Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

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“Mother All Crises” | Luke Gromen on America’s Choice Between AI Dominance and Real Value of Treasury Market

2025-12-1001:33:31

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Luke Gromen of Forrest For The Trees argues that the US is facing the "Mother of All Crises": a forced choice between losing the AI race to China or destroying the US Treasury market. In this deep dive, we cover why the electrical grid is the ultimate bottleneck, why Bitcoin is flashing a warning signal for 2026, and the mathematical path to $15,000 gold. Recorded December 1, 2025. Follow Teucrium on Twitter https://x.com/TeucriumETFs Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Luke Gromen on Twitter https://x.com/LukeGromen Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Beating Bitcoin at Scale with Directional Crypto Strategies | Sam Gaer of Monarq Asset Management

2025-12-0901:10:11

This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXMax Sam Gaer, CIO of Directional Strategies at Monarq Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss how he uses quantitative directional strategies to trade crypto assets and produce an institutional quality return stream that has outperformed bitcoin at scale. He explains how his experience as a market maker, executive, and self-taught electronic exchange technologist driving some of the most important technological advances in finance led him to “burn the boats,” leave tradfi, and go all in on building institutional crypto strategies with Monarq. He also discusses how institutional appetite for crypto hedge fund strategies is growing with increased regulatory clarity, greater availability of institutional level funds, and evolving market opportunities in crypto-native and crypto-linked tradfi assets. Follow Sam Gaer on X: https://x.com/samg67 Follow Monarq on X: https://x.com/monarq_mgmt Follow VanEck on X: https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:43 Q4 Crypto Volatility 06:21 A Disappointing Year for Crypto Bulls 10:29 Taking Advantage of Extreme Volatility 12:50 Triple Barrier Risk Management 15:43 $REMX 16:26 Responsible Leverage 17:17 Is the 4-Year Cycle Over 21:55 Early Days Pit Trading 24:16 Building Electronic Exchange Technology 26:38 CEO of NYMEX Europe and NYMEX IPO 27:24 Move to FINRA 28:43 Building and Selling a Volatility Hedge Fund 29:15 Burn the Boats 32:14 Joining Monarq 37:14 Differences Between Crypto Fund Managers and TradFi 39:17 Institutional Adoption of Crypto Hedge Funds 44:27 Can Crypto Strategies Scale to Meet the Demand? 47:19 The Crypto TradFi Collision 49:57 The Difference Between Institutional and Non-institutional Quality Crypto Funds 54:13 Hyper Liquid and Other Market Improvements in Crypto 59:26 Will TradFi Take Over Crypto? 01:01:31 Digital Asset Treasuries 01:08:46 The Next Stage for Monarq

Why Metals Are Soaring While Oil Stalls | CME Chief Economist Erik Norland on Precious Metals, Oil, Copper, and More

2025-12-0859:00

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Erik Norland, Chief Economist at the CME Group, joins Jack Farley to discuss the wild volatility in commodity markets. With Silver up over 80% in the past year, Erik breaks down the technological shift from photography to solar panels that is driving demand. They discuss the global fiscal situation, where major economies from the US to Brazil are running deficits between 6% and 8% of GDP , creating a bid for gold prices as investors seek assets central banks can't print. Norland also covers copper, oil, and agricultural commodities. Recorded December 4, 2025. Follow Teucrium on Twitter https://x.com/TeucriumETFs Follow Erik Norland on LinkedIn uk.linkedin.com/in/erik-norland-a089124 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Erik Norland’s articles: google.com/search?q=erik+norland+cme&oq=erik&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUqBggAEEUYOzIGCAAQRRg7MgoIARAuGLEDGIAEMgYIAhBFGEAyBggDEEUYPDIGCAQQRRg8MgYIBRBFGD0yBggGEEUYQTIGCAcQRRhB0gEHNTk3ajBqN6gCALACAA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 “What’s Driving Platinum and Palladium Prices?”: https://www.cmegroup.com/openmarkets/economics/2025/Whats-Driving-Platinum-and-Palladium-Prices.html “Four Major Drivers of the Gold-Silver Price Ratio”: https://www.cmegroup.com/insights/economic-research/2025/four-major-drivers-of-the-gold-silver-price-ratio.html “Is Crude Oil at a Major Inflection Point?”: https://www.cmegroup.com/insights/economic-research/2025/is-crude-oil-at-a-major-inflection-point.html Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

