Harvard Harris Poll Debrief with Mark Penn and Bob Cusack

Join Mark Penn for an in-depth analysis of the latest Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll results that reveal a dramatic shift in the political landscape. As President Biden prepares to leave office with his lowest approval rating since 2022, President-Elect Trump enters with majority support. We'll break down the numbers behind voter priorities on inflation and immigration, analyze public sentiment toward Trump's cabinet picks and policy proposals, and explore voter attitudes on everything from social media regulation to the Israel-Hamas ceasefire. Don't miss this comprehensive look at where America stands at this historic transition of power. Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

The poll shows that Trump won over Harris by 2 points, driving the core issues of inflation and immigration most salient to the majority of Americans. Republicans closed in on the Democratic advantage of early and mail-in voting. Voters primarily relied on TV news channels for election coverage, followed by social media, and are split on whether coverage was biased. Looking ahead to the new administration, voters are divided on perceptions of Trump but want him to prioritize tackling inflation.“This was an election about issues, and the economy and immigration played the biggest roles. Trump won on a clear message of middle- and working-class economics,” saidMark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “But while he’s won over people up to 54% and Republicans are supportive of his policies, he has to be careful in over-projecting his mandate – underneath is still a division of the election that has not yet resolved itself.”Read the Full Results Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

The poll was conducted October 11-13, 2024, among 3,145 registered voters by HarrisX and The Harris Poll. As part of the sample, 2,596 likely voters and 898 battleground state voters were also interviewed.The new poll found that the presidential horserace remains close at 49-48, with Harris leading and up 1 point from September. Trump, however, leads in battleground states among registered, likely, and early voters. The poll also covers public opinion on policy issues and foreign affairs.Other key findings include:HORSERACE HAS HARRIS +1 BUT TRUMP LEADING IN BATTLEGROUND STATES  81% of registered voters say they will definitely vote in the election (Democrat: 85%; Republican: 84%; Independent: 72%).Harris holds a 1.7-point lead among likely voters, but in battleground states, Trump has a 2-point lead among both likely and registered voters.There is a 10-point gender gap with female voters favoring Harris. The gap for Latino voters has widened from 7 points in September to 17 points (Harris: 54%; Trump: 37%; Don’t Know/Unsure: 9%).50% of voters say they will vote on Election Day, 45% say they will vote early, and 5% do not plan to vote. Mail-in voting behavior is nearly even across party ID (Democrat: 49%; Republican: 42%; Independent: 44%), markedly different from that in November 2020 (Democrat: 54%; Republican: 35%; Independent: 45%).Among those voting early, 51% voted for Harris and 43% voted for Trump (in battleground states, Trump: 48%; Harris: 47%).  14% of voters say they are still weighing their choices, including 25% of Independents.Democrats and Republicans remain neck-in-neck in the congressional election (Democrat: 51%; Republican: 49%).CANDIDATE STRENGTHS ON THE ISSUES CONTINUE TO VARY WIDELYTrump’s perceived policy stances align more with those of the general public on issues like tougher law enforcement and opposition to open borders, the switch to electric vehicles, free healthcare for illegal immigrants, and men who have transitioned to women competing in women’s sports.63% of voters are against a national ban on abortion. Most believe Harris is against such a ban (73%, +1 from September) and Trump is for it (54%, -1).  Though many voters say Harris is to the left (53%) and Trump is to the right (50%) of them politically, 59% say they would rather vote for someone to the right of them.Voters believe Trump would do a better job on specific foreign policy issues like the Ukraine/Russia war (+9), standing up to China (+13), and the Israel/Hamas war (+10) over Harris, and 70% believe he has experience in foreign affairs. But 51% of voters believe Harris is better equipped to be commander-in-chief over Trump.  CURRENT EVENTS HAVE MINOR EFFECTS ON CANDIDATE PERCEPTIONS  85% of voters say CBS should release the full transcript of Harris’ 60 Minutes interview. More broadly, 51% of voters say recent Harris interviews have helped her, and 49% say they have hurt her (an 8-point gap among Independents, with more thinking they hurt her).  Harris holds leads over Trump on 10 out of 15 presidential characteristics including right temperament (+15), relates to the working class (+12), and honest (+10), while Trump is seen as more experienced (+10) and a fighter (+6).58% of voters say they were satisfied with FEMA’s response to recent hurricanes, and 67% of voters believe FEMA money should not have gone to housing illegal immigrants.38% of voters say JD Vance won the vice-presidential debate, while 35% of voters say Tim Walz won.  67% of voters believe billionaires mostly support Trump, while 33% of voters believe they support Harris.  