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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Author: FiveThirtyEight, 538, ESPN, Nate Silver

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Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.
480 Episodes
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In front of a live audience in DC, the crew debates the electoral cases of the leading Democratic candidates. The also discuss electability and guess what America thinks.
This is the second installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American politics.
The Last Pre-Iowa Debate

The Last Pre-Iowa Debate

2020-01-1500:34:017

The crew reacts to the candidates' performances in the last Democratic primary debate before the Iowa caucuses.
A Four-Way Pileup In Iowa

A Four-Way Pileup In Iowa

2020-01-1300:42:188

The crew discusses the latest polling in Iowa, showing a tight four-way race. They also talk about Booker's decision to dropout and Tom Steyer's polling in NV and SC.
FiveThirtyEight's 2020 Democratic primary forecast is live. In a new installment of "Model Talk" Nate Silver discusses what went into creating it.
This is the first installment of our audio documentary series "The Primaries Project," looking at how our primary system came to be and its effect on American history.
The team discusses the political implication's of President Trump's decision to kill Iran's Maj. Gen. Qassem Suleimani in a drone strike.
The podcast crew looks back at the biggest political moments of 2019 and looks ahead to the most pressing questions of 2020.
Eggnog And Listener Questions

Eggnog And Listener Questions

2019-12-2300:47:1810

In this holiday installment of the podcast, the crew drinks eggnog and answers questions from listeners.
President Donald Trump became the third president in American history to be impeached on Thursday. The podcast team discusses how we got here and what comes next.
The crew previews what to expect from this week's likely impeachment vote and debate how much voters' second choices matter in the Democratic primary.
University of Cambridge political scientists Helen Thompson and David Runciman join the podcast to break down the results of the 2019 British general election.
The crew shares a preview of FiveThirtyEight's polling averages in the early states. They also discuss the path Trump's presidency is on.
We review the House testimony from legal scholars on whether Trump committed an impeachable offense and check out the results of our polling collaboration with Ipsos.
The crew reacts to Sen. Kamala Harris's decision to drop out of the Democratic primary.
Is The Party Deciding?

Is The Party Deciding?

2019-12-0200:54:1110

The crew looks at which candidates are racking up endorsements and whether there's a meaningful trend in favor of Biden. They also take stock of Harris's troubles on the trail
The crew discusses public opinion on impeachment and plays a Thanksgiving-inspired game.
In a late night podcast, the crew reacts to the fifth Democratic primary debate.
The crew reacts to U.S. Ambassador to the E.U. Gordon Sondland's testimony in the fourth day of public impeachment hearings.
The crew discusses what went down during the third day of public impeachment hearings.
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Comments (203)

Hully Piper

Great Episode! Thanks so much for laying out so clearly with the help of history what the great opportunities and troubling perils of the current system are.Fascinatingly put together.

Jan 20th
Reply

Tuan Van

It's astounding that you mentioned the boring debate and the lack of diversity on stage but totally ignored Andrew Yang. This guy raised 16.5 mil last quarter and the tweet #AmericaNeedsYang was trending GLOBALLY during and well after the debate! It's time the media acknowledges Yang as the only "electable" candidate to beat Trump so ignore him at your peril

Jan 17th
Reply (1)

Brady White

Just wanna say hey. Like your podcast. Look forward to the next one. I think you're doing good. Just wanted to add some positive comments here.

Jan 6th
Reply

Kathleen Fuller

In your debate discussion, you didn't even mention #KamalaHarris.

Nov 26th
Reply (2)

Kathleen Fuller

Unbelievable. Kamala Harris ignored. Only mentioned as being disappeared Biden and then just named in a list at the end.

Nov 21st
Reply (1)

Accordionbabe

i love your podcast. Keeps it real. Thx.

Nov 6th
Reply (1)

km

#Yang2020 is coming for FiveThirtyEight...

Nov 5th
Reply

Hector Soler

you talked with Ryan his going to loose his election next . I wouldn't let a moron like that represents me

Oct 31st
Reply (1)

Lazaro Fuentes

Pundit Nate Silvers is not interesting at all. Save your time. His predictive modeling was slightly interesting when few were crunching data similarly, but in today’s real-time data crunching world he and his team are meh. And before someone calls me a Trump guy, or a lefty, I’m a thinking moderate, so sorry. 🤷🏻‍♂️

Oct 29th
Reply (1)

Andrew Browne

It's this type of politics chat that shows the main speakers have no idea about Republican Party politics. They really need to get some diversity of thought to make it a better show.

Oct 29th
Reply

fresh mannn

Really annoyed at the lack of mention of Andrew Yang. He is clearly right alongside Pete, while having the momentum only compared to Warren. His appeal and chances to beat Trump is likely the highest... bad data coverage by FiveThirtyEight

Oct 20th
Reply

fresh mannn

Really annoyed at the lack of mention of Andrew Yang. He is clearly right alongside Pete, while having the momentum only compared to Warren. His appeal and chances to beat Trump are among the highest... bad data coverage by 538

Oct 20th
Reply

km

No mention of Yang? Weird. #Yang2020

Oct 16th
Reply

Adrian Bridges

For a podcast titled "What To Look For In The 4th Debate" they spent the first 36 minutes talking about the possibility of a Trump Impeachment...

Oct 15th
Reply (1)

Kevin

God help us if Donald Trump, Jr. steps in to fill the void after his father.

Oct 3rd
Reply (50)

Laura

I knew I could count on 538 to have an emergency podcast! love you Claire, Micah and Nate.

Sep 25th
Reply (1)

Mark Matthieu

Yang has one idea that is untested outside of Alaska. also, he seems to have fallen in love with being famous.

Sep 23rd
Reply (1)

Simon Moore

ok I'll get the kids to the park and ride at 🌃

Sep 23rd
Reply

km

You'll soon realize that this is going to become a race between Warren and Yang. #Yang2020 is the right choice for the country+world going into 2021++ I don't know why you bother discussing the likes of Klobuchar/Castro/Bennett/Booker/etc. sooooo much more than Yang. Just look at the Google Trends data and compare all-candidate events data (e.g. Iowa Soapbox) for crying out loud! Yang is absolutely dominating!!!! It's a no contest. Yes... it needs to translate to votes... but with these numbers it's highly likely that he's going to get massive support at the ballot box. Y'all are numbers people at 538 I thought?!? ....also, don't call him a "weirdo" - talking to you Claire. #HumanityFirst and #MathWINS

Sep 19th
Reply

Mark Hillis

I can't believe I heard the words, "what if Bernie had won primary and lost the general?"... yeah and what if your mother was your uncle's colon? Sanders would have won by eighty electoral college votes last time, maybe thirty or forty this time. Wake up.

Sep 15th
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