Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Joseph Wang, former senior trader for the New York Fed and author at FedGuy.com returns to Monetary Matters at a critical juncture to break down the October Fed meeting and the Fed's decision to stop reducing its balance sheet on December 1st and thereby end QT (Quantitative Tightening). Wang, a veteran of money markets, explains the stress he sees in repo markets and why he thinks the Fed has to go further and actually start expanding its balance sheet in order to inject enough liquidity to calm the repo market down. Recorded October 29, 2025. Joseph's piece on FedGuy, "Balance Sheet Dominance": https://fedguy.com/balance-sheet-dominance/ Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://x.com/FedGuy12 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% discounted access to an annual subscription of Michael Howell’s Capital Wars here: https://capitalwars.substack.com/MonetaryMatters Michael Howell of GL Indexes and the Capital Wars Substack returns to Monetary Matters with alarming news. His readings of liquidity from over 90 central banks indicate that global central bank liquidity is deteriorating, led primarily by the Federal Reserve. Howell’s measure of Fed liquidity is weakening because the Fed’s Reverse Repo (RRP) facility is effectively fully drained. This is partially offset by U.S. Treasury issuing lots of short-duration bills, as well as People’s Bank of China injecting 7+ Trillion Yuan into its money markets and pumping the price of gold in yuan terms. Howell sees a growing divergence between East and West and warns that 2026 “won’t be a great year for financial assets.” Recorded on October 21, 2025. Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5  YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Derek Pilecki’s hedge fund Gator Capital has outperformed the S&P 500, compounding at over 22% since inception while focusing exclusively on financial sector stocks. In this interview Derek discusses why he thinks recent concern in the financial sector is overblown, how he has grown his firm’s assets to over $300m, and why he believes that good performance is simply not enough to grow a successful hedge fund. Derek also discusses how he manages his mutual fund alongside his hedge fund and why he doesn’t see the vehicles as competing but serving two separate investor bases. Sign up for Gator Capital's distribution list: https://www.gatorcapital.com/ Follow Derek on X: https://x.com/gatorcapital Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

George Saravelos, head of FX research at Deutsche Bank, joins Jack on Monetary Matters to go deep into the world of currency trading. Jack and George discuss central bank independence, emerging markets, carry positions, hedging, and more. George gives a clear and intelligent look at the often-opaque foreign exchange market and explains his views on it. Don’t miss this episode. Recorded on October 20, 2025.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow George on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/saravelos/?originalSubdomain=uk   George’s FX podcast for Deutsche Bank https://tinyurl.com/4nh5d3y9 George's Primer, "The Brilliant World of FX": https://www.dbresearch.com/PROD/RPS_EN-PROD/The_Brilliant_World_of_FX_-_A_Primer/RPS_EN_DOC_VIEW.calias?rwnode=PROD0000000000464258&ProdCollection=PROD0000000000542285