APPROVAL RATINGS AND MOOD OF COUNTRY REMAIN UNCHANGED, WITH ECONOMY TOP-OF-MINDBiden’s approval rating sits at 42%, unchanged from the last three months, while 51% of voters approve of the job Trump did as President (-1 from September) and 49% approve of the job Harris is doing as Vice-President (+2).51% of voters believe they will be better off economically under a new Trump administration, while 49% hold this belief for a Harris administration.Inflation and immigration remain the top two national issues for voters, with 46% of voters saying inflation is most important personally (Democrat: 39%, Republican: 52%; Independent: 47%).  61% of voters say the U.S. economy is on the wrong track, staying relatively consistent since the summer of 2022. 47% of voters say their personal financial situation is getting worse (rural: 57%; suburban: 48%; urban: 40%).VOTERS SUPPORT ISRAEL’S STRIKES ON HEZBOLLAH AND RESPONSE TO IRAN, BELIEVING IRAN IS A SOURCE OF CONFLICT AND TERROR IN THE REGION52% of voters say Hezbollah is a terrorist organization, with 54% of 18-24 y.o. and 46% of 25-34 y.o. voters saying they are unsure.73% of voters say Iran is a regional sponsor of terror in the Middle East and blame Iran over Israel for escalating conflict, but 53% of 18-24 y.o. and 46% of 25-34 y.o. voters say Iran is not a regional sponsor of terror.63% of voters believe Israel is justified in responding to the recent Iranian missile attack (18-24: 45%; 25-34: 50%; 65+: 77%).63% of voters say campus protests in the U.S. are mostly about saving lives in Gaza rather than supporting Hamas and Hezbollah.65% of voters say authors who support Hamas and Hezbollah should not be given airtime on national TV.Download the full results here. 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The poll was conducted September 4-5, 2024, among 2,358 registered voters by HarrisX and The Harris Poll.The new poll found that the presidential horse race now sits at 50-50. Harris' favorability and job approval ratings remain at 47%, while Trump holds a 47% favorability rating and 52% job approval rating. Voters believe Harris would do a better job on abortion, climate change, and racial equality, while Trump would do a better job on the economy, immigration, crime, and China. The poll also covers public opinion on the economy and foreign policy.Other key findings include:CONGRESSIONAL AND PRESIDENTIAL HORSE RACES BOTH NECK-AND-NECKThe presidential horse race is tied at 50-50.Both presidential candidates are winning their respective party bases: male (50%), white (54%), and rural (59%) voters favor Trump, while Black (71%), urban (57%), and college-educated (52%) voters favor Harris.Independent voters are split almost evenly and 33% of them say they are still weighing their final choice.50% of Hispanic voters say they will vote for Harris, while 43% say they will vote for Trump — only a 7-point gap. 7% of Hispanic voters say they are still unsure.CANDIDATES ARE PERCEIVED AS WIDELY DIFFERENT ON THE ISSUESMajor differences emerged between how voters see Trump and how they see Harris on the issues. Harris is seen more often than not as favoring open borders, compassionate enforcement of laws, free healthcare to immigrants, and the switch to electric vehicles. Trump is seen as a stronger ally to Israel, harsher on China, and more of a defender of free speech on social media than Harris.Trump is seen as favoring a national ban on abortion while Harris is seen as opposing such a ban.49% of voters say Harris is to the left of them politically, while 50% say Trump is to the right of them politically.LESS THAN HALF OF VOTERS APPROVE OF CURRENT ADMINISTRATIONBiden approval rating stayed steady at 42% from July. Among minority voters, 66% of Black voters approve, but only 39% of Hispanic voters approve.Less than half of voters approve of Biden's performance across all issues, with racial equity his highest (47%) and the Israel-Hamas conflict his lowest (34%).47% of voters approve of the job Harris is doing as Vice President, with high approval from Democrats (87%), Black (71%), and urban (60%) voters.PERCEPTIONS TOWARD ECONOMY REMAIN PESSIMISTIC63% of voters believe the U.S. economy is on the wrong track and 62% characterize it as weak, consistent with perceptions over the past year.42% of voters named inflation as the most important issue facing the country today, up 5 points from July.48% of voters say their personal financial situation is getting worse, especially among female (53%), 55-64 year-old (55%), and rural (57%) voters.SUPPORT FOR ISRAEL OVER HAMAS UNCHANGED; YOUNG VOTERS SEEM UNINFORMED ON VENEZUELA ELECTIONS AND MANY FAVOR MADURO69% of voters say a ceasefire of the Israel-Hamas war should only happen after Hamas is removed from power and all hostages are released (ages 18-24: 45%; ages 65+: 84%). When asked to choose between Israel and Hamas without the choice to remain undecided, 79% continue to favor Israel while 21% favor Hamas.71% of voters say the execution of six hostages was the fault of Hamas over that of the Israeli government.More than half of voters have at least heard about the Venezuelan election, but 38% of voters say the Venezuelan election was not stolen by incumbent President Nicolás Maduro (ages 18-24: 49%; ages 25-34: 48%; ages 65+: 27%). 57% of voters say they support the protesters in Venezuela, and 60% support U.S. sanctions on Venezuela for allegations of election fraud, but 56% believe the U.S. government should not engage in another international issue. Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

