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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Author: FiveThirtyEight, 538, ESPN, Nate Silver

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Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.
415 Episodes
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The crew re-assesses the significance of "lanes" in the Democratic primary and looks at Trump's Iran strategy.
Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux joins the podcast to discuss key decisions the Supreme Court has made so far, and what is at stake in the final 12 cases.
Who Is Persuadable In 2020?

Who Is Persuadable In 2020?

2019-06-1700:53:2121

As Trump kicks off his reelection campaign, the crew debates who is persuadable in 2020. They also discuss the Democratic primary debate lineups.
Republican strategist and pollster Bill McInturff joins the podcast to discuss his report, "What Republicans Need to Know as We Move Toward the 2020 Election."
Is Elizabeth Warren Surging?

Is Elizabeth Warren Surging?

2019-06-1000:52:1516

The crew examines whether the popular narrative of Elizabeth Warren's breakthrough is reflected in the data. They also discuss why Joe Biden backtracked on the Hyde Amendment.
The D.C. Statehood Episode

The D.C. Statehood Episode

2019-06-0600:39:2912

Representative Eleanor Holmes Norton and Majority Leader Steny Hoyer join the podcast to discuss Democrats' efforts to make D.C. the nation's 51st state.
Are Voters Sexist?

Are Voters Sexist?

2019-06-0300:53:2015

The crew discusses what we know about how voters respond to female candidates and how the women running for president in 2020 are navigating questions about their identity.
University of Cambridge professors Helen Thompson and David Runciman join the podcast to discuss what appear to be a string of similar outcomes in elections around the world.
The crew discusses whether last week's back-and-forth between Pelosi and Trump achieved its reported goal. They also look at head-to-head polling in the Democratic primary.
The Washington Post has been tracking every false or misleading claim Trump has made while in office. In this episode, we dig into the database.
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Comments (78)

Gunnybrock

Nate Silver's establishment dem bias shows strong in this episode, TYT could have done a better job but he misreps what the young Turks said, you can hear the loathing in his voice. TYTs response here: https://youtu.be/9bppXajlK20

Jun 17th
Reply

Felix Bart

Maybe Hillary lost because she was UNLIKABLE. So tired of the sexist tropes. Put a strong populist leftist on the platform and the broad coalition will come.

Jun 17th
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Andrew Dias

Very disappointed that the bulk of this conversation was about the political calculations involved in making DC a state and less about the gross injustice of taxing the residents of DC while denying them a vote! This is the very reason we declared independence and went to was with Britain. What is wrong with these people?!

Jun 6th
Reply

John Smith

Andrew Dias Bud, are you okay? You do know that they vote, yes? That they have electoral college representatives? They literally start the episode by stating that their representatives vote on some floor issues and vote in committee.

Jun 8th
Reply

Gabe Peretz

@35:48 The DNC fixed the primary and didn’t represent its voters last election cycle... what are you talking about?

Jun 1st
Reply

Donna Cermak

you never come off passive aggressive, but rather show a quick sense of humor

May 21st
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William Beshlian

As the average American, I've had it. Enough already. There's an election in two years. If you want Trump and his Cabinet gone. Vote Him out..

May 2nd
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Stephen Hammond

William Beshlian He's already ignoring subpoenas. What's to stop him from it ignoring election results?

May 11th
Reply

Wayne Crannell

PRONOUCE BETO'S NAME CORRECTLY. He's not going to win, so give him that at least.

May 1st
Reply

Renee

#MuellerReport

Apr 20th
Reply

William Beshlian

Hell... I'm a Libertarian and I want this to go away...

Apr 19th
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GraWsA

You talked about how it's odd that republican voters like outsiders considering it's the party in control most of the time, but did you guys consider that the GOP and it's base always acts like it's the victim? They might have power but they don't believe they do. The GOP feels like Christianity is under attack even though the vast majority of the country is Christian. They play the victim of the establishment, it doesn't matter that they're the establishment. It's about feels over reals.

Apr 10th
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Ryan Pena

GraWsA facts don't care about your feelings GOP! 😂😂

Apr 11th
Reply

Michael Parke

so u guys bitch for 2 years about trump asking Russia for emails then do the exact same thing? I know U were joking. so was trump.

Apr 3rd
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Barry Murphy

SC and its Justices' Clerks need to consider all Moon's points made here and in supporting documents, and not only the lawyers' interpretations: unassisted opinions will be worthless.

Apr 1st
Reply

Erin Curran

y'all need to have Moon on a lot more because she is smart, well-spoken, and an absolute amazing voice to hear from!

Mar 29th
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Barry Murphy

Erin Curran absolutely!

Apr 1st
Reply

Lauren Sumereau

Loved this episode!!!

Mar 29th
Reply

Barry Murphy

Lauren Sumereau me too!

Apr 1st
Reply

F B

Live shows are awful. They just come across with a focus on entertainment rather than information.

Mar 22nd
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GraWsA

"Not if you're Andrew Yang" wait what is that in response to? I don't get it? wait.. is this a circumcision joke? lol

Mar 22nd
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Mary Sample

everyone complains s about Teresa May's deal..what am I missing? is there a better deal to be had? seems like she us doing her best in a bad situation

Mar 16th
Reply

GraWsA

Why not IRV (Instant Run-off Vote) with remain, clean brexit, and May's plan. Seems simple enough for a referendum.

Mar 16th
Reply

GraWsA

Caroline Thompson An Instant Run-off Vote (IRV). Vote for your first, and then second choices. That's it. Simple. My first choice would be remain. My second would be May's plan. Tally all the first choices. Something gets more than 50% that wins; otherwise the choice in last place gets eliminated. The people who picked the choice eliminated get their votes moved to their second choice. Now there's a winner. My guess is that remain and clean brexit would go on to the second round and most of the voters for May's plan would move to remain. The end.

Mar 16th
Reply

Caroline Thompson

GraWsA Three options gets so dicey though. Do you ask it in two questions? Or one with three options? But then how would the vote go? One vote or ranked voting? It's anything but simple

Mar 16th
Reply

GraWsA

Meaty erotic rise.. o.O

Mar 14th
Reply

William Beshlian

Metoric is a misnomer you should call it ballistic like. Metors fall, rockets follow a ballistic trajectory hence a quick rise...

Mar 14th
Reply
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