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Moving Markets: Daily News
Moving Markets: Daily News
Author: Julius Baer
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© 2025 Julius Baer
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Moving Markets is a daily market news briefing from Julius Baer. Our experts discuss the latest market developments and put the headlines in perspective to set you up for the coming day. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.
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Excerpt from Beyond Markets Podcast, originally published on 24.08.2025.This episode is part of a special two-week series featuring highlights from Julius Baer’s recent Beyond Markets podcasts. Our regular show that starts with daily market news returns on Monday 5th January.Investing in private markets has the potential to create long-term value in portfolios. But how can qualified and professional investors navigate the current marketplace? What does the private equity market look like today? Which factors are driving potential opportunities? And where might the risks lie? In this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast, Fiona Kenyon, Head of Private Markets Specialists at Julius Baer talks to Jack Weingart, Chief Financial Officer at the global alternatives firm TPG, to discuss these questions as they evaluate the current landscape and reflect on the potential risks and rewards.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:40) - Private equity: Jack Weingart, Chief Financial Officer at TPG and Fiona Kenyon, Head of Private Markets Specialists
(08:43) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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Excerpt from Beyond Markets Podcast, originally published on 12.09.2025.This episode is part of a special two-week series featuring highlights from Julius Baer’s recent Beyond Markets podcasts. Our regular show that starts with daily market news returns on Monday 5th January.In this episode of Beyond Markets, we take a closer look at agentic AI, which is no longer just a concept. AI agents are actively reshaping how tasks get done, decisions are made, and content is created. These autonomous systems mark a shift from passive AI models to active agents that can reason, act, and self-improve. We are joined by Manuel Villegas from Julius Baer’s Next Generation Research team to answer these questions and much more.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:38) - Agentic AI: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research and Emily Rookwood, Head of Thought Leadership
(09:40) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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Excerpt from Beyond Markets Podcast, originally published on 01.10.2025.This episode is part of a special two-week series featuring highlights from Julius Baer’s recent Beyond Markets podcasts. Our regular show that starts with daily market news returns on Monday 5th January.Structured products can provide investors with capital protection, enhanced yield, or targeted exposure to specific market scenarios. While they may appear complex to those less familiar with them, this episode of the Beyond Markets podcast aims to demystify these instruments. Helen Freer is joined by two Julius Baer experts, Conrad Bruggisser and Raffaele Perroncello, to explain how structured products work and how they can add value to a portfolio. They also discuss the key risks to consider, why market volatility is relevant and how the products can be tailored to suit different investor profiles.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:37) - Structured products: Conrad Bruggisser, Head of Markets PB Sales & Solutions and Raffaele Perroncello, Head of Cross Asset Sales
(07:07) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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In trading yesterday, lower inflation led the way, technology earnings brightened the day. A UK cut, the ECB’s soft tone, sent markets climbing, risk well-known. Across the seas, Japan stood tall, rates are the highest since the mid-2006 call. And to close the year with rhythmic cheer, Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, penned a verse sincere.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:52) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content
(06:24) - A festive FX poem: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva
(08:24) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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Markets showed little festive spirit yesterday with almost all equity markets globally declining as investors continued to rotate out of key artificial intelligence names. The sell-off was triggered by concerns around financing issues of a data centre project in the US. In contrast, energy and financial sectors outperformed, supported by rising oil prices and dovish remarks from a Federal Reserve member ahead of today’s key events: interest rate decisions by the ECB and BoE, as well as the release of US inflation data. On today’s show, Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, provides deeper insights into the oil market, while Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis, discusses asset allocation strategies for the coming year.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:34) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content
(06:26) - Oil: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research
(12:36) - Update from the CIO Office: Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis
(17:44) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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Markets digested a mix of headlines yesterday. In the US, the latest jobs report pointed to a resilient but cooling labour market. US equities were mostly subdued, though Tesla stole the spotlight with a record-breaking rally on robotaxi optimism. Oil prices swung sharply, first falling on hopes of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal before rebounding on renewed geopolitical tensions, while gold edged higher as uncertainty lingered. In Europe, defence stocks slipped as peace talks gained traction, and the EU made waves by reversing its planned ban on combustion-engine cars. Asian markets were broadly higher, buoyed by strong export data from Japan. We’re joined by Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, for an update on bond markets and central banks, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who shares insights on their recent upgrade of Swiss equities and their views on the financials sector.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content