In this episode of the Harvard Harris Poll Debrief, Bob Cusack and Mark Penn discuss the latest political developments and polling data. The discussion centers around a dramatic shift in the Democratic presidential race, with Joe Biden stepping aside and Kamala Harris becoming the new presumptive nominee.TakeawaysThe Democratic Party has experienced a renewal with the selection of Kamala Harris as the candidate.Harris has seen a significant improvement in her popularity and has the potential to win the election.Policy and performance will be key factors in the election, with Trump having an advantage on the economy.Attacks on Harris may focus on her progressive policies and lack of foreign policy experience.The selection of Harris' running mate is not expected to have a significant impact on the election.The electorate remains stable, with strong support for Israel and dissatisfaction with the economy.Chapters(00:00) The Renewal of the Democratic Party(01:07) The Popularity and Potential of Kamala Harris(02:22) Paths to Victory for Harris(05:06) The Importance of Policy and Performance(06:25) Likability and Potential Attacks on Harris(08:24) The Selection of Harris' Running Mate11:00The Stability of the Electorate Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

The poll was conducted June 28-30, 2024, among 2,090 registered voters by HarrisX and The Harris Poll. President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating dropped to 40%, his lowest since July 2022, while inflation and immigration remained voters’ top two concerns.DEBATE HURTS BIDEN, HELPS TRUMP74% of voters think Biden is too old to be President, an 11-point increase after the debate.66% of voters have doubts about Biden’s mental fitness for office, a 12-point increase after the debate.Voters are on net 7 points more likely to vote for Trump after the debate and 20 points less likely to vote for Biden.ATTITUDES TOWARD ECONOMY WORSEN62% of voters characterize their personal economics as fair or poor, up 7 points from May.52% of voters say their personal financial situation is getting worse, especially among Republican (69%) and rural (63%) voters.Biden’s approval on handling inflation dropped to 34%, his lowest in two years.TRUMP CONTINUES TO LEAD HORSE RACETrump leads Biden by 4 points in the horserace, down 2 points from last month.41% of voters (a plurality) say Trump’s guilty verdict in the New York hush money case has no impact on their vote, while 31% say they are more likely to vote for Trump and 27% say less likely.Marco Rubio and Tim Scott are the VP nominees who would be most helpful to Trump.IMMIGRATION-CRIME NEXUS CONTINUES TO CONCERN VOTERSVoters say the top issues caused by mass immigration are an increase in violence/crime (57%), a strain on resources such as healthcare and education (57%), and a rise in homelessness (55%).56% of voters think Biden’s recent asylum ban for migrants caught illegally crossing the U.S.-Mexico border is “too little, too late.”52% of voters support Biden’s recent executive order aimed at expediting citizenship for the undocumented spouses of U.S. citizens.SUPPORT FOR ISRAEL REMAINS HIGH64% of voters are paying close attention to the Israel-Hamas war, down 9 points from May, but support for Israel remains consistent at 80%.67% of voters say Israel should retaliate against Hezbollah until they stop firing rockets into the north (ages 18-24: 53%; ages 65+: 85%).Download the full results here. As always, I welcome your questions and comments. Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

Chapters00:00 Biden's Job Approval and Economy03:19 Impact of Border and Immigration05:42 Israel-Hamas Conflict and Ratings06:39 The Challenge of Swing Voters10:29 Crucial Presidential Debates13:23 The Hush Money Trial and Trump's Campaign Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating is steady at 44%, while Donald Trump leads the horse race by 4 points. Immigration and inflation remain the top two issues for voters. ELECTION FUNDAMENTALS SEE LITTLE CHANGE BUT TRUMP LEAD WIDENSImmigration and inflation continue to be voters’ top concerns, tied at 35% each this month.55% of voters believe Trump has committed crimes for which he should be convicted, but 55% say separately that they approve of the job he did as president.44% job approval for Biden shows 11-point deficit in job approval compared to Trump at 55%.AMERICANS PREFER FOCUS ON DOMESTIC RATHER THAN FOREIGN AFFAIRS59% of voters say this is a time in world affairs that enables the U.S. to focus primarily on domestic issues, rather than spend more on military and foreign affairs (Democrats: 58%; Republicans: 57%; Independents: 63%).58% say the U.S. does not have the leadership necessary to handle world affairs now.56% support sending $26 billion in aid to Israel; 49% support sending $8 billion in aid to the Indo-Pacific, including Taiwan; and 48% support sending $61 billion in aid to Ukraine.GENERATIONAL SCHISM ON ISRAEL REMAINS SALIENT DESPITE GENERAL SUPPORT UNCHANGED80% of voters say they support Israel over Hamas (ages 18-24 57% to 43%)71% say the crisis in Gaza has been created by Hamas, not Israel.78% say Hamas should be removed from running Gaza.72% of voters believe Israel should move forward with an operation in Rafah in order to finish the war against Hamas, while doing its best to avoid civilian casualties (ages 18-24: 57%; ages 65+: 84%).68% oppose a ceasefire unless it means Hamas would be allowed to continue holding hostages and running Gaza (ages 18-24: 66% still support). 70% support a “permanent ceasefire” but that support is contingent on hostage release and end of Hamas rule.In the context of the recent Iran attacks against Israel, 80% believe Iran must be stopped from having nuclear weapons (ages 18-24: 43%; ages 65+: 96%).MOST AMERICANS DISAPPROVE OF UNIVERSITIES AMID CAMPUS PROTESTS80% of voters believe students and professors who call for violence towards Jews should be suspended (ages 18-24: 59%; ages 65+: 92%).64% believe the leaders of private higher education institutions are not doing enough to prevent antisemitism (ages 18-24: 37%; ages 65+: 80%).64% believe there is a problem with what institutions of higher learning are teaching students today (ages 18-24: 47%; ages 65+: 74%). Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

The poll was conducted March 20-21, 2024, among 2,111 registered voters by HarrisX and The Harris Poll.   President Joe Biden's overall approval rating remained at 45%, while 55% of voters say they approve of Donald Trump's job as president. Immigration and inflation remained voters' top two concerns for the third month in a row. Stay tuned for the next Harvard CAPS / Harris poll podcast debrief at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or other podcast platforms.  Other key findings include:  VOTERS SPLIT ON BIDEN'S STATE OF THE UNION BUT RACE NARROWS SLIGHTLY52% of voters have an unfavorable opinion of Biden's State of the Union address.54% of voters, including 70% of non-watchers, think Biden did not address the issues that they and their families are concerned about in the speech.53% believe Biden delivered the speech effectively.Trump is leading Biden by 2 points in the general head-to-head, down from 6 points last month. 20% of Independents say they are unsure.VOTERS ARE FINE WITH "ILLEGAL" AND "UNDOCUMENTED" TERMS AS IMMIGRATION REMAINS TOP CONCERN73% of voters believe it is appropriate to refer to those who enter the U.S. without permission as "illegal immigrants"; 68% believe it is appropriate to refer to them as "undocumented immigrants."63% of voters have heard of the story of murdered Georgia nursing student Laken Riley and 70% believe the case shows that the U.S. needs stricter immigration policies.TIKTOK BAN IS DIVIDED BY GENERATION, NOT PARTY64% of voters believe the risks posed by TikTok to Americans' personal security and the country's national security outweigh the benefits of using TikTok for American brands and content creators (ages 18-24: 49%; ages 65+: 85%).65% of voters support the bill that would ban TikTok in the U.S. if ByteDance does not sell it to a U.S. government-approved buyer (ages 18-24: 43%; ages 65+: 84%).Voters are most concerned about potential election interference from Russia (74%), China (73%), Iran (60%), Hamas (56%) and tech companies (51%).ISRAEL SUPPORT REMAINS STRONG WITH SCHUMER CRITICIZED FOR CALL TO REMOVE NETANYAHUIsrael continues to receive high support, 79%, against Hamas.52% of voters say it was inappropriate for Senator Chuck Schumer to call for new elections in Israel to remove Benjamin Netanyahu; but 54% believe this criticism of Israel was fair.Netanyahu has a higher net favorable rating in the U.S. (+2 points) than Schumer (-10 points). Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

Here are the findings of the February Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, which was released together with The Hill today. The poll was conducted February 21-22, 2024, among 2,022 registered voters by HarrisX and The Harris Poll.  President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating rose to 45% while his immigration approval remained at 35%, his lowest on any issue. Immigration and inflation are the top two issues for voters for the second month in a row.Stay tuned for the next Harvard CAPS / Harris poll podcast debrief at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or other podcast platforms. Other key findings include: IMMIGRATION CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE FRONT AND CENTERVoters say Biden’s biggest failure was creating an open borders policy and a historic flood of immigrants. (Voters say Biden’s biggest accomplishment was lowering the cost of prescription drugs.)62% of voters support impeaching Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, including 48% of Democrats.55% of voters supported Trump’s calls to stop the Senate’s compromise immigration bill, which would have allowed 5000 migrants to enter per day until new measures kicked in.INFLATION LOOKS STICKY TO VOTERS71% of voters think price increases and inflation have proven to be sticky and are here to stay – including 58% of Democrats and 87% of Republicans.45% of voters say their personal financial situation is getting worse – down from 64% in summer 2022.42% say inflation is the most important issue to them personally, up 4 points from January.VOTERS ARE CONCERNED BY SPECIAL COUNSEL REPORT ON BIDEN’S AGE AND MEMORY ISSUES59% of voters say age and memory lapses are inadequate justification for Special Counsel Robert Hur not pursuing criminal charges in the classified documents case.76% of voters, including 64% of Democrats, want the transcript of Hur’s interview with Biden to be released publicly.71% of voters, including 50% of Democrats, would consider it an impeachable offense if it were true that Biden worked with his son and brother to help bring in multimillion-dollar fees from China, Russia and Ukraine while he was vice president.TRUMP KEEPS LEAD DESPITE LEGAL CHALLENGESTrump beats Biden by 6 points in the head-to-head matchup.57% of voters say they approve of the job Trump did as president.54% think the New York judge’s recent ruling that Trump defrauded state banks was fair.ISRAEL SUPPORT REMAINS STRONG82% of voters support Israel over Hamas (with 72% support among 18-24-year-olds, their highest percentage to date).63% of voters support Israel continuing its ground invasion into Southern Gaza to root out the final elements of Hamas. Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

Mark Penn and Bob Cusack breakdown the results from the January 2024 Harvard-CAPS Harris Poll. This month's word: Immigration. Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the December Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.President Joe Biden's approval rating is 43% with slight upticks in economic sentiment. The generation gap on the Israel-Hamas war remains prevalent as 81% of all voters but only 50% of 18-24-year-olds side with Israel. The poll also covers public opinion on immigration and the 2024 horse race. Download key results here."There is bipartisan consensus among voters on many issues right now, from immigration and increased border security to support for Israel and Ukraine," said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. "The party that compromises effectively could win over swing voters who remain conflicted between different cross-pressures about the economy and the weaknesses of the leading candidates."AMERICANS THINK THE U.S. SHOULD SUPPORT BOTH ISRAEL AND UKRAINE65% of voters think the U.S. should be supporting Israel in its war against Hamas; 65% separately think the U.S. should be supporting Ukraine in its war against Russia.54% of voters support giving $14 billion in aid to Israel; 49% support giving an additional $50 billion in aid to Ukraine. Republicans are most likely to support the aid to Israel and Democrats most support aid to Ukraine.65% of voters, including 51% of Democrats, believe the Republicans should hold up aid to both Israel and Ukraineto get additional border security measures.VOTERS WANT MORE ACTION ON IMMIGRATIONBiden's approval rating on immigration dropped 8 points to 38% in the last month.57% of voters believe Trump had better immigration policies than Biden.Only 8% of voters knew that over 3 million people crossed the border illegally in the past year; the majority believed the number was under 500,000.VOTERS THINK THEY ARE WORSE OFF UNDER BIDEN ALTHOUGH VIEWS ON ECONOMY ARE TICKING UP55% of voters say they are worse off personally during Biden's presidency and 61% say they were better off personally during Trump's presidency.44% say the economy is strong today, up 6 points in the past six months.Inflation remains the most important issue to voters personally (chosen by 40%).TRUMP MAINTAINS LEAD IN HORSE RACE WITH WIDESPREAD DOUBTS ABOUT HIM AND BIDEN56% of voters believe Trump will act like a dictator if reelected, but 59% believe Democrats are trying to unfairly scare voters by labeling Trump as a dictator.72% believe a vote for Biden is really a vote for Kamala Harris because he will not likely serve a full second term.Trump leads the head-to-head matchup against Biden by 5 points and leads by 7 points when including third-party candidates.VOTERS WANT HUNTER BIDEN TO AGREE TO DEPOSITION81% of voters, including 72% of Democrats, believe Hunter Biden should appear for a deposition by Congress if asked to explain his business dealings.GENERATION GAP ON ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR EXTENDS TO UNIVERSITY PRESIDENTS AND POLICIES62% of voters feel university presidents did not go far enough to condemn antisemitism on their campuses in their Congressional testimony (ages 18-24: 67% feel the presidents did go far enough).74% believe students who call for the genocide of Jews should face actions for violating university rules (ages 18-24: 47%).76% believe Jewish students on campus are facing harassment (ages 18-24: 68%).67% of 18-24-year-olds believe Jews as a class are oppressors and should be treated as such (in contrast, 73% of all voters believe this is a false ideology).The December Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on December 13-14, 2023, among 2,034 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.  Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

President Joe Biden's approval rating rises slightly to 45% with slight upticks in positive economic sentiment. Israel and Biden's policy on the war continue to receive strong support as 80% of voters side with Israel over Hamas and 58% approve of Biden's policies. The poll also covers public opinion on abortion, crime and the 2024 horse race. Download key results here."It is easy to lose sight of how much support there really is among American voters for Israel and for President Biden staying strongly pro-Israel – although misinformation on Israel and Hamas remains prevalent, especially among younger people," said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. "Biden's Israelpolicy could help him pick up swing voters, while the Democrats continue to win elections on abortion since they come across to swing voters as the party of personal freedom on this issue."ECONOMIC OUTLOOK TICKS UP SLIGHTLY42% of voters think the U.S. economy is strong today, the highest since February 2023.30% say their personal financial situation is improving, up 6 points since July.47% are optimistic about their life in the next year, up 4 points since last month.ISRAEL CONTINUES TO RECEIVE MAJORITY SUPPORT80% of voters support Israel over Hamas (ages 18-24: 55%; ages 65+: 95%).61% of voters support Israel continuing until Hamas is defeated and the hostages are released (ages 18-24: 51%; ages 65+: 81%).78% of voters support Israel calling for 4-hour partial ceasefires each day, but 51% did not know about these ceasefires (ages 18-24: 59% support, 64% did not know).VOTERS CONTINUE TO APPROVE OF BIDEN'S ISRAEL POLICY66% of voters think Biden should support Israel rather than pull back (ages 18-24: 39%; ages 65+: 84%).65% of voters favor the $14 billion aid package to Israel (ages 18-24: 57%; ages 65+: 75%).63% of voters think Biden is doing enough to protect Palestinian civilians (ages 18-24: 46%; ages 65+: 64%).MISINFORMATION ON HAMAS AND ISRAEL'S LEVELS OF FREEDOM AND TOLERANCE REMAINS SIZABLE AMONG YOUNG VOTERS81% of voters think Hamas uses civilians as human shields (ages 18-24: 68%; ages 65+: 95%).78% of voters believe Hamas is an authoritarian ruler (ages 18-24: 59%; ages 65+: 96%).69% of voters believe Israel a democracy (ages 18-24: 56%; ages 65+: 84%).51% of 18-24-year-old voters think Israel allows gay people to live together openly; 45% think Hamas allows the same.6-WEEK ABORTION BAN IS NOT POPULAR59% of voters say women should have the sole right to decide whether to have an abortion for any reason up to 6 weeks of pregnancy.When asked about the prospect of federal abortion legislation, 39% of voters think Congress should pass a law guaranteeing access similar to Roe v. Wade; 35% want Congress not to pass any law; only 27% want a Congressional law restricting abortion to 6 weeks or less.AMERICANS WANT MORE LAW ENFORCEMENT AS CRIME CONCERN STAYS HIGH63% of voters think you need to have a gun today in case you're attacked by criminals – including 54% of Democrats.83% of voters across the political spectrum think shoplifting laws should be strictly, not more laxly, enforced.TRUMP STILL LEADS PRIMARY AND GENERAL MATCHUPS DESPITE LOOMING CONVICTION THREATSTrump continues to lead the GOP primary field with 67% support and the general election match-up against Biden by 6 points.Voters are split 50-50 on whether Trump will be convicted or not; 89% of Trump primary supporters say they would vote for him even if he were convicted of a crime.But the Trump vote may be softer than people think: 63% of Trump primary supporters say they have at least some chance of ending up voting for someone else.The November Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on November 15-16, 2023, among 2,851 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.  Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