China’s Involution Trap | Michael Pettis on China's Excess Savings, Industrial Overcapacity, and Exporting of Deflation

2025-11-3001:18:261

Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: www.vaneck.com/REMXJack In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack sits down with Michael Pettis, Senior Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment, to deconstruct the massive economic imbalances between China and the rest of the world. For decades, the global economy has relied on a specific mechanism: China suppresses domestic consumption to subsidize manufacturing, and the US runs massive deficits to absorb that excess supply. Pettis argues this model has reached its limit. They discuss the concept of "economic involution," why China’s shift from real estate bubbles to manufacturing bubbles is dangerous for Europe and the US, and why the current tariff regimes are merely shifting trade routes rather than solving the problem. If you want to understand why the trade deficit keeps growing despite political intervention, and what a "Great Rebalancing" actually looks like, this is a must-listen. Recorded on November 24, 2025. Trade Wars Are Class Wars book: https://www.amazon.com/Trade-Wars-Are-Class-International/dp/0300244177 Michael Pettis’ Work At Carnegie Endowment For International Peace: https://carnegieendowment.org/people/michael-pettis?lang=en Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Michael Pettis on Twitter https://x.com/michaelxpettis Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

The Lopsided Expansion | Aahan Menon on Why Long-Term Forecasts Don’t Make Money, And The Growing Divergence Between AI CapEx And Labor Market

2025-11-2901:27:33

Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% of Prometheus Macro Substack here: https://www.prometheus-macro.com/subscribe?coupon=a60c1c9f Aahan Menon, founder of Prometheus Macro and a trusted "quant's quant" for sophisticated hedge funds, joins Jack Farley to explain why his models are signaling a meaningful shift down in risk. While previously striking a bullish tone, Aahan reveals why his institutional strategies have moved from "max bullish" to neutral on equities and commodities. Aahan breaks down a concerning divergence in the economy: while GDP and spending are being propped up by a surge in AI CapEx and top-heavy consumption, the underlying labor market is weakening. He explains the "circularity" problem of AI investment—eventually, CapEx must turn into consumption, which requires wage growth that is currently stalling. Later in the conversation, Aahan challenges core macro beliefs, presenting data on why long-term economic forecasting and tracking "rates of change" generate negligible or negative alpha. He also details his current positioning, including being short homebuilders, long French bonds against Japanese JGBs, and his "Crisis Protection" portfolio. Recorded on November 25, 2025. Follow Aahan Menon on Twitter https://x.com/AahanPrometheus Follow Prometheus Macro on Twitter https://x.com/prometheusmacro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Breaking Down Michael Burry’s Big Nvidia Short Thesis and Open AI’s Massive Loss Projections | Jack & Max

2025-11-2834:03

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal AI. Save 30% off any paid tier at for Black Friday: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe breakdown Michael Burry’s big Nvidia short thesis and the recent projections from HSBC that Open AI will lose nearly half a trillion dollars between now and 2030. They also discuss the recent repricing of Fed rate cuts in December and debate which companies are the biggest losers if AI turns out to be a bubble. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:16 The Biggest Event in Macro 00:55 Breaking Down Michael Burry's Short Thesis for Nvidia 04:47 Semiconductors Are Historically Cyclical 07:08 Is Nvidia a Good Short? 08:25 Criticism of Burry's Analysis 16:38 Fiscal.ai 18:17 Open AI's Massive Loss Projections 24:26 AI Coding Agent Revenues 26:25 Can Nvidia Escape Unscathed? 29:54 Michael Burry's Substack Success 30:54 AI Spending's Impact on GDP 31:56 December Fed Meeting

As Good As It Gets? | Meb Faber on U.S. Stock Valuations, Trend Following, and Endowment Allocations To Private Markets

