DiscoverModern Value Investing with Sven Carlin
Modern Value Investing with Sven Carlin

Modern Value Investing with Sven Carlin

Author: Sven Carlin

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Want to learn about stock market investing, understand risk and reward of the stocks you buy, learn how to do in-depth fundamental analysis and more? Modern Value Investing with Sven Carlin Podcast covers a variety of investing topics that will help you reach your financial goals.
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Many have been attracted by Airline stocks recently, but to get exposure to the travel growth mega trend, perhaps it is better to look at Airport stocks. Airport stocks are better than airline stocks because some airports offer a moat, something that no airline offers. Plus, airport stocks are cheap as airport stock prices fell in the same way as airline stocks. Given that you can own an airport for the next 100 years, get the dividend and exposure to growth that is expected to be at 4.5% per year over the next 20 years, it might be interesting to get exposure now when airports stocks are down due to the covid-19 interruption. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
When it comes to stock market investing, one needs to have a good strategy, sustainable philosophy and clear investment goals as we discussed in this video about investment goals: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2qoZQcfLshk In this video, we discuss my strategy, philosophy, general investing goals that should give a great overview on what is this stock market channel all about. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Fabasoft stock is a stock that went up 10 times over the last 5 years which makes it a ten bagger. A few ten baggers in your portfolio and you are set for life. I looked into the company and also looked for the factors that created the spike in Fabasoft's stock price. The key factors to look for when looking for ten bagger stocks are: - development of new products based on a profitable basis - increase in revenue and profitability thanks to product expansion - increases in dividends and buybacks thanks to good business, thus rewarding shareholders. Fabasoft stock represents Fabasoft, a software company that is working for public institutions mostly in Germany. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Ray Dalio recently discussed his views about the most important thing when it comes to investing for the next decade: ZERO INTEREST RATES! That is important for your money, savings and investments. With monetary policy 3 where there is one certainty: THEY ARE GOING TO PRINT MONEY AND CURRENCIES WILL LOSE VALUE. How it is going to happen and when, at what magnitude? Nobody knows, not even Ray Dalio. He guides for diversification! I respectfully disagree with him and aim for concentration where I'll do my best to take advantage of the opportunities out there and diversify over time by taking the opportunities that will arise thanks to the market volatility coming. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Facebook stock FB crashed 8.32% on Friday because of the announced ad boycott by many companies like Unilever, Coca Cola, recently Starbucks on Sunday that might push the stock down even more during this week. However, investing is about knowing how to differentiate between the noise and fundamentals and we discuss Facebook's recent news and compare it to FB fundamentals. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Reits and Real estate stocks or Real estate investment trusts (REITs) are one way to get exposure to real estate by simply buying a stock and not having to do any painting, toilet reparation or similar. However, it isn't that easy and you need to know which are the factors to watch. It is not just about the usually high REIT dividends - there is more to watch - from FFO, revaluations, tenant quality and leverage. We discuss CA Immo Stock which is a real estate stock owning commercial properties in Europe traded on the Austrian Stock Exchange. You can call it a European Reit. The dividend yield is 3.4% and the PE ratio just 6 because of the crazy real estate revaluations they constantly do. One of the factors to watch. The Austria Stocks List: https://svencarlin.com/austria-stock-exchange-list/ Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Ray Dalio's recent prediction of a lost decade for stocks ahead, strongly resounded through the investing world. And it should be so as he correctly predicted the 2008 stock market crash and the current monetary reaction to the covid crisis and again, stock market crash. We explain what are zero stock market returns, what are the main factors that can contribute to such a situation and what can an investor do about it. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Nike Stock Analysis shows how Nike is definitely a great business - we share 6 key fundamental factors that show how Nike stock represents a great business, from a dividend growth stock to improving margins across low capital necessities. However, Nike's stock price is really expensive from a fundamental perspective given the PE ratio of 36, likely going higher after next earnings, and due to the growth rate that is not as high as it was in the past. Over the last years, NIKE's revenue growth was around 6%, much below the usual 9% over the past 15 years. Therefore I would dare to say Nike is not a good stock to buy now. But, given the free money environment, you will decide for yourself whether Nike is a stock to buy or sell based on the fundamentals analyzed. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Stock market investing is hard whether you are a stock market beginner or a stock market professional, it is easy to get lost in the noise of the stock market. Will stocks crash, are we in a recession, are we in a new bull market, what will the FED do etc. Those questions are impossible to answer so we have to focus on the stock market's fundamentals that always give the answer. I have created a 10 step handbook that will guide you when it comes to investing for the long-term. This video is about step 1: SETTING A CLEAR INVESTING GOAL with a few examples of how one can get there! 1) The importance of setting a clear investing goal 2) Eliminating the stock market's noise 3) Investing example and compounding 4) Creating new cash flow streams 5) Stock market crashes are irrelevant Next steps in videos to come: 2) IT STARTS WITH SAVINGS OR MORE 3) BASIC INVESTING FUNDAMENTALS 4) AVAILABLE ASSET CLASSES TO INVEST IN 5) INVESTING IN REAL ESTATE - the rule of 66! 6) INVESTING IN STOCKS 7) FINDING A BROKER 8) INVESTING STRATEGIES (being an owner, diversification) 9) LONG-TERM INVESTING AND COMPOUNDING – building your wealth 10) Back to you – the right MINDSET – always believe the world will be a better place Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
