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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Author: FiveThirtyEight, 538, ESPN, Nate Silver

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Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.
525 Episodes
The crew digs into the challenges facing Wisconsin's election, given partisanship and the COVID-19 pandemic. They also take stock of where we are in the arc of the crisis.
FiveThirtyEight's science writer Maggie Koerth and quantitative editor Laura Bronner join the podcast to discuss the challenges of modeling the impact of COVID-19.
The crew discusses where we are in the arc of the COVID-19 crisis, how Americans are rating the president's performance, and the significance of the DPA.
Economics reporter Ben Casselman joins Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux to discuss the stunning unemployment claims numbers from last week.
The crew discusses how the COVID-19 pandemic is affecting the politics of Washington, D.C. and how it's disrupting the 2020 presidential race.
Economist Tara Sinclair joins Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux to discuss the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic so far.
FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.
The crew discusses the coronavirus crisis and the uncertainty and politics surrounding it.
The crew reacts to the first Biden vs. Sanders one-on-one debate, which took place amid the coronavirus pandemic.
The crew reacts to the latest round of Democratic primary results, in which Biden far outperformed Sanders.
The crew discusses the results of a poll on coronavirus and previews the upcoming primary races.
The crew reacts to the news that Sen. Elizabeth Warren is suspending her campaign for president.
The crew reacts to Joe Biden's very strong performance on Super Tuesday and asks what comes next.
The crew previews the races that will be decided on Super Tuesday and debates the effect Buttigieg's dropout will have.
The crew reacts to Biden's big win in South Carolina and discusses what comes next in what looks to be a two person race.
Rep. James Clyburn endorsed Joe Biden on Wednesday. Galen Druke sat down with Clyburn ahead of his endorsement to discuss Biden, South Carolina and the Democratic Party.
The crew reacts to a messy Democratic debate in South Carolina.
Nate Silver and editor of the Nevada Independent, Jon Ralston, join the podcast from Las Vegas to discuss the results of the Nevada caucuses.
In a late night edition of the podcast, the crew reacts to the Nevada Democratic primary debate.
Comments (246)

Andrew Browne

Some occasional Republican viewpoints would make the show more interesting

Apr 1st

Andrew Browne

Democrats talking to themselves

Mar 26th

Gwendolyn S

Wow, Bernie asks questions his voters are concerned about and his attacks are too much. Biased much.

Mar 16th

James Knight

i agree with U

Mar 12th


Congrats to the Dems for locking down their future loss. Apparently they prefer reelecting Trump, than going against the DNC shadowy leaders.

Mar 11th


The fact that Nate silver can sit in a room a speak about polling it truly unbelievable. His voice should sound muffled from him slinking off his chair and sliding slowly under the table.

Mar 9th

Terri Hunt

Isn't part of the issue that people are expecting g to know who will win as each state votes? Until SuperTuesday, only 8% of states had voted and those states don't entitely reflect the nation as a whole demographically. Either wait until after the results from Super Tuesday are in or change the first states to better match the country as a whole. But waiting for Super Tuesday seems the most likely.

Mar 8th

Darcie Harris

Claire, let's not jump to conclusions about gender bias. I'm a woman, a feminist, a Democrat & I want a female President. But the reason I didn't vote for Warren has nothing to do with gender. It has to do with her angry, accusatory demeanor. I wouldn't vote for an angry, accusatory man either.

Mar 6th
Reply (15)


Galen's last question got a really interesting response. pretty unequivocal on Clarence Thomas

Feb 27th

Chris Chapman-Stone

This dude has lost the plot.

Feb 26th

Ted Roth

"take away from Bernie"? it's not his until he wins.

Feb 15th

Jonathan Root

progressives will not vote for the Dem nominee if it gets taken from Bernie Sanders.

Feb 14th

Ian Peters

you stoked a reaction on contested conventions. you tricked half the sheep too woo. you have to be more responsible journalists than that.

Feb 12th

Gwendolyn S

538 is always pretty negative about Bernie because politics is too much about optics to them.

Feb 11th

Ryan Persaud

The after the fact Electoral College hate in 2016 was so funny to me. Look, you can despise Trump all you want, but if it was a "blue wave" as so many predicted, none of y'all would be saying shit.

Feb 6th


"Iowa Nice" = "Iowa Gullible"

Feb 6th

Paul Werth

you fucktards, trumpian? the Dems rigged the vote for Hilary last time. did you forget that?

Feb 4th
Reply (1)


These guys have no clue what the hell is going on and why it doesn't work and they want control over your health care and nearly all other aspects of your life. They've been planning this event for the last three years and they knew the spotlight would be on. This is a colossal failure on the democrats and they have the nerve to use the word trumpian when describing how a candidate is rightly upset with the way events transpired. This is ridiculous.

Feb 4th

Kenneth Topper

donkeys are cheating between TRUMP2020

Feb 4th
Reply (1)

Carly Robinson

they are going to rig

Feb 4th
Reply (1)
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