2025-11-2701:12:27

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners In this episode of Monetary Matters, Jack welcomes Meb Faber, founder of Cambria Funds, to discuss the extreme valuations in the US stock market and where investors can still find value. Meb breaks down historical market cycles, comparing the current AI boom to the railroad bubbles of the past, and explains why "expensive uptrends" can persist longer than logic dictates. The conversation shifts to the institutional world, where Meb challenges the status quo of major endowments like Harvard and CalPERS, arguing that complex private equity strategies can often be beaten by simple, liquid ETFs. Finally, Meb reveals a tax code loophole (Section 351) that allows investors to swap concentrated stock positions for diversified ETFs on a tax-deferred basis. Recorded on November 20, 2025. Follow Meb Faber on Twitter https://x.com/MebFaber Follow The Idea Farm on Twitter https://x.com/theideafarm Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Pieces Discussed: “Exceptional Expectations: U.S. vs. Non-U.S. Equities”: https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Research/White-Papers/Exceptional-Expectations-US-vs-Non-US-Equities “LEARNING TO LOVE INVESTMENT BUBBLES: WHAT IF SIR ISAAC NEWTON HAD BEEN A TRENDFOLLOWER?”: https://mebfaber.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/SSRN-id1923387.pdf Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Venture Capital’s Collision with Public Markets, the Dry Powder Bubble, and VC Metrics that Lie | James Wang of Creative Ventures

2025-11-2501:15:58

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners James Wang, General Partner at Creative Ventures and author of “What You Need to Know About AI” joins Other People’s Money to discuss the most pressing issues facing venture capital right now including: VC’s collision with public markets, the “RIAifaction” of VC firms, and the reality that there is still too much dry powder propping up venture valuations. Wang also discusses the difficulty of judging VC funds off of typical metrics like MOIC and TVPI, especially when the fund is still in the middle of its life cycle. Wang closes the podcast with his views on AI as expressed in his new book and the reasons why he believes many are being distracted by first-order effects. Follow James Wang on X: https://x.com/AJamesWang Read Weighty Thoughts: https://weightythoughts.com Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 01:22 The Collision of Public and Private Markets 04:13 Venture Capital is Following the Same Path as Other Asset Classes 05:52 Venture's Shifting Role in Portfolios 13:36 Venture Capital Emerging Managers 18:39 Corporate Venture Capital 20:58 The Most Active Venture LPs 22:45 Sovereign Wealth Funds and Strategic Venture 26:56 RIAs and Private Wealth as the Next Source of Capital 31:58 The Emergence of Star Athletes and Actors as VCs 33:41 Most VCs Don't Add Value to Portfolio Companies 35:31 Comparing VC Funds: The Metrics That Lie 43:32 Sneaky VC Marketing Tricks and Marketing Materials 48:33 Reference Checks and Speaking with Founders 50:17 The Dry Powder Bubble 57:41 What You Need to Know About AI 59:47 Tracking AI Progress 01:03:42 The Politics of AI 01:07:32 The Next Stage of Training AI Models

Demystifying First Brands Group’s $ 12 Billion Bankruptcy | Robert Smith of the Financial Times

2025-11-2401:02:291

Robert Smith, Corporate Finance Editor at the FT, joins Jack to discuss the recent $12 billion bankruptcy of First Brands Group that has shocked the financial world. He explains the history of First Brands, its collapse, and the company’s ongoing bankruptcy proceedings. Robert also discusses the larger world of private credit and if First Brands is the first of many ‘credit cockroaches.’ The bankruptcy is of particular interest given the fact that it could be a signal of further problems on the horizon of the private credit market. Recorded on November 21st, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Follow Robert Smith on Twitter https://x.com/BondHack Follow Robert Smith on Bluesky https://bsky.app/profile/bondhack.ft.com Read Robert’s FT Articles https://www.ft.com/robert-smith First Brands Collapse in a Nutshell https://on.ft.com/48ptTUu

The Fed Won’t Pop AI: It Will Save Housing | Blue Door’s Dan Krausz On The Three Neutral Rates, The Liquidity Waterfall, and Why Profits Rising While Employment Falters Is Not Bearish For The Stock Market

2025-11-2301:21:351

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Dan Krausz of Blue Door Asset Management joins Monetary Matters to argue that the global economy is currently driven by two dominant macro factors: aggressive fiscal policy and Artificial Intelligence. He breaks down the concept of a "three-speed economy," explaining how 6% fiscal deficits create a "liquidity waterfall" that funds the government first while leaving housing and small businesses in a silent recession. Dan posits the contrarian view that the Federal Reserve may actually need an AI productivity boom to manage long-term inflation and debt, making the potential "AI bubble" a necessary economic tool rather than a threat. Finally, he outlines his three critical rules for positioning in this environment, explaining why investors must "avoid the middle" and why the opportunity is shifting from AI infrastructure to implementation. Recorded on November 18, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Is The AI Bubble Popping? | Jack and Max on Data Center Debt, Fragile Markets, and Insurance Companies

