 2026 Fade

Christian McCaffrey has topped 400 touches in two different seasons. After each one, he’s been undone by injuries. He’s on pace to exceed 400 touches again.

12-23
08:26

Trevor Lawrence

We’ve been waiting for Trevor Lawrence to break through. The question is whether his past two games signal his arrival as a weekly fantasy starter for years to come.

12-22
09:30

Recommended Week 16 DraftKings DFS Lineup: Jacoby Brissett, Jonathan Taylor, Jahmyr Gibbs, and More

Designed for the remaining Week 16 games (Sunday/Monday), this DraftKings DFS lineup assumes Indy will lean heavily on Jonathan Taylor in a must-win game, Minnesota will continue to find success through the air, and perennial journeyman Jacoby Brissett will build on one of the greatest backup fantasy QB seasons in years.

12-21
04:49

Revisiting Why Jayden Daniels Was a Likely Preseason Bust

As discussed on an episode this summer, Jayden Daniels' preseason ADP wrongly assumed that his breakout rookie campaign was more of a floor than a ceiling.

12-20
07:19

Colby Parkinson and Chasing TE Points

I was publicly high on Colby Parkinson last weekend. I was publicly neutral on him entering last night. Here’s why, and here’s why it matters going forward.

12-19
07:43

Revisiting Why Jaxon Smith-Njigba Was a Likely Preseason Bargain

How do we identify high-probability breakout WRs in the preseason? Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a prime example.

12-18
08:46

Impending Fantasy Fallout: Christian McCaffrey

Based on historical data, Christian McCaffrey will underperform in 2026, and probably dramatically underperform.

12-17
06:49

Kenneth Gainwell, Jaylen Warren, and Kaleb Johnson

Who is the most valuable Steelers RB in Dynasty, and if Pittsburgh re-signs Kenneth Gainwell, will be their first RB off the board in 2026 fantasy drafts?

12-16
06:52

Patrick Mahomes and the End of the Chiefs Dynasty

As Patrick Mahomes begins his long recovery from a torn ACL, fantasy managers should brace for the strong probability that the Chiefs offense will look much different in 2026 and eildly different by 2027.

12-15
06:28

Recommended Week 15 DraftKings DFS Lineup: Rico Dowdle, Puka Nacua, Jauan Jennings, and More

Designed for today's 4pm Eastern games, this DFS lineup assumes the Panthers' and 49ers' offenses are clicking coming out of their Week 14 byes. It also assumes most of the high-priced QBs and RBs fall flat against tough defenses.

12-14
08:26

Omarion Hampton and Kimani Vidal

Why Omarion Hampton is little more than a streamer in week 15.

12-13
05:42

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