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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Author: FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News, Nate Silver

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Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

288 Episodes
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This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBS’s recent documentary series “The Black Church."
The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster.
Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why.
The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling.
Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises.
Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom.
While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications.
Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020.
Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought.
Kaiser Health News's Anna Maria Barry-Jester joins the crew to discuss how Biden's response to the pandemic is different from former President Trump's. They also discuss a recent poll showing that if Trump were to start a new "Patriot Party," it would have significant draw among Republican voters.
Nate and Galen look back at the results of the Georgia Senate runoffs and discuss what the Democratic wins say about polling and what they mean for elections going forward.
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Maggie Koerth join the podcast to discuss their reporting on partisan discord and violence in the United States. The crew also looks at the dynamics in Congress that will determine whether or not President Biden can pass his agenda.
On the first podcast episode of the Biden presidency, the crew reacts to President Biden's inauguration speech -- particularly whether any attempt to unite the country will be successful -- and looks at what his policy plans are for his first week in office.
This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be.
On Wednesday, the U.S. House of Representatives voted 232-197 to impeach President Trump a second time. In this installment of the podcast, HuffPost's polling editor, Ariel Edwards-Levy, joined Galen and Perry to discuss why the vote broke down the way it did, what the different camps within the GOP are and what happens next.
The crew unpacks some of the elements responsible for the attack on the U.S. Capitol. They also discuss the calculations being made by Democrats and Republicans about how to hold President Trump legally and/or politically accountable for the attack.
The team reacts to Trump supporters violently occupying the U.S. Capitol and the Democratic victories in Georgia.
The Atlanta Journal Constitution's Tia Mitchell joins the crew to discuss why Republicans are attempting to overturn the election. They also check in on the state of the runoffs in Georgia the day before Election Day.
Goodbye To 2020

Goodbye To 2020

2020-12-2801:06:287

In 2020's final installment of the podcast, the crew looks back at the year that was. They consider the most surprising political stories of the year, fess up to what they think they got right (or wrong) and answer questions from listeners. They also assess whether many pollsters' decision to sit out the Georgia Senate runoffs is a "good or bad use of polling."
The crew debates whether the recent $900 billion stimulus package is a one-off attempt to avert crisis or a model for compromise in the Washington that President-Elect Biden is inheriting. They also discuss what makes the runoff elections in Georgia different from elections in other battleground states and what we can learn about the Biden administration and the Democratic Party from his cabinet picks so far.
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Comments (317)

Heather Cahill

Voting by showing an ID is easy, with IDs being needed for basically everything. If it's important enough, you'll make it happen.

Mar 4th
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Christy McMannis and Ron Renchler

Except, what are the pricing benefits of having energy deregulation in Texas? I never heard this discussed in this discussion. Do Texans really have lower monthly energy bills? Or is it that Texas legislators/fossil fuel corporate executives/investors just don't want to be regulated so that their profits are higher?

Feb 22nd
Reply (1)

Andrew Browne

Democrats argue why Democrats are right

Feb 12th
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Mary Sample

love 538 but really miss clare!

Feb 10th
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Marlo Lemieux

I think the only valuable insight I've ever gotten from listening to conservative pundits is an understanding of how muddled and myopic their analysis is. To think that it's only the very smartest of the bunch I ever hear from on here or Vox is not a an encouraging sign of the soundness of the discussion all of these people must be having between themselves. Actually, the current state of the GOP is probably what you'd expect as a result of such an intellectual debacle...

Feb 5th
Reply

Ed Potter

When Newt Gingrich had written a series of what if books about the cause that wasn't lost, was it seen as foreshadowing today's republican politics?

Feb 5th
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MH

Bring back Clare

Feb 5th
Reply

Andrew Browne

Always good to hear how Democrats view Republicans, there is never enough of that in the media

Jan 20th
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Joe Loviska

How could Georgia Democrats win when Maine Democrats didn't?! Culture eats strategy for breakfast. -LaTosha Brown

Jan 7th
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Clarance Mo

clare or btfo

Dec 30th
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Libro Bro

Confusing Paddington and Pooh is such a Nate thing to do.

Dec 29th
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ID20369940

That sucks. It wasn’t 538s call. Blame ABC News. Sad to see Clare go.

Dec 10th
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howard mhc

What an absurd decision. She was bright and wonderfully witty. I hope you can get her back involved.

Dec 10th
Reply

CHRISTOPHER ROMANOWSKI

No Clare Malone? unsubscribed.

Dec 9th
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Paul Voermans

I will stop listening to this without CM!!!

Dec 9th
Reply (1)

Liz Williams

What fool made that call, to cut Clare Malone? This pod will not be nearly the same without her perspective. I'll definitely be following to wherever she lands.

Dec 9th
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Andrew Weiss

listening to Ann Selzer is always instructive. I wish that a major news outlet in each state would set up a version of the Iowa Poll and get an expert like Selzer to run it.

Dec 5th
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Troy Garcia

I listen to your program pretty regularly. I thought Biden would win because of the mishandling of the panademic but I knew the polling average was off. I think what your panel misses is that the so called fringe conspiracy theories are much more mainstream than you think. For those people Trump is an uncompromising candidate. He is the top shelf, wish list candidate for the modern republican party. Since the GOP has focused on appealing to racists and made culture war issues their primary public facing image their voters have become more extreme. The GOP has been framing those conversations as existential threats to an idea of American culture that most Americans have moved past. The media needs to come to terms with what the conservative movement in America actually is instead of what they think it is. Those 2 things are very different.

Nov 17th
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Asmaa H-a

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Nov 17th
Reply

Jeff Frost

Oh fuck you, "they weren't that bad." How the hell are you going to fix the problem if you can't acknowledge it? 8 points off in multiple states is catastrophically bad. I'm so done with this bullshit. Not listening anymore.

Nov 13th
Reply (1)
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