Forecasting Impact

<p><b><em>Forecasting Impact </em></b>is a bimonthly podcast that aims to disseminate the science and practice of forecasting by introducing prominent academics, practitioners, and visionaries in the forecasting domain. Our vision is to help grow the forecasting community, foster collaboration between academia, industry, and governments, and promote scientific forecasting and good practices.<br />We will discuss a range of forecasting topics in economics, supply chain, energy, social goods, AI, machine learning, data analytics, education, healthcare, and more.</p><p><br /></p><p><b><em>Forecasting Impact </em></b>episodes are also available on the IIF YouTube Channel <a href="https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLUxduCQo6_X1jDKrfrXb3G68H5G7fu0ol"><b>@IIForecasters</b></a><b>.</b></p><p><br /></p><p><b>Podcast Team<br /></b>Chair and Co-host: Dr. Laila Ahadi-Akhlaghi, Senior Technical Advisor at JSI.</p><p><br /></p><p><b>Additional co-hosts: </b></p><ul><li><b>Dr. Mahdi Abolghasemi, Lecturer in Data Science at The University of Queensland,</b></li><li><b>George Boretos, Founder & CEO at FutureUP,</b></li><li><b>Dr. Faranak Golestaneh, Data Science Senior Manager at Commonwealth Bank of Australia,</b></li><li><b>Mariana Menchero, Senior Forecaster at Nixtla, and </b></li><li><b>Arian Sultan Khan, Data Analyst at VAN</b></li></ul><p><br />Co-hosts in the past have included: Michał Chojnowski, Shari De Baets, Elaine Deschamps, Dr. Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi, Bahman Rostami-Tabar, Anna Sroginis, and Sarah Van der Auweraer.</p><p><br />We welcome your feedback, questions, and suggestions. Please contact us at  forecastingimpact@forecasters.org</p>

Explainable Forecasting with Marco Peixeiro

In this episode of Forecasting Impact, hosts Mahdi Abolghasemi and Mariana Menchero speak with Marco Peixeiro, applied data scientist at Nixtla, about the growing importance of explainability in time series forecasting. Marco shares how his work bridges research and practice, from developing deep learning models in NeuralForecast to writing educational resources that make complex forecasting concepts accessible to all. We discuss how explainability builds trust in complex models, the role of ...

11-12
39:55

Forecasting the future of everything with Dr. Theodore Modis

In this episode of Forecasting Impact, host George Boretos speaks with Dr. Theodore Modis, acclaimed forecasting expert, strategist, and founder of Growth Dynamics, about the science behind forecasting and the natural laws that govern technological and societal change. From particle physics at CERN to pioneering the use of S-curves in business and technology forecasting, Dr. Modis reveals how principles from physics can reveal powerful insights into product life cycles, market disruptions, an...

07-31
58:12

Food Bank Forecasting with Professor Lauren B. Davis

This episode of Forecasting Impact features Professor Lauren B. Davis discussing her research on applying stochastic modeling and forecasting to food bank operations. Lauren shares how she began forecasting with a local food bank, which led her to focus on forecasting the highly uncertain supply of food donations. She details the food banks' donation sourcing process, the management of their supply chains, and the application of models like exponential smoothing, support vector regression, an...

06-03
48:33

MLOps and Dockerisation in Forecasting with Rami Krispin

In this episode, we sit down with Rami Krispin, a data scientist at Apple and active producer in forecasting, to explore his journey into forecasting and data science. He shares what first sparked his interest in the field and how that passion led him to develop key contributions, including the Hands-On Time Series Analysis with R book and the TSstudio package. We discuss his motivation for writing the book, who it’s for, and how TSstudio and other R packages he has developed have helped prac...

