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Episode 1388: EPCA '25 PODCAST: Europe polyols and isocyanates set for demand doldrums

According to attendees at the annual European Petrochemical Association (EPCA) conference in Berlin, Germany held during 22-25 September, consumption for polyols and isocyanates for the rest of 2025 is not expected to recover with similar expectations going forward. In this episode, European markets editor Zubair Adam for isocyanates and polyols and Rob Peacock, ICIS lead analyst, discuss sentiments captured during the conference.FORECASTING UPDATE: Starting September 2025, ICIS will begin releasing its polyols and isocyanates 18-month forward price forecasts twice a month. Each market will be fully updated once a month, with a second update comprising revised price forecast charts plus a brief discussion highlighting market changes.

09-30
05:05

Episode 1387: Podcast: What to expect this winter for European base oils and lubricants?

European Group I base oils volumes have been locked in a downwards trend as a domestic oversupply build up in inventories over the summer while export volumes continue to see some tightness especially on heavier grades. Is Exxon Mobil's newly opened Singapore plant expansion the answer to that supply gap? And how are flows expected to change?Sophie Udubasceanu, Sam Wright and Michael Connolly discuss what to expected this winter for European base oils and lubricants.

09-30
09:56

Episode 1386: Think Tank at EPCA ’25: Decision time: support the industry or it goes away

BERLIN (ICIS)--In a special podcast recorded on the sidelines of European Petrochemical Association (EPCA) event in Berlin, Insight Editor Tom Brown talks to Europe News Editor Morgan Condon and Market Development Director John Richardson about sentiment on the sidelines of this year’s meeting.

09-25
22:16

Episode 1385: PODCAST: Experts dive into immediate and future impacts of tariffs on US PET/R-PET markets

US recycled plastics Senior Editor Emily Friedman, US PET Markets Reporter Melissa Wheeler, Vice President of the Polyester Chain, Antulio Borneo, and Senior Recycled Plastics Analyst Andrea Bassetti discuss the implications of recently added reciprocal tariffs on the US virgin polyethylene terephthalate (PET) and recycled PET (R-PET) markets including: Immediate spot price impacts across virgin and recycled PET Revised annual contract negotiations on several recent price increase initiatives Forecasted market trends of US R-PET Tariff management techniques applied by market participants Correction:  The audio has been changed to "the US imported 3.27 billion lbs of PET/rPET in 2024" instead of "3.7 billion lbs".

09-23
13:39

Episode 1384: Think Tank: EPCA '25 - Focus on cash, feedstocks, consumer trends amid shifting industry landscape

Industry leaders should concentrate on cash, security of raw materials and trends which will drive chemicals demand as tough conditions continue in Europe.- Preserve cash, keeping debt under control in this tough environment- Focus on securing feedstocks amid upstream closures- Identify consumer trends, future customer needs- Tentative signs of improvement for Europe’s economy- Expect more closures across the region- Oxford Economics forecasts return to growth from mid-2026- Southern Europe ports may get busier as more imports flow from Middle East, Asia- Sustainability has to be about affordability- Market talk of some aviation fuel buyers opting to pay a fine for undershooting sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) mandates due to the cheapness of conventional fuels

09-19
28:55

Episode 1383: Think Tank Fecc ‘25: Christian Kohlpaintner reflects on a career in chemicals

The former Brenntag CEO believes the chemical industry can overcome current challenges once it takes some more bold steps. -          Industry emerged stronger from previous crises and can do so again-          Nascent recovery stifled by tariff war-          Overcapacity is hurting industry everywhere-          Europe closures mean distributors may adjust sourcing-          Distribution industry is ripe for more consolidation-          Leaders need a strong vision to attract the best talent-          Private equity, state-funded bodies could buy assets, create national champions In this ICIS Think Tank podcast, Will Beacham interviews Christian Kohlpaintner, former CEO of Brenntag. 

09-11
47:13

Episode 1382: Europe phthalic anhydride, plasticizers markets fundamentally subdued ahead of EPCA'25

European phthalic anhydride (PA) reporter Gabrielle Jordan and plasticizers reporter Marion Boakye discuss current market conditions ahead of the European Petrochemical Association (EPCA) annual meeting, taking place 22–25 September in Berlin, Germany.Both markets are set to remain under pressure through 2025, with sellers facing headwinds from competitive import flows, ample domestic supply, and muted demand.A meaningful rebound in consumption appears unlikely, as ongoing economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and fragile global trade continue to weigh on major downstream sectors, particularly automotive and construction.Topics discussed include: Supply-demand dynamics Short-term outlooks Key themes ahead of EPCA Podcast by Marion Boakye and Gabrielle Jordan

09-09
08:45

Episode 1381: Think Tank: Five critical themes that will drive chemicals in Q4

In an increasingly unstable world, chemicals executives need to be aware of the important issues which are likely to steer the global economy, and markets, for the rest of 2025. President Trump’s tariff trade war Russia’s war with Ukraine China’s property bubble Potential for another Asian financial crisis Crude oil market convulsions In this ICIS Think Tank podcast, Will Beacham interviews Paul Hodges, chairman of New Normal Consulting.