(06:50) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research
(11:02) - Equity market update: Switzerland and financials: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research
(15:28) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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European equities rallied after industrial production data came in stronger than expected, while Wall Street traded cautiously ahead of a packed schedule of key labour‑market and inflation releases between today and Thursday. The US dollar, oil, gold, and bitcoin all slipped as investors absorbed a noisy flow of macro headlines. On today’s show, Dr. Damien Ng from Next Generation Research joins us to discuss the latest developments in biotech - and why he believes the outlook for the sector is finally brightening after years of underperformance.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content
(06:01) - A pivotal year for biotechnology: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research
(11:12) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
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The story that started with Oracle in the middle of last week continued with Broadcom on Friday. Despite its earnings and guidance actually breezing past expectations, the company's stock had lost 11% by the end of the day, and this filtered through to other tech names in both the US and Europe. Asia is also lower this morning with China in particular delivering some disappointing growth data. Nevertheless, gold and silver continue to climb and on today’s podcast our Head of Technical Analysis, Mensur Pocinci, weighs in with the technical view on whether the rally can continue. He also explains why he believes that most investors are underestimating how weak the US dollar is as we head towards year end. Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
Equities rallied broadly following the Federal Reserve’s post-rate-cut communication, though big tech underperformed amid concerns over valuations and leverage. At the same time, precious and industrial metals regained investor attention as the US dollar weakened and expectations for Chinese stimulus grew. Today, we’re joined by Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory in Geneva, who shares his insights on the recent dynamics in currency and metal markets.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content
(06:08) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva
(10:41) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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The US Federal Reserve cuts rates to 3.5%–3.75% but three dissenting members signal deepening divisions. It surprises with a new bond buying programme to start in the coming days. US small caps moved to an all-time high, US Treasury yields dipped, and the USD fell. Yet, Oracle’s outlook and additional financing needs are unsettling investors. Nasdaq futures and Asian technology stocks are lower. In Japan, strong demand at a 20-year bond auction eases yield pressures. With a record high in silver and gold close to its recent highs, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, delivers our outlook on the two metals following the Fed decision.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:56) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content
(07:21) - Gold and silver: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research
(11:05) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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We’ll finally get the last monetary policy decision of the year from the US central bank today and a 25 basis point cut is firmly priced in. Almost more important will be the dot plot, economic projections, and comments from Jerome Powell after the main event. Global equity markets have been relatively muted in the last 24 hours aside from some company specific news that you can catch up on in today’s podcast. Strong earnings growth and an accommodative Fed are a strong backdrop going forwards, as detailed by Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research, who also provides more clarity on his recent downgrade of Industrials to Neutral. He even provides a sneak peek at his preferred sectors for 2026.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(05:52) - Equity market update and industrials downgrade: Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy Research
(11:15) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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Financial markets were largely subdued yesterday, as investors awaited tomorrow’s pivotal Fed rate decision. But the corporate world was anything but quiet with Paramount challenging Netflix in the hostile bid for Warner Bros Discovery. Asian markets were mixed, oil prices eased on hopes for progress in Ukraine, and gold dipped ahead of the Fed decision. In tech, President Trump surprised markets by allowing Nvidia to export its H200 chips to China. Joining us today is Damien Ng from Next Generation Research, who shares the latest developments in Alzheimer’s research and provides an update on the extended longevity investment theme.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(00:31) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content
(05:43) - Alzheimer’s developments & update on longevity investment view: Damien Ng, Next Generation Research
(10:00) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
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Equities ended the week higher with US personal consumption expenditure data signalling easing inflation and bolstering expectations of a Fed rate cut this week. Meanwhile, Netflix’s blockbuster USD 72 billion Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition could shake up the streaming and entertainment landscape if approved. Joining today’s show is Markus Wachter from our Technical Analysis team. He talks about the outlook for the US dollar; gold, silver, and copper, and why he expects a year-end rally for equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(00:27) - Markets wrap-up: Jann Bopp, Product & Investment Content
(06:09) - Technical Analysis update: Markus Wachter, Technical Analysis