2025-11-2141:00

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mmAs investors’ outlook on AI capital expenditure sours, Jack and Max explore the rising debt issuance to fund artificial intelligence development, and the faltering share prices of companies with exposure to the “AI factor”: the hyperscalers (particularly Oracle), the chip companies, and the neoclouds such as Coreweave and Nebius. Jack then looks at two insurance companies, Kinsale and Palomar, as insurance sector does its part to hold up the S&P 500. Jack and Max also give an update on Chinese fintechs at the end. Recorded on November 21, 2025.Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwietheFollow Monetary Matters on:Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyhSpotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 02:28 Debt Fueled CapEx Boom 08:23 "AI CEOs Are Building a God" 11:24 The Real Speculative Bubble 15:51 NeoCloud Risk 17:53 Fiscal AI 19:11 Healthcare and Insurance Strength 21:38 Kinsale Capital Group 27:38 Factors Benefiting Insurance 29:12 Palomar Holdings 33:48 Jobs Data and December Fed Meeting 37:26 Chinese Fintech Bloodbath 40:32 Conclusion

AI Euphoria Is Rolling Over | Lyn Alden on Bitcoin Correction, Who Satoshi Is, Data Center CapEx, and Whether AI Is A Bubble

2025-11-1901:31:28

Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: www.vaneck.com/REMXJack In a change of pace, Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy returns to Monetary Matters not to talk macro, but to discuss in-depth her views on AI capital expenditures that are driving a majority of the economic growth in the United States. Describing herself as “a moderate bull on AI,” Alden argues that AI is masking the true weakness of the U.S. economy, and that, while AI will prove to transform industries, there could be hiccups in the huge sums that are being spent to build out this AI vision. She notes that “AI euphoria is rolling over” and shares her views on the chip depreciation, with analogues to Bitcoin mining. Alden shares her view on Bitcoin in 2026 and explains in depth how the difficulty adjustments within Bitcoin support the long-term sustainability of the network. This is the most in-depth on Bitcoin Jack has gone with Lyn Alden in his many interviews going back to 2020. Recorded on November 17, 2025. Pieces discussed: “Liquidity, Shutdowns, Tariffs, and Earnings,” November 9, 2025: https://www.lynalden.com/premium-2025-11-9/ “Liquidity Pivot and Banking Update,” October 26, 2025: https://www.lynalden.com/premium-2025-10-26/ “Two AI Stock Rotations,” October 12, 2025: https://www.lynalden.com/premium-2025-10-12/ Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Lyn Alden on Twitter https://x.com/LynAldenContact Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Can Alpha Capture Save Fundamental Long/Short Equity Investing? | David Stemerman CenterBook Partners

2025-11-1801:09:39

This Other People’s Money episode is brought you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Fundamental long-short equity investing has been in decline with fewer new fund launches and dwindling assets, but David Stemerman, CEO, CIO and Co-founder of CenterBook Partners believes data clearly shows these investors still have significant investing skill. He argues that single manger hedge fund data collected using alpha capture can be used to construct new portfolios and strategies that will be more attractive for institutional investors. Through a combination of direct payments, data sharing, and partnering with single managers on custom strategies he believes that that alpha capture can revitalize single manager hedge funds. Not all alpha capture strategies are made equal though and one of the biggest problems he is trying to solve is convincing managers and their LPs that alpha capture can be done without harming the returns of the manager. Read the white paper: https://www.centerbook.com/ACPaper Become a CenterBook Partners partner fund: https://www.centerbook.com/contributors Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:40 Fiscal.ai 01:34 Single Manager & Tiger Cub Origins 02:45 Fundamental Long Short Equity Under Pressure 07:21 History of Alpha Capture 09:07 Responsible Alpha Capture 16:40 Fiscal.ai 17:58 Why Don’t Managers Adapt to Allocator Demands? 26:48 CenterBook's Current Alpha Capture Strategy 33:14 How Do You Manage External Partners? 35:38 Reactions From LPs at Partner Funds 39:46 Types of Allocators Are Interested in Alpha Capture? 41:53 Types of Managers Partnering with CenterBook 43:04 Is Alpha Theory a Requirement? 46:03 Scale Limits for CenterBook 48:39 Do Most Managers Have Skill? 53:15 Active Extension: The Future of Active Management? 01:03:13 Timeline for Single Manager Active Extensions

The State of Real Estate Credit | Rithm Capital's Satish Mansukhani on Mortgage Servicing, Commercial Real Estate, and Rithm's Asset Manager Acquisition Strategy