09-04
33:48

Episode 1380: Affordability concerns weigh on phosphates market as ammonia supply remains tight

The phosphates market has seen some activity recently, with China resuming phosphates exports and import demand from Ethiopia and Bangladesh. However, affordability remains an issue for the market, especially in India.Meanwhile, ammonia availability continues to remain tight globally with planned and unplanned shutdowns.Senior editors Chris Vlachopoulos and Sylvia Traganida discuss the latest developments in the markets and the short-term outlook.

09-02
15:16

Episode 1379: Sustainably Speaking - US and Asia R-PET markets see sinking prices amid global oversupply and weak downstream demand

Join Emily Friedman, ICIS US recycled plastics senior editor in Episode 5 of Sustainably Speaking alongside Arianne Perez, Asia recycled plastic senior editor, and Joshua Dill, Americas recycled plastic analyst, as they discuss the implications of weak domestic recycled polyethylene terephthalate (R-PET) markets between the US and Asia. Even as local feedstock markets tumble, both regions are seeing further downwards pressure from global trade.Some questions answered during this episode: What is the current state of US and Asian R-PET markets? Are dropping US prices influencing Asian markets? How has the evolving tariff policy impacted US R-PET and PET imports via the 3907 HS code? What is the end of year outlook for US and Asian R-PET markets considering the weak environment at present?

08-29
20:51

Episode 1378: PODCAST: Europe oxo-alcohols and derivatives markets subdued in August

LONDON (ICIS)--Europe oxo-alcohols and derivatives markets have seen lower level of activity in August with supply widely ample across derivative markets and demand subdued. Into September and for the remainder of the year, substantive changes to underlying demand are not widely expected and so the principle focus is still on supply changes and the impact of planned maintenances.Glycol ethers editor Cameron Birch speaks to oxo-alcohols and butyl acetate editor Marion Boakye and acrylate esters editor Mat Jolin-Beech about conditions in these markets and expectations for the near future.

08-29
10:18

Episode 1377: Think Tank: AI may transform chemicals but with a human touch

Chemical companies may see drastic AI-driven changes in sales, marketing, supply chain and product development but it will always augment, not replace humans. -          Companies need to work out their pain points and ambition-          Quantifying AI’s business value is a key challenge-          Companies often run siloed projects without a unified strategy-          Clean, trusted data is essential for AI success-          AI should augment, not replace, human decision-making-          Governance and ethical frameworks are critical safeguards-          AI can reshape supply chains and customer engagement-          Cultural change and workforce education are vital-          AI raises questions about intellectual property-          AI adoption in chemicals is still at an early stage In this Think Tank podcast,  ICIS journalist Will Beacham interviews AI entrepreneur and consultant Eleanor Manley, Sebastian Rau, director of advanced analytics for ICIS and Carlos Soares, senior vice president for data, analytics & AI at Brenntag. 

08-26
51:25

Episode 1376: Asia biodiesel, glycerine markets navigate mixed signals

LONDON (ICIS)--A mix of regulatory changes, market fundamentals and global economic factors is transforming the Asian biodiesel and glycerine markets.In this latest podcast, Asia biodiesel editor Evangeline Cheung and glycerine senior editor Helen Yan joins their Europe counterpart Nazif Nazmul to share the latest developments and expectations for what lies ahead. Firm palm oil fundamentals and regulatory support strengthen biodiesel market despite mixed demand Recent drop in glycerine spot prices linked to a slump in China's epichlorohydrin (ECH) market Market awaits further clarification on EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), impact on US tariff-led oleochemical trade follow Biodiesel, which can be derived from vegetable oils, animal fats and other waste-based bio-feedstocks, is used as fuel in diesel engines.Glycerine is mainly used in personal and oral care products such as skincare creams, toothpaste and mouthwash. It is also used in food products, either as glycerine directly or one of its derivatives such as glycerol monostearate.