OCTOBER HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: STRONG MAJORITIES OF AMERICANS SUPPORT ISRAEL AGAINST HAMAS AND U.S. POLICY ON ISRAEL48% OF 18–24-YEAR-OLDS SIDE MORE WITH HAMAS; WAR VIEWS DEFINED BY GENERATIONS, NOT PARTYBIDEN APPROVAL RISES ON ISRAEL RESPONSENEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass. – Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the October Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.Israel receives overwhelming support from Americans: 84% of voters support Israel over Hamas and 88% believe Israel has a right to respond militarily against Hamas. President Joe Biden edges up to 44% approval as 58% approve of the job he is doing on Israel. Republicans in Congress have hurt themselves significantly in the breakdown over the Speaker of the House as Congressional and Republican ratings sink. Download key results here.“Americans strongly support Israel against Hamas’ terrorist attacks by 80 percent or more. However, there is a split not among the parties but among the generations as 95% of seniors support Israel while support drops to only 52% among the youngest voter group,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “President Biden’s vocal support of Israel is winning approval from both sides, while the Republicans’ chaos in the House is doing the opposite.”AMERICANS OVERWHELMINGLY SUPPORT ISRAELAND ITS RIGHT TO RESPOND TO HAMAS ATTACKS• 84% of voters side more with Israel than with Hamas (ages 18-24: 52%; ages 65+: 95%).• 88% of voters think Israel has the responsibility to protect its citizens by retaliating against Hamas (ages 18-24: 65%; ages 65+: 97%).• 84% of voters believe Israel has the right to defend itself by launching air strikes in heavily populated Palestinian areas with warnings to those citizens (ages 18-24: 62%; ages 65+: 93%).• 70% of voters think Israel should eliminate Hamas, not end its campaign against Hamas now (ages 18-24: 48%; ages 65+: 82%).• 63% of voters believe it was right for Israel to cut off power, water and food to Gaza until its hostages are returned (ages 18-24: 41%; ages 65+: 70%).• 61% of voters say there is no moral equivalency between Hamas’ murders and Israel’s actions (ages 18-24: 36% – the majority believe both sides have equally just causes; ages 65+: 80%). SIGNIFICANT NUMBERS OF YOUNG VOTERS HAVE THEIR OWN FACTS, DENY ATROCITIES COMMITTED• 17% of voters think it is a false story that Hamas terrorists killed 1200 Israeli civilians by shooting, raping and beheading people (ages 18-24: 32%; ages 65+: 10%).• 46% of voters say that Israel, not Hamas, rules Gaza (ages 18-24: 53%; ages 65+: 32%).• 33% of voters think the explosion at a Gaza hospital explosion was caused by an Israeli airstrike rather than a terrorist rocket that went off-course (ages 18-24: 45%; ages 65+: 13%).BIDEN GETS GOOD RATINGS ON ISRAEL POLICY AS VOTERS THINK U.S. HAS RESPONSIBILITY TO HELP• 58% of voters approve of Biden’s foreign policy on Israel(ages 18-24: 52%; ages 65+: 61%).• 64% of voters say the U.S. has a responsibility to militarily support Israel while it is under attack by terrorist groups(ages 18-24: 49%; ages 65+: 70%).• While Biden did not mention the U.S. hostages in his October 19 Oval Office address, 71% of voters think the U.S. has the responsibility to bring to safety the over a dozen Americans abducted by Hamas (ages 18-24: 42%; ages 65+: 81%).• 59% of voters say the U.S. should directly intervene if Iran attacks Israel (ages 18-24: 40%; ages 65+: 64%).REPUBLICAN VOTERS DISAPPROVE OF MCCARTHY OUSTER• 62% of GOP voters say the Republicans who ousted McCarthy are hurting the Republican Party.• 57% of GOP voters say that if House Republicans cannot elect another speaker before government funding runs out in 30 days, they should find a different candidate other than McCarthy.TRUMP LEADS THREE-WAY RACE WITH BIDEN AND RFK JR.• Donald Trump continues to lead the GOP primary race with 60% support.• Trump continues to lead Biden in a head-to-head contest, 46% to 41%.• Trump also leads in a three-way race against Biden and RFK Jr., 39% to 33% to 19%, respectively.The October Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on October 18-19, 2023, among 2,116 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. ​Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms. About The Harris Poll & HarrisXThe Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.  Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/. Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the September Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.President Joe Biden’s approval rating remains at 42% after a new impeachment inquiry, which 53% of voters split along party lines support. The poll also covers the 2024 horse race and public opinion on issues such as illegal immigration and parental rights. Download key results here. “After a quiet summer, the electorate remains unhappy on the economy and a slew of other issues,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “Since voters have hardened views on Biden and Trump, the primaries have not gotten competitive yet either.”INFLATION FRUSTRATIONS REMAINVoters continue to say inflation is the most important issue facing the country (33%), as well as the most important issue to them personally (39%). 64% say Bidenomics is not working.75% of voters, including over 70% from each party, think the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates enough. VOTERS SPLIT ON BIDEN IMPEACHMENT INQUIRY53% of voters support the impeachment inquiry into Biden, with 51% of Independents against.57% say Biden helped Hunter get influence peddling contracts and 60% think Biden has made false or misleading statements about Hunter’s business dealings.The country is split 50-50 on whether Biden’s impeachment inquiry is politically motivated or raises legitimate legal questions; voters are split 50-50 on the same question regarding Donald Trump’s prosecutions.TRUMP CONSOLIDATES SUPPORT AND LEADS BIDEN IN HEAD-TO-HEADTrump increases his lead among Republican voters to 57%, while Ron DeSantis continues falling to a distant second with 10%.In head-to-head presidential matchups, Biden loses to Trump by 5, Nikki Haley by 4, and Tim Scott by 2; he defeats Mike Pence by 6, Ron DeSantis by 4, and Vivek Ramaswamy by 2. AMERICANS FIND AGREEMENT ON IMMIGRATION AND PARENTAL RIGHTS71% of voters, including 53% of Democrats, think illegal immigration to the U.S. is getting worse. 87% of voters, including over 80% of each party, agree parents have a right to know if their children want to transition their gender.There is still goodwill towards teachers: 60% of voters, including 59% of Independents, say teachers are mostly trying to help kids get a better education, not push an ideology onto them.The September Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll survey was conducted online within the United States from September 12-14, 2023, among 2,103 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. ​ Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms. Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

Harris Poll Chairman / Stagwell CEO Mark Penn and The Hill Editor in Chief Bob Cusackexplore findings of the July Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted July 19-20 and released by Harvard’s Center for American Political Studies and Harris Insights and Analytics.Download the full report - key results, crosstabs and key findings.The Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll is conducted by The Harris Poll online within the United States every monthly and captures the responses of over 2,000 registered voters. The results reflect a nationally representative sample. Results were weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, and education where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.The Co-Directors of the Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll are:Stephen D. Ansolabehere – Professor of Government & Director, Center for American Political Studies, Harvard UniversityDritan Nesho – Fellow, Harvard Institute for Quantitative Social Science & CEO of HarrisX Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