2025-11-1601:17:15

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Satish Mansukhani, managing director at Rithm Capital, joins Jack on Monetary Matters for a high-level real estate discussion. Jack and Satish discuss the complexities of real estate investing, credit quality, private credit, and more in an interview that explores the minutiae of this gigantic sector of capital markets. Recorded on October 22nd, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Satish on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/satishmansukhani/ Satish’s Articles: “Life in Office—It’s Not All Bad”: https://www.rithmcap.com/insights/life-in-office-it-s-not-all-bad/ “Control Over Access: The Structural Edge in Asset-Backed Finance”: https://www.rithmcap.com/insights/control-over-access-the-structural-edge-in-asset-backed-finance/ Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

The Case For S&P 10,000 by 2027 | Erik YWR on Global Economic Boom, Why Soaring Earnings Support High Equity Valuations, and Oil + China

2025-11-1400:31

Erik YWR, global investor and author of the Your Weekend Reading Substack, joins Monetary Matters to make the case that the stock market is headed higher, and that investors are far too bearish. Erik argues that with corporate earnings growing at double digit levels, valuations can get a lot higher from here. Several tailwinds that support this ongoing bull market include strong fiscal spending, high and durable earnings growth worldwide, a strong banking sector that is about to be unleashed, and technological transformations in AI, semiconductors, electric grids, and grid transformation. Recorded on November 6, 2025. Follow Erik YWR on Twitter https://x.com/erik_ywr Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Pieces discussed: “YWR Killer Wave Charts,” October 24, 2025: https://www.ywr.world/p/ywr-killer-wave-charts “YWR: $200 oil pops the bubble,” October: https://www.ywr.world/p/ywr-200-oil-pops-the-bubble “YWR: China Trip Highlights,” November 3, 2025: https://www.ywr.world/p/ywr-china-trip-highlights Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Why Beating the Market Isn’t Enough for Investment Managers | Corey Hoffstein

2025-11-1301:16:26

This Other People’s Money episode is brought you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Corey Hoffstein, CEO and CIO of Newfound Research and co-founder and PM of Return Stacked ETFs, joins OPM to discuss his journey in the investment management business. He argues that beating the market is a commoditized value proposition and that investment managers need to solve other problems for their clients to attract assets. He also discusses his experience licensing research to other asset managers, his belief that distribution is the key question of success in the asset management business, and how quantitative research and other forms of content like podcasts and social media can help build brand awareness. Follow Corey on X: https://x.com/choffstein Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:27 Fiscal AI 01:16 The Difference Between Quant and Systematic Investing 03:18 Can Market Bubbles Be Measured? 05:05 Is Market Timing a Good Bet? 09:31 Evolving Risk Premia and Market Inefficiencies 16:41 Fiscal AI 18:20 Beginnings in Investment Management 23:04 Licensing Indexes to Other Managers 27:35 Providing Education Materials 31:26 Moving Into Asset Management 36:47 Evolving into Current Strategies 40:06 Thinking About the Investment Product Wrapper 43:11 Asset Management vs Investment Management 47:27 Solving Behavioral Finance Problems and Market Problems 51:28 Different Ways of Using Leverage 52:41 Knowing Your Client Base Isn’t Institutional 55:45 Content Creation and Brand Building 59:27 Growing an Audience: What Financial Content Goes Viral? 01:04:27 Dealing with Compliance and Education 01:07:22 How To Read and Interpret Quantitative Research as a Normie 01:12:22 How Is AI Being Used by Quants? 01:15:48 Conclusion

Is It Enough? Michael Howell on Money Market Turbulence, Standing Repo Facility, and Why Fed Balance Sheet Expansion Is Inevitable

2025-11-1001:01:08

Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% discounted access to an annual subscription of Michael Howell’s Capital Wars here: https://capitalwars.substack.com/MonetaryMatters With the Federal Reserve announcing the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1st, Jack welcomes Michael Howell of GL Indexes and the Capital Wars Substack back to share an update on his measure of Fed liquidity and his outlook for 2026. Howell explains why Fed balance sheet expansion is inevitable. Recorded on November 6, 2025. Pieces discussed: “The Return Of ‘Not-QE, QE’ (Part 1),” October 31, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/the-return-of-not-qe-qe-part-1 “The Return Of ‘Not-QE, QE’ (Part 2),” November 1, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/the-return-of-not-qe-qe-part-2 “Global Liquidity Watch: Weekly Update,” November 4, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/global-liquidity-watch-weekly-update-c8e Also: “Scrambled Eggs, The Fed’s Latest Policy Directive: ‘FSSF-Off,’” November 9, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/scrambled-eggs Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Fed Governor Miran: The Case For Big Rate Cuts | Miran on Deterioration in Labor Market, the Neutral Rate of Interest, and Fed Balance Sheet Policy

