Morning Coffee and Ag Markets

106 Episodes

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Episode 104 - Crop Insurance: Basic Producer Considerations

2026-09-1422:13

Ryan Loy and Hunter Biram sit down to discuss the crop insurance chapter from the newly released Surviving the Farm Economy Downturn: 2026 Update. Hunter walks through the basic decisions producers face when selecting federal crop insurance, from choosing between farm-level and county-level coverage to how unit structure and the differences among Yield Protection, Revenue Protection, and RP with Harvest Price Exclusion shape both premiums and protection. The chapter is meant as a starting poi...

Episode 103 - How Much Should You Pay for a Replacement Heifer?

2026-09-0717:37

Ryan Loy is joined by James Mitchell, Associate Professor and Fryar Price Risk Management Center Associate Director at the University of Arkansas, to dig into the new Beef Cow and Heifer Investment Analysis tool. With cattle prices at historical highs, this free online dashboard lets producers plug in their own numbers to compare buying a bred heifer against raising one of their own, returning net present value, breakeven price, and payback period in real time. James and Ryan explain ho...

Episode 102 - Attractive Wheat and Canola Prices May Draw Acres This Fall

2026-08-3119:24

Hunter Biram, Scott Stiles, and Breana Watkins to look at why attractive winter wheat and canola prices may draw Arkansas acres this fall. With row crop margins still squeezed by high input costs, they dig into the newly released 2027 University of Arkansas enterprise budgets for both crops, walk through a side-by-side return comparison, and explain why canola holds a gross revenue edge on paper. The conversation also covers the fundamentals driving the wheat rally and the practical rea...

Episode 101 - Bird Flu on the Move: Understanding Seasonal HPAI Risk in the Mississippi Flyway

2026-08-2417:42

Ryan Loy sits down with Matthew Marchant, a PhD student in agricultural economics at the University of Arkansas, to discuss how highly pathogenic avian influenza moves through the Mississippi flyway. They explain why the current strain spreads mainly through wild waterfowl rather than farm-to-farm contact, and how that ties bird flu risk to a predictable seasonal pattern that widens across the flyway from fall into spring. Marchant walks through what that seasonality means for producers, from...

Episode 100 - More Acres, Lower Yields: The Focus of August USDA Reports

2026-08-1718:56

Hunter Biram and Scott Stiles walk through the August USDA WASDE and Crop Production reports, where a recurring theme of more acres but lower yields shaped the outlook for soybeans, long grain rice, corn, and cotton. They dig into the surprising jump in corn and soybean acreage, the drought driving yield cuts from Texas through the western Corn Belt, and why cotton comes down to what gets harvested rather than what gets planted. Hunter and Scott also cover Arkansas' record projected soybean y...

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