03-18
52:16

Healthcare Product Forecasting in Africa

In this episode, Dr. Laila Akhlaghi and Professor Bahman Rostami-Tabar host a discussion on healthcare product forecasting in Eastern Africa with Harrison Mariki from Tanzania and Danielson Kennedy Onyango from Kenya. Harrison, founder of Afya Intelligence, discusses leveraging AI to improve forecasting for 7,000 primary healthcare facilities in Tanzania, addressing data quality and supply chain challenges. Ken, from inSupply Health, highlights the use of open-source tools and human-centered ...

02-18
01:08:08

Solar Forecasting with Prof. Jan Kleissl

In this episode of Forecasting Impact, we had the privilege of hosting Professor Jan Kleissl, a leading expert in solar power forecasting. Professor Kleissl began by sharing his journey into solar forecasting, emphasizing the growing importance of renewable energy in addressing climate change. He explained the critical role solar forecasting plays in balancing energy grids, ensuring reliability, and integrating renewable energy at scale. The discussion delved into the technical challenges o...

11-22
39:33

Forecasting in Healthcare with Hema Srinivasan

In this episode, hosts Arian Sultan and Laila Akhlaghi discuss financial tools that enable healthcare markets to function more efficiently and how forecasting plays an important role in their execution with Hema Srinivasan of MedAccess. Hema Srinivasan is a senior advisor to MedAccess, supporting work to identify and execute opportunities for financial tools to help lower prices and increase the availability of medical products. She supports the Health Markets team in sourcing and developing ...

10-15
01:04:20

Panel on Foundational Models with Azul Garza Ramírez and Mononito Goswami- Part 2

In this episode, hosts Mariana Menchero and Faranak Golestaneh explore the cutting-edge world of foundation models for time series forecasting with guests Azul Garza Ramírez, cofounder of Nixtla, and Mononito Goswami, one of the developers of MOMENT, a family of open-source foundation models for general-purpose time series analysis. The conversation delves into the backgrounds of these innovators and their journey into the realm of time series analysis and forecasting. The podcast explores th...

08-28
45:42

Panel on Foundational Models with Azul Garza Ramírez and Mononito Goswami - Part 1

In this episode, hosts Mariana Menchero and Faranak Golestaneh explore the cutting-edge world of foundation models for time series forecasting with guests Azul Garza Ramírez, cofounder of Nixtla, and Mononito Goswami, one of the developers of MOMENT, a family of open-source foundation models for general-purpose time series analysis. In this episode, we discuss the guests' transition into working with foundation models for time series forecasting. The guests describe the empirical approa...

07-25
44:09

Kai Markus Mueller on Neuroscience with Forecasting & AI

In this episode, guest hosts George Boretos and Arian Sultan Khan explore the intersection of Neuroscience with Forecasting & AI with guest Kai Markus Mueller, acclaimed neuroscientist and a pioneer in Neuropricing. Kai, who began his journey in psychology with aspirations of becoming a child psychotherapist, eventually shifted his focus to cognitive psychology and neuroscience. His transition from academia to the industry led to the invention of Neuropricing that utilizes fMRI and EEG t...

06-05
01:20:46

Mitchell O'Hara-Wild on open source forecasting and R

In this episode, we had the privilege of hosting Mitchell O'Hara-Wild, data scientist and lead developer of the widely used and highly acclaimed forecasting packages, Fable and Feasts. Mitchell is a PhD candidate at Monash University, Australia. He shared insights on a wide range of topics, including his journey into data science and forecasting, the reasons behind the development of the popular Fable package, and his views on AI in forecasting. We also discussed Mitchell’s rese...

05-15
47:48

Joannes Vermorel on Quantitative Supply Chain

In this episode, we spoke to Joannes Vermorel, founder and CEO at Lokad, a quantitative supply chain software company. Joannes discussed how supply chain theory is broken down, and that we need to think in terms of paradigms and modules rather than models for solving supply chain problems. He talked about issues in time series forecasting and judgmental forecasting. He emphasized how critical it is to have a holistic view of the problem, to aim for optimization of the entire system. a...