08-22
07:33

Episode 1375: PODCAST: Chemicals sector downcycle could run and run

·       Global trade increasingly driven by politics·       Years of low inflation have distorted markets by allowing unprofitable companies to stay in business·       Global trade terms clearer but the impacts to supply chains still unfolding·       Demographic shifts continue to rise up policymaker agendas·       Trade relationships and the path of AI development are key factors for the sector in future·       At current trajectory, chemicals down-cycle could run for years

08-22
22:31

Episode 1374: Europe methanol and MTBE markets face weak demand amid a substandard summer driving season

European methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) reporter; Gabrielle Jordan and methanol senior editor; Eashani Chavda discusses the supply and demand dynamics of each market as both face atypical, subdued demand in Q3, due to a subpar summer driving season.Topics discussed include: Supply and demand dynamics Increasing import reliance Potential US tariffs and their effects Podcast by Gabrielle Jordan and Eashani Chavda 

08-14
09:07

Episode 1373: Think Tank: AI, innovation and M&A could save chemicals in high-cost regions

As a completely new chemical industry landscape unfolds before us, leaders should harness AI, innovation and consolidation opportunities in high cost regions.  Industry faces structural—not cyclical—challenges Overcapacity and competition squeeze Europe Demand decouples from GDP, shrinking market size AI can boost efficiency and forecasting accuracy. Specialties and low-carbon products need careful thinking Global chemical companies withdraw from Europe Local chemical companies can gain market share via mergers & acquisitions (M&A) M&A and national champions may drive consolidation Defence sector offers immediate, well-funded opportunities  In this Think Tank podcast, Will Beacham interviews Richard Carter from Carter Consultancy and Paul Hodges, chairman of New Normal Consulting. 

08-12
29:49

Episode 1372: OUTLOOK: H2 global base oil drivers

In this podcast, join the ICIS global base oils team as they discuss the key drivers impacting the market in H2. Weaker crude complex to weigh on costs Group II supply poised for length Demand weakness persists

08-08
25:59

Episode 1371: Think Tank: Overcapacity, AI, protectionism will transform chemical companies, markets in next 5-10 years

Rising overcapacity, AI and protectionism may drive a swift transition in chemical production and markets in the next 5-10 years.-          Commodity chemicals may be produced mainly by large state-owned enterprises-          Smaller, privately-owned companies may switch to high value composites, specialties, low-carbon chemicals-          High-cost regions such as Europe could protect their essential commodity chemicals production-          Protective measures need to be taken in next 3-6 months to rescue EU commodity chemicals-          A lot more commodity capacity closures required to keep operating rates healthy-          AI will have a massive impact on chemical companies and markets-          AI will enable us to navigate and analyse increasingly chaotic markets-          AI could drive job losses, disrupt economies-          Climate change will alter seasonal and geographic demand patterns-          Electronics, property, auto markets are depressed-          Q2 chemicals results are very poor in all regionsIn this ICIS Think Tank podcast, Will Beacham interviews John Richardson from the ICIS market development team, ICIS Insight Editor Tom Brown and Paul Hodges, chairman of New Normal Consulting. 

08-08
30:32

Episode 1370: Sustainably Speaking: EU's mass balance proposal, SUPD consultation a game changer for recycling

Join John Richardson, ICIS senior executive, business solutions group, in Episode 4 of Sustainably Speaking along with Mark Victory and Matt Tudball, senior editors for recycling Europe, and Helen McGeough, global analyst team lead for plastic recycling as they discuss the European Commission's proposals to allow mass balance for chemical recycling using a fuel-exempt accounting approach under the Single Use Plastics Directive (SUPD), and what this means for the wider recycling world. Plus, how amendments in the draft Implementing Decision allow for recyclate from outside the EU to count towards the 25% recycled content for polyethylene terephthlate (PET) beverage bottles, as well as whats going on in the wider world of recycling. Some questions answered during this episode:  Why is this draft Implementing Decision on mass balance so important, and what does ‘fuel-exempt’ mean?  Will this increase investment in chemical recycling in Europe and what happens if other regions go for a ‘free allocation’ approach? What’s the impact on global operators working in different markets? Can recyclate made from post-consumer plastic waste placed on third country markets count towards recycled content targets? What does a ‘level playing field’ for Europe look like? Will there be a sudden acceleration of chemical recycling projects as Europe’s crackers close? Is chemical recycling the solution for mass-scale food contact for polyolefins in Europe by 2030?

07-30
29:53

Episode 1369: Europe PE, PP digests July tariffs, India anti-dumping duties, August outlook

From four-year lows for European polypropylene (PP) prices, Dow announcing the closure of its Bohlen cracker, ping-ponging crude oil prices, a key US and EU tariff deal, and some fresh anti-dumping duties in India – June and July have been action packed for PP and polyethylene (PE).ICIS senior editor manager Vicky Ellis and senior editor Ben Lake compare notes with ICIS market specialist Aswin Kondapally on how Europe and Indian markets match up in July, and what to expect in August.

07-30
35:10

Faezeh Rafieyan

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