Grain Markets and Other Stuff

<p>Joe Vaclavik and Mackenzie Johnston discuss the grain markets, the business of farming, news related to agriculture, and a variety of other topics.</p>

China Drone Ban: Big Deal for Ag? + Soybean Purchase Update

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🚁 Drone Industry Shock A new ban on Chinese-made drones is sending shockwaves through the U.S. drone industry. On Monday, the FCC banned drones and critical components manufactured in certain foreign countries, citing national security risks. The restrictions primarily target Chinese ...

12-24
13:09

Does Anybody Even Work at USDA?? Budget Cuts Impact Crop Data

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🏛️ USDA Workforce Cuts & Data Quality The US Department of Agriculture saw a massive workforce reduction in the first half of the year. Between January and June, more than 20,000 employees left the agency—about 18% of total staff. Most departures were tied to the Trump administrat...

12-23
13:25

Scott Bessent Retires from Farming + FBA Payment Estimates

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🌾 USDA Farm Aid Update The USDA confirmed it has no plans for additional farm assistance beyond the recently announced $12 billion aid package. Farmers continue to face weak markets, high input costs, and trade disruptions tied to President Trump’s tariffs. Estimated farm losses could...

12-22
13:25

RUMOR MILL: Did China Just Return to the US Corn Market??

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Corn futures moved higher for a second straight session on Thursday. The Mar26 contract settled near $4.45, supported by strong export demand. Accumulated US corn sales through the end of November are running well ahead of last year. Wheat futures finished higher on short covering but...

12-19
19:48

China has Hit Half the Soybean Target... So Why Are Prices Falling?

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🌱 China Soybean Buying—What’s Really Going On? Bloomberg reported overnight that China has quietly bought at least half of its 12mmt US soybean commitment. Anonymous sources say Sinograin purchased roughly 2mmt last week, with buying continuing this week. Official USDA data still sho...

12-18
13:18

Soybeans Spiral, Healthcare Premiums to Wreck Farmer Finances

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🏥 ACA Health Insurance & Farmers Enhanced premium tax credits under the Affordable Care Act are scheduled to expire in 2026, which could lead to huge increases in health insurance premiums. Farmers, ranchers, and other self-employed individuals are especially exposed since they do...

12-17
11:13

Soybean Demand: STRONG Crush and TERRIBLE Exports

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🌱 NOPA Soybean Crush NOPA released its November crush report on Monday US soybean crush hit an all-time November record Crush was lower than October’s record, but well above last year End-of-month soybean oil stocks jumped sharply, reaching a 7-month high Oil stocks also came in above...

12-16
11:45

Fund Traders LOVED Soybeans.... a Month Ago

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🌱 Soybean, Corn & Wheat Markets Soybean futures plunged on Friday, with the Jan ’26 contract falling nearly 17 cents to around $10.77 — the lowest level since late October. The pressure came from slowing U.S. export demand as the seasonal export window closes and growing expectati...

12-15
11:54

Farmers Need Lower Input Costs, But Trump Wants to Tariff Fertilizer AGAIN

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🌱 Fertilizer Markets Fertilizer stocks surged Thursday after Ukrainian drones struck two fertilizer plants in western Russia. While the facilities represent a small share of global capacity, the market is now pricing in higher geopolitical risk and potential supply chain disruptions....

12-12
18:28

Fed Cuts Rates Again, Could Inflation Cause the Next Grain Bull Market??

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🏦 Fed Cuts Rates for the Third Straight Meeting The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates another quarter point on Wednesday, bringing the fed funds rate down to 3.5%–3.75%, the lowest since September 2022. Three FOMC members dissented — the most pushback since 2019 — signaling deep ...

12-11
12:48

Clueless and LYING!! China Soybean "Commitments" and the White House

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🇨🇳 Soybean Purchase Deadline Confusion Questions remain over China’s commitment to buy 12mmt of US soybeans. On Tuesday, US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the deadline isn’t year-end but “end of the growing season.” Nobody seems to agree on what that actually means. The Whit...