04-16
01:22:47

Laurent Ferrara, on Nowcasting and Economic Forecasting

In this episode, we spoke to Laurent Ferrara, Professor of International Economics at SKEMA Business School. Laurent discussed the role of nowcasting, particularly in the realm of macroeconomic nowcasting. He delved into the details of the models and methods that have been proven effective in this domain. Laurent also talked about GDP nowcasting using Google data and shared some intriguing results from his recent research. Laurent is the program chair of the 44th International Symposium on F...

03-11
45:14

Eric Siegel, on Mastering the rare art of machine learning deployment

In this episode of our podcast, we delve into the intricate world of machine learning (ML) deployment with Dr. Eric Siegel, author of the book AI Playbook, Mastering the Rare Art of Machine Learning Deployment. Dr. Siegel, once an avid advocate of ML, now approaches the field with a disciplined yet optimistic perspective. He shares invaluable insights on how businesses can effectively implement ML strategies. Our discussion revolves around a range of compelling topics, from the inspirin...

01-23
48:15

Michele Trovero and Spiros Potamitis, on Software and Large Language Models in Forecasting

Our guests are Michele Trovero, leader of the Forecasting R&D group at SAS, and Spiros Potamitis, Data Scientist and Product Marketing Manager at SAS. We delved into the intriguing intersection of Language Model-based AI (LLMs) and forecasting software. We explored the openness of forecasting software providers to embrace LLMs and discussed the profound impact these models could have on the industry. Michele and Spiros shared insightful examples of LLM applications. They elaborated on ...

12-19
56:13

Martie-Louise Verreynne, on Innovation & University-Industry Collaboration

Martie-Louise Verreynne is a Professor in Innovation and Associate Dean (Research) in the Faculty of Business, Economics and Law, at the University of Queensland. Prof. Martie-Louise Verreynne joined us to discuss the evolving partnership between academia and industry. While not a new concept, it has significantly transformed over the years, with over 40% of global patents now stemming from this collaboration, underscoring its growing importance in innovation. We examined the keys to success...

11-14
49:09

David Schmitt, on Transportation Forecasting

In this episode, we delved into the dynamic realm of transportation forecasting, exploring a wide array of ideas and questions. Our discussion with David began by examining the primary data sources and methodologies that drive modern transportation forecasting. We continued by highlighting the pivotal role of real-time data, GPS technology, and advanced algorithms in providing accurate insights into traffic patterns, public transit ridership, and the trajectory of mobility trends. ...

10-17
01:02:17

Stephan Kolassa, Bahman Rostami-Tabar, and Enno Siemsen

In this episode, we host three scientists, Dr. Stephan Kolassa, Dr. Bahman Rostami-Tabar, and Prof. Enno Siemsen. They are the authors of "Demand Forecasting for Executives and Professionals." In this episode, we delve into discussions about their book. We discuss their motivations for writing this unique guide for professionals and the need for such a book. We explore the pivotal role of forecasting in business decisions and unpack key principles and methodologies. Our conversation navigates...

09-19
53:18

Priyanga Dilini Talagala and Thiyanga Talagala

In this episode, we delve into the inspiring academic journey of two sisters from the heart of Sri Lanka. Dr Priyanga Dilini Talagala and Dr Thiyanga Talagala. Dr Priyanga is a Senior Lecturer at the University of Moratuwa, specialising in statistical machine learning and data mining, with a fervent commitment to open-source software for reproducible research. Dr Thiyanga is a Senior Lecturer at the University of Sri Jayewardenepura, focusing on large-scale time series forecasting, data visua...

08-15
44:59

George Athanasopoulos - President of International Institute of Forecasters

In this episode, we hosted Professor George Athanasopoulos, President of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) and Head of the Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics at Monash University. George gave an overview of the IIF's current plans and new initiatives, including the Practitioners chapter, publishing papers in the International Journal of Applied Forecasting, the forecasting distinguished lecture series, and plans for the International Symposium on Forecast...

06-15
50:45

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