2025-11-0649:42

Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: https://vaneck.com/REMXJack Stephen Miran, member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, has dissented in two consecutive Fed FOMC meetings since his joining the Board in September 2025, preferring to cut by 50 basis points (0.50%) instead of 25 basis points (0.25%). Governor Miran joins Monetary Matters today to explain in detail his reasoning for why he thinks considerably lower interest rates are appropriate. Tariffs, fiscal policy, immigration, weakening labor market. Recorded on November 4, 2025. Governor Miran’s speech on September 22, 2025, “Nonmonetary Forces and Appropriate Monetary Policy”: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/miran20250922a.htm Follow Governor Stephen Miran on Twitter https://x.com/SteveMiran Full unedited (other than for form) transcript of this interview: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1vaZ8-ArOIdDKnnkeoxp92nMBq52aXxNA/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=113485899782770300642&rtpof=true&sd=true Note: in Jack’s introduction, he makes an incomplete remark where he says Miran was “appointed by President Trump.” In actuality, Miran was nominated by Trump, and approved by the Senate. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Hedge Fund Trying to Become the Top Pod Shop in Crypto is Rethinking the Multi-Manager Hedge Fund Model | Anatoly Crachilov of Nickel Digital

2025-11-0401:10:23

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Anatoly Crachilov, CEO and Co-Founder of Nickel Digital Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss why crypto is the perfect asset class for the multi-manager pod shop model. He also explains how Nickel is taking a “West Berlin” approach to partnering with external traders compared to the “East Berlin” approach of many traditional pod shops where non-competes and strict control of IP is the norm. He also discusses why 2025 has been a difficult year for crypto traders, how their team is managing the choppy markets, and how scaled up pods and incubation stage pods managed the extreme volatility in October. Follow Anatoly Crachilov on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/anatoly-crachilov/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:38 CAIA.nxt 01:24 Multi-Manager Origin Story 03:12 No Central Book or Alpha Capture 04:32 Expanding Number of Pods 06:15 Technology Enabled Growth 10:09 Onboarding a New Pod 14:38 Benefits of Crypto's Infinite Divisibility 15:58 CAIA.nxt 16:54 Determining the Scalability of Strategies 18:03 Minimum & Maximum Pod Sizes at Scale 18:33 Measuring Risk Adjusted Returns 20:34 Pod Compensation and Fund Level Fees 24:43 Winning the War for Talent 29:29 Pods Can Be Independent Prop Shops and Single Managers 35:03 Demand for Crypto Multi-Manager Funds 39:02 Reducing Risk in Crypto with 3rd Party Settlement & Custodians 46:08 Crypto Still Has Low Liquidity 49:41 The Cost of Poor Trade Execution in Crypto 53:16 Current Environment for Crypto 58:22 Risk Management Adjustments in a Choppy Year 01:02:04 Different Testing Environments for New Pods 01:06:30 What Happens When a Scaled Pod Has a Drawdown? 01:09:35 Conclusion

More Credit Problems, Mag 7 AI CapEX Continues, and Money Market Stress | Jack & Max

2025-11-0257:261

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe breakdown yet another credit “cockroach” that appears to be more related to fraud than overall market weakness. They also discuss the Mag 7 earnings report and the continued onslaught of AI CapEx spending that many believe has entered bubble territory. Finally, they breakdown this week’s fed decision and why big changes to both the Fed balance sheet and the rate cutting cycle could be coming up soon. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Fiscal AI Intro 00:12 More Credit Problems 11:08 Mag 7 Earnings 16:43 Fiscal AI Mid Roll 19:29 Are CapEx Estimates Still Too Low? 28:07 AI CapEx “Bubble” Winners and Losers 34:11 Mag 7 Becoming Capital Intensive? 43:33 Fed Meeting Breakdown 52:11 Market Impact of December Fed Meeting 57:11 Fiscal AI

#box-pro-ellipsis-176548068632763{-webkit-line-clamp:2;}Monetary Matters with Jack Farley