12-10
14:38

Trump Confirms $12bil Farm Aid Package: What Do We Know??

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🚜 Farm Aid & Tractor Prices President Trump announced a $12 billion farm aid package on Monday and urged ag equipment makers to lower tractor prices — blaming environmental regulations for higher costs. The administration plans to lift some of those rules to reduce equipment expen...

12-09
14:02

Trump to Announce $12 Billion Farmer Aid Package TODAY

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. The Trump administration is expected to announce a $12 billion aid package for farmers today. The announcement will take place around 2 this afternoon in Washington, DC. About $11 billion will go to crop farmers through the new Farmer Bridge Assistance program, with the rest going tow...

12-08
11:54

Corn Demand is STRONG - Why Can't the Market Rally?!

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🌽 Grain Export Demand Still 🔥 USDA reported multiple flash corn sales on Thursday: • 100,800mt to Colombia • 392,500mt to Mexico ➡️ Both for 2025/26 MY Corn demand remains fantastic — 🚢 exports + ⚗️ ethanol running near record pace — yet futures just can’t seem to catch a bid. 📦 “Cat...

12-05
17:02

Scott Bessent Thinks You're Dumb, LIES About China Soybean "Deal"

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🚜 China Soybeans: Goalposts Moving? China is expected to fulfill its US soybean purchase agreement… eventually. On Wednesday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said China will meet its commitment to buy 12mmt of US soybeans. The White House originally said by year-end, but Bessent now ...

12-04
11:36

Putin Threatens Black Sea - Corn & Wheat Bounce + China Soybean Update

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🇷🇺 Black Sea Threats Push Grain Higher Tensions escalated again this week after Russia warned it may retaliate for a recent surge in Ukrainian attacks on its tanker fleet. Vladimir Putin said Moscow could strike vessels belonging to countries that support Ukraine and even cut off Ukra...

12-03
12:09

US Exporters FINALLY Ship Grain to China + Direct Farm Payment News this Week??

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Welcome back! Lawmakers are zeroed in on trade issues and a potential new farm-aid package as the year winds down. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins is expected to release details this week—but many in D.C. and across farm country say it won’t be nearly enough. The American Farm Bu...

12-02
10:53

Will China Hit the White House Soybean Purchase Target? + STRONG US Corn Sales

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Welcome back! Today we’re breaking down export sales, flash deals, China/Brazil soybean news, ethanol margins, and record-setting Black Friday spending. 👇 📦 Weekly Export Sales (Backdated Again…) Corn: USDA reported 2.8mmt (111 mil bu) in net corn sales for the week ending Oct 16—wel...

12-01
11:28

China Buys MORE - "Soybean Farmer" Bessent says they're On-Schedule

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🇨🇳 China Steps Up US Soybean Buying China made major purchases of US soybeans this week. Since Tuesday, Chinese buyers have booked an estimated 10–15 cargoes — roughly $300 million in value. These sales followed President Trump’s call with Xi Jinping, during which Trump urged China to...

11-26
12:34

US to FINALLY Ship Soybeans to China + Farm Aid Package Update

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links — Apple Podcasts Spotify TikTok YouTube Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. 🇨🇳🚢 China to Resume Shipments of US Soybeans & Sorghum Two Chinese vessels are scheduled to arrive at grain terminals near New Orleans this week to load US soybeans—the first such shipments since May. Another vessel is expected in Corpus Christi next week to load sorghum, marking ...

11-25
12:12

Kyle Xiong

I'm in the poultry business. once the flu Is spotted in wild bird, it most likely will cross contaminate due to feed and dropping. Thank you for the video!

02-16 Reply

Steve Pigg

Joe, Love the podcast, timely, relevant information.

04-22 Reply

Grant Petersen

Joe, Love the show. Thanks for hitting the main points right away and data that is relevant. Enjoy your day off fishing. Would like to hear a brief podcast on your fishing tournament experience. Good luck!

04-22 Reply

tommy whitley

do you get these messages?

10-13 Reply

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