Harris Poll Chairman Mark Penn and The Hill Editor in Chief Bob Cusack explore findings of the June Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted June 14 and 15 among 2,090 registered voters.MOST AMERICANS UNHAPPYVoters remain politically split 50-50 but just about 100% are unhappy with the direction of the country, the economy, and their political leaders. Biden’s approval is frozen in place despite the debt ceiling deal and a recovering stock market; yet Trump’s numbers are also unshaken after an unprecedented federal indictment.BIDEN AND TRUMP STRENGTHEN THEIR POSITIONS- President Joe Biden’s approval rating remains at 43% and Donald Trump continues to lead their 2024 matchup, by 6 points this month. The poll covers public opinion on the Trump federal indictment, electric vehicles and policy issues like parental rights.AMERICANS THINK THE CASE AGAINST TRUMP IS STRONG BUT WANT A PARDON- 58% of Americans think the case against Trump is strong, including 85% of Democrats, 60% of Independents, and 30% of Republicans.- Voters are split 51-49, down party lines, on whether Trump’s indictment is reason to withdraw from the 2024 race.- If Trump is convicted, 53% of voters – driven by 80% of Republicans – support pardoning him in the interest of national unity.MORE VOTERS PREFER TO LIVE IN A STATE WITH A REPUBLICAN-LEANING SLATE OF POLICIES- 64% of voters say they would want to live in a state that cuts taxes, encourages public charter schools, does not allow gender surgery for minors, and restricts most abortions after six weeks.- By contrast 66% of voters – including a majority of all parties – say they would not want to live in a state that has increasing taxes, restricts legal gun ownership more strictly, allows abortion up to 9 months, allows minors to get gender surgery without parental permission, encourages undocumented immigrants, and allows felons to vote.TRUMP AND BIDEN STRENGTHEN THEIR 2024 POSITIONS- Even after the indictment, 59% of Republicans would choose Trump in a GOP primary and he would beat Biden in a general election 45-39 (one point closer than last month).- Biden has strengthened his position with 62% support among Democratic voters in a primary – but Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is in second at 15% and his personal favorability rating is 21 points above water.AMERICANS OPPOSE ELECTRIC VEHICLE MANDATES- Americans are split 50-50 on supporting the $7500 tax credit subsidy for an EV purchase.- 59% of voters oppose government regulations that would require at least half of all cars sold in the U.S. by 2030 to be electric.- Americans still like gas cars: 64% think they are better vehicles than EVs.- Voters are split on the net climate effect of EVs: Half of Americans, including most Republicans and Independents, think EVs produce just as much pollution through the car battery mining and production process.AMERICANS SATISFIED WITH SCHOOLS BUT WANT STRONGER PARENTAL RIGHTS- 74% of parents with school-aged children, including majorities of all parties, think schools are respecting their rights as parents.- 77% of voters oppose a law in their state that would allow minors to get gender-changing surgery and puberty blockers without parental permission, including 66% of Democrats and 87% of Republicans.The June Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll survey was conducted online within the United States from June 14-15, 2023, among 2,090 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX.The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.  Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts.  Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

Harris Poll Chairman Mark Penn and The Hill Editor in Chief Bob Cusack dissect and interpret findings of the May Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted May 17-18, 2023, among 2,004 registered voters. ​ Donald Trump now beats Joe Biden by 7 points in a 2024 presidential matchup. Meanwhile half of voters have heard of the Durham report on the FBI’s investigation of Trump and Russia, but they seem confused about its contents, as half mistakenly thought the report said the FBI investigation was well-founded.TRUMP CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AFTER CNN TOWN HALLTrump now beats Biden in a 2024 general election by 7 points, 47-40.Trump stretched his lead in a GOP primary to 58% and Biden stretched his lead in a Democratic primary to 41%.VOTERS SEEM CONFUSED BY DURHAM REPORT ON FBI’S TRUMP INVESTIGATIONHalf of voters, evenly split across parties, have heard of the Durham report on the FBI’s Trump-Russia probe.But Americans are confused about the Durham report’s conclusion: half of voters, including 72% of Democrats, believed the report said the FBI’s Trump investigation was well-founded, even though it said the opposite.52% of voters believe the Durham report was a fair examination, although 57% of Democrats said it was fair and 54% of Republicans said it was biased.70% of Democrats still believe Trump worked in concert with Russia to win the presidency and 71% believe the Steele dossier was a true story.MAJORITY OF VOTERS ACROSS ALL PARTIES WANT STRICTER IMMIGRATION POLICIES71% of voters, split evenly across the parties, have heard of the repeal of Title 42, a COVID-era immigration regulation that allowed the U.S. government to send those who attempted to cross the southern border illegally to Mexico to wait for a court date.54% of voters – including 67% of Democrats and 46% of Republicans – support the repeal of Title 42.53% of voters now think the Biden administration is just trying to enforce immigration laws more humanely, rather than creating an open border (which a majority of voters thought in December).But only 38% of voters approve of Biden’s handling of immigration, down 2 points from last month.VOTERS CONTINUE TO WANT DEBT CEILING NEGOTIATIONS35% of voters, up 6 points from last month, now think Biden has signaled willingness to curb spending in the next year.Voters continue to want Democrats to cave and negotiate on the debt ceiling to prevent a default: 57% say so, up 2 points from last month.As default looms, 70% of voters, up 6 points from last month, now think default would be a huge issue. Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