As we have seen, there are 20 reasons why there could be a second stock market crash ahead - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YnZyrUWGJHc And we have also discussed whether the stock market is in a bubble or not - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pnZ2DLBxaQ Logically, what is left to discuss is what are the reasons why the stock market might not crash as there is a reason, or more of them why stocks are going higher despite the bad economic data. The 10 reasons stocks might not crash again are the following: Monetary policy: 1) There sill be no stock market crash because low interest rates make stocks dirt cheap. 2) Plus, the FED is pumping so much money into the system, that money has to go somewhere 3) Inflation - there is measured inflation and financial asset inflation 4) Paradigm shift - it could be that currencies aren't worth much in 5 years 5) Given current valuations and the above, stocks are dirt cheap Secular Mega Trends preventing the stock market from crashing: 6) Middle class growing fast and investing 7) Tech boom - not only tech stocks 8) A better world Investing 9) Accumulate wealth all the time - compounding 10) Think of your life cycle and stock market crashes - does it really matter Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
20 Factors Why the Stock Market Will Crash! If you look at factors from a historical perspective, a stock market crash looks inevitable. Here are the reasons why stocks will crash: 1) The poor credit market can't survive and a liquidity crisis will crash corporations, governments and consequently stocks. 2) Buybacks will be cut in half in 2020 and therefore less buying activity will crash stocks 3) Slow economic growth 4) Consumer debt is high and people can't spend more 5) The stock market PE ratio signals a crash ahead or low returns 6) Yield curve inverted signals recession 7) M3 money is low 8) No corporate earnings growth signal a stock market bubble 9) bond market is in junk territory 10) Worst economic recession since the great recession 11) Debt to GDP 150% 12) 5 stocks making 20% of S&P 500 index 13) March 2020 30% stock market crash 14) technicals - Fibonacci 15) Bear markets last 15 months on average 16) baby boomers selling 17) Buffett is selling stocks 18) There is deflation, not inflation 19) Buy stocks 20) There is no vaccine Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
A stock market crash is what follows a stock market bubble. However, you can only know something is a stock market bubble after there is a stock market crash because if it doesn't pop or crash, it never becomes a bubble. In any case, we define what a stock market bubble is, what are the core concepts of a bubble, why a bubble bursts. We apply the Minsky credit cycle model to the current economic and stock market environment and also look into the fundamentals of the market because a bubble is a bubble only when the market is detached from fundamentals. Something that might not be the case now due to low interest rates. Video content - Current Stock Market and Economy Environment - Stock Market Bubble definition - Historical Stock Market Bubble and Crash Examples - Stock Market Fundamentals - Will the stock market crash or not! Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Stock Market News today - we discuss the current covid outlook, the impact on the economy, why it likely isn't a depression, just a recession. How will the economic rebound look like and what will be the consequences. Governments are piling debt that will be a future issues. We also touch on the FED, the fiscal and monetary stimulus and the possible long and short term impact on inflation. Further, we touch on investing in gold or crypto and what is Goldman's view there. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
In 2008 banks were too big to fail! In 2020, stocks might be too big too fail! We discuss the financialization of the economy,, how household wealth is impacted by financial engineering and low interest rates force people to invest. This all leads to stocks being hot and discussed by many, cheap brokers like Robinhood add to the party. Usually, it would be a huge warning sign for the stock market, but today it might be indicating that stocks are too big to fail. With stocks being $28 trillion of american wealth, or 23%, it is hard to imagine the FED letting the market crash due to repercussions on consumption and spending. Plus, the stimulus might keep the not so rich happy and avoid populism. It all depends how the current financial engineering situation will be managed. How the FED and politicians react will have huge repercussions on your investing, how the stimulus is used and how it impacts the economic situation. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Nutrien Dividend Stock Analysis - A stock to watch! THE KEYS WHEN IT COMES TO NUTRIEN: - Low cost potash producer with 6 million tonnes production ramp up option at extremely low cost and 50 years of production ahead - gives a margin of safety, also the high margins protect the dividend - Integrated with retail after the merger with Agrium contributing $650 million in synergies - the retail segment is not as volatile as the fertilizer segment which gives also more stability to the dividend - $2 billion cash flow at the bottom, or possible bottom, of the fertilizer cycle. Even if cash flows fall to just $1 billion, that is what they pay out for dividends, thus still some room left - Good distributions to shareholders and sound balance sheet - strong buybacks and dividends from free cash flows - Possible growth coming from potential higher fertilizer pricing but also from operations as the constantly invest for growth. This could be a long-term compounder and dividend growth stock. Don't expect the dividend to grow linearly because the business isn't such, but it can grow - Potash is an oligopoly with 9 global players playing the prisoners dilemma game with China and India on pricing and production rates - Global demand is likely to grow but production growth has also a lot of potential. However, expansion is not cheap - The market is expecting lower for longer potash prices that would put pressure on the company and perhaps lower dividends - The trend is for an increase in demand for potash over the long-term. - Stock is at multi decade lows. - To make it a great stock to buy, a low risk high reward one, the market cap needs to be around $12 billion! So, depending on your risk appetite, see whether it is a stock to buy or a stock to watch. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Stock markets are not predictable and uncertain. So is the economy, covid, trade, politics etc. Nobody knows what will happen and the only certainty is uncertainty. But, can we have some certainty when it comes to stock market investing? Yes we can! It all boils down to investing fundamentals, and what those matter for you. The key is to be in a place where the worst outcome is ok and allows you to create new streams of income with the current streams. This allows for long-term compounding and achieving satisfying investing returns. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Before investing, you must know that stocks can crash 70% anytime and 50% of individual stocks will likely deliver negative returns or below 2% while 75% will under perform the market. If you are not ready for that, better don't invest in stocks! It is that simple! It is not about whether there is going to be a crash next, it is about what are you going to do when a crash comes and are you ready if stocks don't crash. I have looked at research that shows how investors under perform the market by trying to time a stock market crash and about how difficult it is to time it. The key is that you see how does the possibility and magnitude of a crash fit your tolerance. Stocks can crash 70% anytime and stay down for decades - are you ready for that? When it comes to individual stocks, the situation gets uglier. 30% of individual stocks will crash and actually deliver negative returns. Only 4% of stocks will do really great and compound! Can you handle the pain of investing in stocks? If you can't, I don't know, buy a house! Stocks can crash and individual stocks even more written version: https://sven-carlin-research-platform.teachable.com/courses/494365/lectures/17085038 Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Corning is a picks and shovels business for the 5G trend, the autonomous driving trend with more screens in the car where you don't focus on driving any more but on entertaining and also on other glass uses like vaccines. It is also a fundamentally sound business that has survived many crises. it is however a cyclical business with high capital investments needed to always stay at the forefront of technology with high initial margins that decline fast as the competition ramps up. Nevertheless a stock to watch and perhaps nail the upturn when the huge buybacks will be reinstated. The company returned $20 billion to shareholders in the past where the current market cap is $19 billion. I will be following and covering the company in the future and then compare to other investing opportunities out there. Perhaps you wish to follow it too and I hope you like the analysis. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Google stock 2020 analysis. We are going to use Peter Lynch's categorization of fast growing stocks to analyze Google (Alphabet stock) GOOG, GOOGL. Fast growing stocks have certain characteristics and expectations and we are showing how Google stock fits those expectations. This should give you an answer whether GOOG is a stock you should buy or not. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
Charlie Munger discussing how to outperform the market over the long-term. It is not about being smart like many fund managers try to be, it is about doing the right thing a few times in your life. On why index funds outperform the majority, well that is statistics, don't get confused by that. Index funds outperform active due to fees, active outperform individual investors when looking at averages. The key is that you do what is best for you! Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) Stock Ideas and Analyses for The Small Investor: https://goo.gl/GdKEoe I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD
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Comments (3)

Mikhail Freudson

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Oct 11th
Reply

Mikhail Freudson

sven, this is a great podcast listened twice. thank you for doing this. I'd like to know your opinion re midstream lo companies. it's seems very good value now plus hefty dividend yeld up to 9 per cent.

Oct 11th
Reply

Mikhail Freudson

I really like Svens podcast, not always agreed with his investing approach, but very nicely put from stocks evaluation point of view. I would like hear more about fundamentals. keep up great work, I also moved to the western world from Ukraine about 20 years ago and continue building financial independance and wealth. loved Croatia, but too expensive to buy real estate now and to far to commute and live there, any other ideas re alternative asset investments. great job!. thank you, mikhail.

Apr 19th
Reply
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