(08:16) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
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Data showed low US jobless claims contrasting with continued corporate layoffs, leaving rate cut expectations for next week intact. This helped US small caps to outperform. Onshore China shares are rising following strong demand for the second-largest IPO this year. Global central banks now hold more gold than US Treasuries for the first time in 30 years. Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, talks about volatile metals this week and what FX trading in a narrow range means for investors.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content
(06:33) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva
(10:31) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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Markets are now pricing in an 89% chance of a rate cut by the Fed next week after November private payrolls data surprised, revealing 32,000 jobs were cut (instead of the expected 40,000 added). US indices closed marginally higher on the day, with Asian markets following suit. Japan’s 30-year government bond auction saw good demand, but JGB yields remain high as markets anticipate a rate hike. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, joins the podcast to talk about silver - its remarkable rally and whether it is justified, and what might happen next.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:24) - Markets wrap-up: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(06:06) - Silver: Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research
(09:25) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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Equity markets staged a cautious rebound yesterday, with major indices posting modest gains. In Europe, utilities led the advance, lifting the broader market, while in the US, leadership came from big tech and AI-related stocks. Sentiment was buoyed by SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son’s revelation that he was “practically crying” to sell the company’s Nvidia stake, alongside a strong earnings report from MongoDB. However, not all segments participated in the rally – precious metals lagged, and the energy sector saw a notable reversal. Meanwhile, DarioMessi, Head of Fixed Income Research, discusses expectations surrounding the still-pending appointment of a new Fed Chair for next year and how the bond market is digesting this transition.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content
(06:29) - Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research
(10:34) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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Stocks and bonds declined amid company-specific developments and concerns over bond supply, as investors prepare for a record-level issuance of investment-grade debt in the coming days. Additionally, rising expectations of an imminent interest rate hike in Japan further pressured yields upward. In today’s programme, we welcome Manuel Villegas from Next GenerationResearch, who shares his insights on the future trajectory of artificial intelligence - and addressesthe pressing question: Is AI experiencing a bubble?(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content
(07:08) - Artificial Intelligence update: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research
(12:38) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
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November closed with markets focused on hopes of a Fed rate cut, which overshadowed fears of an AI bubble. The S&P 500 made strong gains in a holiday-shortened week, while technology lagged, leaving the Nasdaq down in November for the first time after seven months of gains. European equities ended the month slightly higher, supported by the strong outperformance of Switzerland’s SMI last week. Silver is hitting new highs, while gold is also climbing. In Asia, Chinese PMI data disappointed, while India stood out with 8.2% GDP growth in the third quarter. The head of Japan’s central bank hinted at a rate rise during a speech on Monday. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research, shares his views on the USD, precious metals, and his outlook for US equities.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content
(06:31) - Technical Analysis update: Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis
(09:51) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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The US Thanksgiving holiday has given stock markets globally a brief pause following the strong performance earlier in the week. With Asian markets trading mixed this morning, attention shifts to key eurozone inflation data, while US markets resume trading for a shortened session. In today’s programme, we welcome Nicolas Jordan from the CIO Office, who discusses the concerns around potential cracks in the artificial intelligence capital expenditure cycle.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
(00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Roman Canziani, Head of Product & Investment Content
(06:23) - Update from the CIO Office: Nicolas Jordan, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis
(11:29) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content
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Markets are now pricing in an almost 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December – this boosted tech stocks and others followed suit, prompting a global rally. US markets will be shut today for the Thanksgiving holiday, and the Black Friday shopping bonanza will start tomorrow when the US market will reopen for a shortened trading session. Norbert Rücker, Head of Economic and Next Generation Research, joins the show with a timely update on energy markets and what’s driving them currently. And Tim Gagie, Head of FX Advisory Geneva, rounds off the podcast by highlighting the latest moves in Sterling after the UK budget as well as this week’s action in preciousmetals.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
(00:38) - Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Product & Investment Content
(06:44) - Energy Markets: Norbert Rücker, Head of Economics & Next Generation Research
(11:41) - FX and metals update: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva
(15:56) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content
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