Harris Poll Chairman Mark Penn and Bob Cusack, Editor in Chief of The Hill explore the  April Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted April 18-19, 2023, among 1,845 registered voters. ​For the first time since last year, Americans’ view of the economy has declined and the public continues to take the Republicans’ side on debt negotiations, with 65% wanting Congress to raise the debt ceiling only with restraints on future spending. Meanwhile the indictment has strengthened Donald Trump’s standing among Republicans as he extends his lead in an open GOP primary to 55% support, while 65% of voters think Joe Biden would not be able to finish a second term if reelected.VIEWS OF THE ECONOMY WORSEN AFTER 3 MONTHS OF IMPROVEMENTSPartisanship determines Americans’ view of the economy: 30% of voters overall say the economy on the right track, but 54% of Democrats think so compared to 12% of Republicans.52% of voters think their personal financial situation is getting worse.INDICTMENT STRENGTHENS TRUMP WITH REPUBLICANS AS DESANTIS FADES BUT IS NOT OUT50% of voters, up 4 points from last month, now think a Trump trial will help his candidacy.61% of voters believe Trump will ultimately be acquitted.In an open GOP primary Trump extends his lead to 55% support, with DeSantis falling to 20% support. In a head-to-head primary against DeSantis, Trump extends his lead to 61%.But 58% of Republican voters say DeSantis is ready to give Trump a “real challenge” for the Republican nomination.VOTERS THINK A BIDEN SECOND TERM MEANS PRESIDENT HARRIS63% of voters think Biden would not be able to finish a second term if reelected.THE PUBLIC CONTINUES TO TAKE THE REPUBLICANS’ SIDE ON DEBT NEGOTIATIONS66% of voters think the U.S. government has too much debt and 55% think the government is spending too much.When told the national debt is $31 trillion, 65% of voters want Congress to raise the debt ceiling only with restraints on future spending.81% of voters, including 81% of Democrats and 86% of Republicans, support returning the country to a balanced budget.CRIME CONCERNS BECOME LESS PARTISAN AS VOTERS WANT STRICTER PROSECUTION86% of voters think crime is a serious issue right now and 48% think crime and safety are getting worse in their own communities.60% of voters, including 52% of Democrats, think police today are afraid of doing their jobs.58% of Americans, including 43% of Democrats, think big city district attorneys are pulling back from prosecuting violent offenders sufficiently.Voters most blame rising crime in American cities on the worsening economy (23%) and prosecutors who don’t enforce the laws (22%).REGULAR AMERICANS AREN’T FAMILIAR WITH ESG64% of voters have not heard of ESG investing.Americans are split on ESG strategies: after being given the definition, 52% of voters think investment managers have a duty to prioritize returns above all else rather than the option to consider climate and ESG concerns. Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter

Harris Poll Chairman Mark Penn and Bob Cusack, Editor in Chief of The Hill explore the findings of the March Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted March 22-23 among 2,905 registered voters. ​KEY TAKEAWAYS:Joe Biden and Donald Trump are solidifying support among their bases as both stretched their lead by 4-5 points in their respective primaries among party voters. While Americans were very concerned about inflation, 71% think the banking crisis will impact them not at all or only a little bit. Voters are united in seeing China as an enemy (75% think so), but they are split on banning TikTok in the U.S. completely versus allowing it to operate with certain conditions.VOTERS APPROVE OF GOVERNMENT’S BANK INTERVENTIONS BUT AREN'T PERSONALLY CONCERNED ABOUT BANKING CRISIS67% of voters agree with the Biden administration’s decision to step in and guarantee all customer deposits from Silicon Valley Bank and other failed banks.77% of voters think the government should fully insure deposits at all US banks, not only systematically important firms.Americans aren’t worried about the banking crisis reaching them: 71% think the bank failures will impact them not at all or only a little bit. 67% think the deposits in their own banks are safe.Americans care more about inflation than the banking crisis: 54% of voters believe the Federal Reserve should prioritize fighting inflation even if it means allowing banks to fail and could lead to a financial crisis in the short term.AMERICANS AGREE TRUMP INDICTMENT LOOKS POLITICAL BUT SUPPORT OR OPPOSE IT ALONG PARTY LINESVoters are split evenly along party lines on whether they think the Manhattan DA should indict Trump.59% think the indictment is politically motivated, and 67% think the Trump payment in question was a personal, not a campaign, payment.61% of voters, including half of Republicans, agree that Trump’s calls for protests in case he is arrested were irresponsible.AMERICANS UNITED IN CONCERN ABOUT CHINA BUT SPLIT ON TIKTOK BAN75% of voters see China as an enemy of the US, and 80% think it seeks to replace the US as the key player in global affairs.55% of voters think Biden’s foreign policy is too weak on China.Voters support banning TikTok on government devices (75%) but are split on how to handle TikTok for the public: 45% support a full ban in the US, while 46% support allowing the app with conditions such as forcing it to undergo regular security reviews or forcing its Chinese owners to sell their stakes.TRUMP AND BIDEN SOLIDIFY THEIR SUPPORT AHEAD OF PRIMARY SEASON BUT TRUMP HAS A CLEAR CHALLENGERBiden rose 5 points to 41% support in a hypothetical Democratic primary, while Trump rose 4 points to 50% support in a hypothetical Republican primary.A Biden-Trump rematch now looks probable: 57% of Republican and Independent voters think Trump will win the Republican primary, while 60% of Democratic and Independent voters think Biden will win the Democratic primary.Trump has a clear challenger while Biden does not: Ron DeSantis trails Trump in a head-to-head primary matchup by 12 points. Interested in Learning More?Harvard Harris PollListen to More EpisodesTwitter