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm  Jon Turek of JST Advisors explains why he thinks a decline in U.S. interest rates will make dollar hedging more attractive to foreign owners of U.S. assets. He makes the case for steeper yield curves around the world, reviews the situation in China, and shares his thoughts on the wild bull market in gold. Recorded on October 16, 2025. Follow Jonathan Turek on Twitter https://x.com/jturek18 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5  YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack and Max break down the beginning of earnings season. Jack reviews a new credit flare-up in California’s commercial real estate (CRE) market that affected Zions Bancorporation and Western Alliance Bancorporation, before commenting on the very strong earnings from the large banks such as Bank of America and JPMorgan. Max and Jack then discuss precious metals, as well as current market positioning as revealed by brokerage data. Recorded on October 17, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96  Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe  Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This is a special bonus episode of OPM with David Orr. In my first conversation with David, we only discussed his hedge fund that has crushed the S&P 500 since its inception in 2021. In addition to his hedge fund, he also runs the Militia Long/Short Equity ETF ($ORR) which since its inception in January 2025 has also beaten the S&P 500 running a similar but still distinct long/short strategy from the one he employs at his hedge fund. We discuss his unorthodox decision to launch the ETF when the hedge fund was going so well, how he is managing the different liquidity needs, his dual fiduciary duties, differing compliance realities, and the increased transparency of the ETF wrapper. Follow David Orr on X: https://x.com/orrdavid Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Brad Setser, Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), returns to Monetary Matters to share how China’s growing export dominance is squeezing the balance of payments position of the U.S., Europe, and many other countries as well. Recorded on October 10, 2025. Relevant articles by Brad:“China’s Stealth Trade Surplus”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-stealth-trade-surplus “China’s Data Still Doesn’t Add Up”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-data-still-doesnt-add “China’s New Intervention Rule”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-new-intervention-rule “China is also Fighting a Trade War with Europe (and Winning)”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/china-also-fighting-trade-war-europe-and-winning “The Case that China is Now Actively Resisting Pressure on the Yuan to Appreciate”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/case-china-now-actively-resisting-pressure-yuan-appreciate Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Julian Brigden on Twitter Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm  Jack Farley & Max Wiethe react to the weakness in the credit markets upon the large (>$10 Billion) bankruptcy of First Brands and the banks and financial entities that have exposure to it, such as Jeffries, UBS, and others. They also discuss President Trump’s threat to raise tariffs on China substantially, which he later specified as 100%, which sent the stock market and other risk assets tumbling on October 10.  Gymkhana Partners’ (a client) piece on India and tariffs: https://www.gymkhanapartners.com/dispatches/missing-the-forest-for-the-trees Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96  Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe  Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5  YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Richard J Murphy, a political economist, chartered accountant, tax reform advocate, and professor emeritus at the University of Sheffield, joins Jack on Monetary Matters to discuss tax reform, economic theory, inflation, deficits, central banking, and more. While the stock market has risen to record heights, there is an increasing uncertainty on the health of the economy. Richard gives his insights into how he believes that we can both increase the productivity of the economy and general welfare by reforming the taxation system.   Follow Richard Murphy on Twitter https://x.com/richardjmurphy?lang=en Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96   Murphy’s “The Taxing Wealth Report 2024”: https://taxingwealth.uk/ Murphy’s blog, “Funding The Future”: https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/ Murphy’s Book, “The Joy of Tax”: https://www.amazon.com/Joy-Tax-Richard-Murphy/dp/059307517X

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe react to the lack of employment data, discuss the “bubble” in AI capex, gold and silver’s recent rise and examine other signs of market froth pointing to the current stage of the market cycle. Jack and Max also discuss a few interesting short and long opportunities they are playing. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:27 No Jobs Numbers & Government Shut Down 02:12 AI Capex Bubble 09:55 Market Bubbles 19:08 Gold & Silver on the Rise 30:21 Fiscal AI 31:44 Opportunities for Shorting ($SWBI) 46:13 Data Center Buildout Theme 48:21 Rates Market is Too Dovish 52:26 Polling the Audience 55:53 Small Cap Season 57:35 Trusting the Bull Market

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Follow Patrick Perret-Green on Twitter https://x.com/PPGMacro Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Patrick Perret-Green of PPG Macro is a veteran macro trader and analyst. He joins us today to share his concern over two recent high-profile bankruptcies that have caused jitters in the non-bank financial sector: Tricolor and First Brands. Patrick explains why he is bullish on long-duration sovereign bonds in Australia, the U.K., and Japan. Recorded on September 30, 2025. Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Sign up for MacroCapture by MI2 Partners today with coupon codes MM10 (for annual) and MM10Q (for quarterly) to save 10% at: https://portal.mi2partners.com/buy-macro-capture/ This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Julian Brigden of MI2 Partners and MacroCapture returns to Monetary Matters to update viewers on his thinking about markets and the economy. Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Julian Brigden on Twitter Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHMax Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXMax Jeremy Boynton and Zach Lindquist, managing partners at Pure Crypto, have built one of the best performing crypto fund of funds since their inception 2018. In this interview they discuss their view that the crypto market structure is being changed by ETFs and crypto treasury companies, how they think about manager selection, the subtle differences between crypto VCs and crypto hedge funds, and why they are eschewing new entrants into the crypto fund space in favor of OGs who have managed capital and survived multiple market cycles. They also explain why they are volatility agnostic and prefer to take on crypto market beta rather than invest in market neutral and multi-manager crypto funds. Follow Zach Lindquist on X: https://x.com/PureCryptoLP Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod An investment in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in the semiconductor industry, special risk considerations of investing in Taiwanese issuers, equity securities, small-, medium and large-capitalization companies, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, issuer-specific changes, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, new fund, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified, and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Small, medium and large-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing. © Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation

Take the Monetary Matters poll: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdhu6Ez_R0jcLiz75kDNEPe_KzhNefYAT-Jvj1cm-3xVwQ4Zg/viewform?usp=sharing&ouid=113485899782770300642 Imane Bakkar, Founder and Managing Director of Logarisk, joins Monetary Matters to discuss her most recent White Paper, “Weather Is No Small Talk.” She argues that the electricity grid and the financial system are becoming more weather dependent because of the rise of renewable power, AI, climate, and the increasing ownership of the grid by non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs). Recorded on September 9, 2025. Imane’s paper, “Weather Is No Small Talk”: https://logarisk.co/2025/09/01/white-paper-weather-is-no-small-talk/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack and Max break down the September Fed meeting, threats to Federal Reserve Independence, and several stocks such as Acuren, Franco Nevada, and MSCI. Recorded on September 18, 2025. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5  YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHMax Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXMax Since launching Militia Capital in 2021, David Orr has crushed the S&P 500 and is up over 500% net of fees. In fact, during this period, he’s one of few managers to have set the S&P 500 as the hurdle rate for the fund to earn performance fees. In this interview Orr discusses Militia Capital’s growth from $3m to over $160m today, the expansion of the strategy to include two additional external portfolio managers, and why he thinks most hedge fund managers have social media and compliance all wrong. He also discusses his investment philosophy and belief that most “value trap” investors and “story stock” investors don’t know the first thing about real investing. Follow David Orr on X: https://x.com/orrdavid Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod An investment in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX) may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in the semiconductor industry, special risk considerations of investing in Taiwanese issuers, equity securities, small-, medium and large-capitalization companies, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, foreign currency, depositary receipts, issuer-specific changes, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, new fund, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified, and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Small, medium and large-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing. © Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:31 $SMH & SMHX 01:21 Militia Capital’s Growth Into a Multi-Manager 04:57 Twitter & Social Media 07:33 Marketing & 506(c) Hedge Funds 11:11 Benchmarking to the S&P 500 15:00 Comparing to Large Multi-Manager Funds 17:11 VanEck Mid-Roll 18:06 Risk Managing Other PMs & Collaboration 20:06 David’s Investing Philosophy 27:36 Investors Who Don’t Know Anything 38:51 Market timing & the Current Environment 45:40 Trading Macro 48:14 Hunting For New Portfolio Managers 51:32 David’s Favorite Accounts on Twitter 54:04 Rethinking Compliance 57:52 Outro

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Rob Arnott, founder and chairman of the board of Research Affiliates, joins Jack today for an in-depth conversation on AI, bubbles, asset allocation, weighting in index funds, and other topics. The record heights of today’s markets brought on from excitement in the AI industry remind many of the dotcom bubble, which Rob examines using his decades of experience in the finance industry. With how fast everything moves in these turbulent times, this is one episode a dedicated observers cannot miss. Recorded on September 5th, 2025. Research Papers discussed:“RACWI: Reinventing Cap-Weighted Indexing”: https://www.researchaffiliates.com/publications/articles/1095-racwi-reinventing-cap-weighted-indexing “The AI Boom vs. the Dot-Com Bubble: Have We Seen This Movie Before?”: https://www.researchaffiliates.com/publications/articles/1038-ai-boom-dot-com-bubble-seen-this-before Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Today's episode is brought to you by Teucrium. Learn more at: https://bit.ly/4gfI0fe Jack welcomes QI Research’s Danielle DiMartino Booth and Bloomberg Economics’ Chief U.S. Economist Anna Wong to interpret the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) recent preliminary 911,000 downward revision to non-farm payrolls. Recorded September 11, 2025. Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth on Twitter https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Anna Wong on Twitter https://x.com/AnnaEconomist Follow Bloomberg Economics on Twitter https://x.com/economics Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

This episode of Monetary Matters is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHJack Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): http://vaneck.com/SMHXJack Take the Monetary Matters poll:  https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdhu6Ez_R0jcLiz75kDNEPe_KzhNefYAT-Jvj1cm-3xVwQ4Zg/viewform?usp=sharing&ouid=113485899782770300642 Aahan Menon of Prometheus Macro returns to Monetary Matters to explain why he still thinks bonds offer a poor risk/reward relative to stocks. He argues that job market weakness is the result of reduced immigration, in other words, weak supply of labor rather than weak demand for labor. Recorded on September 4, 2025. Follow Aahan Menon on X https://x.com/AahanPrometheus Follow Prometheus Macro on X https://x.com/prometheusmacro Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez